Saturday Trends and Indexes 11/24

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, November 24

Good Luck on day #328 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Saturday

College football trends to ponder for Week 12 ..........

-- Home side is 7-1-1 vs spread in Oklahoma-Oklahoma St games

-- Visitor is 12-3 vs spread in BYU-Utsh series.

-- Miami covered two of last seven as double digit dog.

-- Fresno State covered two of last eleven home games.

-- Visitor covered four of last five Apple Cup (Washington- Washington State) games.

-- UCLA covered 12 of 14 in game following last 14 losses.

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[pm530]

Saturday's List of 13: Wrapping up interesting couple days

13) Arkansas 50, LSU 48 in OT. The SEC should have games on a separate cable tier, not the NFL. An amazing game.

12) Someone has to explain to me why Houston Nutt is going to get fired; they win more they lose in a brutal league, they are imaginative and fun to watch. Why is he getting fired?

11) Does Darren McFadden ever get tred? Ever? They should be engraving his name on the Heisman Trophy right now.

10) Kudos to ESPN for creating the two 8-team tournaments in Anaheim and Kissimmee; great TV and not lot of travel for the teams involved. I spend 10 days each summer in the Milk House, watching summer basketball, so its neat to watch the college kids playing there.

9) I remember watching South Carolina's Devan Downey play, with all twelve SEC coaches watching on Court 3; only empty seat was next to me, and Tubby Smith sat down. Good guy. Have feeling he'll be lot happier in Minnesota. Colder, too.

8) Team like Chattanooga gets TV exposure from events like these; Mocs have kid named McDowell who can really shoot.

7) ESPN has Steve Physioc working games, excellent hire; he was voice of Pac-10 games on FOX Sports for years, and also does Angel games during the summer.

6) The Reds gave closer Cordero $46M for four years? They are that sure they're going to have so many leads to protect?

5) Texas A&M's win puts Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game, although with LSU losing, Sooners now have realistic shot at the national title, too. Interesting to see how ratings play out after all this weekend's results are in.

4) Dennis Franchione quit after the game, which sets dominos in effect in the coaching tree; Tommy Tuberville would be the key name in A&M's search, which opens Auburn job, and so on and so forth...........

3) I had no idea Central Florida's enrollment was 46,700; they are the biggest university in all of Florida. Who knew?

2) Tennessee-West Virginia hoop game on Versus was good TV, except for one thing: Vols wore orange, WVa wore gold, which makes for confusing TV. Lot of money in the programs neither one of them has a set of white uniforms?

1) At some point next week, we'll have first stat listings of the young basketball season, with pace, adjusted defensive stats available. The first three weeks of the season are really about learning about teams and who has what this season.

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[pm530]

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index


SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 24

Game 127-128: South Florida at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 102.338; Pittsburgh 86.427
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 16; 44
Vegas Line: South Florida by 10; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-10); Under

Game 129-130: Connecticut at West Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 93.439; West Virginia 111.159
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 18; 48
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 17; 51
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-17); Under

Game 131-132: UTEP at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 68.017; Central Florida 92.855
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 25; 71
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 18; 76
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-18); Under

Game 133-134: Missouri vs. Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 113.319; Kansas 111.748
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 1 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Kansas by 2; 68
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (+2); Under

Game 135-136: Duke at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 72.059; North Carolina 90.609
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 18 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 14; 47
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-14); Over

Game 137-138: Wake Forest at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 90.966; Vanderbilt 93.292
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 2 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+2); Over

Game 139-140: Maryland at North Carolina State
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 91.905; North Carolina State by 89.638
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 2; 50
Vegas Line: North Carolina State by 2 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+2 1/2); Over

Game 141-142: Cincinnati at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 102.324; Syracuse 77.680
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 25; 47
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 19 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-19 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Clemson at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 101.427; South Carolina 92.771
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 9; 56
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3; 52
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-3); Over

Game 145-146: Buffalo at Kent
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 71.209; Kent 66.746
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Kent by 1 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2); Under

Game 147-148: Tulane at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 79.147; East Carolina 80.080
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 1; 59
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 13; 63
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+12 1/2); Under

Game 149-150: Tennessee at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 100.502; Kentucky 97.961
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 3; 63
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Under

Game 151-152: Miami (OH) at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 80.496; Ohio 76.436
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 4; 49
Vegas Line: Ohio by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+2 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: Utah at BYU
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 101.406; BYU 100.899
Dunkel Line: Utah by 1; 48
Vegas Line: BYU by 4 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+4 1/2); Over

Game 155-156: SMU at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 68.448; Memphis 80.991
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 12 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Memphis by 7 1/2; 70
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7 1/2); Under

Game 157-158: Tulsa at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 84.013; Rice 75.797
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 8; 78
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 12; 82
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+12); Under

Game 159-160: Oregon at UCLA
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 104.156; UCLA 99.036
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Oregon by 2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-2); Over

Game 161-162: Alabama at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 94.895; Auburn 94.189
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 1; 48
Vegas Line: Auburn by 6; 45
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+6); Over

Game 163-164: Georgia at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 103.199; Georgia Tech 94.025
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 9; 52
Vegas Line: Georgia by 3 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-3 1/2); Over

Game 165-166: Utah State at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 69.590; Idaho 67.436
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 2; 57
Vegas Line: Idaho by 2 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+2 1/2); Under

Game 167-168: Florida State at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 90.627; Florida 108.077
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Florida by 13 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-13 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: Oklahoma State at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 96.807; Oklahoma 110.215
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 13 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 11; 67
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-11); Under

Game 171-172: Nevada at San Jose State
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 81.317; San Jose State 80.498
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1; 58
Vegas Line: Nevada by 3 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 173-174: Ball State at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 83.401; Northern Illinois 65.416
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 18; 59
Vegas Line: Ball State by 8; 57
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-8); Over

Game 175-176: UAB at Marshall
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 61.097; Marshall 79.036
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 18; 52
Vegas Line: Marshall by 14 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-14 1/2); Under

Game 177-178: Kansas State at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 83.298; Fresno State 90.932
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 7 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 1; 66
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+1); Under

Game 179-180: UNLV at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 73.542; New Mexico 90.620
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 17; 52
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 10 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-10 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: Washington State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 90.885; Washington 93.111
Dunkel Line: Washington by 2 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Washington by 6; 63
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+6); Under

Game 183-184: Temple at Western Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 71.795; Western Michigan 77.311
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 11 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+11 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Miami (FL) at Boston College
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 87.920; Boston College 101.354
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 13 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Boston College by 14 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+14 1/2); Over

Game 187-188: Virginia Tech at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 102.997; Virginia 103.480
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 1; 43
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 3 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+3 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: Notre Dame at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 85.625; Stanford 83.059
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 2 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Stanford by 3 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+3 1/2); Under

Game 191-192: TCU at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 97.904; San Diego State 81.956
Dunkel Line: TCU by 16; 46
Vegas Line: TCU by 10 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-10 1/2); Under

Game 193-194: Arkansas State at Southern Mississippi
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 68.475; Southern Mississippi 85.331
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 17; 52
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 13; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-13); Under

Game 195-196: UL-Monroe at UL-Lafayette
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 71.728; UL-Lafayette 72.391
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 1; 57
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 3; 61
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (+3); Under

Game 197-198: Florida Atlantic at Florida International
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 71.032; Florida International 60.513
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 10 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 11 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+11 1/2); Over

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[pm530]

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet


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Saturday, November 24
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S FLORIDA (8 - 3) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 6) - 11/24/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (9 - 2) at W VIRGINIA (9 - 1) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTEP (4 - 7) at UCF (8 - 3) - 11/24/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSOURI (10 - 1) vs. KANSAS (11 - 0) - 11/24/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games this season.
KANSAS is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
KANSAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KANSAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
MISSOURI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
MISSOURI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
MISSOURI is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KANSAS is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
KANSAS is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DUKE (1 - 10) at N CAROLINA (3 - 8) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WAKE FOREST (7 - 4) at VANDERBILT (5 - 6) - 11/24/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-0 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 1-0 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (5 - 6) at NC STATE (5 - 6) - 11/24/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (8 - 3) at SYRACUSE (2 - 9) - 11/24/2007, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (8 - 3) at S CAROLINA (6 - 5) - 11/24/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (4 - 7) at KENT ST (3 - 8) - 11/24/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
KENT ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
KENT ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
KENT ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULANE (4 - 7) at E CAROLINA (6 - 5) - 11/24/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 50-74 ATS (-31.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (8 - 3) at KENTUCKY (7 - 4) - 11/24/2007, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI OHIO (6 - 5) at OHIO U (5 - 6) - 11/24/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (8 - 3) at BYU (8 - 2) - 11/24/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 38-18 ATS (+18.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 83-59 ATS (+18.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SMU (1 - 10) at MEMPHIS (6 - 5) - 11/24/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
MEMPHIS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TULSA (8 - 3) at RICE (3 - 8) - 11/24/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-1 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 1-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (8 - 2) at UCLA (5 - 5) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UCLA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 32-12 ATS (+18.8 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OREGON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 0-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (6 - 5) at AUBURN (7 - 4) - 11/24/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (9 - 2) at GEORGIA TECH (7 - 4) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
GEORGIA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
GEORGIA is 43-24 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (1 - 10) at IDAHO (1 - 10) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IDAHO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (7 - 4) at FLORIDA (8 - 3) - 11/24/2007, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA ST (6 - 5) at OKLAHOMA (9 - 2) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (5 - 5) at SAN JOSE ST (4 - 7) - 11/24/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALL ST (6 - 5) at N ILLINOIS (2 - 9) - 11/24/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UAB (2 - 9) at MARSHALL (2 - 9) - 11/24/2007, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 2-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 2-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS ST (5 - 6) at FRESNO ST (6 - 4) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UNLV (2 - 9) at NEW MEXICO (7 - 4) - 11/24/2007, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (4 - 7) at WASHINGTON (4 - 7) - 11/24/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEMPLE (4 - 7) at W MICHIGAN (4 - 7) - 11/24/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (5 - 6) at BOSTON COLLEGE (9 - 2) - 11/24/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA TECH (9 - 2) at VIRGINIA (9 - 2) - 11/24/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 30-9 ATS (+20.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NOTRE DAME (2 - 9) at STANFORD (3 - 7) - 11/24/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (6 - 5) at SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 6) - 11/24/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS ST (5 - 6) at SOUTHERN MISS (6 - 5) - 11/24/2007, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA MONROE (5 - 6) at LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 8) - 11/24/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAFAYETTE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 5) vs. FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 10) - 11/24/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet


