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  • Friday Trends and Indexes 11/16

    Trends and Indexes
    Friday, November 16

    Good Luck on day #320 of 2007!

    NOTE:
    As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
    Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.


  • #2
    Six-pack for Friday

    NFL trends for Week 11

    -- Chargers failed to cover last five non-division road tilts.

    -- Arizona covered seven of last eight as a road dog.

    -- Lions are 5-1 as non-divisional home favorite.

    -- Cowboys covered two of last seven as division favorite.

    -- Vikings covered nine of last 12 as home favorite.

    -- Eagles covered just three of last 13 against the AFC.

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    Comment


    • #3
      Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts for a fall Friday.......

      13) There's going to be another postseason hoop tourney in March, raising number of teams involved in postseason up to 113 teams. Any coach who misses postseason two years in a row has to wonder if his job is secure.

      12) 4% of $27M is $1.08M, so figure that if Alex Rodriguez is going to dump his agent when he goes back to the Bronx, it would cost the scumweasel agent a total of $10,800,000 over the length of the contract.

      11) Australian Santa Clauses are being told in Sydney not to say "Ho ho ho" to little kids, because it could be offensive to women. Good lord. Everything can be offensive to someone, taken the wrong way.

      10) Navy's offense was so dominant at North Texas last week that their offense, out of 63 plays, had only five on 3rd down. Imagine scoring 62 points and losing, like North Texas did?

      9) New York City newspapers are funny; headline in paper on Thursday was: AROD CRAWLS BACK.......like taking $275M for ten years is groveling. Amazing.

      8) Next time you hear New York City refer itself as "the mecca of basketball" know that on November 15, all talk radio was discussing was ARod and various trade scenarios, as well as ripping the Mets for signing Yorvit Torrealba as free agent.

      7) Guy on ESPN.com who tracks such things repored that on red zone possessions, when his team is inside 20-yard line of the enemy, Amari Toomer, Wes Welker both have 17 catches, most of anyone in NFL.

      6) Funny how Red Sox are running off to Japan next spring, but Daiseke Matsuzaka's wife is pregnant, due in March, so it is entirely possible he won't be going on the trip. That should go over real well.

      5) Georgetown might be really good; they led Michigan 43-17 at halftime Thursday. Having a quality 7-footer in middle will put Hoyas in same position Ohio State was last season, and it could find them in the Final Four in April.

      4) High level hoop game in Starkville Thursday, as Clemson went to Mississippi State and won, 84-82. This is the kind of road win that stands out on Selection Sunday.

      3) Oregon's national title hopes went down tubes as they lost in Arizona desert Thursday, 34-24. Ducks averaged 9.6 yards/ play while QB Dixon was in game, then things fell apart once he left with a leg njury. All of this helps Oklahoma, which is coached by Bob Stoops, brother of Arizona coach Mike.

      2) Barry Bonds' indictment Thursday is likely to end his days as a player. Finally, Greg Anderson was released from prison after almost a year of ridiculous imprisonment because he did not cooperate with whomever was out to get Bonds, whether he deserves it or not. Shouldn't our tax dollars be put to use on something other than helping a vendetta get played out?

      1) The '08 ***************.com golf tour will begin February 20, with the World Golf Tour Match Play tournament; in 2008, we're creating two halves, with top three in each half moving on to a four-tournament playoff at end of the year. Send me an e-mail if you're interested in signing up for the 2008 Tour.

      ----------------------------------------------------------------------

      Comment


      • #4
        College Football - Dunkel Index

        NCAAF
        Dunkel Index


        FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 16

        Game 309-310: Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan
        Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 69.972; Central Michigan 90.973
        Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 21; 70
        Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 13; 66
        Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-13); Over

        Game 311-312: Hawaii at Nevada
        Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 96.000; Nevada 84.317
        Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 12; 72
        Vegas Line: Hawaii by 7 1/2; 79
        Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-7 1/2); Under


        SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 17

        Game 313-314: Western Michigan at Iowa
        Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 69.951; Iowa 91.414
        Dunkel Line: Iowa by 21 1/2; 38
        Vegas Line: Iowa by 14; 46 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-14); Under

        Game 315-316: Kent at Temple
        Dunkel Ratings: Kent 64.327; Temple 74.506
        Dunkel Line: Temple by 10; 44
        Vegas Line: Kent by 2 1/2; 47 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Temple (+2 1/2); Under

        Game 317-318: North Carolina at Georgia Tech
        Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 84.425; Georgia Tech 97.521
        Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 13; 40
        Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 10; 42 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-13); Under

        Game 319-320: Penn State at Michigan State
        Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 97.999; Michigan State 101.058
        Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 3; 54
        Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 50 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+3); Over

        Game 321-322: West Virginia at Cincinnati
        Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 109.874; Cincinnati 97.546
        Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 12; 52
        Vegas Line: West Virginia by 6 1/2; 55 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-6 1/2); Under

        Game 323-324: Syracuse at Connecticut
        Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 75.123; Connecticut 103.970
        Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 29; 39
        Vegas Line: Connecticut by 18; 46
        Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-18); Under

        Game 325-326: Purdue at Indiana
        Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 87.352; Indiana 90.443
        Dunkel Line: Indiana by 3; 56
        Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 61 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2 1/2); Under

        Game 327-328: Vanderbilt at Tennessee
        Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 94.578; Tennessee 102.903
        Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 8 1/2; 48
        Vegas Line: Tennessee by 12; 52
        Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+12); Under

        Game 329-330: Bowling Green at Buffalo
        Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 73.925; Buffalo 79.445
        Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 5 1/2; 57
        Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 1 1/2; 61 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+5 1/2); Under

