Friday Trends and Indexes 12/14

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Friday, December 14

Good Luck on day #348 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

FOOTBALL
We are providing football trends & indexes that are available through the Bowl games.

[pm530]

Weekend Sports Preview

Friday, December 14

Weekend Sports Preview

Sports fans and bettors have no reason to leave the couch this weekend with wall-to-wall sports including NFL, NBA, college basketball and NHL.

The NFL weekend schedule gets going on Saturday in Week 15 with Cincinnati visiting San Francisco (+8.5). When the NFL kicks off on Sunday the early games include Seattle at Carolina (+7), Buffalo at Cleveland (-5.5), Tennessee at Kansas City (+4), Baltimore at Miami (+3.5), the Jets at New England (-23.5), Arizona at New Orleans (-3.5), Jacksonville at Pittsburgh (-3.5), Green Bay at St. Louis (+9.5) and Atlanta at Tampa Bay (-13.5). The later games on the Sunday schedule include Indianapolis at Oakland (+10.5), Philadelphia at Dallas (-10), Detroit at San Diego (-10) and Washington at the Giants (-4.5).

The NBA weekend begins with a busy Friday that includes 12 games highlighted by New Orleans at Dallas, Cleveland at New Jersey, the Lakers at Golden State and Toronto at Indiana. The rest of the Friday night NBA contests include Sacramento at Philadelphia, Milwaukee at Boston, the Clippers at Memphis, Seattle at Minnesota, Atlanta at Detroit, Orlando at Charlotte, New York at Chicago and Utah at Portland.

Another busy night in the NBA follows on Saturday with 11 games. The top Saturday matchups appear to be Phoenix at New Orleans, Dallas at Houston, Denver at San Antonio and Indiana at Miami. Also on tap for Saturday on the hardcourt is Charlotte at Atlanta, Memphis at Orlando, Sacramento at Washington, Philadelphia at Cleveland, New Jersey at New York, Minnesota at Milwaukee and Seattle at Utah.

The NBA slows down on Sunday with just four games, including Golden State at Detroit, Boston at Toronto, Portland at Denver and the Clippers at the Lakers.

In college hoops this weekend eight of the Top 10 ranked teams will see action. On Saturday the Top 10 matchups include Sacramento State at No. 10 Marquette, Ohio at No. 3 Kansas, IPFW at No. 9 Michigan State, Texas State at No. 4 Texas, Middle Tennessee State at No. 2 Memphis, Radford at No. 5 Georgetown and Idaho State at No. 8 UCLA. The only Top 10 team playing on Sunday is No. 1 North Carolina at Rutgers.

On the ice this weekend the NHL has four games on Friday night with Calgary at Carolina, Buffalo at Washington, Toronto at Atlanta and Minnesota at Anaheim.

On Saturday night almost every team in the league takes to the ice with 13 games on the schedule. The early Saturday night games include Phoenix at New Jersey, Dallas ay San Jose, Carolina at Philadelphia, Atlanta at Ottawa, Pittsburgh at the Islanders, Columbus at Boston, Toronto at Montreal, Florida at Detroit, Chicago at Buffalo and Washington at Tampa Bay. On the late-night schedule Nashville takes on Colorado, Vancouver faces Edmonton and Minnesota travels to Los Angeles.

The NHL closes out the weekend with five games on Sunday, including Philadelphia at New Jersey, Phoenix at the Rangers, Calgary at St. Louis, Florida at Chicago and San Jose at Anaheim.

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[pm530]

Six-pack for Friday

Some thoughts on the George Mitchell report........

-- The Players' Union is hideous; do they care about their members, health-wise? Forget that steroids are illegal, they just aren't good for you, but union doesn't seem to care.

-- Most of the players named are no longer active; one of them, Ken Caminiti, died a few years ago.

-- I'll repeat what I said earlier this week; what excuse does Mitchell have for not talking to Jose Canseco, who seems to be a dependable source on this subject? Canseco tried to attend the news conference, but wasn't allowed in.

-- If Barry Bonds had come clean about all this stuff, he'd be completely off the hook after today's announcements.

-- So what happens now? Is this just a grandstand play to make it look like baseball is cleaning up its act? They spent $20 million on investigation just to name Lenny Dykstra?

-- The media cares a hell of a lot more about this issue than the average fan does; we just want to go to the park, have a hot dog, or watch the game on TV with friends. The game is the thing, not all this political grandstanding.

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[pm530]

Friday's List of 13: The games are the thing.............

13) The Mets traded for Johnny Estrada last month, then they released him to become a free agent Wednesday. This makes me wonder if everyone in Flushing is on the same page.

12) Steve Nash had huge game Wednesday, even though he chipped his front tooth in second quarter. He's the best.

11) The 49ers signed Chris Weinke to be backup QB. Eeesh.

10) 0-13 Dolphins went back to Cleo Lemon as starting QB; in next week's game, Miami will get more points than anyone in history of NFL, when they visit New England. This week, the Baltimore Ravens visit Miami, trying to avoid infamy.

9) Ohio U won at Maryland Wednesday, another setback for Terrapins' attempt to get back to top of ACC- they can't beat a MAC team at home, so its not looking too good.

8) In Week 14 of NFL, five running backs gained 100+ yards who weren't selected in the college draft.

7) Martin Gramatica is back in the NFL, signing with Saints to replace the injured kicker Olindo Mare.

6) One name that popped up in the middle of Bobby Petrino to Arkansas stories is Hog alum/Cowboy owner Jerry Jones, who apparently asked Arthur Blank for permission to talk to Petrino last week, was refused by both Blank, Rich McKay, but somehow wound up hiring Petrino anyway.

5) Baseball signings: Toronto signed David Eckstein, Twins signed Adam Everett, Padres gave Jake Peavy $52M for next three years, but San Diego is still looking for an OF after they struck out trying to sign Japanese OF Fukudome, who got a shocking $48M for four years from the Cubs.

4) Giants might not have much hitting next year, but their OF of Roberts-Roward-Winn is really going to help the pitchers. Terrific defensive outfield.

3) Brendan Morrison of the Vancouver Canucks had a streak of 542 consecutive games played ended this week; that's over six years of hockey games without missing one. Impressive.