Saturday, November 24th

South Florida at Pittsburgh, 12:00 EST
South Florida: 0-6 ATS off BB conference wins
Pittsburgh: 9-2 Under off a SU loss / ATS win

Connecticut at West Virginia, 12:00 EST
Connecticut: 14-3 ATS off an Under
West Virginia: 5-1 Under off BB wins

UTEP at Central Florida, 12:00 EST
UTEP: 1-9 ATS in November
Central Florida: 6-1 Under off BB games with a combined score of 60+ points

Missouri at Kansas, 12:00 EST
Missouri: 7-1 Over off a win
Kansas: 10-0 ATS this season

Duke at North Carolina, 12:00 EST
Duke: 1-8 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
North Carolina: 10-3 Under off an Over

Wake Forest at Vanderbilt, 12:00 EST
Wake Forest: 6-1 ATS off BB Overs
Vanderbilt: 7-0 Under off a conference game

Maryland at NC State, 12:00 EST
Maryland: 10-3 ATS off ATS losses in 4 of their last 5 games
NC State: 1-8 ATS off 3+ conference games

Cincinnati at Syracuse, 12:00 EST
Cincinnati: 8-1 ATS off an Under
Syracuse: 2-8 ATS as an underdog

Clemson at South Carolina, 12:00 EST
Clemson: 6-1 Under off ATS wins in 4 of their last 5 games
South Carolina: 6-16 ATS at home off BB ATS losses

Buffalo at Kent State, 1:00 EST
Buffalo: 12-4 ATS off an Under
Kent State: 0-7 ATS off 4+ losses

Tulane at East Carolina, 1:00 EST
Tulane: 6-16 ATS off an Over
East Carolina: 10-2 ATS off an Under

Tennessee at Kentucky, 1:00 EST
Tennessee: 7-1 ATS off BB home games
Kentucky: 6-1 Under off BB road games

Miami OH at Ohio U, 2:00 EST
Miami OH: 5-1 ATS off an Under
Ohio U: 3-12 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

Utah at BYU, 2:00 EST
Utah: 7-0 ATS off 3+ conference games
BYU: 11-2 Over off a conference win by 10+ points

SMU at Memphis, 2:00 EST
SMU: 7-1 Under off a conference home loss
Memphis: 1-6 ATS off a home win

Tulsa at Rice, 3:00 EST
Tulsa: 1-8 ATS after scoring 37+ points
Rice: 28-10 ATS as a home underdog

Oregon at UCLA, 3:30 EST
Oregon: 11-3 Over as a road favorite of 7 points or less
UCLA: 16-4 ATS as a home underdog

Alabama at Auburn, 3:30 EST
Alabama: 4-14 ATS off an Under
Auburn: 6-1 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points

Georgia at Georgia Tech, 3:30 EST
Georgia: 17-6 ATS vs. ACC opponents
Georgia Tech: 1-8 ATS off BB Overs

Utah State at Idaho, 3:30 EST
Utah State: 5-1 ATS in road games
Idaho: 0-7 ATS at home off a road loss

Florida State at Florida, 3:30 EST
Florida State: 4-16 ATS away off 3+ conference games
Florida: 6-0 ATS at home off a home game

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma, 3:30 EST
Oklahoma State: 4-12 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
Oklahoma: 6-1 ATS off a loss as a road favorite

Nevada at San Jose State, 4:00 EST
Nevada: 11-2 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
San Jose State: 20-3 Under vs. conference opponents

Ball State at Northern Illinois, 4:00 EST
Ball State: 10-2 ATS in road games
Northern Illinois: 2-9 ATS off a road game

UAB at Marshall, 4:30 EST
UAB: 6-14 ATS off a conference game
Marshall: 6-1 Under vs. conference opponents

Kansas State at Fresno State, 5:00 EST
Kansas State: 30-16 ATS off a conference loss
Fresno State: 0-6 ATS off a road loss

UNLV at New Mexico, 5:30 EST
UNLV: 3-11 ATS as a road underdog
New Mexico: 5-1 Under off a conference game

Washington State at Washington, 6:30 EST
Washington State: 12-1 ATS after forcing 0 turnovers
Washington: 1-8 ATS at home off 3+ conference games

Temple at Western Michigan, 7:00 EST
Temple: 8-2 Under as an underdog
Western Michigan: 8-0 ATS off a win as an underdog

Miami FL at Boston College, 7:30 EST
Miami FL: 0-7 ATS off an Over
Boston College: 6-1 ATS as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points

Virginia Tech at Virginia, 7:30 EST
Virginia Tech: 11-2 ATS in road games
Virginia: 8-19 ATS after scoring 24+ first-half points

Notre Dame at Stanford, 8:00 EST
Notre Dame: 27-11 Over after allowing 14 points or less
Stanford: 2-9 ATS in home games

TCU at San Diego State, 9:00 EST
TCU: 9-1 ATS off 3+ conference games
San Diego State: 5-15 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games


Added Games:

Arkansas State at Southern Miss, 3:00 EST
Arkansas State: 7-20 ATS off a home win
Southern Miss: 26-11 Under off a road game

Louisiana Monroe at Louisiana Lafayette, 7:00 EST
LA Monroe: 12-3 Over off an ATS win
LA Lafayette: 2-9 ATS off BB ATS wins

Florida Atlantic at Florida International, 7:00 EST
Florida Atl: 2-8 ATS in November
Florida Int: 5-1 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points

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[pm530]

College Football – Write up

NCAAF
Write-up


Weekend’s Games

Top Ten Games

West Virginia won last three games vs UConn by average of 23 points (3-0 ATS); Mountaineers are 3-1 as home favorite in '07, won last five games overall, scoring 38 ppg. That said, UConn is 17-point dog despite its 9-2 record (losses 17-16 at Virginia, 27-3 at Cincinnati, in their last two road games); they're 4-1 vs spread as underdog in '07. West Virginia is playing to impress pollsters

Kansas, Missouri are arch-rivals having dream seasons; this is at neutral Arrowhead (KC) after Kansas sold game. Missouri is 8-2 vs spread, Kansas 10-0 (9-0 as favorite)- Tigers were dog in only one game this year, their only loss (41-31 (+10.5)). The last four Mizzou games went over total. In their last three games, KU scored 76-43-45 points. Mizzou scored 30+ points in each game.

Vanderbilt needs win to be bowl eligible for first time since 1982; they blew 24-9 4th-quarter lead last week in 25-24 loss to Vols. Wake is bowl eligible after beating NC State last week; they are 2-3 on road this year, 4-3 vs spread as favorite- could be a down spot for them, while this is huge game for Commodores. Five of last six Vandy games stayed under the total. Vandy is 3-4 as the underdog this season.

Tennessee needs win to make SEC title game; Kentucky hasn't beaten Vols since '84, but outgained UT by 74 yards LY in 17-12 loss, so they're confident, eager here. UK lost last two at home, (allowing 45-31 points) three of four overall, while Vols won four in row, with two nailbiters in there. Both sides have senior QBs. Tennessee is 0-3 against spread as dog, getting outscored by a 62-17 margin in second half of those three games.

Alabama lost last three games, including 21-14 loss to Sun Belt's UL-Monroe last week, will be long winter for Tide should it lose to hated rival Auburn, which is 7-4, had last week off, but is off 45-20 loss to Georgia in last game. Underdog is 15-3 vs spread in series, home side 3-9. For some reason, Auburn plays better on road. Alabama still needs a win to ensure going to bowl this yr.

Georgia won last five games, covered three of last four, but this is just their fourth true road game (2-1, with both wins by three, at Bama, Vandy). Dawgs won last six in series (4-1-1 vs spread), with visitor covering seven of last nine in series. Tech won four of last five games, despite allowing 24-25 points in last two; GT is 3-0 vs spread as dog this season-- underdog is 9-1 vs spread in their games in 2007.