        Game 331-332: Tulsa at Army
        Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 93.779; Army 71.228
        Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 22 1/2; 59
        Vegas Line: Tulsa by 14 1/2; 63 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-14 1/2); Under

        Game 333-334: BYU at Wyoming
        Dunkel Ratings: BYU 99.960; Wyoming 79.449
        Dunkel Line: BYU by 20 1/2; 51
        Vegas Line: BYU by 10 1/2; 46
        Dunkel Pick: BYU (-10 1/2); Over

        Game 335-336: San Diego State at Air Force
        Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 79.926; Air Force 95.238
        Dunkel Line: Air Force by 15 1/2; 51
        Vegas Line: Air Force by 10 1/2; 49
        Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-10 1/2); Over

        Game 337-338: Mississippi State at Arkansas
        Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 97.171; Arkansas 97.587
        Dunkel Line: Even; 53
        Vegas Line: Arkansas by 11; 51
        Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+11); Over

        Game 339-340: Utah State at New Mexico State
        Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 66.994; New Mexico State 67.570
        Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1; 60
        Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 9 1/2; 63
        Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+9 1/2); Under

        Game 341-342: Oklahoma State at Baylor
        Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 99.570; Baylor 74.645
        Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 25; 61
        Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 14; 65
        Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-14); Under

        Game 343-344: Oklahoma at Texas Tech
        Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 109.151; Texas Tech 96.716
        Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 12 1/2; 62
        Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 7 1/2; 66
        Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-7 1/2); Under

        Game 345-346: Iowa State at Kansas
        Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 78.776; Kansas 111.606
        Dunkel Line: Kansas by 33; 54
        Vegas Line: Kansas by 25 1/2; 58
        Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-25 1/2); Under

        Game 347-348: Idaho at Boise State
        Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 65.202; Boise State 107.604
        Dunkel Line: Boise State by 42 1/2; 54
        Vegas Line: Boise State by 33; 64 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-33); Under

        Game 349-350: Duke at Notre Dame
        Dunkel Ratings: Duke 74.377; Notre Dame 87.127
        Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 13; 53
        Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 5; 48
        Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-5); Over

        Game 351-352: Central Florida at SMU
        Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 90.529; SMU 70.075
        Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 20 1/2; 68
        Vegas Line: Central Florida by 12 1/2; 72 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-12 1/2); Under

        Game 353-354: Tulane at Rice
        Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 74.389; Rice 73.487
        Dunkel Line: Tulane by 1; 75
        Vegas Line: Rice by 2; 70
        Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+2); Over

        Game 355-356: Marshall at Houston
        Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 79.828; Houston 86.629
        Dunkel Line: Houston by 7; 58
        Vegas Line: Houston by 12; 65
        Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+12); Under

        Game 357-358: Northern Illinois at Navy
        Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 61.179; Navy 84.972
        Dunkel Line: Navy by 24; 68
        Vegas Line: Navy by 15 1/2; 73
        Dunkel Pick: Navy (-15 1/2); Under

        Game 359-360: UAB at Memphis
        Dunkel Ratings: UAB 61.097; Memphis 80.656
        Dunkel Line: Memphis by 19 1/2; 57
        Vegas Line: Memphis by 11; 60
        Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-11); Under

        Game 361-362: California at Washington
        Dunkel Ratings: California 95.802; Washington 96.234
        Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 52
        Vegas Line: California by 7; 58
        Dunkel Pick: Washington (+7); Under

        Game 363-364: LSU at Mississippi
        Dunkel Ratings: LSU 109.006; Mississippi 80.030
        Dunkel Line: LSU by 29; 51
        Vegas Line: LSU by 18; 54
        Dunkel Pick: LSU (-18); Under

        Game 365-366: Kentucky at Georgia
        Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 102.806; Georgia 103.209
        Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1; 58
        Vegas Line: Georgia by 8; 61
        Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+8); Under

        Game 367-368: Missouri at Kansas State
        Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 111.887; Kansas State 83.980
        Dunkel Line: Missouri by 28;
        Vegas Line: Missouri by 7; 68
        Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-7);

        Game 369-370: Ohio State at Michigan
        Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 103.947; Michigan 105.184
        Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1; 53
        Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4; 49
        Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4 1/2); Over

        Game 371-372: Miami (FL) at Virginia Tech
        Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 83.462; Virginia Tech 108.333
        Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 25; 44
        Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 16 1/2; 42
        Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-16 1/2); Over

        Game 373-374: Boston College at Clemson
        Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 102.798; Clemson 104.063
        Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 55
        Vegas Line: Clemson by 7 1/2; 52 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7 1/2); Over

        Game 375-376: Maryland at Florida State
        Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 93.170; Florida State 96.738
        Dunkel Line: Florida State by 3 1/2; 49 1/2
        Vegas Line: Florida State by 7 1/2; 45
        Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+7 1/2); Over

        Game 377-378: New Mexico at Utah
        Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 92.065; Utah 104.450
        Dunkel Line: Utah by 12 1/2; 39 1/2
        Vegas Line: Utah by 14 1/2; 44 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+14 1/2); Under

        Game 379-380: Oregon State at Washington State
        Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 96.717; Washington State 93.885
        Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 3; 45
        Vegas Line: Washington State by 2 1/2; 49 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+2 1/2); Under

        Game 381-382: San Jose State at Louisiana Tech
        Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 77.498; Louisiana Tech 75.355
        Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 2; 56
        Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 6; 53
        Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+6); Over

        Game 383-384: North Carolina State at Wake Forest
        Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 92.001; Wake Forest 93.996
        Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 2; 54
        Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 6 1/2; 49
        Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (+6 1/2); Over

