NFL Divisional Playoff Picks

[roccodean]

Good luck to all! Will have analysis later.

1*: 1/3 to 1/4 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units

2* Jax +13 over N.E.

[Chado1]

BOL with the Jags tonight rocco!!!

[LeRoy]

GL tonite Rocco

[Dat Boi E]

good luck with tha Jagz today, rocco! i like tha call!

[roccodean]

Thanks guys, here's my analysis. BTW my math system has no plays this week.

If you look at the statistics in this game, there is no way that the Pats should be a 13 point favorite. If we dissect the last 3 games of these teams we see that the Pats have been averaging 0.7 yards/play less than previous (which is very significant). On the flip side, the Jags are averaging 0.7 yards/play more on offense and allowing 1 yard/play less on defense! The Pats weakness this year has been their rushing defense which was ranked 26th in the NFL allowing a whopping 4.4 YPR! The Jags strength is their running game where they average 4.6 YPR and 149 YPG (2nd in the NFL over the regular season). After Garrard threw two picks last week I look for them to keep the ball on the ground in this game. The Pats rushing offense is merely average gaining 4.1 YPR and will face a Jags D that also allows 4.1. In the air the Pats are amazing averaging 8.3 YPPA, but the Jags allow only 6.7 YPPA. Garrard had a great year throwing for 7.45 YPPA (6th during regular season), and if he doesn't make mistakes he is a sold QB. My math system has New England as a 12 point favorite, so the line is on the money. The only reason this play is not higher than a 2* play is because I do not fully trust Garrard.

[roccodean]

No plays today fellas...I'll take my Jags money and run! Good luck to all!

[roccodean]

guys didnt realize sd line went to 11. My math system has Indy -6.9 therefore SD will be a play on my math system.

[Kaptain]

gl with the Chargers