Oklahoma gets to Big 12 title game with win here; Bradford was cleared to play after his concussion. Sooners are 1-6 vs spread in last seven games, losing in Lubbock last week- they're 4-2 as home favorite this year; six of their nine wins are by 28+ points. OSU is 3-2-1 as dog this season; they're 2-3 on road, losing by 21-1-18 points. Sooner RB Murray likely hurt after injury late in last week's loss to Texas Tech.

Virginia Tech just beat Florida State, Miami at home, now has to go road to face Virginia squad that won nine of last ten games, is 5-0 vs spread as dog this season, had bye last week. Winner here plays BC in the ACC title game next week. Cavaliers are 5-0 at home, with three wins by five or less points. Hokies won last three games, by 24-19-30 points; they covered last three on road

Rest of the Card

-- South Florida makes another trip north, to play on field likely to be chopped up (they play HS games there). Pitt is 2-6 in last eight games, but four of six losses are by seven or less points. Bulls are 3-2 on road; they scored 33-41-55 in last three games.

-- Central Florida won last five games (4-1 vs spread), averaging 43.8 ppg; they're 4-1 vs spread at home, 4-3 as favorite. UTEP is on five-game skid, allowing 45 ppg; before that, in their last two wins, they gave up 45-47 points. Miners are 6-1 as underdog.

-- North Carolina won 16 of last 17 vs Duke, but Blue Devils are 3-1 vs spread in last four. UNC lost four of last five games, are 2-8 vs D-I foes, winning by 6-3 pts. Duke lost to 2-9 Notre Dame by three TDs last week; they're 0-5 vs spread in last five games.

-- Underdog covered 16 of last 21 NC State-Maryland games, as winner here becomes bowl eligible. NC State had its 4-game win streak snapped at Wake last week. Terps lost four of its last five games- they're 3-5 as underdog. Winner becomes bowl eligible.

-- Cincinnati covered five of last seven in series, which has had low-scoring games; Bearcats are 5-10 in last 15 tries as road fave Syracuse lost six of last seven games, losing last two by total of 71-17. Orange is 1-5 vs spread at Carrier Dome so far this year.

-- South Carolina lost last four games, allowing 99 points in last two games; Clemson lost to BC last week, missed being in ACC title game next week, so heat back on Bowden, as usual. Visitor is 14-4 vs spread in series, with Clemson 5-1 vs spread last six.

-- Buffalo lost last four road games, by 21-35-8-3 points; they're 1-3 in last four games overall, but are +7 in turnovers the last six games, so they've gotten better. Kent lost last six games (0-6 vs spread); they're 0-3 at home this season vs I-A opponents.

-- East Carolina is 0-5 when it scores less than 34 points; they've won games by 3-2-14-3-35-16 pts (2-3 as favorite). Tulane has a great RB (Forte); they scored 79 points in winning last two tilts, are 5-2 vs spread in last seven tries as dog (3-1 as road dog).

-- Miami makes MAC title game with win; they won last week on defensive TD, 7-0, are 5-2 in its last seven games, after 1-3 start. Ohio hasn't played in 17 days; they're +7 in turnovers last three games, after being -13 in previous four, so they've gotten better.

-- Underdog is 12-2 vs the spread in BYU-Utah series, and Utah is on serious roll, winning last seven games, covering its last six, with all seven wins by 7+ pts. BYU also won seven in row; they are 1-3 vs spread in last four lined games; they're 21 for last 33 on third down conversions, so they're making plays.

-- Memphis won four of last five games; last week was first time they beat I-A foe by more than three points in '07. SMU covered three of last four road games; they've lost last nine games, with last seven opponnets averaging 39.4 ppg. Mustangs are 3-4 as an underdog this season.

-- Tulsa coach Graham bolted Rice after one year, after leading Owls to bowl in his first year as HC; they meet up again here, as Tulsa won last four games, scoring 50.8 ppg in last three. Owls covered four of last five as dog, but gave up 48-42-45 points in last three games. This game should mean lot to Rice players.

-- Oregon lost QB and national title hopes last week; Ducks are 7-2 vs spread as fave this year, 3-1 SU on road. UCLA covered last six tries as road dog; erratic Bruins are 12-2 vs spread in last 14 games that followed a loss. No idea who will QB Bruins, who were down to 4th-stringer (converted WR) in last game.

-- Utah State got first win of year when it upset New Mexico St last week; Aggies covered five of last seven games. Underdog covered four of last five series games. Idaho lost last nine in a row (1-7 vs spread in last eight). Vandals are 0-1 as fave in '07.

-- Florida is 5-10-1 vs spread as double digit fave under Meyer; Seminoles covered last three tries as double digit dog. Gators won last three in this series: 20-13/34-7/21-14. FSU won three of last four games; they're 2-3 on road this year, losing by 6-3-19.

-- Favorite covered last seven San Jose-Nevada games, with the Wolf Pack winning, covering last five meetings. Nevada lost at end to Hawai'i last week; four of their last five games were won by three or less points. San Jose is 2-6 as underdog this season.

-- Ball State is +8 in turnovers last four games; they picked off 11 passes in last five, covered three of last four tries as favorite. Northern Illinois lost six of last seven games, covered last two; they're 3-4-1 as dog. NIU won seven of last ten series games.

-- UAB is depleted team, giving up 39.4 ppg during its five-game losing streak; they allowed average of 299.3 rushing yards/game over last six weeks. Marshall covered only previous try this year as favorite; their only wins this season are by 34-21/26-7 scores.

-- Fresno covered just two of last 11 home games; they had bye last week, while Kansas State is playing fourth road game in last six weeks. Wildcats gave up 31-73-49 points in losing last three tilts. Fresno scored a special teams TD in its last three games.

-- Last four New Mexico-UNLV games were all decided by four or less points. Lobos are 0-5 vs spread last five games (3-2 SU, with all three wins by three points). Rebels are 3-6-1 vs spread in last ten tries as double digit road dog- they lost last seven in a row SU overall (2-5 against the spread).

-- Visitor covered four of last five Apple Cups, but hard to give nod to Wazzu (five losses by 21+ points), even though Coogs covered three of last four as dog. U-Dub won two of last three after six-game skid; they're 2-1 as favorite. Bonnell led Huskies' win over Cal last week, with starter Locker out (neck).

-- Western Michigan won at Iowa last week, ending three-game skid, gaining shocking 489 yards; home side covered their last four games vs Temple. Owls are 6-3 vs spread as dog this year; their last six games all stayed under total. Temple is 4-2 SU in its last six games, after an 0-5 start.

-- Miami lost last two games by combined 92-14 margin, so trip to chilly northeast not expected to provoke inspired effort from 'canes, who haven't lost to BC since Flutie days. Eagles are in ACC title game next week, so this game means revenge, thats it.

-- Stanford lost last three games, scoring total of 32 points; they have Harbaugh's first Big Game next week, are favored here for first time since Week 2 (37-0 vs San Jose, -7.5). Notre Dame won last week, they're 2-9, 2-2 as road dog. This is their first game on road since October 6, believe it or not.

-- San Diego State covered three of last four games, but gave up 569 rushing yards in 55-23 loss at Air Force last week- they lost 52-0 at TCU LY; total yardage in game was 624-87. Frogs are 6-5, but five of their six wins are by 12+ pts. Aztecs are 5-4 as a dog.

-- Arkansas State needed 27-yard TD pass with :02 left to beat North Texas last week, after UNT had lost 74-62 week before, so ASU is struggling (1-3 vs spread in last four as dog). Southern Miss beat ASU 31-19 in bowl two years ago; they're 4-2 in last six tries as fravorite this season.

-- UL-Monroe won at Alabama last week, now is road favorite in series where visitor is 10-1 vs spread (underdog is 9-0). Monroe is 4-1-1 vs spread in last six games, 0-1-1 as favorite. Lafayette is 3-4-1 as dog; they scored 72 points in winning last two games, both on road, so both sides come into rivalry game on a high.

