Monday Trends and Indexes 12/17

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Monday, December 17

Good Luck on day #351 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

FOOTBALL:
We are providing football trends & indexes that are available through the Bowl games.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Monday

-- Eli Manning's 34 incomplete passes were most in NFL by any QB since back in 1967; many of his passes were simply dropped, but still, a poor performance, losing to Collins, a QB making his first start in a decade.

-- Manning isn't least bit accurate when he throws on the run; he almost always overthrows his receiver.

-- Think Giants definitely should have gone for two after TD that made score 22-9; they were down 19; thats 8-8-3.

-- Giants are in trouble, playing at Buffalo and hosting the Patriots in last two games. They might miss the playoffs.

-- Jeremy Shockey broke his leg, also did damage to ankle; he needs surgery, is obviously done for the season.

-- Michigan hired Rich Rodriguez away from West Virginia, so we have another bowl team without a head coach.

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[pm530]

Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday...........

13) Miami, Carolina, 49ers all won this weekend, as have-nots around NFL had their day, while Colts, Dallas struggled with sub-.500 opponents. Very difficult to properly analyze these late season games, especially when you throw in bad weather

12) After 31 years and 1,865 kick returns, Michael Spurlock is the first Buccaneer to run a kickoff back for a TD.

11) If I'm a Steeler fan, I'm not real optimistic about the rest of this season; they gave up 225 rushing yards to Jacksonville, a possible first round playoff opponent. .

10) Eagles have had rough year; one of their biggest issues has been kicker David Akers, who missed eight of his last 10 FG tries of more than 40 yards.

9) Hard to understand why Rams left Bulger in to take beating thru end of Packers' 33-14 win in St Louis; he is owed a ton of money, he has concussion issues, whats the point? There is no need to show how tough Bulger is, just make sure that in 2008, he is 100% to start the season.

8) Seattle's lackluster loss in Charlotte clinched that Cowboys and Packers will both have first round byes in playoffs.

7) Referee Larry Nemmers mocked Dallas' replay challenge in early part of game, starting his explanation, "In the National Football League,......." as if he were talking to a little kid. Bad to lose a challenge so early in game, then you only have one left the rest of the day.

6) Eight of Eagles' Lito Sheppard's 17 career INT's have come in his last eight games against the Cowboys.

5) Tony Romo was 13-36 passing in loss to Eagles; his thumb is obviously injured; to what degree, not sure, but he couldn't get good grip on ball at all.

4) Colts didn't have TD in first half at Oakland, scoring only a FG and on a 90-yard punt return.

3) No one is complaining about Norv Turner now.

2) Falcons were 4-15 passing with five total first downs in the 37-3 loss at Tampa. How do you complete four passes when you trailed by big score the whole game, in good weather?

1) If I were parent of a kid being recruited by Arkansas, there is no way in hell Bobby Petrino gets in my house; the way he left the Falcon players, coaches hanging, why would anyone send their kid to play for him for five years? Chances are, he ain't going to be in Arkansas for five years.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index


MONDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 281-282: Chicago at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 126.534; Minnesota 139.375
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 13; 46
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10); Over

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


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Monday, December 17
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CHICAGO (5 - 8) at MINNESOTA (7 - 6) - 12/17/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Monday, December 17th

Chicago at Minnesota, 8:30 EST ESPN
Chicago: 6-24 ATS away in December
Minnesota: 10-1 Under off a win by 10+ points

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Week 15 NFL schedule

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Monday, December 17
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Bears (5-8) @ Vikings (7-6) — Red-hot Minnesota won, covered four in row since 34-0 beating at Lambeau; their defense scored four TDs, allowed four in last three games. Vikes are 4-2 as home favorite, winning last three in Metrodome by 35-17/29-22/42-10 scores (13 TDs on 33 drives), running ball for 378-228-216 yards in those three games. Vikings ran ball for 311 yards first meeting, a dramatic 34-31 win when Grossman rallied Bears from two-TD deficit to tie game late (Chicago averaged 8.0 ypp, highest this year). Tough spot for Orton to make first start in couple years (Grossman is out (knee)); Bears lost three of last four games, are 3-4 on road, 2-3 as road dog, with losses by 11-10-7-8 points.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