2) St Benedict's of New Jersey beat Oak Hill Academy down in Kentucky (why would these teams play in Kentucky?). On very slow TV night (damn you, NFL/cable companies), a high school hoop game was the best thing on. Terrific.

1) Think Mike Krzyzewski didn't learn from being around the Olympic team this summer? Mike D'Antoni had his effect on Coach K; Duke's games have an average of 73.2 possessions in them this year, compared to 66.1 LY. They're playing faster.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 15

Game 253-254: Cincinnati at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 128.090; San Francisco 122.920
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 9 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+9 1/2); Under

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 16

Game 255-256: Arizona at New Orleans
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 125.489; New Orleans 135.115
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 10; 55
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3 1/2); Over

Game 257-258: Atlanta at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.824; Tampa Bay 134.702
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 16; 42
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 13; 39
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-13); Over

Game 259-260: Baltimore at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 123.551; Miami 125.356
Dunkel Line: Miami by 2; 43
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 3 1/2; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3 1/2); Over

Game 261-262: Buffalo at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 124.138; Cleveland 132.616
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 8 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Over

Game 263-264: Green Bay at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 140.076; St. Louis 122.589
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 17 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 8; 44
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-8); Over

Game 265-266: Jacksonville at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 141.257; Pittsburgh 136.902
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 4 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (+4); Over

Game 267-268: NY Jets at New England
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 127.045; New England 151.822
Dunkel Line: New England by 25; 52
Vegas Line: New England by 23 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: New England (-23 1/2); Over

Game 269-270: Seattle at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 134.527; Carolina 124.387
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Seattle by 7; 38
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-7); Over

Game 271-272: Tennessee at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 131.295; Kansas City 125.357
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6; 37
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4; 34
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-4); Over

Game 273-274: Indianapolis at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 143.308; Oakland 128.029
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 15 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 10 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-10 1/2); Under

Game 275-276: Detroit at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 127.719; San Diego 139.120
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 11 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: San Diego by 10; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-10); Under

Game 277-278: Philadelphia at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 129.139; Dallas 142.493
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 13 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Dallas by 10; 49
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10); Over

Game 279-280: Washington at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.709; NY Giants 134.387
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 8 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 36 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-4 1/2); Over

MONDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 281-282: Chicago at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 126.534; Minnesota 139.375
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 13; 46
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 10; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-10); Over

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


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Saturday, December 15
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CINCINNATI (5 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 10) - 12/15/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Sunday, December 16
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ARIZONA (6 - 7) at NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ATLANTA (3 - 9) at TAMPA BAY (8 - 5) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (4 - 9) at MIAMI (0 - 13) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (7 - 6) at CLEVELAND (8 - 5) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
BUFFALO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GREEN BAY (11 - 2) at ST LOUIS (3 - 10) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (9 - 4) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
JACKSONVILLE is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY JETS (3 - 10) at NEW ENGLAND (13 - 0) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
NEW ENGLAND is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 5-1 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 5-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (9 - 4) at CAROLINA (5 - 8) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 45-69 ATS (-30.9 Units) off a division game since 1992.
SEATTLE is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
CAROLINA is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TENNESSEE (7 - 6) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 9) - 12/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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INDIANAPOLIS (11 - 2) at OAKLAND (4 - 9) - 12/16/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (6 - 7) at SAN DIEGO (8 - 5) - 12/16/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 8) at DALLAS (12 - 1) - 12/16/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 116-84 ATS (+23.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 44-23 ATS (+18.7 Units) revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (6 - 7) at NY GIANTS (9 - 4) - 12/16/2007, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 44-67 ATS (-29.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Monday, December 17
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CHICAGO (5 - 8) at MINNESOTA (7 - 6) - 12/17/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 6-24 ATS (-20.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Saturday, December 15th

Cincinnati at San Francisco, 8:15 EST NFL
Cincinnati: 0-6 ATS off an Under
San Francisco: 10-3 ATS after scoring 9 or less points


Sunday, December 16th

Arizona at New Orleans, 1:00 EST
Arizona: 5-1 ATS off a straight up loss
New Orleans: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite

Atlanta at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
Atlanta: 13-1 ATS away after allowing 450+ total yards
Tampa Bay: 2-9 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Baltimore at Miami, 1:00 EST
Baltimore: 0-6 ATS off a home game
Miami: 6-1 ATS off BB Overs

Buffalo at Cleveland, 1:00 EST
Buffalo: 8-19 ATS off a division win by 10+ points
Cleveland: 6-0 ATS as a favorite

Green Bay at St. Louis, 1:00 EST
Green Bay: 8-2 ATS off a straight up win
St. Louis: 2-8 ATS after scoring 14 or less points

Jacksonville at Pittsburgh, 1:00 EST
Jacksonville: 6-0 Over after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Pittsburgh: 8-1 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points

NY Jets at New England, 1:00 EST
NY Jets: 0-6 ATS away off a loss by 6 or less points
New England: 8-2 ATS vs. conference opponents

Seattle at Carolina, 1:00 EST
Seattle: 8-2 ATS vs. conference opponents
Carolina: 0-7 ATS off a road loss

Tennessee at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
Tennessee: 1-5 ATS off BB home games
Kansas City: 6-0 ATS after scoring 9 or less points

Indianapolis at Oakland, 4:05 EST
Indianapolis: 9-0 ATS off a road win by 21+ points
Oakland: 1-11 ATS in December

Detroit at San Diego, 4:15 EST
Detroit: 3-11 ATS off a home game
San Diego: 28-14 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

Philadelphia at Dallas, 4:15 EST
Philadelphia: 10-2 ATS off a division game
Dallas: 9-2 Over off a straight up win

Washington at NY Giants, 8:15 EST NBC
Washington: 10-23 ATS revenging a home loss
NY Giants: 23-12 ATS vs. conference opponents


Monday, December 17th

Chicago at Minnesota, 8:30 EST ESPN
Chicago: 6-24 ATS away in December
Minnesota: 10-1 Under off a win by 10+ points

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Week 15 NFL schedule

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Saturday, December 15
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Bengals (5-8) @ 49ers (3-10) — Hard to believe Niners started this season 2-0; 3rd-string QB Hill played OK in relief of injured Dilfer last week, but they’re now 1-10 in last 11 games. 49ers lost last five home games, scoring average of 7.2 pg (three TDs on last 62 drives at home). They’ve turned ball over 11 times in last two games (-8). Erratic Bengals are 0-4 vs spread in game following win; they’ve not won consecutive games all year- they won last week. Cincy is 1-5 on road; they’re 1-8 when allowing 24+ points, 4-0 when they don’t- those four wins are by 7-14-29-9 points. 49ers would have trouble scoring 24 on empty field. Five of six Niner home games stayed under total.