        Game 385-386: Louisville at South Florida
        Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 94.411; South Florida 96.768
        Dunkel Line: South Florida by 2; 55
        Vegas Line: South Florida by 7; 62
        Dunkel Pick: Louisville (+7); Under

        Game 387-388: Wisconsin at Minnesota
        Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 100.863; Minnesota 81.478
        Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 19 1/2; 50
        Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 13 1/2; 57
        Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-13 1/2); Under

        Game 389-390: UNLV at TCU
        Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 71.664; TCU 102.512
        Dunkel Line: TCU by 31; 52
        Vegas Line: TCU by 17; 44 1/2
        Dunkel Pick: TCU (-17); Over

        Game 391-392: Southern Mississippi at UTEP
        Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 76.794; UTEP 80.499
        Dunkel Line: UTEP by 4; 58
        Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2; 66
        Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+3 1/2); Under

        Game 393-394: Pittsburgh at Rutgers
        Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 84.111; Rutgers 98.077
        Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 14; 42
        Vegas Line: Rutgers by 11 1/2; 49
        Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-11 1/2); Under

        Game 395-396: Northwestern at Illinois
        Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 81.606; Illinois 103.361
        Dunkel Line: Illinois by 22; 48
        Vegas Line: Illinois by 13 1/2; 57
        Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-13 1/2); Under

        Game 397-398: UL Monroe at Alabama
        Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 68.106; Alabama 102.534
        Dunkel Line: Alabama by 34 1/2; 49
        Vegas Line: Alabama by 24 1/2; 54
        Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-24 1/2); Under

        Game 399-400: UL Lafayette at Florida International
        Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 59.550; Florida International 60.044
        Dunkel Line: Florida International by 1; 59
        Vegas Line: UL Lafayette by 4 1/2; 54
        Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+4 1/2); Over

        Game 401-402: Florida Atlantic at Florida
        Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 72.270; Florida 107.843
        Dunkel Line: Florida by 35 1/2; 72
        Vegas Line: Florida by 34; 67
        Dunkel Pick: Florida (-34); Over