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Tips and Trends
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Monday, December 17

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (ESPN | 8:30 PM ET)

Minnesota is averaging nearly 35 points during a 4-game winning streak, outscoring opponents 110-34. The Vikings currently sit in one of the 2 Wild Card spots in the NFC and obviously need to keep winning down the stretch to secure a spot in the playoffs. "We didn't want to get sucker-punched by delusion," Minnesota head coach Brad Childress said. "If you identify the facts -- and the facts are that we need to make sure we take care of business with the team that's up -- as long as we deal with the next team we'll be fine." EDGE: VIKINGS
Viking rookie RB Adrian Peterson is coming off the worst game of his young career, totaling just 3 yards against the 49ers. Peterson shredded Chicago's defense in the 1st meeting between the teams though back on October 14th, rushing for a then-franchise record of 224 yards, including touchdown runs of 67, 73 and 35 yards. EDGE: VIKINGS
Chicago will start 3rd-year QB Kyle Orton, who led the team to a 10-5 mark with the team as a rookie in 2005. Orton will have even more pressure on him considering the Bears have the 2nd-worst rushing offense in the NFL and will be going against the league's top run defense. "I think everybody knows that I've been frustrated and haven't liked my role, but it's what it was and I tried to make the best of it and now my job's just to focus on the future and try to play well and let everything work itself out," Orton said. EDGE: VIKINGS
Vikings are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC North
The OVER is 20-6-1 in Chicago's last 27 vs. NFC.
The OVER is 6-2-1 in Chicago's last 9 vs. NFC North.
The OVER is 7-3-2 in Minnesota's last 12 vs. NFC North.
The UNDER is 7-1 in Minnesota's last 8 Monday night games.

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[pm530]

National Football League – over/under plays

NFL
Total bias: Week 15 over/under plays


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NFL over/under picks
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Total bias: Week 15 over/under plays

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings – under 43 ½

The last time the Bears traveled to Minnesota to play the Vikings, oddsmakers put out a total of 36 and the contest ended in a push. Of course that was when the Bears’ defense still had some bite and the Vikes didn’t have rookie running back Adrian Peterson.

Chicago’s ‘D’ can still get to the quarterback (35 sacks) and you know the Bears would love to knock a division opponent out of postseason contention. Hey, misery loves company.

The Vikings have scored at least 27 points in their last four games but several six-pointers came from defensive scores and special teams’ plays.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Cheat Sheet

NFL
NFL poolies' cheat sheet


Monday, December 17

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Cheat Sheet
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NFL poolies' cheat sheet: Week 15

Chicago at Minnesota (-10)

Why Bears cover: Have won five of last eight meetings between these teams. Only lost by three points in first meeting this season. Vikings have allowed the most passing yards in the NFL and have allowed the second-most passing first downs and third-down conversions.

Why Vikings cover: Trying to maintain hold of NFC’s final wild-card spot. RBs Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor meet a Bears defense struggling to stop the run. Chicago will start third-string quarterback Kyle Orton. Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Minnesota.

Total (43 ½): Over is 5-0 in Vikings’ last five home games.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Preview

NFL

Monday, December 17

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NFL Preview
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Monday Football Preview

The Minnesota Vikings will continue their drive for an NFC Wild Card berth when they play host to the floundering Chicago Bears at the Metrodome on Monday Night Football.

Minnesota boosted their postseason chances with a convincing 27-7 road win over the San Francisco 49ers last weekend. And the Vikings got that victory without much help from Adrian Peterson; 'Purple Jesus' rushed for an anemic three yards on 14 carries on that day. Chester Taylor, meanwhile, ran for 101 yards and a TD on his eight attempts.

