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**BettorsChat** · 09-24-2003, 01:03 AM

SUNSHINE FORECAST HISTORICAL TRENDS

Sides: September 27, 2003
Arizona State at Oregon State
Take Oregon State
Domination by home team (5-1, 83% )

Arkansas at Alabama
Take Underdog
Domination by underdog (6-2, 75% )

Florida at Kentucky
Take Favorite
Domination by favorite at Kentucky (4-0, 100% )
Take Florida
Domination on the road by Florida (4-0, 100% )

Louisiana State at Mississippi State
Take Louisiana State
Domination by Louisiana State (7-1, 88% )
Domination on the road by Louisiana State (4-0, 100% )
Minnesota at Penn State
Take Minnesota
Domination by Minnesota (4-0, 100% )
Northwestern at Ohio State
Take Ohio State
Domination by home team (4-0, 100% )

Notre Dame at Purdue
Take Underdog
Domination by underdog at Purdue (3-0-1, 100% )
Rice at Hawaii
Take Rice
Domination by Rice (4-0, 100% )

Stanford at Washington
Take Washington
Domination at home by Washington (3-0, 100% )
Utah at Colorado State
Take Colorado State
Domination by Colorado State (5-0, 100% )

Wake Forest at Virginia
Take Wake Forest
Domination by visiting team (6-1-1, 86% )
Washington State at Oregon
Take Favorite
Domination by favorite at Oregon (3-0, 100% )

Wisconsin at Illinois
Take Favorite
Domination by favorite at Illinois (3-0, 100% )

**BettorsChat** · 09-24-2003, 01:04 AM

NFL TECHNICIAN'S CORNER

KANSAS CITY at BALTIMORE...Ravens 45-22-2 last 69 games on board! Billick 21-8-2 vs. line as dog since '99. Chiefs "over" 16-8 as visitor since '00. Tech edge-Ravens and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

TENNESSEE at PITTSBURGH...6 of last 7 in series have gone "over." Steel "over" 20-7 last 27 on board. Steel has covered 5 of last 6 meetings. Tech edge-"Over" and slight to Steel, based on recent "totals" and series trends.

SAN FRANCISCO at MINNESOTA...Tice "over" 12-7 as Viking HC. Tech edge-slight to "over," based on Tice "totals" trend.

ATLANTA at CAROLINA...Falcons 5-0-1 vs. line last 6 in series, 8-1-1 last 10 meetings. Atlanta also 8-3 vs. line last 11 as visitor overall. Tech edge-Falcons, based on series trends.

JACKSONVILLE at HOUSTON...Texans covered both meetings LY. Tech edge-slight to Texans, based on team trends.

SAN DIEGO at OAKLAND...Road team 10-4 last 14 in series, Raiders 2-5 vs. line last 7 as series host. Tech edge-slight to Chargers, based on series trneds.

DETROIT at DENVER...Lions 2-8 vs. line last 10 as visitor, also "over" 8-2 last 10 away. Mariucci teams 15-30-1 vs. line last 46 away. Broncos 11-6 vs. spread last 17 as host. Tech edge-Broncos and "over," based on team and "totals" trends.

GREEN BAY at CHICAGO (Monday, September 29)...Pack has won and covered last 5 and 6 of last 7 in series. Bears now on a 5-14 spread run last 19 on board. Tech edge-Packers, based on series trends.

**BettorsChat** · 09-24-2003, 09:15 PM

POINTWISE COLLEGIATE & PROFESSIONAL FOOTBALL PROPHECY

COLLEGE KEY RELEASES
1* MIAMI-OHIO over Cincinnati
1* OREGON STATE over Arizona State
2* SO CALIFORNIA over California
3* SOUTH CAROLINA over Tennessee
3* IOWA over Michigan State
4* UTAH over Colorado State
5* MICHIGAN over Indiana
5* KANSAS over Missouri

NFL KEY RELEASES
3* MINNESOTA over San Francisco
4* PITTSBURGH over Tennessee
4* DALLAS over New York Jets
4* CLEVELAND over Cincinnati
5* PHILADELPHIA over Buffalo

Summary of Top Rated College Selections

MIAMI-OHIO 38 - Cincinnati 17 - (3:00) - Miami has come back with vengeance after opening day flop. Superb rush "D" has held NW & ColoSt to 1.5 & 1.3 ypr past 2 wks, & Roethlisberger has been brilliant. Cincy in off luckout win vs Temple, & note Bearcat RYs going from 361 to 165 to 136. It has to be 'Hawks

OREGON STATE 31 - Arizona State 17- (4:00) - Reports of Beav RB Jackson's demise were premature (122 RYs vs Boise). Also check QB Anderson's 408 PYs & WR Newson's 208 receiving yds. Balanced, & catching Devils seeking answers is perfect situation for advancing series home trend. Solid revenger.

