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2-0 going into today let's keep it goin!
Week 15
1*: 0.66 -.75 units
2*: 1 unit
3* : 1.3-1.5 units
4* : 1.5-1.66 units
5* : 2+ units
Math sytem Plays:
Houston: Super System has line at Houston -4. Winner!
Green Bay: My Super Sytem has them as 16.9 point favorites. I am not wagering on them because they are in a letdown spot.
New England: Super System line is NE -30. I am actually betting against them. Obviously, my math system does not take the weather into account.
Indy: Super System line Indy -16.2. May be play later.
May Be More 4:00 Plays Added
2* Philadelphia +10.5 over Dallas
Philly is one of the best 5-8 team that I have seen and I am going to take them as a big dog in this game. Philly averages 4.6 YPR (6th) and 6.9 YPPA (13th). Defensively they are very strong too allowing only 3.8 YPR (6th). Against the pass they are worst allowing 7.1 YPPA. Dallas is a very balanced team gaining 4.4 YPR (4th) and 8.6 YPPA (1st). Defensively they are also good allowin 3.9 YPR and 6.43 YPPA. But, I think they will be in a flat spot after their big come from behind win at Detroit last week. There are 8 amazing trends favoring the Eagles. One is 23-3 ATS since 1985 and another is 47-13. My Super System has Dallas -11 so it does not come into play.
1* Carolina +7.5 over Seattle
I am betting against Seattle in this contest, not on Carolina. Seattle is coming off a division clinching win and now goes cross country and is in a big let down spot. Also, Carolina has a very good defense. The Panthers only allow 3.7 YPR (5th) and 6.7 YPPA (8th); only a couple teams in the league are in the top 10 in both categories. They will be facing a Hawks offense that is poor at rushing (3.6 YPR, 27th) and decent in the air (7.1, 13th). Offensively the Panthers are decent rushing the ball at 4 YPR, but in the air they are bad averaging only 5.6 YPPA. But, as I said I am betting the Panther's defense. The Hawks rush defense is merely average allowing 4.1 YPR (16th) and their pass defense allows 221 YPG (22nd). There are 3 good trends favoring the Panthers. My Super System has Seattle -8 so does not come into play.
1* N.Y. Jets +21.5 over N.E. (Buy 1/2 point) (-120)
As I have been saying for weeks, the line always catches up to good teams like the Pats and New England is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games. Another big reason I like the Jets is because the Pats are a passing team and the wind and rain/snow will inhibit this. The Pats run game is only average gaining 4.05 YPR (15th). Defensively, the Pats are very overrated as they allow a whopping 4.3 YPR (24th). In the air they allow 6.7 YPPA (3rd). The Jets gain 3.7 YPR and 6.6 YPPA. Defensively, they allow 4.3 YPR and 7.6 YPPA. These stats aren't impressive but as I said they will be able to run against the bad Patriots defense and cover the big number. Unfortunately, the Bye Week Picks System has the Pats as 30.3 point favorites. I usually don't go against my math system as it has been 64% this year (32-18) but I think that the weather is going to slow down the Pats offense (if this game was in a dome I would not bet it). There are 2 strong long term trends favoring the Jets (165-100 ATS and 178-109 ATS).
Week 15
1*: 0.66 -.75 units
2*: 1 unit
3* : 1.3-1.5 units
4* : 1.5-1.66 units
5* : 2+ units
Math sytem Plays:
Houston: Super System has line at Houston -4. Winner!
Green Bay: My Super Sytem has them as 16.9 point favorites. I am not wagering on them because they are in a letdown spot.
New England: Super System line is NE -30. I am actually betting against them. Obviously, my math system does not take the weather into account.
Indy: Super System line Indy -16.2. May be play later.
May Be More 4:00 Plays Added
2* Philadelphia +10.5 over Dallas
Philly is one of the best 5-8 team that I have seen and I am going to take them as a big dog in this game. Philly averages 4.6 YPR (6th) and 6.9 YPPA (13th). Defensively they are very strong too allowing only 3.8 YPR (6th). Against the pass they are worst allowing 7.1 YPPA. Dallas is a very balanced team gaining 4.4 YPR (4th) and 8.6 YPPA (1st). Defensively they are also good allowin 3.9 YPR and 6.43 YPPA. But, I think they will be in a flat spot after their big come from behind win at Detroit last week. There are 8 amazing trends favoring the Eagles. One is 23-3 ATS since 1985 and another is 47-13. My Super System has Dallas -11 so it does not come into play.
1* Carolina +7.5 over Seattle
I am betting against Seattle in this contest, not on Carolina. Seattle is coming off a division clinching win and now goes cross country and is in a big let down spot. Also, Carolina has a very good defense. The Panthers only allow 3.7 YPR (5th) and 6.7 YPPA (8th); only a couple teams in the league are in the top 10 in both categories. They will be facing a Hawks offense that is poor at rushing (3.6 YPR, 27th) and decent in the air (7.1, 13th). Offensively the Panthers are decent rushing the ball at 4 YPR, but in the air they are bad averaging only 5.6 YPPA. But, as I said I am betting the Panther's defense. The Hawks rush defense is merely average allowing 4.1 YPR (16th) and their pass defense allows 221 YPG (22nd). There are 3 good trends favoring the Panthers. My Super System has Seattle -8 so does not come into play.
1* N.Y. Jets +21.5 over N.E. (Buy 1/2 point) (-120)
As I have been saying for weeks, the line always catches up to good teams like the Pats and New England is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games. Another big reason I like the Jets is because the Pats are a passing team and the wind and rain/snow will inhibit this. The Pats run game is only average gaining 4.05 YPR (15th). Defensively, the Pats are very overrated as they allow a whopping 4.3 YPR (24th). In the air they allow 6.7 YPPA (3rd). The Jets gain 3.7 YPR and 6.6 YPPA. Defensively, they allow 4.3 YPR and 7.6 YPPA. These stats aren't impressive but as I said they will be able to run against the bad Patriots defense and cover the big number. Unfortunately, the Bye Week Picks System has the Pats as 30.3 point favorites. I usually don't go against my math system as it has been 64% this year (32-18) but I think that the weather is going to slow down the Pats offense (if this game was in a dome I would not bet it). There are 2 strong long term trends favoring the Jets (165-100 ATS and 178-109 ATS).
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