Vikings quarterback Tarvaris Jackson completed 16-of-25 pass attempts for 163 yards against San Francisco, with one touchdown strike and no interceptions. Jackson hooked up with Robert Ferguson on a scoring play in the second quarter. Kevin Williams picked off Trent Dilfer and went 18 yards for Minnesota's other TD in the win.

Chicago is now six games back of the Packers and two games behind the Vikings in the NFC North with a 5-8 record on the season. The Bears are coming off a 24-16 road loss to the Washington Redskins, and they're now expected to be without starting QB Rex Grossman for the rest of the season; Grossman injured his knee against the Redskins.

Brian Griese stepped in for Grossman last week, completing 27-of-45 pass attempts for 295 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions. However, the Bears are going to turn to Kyle Orton on Monday; Orton will be playing for the first time since the 2005 season.

Chicago's Adrian Peterson (aka The Other Adrian Peterson) rushed for just 35 yards on 17 carries against Washington. Bernard Berrian caught seven passes for 91 yards and a third-quarter touchdown in that game, while Robbie Gould booted three field goals in a losing cause. Devin Hester added to his kick-return duties with five catches on the day.

The Bears were listed as 3-point underdogs against the Redskins, so after failing to cover that spread they're now 4-9 ATS on the season. Chicago is also 3-4 against-the-spread on the road so far this year, and they're 2-4 ATS as the underdog. Last week's Bears/Redskins matchup was an OVER result; the Bears are 7-6 on the OVER/UNDER.

Minnesota had been pegged as the underdog against San Francisco, so they're now 7-4-2 ATS on the season. The Vikings are also 4-2 against-the-spread at home, while they're a perfect 4-0 ATS as the favored team. The 49ers' low output turned last Sunday's game into an UNDER result; Minnesota is 7-6 on the OVER/UNDER this year.

The Bears and Vikings met back in Week 6, with Minnesota winning 34-31 on the road. Chicago was pegged as a 4.5-point home favorite in that contest, giving the ATS win to the Vikings as well. The combined score went well OVER the posted total of 35.5 points. Adrian Peterson ran for 224 yards and three scores for Minnesota in that game.

Last season Chicago won both meetings between these two teams, covering a 9-point spread at home on December 3 and failing to cover a 3.5-point spread on the road on September 24. That December game was a slim OVER result (23-13 vs. 34.5), while the 19-16 score in September was a PUSH against the day's posted total of 35 points.

The oddsmakers are favoring the Vikings by a large margin this weekend; Minnesota will have to cover a 10-point spread. The total for the game has been pegged at 43.5 points. Here are the official injury reports for both Chicago and Minnesota for Monday:

Chicago Injuries
Rex Grossman QB Doubtful Week 15 (knee)
Tommie Harris DT Questionable Week 15 (knee)
Nathan Vasher CB Questionable Week 15 (groin)
Darwin Walker DT Questionable Week 15 (elbow)

Minnesota Injuries
Tank Williams S Doubtful Week 15 (knee)
Mike Doss S Questionable Week 15 (hamstring)
Charles Gordon CB Questionable Week 15 (quadricep)
Artis Hicks G Questionable Week 15 (lower back)

The Vikings will play a second straight home game in Week 16, as they'll get a visit from the 'Skins. Chicago will take on Brett Favre and the Packers at Soldier Field next week.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Bettor’s Need to Know

NFL


Monday, December 17

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What bettors need to know: Bears at Vikings
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Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-10, 43)

Taming the beast

The Bears’ plan for beating Minnesota is simple. Stop running back Adrian Peterson and force the Vikings to use second-year quarterback Tavaris Jackson. But that’s easier said than done, especially considering the number of hurt Chicago defensive tackles.

The Bears will be without DT Tommie Harris due to his knee injury, while nose tackle Darwin Walker is also a doubt. It is expected that Israel Idonije and Babatunde Oshinowo will share time, but neither has started yet this year.