TENNESSEE 27 - South Carolina 20 - (7:00) - Loved Gamecocks' 42-0 rout of Uab. Led 28-0 at halftime, & topped 200 yds both rushing & passing, behind QB Pinkins & RB Summers. Catch Vols in bit of a sandwich affair (Florida & Auburn). UT clicked on "Hail Mary" at end of 1st half in win over Gators, which was crucial. USC has given the Vols fits, & the visitor is a 6-0 series ATS play. impressive. However, guest owns this series, & dog 15-6 ATS in Cav games.

Iowa 27 - MICHIGAN STATE 10- (12:00) -We know that the dog is normally golden when these 2 meet. Also Spartans in off much needed bounce back win over Irish, & holding foes to just 41.5 RYpg. But Iowa more than a match in that category. Allowed only 184 yds, 12 FDs, & no pts in win over offensively talented ArizSt. Chandler is cooking, & MSt's Smoker playing hurt. We lay it!

**BettorsChat** · 09-24-2003, 09:16 PM

WINNINGPOINTS FOOTBALL NEWSLETTER

SUMMARY OF NFL PLAYS:

BEST BETS
**** Atlanta over *Carolina by 9
*** *Pittsburgh over Tennessee by 17

RECOMMENDED SELECTIONS
Philadelphia over *Buffalo by 6
*Baltimore over Kansas City by 9

SUMMARY OF NCAA PLAYS:

BEST BETS
**** NAVY over RUTGERS* by 17
*** ARKANSAS over ALABAMA* by 16

RECOMMENDED SELECTIONS
Iowa State over Northern Illinois* by 7
Illinois* over Wisconsin by 10
Washington State over Oregon* by 7
San Diego State over U.C.L.A.* by 1

Detailed Analysis of NFL & NCAA Best Bets

****BEST BET
Atlanta over *Carolina by 9

It’s rare to find a team in an underdog role when they’ve outscored their opponent, 71-0, last year. But that’s the case with this matchup. The Falcons destroyed the Panthers, 41-0 on the road and 30-0 at home last season. Now the Falcons are an underdog to these same Panthers. True, Mike Vick had something to do with those victories last year, and he’s still a few weeks from returning. The Falcons, though, have beaten Carolina nine of the last 10 times, going 8-1-1 ATS. Considering how strong the NFC South Division is, the Falcons can’t afford to drop to 0-2 in division with a loss here. So this becomes a huge matchup for them. The Panthers are 2-0, but have scored only four more points than they’ve allowed. Carolina entered its bye week ranked 30th in total offense and 25th in total defense. Those are not the statistics of a strong 2-0 team. Sure enough, the Panthers were lucky to beat winless Jacksonville at home in their opener. The Jaguars outgained the Panthers, 331-242. Carolina then used three blocked kicks and excellent defense to upset Tampa Bay two weeks ago. Doug Johnson is not Vick. He’s a smart quarterback, though, and is comfortable running Atlanta’s offense. On the other hand, Carolina quarterback Jake Delhomme is a work in progress, starting just his second game. The Panthers don’t have the kind of offense to lay anything more than a field goal. Their strategy is to pound away with Stephen Davis, who already has 55 carries in two games. Atlanta has two good running backs, too, in Warrick Dunn and T.J. Duckett. The Falcons play on carpet, but are 8-2-2 ATS on grass, including a 5-2 spread mark last year. Don’t be surprised if the Panthers come out flat having lost the momentum they had after beating Tampa Bay by being off for two weeks. The Panthers started off hot last year, too, and then proceeded to lose eight consecutive games. ATLANTA 23-14.