-- Florida Atlantic won four of last five vs Florida International; FIU still hasn't won game in '07- they're 2-4-1 vs spread in their last seven games. FAU is 2-4 in last six games, with wins by 7-3 points; they're 0-2-1 vs spread in last three tries as a favorite.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football - Tips & Trends

NCAAF
Tips and Trends


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, November 24

#8 Virginia Tech at #16 Virginia (ESPN2 | 12 PM ET)

Virginia is the only ACC to own an unbeaten home mark this season, and the Cavs are also 7-0 following a bye week under head coach Al Groh. BIG EDGE: VIRGINIA
Virginia Tech still doesn't know whether Sean Glennon or Tyrod Taylor will start at QB. Glennon beat the Cavs last year, but Taylor might be a better option due to his running ability against Virginia's pass rush. EDGE: VIRGINIA TECH
Virginia Tech is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.
Virginia Tech is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 Conference games.
Virginia is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog.
Virginia is 23-11 ATS in its last 34 home games.
The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Miami (Fla.) at #14 Boston College (ESPN | 12 PM ET)

The Hurricanes have won the last 15 meetings with Boston College since former Eagles legend Doug Flutie launched his Hail Mary pass to beat them back in 1984. BC has not earned double-digit wins since finishing 11-0 in 1940. EDGE: MIAMI
Miami must win this game to become bowl eligible, as the 'Canes have earned a postseason bid every year since 1997. They have not lost at BC since 1975. EDGE: MIAMI
BC has already clinched a berth in the ACC title game, but head coach Jeff Jagodzinski said he will play his starters in an effort to earn a victory in the team's home finale.. "I'm not going to put guys at risk, but we do want to win this ballgame," Jagodzinski said. Senior QB Matt Ryan agreed with those sentiments. "We've got an important game this weekend," Ryan said. "It's the last game at home for a lot of seniors. It's a lot of fun and I think we'll prepare well this week." EDGE: BC
Miami-Florida is 3-13-1 ATS in its last 17 Conference games.
Miami-Florida is 7-19-1 ATS in its last 27 games overall.
Boston College is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 home games.
Boston College is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games against a losing road team.
The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


#18 Tennessee at Kentucky (CBS | 1:30 PM ET)

Tennessee has won the last 22 meetings with Kentucky and must win this game in order to gain a berth in the SEC championship game. If the Vols lose, Georgia will play LSU for the title. BIG EDGE: TENNESSEE
The Wildcats would love nothing more than to end that long series skid and finish the season on a positive note. A victory for Kentucky would also likely mean an upgraded bowl game for the seniors, including QB Andre Woodson, the SEC's leader in passing yards and touchdowns. "It's significant going into the last week of Kentucky football that we can determine who the SEC East champion will be," Kentucky head coach Rich Brooks said. EDGE: KENTUCKY
Tennessee is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games as a small underdog.
Tennessee is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games overall.
Kentucky is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games overall.
Kentucky is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against a winning team.
The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.


#20 Connecticut at #3 West Virginia (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

West Virginia controls its own destiny for the Big East title and automatic berth in the BCS. The Mountaineers play their last two games at home and can take a big step toward their goal by beating the Huskies. "That's the only goal we talk about much - capturing the Big East championship," West Virgina head coach Rich Rodriguez said. "Now we're to the point that we can say this game is for the Big East championship. It is." EDGE: WEST VIRGINIA
UConn has lost its last two road games and will have a hard time stopping West Virginia's vaunted rushing attack. The Huskies have one of the Big East's top pass defenses, but they are giving up 125.9 yards per game on the ground. EDGE: WEST VIRGINIA
UConn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall.
UConn is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games as a road underdog.
West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 Conference games.
West Virginia is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games as a home favorite.
The OVER is 14-5 in West Virginia’s last 19 games on turf.


#7 Georgia at Georgia Tech (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

The Bulldogs will clinch a spot in the SEC title game if Tennessee loses at Kentucky, and they could also improve their chances for an at-large BCS bid even if the Vols win by knocking off their intrastate rivals. "Our guys understand that," Georgia head coach Mark Richt said. "They understand we'll be in a very good position to have a BCS opportunity if we win, regardless of what happens in the Kentucky-Tennessee game. And just playing Georgia Tech is plenty of motivation for our guys to get ready to play." EDGE: GEORGIA
The key to Georgia's five-game winning streak since losing at Tennessee has been the strong play of freshman RB Knowshon Moreno, who has totaled 766 yards and nine touchdowns during that stretch. EDGE: GEORGIA
Georgia is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 games against a winning team.
Georgia is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games against the ACC.
Georgia Tech is 9-3-2 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games.
Georgia Tech is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS loss.
The road team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.


#9 Oregon at UCLA (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

Even with Dennis Dixon out for the season and a national championship dream dashed, Oregon still has plenty at stake in its final two regular season games. "The national championship thing was fine while it lasted," Oregon coach Mike Bellotti said. "The reality is we're still always trying to get the conference championship and the very best bowl game (the Rose Bowl)." Backup QB Brady Leaf, is expected to start. Leaf, the brother of NFL bust Ryan Leaf, is 30-for-61 for 231 yards with no touchdowns in six games this season. He doesn't have near the mobility Dixon possesses, and Oregon actually runs a different form of the offense because of this. EDGE: UCLA
The Bruins were idle last week and most recently lost 24-20 at home to No. 9 Arizona. UCLA only has one win in their last five contests, and due to injuries they will turn once again to their fourth QB Osaar Rasshan. He brings more ability to the offense, but has thrown a touchdown pass yet on the season. The Bruins have averaged just 18.0 points in their last five games as well. EDGE: OREGON
With Leaf at the helm, look for Oregon to give the ball to their RB Jonathan Stewart, who leads the Pac-10 with 1,273 yards rushing. The Bruins defense has been not stopping many running games at all, allowing 184 rushing yards per game over their last three. BIG EDGE: OREGON
Oregon is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games following a SU loss.
Oregon is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall.
UCLA is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games against a winning team.
UCLA is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 home games.
The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Notre Dame at Stanford (ESPN2 | 3:30 PM ET)

Notre Dame got their second win on the year against a very weak Duke team. Dame has had one of the worst seasons in school history, but on the bright side at least their offense looks to be coming around. The Fighting Irish is averaging 32 points per game over their last three, and now they face a Stanford defense which is getting shredded to the tone of 472 yards per game of their last three. EDGE: NOTRE DAME
As much as Notre Dame’s offense has been coming around, Stanford’s has been going the other way. The Cardinals are averaging just 11 points over their last three games, and QB Tavita Pritchard has even thrown a touchdown pass in those games. EDGE: NOTRE DAME
Notre Dame is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games overall.
Notre Dame is 7-16 ATS in its last 23 non-conference games.
Stanford is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games.
Stanford is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games overall.
The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.


Kansas State at Fresno State (ESPN | 3:30 PM ET)

Kansas State, members of the Big 12 Conference, at one point had a chance to make some noise in league play, but since blowing apart Baylor in late October the squad has fallen on hard times. KSU has dropped three straight decisions and is now a game below .500. On a good note the Wildcats passing attack checks in with 288 yards per game to rank fifth in the conference and 18th in the nation. This is good news for them, as they will face a Fresno State defense which has been good at times, but was the last of the 119 Football Bowl Subdivision programs to record an interception. EDGE: KANSAS STATE
The strength of this Fresno State offense this season has been the running game, one that is averaging 196 yards per game to this point – producing 31 points per game. Kansas State allowed 73 points to a mysterious Nebraska program two weeks ago and also got lit up by Missouri last week. As a result, the unit is permitting 30 points per game to rank 77th in the country. EDGE: FRESNO STATE
Kansas State is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 road games.
Kansas State is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 non-conference games.
Fresno State is 17-6-1 ATS in its last 24 games following an ATS win.
Fresno State is 3-23-1 ATS in its last 27 games following a SU loss.
The OVER is 21-6 in Kansas State’s last 27 games following a SU loss.


Florida State at #12 Florida (CBS | 5 PM ET)

Florida State enters this game winners of three out of their last four to improve their record to 7-4. When playing Florida you have to be aware of QB Tim Tebow as a duel threat. The Seminoles are ranked 15th in rushing yards and linebacker Geno Hayes boldly predicted that "Tim Tebow is going down." SLIGHT EDGE: FLORIDA STATE
While Florida State focuses on stopping the run, Florida might lean more heavily on its passing game, which could benefit from the return of wide receiver Percy Harvin. Harvin's return would give Florida its full complement of wide receivers for the first time in two months, and FSU has allowed close to 300 passing yards per game over their last three. EDGE: FLORIDA
Florida State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog.
Florida State is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games following a SU win.
Florida is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 non-conference games.
Florida is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite of 10.5+ points.
The home team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.


#22 Clemson at South Carolina (ESPN2 | 7 PM ET)

Clemson's heartbreaking home loss last week denied the Tigers a spot in the ACC championship game. Now, their challenge is to find the motivation to close their regular season with a win over their in-state archrival. Clemson coach Tommy Bowden will now look to get his team to put aside its disappointment and focus on South Carolina - something he thinks his team won't have trouble doing because of the opponent."It's going to be tough but we need to get the players to bounce back; It's a big game to a lot of people," Bowden said. "But it is a rivalry game and I know our team will be motivated." EDGE: CLEMSON

South Carolina comes into this contest playing its worst football of the season. The Gamecocks, losers of four in a row, were off last week, and with six wins, they are no lock for a bowl. South Carolina has allowing 99 points combined in their last last two games, and coach Steve Spurrier has said "We're just not a really good team right now." EDGE: CLEMSON
Clemson is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games against the SEC.
Clemson is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as a small favorite.
South Carolina is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games against a winning team.
South Carolina is 0-6 ATS in the last 6 games as a small underdog.
The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.


#4 Missouri at #2 Kansas (ABC | 8 PM ET)

These Big 12 archrivals are not only positioned for a shot at the conference title, but also perhaps a chance for the first national championship in school history. Missouri is lead by quarterback and Heisman Trophy contender Chase Daniel, and the offense ranks sixth nationally with 42.5 points per game and fourth with 506.3 yards per contest. Daniel said “This is a big game because we have made it that way”, and looks to build on his numbers from last season contest where the Tigers dominated the Jayhawks 42-17. Chase Daniel threw for 356 yards and four scores without an interception. EDGE: MISSOURI
Kansas, meanwhile, is second with 45.8 points per game and seventh with 500.2 yards per game, and QB Todd Reesing is tied with Daniel for third in the country with 30 TD passes. Kansas has proven to have to fire-power to make this a battle of offenses."At this point, we're going out there every week taking care of business, and we’ll do it again” according to Reesing. EDGE: KANSAS
Missouri is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games overall.
Missouri is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against a winning team.
Kansas is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games following an ATS win.
Kansas is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games.