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Sunday, December 16
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Cardinals (6-7) @ Saints (6-7) — Winner stays on Vikings’ heels in Wild Card race. Short week for Saints, after Monday night win; they’re 2-4 at home, allowing 37-27 points to Rams, Bucs in last two. Arizona turns ball over too much (2+ TOs in eight of last ten games- they’re 3-1 when they turn it over 0 or 1 time). In last four games, Cardinal TO ratio has been +5/-4/+3/-4; is up to Saints to pressure two-time MVP Warner and force miscues. NO allowed 6.7+ yards/pass in five of last six games, so if Arizona WRs are healthy, this could be high scoring contest. Four of last five Arizona games, five of last seven Saint tilts went over total. Warner lost playoff games by FG each here in both ’00,’01.

Falcons (3-10) @ Tampa Bay (8-5) — Not only is Atlanta travelling on short week, their coach quit on Tuesday, after less than year on job; Bucs won’t have any sympathy, since Gruden and Falcon GM McKay (former Buc GM) aren’t best of buddies. Falcons lost last four games, all by 12+ points; they’re 4-2 as a road dog this year, but this is tough spot, using 4th-string QB on road with interim coaching staff who now have to all be scrambling to find jobs for next year. Bucs won first meeting 31-7 four wks ago (-3), with four takeaways (+2) and 149-49 edge running ball. Tampa won four of last five games, but only one of the four was by more than seven points; they’re 3-1-1 vs. spread as a home favorite.

Ravens (4-9) @ Dolphins (0-13) — Baltimore is off pair of national televised home games vs Pats, Colts, now go on road, trying to avoid being Miami’s first victim of ’07; Ravens lost last seven games, allowing 27+ in last four; they’re 1-6 vs spread as favorite in ’07. Miami home losses are by 17-18-21-3-27 points; they had to go back to Lemon at QB last week, because rookie Beck was so awful. In last eight games, Fish lost field position battle by 7-13-20-17-12-22-10-7 yards; its bad enough if you are a bad team, but then to have to play on longer field makes it worse. Baltimore has two wins this season by more than three points, vs. Bengals (Week 1), Rams (Week 6). Last four Raven games all went over the total.

Bills (7-6) @ Browns (8-5) — Both sides won six of their last eight games; this is key game in AFC Wild Card race. Bills won three of last four road games- they’re 7-1 if they allow 21 or less points,
0-5 if they don’t. Buffalo covered six of its last eight as underdog. Browns scored 24+ in 10 of last 12 games; they’re 1-4 when they score 24 or less, and 3-0 as home favorite, winning its last five at home by 6-14-10-3-10 pts. Favorite is 7-1 vs spread in their last eight games. Improved field position has held Browns; their opponents started 13 drives in Cleveland territory over first six games (scoring 57 points) but in last seven games, they started only seven drives in Brown territory, scoring 24 pts, so Cleveland making foes earn their points.

Packers (11-2) @ Rams (3-10) — Packers are 5-1-1 vs spread as a favorite (not often an 11-2 team has been favored in only seven of 13 games), 5-1 SU on road, with wins by 22-7-6-11-11 points, losing only at Dallas. One of worst games of Favre’s career was six-INT loss in ’01 playoffs in this dome, but those Rams aren’t these Rams, although St Louis is 4-1 vs spread since 0-8 start (1-7 vs spread). Berlin played OK in rainy NFL debut (17-28/153, no sacks, one INT), but only TD was scored by defense that is showing spunk down stretch for Haslett. Over is 9-3 in last dozen Packer games. Would guess Cheeseheads will buy up lot of seats from apathetic Ram fans; not wise to buck Favre this season.

Jaguars (9-4) @ Steelers (9-4) — Spunky Jax is 4-2 vs spread as dog this season, 4-2 SU on road, losing in Superdome (41-24, with Gray at QB), 28-25 at Indy- they’re 9-1 in last ten outdoor games, so elements of Heinz Field shouldn’t bother them- only two of their four losses are by more than FG. Steelers are 7-0 at home, with two easy road games (Rams, Ravens) to follow- their home wins are by 23-21-21-31-3-3-14 points. In last five weeks, Jags ran ball 44-37-26-31-38 times (avg of 35.2), while Steeler opponents ran ball 18-34-23-23-9 times (avg of 21.8), interesting to see if Jax can establish run game on sloppy track. Jaguars have 3+ TDs in each of last five games; their last seven games went over total.

Jets (3-10) @ Patriots (13-0) —It was reported this week that Patriots had Jet cameraman removed from walkway in game at Foxboro LY, which may have been genesis of Spygate Game in Week 1 this year, which NE won 38-14 (-6), when Pats outrushed Jets 134-60 (TY 431-227), had five sacks, averaged 10.6 yards/ pass attempt. Pats averaged 61.6 yds/drive in low-possession game; they’re 5-1 as home favorite, with wins by 24-31-17-45-3-21. Only two of ten Jet losses are by more than 11 pts (34-3 at Dallas was the other); they’re 4-6 vs spread as dog. Over is 11-2 in Patriot games this year; when I saw spread was around 24, my first thought was, "That’s pretty low", since Belichick might want to hang big number on Jets.

Seahawks (9-4) @ Panthers (5-8) — Really impossible to endorse Carolina squad playing Testaverde’s ghost at QB; they’re 1-6 in last seven games, with five losses by 13+ points, and have been outscored 85-31 in second half of last five games, indicating lack of spunk/grit/heart. Panthers have seven TDs on last 93 drives. Seattle clinched fourth NFC West title in row last week, are making third east coast trip in last four weeks, but have won, covered last five games, though only one of last four wins was by more than seven pts. Hawks have three special teams TDs and another on defense in last seven games; they’ve picked off 11 passes in last three games, and held last six foes to 6.0 or less yards per pass.