***BEST BET
*Pittsburgh over Tennessee by 17

Double revenge, a top passing game, Joey Porter’s return and Eddie George’s slippage puts us squarely on Pittsburgh. Let’s start with the revenge angle. It’s usually more applicable in college handicapping, but sometimes it applies for the pros. This is one of those times. The Titans frustrated the Steelers twice last year, including ending their season with a 34-31 overtime victory in the playoffs. Both of those losses came on the road for Pittsburgh. The Steelers have been pointing to this home matchup ever since. It’s strange to see, but neither team runs very well anymore. Both have become pass-oriented. It makes sense for the Steelers since they have the best starting wide receivers in the NFL with Hines Ward and Plaxico Burress. They’ve helped the Steelers average close to 300 yards passing. The Steelers like to spread the offense out, and Tennessee doesn’t have enough quality players in its secondary to cover Ward and Burress while keeping an eye out for speedy scatback Amos Zereoue. The Titans have turned to an air attack out of necessity because RB Eddie George rarely is effective anymore. George, who turns 30 this week, started to slip last year. He’s regressed more this season. Sorry but gaining 100 yards against New Orleans doesn’t impress us. This puts everything on Steve McNair, whose accuracy can be affected by a broken finger on his passing hand. McNair doesn’t have the quality wideouts the Steelers have. Derrick Mason is McNair’s only consistent target, and he’s not in the class of Ward and Burress. Versatile Antwaan Randle-El, the Steelers’ No. 3 wideout, probably could start for Tennessee. The Steelers also get a lift on defense with the return of star linebacker Joey Porter, who was pierced by a gunshot on Aug. 31. Porter missed the first two games, but returned to action against the Bengals last Sunday and recorded a sack. PITTSBURGH 30-13.

****BEST BET
NAVY over RUTGERS* by 17

There was a feeling from this corner that when the Naval Academy convinced Paul Johnson to leave Georgia Southern for Annapolis, they had made perhaps the best possible hire that they could for this program. It means a return to option-based football, a terrific way to utilize the size, speed, and discipline of the available athletes, and then Johnson went a step better when he brought Buddy Green in from N.C. State to run the defensive side of the ball. And despite the fact that the Midshipmen won only twice in 12 tries LY, there were major improvements in evidence on both sides of the ball. How about the fact that away from home, against four bowl teams down the stretch (Boston College, Tulane, Notre Dame and Wake Forest), they dealt each of those opponents their worst loss of the season in the total rushing category? They even led Notre Dame and Wake Forest in the fourth quarter before coming up just short, and then dismantled Army 58-12 to cap Johnson’s first season. Now they are already at two wins for this young campaign, and yet this price tells us that the oddsmakers do not even have them close to being pegged right, perhaps because they only had close losses LY, without any break-through upset wins. Craig Candeto can direct an offense filled with veteran skill people with ease against this class of defense, while that vastly improved defense (much more team speed), has not allowed a first half point in the last two games and helps to dictate the tempo here. Minimal home advantage for the Scarlet Knights, if any at all. NAVY 34-17.

***BEST BET
ARKANSAS over ALABAMA* by 16

There are a lot of signs that indicate that Houston Nutt has his Arkansas program emerging at a true elite level, and NO, we are not going to speak much about that dominating win at Texas two weeks ago. That speaks for itself. But there is much more going on in Fayetteville. First we start with the fact that they showed the maturity to take care of business last week – instead of having a major letdown off of the Texas win they had an excellent focus vs. North Texas, and rolled to a 31-7 halftime lead. And then let us put the Texas rout into perspective – it was not all at all out of the ordinary given recent Razorback road performances. The last five times they have been a road underdog they have won three of the games outright, and the two defeats were by identical scores at difficult places to win – 41-38 at L.S.U. to close out the 2001 regular season, and 41-38 in six overtimes at Tennessee LY. They were also S.E.C. road favorites twice LY and took care of business each time in winning at South Carolina and Mississippi State. Now we get to take them in an underdog role once again despite the fact that they are the better team on the field this day. With Matt Jones developing into a poised veteran that poses both a run and a pass threat, and with Cedric Cobbs back to 100%, the Arkansas offense can move the football without having to resort to tricks. As a result, they have turned the ball over only one time in 196 snaps this season, and it is that kind of execution that keeps a team from being at risk for mistakes on the road. ARKANSAS 30-14.

**BettorsChat** · 09-24-2003, 09:16 PM

CKO--CONFIDENTIAL KICK-OFF

SUMMARY OF PLAYS:
11* NORTH TEXAS over La.-Lafayette
10* UTAH over *Colorado State
10* NEVADA over Smu
10* MICHIGAN STATE over Iowa
10* SAN FRANCISCO over *Minnesota

11 *NORTH TEXAS over La.-Lafayette
Late Score Forecast:
*NORTH TEXAS 40 - La. Lafayette 6
Toughened by early slate that included road trips to Arkansas, Air Force and top-ranked Oklahoma, North Texas opens play in SunBelt Conference, which Mean Green (2 straight league titles; 11-1 SU & 9-3 vs. spread in conf. games L2Ys) has dominated recently. Punchless La.-Lafayette (10 ppg TY) has lost last 3 meetings vs. UNT by combined 82-13 (0-3 vs. spread). Ragin’ Cajun rush attack (only 106 ypg) will grind to a halt vs. gnarly Mean Green defense, which returns 8 starters from 2002 unit that allowed just 119 ypg on the ground & 15 ppg. And dominant sr. NT Kennedy (5-10, 312; 2002 conf. player of year) will have ineffectual ULL QBs Rekieta & Babb on run all day. Cajun defense has allowed 612 YR on 5.5 ypc in its last 2 games. UNT offense has depth at TB and 2 experienced QBs. So, wouldn’t hesitate to lay it against ULL, which has only 4 pointspread ****** vs. SunBelt foes in last 2 seasons.