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Comment


        • #5
          College Football – Long Sheet

          NCAAF
          Long Sheet


          Week 12

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Friday, November 16
          -------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          E MICHIGAN (3 - 8) at C MICHIGAN (6 - 4) - 11/16/2007, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          C MICHIGAN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          C MICHIGAN is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          C MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
          C MICHIGAN is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          C MICHIGAN is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          C MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
          C MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          HAWAII (9 - 0) at NEVADA (5 - 4) - 11/16/2007, 11:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
          NEVADA is 1-1 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Saturday, November 17
          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          W MICHIGAN (3 - 7) at IOWA (6 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          W MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all games this season.
          W MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          W MICHIGAN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
          IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 2 seasons.
          IOWA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          KENT ST (3 - 7) at TEMPLE (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          KENT ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          KENT ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          KENT ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
          KENT ST is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          N CAROLINA (3 - 7) at GEORGIA TECH (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
          GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          PENN ST (8 - 3) at MICHIGAN ST (6 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MICHIGAN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
          MICHIGAN ST is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          MICHIGAN ST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
          PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          W VIRGINIA (8 - 1) at CINCINNATI (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 7:45 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          W VIRGINIA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
          W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SYRACUSE (2 - 8) at CONNECTICUT (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          CONNECTICUT is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
          CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          PURDUE (7 - 4) at INDIANA (6 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          INDIANA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in November games since 1992.
          INDIANA is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          INDIANA is 1-1 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
          PURDUE is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          VANDERBILT (5 - 5) at TENNESSEE (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
          TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          BOWLING GREEN (6 - 4) at BUFFALO (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 1:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
          BOWLING GREEN is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TULSA (7 - 3) at ARMY (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          BYU (7 - 2) at WYOMING (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          WYOMING is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          WYOMING is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
          WYOMING is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          WYOMING is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
          WYOMING is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
          WYOMING is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
          BYU is 2-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SAN DIEGO ST (4 - 5) at AIR FORCE (8 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN DIEGO ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
          AIR FORCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
          AIR FORCE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
          AIR FORCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
          AIR FORCE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
          AIR FORCE is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MISSISSIPPI ST (6 - 4) at ARKANSAS (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          MISSISSIPPI ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
          ARKANSAS is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UTAH ST (0 - 10) at NEW MEXICO ST (4 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW MEXICO ST is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          NEW MEXICO ST is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          NEW MEXICO ST is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
          NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 5) at BAYLOR (3 - 8) - 11/17/2007, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BAYLOR is 49-73 ATS (-31.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          BAYLOR is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          BAYLOR is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
          BAYLOR is 35-55 ATS (-25.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
          BAYLOR is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          BAYLOR is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BAYLOR is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
          BAYLOR is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          OKLAHOMA (9 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (7 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TEXAS TECH is 72-48 ATS (+19.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          TEXAS TECH is 51-27 ATS (+21.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          TEXAS TECH is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
          TEXAS TECH is 70-46 ATS (+19.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
          TEXAS TECH is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
          TEXAS TECH is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
          TEXAS TECH is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
          OKLAHOMA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
          TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          IOWA ST (3 - 8) at KANSAS (10 - 0) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          IOWA ST is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
          KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games this season.
          KANSAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
          KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
          KANSAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
          KANSAS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in games played on turf this season.
          KANSAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
          KANSAS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
          KANSAS is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
          KANSAS is 45-74 ATS (-36.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
          KANSAS is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
          KANSAS is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          KANSAS is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
          KANSAS is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          IDAHO (1 - 9) at BOISE ST (9 - 1) - 11/17/2007, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          BOISE ST is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 46-23 ATS (+20.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 48-25 ATS (+20.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 48-18 ATS (+28.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 43-17 ATS (+24.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 46-25 ATS (+18.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 25-7 ATS (+17.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 70-41 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
          BOISE ST is 39-16 ATS (+21.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOISE ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
          BOISE ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          DUKE (1 - 9) at NOTRE DAME (1 - 9) - 11/17/2007, 2:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NOTRE DAME is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UCF (7 - 3) at SMU (1 - 9) - 11/17/2007, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UCF is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          SMU is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          TULANE (3 - 7) at RICE (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TULANE is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          TULANE is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
          RICE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          RICE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
          RICE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
          RICE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
          RICE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          RICE is 1-1 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
          RICE is 1-1 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MARSHALL (2 - 8) at HOUSTON (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MARSHALL is 11-27 ATS (-18.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
          MARSHALL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          MARSHALL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          MARSHALL is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          HOUSTON is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
          HOUSTON is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          N ILLINOIS (2 - 8) at NAVY (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NAVY is 96-66 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
          NAVY is 91-61 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          NAVY is 61-38 ATS (+19.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          NAVY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in November games since 1992.
          NAVY is 43-19 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
          NAVY is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          NAVY is 96-66 ATS (+23.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UAB (2 - 8) at MEMPHIS (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UAB is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
          MEMPHIS is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UAB is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          UAB is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          CALIFORNIA (6 - 4) at WASHINGTON (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CALIFORNIA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          CALIFORNIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
          CALIFORNIA is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
          CALIFORNIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
          CALIFORNIA is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          LSU (9 - 1) at OLE MISS (3 - 7) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LSU is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          OLE MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
          LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          KENTUCKY (7 - 3) at GEORGIA (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 12:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GEORGIA is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          GEORGIA is 1-1 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
          GEORGIA is 1-1 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MISSOURI (9 - 1) at KANSAS ST (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          KANSAS ST is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
          KANSAS ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
          KANSAS ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
          MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
          KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          OHIO ST (10 - 1) at MICHIGAN (8 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
          OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MIAMI (5 - 5) at VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MIAMI is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          VIRGINIA TECH is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          VIRGINIA TECH is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          BOSTON COLLEGE (8 - 2) at CLEMSON (8 - 2) - 11/17/2007, 7:45 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
          BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          MARYLAND (5 - 5) at FLORIDA ST (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MARYLAND is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
          FLORIDA ST is 1-1 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          NEW MEXICO (7 - 3) at UTAH (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 5:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW MEXICO is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          NEW MEXICO is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          OREGON ST (6 - 4) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 6:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OREGON ST is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
          OREGON ST is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
          WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SAN JOSE ST (4 - 6) at LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN JOSE ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
          SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
          LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          NC STATE (5 - 5) at WAKE FOREST (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 4:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          WAKE FOREST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WAKE FOREST is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
          WAKE FOREST is 2-0 straight up against NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          LOUISVILLE (5 - 5) at S FLORIDA (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 8:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          WISCONSIN (8 - 3) at MINNESOTA (1 - 10) - 11/17/2007, 3:30 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WISCONSIN is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UNLV (2 - 8) at TCU (5 - 5) - 11/17/2007, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UNLV is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          UNLV is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
          TCU is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          TCU is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          TCU is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          TCU is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
          TCU is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          TCU is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
          TCU is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SOUTHERN MISS (5 - 5) at UTEP (4 - 6) - 11/17/2007, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UTEP is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
          UTEP is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          PITTSBURGH (4 - 5) at RUTGERS (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          RUTGERS is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
          RUTGERS is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          NORTHWESTERN (6 - 5) at ILLINOIS (8 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ILLINOIS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
          ILLINOIS is 46-74 ATS (-35.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
          ILLINOIS is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
          ILLINOIS is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
          NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          LA MONROE (4 - 6) at ALABAMA (6 - 4) - 11/17/2007, 2:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA MONROE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
          ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
          ALABAMA is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
          ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
          ALABAMA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
          ALABAMA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
          ALABAMA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ALABAMA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
          ALABAMA is 1-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          LA LAFAYETTE (2 - 8) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 9) - 11/17/2007, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA LAFAYETTE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
          FLA INTERNATIONAL is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
          LA LAFAYETTE is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 4) at FLORIDA (7 - 3) - 11/17/2007, 12:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
          FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Comment


          • #6
            College Football – Short Sheet

            NCAAF
            Short Sheet



            Week 12


            Friday, November 16th

            Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan, 7:00 EST
            Eastern Michigan: 17-7 Under playing on artificial turf
            Central Michigan: 12-0 ATS off a road game

            Hawaii at Nevada, 11:00 EST ESPN2
            Hawaii: 16-6 Over vs. conference opponents
            Nevada: 9-2 ATS after allowing 37+ points


            Saturday, November 17th

            (TC) Western Michigan at Iowa, 3:30 EST
            Western Michigan: 1-7 ATS this season
            Iowa: 10-3 ATS vs. MAC opponents

            Kent State at Temple, 12:00 EST
            Kent State: 0-6 ATS off 4+ losses
            Temple: 11-2 Under as a home underdog

            North Carolina at Georgia Tech, 12:00 EST
            North Carolina: 0-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
            Georgia Tech: 11-2 Under off an Over

            (TC) Penn State at Michigan State, 3:30 EST
            Penn State: 1-9 ATS away after allowing 6 points or less
            Michigan State: 15-5 ATS at home off a conference win