Titans (7-6) @ Chiefs (4-9) — Damaging loss for Titans last week, blowing 17-3 lead at home in final 10:00, for fourth loss in last five games- they allowed 105 points in last three road games, after giving up only 37 in first three- they’re 3-4 vs spread as favorite. Chiefs are another team without decent QB; they’re 0-6 since bye (1-5 vs spread), with losses by 11-16-3-3-14-34 points; they’re 2-5 at home, with last home win Oct. 14- they went 3/out ten times in 12 drives at Denver last week, getting outgained 453-129. Over last five games, KC turned ball over 14 times (-10). Chiefs have been outscored 76-14 in second half of last five games- they averaged 19.1/10.8 yards/drive in last two games, not good at all.

Colts (11-2) @ Raiders (4-9) — In last three games, Indy had 21-21-37 points at half, so with Clark back in lineup and Ohio State rookie Gonzalez filling in ably for Harrison, Manning’s passing game is back in gear. Not sure if Oakland will use Russell for part of game (he played second quarter in last home game); Raiders got smoked at Lambeau last week, giving up 445 yards, plus two special teams scores, but they won last two at home, upsetting Chiefs, Denver. Colts are 6-1 on road, with last four wins by 22-24-18-24 points. This is their last road game until likely visit to Foxboro for AFC title game Jan. 20. Last three Indy games, last four Oakland games all went over the total.

Lions (6-7) @ Chargers (8-5) — Free-falling Detroit (lost last five games, giving up 37-42-28 points) visits Charger team playing without Merriman, Neal, two of its key players. Bolts won last three games, rallying from 17-3 deficit to win in OT last week in Nashville- they’re 5-1 at home, with wins by 11-14-25-2-18 pts. Lions are 2-4 on road, with losses by 35-31-10-31 points; they forced only five turnovers in last four games (-1), after forcing 28 in first nine (+7). Interesting to see if LT can run on Detroit defense that allowed just one of last seven foes to rush for more than 100 yards (Vikings had 216 two weeks ago). Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.

Eagles (5-8) @ Cowboys (12-1) — Snakebit Philly lost last three games by total of 10 points; they covered last four road games, are 3-3 SU on foreign soil, with losses at Green Bay (16-13), Giants (16-3), Foxboro (31-28). Dallas (-3) won first meeting 38-17 in Week 9, as Romo was 20-25/324 passing (13 yards/pass attempt). Cowboys scored two of their five TDs on drives that started in Eagle territory, as they had 12-yard edge in field position. Dallas is 6-1 at home, 5-1 as home favorite, with wins by 10-28-10-5-31-10 pts. Eagles have only two INTs in their last seven games. Five of last seven Philly games, five of last six Dallas games went over total.

Redskins (6-7) @ Giants (9-4) — Giants play better on road; visiting team won their last five games. Washington had 10 days to breathe after whirlwind week, with loss to Bills, funeral next day, then win Thursday over Bears, snapping four-game skid, but QB Campbell is out now, leaving reins to 36-year old sub Collins, who makes first start in Swamp, where Giants are just 3-3, losing last two, to Vikings, Dallas. Giants (+3.5) won first meeting 24-17 in Week 3, rallying from 17-3 deficit to take lead, then using late goal line stand to preserve it. Skins were +2 in turnovers, had 15-yard edge in field position in first meeting, still lost. Game has more urgency for Redskins, who play Vikings next week.


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Monday, December 17
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Bears (5-8) @ Vikings (7-6) — Red-hot Minnesota won, covered four in row since 34-0 beating at Lambeau; their defense scored four TDs, allowed four in last three games. Vikes are 4-2 as home favorite, winning last three in Metrodome by 35-17/29-22/42-10 scores (13 TDs on 33 drives), running ball for 378-228-216 yards in those three games. Vikings ran ball for 311 yards first meeting, a dramatic 34-31 win when Grossman rallied Bears from two-TD deficit to tie game late (Chicago averaged 8.0 ypp, highest this year). Tough spot for Orton to make first start in couple years (Grossman is out (knee)); Bears lost three of last four games, are 3-4 on road, 2-3 as road dog, with losses by 11-10-7-8 points.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


Sunday, December 16

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Tips and Trends
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Seattle Seahawks at Carolina Panthers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Seahawks are 3-13-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a win of more than 14 points.
Panthers are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games on grass.
The OVER is 20-8 in Seatte's last 28 games against a losing home team.


Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Bills are 12-2-1 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win.
Browns are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against a winning team.
The UNDER is 24-11 in Buffalo's last 35 games as a road underdog.


Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Titans are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite.
Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Ravens are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Dolphins are 1-15-1 ATS in their last 17 home games against a losing road team.
The UNDER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.


New York Jets at New England Patriots (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Jets are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss.
Jets are 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Patriots are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a SU win of 14+ points.


Arizona Cardinals at New Orleans Saints (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Cardinals are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
Saints are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points.
The OVER is 36-16 in Arizona's last 52 games as a road underdog.


Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Falcons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games against a winning team.
Bucs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against a losing team.
The favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Jags are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as an underdog.
Steelers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points.
The UNDER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.


Green Bay Packers at St. Louis Rams (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Packers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points.
Packers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against a winning team.


Indianapolis Colts at Oakland Raiders (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)

Colts are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
Raiders are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring less than 15 points.
The UNDER is 38-18-4 in Oakland's last 60 games following a SU loss.


Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

Eagles are 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 games as an underdog.
Eagles are 8-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Dallas.
Cowboys are 21-8-2 ATS in their last 31 home games against a losing road team.


Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers (FOX | 4:15 ET)

Lions are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10 points.
Chargers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games as a favorite of 3.5-10 points.
The OVER is 11-4 in Detroit's last 15 road games.