10 UTAH over *Colorado State
Late Score Forecast:
UTAH 31 - *Colorado Sate 27
Respected CKO scouts rather surprised rested, MWC contender Utah getting nearly full TD in this key conf. opener vs. CSU squad that has unresolved defensive issues. With clever HC Urban Meyer reportedly adding some wrinkles during bye week, Utes strong-armed, 6-4 soph QB A. Smith & emerging go-to, 6-2 jr. WR Warren (16 catches in just 2 games; suspended vs. Tex. A&M) should fully exploit reeling Ram 2ndary that’s allowed awhopping 970 YP vs. 3 major foes so far. And with Utes slashing 6-0, 212 RB Warfield (477 YR, 4.8 ypc, 7 TDs) doing his thing on the ground, anxious CSU defense can ill-afford to blitz on early downs. On other side, suretackling Utah defense effectively copes (again) with Rams highly-mobile QB Van Pelt, who accounted for only 103 yds. in somewhat misleading 28-20 win LY. Utes outgained CSU 481-252 but bogged down too often in redzone. Not this time. Also, make note, Utah is a highly-profitable 19-5 as road dog last decade (9-1 L5Ys)!

10 *NEVADA over Smu
Late Score Forecast:
*NEVADA 44 - Smu 14
Sure, impost is hefty. But this is simply a case of “go-with vs. go-against.” Improving Nevada is 10-4-1 vs. spread its last 15 on board, including 2-0 TY. Struggling SMU is 2-9-1 against line its last 12, including 0-3 TY. Wolf Pack has won & covered last 2 meetings inconvincing fashion. Balanced Nevada has scored 30 ppg TY. Sledgehammer RB Kretschmer, who led NCAA with 1732 YR as a RS frosh before sitting out LY due to a kneeinjury, ran for 3 TDs last week and has 391 YR on 5.2 ypc. And WAC scouts say Wolf Pack attack ready to really start clicking now that versatile jr. Heiser (71%, 291 YP, 49 YR in win over San Jose State) has emerged as clear-cut No. 1 QB. Meanwhile, punching-bag Ponies have been outscored 120-23 in their first 3 games, with only 1 meaningful TD. Ground game has generated just 97 ypg, and QBs Bartel & Wallis have thrown for only 426 yds. with 6 interceptions. Nevada on the rise; SMU sinking. Lay it.

10 *MICHIGAN STATE over Iowa
Late Score Forecast:
*MICHIGAN STATE 20 - Iowa 16
New HC John L. Smith has already made a significant impact at Michigan State. The cupboard was far from bare talentwise when he arrived, as former coach Bobby Williams was a solid recruiter. Now Smith has instilled the proper attitude and improved team discipline to take full advantage of that talent. The defensive turnaround has been dramatic, as last season’s team was the worst in school history, yielding 33 ppg and 214 ypg rushing. This season MSU has given up 21 ppg and just 1.4 ypc through four games, as defenders are in better shape and making more plays. Sr. LB Labinjo lost 30 lbs. and regained his starting status; sr. DE Taplin had a 40-yard int. return TD at ND; soph S Eric Smith had 12 tackles & 2 sacks vs.Irish. The offense is more balanced than last season with the return to health of speedy RB Dortch and the continued improvement of soph RB Hayes (249 YR last 2 games). MSU QB Smoker has developed rapport with new go-to WR Shabaj (20 recs.). Iowa offense has been hampered by WR injuries, and Hawkeyes will find the going tough facing revitalized Spartans.