            (TC) West Virginia at Cincinnati, 7:45 EST
            West Virginia: 8-1 ATS away off an ATS loss
            Cincinnati: 30-12 Under playing on artificial turf

            Syracuse at Connecticut, 12:00 EST
            Syracuse: 1-7 ATS after losing 4 of their last 5 games
            Connecticut: 7-0 ATS at home off a conference road loss

            (TC) Purdue at Indiana, 3:30 EST
            Purdue: 8-0 Under off BB losses
            Indiana: 1-6 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

            (TC) Vanderbilt at Tennessee, 2:00 EST
            Vanderbilt: 6-0 Under off a conference game
            Tennessee: 7-0 ATS off BB home games

            Bowling Green at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
            Bowling Green: 0-6 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points
            Buffalo: 5-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

            (TC) Tulsa at Army, 12:00 EST
            Tulsa: 8-1 ATS away off an ATS win
            Army: 1-6 ATS as a home underdog

            BYU at Wyoming, 2:00 EST
            BYU: 7-1 Over off a conference home win
            Wyoming: 1-11 ATS off 3+ conference games

            San Diego State at Air Force, 2:00 EST
            San Diego State: 1-9 ATS away off a road win
            Air Force: 6-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

            Mississippi State at Arkansas, 2:00 EST
            Mississippi State: 8-1 ATS in road games
            Arkansas: 13-4 Over in home games

            Utah State at New Mexico State, 2:00 EST
            Utah State: 2-16 ATS off a loss by 28+ points
            New Mexico State: 6-0 Over after losing 3 of their last 4 games

            (TC) Oklahoma State at Baylor, 7:00 EST
            Oklahoma State: 13-2 Over off an ATS loss
            Baylor: 2-10 ATS off BB conference games

            (TC) Oklahoma at Texas Tech, 8:00 EST
            Oklahoma: 16-6 Under after winning 8+ of their last 10 games
            Texas Tech: 21-7 ATS off a conference loss by 10+ points

            (TC) Iowa State at Kansas, 3:30 EST
            Iowa State: 14-35 ATS away playing on artificial turf
            Kansas: 9-0 ATS this season

            Idaho at Boise State, 2:00 EST
            Idaho: 3-11 ATS off a straight up loss
            Boise State: 40-11 ATS off BB conference games

            Duke at Notre Dame, 2:30 EST
            Duke: 6-1 Over as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
            Notre Dame: 0-6 ATS at home off a home game

            Central Florida at SMU, 3:00 EST
            Central Florida: 6-1 Over off 3+ wins
            SMU: 2-10 ATS off a loss by 3 points or less

            Tulane at Rice, 3:00 EST
            Tulane: 5-15 ATS vs. conference opponents
            Rice: 8-1 ATS off a conference win

            Marshall at Houston, 3:30 EST
            Marshall: 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
            Houston: 6-1 ATS off a conference loss

            Northern Illinois at Navy, 3:30 EST
            Northern Illinois: 2-10 ATS away after having 475+ total yards
            Navy: 20-8 ATS after having 475+ total yards

            UAB at Memphis, 3:30 EST
            UAB: 10-2 ATS away after allowing 37+ points
            Memphis: 2-13 ATS at home off a conference win

            California at Washington, 3:30 EST
            California: 7-0 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points
            Washington: 0-7 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

            LSU at Mississippi, 3:30 EST
            LSU: 6-1 Under after gaining 575+ total yards
            Mississippi: 10-5 ATS vs. LSU

            (TC) Kentucky at Georgia, 12:30 EST
            Kentucky: 14-5 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points
            Georgia: 3-10 ATS off BB home wins

            (TC) Missouri at Kansas State, 12:30 EST
            Missouri: 6-1 Over playing on artifial turf
            Kansas State: 7-0 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points

            (TC) Ohio State at Michigan, 12:00 EST
            Ohio State: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents
            Michigan: 13-27 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers

            Miami FL at Virginia Tech, 3:30 EST
            Miami FL: 0-6 ATS off an Over
            Virginia Tech: 17-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

            (TC) Boston College at Clemson, 7:45 EST
            Boston College: 5-1 ATS as a road underdog
            Clemson: 9-2 Under off BB wins by 21+ points

            (TC) Maryland at Florida State, 12:00 EST
            Maryland: 7-1 ATS off ATS losses in 3 of their last 4 games
            Florida State: 1-8 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

            New Mexico at Utah, 5:30 EST
            New Mexico: 0-6 ATS after winning 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
            Utah: 6-0 ATS off 3+ conference games

            Oregon State at Washington State, 6:30 EST
            Oregon State: 29-15 ATS off a conference win
            Washington State: 5-21 ATS off ATS wins in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

            San Jose State at Louisiana Tech, 7:00 EST
            San Jose State: 23-10 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
            Louisiana Tech: 0-7 ATS off BB road games

            (TC) NC State at Wake Forest, 4:00 EST
            NC State: 1-7 ATS off 3+ conference games
            Wake Forest: 11-3 Under as a home favorite

            (TC) Louisville at South Florida, 8:00 EST
            Louisville: 9-21 ATS after committing 4+ turnovers
            South Florida: 7-0 Under off 3+ conference games

            (TC) Wisconsin at Minnesota, 3:30 EST
            Wisconsin: 5-1 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards
            Minnesota: 1-5 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

            UNLV at TCU, 7:30 EST
            UNLV: 2-12 ATS away on Saturdays
            TCU: 8-1 ATS off 3+ conference games