Washington Redskins at New York Giants (NBC | 8:15 ET)

Redskins are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.
Giants are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at New York.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Mismatches

NFL


Saturday, December 15

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NFL mismatches: Where to find the edge in Saturday's game
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Three key mismatches in Bengals-49ers game

Cincinnati Bengals at San Francisco 49ers (+8 ½, 43)

Bengals receivers Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh vs. 49ers’ secondary

Most teams would love to have either Chad Johnson or T.J. Houshmandzadeh at wide receiver. The Bengals have both, a combo that will ensure a hard day’s work for the 49ers’ secondary on Saturday.

Johnson leads the Bengals in receiving yards (1,187) and Houshmandzadeh leads in touchdowns (11). Combined, they have produced a staggering 2,153 yards and 17 touchdowns in just 13 games this season.

Johnson tends to be the go-to guy when Cincinnati is driving and looking for first downs, while Houshmandzadeh is the main target in scoring situations.

Whatever way the Bengals decide to use them, the 49ers will struggle to contain the duo. San Francisco’s pass defense is allowing 217.6 yards per game, and has conceded six passing touchdowns in the last three games.

49ers running back Frank Gore vs. Bengals’ rush defense

A persistent ankle injury has kept Niners running back Frank Gore from matching the dizzying heights he managed last season. But there have been glimpses of his electric power and pace in recent games. Cincinnati’s visit could spark a return to form.

Gore racked up 1,695 rushing yards and nine combined touchdowns last season, but has only run for 781 yards and five touchdowns this time around. He has improved in recent games, notching 116 yards and two TDs against Arizona on Nov. 25. Last week, he ran for 68 yards against Minnesota – the league’s best rush defense.

Cincinnati, meanwhile, has looked far from comfortable defending against the run. It is allowing 116.5 yards per game on the ground to rank 22nd in the league. Six different running backs have broken the 100-yard mark against the Bengals. Cleveland’s Jamal Lewis ran for 215 yards and TD against them on Sept. 10.

Bengals’ pass defense vs. 49ers quarterback Shaun Hill

The Bengals’ much-maligned pass defense has shown improvement in recent games. That trend should continue this week when it will defend against Cincinnati’s third-string quarterback Shaun Hill.

Overall, Cincy’s pass defense is allowing 231.7 yards per game. But for the second straight game, the Bengals will face a third-string QB. Last week it was Brock Berlin of the St. Louis Rams who was kept to 153 yards, no touchdowns and one interception. He was also sacked once.

San Francisco has been forced to throw Hill into the deep end this week following injuries to Alex Smith and Trent Dilfer. The fifth-year veteran has never started an NFL game and has only made three appearances in his entire career. The Niners signed Chris Weinke as cover this week, but the former Panthers backup has been out of football for almost a year.

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[pm530]

National Football League – over/under plays

NFL
Total bias: Week 15 over/under plays


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NFL over/under picks
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Total bias: Week 15 over/under plays

Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns – over 43 ½

The Browns’ big-play receivers should have a field day with the Bills’ mediocre secondary. The Bills will likely put cornerback Terrence McGee on future Pro Bowl receiver Braylon Edwards but there’s not a player in a Buffalo uniform who can match up with Browns tight end Kellen Winslow.

No team gives up more points (27.4) than the Browns. Buffalo will take advantage of Cleveland’s Achilles’ heel with a heavy dose of Marshawn Lynch. Expect the rookie running back to rush for two touchdowns on Sunday.


Washington Redskins at New York Giants – under 36 ½

When I watch the Giants play I get the distinct impression head coach Tom Coughlin doesn’t trust his quarterback. Eli Manning has made too many poor decisions over the last few weeks and that’s led to an even larger role for the running game.

The Redskins aren’t much of a threat with Todd Collins running the show. The career backup looked good last week, but I think that had more to do with a Bears defense sucking wind in the second half.


Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings – under 43 ½

The last time the Bears traveled to Minnesota to play the Vikings, oddsmakers put out a total of 36 and the contest ended in a push. Of course that was when the Bears’ defense still had some bite and the Vikes didn’t have rookie running back Adrian Peterson.

Chicago’s ‘D’ can still get to the quarterback (35 sacks) and you know the Bears would love to knock a division opponent out of postseason contention. Hey, misery loves company.

The Vikings have scored at least 27 points in their last four games but several six-pointers came from defensive scores and special teams’ plays.

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[pm530]

National Football League – Underdogs

NFL
Underdogs


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NFL underdogs: picks
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NFL underdogs: Week 15 picks

Buffalo at Cleveland – Bills +5 ½

You knew this was coming. Surprise, the Bills are pulling a Rodney Dangerfield.

"It's no different than any other week," linebacker Angelo Crowell told reporters. "We've been trying to make a statement around here every week. No one respects us, so we're just back to work.”

That’s the beauty of this Bills club. They could easily be 9-4 if a couple bounces had gone their way and are 8-4-1 against the spread as it is.

The defense has been solid all year and Trent Edwards gives the offense a real spark. I like the Browns a lot, but I’ll take the points with Buffalo. I’ll give them some respect.


Jacksonville at Pittsburgh – Jaguars +3 ½

What would the Jaguars be with a consistent passing attack? A legitimate contender, that’s what.

Reggie Williams is doing his part. The former first-pick started slow and didn’t make much of an impact outside of the red zone until Week 9 when he went off for 128 receiving yards and a touchdown.

Since then he’s become a much more consistent target for David Garrard, going over the middle and moving the chains to get into scoring position instead of waiting for a 12-yard fade route in the back of the end zone.


Washington at New York Giants – Redskins +4 ½

Sometimes tragedies have a way of pulling a team together.

The Redskins lost a heartbreaking 17-16 decision to the Bills just days following Sean Taylor’s death, but rebounded to smoke the Bears 24-16 less than a week later. They pulled out the win even though they lost their starting quarterback, Jason Campbell, to a knee injury in the process.

The 36-year-old backup Todd Collins was efficient in relief and you can expect much of the same this week in a huge game for Washington. He’s not flashy, but he’s a bright guy who’s learned a lot since his last start way back in 1997. He won’t make a mistake that loses the game – he can leave that up to the sloppy Giants.