Peterson has already destroyed the Chicago defense once this season. He ran for 224 yards and three touchdowns in Minnesota’s 34-31 win at Soldier Field in October.

''We are embarrassed,'' defensive coordinator Bob Babich told the Chicago Sun-Times this week in reference to Peterson’s performance. ''I mean, it was a disappointment. He's going to break some tackles, but we need to make sure we have enough people there.''

Chicago has one of the worst rush defenses in the league. It is allowing 123.6 yards per game. Its failure is a major reason why the Bears are 5-8. On Monday, that rush defense is playing for pride.

''Babich basically is telling us we're going to stop the run,'' free safety Danieal Manning told the Sun-Times. ''However that is, with nine in the box or eight, we're going to stop the run.”

Peterson, meanwhile, comes into this contest on the back of his worst performance. He ran for just three yards on 14 attempts in last week’s win over San Francisco.

“You just know that these guys are going to be ready to come in and stop the run,” he told the Winona Daily News over the weekend. “I’m just preparing myself well in practice and just really being really detailed in my footwork and being patient and letting the game come to me. That’s what I’m focusing on all week.”

Second chance for Orton

It’s not often that you get a second chance in the NFL, but that’s exactly what Kyle Orton is receiving. With Rex Grossman injured, the Bears will turn to their third-string quarterback on Monday night.

Orton is no stranger to the starting role in Chicago. He went 10-5 in 15 games under center in 2005, but completed just 51.6 percent of his passes and had more interceptions (13) than touchdowns (nine). The Bears scaled back their pass offense and kept the ball on the ground for most of that season.

"We won't think twice about, ‘Well, we want to call this but we can't,’” offensive coordinator Ron Turner told The Associated Press when asked if they would limit his input. "Maybe his rookie year, we did do that. Right now, if we think it's good and we want to call it, we're going to call it."

Coach Lovie Smith’s decision to use Orton instead of veteran Brian Griese was seen by many as an admission that the season is over, but Smith is adamant that his choice was based on merit.

“We're not completely out of (the playoffs)," Smith said. "That's not a true statement to start off with. As far as any of that type of talk, we're playing Minnesota. Big game for us. We need to get a win. It's simple as that."

The opposition is not taking Orton lightly either. Vikings coach Brad Childress drew comparisons between Orton and one of the league’s top QBs this week.

“I'd equate him to a guy like Tony Romo, who sat in the back of the meeting room forever and was a sponge," Childress said. "Only this guy was able to get in for a full year and operate that offense, and then sit back here for a couple of years. I imagine he knows where all the bones are buried, from who's the first read to who's the last read."

Innocent until proven guilty

Vikings safety Dwight Smith is expected to feature against the Bears despite a misdemeanor citation this week for marijuana possession. His coach, Brad Childress, says he will not hand down any punishment until he gets all the details.

“I’m just going with the fact that this is under investigation,” Childress told Minneapolis Star Tribune. “I’m going to get all the facts before I pass judgement on him.”

Asked if he expected Smith to play on Monday, Childress said: “It’s the weekend, so I’ll have to go up and see what the phone list looks like. But I’d anticipate him playing, yes.”

According to the police report, Smith’s vehicle was pulled over for impeding traffic at an intersection. An officer “smelled the strong odor” of the drug as he approached the car. Smith then reportedly told the officer “he had just got done smoking some marijuana.”

Defensive tackle Pat William tried to downplay the situation. "Ain't nothing," he said. "It's just people trying to get in our locker room. We ain't worried about that. We're just all focused on the Chicago Bears."

Smith could face a suspension from the NFLbecause he has been in trouble before, although that possibility is unlikely this season. He was cited for indecent conduct with a woman in 2006 and was sidelined for the season opener. He was also benched for the first two games this season for unspecified disciplinary reasons.

Smith has four interceptions, 31 tackles and one forced fumble in 11 games this season.

Head to head

The Vikings have covered the spread in three of their last four games against the Bears. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, while the Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in Minnesota.