            Southern Miss at UTEP, 7:30 EST
            Southern Miss: 7-1 Under off a loss by 3 points or less
            UTEP: 1-8 ATS in November

            (TC) Pittsburgh at Rutgers, 12:00 EST
            Pittsburgh: 14-28 ATS away off an ATS loss
            Rutgers: 7-0 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

            (TC) Northwestern at Illinois, 12:00 EST
            Northwestern: 10-2 ATS away off BB games committing 3+ turnovers
            Illinois: 9-22 ATS at home after committing 1 or 0 turnovers


            Added Games:

            (TC) Louisiana Monroe at Alabama, 2:30 EST
            LA Monroe: 5-1 ATS off BB home games
            Alabama: 4-14 ATS in home games

            Louisiana Lafayette at Florida International, 7:00 EST
            LA Lafayette: 6-18 ATS as a favorite
            Florida Int: 8-4 Under off a conference loss

            (TC) Florida Atlantic at Florida, 12:00 EST
            Florida Atl: 0-6 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
            Florida: 5-1 Over off BB conference games

            ** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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            Comment


            • #7
              College Football – Write up

              NCAAF
              Write-up



              Friday's Games

              Underdog is 12-5 vs spread in Central-Eastern Michigan games, with last three all going OT; Chippewas won five of their last six games (losing only to Clemson) are 5-0 in MAC, winning home games by 21-25 pts- they’re 4-1 vs spread as favorite. The teams that beat Central held them to 22 or less points. Eastern held one of last seven foes under 26; they’re 3-7 vs spread as dog this season, 2-4 as road dog, with away losses by 24- 23-11-6-24 pts. All that, despite being +8 in turnovers their last five games.

              Hawai’i QB Brennan was cleared to play after concussion last week; Warriors are 4-0 on road this year, scoring 46 pg, but they needed OT to win at La Tech, San Jose (2-2 as road fave). Home side won last seven Hawai’i-Nevada games (6-1 vs spread), with Wolf Pack taking last two played here, 24-14/38-28. Nevada won last three games, scoring 36 pg, but they’ve allowed 36+ in five of nine games (1-4 in those, 4-0 in the others)- they had last week off, while Hawai’is travelling after beating Fresno Saturday

              Saturday’s Games

              Top Ten Games

              Penn State beat Michigan State the last three years, 37-13/31-22/ 17-13; home side covered 10 of last 14 series games. Spartans lost five of last seven after 4-0 start; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games- they allowed 32.7 pg in last seven. Lions won five of last six games; they’re 2-2 on the road, winning at Indiana (36-31), Temple (31-0). MSU is 4-2 at home, 1-2 in last three, losing to Northwestern (48-41ot), Michigan (28-24, when they led by 10 with 7:00 left).

              West Virginia won three of last four vs. Bearcats, winning last two years by 38-0/42-24 scores; home side is 4-0-1 vs spread in series. WVa won last four games since upset at South Florida, winning by 41-25-28-7 points- they’re 6-2-1 vs spread this year, all as favorite, 3-1-1 as road fave, with wins by 25-17-41-28 points. Bearcats held eight of nine D-I foes under 100 rushing yards this year (Pitt had 260). -- four of UC’s last five games stayed under total.

              Purdue won the Old Oaken Bucket last five years, by margins of
              24-8-39-27-9 points, winning the last two visits here, 24-16/41-14. Boilers are 2-4 in last six games after 5-0 start- they lost last two road games. Indiana lost four of last five games after 5-1 start; they blew game last week, letting freshman sub QB throw INT for TD in his only play as sub for dinged starter Lewis (IU led at time, 14-3), and Hoosiers wound up losing game by a FG that they should have won.

              Vanderbilt is 5-5, needs win here or vs Wake next week to be eligible for first bowl in 25 years. Tennessee beat Commodores 24 of last 25 years, but Vandy won their last visit here; ‘dores covered 12 of last 16 as road dog, have already won at South Carolina in ’07, but Vols are 6-0 at home (5-0-1 vs spread) with wins by 20-21-21-3-51-21 points. Vols are +8 in turnovers in last three games, with seven INTs- they held Arkansas to 127 yards rushing last week. Three of five Vandy losses are by 14+ points.

              Emergence of freshman RB Moreno has sparked Georgia run game (195.8 ypg in last four). Kentucky beat Georgia 24-20 LY (+7), for first series win in last 10 tries; UK allowed 31+ points in four of last five games. Wildcats are 2-1 SU on road, 3-2 vs the spread as dog, but -9 in turnovers last five games, with only four takeaways. Dawgs won four in row, seven of their last eight games, scoring 42-44-45 in last three, all vs foes who will be in bowls- they’re 4-1 at home, winning last three by 45-17/44-34/
              45-20 scores.

              Missouri beat Kansas State LY for first time in last 14 meetings; they lost last eight visits to Little Apple, (24-14/36-28 in last two), but are on roll this year, winning last four games, scoring 44.5 pg. Mizzou is 2-1 on road, winning 38-25 at Ole Miss, 55-10 at Colorado, losing 41-31 at Oklahoma. K-State gave up to 73 to dead Nebraska squad last week, their third loss in last four games. Tigers have biggest game in their recent history next week (vs rival Kansas in Arrowhead); they can’t look past this.

              Health of Henne, Hart kept this game off board most of week. Michigan lost five of last six games vs Ohio State, losing last three years by 37-21/25-21/42-39 scores; this is first time since ’59 both teams come into this game off a loss. Buckeyes had national title hopes dashed last week; they’re 4-0 on road, winning by 19-23-16-20 points. Wolverines won last five home games, scoring 33.4 pg- they covered six of last seven as a dog. Four of last five OSU games went over total.