Alabama at Auburn (ESPN | 8 PM ET)

Auburn has owned its bitter Iron Bowl rivalry with Alabama over the last five years. Auburn has had a week off to prepare for the Crimson Tide, and have good at home scoring 29 points per game with 361 total yards on average. Alabama’s defense hasn’t been to good of last either allowing 26 points per game over their last three which includes a loss in each of those contests. EDGE: AUBURN
Alabama certainly appears to be regressing in Saban's first season at the helm. They have lost three straight, including an embarrassing one to Louisiana-Monroe. Good news is Alabama will be getting five players back for this game - starting offensive linemen Antoine Caldwell and Marlon Davis and No. 2 rusher Glen Coffee, along with reserve defensive backs Chris Rogers and Marquis Johnson. The Crimson Tide will need those players to step up, as their offense has only scored a combined 26 points over their last two games, and are now facing a Tigers defense who leads the SEC in points allowed and rank second in total defense. EDGE: AUBURN
Alabama is 8-22-2 ATS in its last 32 games after scoring less then 20 points previously.
Alabama is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games overall.
Auburn is 21-10-1 ATS in its last 32 conference games.
Auburn is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games as a favorite.
The road team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

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[pm530]

College Football – Cheat Sheet

NCAAF
NCAAF cheat sheet


College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet

Saturday, November 24

Miami at Boston College (-14 ½)

Why Hurricanes cover: Miami has won 15 straight games against Boston College, covering the spread in four of the last five. The Hurricanes haven’t lost in Chestnut Hill since 1975.

Why Eagles cover: BC quarterback Matt Ryan is sixth in the nation in passing yards (3,585) and 18th in touchdown passes (25). The Eagles are 5-2 against ACC opponents this season. The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings between these teams.

Total (47): The over is 7-1 in the Eagles’ last eight games as a favorite.

Virginia Tech at Virginia (+ 3 ½)

Why Hokies cover: Virginia Tech has won and covered in three straight games against its in-state rival. The Hokies have also covered in three straight games overall, and boast the fifth-ranked defense (289.4 yards per game).

Why Cavaliers cover: Virginia is the only unbeaten home team in the ACC. Running back Mikell Simpson has 319 yards rushing and six touchdowns in his last four games. The Cavaliers rank 10th in the nation in points allowed per game this season (17.5).

Total (39): The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the Hokies and the Cavaliers.

Tennessee at Kentucky (-3)

Why Volunteers cover: Tennessee has won 23 straight games against Kentucky. In last season’s win, Volunteers quarterback Eric Ainge was 19-of-33 for 240 yards and a touchdown. The Vols have covered in three of their last four games.

Why Wildcats cover: Quarterback Andre Woodson is first in the conference in yards (2,921) and touchdowns (30), and threw for 268 yards and one TD last week. The Wildcats have covered in three of their last four against Tennessee.

Total (63 ½): The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these teams.

Utah at Brigham Young (-4 ½)

Why Utes cover: Utah has outscored its opponents 105-13 in its last three contests, winning (and covering) all of them. Have covered the spread in six straight games overall, and three straight against Brigham Young.

Why Cougars cover: Brigham Young is averaging 452.9 yards and 30.9 points per game behind sophomore QB Max Hall this season. He has thrown seven touchdowns and one interception in his last three contests, all wins for the Cougars.

Total (45): The under is 4-1 in the last five games between these teams at Brigham Young.

Oregon at UCLA (+1 ½)

Why Ducks cover: Oregon has won, and covered the spread, in five of its last six meetings with UCLA. The Ducks are 8-2 ATS this season, and are fifth in the nation in total offense (505.8 yards per game).

Why Bruins cover: Oregon will be without star quarterback Dennis Dixon, who picked up a season-ending injury in the shock defeat to Arizona last week. UCLA is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 conference games.

Total (50 ½): The under is 5-1 in the Ducks’ last six games overall.

Georgia at Georgia Tech (+ 3 ½)

Why Bulldogs cover: Freshman tailback Knowshon Moreno has totaled 766 yards and nine touchdowns in Georgia’s last five games. The Bulldogs have won five straight contests, covering in three of their last four.

Why Yellow Jackets cover: Running back Tashard Choice, who leads the ACC with 1,176 yards rushing, ran for a combined 312 yards in the recent victories over Duke and North Carolina. He also ran for 146 yards and a touchdown in GT’s 15-12 loss to Georgia last year.

Total (46): The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between Georgia and Georgia Tech.

Oklahoma State at Oklahoma (-11 ½)

Why Cowboys cover: Oklahoma could be without its starting QB and top rusher this week. RB Demarco Murray picked up a knee injury last week and is definitely out, while quarterback Sam Bradford suffered a concussion and is doubtful. The Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against a team with a winning record.

Why Sooners cover: Oklahoma has won, and covered the spread, in three of its last four against Oklahoma State. Tailbacks Allen Patrick and Chris Brown ran for a combined 237 yards and three TDs against the Cowboys last season.

Total (67 ½): The under is 12-3-1 in Oklahoma’s last 16 conference games.

Connecticut at West Virginia (-17)

Why Huskies cover: UConn is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall. The Huskies are allowing just 14.3 points per game, the third-best record in the nation.

Why Mountaineers cover: West Virginia has won all four of its home games this season and 25 of its last 28 at home. They have won, and covered, in three straight games against the Huskies.

Total (50 ½): The under is 5-1 in the Huskies’ last six games overall.

Florida State at Florida (-14)

Why Seminoles cover: Florida State ranks 15th in the nation in rush defense, allowing just 99.5 yards per game. The Seminoles have won, and covered the spread, in three of their last four games.

Why Gators cover: Quarterback Tim Tebow is the first player in NCAA history to have 20 touchdowns in the air and on the ground in the same season. The Gators have scored 159 points in their three November wins, compiling 1,536 total yards in those games.

Total (57 ½): The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams.

Clemson at South Carolina (+2 ½)

Why Tigers cover: Clemson is 5-1 ATS in its last six games against South Carolina and 4-1 ATS in its last five overall. The Tigers rank fifth in the nation in total defense (293.1 yards per game) and are holding opponents just 18.1 points per contest.

Why Gamecocks cover: Quarterback Blake Mitchell has thrown for at least 290 yards in each of South Carolina’s last three games. That includes 316 passing yards (and a touchdown) in the Nov. 10 loss to Florida.

Total (52): The over is 4-1 in the Gamecocks’ last five games against a team with a winning record.

Alabama at Auburn (-6)

Why Crimson Tide cover: Alabama will get starting offensive linemen Antoine Caldwell and Marlon Davis back from suspension for this game. The Crimson Tide are 5-1 ATS in their last six games at Auburn.

Why Tigers cover: The Tigers lead the SEC in points allowed (17.3) and rank second in total defense (305.0). They have covered the spread in two consecutive meetings with the Crimson Tide.

Total (45): The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams.

Missouri at Kansas (-2 ½)

Why Tigers cover: Missouri is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games overall. The Tigers rank fourth in the nation in total defense (506.3 yards per game). Heisman Trophy candidate quarterback Chase Daniel has thrown for 3,590 yards and 30 TDs this season.

Why Jayhawks cover: Kansas is the only team in the country with a perfect ATS record (10-0), and has also covered the spread in three of its last four against Missouri. Kansas is averaging 45.8 points per game behind quarterback Todd Reesing. The sophomore has 2,905 yards and 30 TDs for the season.

Total (68 ½): The over is 6-0 in Missouri’s last six road games.

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[pm530]

College Football - Gameday

NCAAF
Gameday


Saturday, November 24

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NCAAF Gameday
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College Football Gameday

There are big college football teams in action on Saturday afternoon, but the game of the day takes place in Kansas City at night. Here is your college football gameday.


No. 8 Virginia Tech Hokies vs. No. 16 Virginia Cavaliers
Hokies -3.5, Total 38.5 (12:00pm ET)

The Hokies might be ahead of the Cavaliers in the rankings, but they're tied in the standings of the ACC's Coastal Division. That means the winner of this huge matchup on Saturday will move on to the conference's title game against Boston College - and get a shot at an Orange Bowl berth. Virginia Tech (9-2 overall) trounced Miami last time out, getting two rushing touchdowns from Brandon Ore in a 44-14 victory. Sean Glennon completed 13-of-24 pass attempts for 171 yards and a TD in that contest for the Hokies. Virginia's last game was also against Miami - and it was also a big rout. The Cavaliers got two TDs from Mikell Simpson in a 48-0 win over the Hurricanes. Jamell Sewell went 20-of-25 for 288 yards in that victory, with one TD pass and an INT. Overall the Hokies are 5-5 ATS on the season, and the Cavaliers are 5-6 ATS this year.