Chicago has a 4-9-0 ATS record this season. The Vikings are 7-4-2.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Betting Trends

NFL
Betting Trends

Monday, December 17

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Hot Betting Trends
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Hot betting trends: Chicago at Minnesota

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings (-10, 43 ½)

Chicago

Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 15.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Minnesota

Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Over/under

Over is 5-0-1 in Bears last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 9-2-1 in Bears last 12 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 games in Week 15.
Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 games on turf.
Over is 5-0 in Vikings last 5 home games.
Over is 7-0 in Vikings last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 10-1 in Vikings last 11 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.
Under is 7-1 in Vikings last 8 Monday games.

Head to head

Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

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[pm530]

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 303-304: Navy vs. Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 82.940; Utah 92.340
Dunkel Line: Utah by 9 1/2; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 8; 66
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-8); Under


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 305-306: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 74.549; Memphis 75.987
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 1 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 67
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3); Over


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 309-310: Southern Mississippi at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 82.077; Cincinnati 97.871
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 16; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 11; 56
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-11); Under

Game 311-312: Nevada vs. New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 86.090; New Mexico 86.684
Dunkel Line: Even; 58
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: UCLA vs. BYU
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 95.600; BYU 98.610
Dunkel Line: BYU by 3; 50
Vegas Line: BYU by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+7); Over


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23

Game 341-342: East Carolina vs. Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 84.667; Boise State 99.423
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 15; 64
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10 1/2; 72
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10 1/2); Under


WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 401-402: Central Michigan vs. Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 81.392; Purdue 85.522
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 4; 75
Vegas Line: Purdue by 9; 72
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+9); Over


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 27

Game 403-404: Texas vs. Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 96.683; Arizona State 99.483
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 3; 68
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+2 1/2); Over


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28

Game 405-406: Michigan State vs. Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 99.341; Boston College 97.258
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+3 1/2); Over

Game 407-408: TCU vs. Houston
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 95.433; Houston 83.788
Dunkel Line: TCU by 11 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: TCU by 3 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-3 1/2); Over

Game 409-410: Maryland vs. Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 97.194; Oregon State 98.854
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 1 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 4 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+4 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 29

Game 413-414: Connecticut vs. Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 95.073; Wake Forest 93.060
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3 1/2); Over

Game 415-416: Central Florida vs. Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 87.201; Mississippi State 90.690
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3; 60
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+3); Under

Game 417-418: Penn State vs. Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 97.908; Texas A&M 96.335
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+6); Under


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30

Game 449-450: Colorado vs. Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 93.541; Alabama 93.507
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Alabama by 4; 51
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+4); Over


MONDAY, DECEMBER 31

Game 451-452: Air Force vs. California
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 95.982; California 95.318
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: California by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+4); Under

Game 453-454: Oregon vs. South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 95.990; South Florida 97.318
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7; 52
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+7); Over

Game 455-456: Fresno State vs. Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 88.248; Georgia Tech 90.721
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 457-458: Florida State vs. Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.005; Kentucky 96.901
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 3; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 56
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky; Under

Game 459-460: Indiana vs. Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 85.280; Oklahoma State 97.061
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 12; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 4; 69
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-4); Under

Game 461-462: Auburn vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 95.786; Clemson 99.817
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-1 1/2); Over


TUESDAY, JANUARY 1

Game 463-464: Wisconsin vs. Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 98.299; Tennessee 97.478
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+4); Over

Game 465-466: Arkansas vs. Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 101.992; Missouri 104.454
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3 1/2; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3 1/2); Over

Game 467-468: Michigan vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 95.120; Florida 107.493
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Florida by 9 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9 1/2); Over

Game 469-470: Texas Tech vs. Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 97.229; Virginia 94.831
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 2 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+5 1/2); Under

Game 471-472: Illinois vs. USC
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 95.302; USC 105.428
Dunkel Line: USC by 10; 46
Vegas Line: USC by 13 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+13 1/2); Under

