some serious early cfb line moves

[MAL]

my two books-
neb 8.5 to 10
mich 35.5 to 34
v.t. 23 to 21
utah st 13 to 14.5
memp 17 to 16

three moves i actually like-
minn 3 to 2.5 - go against the move
mich st +7 to +6.5- go with the move
a.f. +2 to +1.5- go with the move

[MAL]

just checked don best wiseguy plays and neb., ark st., and uconn were wagered already. coincidence or not???

[poboy]

hey mal

good stuff saw that myself at don best

[BUGS]

EDUCATE ME...

I WAS GOING TO TAKE IOWA AT -6.5. WHY WOULD YOU TAKE MICH. ST? I JUST THINK IOWA IS BETTER OFFENSE AND DEFENSE. EVERYONE WAS ALL OVER ARIZONA ST. AND IOWA DEFENSE CONTROLLED THAT GAME. I THINK THE SAME THING HAPPENS HERE.

[MAL]

why mich st.? they can score at home and the public will be all over iowa thinking they are world beaters because of last week. i think 7 was too much to lay on the road in conf. watch wash st. smack org. also. public will be all over org. because of last week.

[ROBB MACK]

LINE MOVES

FIRE BIG ON THOSE LINE MOVES! THEY SEEM LIKE SHARP PLAYS. HAVE TO AGREE ON WASH ST./MICH. ST. WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF N.D. COVERS ALSO.

[Lucky Leo]

Wise guy plays?

What does that mean that Neb,Ark St,and uconn were wagered on already. I don't like Nu at all. I am already on Southern Miss at +10 1/2

[ROBB MACK]

WISE GUY MOVES

LUCKY LEO, THAT JUST MEANS WAGERS WERE MADE EARLY IN THE WEEK DUE TO SOFT/BAD LINES. A WISE GUY IS A BETTOR OR CAN BE A GROUP OF BETTORS (SYNDICATE) THAT EXPOSES BAD LINES AND WAGERS EARLY. OVERALL, THEY WIN MORE THAN THEY LOSE.:cool:

[Lucky Leo]

So you are saying take Neb, Ark St. , and Uconn. Or atleast that is what they are betting? Right

[ROBB MACK]

WISE GUY MOVES

YOU GOT IT. ALSO, THE BIGGER THE LINE MOVE, THE BIGGER THE PLAY.

[ROBB MACK]

WISE GUY LINE MOVE

BIG WISE GUY LINE MOVE ON RAVENS UNDER. OPENED 46 NOW 44. LOVE IT! RAVENS HAVE A DECENT DEF. AND NO OFFENSE. THEY LIKE TO RUN THE BALL WHICH KEEPS THE CLOCK TICKIN'.

[Art]

Early money is usaully smart money - risky to go the other way.

Generally, bet with early money.

Not talking about a huge advantage - early money can lose like anyone else - but the percentage seems to be 54% overall.

The trick is to find smart early money.

Each Sunday PM the big houses give out early lines to a private group of professional gamblers and allow them early bets. The houses then adjust their published public lines in moving them with the early smart money. We get the leftovers. Then there is more early money in early bets Sunday night and Monday. This is not as smart as the other, and is what we get as early money.

Just get Sunday night odds and watrch the Monday line moves.

The second wave of smart money comes before games when good services like Northcoast release and move the lines.

Last week Ariz. St. moved from 10 down to 7 then to 6.5 just before the game as smart money piled on. Proved to be not so smart.