No. 9 Oregon Ducks vs. UCLA Bruins
Ducks -2, Total 50.5 (3:30pm ET)

The Ducks' chances to win this game against the Bruins looked much better before Dennis Dixon went down with a knee injury. Now Dixon is gone for the rest of the season, and Oregon will turn to Brady Leaf this weekend against UCLA. The Ducks fell out of the national title hunt with a 34-24 upset loss to Arizona last time out. Dixon went 5-of-8 for 62 yards before leaving that game, while Leaf completed 22-of-46 pass attempts for 163 yards and was picked off twice. Dixon and Andre Crenshaw rushed for Ducks TDs in the loss. The Bruins are coming off a 24-20 loss to Arizona State, which put them at 5-5 overall on the season and left them on the fringes of bowl eligibility. Craig Sheppard ran for 56 yards and a touchdown for UCLA in that loss. The Bruins are hoping that QB Ben Olson (knee) will be able to return from injury for this big matchup. UCLA is 6-4 against-the-spread this season, while Oregon has gone 8-2 ATS this year.


No. 20 Connecticut Huskies vs. No. 4 West Virginia Mountaineers
Mountaineers -17, Total 50.5 (3:30pm ET)

The Huskies and Mountaineers be battling for top spot in the Big East when they meet on Saturday afternoon. Connecticut is currently 5-1 in conference play this season, while West Virginia is right behind them at 4-1 (the Huskies are 9-2 overall, while the Mountaineers are 9-1). Connecticut got themselves in this position (and moved up five spots in the rankings) by knocking off Syracuse 30-7 last time out. Tyler Lorenzen went 16-of-24 for 213 yards for the Huskies in that contest, with one touchdown pass and no interceptions. Donald Brown ran for 99 yards and a score off 22 carries. West Virginia is coming off a more impressive win - they slipped past ranked Cincinnati 28-23. The Mountaineers got 155 yards and two touchdowns on the ground from QB Patrick White in that contest, and another 103 yards and a score from Steve Slaton. Connecticut has been kind to their supporters this year, going 8-2 ATS. The Mountaineers are 6-3 ATS.


No. 3 Missouri Tigers vs. No. 2 Kansas Jayhawks
Jayhawks -2.5, Total 68.5 (8:00pm ET)

The No. 2 Jayhawks and the No. 3 Tigers will not only be meeting to decide the Big 12 North title on Saturday night, but the winner will also remain in the picture for the national championship. Kansas and Missouri are a combined 21-1 this season (the Jayhawks are undefeated at 11-0), and they've been beating up on their divisional opponents this year. Kansas cruised to a 45-7 win over Iowa State last time out, getting a 253-yard, four-touchdown performance from QB Todd Reesing. Dexton Fields had two TD catches in the first quarter against the Cyclones, while Marcus Henry started the second quarter with a TD grab. Missouri rolled past Kansas State 49-32 in their last outing, with Tony Temple running for 75 yards and a touchdown. Tigers quarterback Chase Daniel had a big day as well, going 28-of-41 for 284 yards with four TD strikes. Missouri is 8-2 against-the-spread on the season, while Kansas is a very lucrative 10-0.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index


SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 25

Game 199-200: Denver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 131.773; Chicago 130.697
Dunkel Line: Denver by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Chicago by 2 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+2 1/2); Under

Game 201-202: Tennessee at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 127.902; Cincinnati 131.705
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 4; 45
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+2); Under

Game 203-204: Buffalo at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 130.096; Jacksonville 136.677
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 6 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 7 1/2; 36
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+6 1/2); Over

Game 205-206: Oakland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 125.388; Kansas City 128.466
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 3; 37
Vegas Line: Kansas City by 6; 34 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+6); Over

Game 207-208: Houston at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 129.663; Cleveland 127.999
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+3 1/2); Over

Game 209-210: Seattle at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 130.938; St. Louis 123.062
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 8; 40
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 45
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-3); Under

Game 211-212: Minnesota at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 127.649; NY Giants 136.204
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 8 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: NY Giants by 7; 41
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (-7); Over

Game 213-214: New Orleans at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 126.406; Carolina 128.508
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 2; 38
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+3); Under

Game 215-216: Washington at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 125.835; Tampa Bay 136.493
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 10 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 38
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3); Over

Game 217-218: San Francisco at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 115.797; Arizona 132.837
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 17; 41
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 38
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-10); Over

Game 219-220: Baltimore at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 122.195; San Diego 138.216
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 16; 45
Vegas Line: San Diego by 9; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-9); Over

Game 221-222: Philadelphia at New England
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 128.278; New England 158.994
Dunkel Line: New England by 30 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: New England by 22; 50
Dunkel Pick: New England (-22); Over


MONDAY, NOVEMBER 19

Game 223-224: Miami at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 122.486; Pittsburgh 139.708
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 17; 37
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 16; 41
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-16); Under

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, November 25
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DENVER (4 - 5) at CHICAGO (4 - 6) - 11/25/2007, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TENNESSEE (6 - 3) at CINCINNATI (3 - 7) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (5 - 5) at JACKSONVILLE (7 - 3) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OAKLAND (2 - 8) at KANSAS CITY (4 - 6) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
OAKLAND is 21-47 ATS (-30.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 5-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (5 - 5) at CLEVELAND (6 - 4) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SEATTLE (6 - 4) at ST LOUIS (2 - 8) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (4 - 6) at NY GIANTS (7 - 3) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY GIANTS are 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 18-38 ATS (-23.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (4 - 6) at CAROLINA (4 - 6) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 70-43 ATS (+22.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (5 - 5) at TAMPA BAY (6 - 4) - 11/25/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 8) at ARIZONA (5 - 5) - 11/25/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
ARIZONA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 4-1 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALTIMORE (4 - 6) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 5) - 11/25/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
BALTIMORE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (5 - 5) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 0) - 11/25/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Monday, November 26
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MIAMI (0 - 10) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 3) - 11/26/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing on Monday night since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet


Sunday, November 25th

Denver at Chicago, 1:00 EST
Denver: 4-14 ATS vs. NFC North opponents
Chicago: 14-4 ATS vs. AFC West opponents

Tennessee at Cincinnati, 1:00 EST
Tennessee: 4-1 ATS playing on artificial turf
Cincinnati: 2-10 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Buffalo at Jacksonville, 1:00 EST
Buffalo: 5-1 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Jacksonville: 15-4 Over off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Oakland at Kansas City, 1:00 EST
Oakland: 8-25 ATS off 3+ ATS losses
Kansas City: 22-10 Under vs. conference opponents

Houston at Cleveland, 1:00 EST
Houston: 1-8 ATS away off a home game
Cleveland: 11-0 ATS after allowing 30+ points

Seattle at St. Louis, 1:00 EST
Seattle: 15-5 Over off a home win
St. Louis: 18-5 ATS after allowing 14 points or less

Minnesota at NY Giants, 1:00 EST
Minnesota: 14-3 Under off a straight up win
NY Giants: 21-40 ATS in November

New Orleans at Carolina, 1:00 EST
New Orleans: 11-3 Over as a road favorite of 3 points or less
Carolina: 0-6 ATS off a road loss

Washington at Tampa Bay, 1:00 EST
Washington: 5-1 ATS off a division loss
Tampa Bay: 1-8 ATS off BB wins

San Francisco at Arizona, 4:05 EST
San Francisco: 1-7 ATS vs. conference opponents
Arizona: 9-1 Over off BB games scoring 25+ points

Baltimore at San Diego, 4:15 EST
Baltimore: 0-7 ATS vs. conference opponents
San Diego: 5-0 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points

Philadelphia at New England, 8:15 EST NBC
Philadelphia: 3-7 ATS off a home win
New England: 8-1 ATS off a straight up win


Monday, November 26th

Miami at Pittsburgh, 8:30 EST ESPN
Miami: 0-9 ATS off a road loss
Pittsburgh: 10-2 ATS at home on Monday nights

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Week 12 NFL schedule

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Sunday, November 25
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Broncos (5-5) @ Bears (4-6) — Road trip after Monday night win (third road game in last four weeks) usually tough duty, but Broncos won last two games, scoring 27-34 points- they ran ball for 141-166 yards, ending four-game stretch where they ran ball for average of just 74.3 ypg. Chicago’s last six opponents ran ball for over 100 yards. Bears lost last three home games, giving up 28 pg; they’re -11 in turnovers at home in ’07 (+4 on road), turning ball over 15 times in those four home games. Denver is 4-0 when they pick off 2+ passes in game, 1-5 when they don’t (sluggish 15-14 win at Buffalo in Week 1 only exception) Eight of last nine Denver games went over total.

Titans (6-4) @ Bengals (3-7) — Haynesworth’s injury makes Titans vulnerable to run; they allowed 166-166 rushing yards in last two games, after allowing average of 68.1 ypg in first eight. Road game after Monday night road loss is tough spot for Fisher’s crew, but Titans have big edge on defense here, still ranking 2nd in NFL in yards allowed per game. Cincy is only NFL team allowing 6.0+ yards/play; they’ve 30th in NFL in points allowed (27.9), 31st in yards allowed (383.2/g). Titans turned ball over 10 times in last three games (-8), not good. Bengals allowed 24+ points in eight of last nine games; they’re 1-3 in last four home games, allowing 31 pg.

