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Happy turkey day fellas! Here's my first play, may add on plays on later games.
NFL Record: You can check out all my past plays on www.Byeweekpicks.com
2007
21-20-2
Units
+3.23
1*: .66 to .75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Detroit +3.5 (-130) over G.B. (Buy 1/2 point)
GB may be 9-1 but they are not a great football team. They are coming off 5 SU wins and 4 ATS and are in prime position for a loss here coming off a short week. Meanwhile, Detroit is coming off back to back losses including a home loss and will get up for this Turkey Day game. Green Bay's running game is pitiful averaging only 3.4 YPR (30th) and will be facing a great Detroit rushing D that allows only 3.6 YPR (3rd) and 96 YPG (8th). Favre is having a very good year, but I still don't trust him especially if they get down he will start gun slinging and throw a couple picks. He averages about 19 int's his career, even in his prime and only has 8 this year. Detroit's pass defense is average allowing 7 YPPA (17th). Defensively the Pack are merely average. They allow 3.93 YPR (16th) and 6.9 YPPA (14th).
The Lions are having a surprisingly strong year especially at home where they are 4-1. As mentioned above their defense is strong and Kitna is having a very good year as well. The Lions are averaging 7.73 YPPA (6th) and should pass easily on a mediocre Packer's defense. Detroit only rushed for 77 YPG, but they average 3.9 YPR, so if they want to they can run the ball. I don't think that G.B. can keep up their winning streak and in Detroit on Thanksgiving is the perfect opportunity to go against them. I'll take Detroit in a 1* play.
NFL Record: You can check out all my past plays on www.Byeweekpicks.com
2007
21-20-2
Units
+3.23
1*: .66 to .75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Detroit +3.5 (-130) over G.B. (Buy 1/2 point)
GB may be 9-1 but they are not a great football team. They are coming off 5 SU wins and 4 ATS and are in prime position for a loss here coming off a short week. Meanwhile, Detroit is coming off back to back losses including a home loss and will get up for this Turkey Day game. Green Bay's running game is pitiful averaging only 3.4 YPR (30th) and will be facing a great Detroit rushing D that allows only 3.6 YPR (3rd) and 96 YPG (8th). Favre is having a very good year, but I still don't trust him especially if they get down he will start gun slinging and throw a couple picks. He averages about 19 int's his career, even in his prime and only has 8 this year. Detroit's pass defense is average allowing 7 YPPA (17th). Defensively the Pack are merely average. They allow 3.93 YPR (16th) and 6.9 YPPA (14th).
The Lions are having a surprisingly strong year especially at home where they are 4-1. As mentioned above their defense is strong and Kitna is having a very good year as well. The Lions are averaging 7.73 YPPA (6th) and should pass easily on a mediocre Packer's defense. Detroit only rushed for 77 YPG, but they average 3.9 YPR, so if they want to they can run the ball. I don't think that G.B. can keep up their winning streak and in Detroit on Thanksgiving is the perfect opportunity to go against them. I'll take Detroit in a 1* play.
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