              Boston College beat Clemson in OT in each of last two years, 16-13/34-33; Tigers outgained BC 479-322 LY, still lost. Clemson won, covered last four games overall (+7 in TO’s), winning by 56-13-37-34 points; they’re 2-2 as home favorite in ’07. Boston College covered last four tries as underdog, but lost last two weeks, 27-17/42-35 (-6 in TO’s)- they haven’t picked off pass in last three games. Four of last five Clemson games went over total, but three of BC’s last four stayed under.

              Underdog covered last four NC State-Wake Forest games, with Wake winning last two, 27-19/25-23; home side covered eight of last 11 series games. Wolfpack won last four games to even record (5-5), with seven INTs in last three; their last three games were all decided by five or less points. Wake lost their last two games, scoring 16-10 points, but they won last four at home, by 11-7-3-20 points. State covered last four tries as underdog. State needs one more win to become bowl eligible.

              Home side covered last four South Florida-Louisville games, with Cardinals losing last two visits here, 31-28OT/45-14 (as 20-point favorite). South Florida snapped 3-game skid last week, routing Syracuse; they scored 33-41 in last two games, and outscored last three opponents 49-13 in second half. Bulls covered 13 of last 20 as home favorite. Louisville is 2-0 as dog this season, disappointing 5-5 SU, 2-3 on road, losing at Kentucky (40-34), UConn (21-17), West Virginia (38-31).

              Rest of the Card

              -- Iowa needs win here to guarantee bowl bid; they’ve won last three games, by 7-11-5 points, but failed to cover last three tries as favorite. Western Michigan lost last three games; four of their last five were decided by four or less points.

              -- Temple scored seven points in losing its last two games (23-7/
              31-0) with QB Charlton replacing the injured starter DiMichele; they’re 6-3 vs spread as dog in ’07. Kent lost last five games, but is favored for third time in last four weeks, second straight time on road!!!!

              -- Underdog covered nine of last 13 Ga Tech-North Carolina games, with Tech winning eight of last nine, but Heels covered last three. Dog is 8-1 vs spread in last eight Tech games, with GT 2-4 as favorite. UNC had ball on 12-yard line to win at NC State last week, but fell just short; they’re 2-7 vs D-I teams.

              -- Syracuse is 2-6 vs spread as dog this season, 1-3 on road, with 35-0 loss at Iowa and pair of 3-point defeats; last four SU games stayed under total, as have four of last five Husky games. UConn is 3-1 as favorite, 5-0 SU at home, with wins by 5-34-4-7-19 points.

              -- Bowling Green is 6-0 when it scores 31+ points, 0-4 when it doesn’t; they’re 3-3 on road, and scored 82 points in winning last two games. Six of their last seven games went over total. Buffalo covered four of last five games; they’re 3-0 at home in MAC, winning by 21-10-16 points.

              -- Army lost last four games, by 24-24-20-35 points, allowing 38 pg (-9 TO ratio); they’re 3-4 vs spread as underdog in ’07. Tulsa crushed Houston 56-7 last week; they’re 2-2 on road, beating UL-Monroe 35-17, Tulane 49-25. Hurricane covered just two of last six as a favorite.

              -- Wyoming trailed 40-0 at half last week in Utah, as they go thru another late season slide, losing four of last five games (0-5 vs spread), but they’re 4-1 at home, losing 20-3 to New Mexico. BYU won six in row after 1-2 start; they’re 2-2 on road, winning at New Mexico (31-24), UNLV (24-14).

              -- Air Force just beat Army, Notre Dame last two weeks, could let down vs San Diego State squad that scored 65 points in winning last two games, after 2-5 start, but Falcons covered last six games, are 4-0 as favorite in ‘07. Aztecs covered four of last five tries as dog.

              -- Underdog covered 12 of last 15 Arkansas-Miss State games, with home side covering last five. Bulldogs are 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine tries as road dog; they beat Alabama last week to become bowl eligible, but since 11 of 12 SEC teams might be eligible, a seventh win wouldn’t hurt.

              -- Underdog is 6-2 vs spread in last eight New Mexico State-Utah State games; USU covered four of last six, even though they’ve lost 16 in row SU. NMex State lost last three games, giving up 50-40-51 points, so hard to endorse them, especially giving 9.5 points- they’re 1-1 as favorite this season.

              -- Baylor’s coach isn’t coming back in ’08; they’re 2-11 vs the spread in last 13 Big 12 games. Oklahoma State needs win to become bowl eligible, or Gundy won’t be back either. Cowboys allowed 81 points in losing last two games- they’re 1-2 vs spread as favorite, 1-3 SU on road, winning only at Nebraska.

              -- Oklahoma won last five games, last four by 10+ points; they’re just 1-3 as road favorite in ’07, but covered 10 of last 14 vs Texas Tech, which lost three of last four games and is 0-2 as underdog this year. Faves covered five of Tech’s last six games.

              -- 3-8 Iowa State won last two weeks, is only thing between Kansas and showdown with Missouri for Big 12 North title last week; home side is 12-3-1 vs. spread in Jayhawk-Cyclone series. Kansas covered 13 of last 14 games overall, but they did allow 39-28 points in last two games.

              -- Boise won last eight games, covered last three, outscoring last two foes 92-7, but Broncos play Hawai’i next week, so they could look past in-state rival that is 0-9 vs D-I teams (1-6 vs spread in last seven). None of their last five losses are by more than 16 points, however.