Last week’s record: 0-3
Season record to date: 20-21-1

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[pm530]

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index

Delaware vs. Appalachian State
The Mountaineers go for their third straight Division I-AA title behind exciting Armanti Edwards, who set a QB record last week by rushing for 313 yards in a 55-35 win over Richmond. But the Blue Hens have a solid QB of their own in Joe Flacco, who has led Delaware to back-to-back road upsets over Northern Iowa and Southern Illinois. The Blue Hens should give Appalachian State a battle tonight and look like a good underdog pick (+8 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+8 1/2). Here are all of this year's bowl games.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 14

Game 291-292: Delaware vs. Appalachian State
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 84.304; Appalachian State 84.488
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+8 1/2)


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 20

Game 303-304: Navy vs. Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 82.940; Utah 92.340
Dunkel Line: Utah by 9 1/2; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 8; 66
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-8); Under


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 305-306: Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 74.549; Memphis 75.987
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 1 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3; 67
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+3); Over


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 22

Game 309-310: Southern Mississippi at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 82.077; Cincinnati 97.871
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 16; 53 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 11; 56
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-11); Under

Game 311-312: Nevada vs. New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 86.090; New Mexico 86.684
Dunkel Line: Even; 58
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+3 1/2); Under

Game 313-314: UCLA vs. BYU
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 95.600; BYU 98.610
Dunkel Line: BYU by 3; 50
Vegas Line: BYU by 7; 47
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+7); Over


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 23

Game 341-342: East Carolina vs. Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 84.667; Boise State 99.423
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 15; 64
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10 1/2; 72
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10 1/2); Under


WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 26

Game 401-402: Central Michigan vs. Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 81.392; Purdue 85.522
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 4; 75
Vegas Line: Purdue by 9; 72
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+9); Over


THURSDAY, DECEMBER 27

Game 403-404: Texas vs. Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 96.683; Arizona State 99.483
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 3; 68
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+2 1/2); Over


FRIDAY, DECEMBER 28

Game 405-406: Michigan State vs. Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 99.341; Boston College 97.258
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2; 60
Vegas Line: Boston College by 3 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+3 1/2); Over

Game 407-408: TCU vs. Houston
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 95.433; Houston 83.788
Dunkel Line: TCU by 11 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: TCU by 3 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-3 1/2); Over

Game 409-410: Maryland vs. Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 97.194; Oregon State 98.854
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 1 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 4 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+4 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, DECEMBER 29

Game 413-414: Connecticut vs. Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 95.073; Wake Forest 93.060
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 3 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+3 1/2); Over

Game 415-416: Central Florida vs. Mississippi State
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 87.201; Mississippi State 90.690
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 3; 60
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+3); Under

Game 417-418: Penn State vs. Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 97.908; Texas A&M 96.335
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Penn State by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+6); Under


SUNDAY, DECEMBER 30

Game 449-450: Colorado vs. Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 93.541; Alabama 93.507
Dunkel Line: Even; 56
Vegas Line: Alabama by 4; 51
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+4); Over


MONDAY, DECEMBER 31

Game 451-452: Air Force vs. California
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 95.982; California 95.318
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: California by 4; 54
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+4); Under

Game 453-454: Oregon vs. South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 95.990; South Florida 97.318
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: South Florida by 7; 52
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (+7); Over

Game 455-456: Fresno State vs. Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 88.248; Georgia Tech 90.721
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 457-458: Florida State vs. Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 94.005; Kentucky 96.901
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 3; 52
Vegas Line: Pick; 56
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky; Under

Game 459-460: Indiana vs. Oklahoma State
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 85.280; Oklahoma State 97.061
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 12; 60
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 4; 69
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-4); Under

Game 461-462: Auburn vs. Clemson
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 95.786; Clemson 99.817
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 4; 52 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-1 1/2); Over


TUESDAY, JANUARY 1

Game 463-464: Wisconsin vs. Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 98.299; Tennessee 97.478
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 1; 62
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 4; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+4); Over

Game 465-466: Arkansas vs. Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 101.992; Missouri 104.454
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3 1/2; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3 1/2); Over

Game 467-468: Michigan vs. Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 95.120; Florida 107.493
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Florida by 9 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-9 1/2); Over

Game 469-470: Texas Tech vs. Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 97.229; Virginia 94.831
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 2 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 5 1/2; 60
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+5 1/2); Under

Game 471-472: Illinois vs. USC
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 95.302; USC 105.428
Dunkel Line: USC by 10; 46
Vegas Line: USC by 13 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+13 1/2); Under

Game 473-474: Hawaii vs. Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 99.289; Georgia 103.503
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 4; 64
Vegas Line: Georgia by 9; 69
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+9); Under


WEDNESDAY, JANUARY 2

Game 475-476: West Virginia at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 107.094; Oklahoma 109.453
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 2 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+7); Under


THURSDAY, JANUARY 3

Game 477-478: Kansas vs. Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 108.046; Virginia Tech 108.374
Dunkel Line: Even; 57
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+3 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, JANUARY 5

Game 483-484: Ball State vs. Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 83.401; Rutgers 91.494
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 10; 60
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+10); Under


SUNDAY, JANUARY 6

Game 489-490: Bowling Green vs. Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 83.544; Tulsa 84.741
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1; 69
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 5; 76
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+5); Under


MONDAY, JANUARY 7

Game 491-492: Ohio State vs. LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 109.014; LSU 112.040
Dunkel Line: LSU by 3; 54
Vegas Line: LSU by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (+6); Over

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[pm530]