10 SAN FRANCISCO over *Minnesota
Late Score Forecast:
SAN FRANCISCO 27 - *Minnesota 19
(Sunday, Sept. 28)
After playing offensively-challenged Chicago and youthful Detroit last two games, Minny’s new defense faces a much tougher test this week vs. the faster, deeper, and better-balanced attack of S.F., led by wily and mobileQB Garcia. Vikes vulnerable CBs will have to deal with Niners terrific trio of WRs of Owens, Streets & C. Wilson, not to mention the RB tandem of Hearst & Barlow. NFL insiders report S.F.’s emphasis on def. speed past few drafts is working out, with HC Erickson happy to take more risks because Niner defenders (many of whom were out with injuries late LY) can now pursue & recover more quickly (S.F. allowing only 16 ppg, vs.23 LY). Vikings pleased as punch with their 3-0 start, but now they’re the hunted ones. And S.F., off two late losses (one of which, in St. Louis, shouldn’t have happened), are ravenous to prevent their own 1-3 start.

TOTALS: Cincinnati-Cleveland UNDER (40; estimated)—Except for the Jamal Lewis debacle in Baltimore, Cleveland defense doing well; Bengals have gone “under” three straight under Marvin Lewis... Arizona-St. Louis OVER (45) —Jeff Blake gaining rapport with his WRs faster than expected; defense (only 1 sack first 3 games) a major concern vs. Ram offense (even without Marshall Faulk).

HONORABLE MENTION (Nine-Rated Games): BYU (-3) vs. Air Force—These two developing great series animosity and trading humiliating victories; new def. coord. Mendenhall giving Cougars their best defense in years... CALIFORNIA (+13) vs. Southern Cal—Bears coach Tedford (7-2 as dog) has the magic touch; Cal might despise USC more than UCLA does (yes, that much)... AKRON (-16½) at Buffalo—Charlie Frye & Akron capable of putting up 600+ yds. in this one; Bulls trailed UConn by 24 at the H last week... SOUTH CAROLINA (+16) at Tennessee—Lou’s defense has held Vols’ offense to 17, 17 & 18 L3Ys;
Gamecocks’ blue-chip RB Summers blossoming rapidly... PHILADELPHIA (+3) at Buffalo—Andy Reid 13-4-2 as dog L3Ys; Bills’ ground game hurting, so QB Bledsoe vulnerable in pocket.

**BettorsChat** · 09-24-2003, 09:16 PM

NORTHCOAST'S POWERSWEEP

UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK
CINCINNATI +7 over MIAMI (OHIO)

NCAA KEY SLEECTIONS:
4* BYU over Air Force 30-20
3* WASHINGTON over Stanford 37-13
3* USC over CALIFORNIA 35-13
2* Pittsburgh over TEXAS A&M 27-20
2* Arkansas over ALABAMA 17-13
2* Maryland over EASTERN MICHIGAN 51-3

NFL KEY SLEECTIONS:
4* CAROLINA over Atlanta 23-10
3* ST. LOUIS over Arizona 37-16
2* New England over WASHINGTON 21-17
2* Kansas City over BALTIMORE 20-10

NFL TOTALS:
3* CARDINALS/RAMS OVER 45
3* CHIEFS/RAVENS UNDER 45
3* PATRIOTS/REDSKINS UNDER 43
2* 49ERS/VIKINGS OVER 44
2* EAGLES/BILLS UNDER 41

**hazsupport** · 09-24-2003, 09:44 PM

northcoast

what happen to write ups on college games from powersweep. Went to forum and tried to find to no avail. thanks hc

**wayne1218** · 09-24-2003, 09:49 PM

There all in 1 thread under northcoast

**hazsupport** · 09-24-2003, 10:08 PM

ncoast

i went through the threads all the way back to mon. It was there this morning under newsletters, and now it shows their star rated plays but not the write ups on the other games. thanks

**wayne1218** · 09-24-2003, 10:26 PM

I noticed that. BC must of condensed it to units and scores i guess..... i'm not really sure.

**hazsupport** · 09-24-2003, 10:36 PM

one game

there is one game that im particular interested in and that is navyrutgers any opinions would be appreciated, hc

**BettorsChat** · 09-25-2003, 12:41 AM

I removed the writings as northcoast as me to remove them. I encourage anyone that want's the actual writeups to buy the newsletter as it does have a lot of information in it.

**BUGS** · 09-25-2003, 04:04 AM

WELL, ANYONE WHO HAS TEXAS TECH-OLE MISS GAME AT ONLY 32 IS OUT OF THERE MIND. 18-14? HOW CAN ANYONE PREDICT THAT SCORE? ITS NOT OKLAHOMA AND OHIO STATE PLAYING. THIS GAME SHOULD EASILY HIT 70 PTS.

**PhilJr** · 09-25-2003, 08:37 AM

BC

Is it ok for pickem to post the star rated plays without the write ups? Or is Northcoast telling you to ban everything? Was is PhilSr himself that called?

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