Bills (5-5) @ Jaguars (7-3) — Buffalo is 2-2 on road, beating sorry Jets, Dolphins, losing at Steelers (26-3), Patriots (38-7); they got whacked 56-10 at home by Pats last week, ending four-game win streak (and 5-0-1 run vs spread). How do they bounce back from that? Jags won three of last four games, have trip to Indy on deck- they’re only one game behind Colts in AFC South. Bills are 1-5 when they allow more than 14 points- they scored total of just 7.7 pg in three games on natural grass (16.2 on turf). Jaguars scored 24+ in each of last four games, scoring even when backup QB Gray was under center. Three of four Buffalo road games stayed under the total.

Vikings (4-6) @ Giants (7-3) — Minnesota needs to run ball to win; in their last three wins (3-3 since bye), they ran ball for 311-378-228 yards (in losses, 131-105-86). Shaky QB play makes it harder, yet more necessary to run it well; Vikings are 1-15 on third down last two games- last time they started same QB who started week before was month ago (Week 7). Giants won seven of last eight games after 0-2 start, losing only to Dallas; teams haven’t run that much on them, since they’ve been ahead (average of just 19.2 runs against them the last five weeks). Vikings are 1-3-1 vs spread as road dog, with away losses by 3-3-10-34 points. Over is 4-1 in Giants’ ’07 games in Swamp.

Raiders (2-8) @ Chiefs (4-6) — Oakland is 0-6 since its bye, losing by 14-2-4-7-11-7 points; they lost first meeting to Chiefs 12-10 in Week 7 at Coliseum, with KC outrushing them 126-55. Raiders are 1-4 on road, 2-3 as road dog, with away losses by 3-14-4-7 points. Chiefs are 0-3 since their bye, losing by 11-16-3 points; they lost three of last four at home. RB Johnson is banged up and Holmes is talking retirement- KC averaged less than six yards/pass attempt six games in row- their QB’s were sacked 18 times in last five games. Chiefs have only five TD’s all season on drives of less than 70 yards- they have one TD on 23 drives in their last two games. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Oakland games.

Texans (5-5) @ Browns (6-4) — Over is 9-1 in Cleveland games this season, with only one of last nine totals under 47; their last three games were all decided by three points- clearly, the most exciting team in NFL. Texans won last two games, have Schaub/ Johnson back in lineup (averaged 9.5/84 ypp last two games); they’re 2-3 on road, 2-2 as road dog, with away losses by 10-20-25 points. Browns won last four home games, scoring 38 pg (13 TDs/41 drives), but last week in Baltimore, they started four drives in Raven territory, only scored 10 points (had scored seven TDs on nine such drives previously). Over is 3-1-1 in Houston road games this season.

Seahawks (6-4) @ Rams (2-8) — Seattle heads east; Hasselbeck is banged up (might not practice this week, but is expected to play) and Alexander still out; they’re just 1-3 on road, losing at Arizona (23-20), Pittsburgh (21-0), Cleveland (33-30), winning only at Candlestick (23-3). Hawks won first meeting 33-6 vs Rams five weeks ago (-8.5), forcing five turnovers, with seven sacks and holding Rams to 221 total yards. Rams won last two games, after 0-8 start; their offensive line is still awful (Bulger was sacked six times in SF), but at least they have Jackson back (133-102 rushing yards in two games since bye). Rams have been outscored 159-58 in second half of games this season.

Saints (4-6) @ Panthers (4-6) — Carolina is 0-4 since its bye, scoring four TDs on 47 drives; they’re 0-4 at home, allowing 26.5 pg, but won first meeting vs Saints, 16-13 at Superdome, despite being outgained by 98 yards. Saints started 0-4, then won four in row, now lost last two, allowing 37-23 points; they’re 2-3 on road, but have become total passing team, running ball just 30 times for 90 yards in last two games. Saints are 0-5 if they score less than 22 points, a figure Carolina yielded in just two of last eight games (Packers, Colts). NO’s pass defense has been torched for 9.8/7.3/8.4 ypp in last three games- they failed to pick off a pass in four of last five games. Six of last seven Panther games stayed under total.

Redskins (5-5) @ Buccaneers (6-4) — Tampa is 6-0 when it allows 14 or less points, 0-4 when it does not (allowed 20-33-23-24 in losses); Washington scored 23-25-23 points in last three games, but Skins gave up 54 points in last six quarters, losing twice to division foes. Washington is 2-3 on road, beating Eagles, Jets- this is their fourth road game in last five weeks. In their last three games, Bucs allowed just 18.3/17.7/19.6 yards/drive, but young QB Campbell has impressed in recent weeks. Tampa has run ball for 124-136-162-149 yards in last four games, after averaging 88.5 over first six games. Last five Washington games went over.

49ers (2-8) @ Cardinals (5-5) — Upset alert for Arizona, which won last two games, scoring 33 pg, and now has shot at playoffs; they’re 5-1 when scoring 20+ points, 0-4 when they don’t. 49ers allowed 20+ points in four of last five games. Cardinals won three of their four home games, have 10 takeaways in last two games, after having total of one in previous three. Niners lost eight games in row after 2-0 start, including 20-17 win over Redbirds in Week 1, when 49ers gained just 194 yards; they lost last four road games, by 21-18-4-24 points. Five of last seven SF games stayed under total. Word is Smith isn’t healing well, so another week of the Trent Dilfer era, which should be good news for Cardinals.

Ravens (4-6) @ Chargers (5-5) — Baltimore lost last four games, turning ball over 14 times in last three (-11); after scoring 14-7-7 in consecutive losses, Boller played well last week (22-41/240) but at end, Raven defense gave out., Browns got lucky doink off upright, and losing skid grew to four. Home side covered last five San Diego games. Chargers are 4-1 at home (3-1 as home favorite), with wins by 11-14-25-2 points, but their play on road has been so bad, it put their season in jeopardy. Bolts have 42-91-79 rushing yards in last three games, as Rivers’ QB play has been so spotty that teams are ganging up on run. Six of last nine Charger games went over the total.

Eagles (5-5) @ Patriots (10-0) — New England playing at very high level, covering nine of ten games; they are legitimate threat to go 19-0, which is why this is first 20-point spread in NFL game in six years- they’re 4-0 vs spread at home, winning by 38-14/38-7/34-17/52-7 scores. This is just second home game for Pats in seven weeks, with four road games and bye in there. They’ve scored 6+ TD’s in four of last five games. McNabb is iffy here; Eagles won three of last four games, but trailed last three at half- they’re 0-4 if they allow more than 6.2 yards/pass attempt. Patriots’ worst games this year are pair of 7.0 ypp (Browns, Colts) so Philly has to do something no one else has done, to pull off biggest upset since 1974.

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Monday, November 26
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Dolphins (0-10) @ Steelers (7-3) — Cameron inserted rookie QB Beck as starter at weird time, with games at Philly, Pittsburgh; he was 9-22/109 yards passing last week, in first NFL start. Pitt is just lot better at home (5-0, scoring 30.8 pg, 4-1 as home favorite), a lot better (2-3 on road, scoring 23.2); they did lousy job of protecting Big Ben last week- Jets had seven sacks. Miami is 0-6 away from (2-2-2 as road dog) with losses by 3-3-3-10-3-10 points. In last four games, Fish lost field position battle by 13-20-17-12 yards, really awful numbers. Not sure if Ricky Williams plays here, after being reinstated by NFL; how good shape can he be in? Only three of ten Miami losses are by 17+ points (Dallas, Patriots were two of three). mmmmm

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


Sunday, November 25

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Tips and Trends
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New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Carolina has won four straight and eight of 10 meetings with New Orleans. The Panthers won the first meeting this season at New Orleans back on October 7th when John Kasay hit a 52-yard field goal as time expired. EDGE: PANTHERS
The Panthers expect to have All-Pro WR Steve Smith back for this game after he has missed last week's loss at Green Bay with a shin injury. They have lost four straight games and need their game breaker to return to form here if they want to get to the playoffs. EDGE: PANTHERS
Saints are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
Saints are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Panthers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games against a losing team.
Panthers are 1-10 ATS in their 11 games on grass.
The road team is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.


Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Tennessee's previously tough run defense has struggled in the last two games, surrendering 166 yards in losses to both the Broncos and Jaguars. "We have to make tackles," Titans head coach Jeff Fisher said. "It's something that's been a problem for us which was not a problem for us earlier in the year." Insiders believe a lot of that has to do with the absence of star DT Albert Haynesworth, who has missed those games with a sore right hamstring. EDGE: BENGALS
Cincinnati QB Carson Palmer is coming off a career-high four-interception game vs. Arizona, two of which were returned for touchdowns. "It feels terrible, horrible," Palmer said. "I felt like I let the team and the coaches and the organization and the fans down. When you give up four interceptions and 14 points, it makes it almost impossible to win." The Bengals had given up a season-low 247 yards to the Cardinals. EDGE: TITANS
Titans are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against the AFC.
Titans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a small road favorite.
Bengals are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
Bengals are 3-9-1 ATS in the last 13 games against a winning team.
The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (CBS | 1 PM ET)

The Browns are just one game behind Pittsburgh for the lead in the AFC North thanks to last week's wacky OT win at Baltimore. "This team, for whatever reason, thrives on adversity - the tougher the situation, the better we do," said Cleveland kicker Phil Dawson, who kicked both the game-tying and game-winning field goals. "We all had a feeling when we got the call and went into overtime, what a shame it would have been to not capitalize on it." EDGE: BROWNS
Despite the team's success, Cleveland continues to struggle defensively, allowing an NFL-high 29.4 points and 406.3 yards per game. That could mean big trouble against a Texans team that has their best offensive player back in the lineup in WR Andre Johnson. EDGE: TEXANS & OVER
Texans are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games in November.
Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the AFC.
Browns are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
The OVER is 8-0-1 in the Browns last 9 games following a SU win.


Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Injuries continue to take a toll on the Jaguars, who got starting QB David Garrard back last week only to lose leading tackler Mike Peterson for the season with a broken hand. Peterson becomes the eighth starter to miss time this season for Jacksonville. EDGE: BILLS
The Jags have allowed a combined 30 points in their last two games and now face a Buffalo offense that ranks 31st in the NFL, averaging just 268.3 yards per game. That should help ease the blow of losing Peterson. SLIGHT EDGE: JAGUARS
Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the AFC.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the AFC.
The road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.


Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (CBS | 1 PM ET)

The Chiefs have dropped three games in a row and now must deal with the sudden retirement of RB Priest Holmes, who suffered a neck injury last week at Indy. Holmes was filling in for Larry Johnson, who is still out with a foot injury. That means rookie Kolby Smith will get the start and line up behind QB Brodie Croyle, who has just one start under his belt. BIG EDGE: RAIDERS
Oakland has lost its last five trips to Arrowhead Stadium and 15 of 18. The Raiders continue to play erratic under rookie head coach Lane Kiffin, promting veteran DT Warren Sapp to call his teammates out after last week's loss at Minnesota. "It's not going to change until we get out of our own (darn) way," Sapp said. "There's nothing else to be said. We're just an undisciplined unit from top to bottom." EDGE: CHIEFS
Raiders are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 games against the AFC.
Raiders are 23-51-1 ATS in their last 75 games overall.
Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against the AFC West.
Chiefs are 12-27 ATS in their last 39 games in November.
The road team is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.


Minnesota Vikings at New York Giants (FOX | 1 PM ET)

This game marks a stretch of five straight opponents that are at or below .500 for the Giants, who have won seven of eight following an 0-2 start. All three of their losses have come at the hands of Green Bay and Dallas, who are a combined 20-2 this season. EDGE: GIANTS
Injuries are becoming a bit of a concern for the Giants, who lost both RB Brandon Jacobs (hamstring) and LB Mathias Kiwanuka (broken leg) last week at Detroit. The loss of Jacobs means veteran Reuben Droughns might have to start since Derrick Ward has missed time with ankle and groin injuries. EDGE: VIKINGS
Minnesota got an impressive performance from RB Chester Taylor in last week's win over Oakland, as he ran for 164 yards and three touchdowns filling in for rookie Adrian Peterson. "I ain't the one to start no controversy," Taylor said. "I knew I could do what I did in the game. I'm going to play hard no matter what, and if I get the opportunity I'm going to take advantage of it." EDGE: VIKINGS
Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC.
Vikings are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a winning team.
Giants are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Giants are 10-28 ATS in their last 38 games in November.
The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Seattle QB Matt Hasselbeck has not practiced all week due to sore ribs, which started the last time he faced the Rams. Hasselbeck was hit in the second quarter of the last meeting back on October 21st, but he battled back to help his team beat St. Louis for the fifth straight time. His status will be key since star RB Shaun Alexander remains out, and the offense has become more pass happy due to that fact. "What he has to do is prepare himself to play without getting the practice time," Seahawks head coach Mike Holmgren said. "And I think he can do this. It's not unprecedented at the quarterback position. He can pull it off." SLIGHT EDGE: RAMS
The Rams are 0-4 at home and will be looking to avoid their worst home losing streak since dropping eight in a row there between the 1997-98 seasons. They have won two straight overall at New Orleans and San Francisco thanks to the return of RB Steven Jackson, who has 212 total yards and a touchdown during that stretch. EDGE: RAMS
Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
Seahawks are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Rams are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog.
Rams are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.


Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Bucs own a two-game lead in the NFC South after winning last week and seeing both Carolina and New Orleans lose. "We've got a lot of guys on our football team who know how to win, expect to win and come in here every day preparing to win," Tampa Bay coach Jon Gruden said. "The same with the coaches. We realize that we have six wins and that doesn't guarantee us anything. But we are seeing signs of improvement, and for that we're excited to get back to work." EDGE: BUCCANEERS
Tampa Bay is getting increased production from RB Earnest Graham, who is averaging 95 yards in the last four games after totaling 88 in his previous three games combined. Graham is filling in for both Cadillac Williams and Michael Pittman, who are out with major injuries. EDGE: BUCCANEERS
Tampa has won the last two meetings with Washington along with the last five between the teams at home. The Bucs are 4-1 at home this season while Washington has lost three of four on the road. EDGE: BUCCANEERS
Redskins are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 game as a road underdog.
Redskins are 0-5-1 AS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.
Bucs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the NFC.
Bucs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of 14+ points.
Redskins are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals (FOX | 4:05 PM ET)

The Arizona Cardinals are looking to win three games in a row for the first time in five years. Cardinals QB Kurt Warner has shined in his last two games despite playing with a torn ligament in his elbow. The 36-year-old has thrown for 470 yards with five touchdowns and one interception in the two victories. Arizona has scored a combined 66 points over those two games, and San Francisco’s road defense has allowed 26 points per game with over 335 yards. EDGE: CARDINALS
The San Francisco 49ers offense has simply disappeared. They rank last in the NFL with 221 total yards per game and 11 points per game. The 49ers have not scored a touchdown since November 4th, and will again be with backup QB Trent Dilfer at the helm. Dilfer hasn't been very strong under center, throwing three touchdowns, seven interceptions while posting a 51.8 passer rating on the season. To make matters worse for this San Fran offense is the Cardinals defense has forced 10 of their 19 turnovers just in their last two games. EDGE: CARDINALS
49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
49ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against the NFC.
Cardinals are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
Cardinals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points.
The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)

Behind a suddenly explosive offense led by Jay Cutler, the Denver Broncos have moved into a tie for first place in the AFC West. The Broncos have scored 61 points in winning their last two games with Jay Cutler throwing for almost 400 yards combined. This is great news for Denver as they face a Chicago Bears defense which was just torched for 30 points at Seattle. EDGE: BRONCOS
While the Bears defense has been sputtering, Chicago's offense actually showed some signs of life last Sunday with Rex Grossman back as the starting quarterback. The Bears are 25th in the league in offense, but gained 345 yards and matched a season high with 107 on the ground last week. The Broncos defense is allowing 133 rushing yards per game on the road, and according to the Bears “Time is running out and we need this win”. EDGE: BEARS
Broncos are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall.
Broncos are 1-9 ATS in their last 19 games following a SU win.
Bears are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 21-10-1 in the Bears last 32 games overall.


Baltimore Ravens at San Diego Chargers (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

The Baltimore Ravens enter this game losers of four straight, and have to shrug off one of the tougher loses last week against the Browns. Backup QB Kyle Boller is expected to start again after throwing for 279 yards last week, including 255 during the second-half comeback. The good news was his second half performance, and combine that with RB Willis McGahee scoring a touchdown in five straight games you actually have the look of an offense to go with their defense. EDGE: RAVENS
The San Diego Chargers are leading their division thanks to their competition playing just as up-and-down as them. Chargers defense and offense haven’t been close to what they looked liked in 2006, but they find themselves at home where they are 4-1 on the season while scoring 23 points per game. The Chargers lost last years game thanks to some blaming it on “Marty Ball” – and the players have stated they would like nothing better then to defeat their rivals this time in San Diego. EDGE: CHARGERS
Ravens are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games.
Ravens are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
Chargers are 13-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points.
Chargers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against a losing team.


Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots (NBC | 8:15 PM ET)

Tom Brady and the Patriots look to improve to 11-0 when they meet the Eagles on Sunday for the first time since they met in the Super Bowl. This team has look invincible at times, and look to continue their dominance when again on National Television. The Patriots are averaging 41 points per game, and close to 450 total yards per game at home. The Eagles defense shut down the Dolphins last week, but before that they allowed 63 points to the Redskins and Cowboys. BIG EDGE: PATRIOTS
Eagles backup QB AJ Feeley is now the expected starter, as Donovan McNabb is unlikely to play. He was good for Philadelphia last week, going 13-for-19 for 116 yards and throwing a TD pass to put the Eagles up by 10 points in the fourth quarter."It's nothing out of the ordinary," Feeley said. "It's what I do as a backup.” Philadelphia has won three of four to pull within a game of the final NFC wild-card spot, and Feeley did beat the Patriots in his only career start against them back in 2004. SLIGHT EDGE: EAGLES
Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an undersog,
Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their las7 games following a SU win.
Patriots are 57-24-3 ATS in their last 84 games overall.
Patriots are 38-18-2 ATS in their last 59 home games.
The OVER is 12-3 in the Patriots last 15 games following an ATS win.

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