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet


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Thursday, December 20
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NAVY (8 - 4) vs. UTAH (8 - 4) - 12/20/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTAH is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
UTAH is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NAVY is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
NAVY is 48-19 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
NAVY is 51-21 ATS (+27.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
NAVY is 97-67 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 97-67 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, December 21
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FLA ATLANTIC (7 - 5) vs. MEMPHIS (7 - 5) - 12/21/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, December 22
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SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 5) vs. CINCINNATI (9 - 3) - 12/22/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEVADA (6 - 6) at NEW MEXICO (8 - 4) - 12/22/2007, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UCLA (6 - 6) vs. BYU (10 - 2) - 12/22/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
UCLA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Sunday, December 23
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E CAROLINA (7 - 5) vs. BOISE ST (10 - 2) - 12/23/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 49-19 ATS (+28.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 55-32 ATS (+19.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
E CAROLINA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday, December 26
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (8 - 5) vs. PURDUE (7 - 5) - 12/26/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
PURDUE is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, December 27
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (9 - 3) vs. ARIZONA ST (10 - 2) - 12/27/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Friday, December 28
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (7 - 5) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (10 - 3) - 12/28/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TCU (7 - 5) vs. HOUSTON (8 - 4) - 12/28/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (6 - 6) vs. OREGON ST (8 - 4) - 12/28/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, December 29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (9 - 3) vs. WAKE FOREST (8 - 4) - 12/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CONNECTICUT is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCF (10 - 3) vs. MISSISSIPPI ST (7 - 5) - 12/29/2007, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (8 - 4) vs. TEXAS A&M (7 - 5) - 12/29/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a bye week since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, December 30
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (6 - 6) vs. ALABAMA (6 - 6) - 12/30/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
ALABAMA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, December 31, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AIR FORCE (9 - 3) vs. CALIFORNIA (6 - 6) - 12/31/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
AIR FORCE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
CALIFORNIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
CALIFORNIA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 32-55 ATS (-28.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (8 - 4) vs. S FLORIDA (9 - 3) - 12/31/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (8 - 4) vs. GEORGIA TECH (7 - 5) - 12/31/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (7 - 5) vs. KENTUCKY (7 - 5) - 12/31/2007, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (7 - 5) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 6) - 12/31/2007, 5:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AUBURN (8 - 4) vs. CLEMSON (9 - 3) - 12/31/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday, January 1, 2008
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (9 - 3) vs. TENNESSEE (9 - 4) - 1/1/2008, 11:00 AM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS (8 - 4) vs. MISSOURI (11 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (8 - 4) vs. FLORIDA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2008, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (8 - 4) vs. VIRGINIA (9 - 3) - 1/1/2008, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (9 - 3) vs. USC (10 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (12 - 0) vs. GEORGIA (10 - 2) - 1/1/2008, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wednesday, January 2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (10 - 2) vs. OKLAHOMA (11 - 2) - 1/2/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday, January 3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (11 - 1) vs. VIRGINIA TECH (11 - 2) - 1/3/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 46-75 ATS (-36.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 25-48 ATS (-27.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 39-59 ATS (-25.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
VIRGINIA TECH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 32-9 ATS (+22.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
KANSAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, January 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BALL ST (7 - 5) vs. RUTGERS (7 - 5) - 1/5/2008, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, January 6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (8 - 4) vs. TULSA (9 - 4) - 1/6/2008, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, January 7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (11 - 1) vs. LSU (11 - 2) - 1/7/2008, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Thursday, December 20th

SDC Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl
San Diego, California
TV: ESPN
Navy vs. Utah, 9:00 ET

Navy:
6-1 Over off a conference game
9-2 Over after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Utah:
10-2 ATS off 3+ conference games
23-9 ATS playing with rest


Friday, December 21st

R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: ESPN2
Florida Atlantic vs. Memphis, 8:00 ET

Florida Atlantic:
6-1 Over off an Over
6-0 Over in the second half of the season

Memphis:
3-12 ATS off BB conference wins
2-14 ATS after scoring 42+ points


Saturday, December 22nd

PapaJohns.com Bowl
Birmingham, Alabama
TV: ESPN2
Southern Miss vs. Cincinnati, 1:00 ET

Southern Miss:
0-6 ATS as an underdog
6-16 ATS off a SU win / ATS loss

Cincinnati:
12-2 ATS off an ATS win
5-1 ATS off a win by 21+ points

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New Mexico Bowl
Albuquerque, New Mexico
TV: ESPN
Nevada vs. New Mexico, 4:30 ET

Nevada:
7-0 Under away after scoring 42+ points
9-1 Under away off 3+ conference games

New Mexico:
0-9 ATS after allowing 6 or less points
1-8 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

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Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl
Las Vegas, Nevada
TV: ESPN
UCLA vs. BYU, 8:00 ET

UCLA:
9-1 ATS as an underdog
8-1 ATS off a conference loss

BYU:
10-2 Under playing on a neutral field
29-14 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points


Sunday, December 23rd

Sheriton Hawaii Bowl
Honolulu, Hawaii
TV: ESPN
East Carolina vs. Boise State, 8:00 ET

East Carolina:
14-4 Under after winning 3 of their last 4 games
12-5 Under off BB conference games

Boise State:
41-12 ATS off BB conference games
18-3 ATS with a total of 63+ points


Wednesday, December 26th

Motor City Bowl
Detroit, Michigan
TV: ESPN
Central Michigan vs. Purdue, 7:30 ET

Central Michigan:
14-5 ATS playing on artificial turf
10-2 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Purdue:
9-0 Under off BB losses
16-6 Under off a conference game


Thursday, December 27th

Pacific Life Holiday Bowl
San Diego, California
TV: ESPN
Texas vs. Arizona State, 8:00 ET

Texas:
13-3 ATS off 3+ Overs
10-2 ATS after allowing 525+ total yards

Arizona State:
11-2 Under away off a home game
12-4 Under away off a conference game


Friday, December 28th

Champs Sports Bowl
Orlando, Florida
TV: ESPN
Michigan State vs. Boston College, 5:00 ET


Michigan State:
6-16 ATS off a conference game
6-16 ATS off BB games with combined scores of 60+ points

Boston College:
12-4 Under playing on grass fields
21-9 Under away off an ATS loss

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas Bowl
Houston, Texas
TV: NFL
TCU vs. Houston, 8:00 ET

TCU:
10-1 ATS off BB conference wins
16-5 ATS after having 275+ rushing yards

Houston:
6-0 Under off an ATS loss
6-0 Under away off a combined score of 60+ points

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Emerald Bowl
San Francisco, California
TV: ESPN
Maryland vs. Oregon State, 8:30 ET

Maryland:
17-3 Under after scoring 37+ points
14-4 Under after committing 0 turnovers

Oregon State:
10-2 ATS off a conference win by 7 or less points
12-3 ATS off BB conference games


Saturday, December 29th

Meineke Car Care Bowl
Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: ESPN
Connecticut vs. Wake Forest, 1:00 ET

Connecticut:
8-1 ATS off a road loss
21-8 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents

Wake Forest:
16-6 Under vs. non-conference opponents
8-2 Under off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers

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AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Memphis, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Central Florida vs. Mississippi State, 4:30 ET

Central Florida:
6-1 Under off a conference win
7-0 Under after allowing 325+ passing yards

Mississippi State:
16-30 ATS off an Under
1-5 ATS off a home win

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Valero Alamo Bowl
San Antonio, Texas
TV: ESPN
Penn State vs. Texas A&M, 8:00 ET

Penn State:
16-5 Under away vs. non-conference opponents
22-9 Under off a combined score of 60+ points

Texas A&M:
1-12 ATS after gaining 525+ total yards
4-14 ATS away playing with rest


Sunday, December 30th

PetroSun Indepedence Bowl
Shreveport, Louisiana
TV: ESPN
Colorado vs. Alabama, 8:00 ET

Colorado:
10-1 Over after scoring 50+ points
6-0 Over after allowing 325+ passing yards

Alabama:
3-11 ATS as a favorite
0-6 ATS off BB losses


Monday, December 31st

Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl
Fort Worth, Texas
TV: ESPN
Air Force at California, 12:30 ET

Air Force:
7-1 ATS off a straight up win
13-3 ATS away playing with 2+ weeks rest

California:
0-7 ATS off BB conference games
2-10 ATS off a straight up loss

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Brut Sun Bowl
El Paso, Texas
TV: CBS
Oregon vs. South Florida, 2:00 ET

Oregon:
16-6 ATS off a home loss
9-2 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

South Florida:
9-2 Under after winning 2 of their last 3 games
5-1 Under off BB conference wins

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Roady's Humanitarian Bowl
El Paso, Texas
TV: ESPN2
Fresno State vs. Georgia Tech, 2:00 ET

Fresno State:
20-8 Over playing on artificial turf
22-10 Over off an Under

Georgia Tech:
1-9 ATS off BB Overs
1-5 ATS off a home game

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl
Nashville, Tennessee
TV: ESPN
Florida State vs. Kentucky, 4:00 ET

Florida State:
6-1 ATS after allowing 37+ points
5-1 ATS off 3+ games forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

Kentucky:
11-3 Under playing with 2+ weeks rest
12-2 Under off BB conference losses

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Insight Bowl
Tempe, Arizona
TV: NFL
Indiana vs. Oklahoma State, 5:30 ET

Indiana:
4-15 ATS off 5+ games committing 2+ turnovers
1-5 ATS off a home win by 3 or less points

Oklahoma State:
13-3 Over off an ATS loss
5-1 Over off BB road games

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Chick-fil-A Bowl
Atlanta, Georgia
TV: ESPN
(TC) Auburn vs. Clemson, 7:30 ET


Auburn:
6-1 ATS as an underdog
5-1 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Clemson:
9-2 Under in bowl games
16-6 Under after winning 4 of their last 5 games


Tuesday, January 1st

Outback Bowl
Tampa, Florida
TV: ESPN
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee, 11:00am ET


Wisconsin:
10-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
39-22 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

Tennessee:
5-1 Under off BB games with 40+ pass attempts
8-3 Under off 3+ conference games

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AT&T Cotton Bowl
Dallas, Texas
TV: FOX
Arkansas vs. Missouri, 11:30am ET

Arkansas:
7-1 ATS off BB games allowing 31+ points
15-4 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points

Missouri:
24-7 Over after committing 1 or 0 turnovers
7-3 Over off a loss by 21+ points

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Capital One Bowl
Orlando, Florida
TV: ABC
Michigan vs. Florida, 1:00 ET

Michigan:
0-5 ATS after having 100 or less rushing yards
3-7 ATS off a straight up loss

Florida:
9-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
6-1 ATS off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Gator Bowl
Jacksonville, Florida
TV: CBS
Texas Tech vs. Virginia, 1:00 ET

Texas Tech:
0-8 ATS away off a conference win
0-7 ATS away off an ATS win

Virginia:
10-2 Under off a straight up loss
8-1 Under after having 100 or less rushing yards

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Rose Bowl presented by Citi
Pasadena, California
TV: ABC
Illinois vs. USC, 4:30 ET

Illinois:
7-1 ATS off a straight up win
10-2 ATS away after scoring 37+ points

USC:
9-2 Under as a favorite
7-1 Under off a conference game

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sugar Bowl
New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: FOX
Hawaii vs. Georgia, 8:30 ET

Hawaii:
7-1 Under off 7+ wins
6-1 Under playing on artificial turf

Georgia:
17-5 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
21-9 ATS away off an Under


Wednesday, January 2nd

Tostitos Fiesta Bowl
Glendale, Arizona
TV: FOX
West Virginia vs. Oklahoma, 8:00 ET


West Virginia:
8-1 ATS away off an ATS loss
6-0 ATS off BB games having 125 or less passing yards

Oklahoma:
8-1 Under away off 3+ conference games
14-4 Under as a neutral field favorite


Thursday, January 3rd

FedEx Orand Bowl
Miami, Florida
TV: FOX
Kansas vs. Virginia Tech, 8:00 ET

Kansas:
3-12 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
25-48 ATS off a conference loss

Virginia Tech:
7-1 ATS off a conference game
15-5 ATS in the second half of the season


Saturday, January 5th

International Bowl
Toronto, Canada
TV: ESPN2
Ball State vs. Rutgers, 12:00 ET


Ball State:
9-1 ATS off an ATS loss
6-1 ATS off a win by 6 or less points

Rutgers:
10-4 Over off BB conference games
4-1 Over playing with 2+ days rest


Sunday, January 6th

GMAC Bowl
Mobile, Alabama
TV: ESPN
Bowling Green vs. Tulsa, 8:00 ET

Bowling Green:
19-8 ATS off a home win by 17+ points
16-6 ATS after allowing 3 or less first-half points

Tulsa:
0-6 ATS after allowing 37+ points
0-8 ATS after having 475+ total yards


Monday, January 7th

BCS Championship Game
New Orleans, Louisiana
TV: FOX
Ohio State vs. LSU, 8:00 ET

Ohio State:
12-1 ATS off an Under
10-2 ATS off a road game

LSU:
1-5 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
1-5 ATS off an ATS loss

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------