Game 473-474: Hawaii vs. Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 99.289; Georgia 103.503
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 4; 64
Vegas Line: Georgia by 9; 69
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+9); Under


WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 2

Game 475-476: West Virginia at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 107.094; Oklahoma 109.453
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+7); Under


THURSDAY, JANUARY 3

Game 477-478: Kansas vs. Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 108.046; Virginia Tech 108.374
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+3 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, JANUARY 5

Game 483-484: Ball State vs. Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 83.401; Rutgers 91.494
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 10; 60
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+10); Under


SUNDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 489-490: Bowling Green vs. Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 83.544; Tulsa 84.741
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1; 69
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5; 76
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+5); Under


MONDAY, JANUARY 7

Game 491-492: Ohio State vs. LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 109.014; LSU 112.040
Dunkel Line: LSU by 3; 54
Vegas Line: LSU by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+6); Over

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[pm530]

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet


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Thursday, December 20
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NAVY (8 - 4) vs. UTAH (8 - 4) - 12/20/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NAVY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NAVY is 48-19 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NAVY is 51-21 ATS (+27.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 97-67 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 97-67 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 21
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FLA ATLANTIC (7 - 5) vs. MEMPHIS (7 - 5) - 12/21/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 22
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SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 5) vs. CINCINNATI (9 - 3) - 12/22/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEVADA (6 - 6) at NEW MEXICO (8 - 4) - 12/22/2007, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCLA (6 - 6) vs. BYU (10 - 2) - 12/22/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
UCLA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 23
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E CAROLINA (7 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (10 - 2) - 12/23/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 49-19 ATS (+28.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, December 26
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C MICHIGAN (8 - 5) vs. PURDUE (7 - 5) - 12/26/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, December 27
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TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. ARIZONA ST (10 - 2) - 12/27/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 28
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MICHIGAN ST (7 - 5) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (10 - 3) - 12/28/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TCU (7 - 5) vs. HOUSTON (8 - 4) - 12/28/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MARYLAND (6 - 6) vs. OREGON ST (8 - 4) - 12/28/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 29
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CONNECTICUT (9 - 3) vs. WAKE FOREST (8 - 4) - 12/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CONNECTICUT is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCF (10 - 3) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (7 - 5) - 12/29/2007, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PENN ST (8 - 4) vs. TEXAS A&M (7 - 5) - 12/29/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 30
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COLORADO (6 - 6) vs. ALABAMA (6 - 6) - 12/30/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, December 31, 2007
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AIR FORCE (9 - 3) vs. CALIFORNIA (6 - 6) - 12/31/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALIFORNIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
CALIFORNIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON (8 - 4) vs. S FLORIDA (9 - 3) - 12/31/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (8 - 4) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5) - 12/31/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (7 - 5) vs. KENTUCKY (7 - 5) - 12/31/2007, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANA (7 - 5) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 6) - 12/31/2007, 5:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AUBURN (8 - 4) vs. CLEMSON (9 - 3) - 12/31/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Tuesday, January 1, 2008
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WISCONSIN (9 - 3) vs. TENNESSEE (9 - 4) - 1/1/2008, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARKANSAS (8 - 4) vs. MISSOURI (11 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN (8 - 4) vs. FLORIDA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEXAS TECH (8 - 4) vs. VIRGINIA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ILLINOIS (9 - 3) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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HAWAII (12 - 0) vs. GEORGIA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Wednesday, January 2
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W VIRGINIA (10 - 2) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 2) - 1/2/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, January 3
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KANSAS (11 - 1) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 2) - 1/3/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 46-75 ATS (-36.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 32-9 ATS (+22.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
KANSAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, January 5
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BALL ST (7 - 5) vs. RUTGERS (7 - 5) - 1/5/2008, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, January 6
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BOWLING GREEN (8 - 4) vs. TULSA (9 - 4) - 1/6/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, January 7
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OHIO ST (11 - 1) vs. LSU (11 - 2) - 1/7/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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