              -- Duke’s offensive coordinator was OC at Notre Dame LY, but Weis fired him; the guy’s kids still go to school in South Bend. Both teams 1-9, they both lost close games to Navy, Duke lost last seven games, failed to cover last four. Is this is the worst nationally televised game in history of college football?

              -- Not only has SMU’s coach already been fired, they blew 15-point lead in 4th quarter last week, their 8th loss in row (four of last six by six or less pts, or in OT). Central Florida failed to cover last eight tries as road favorite, but they’ve won four in row overall, with all four wins by 14+ points.

              -- Rice won last two games, allowing 90 points; they’ve allowed 45.1 pg vs D-I foes this year, and is 1-3 at home, even losing to I-AA Nicholls State. Tulane is 0-7 scoring less than 34 points; they split last four games after 1-5 start. Wave has 200+ rushing yards in five of last six games.

              -- Marshall covered just three of last 15 as road dog; they did upset East Carolina at home last week, holding hit Pirates to 7 points. Houston got crushed at Tulsa last week, ending 4-game win streak; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five tries when favored.

              -- Navy scored 74 points last week and didn’t cover, week after giving up 44 points and winning at Notre Dame- they trailed 49-45 at North Texas at the half last week. Northern Illinois ended five-game skid last week. Navy covered three of last 10 as home favorite- they have bowl bid locked up.

              -- Underdog covered seven of last eight Memphis-UAB games, with Blazers winning last seven SU; UAB has given up 240-335-216-338-402 rushing yards in last five games. Tigers upset Southern Miss last week; they need win to get to six, but their last four wins are all by three or less points.

              -- Cal lost four of last five games (0-5 vs spread), losing last two on road; they’re 1-5 vs spread in their last six tries as favorite. Washington QB Locker left with sprained neck last week; doubt he goes here, and there is dropoff to backup Bonnell. Huskies lost seven of their last eight games.

              -- Underdog covered eight of last 10 LSU-Ole Miss games, with four of last five decided by three or less pts; teams compete on recruiting trail (Orgeron is from Cajun country, grew up an LSU fan). Rebels are 5-1-1 vs spread in last seven SEC home games. Does LSU need style points?

              -- Miami tanked in Orange Bowl finale last week, losing 48-0 to Virginia, now go to Blacksburg after Tech beat Florida State last week. In its last two games, Miami is 10-35/178 passing, dismal numbers. Hokies won seven of last eight games, with last four wins all by 18+ points.

              -- Florida State covered four of last 15 as home favorite; they’re 3-1 at home, losing to Miami, winning by 10-17-19 points.- they’re 1-4 if they allow more than 17 points. Maryland ended 3-game skip beating BC last week; three of their last four losses were by seven or less points (30-17 vs Clemson).

              -- Utah is hot, winning last six games, covering last five; they won last four home games by combined score of 151-31- they allowed three points in last two games, opponents are 7 for last 41 on third down against Utes. New Mexico won four of last five games, but the loss was 37-0 at TCU.

              -- Favorite covered 12 of last 15 Oregon State-Wazzu games, with OSU covering six of last seven in series; their QB Canfield missed last week’s game, but Beavers won four of last five games, losing only at USC. Coogs won last two home games, beating UCLA 27-7, Stanford 33-17.

              -- San Jose State is 1-5 on road, beating winless Utah State, losing other five games by combined score of 188-27; they’re 2-5 vs spread as dog this season- they had 476 rushing yards vs Louisiana Tech LY in 44-10 win. Tech got waxed at LSU last week, after winning previous two games.

              -- Wisconsin is 3-3 in last six visits to Metrodome, with three wins by combined total of eight points. Minnesota lost last nine games (1-3 vs spread in last four), with three of their last four home losses by 14+ points. Badgers won three of last four games, winning by 41,30,16 points.

              -- TCU covered five of last seven as double digit favorite, but are 2-4 vs spread in last six tries overall as a favorite; they’re 4-1 at home this year, winning by 27-14-12-37 points. UNLV lost last six games, with four of six by 10 or less points- they’re 4-3 vs spread as an underdog this season.

              -- UTEP lost last four games, allowing 42.3 pg; they gave up 45-47 in two games they won before that, so they’re an awful team. on defense. Southern Miss got upset at home by Memphis last week; they’re 3-2 on road, losing at Tennessee, Boise State. Favorite covered their last ten road games.

              -- Rutgers lost three of last four home games; favorite covered four of their last five games. Pitt is 0-3 on road this year, losing at Michigan State (17-13), Virginia (44-14), Louisville (24-17)- their last three games stayed under total. Pitt is 3-2 as an underdog this season.

              -- Illinois had highly emotional win at Ohio State last week; their third win in row; they’re 4-2 vs spread as favorite this seasons. Northwestern covered three of last four tries as underdog, but Bacher threw nine INTs in last three games (-8 TO ratio in last four games).

              -- Alabama is 0-3 as home favorite this season, covered three of last 15 as double digit favorite; they beat UL-Monroe 41-7 LY (+24), but have huge Auburn game up next, coming off physical Miss State contest. UL-Monroe covered last three tries as an underdog, but this is deeper water for them- they lost 49-26 at Clemson in September (+26).

              -- UL-Lafayette ran ball for 376 yards in upset win at Middle Tennessee last week, week after running for 234 in loss at Tennessee; Cajuns are 1-0 as favorite this year, 1-4 on road, with only win last week. FIU is 0-9, but came close last week, losing 27-24 after leading 9-3 at the half.

              -- Florida scored 100 points in winning last two games; they have Seminoles on deck, after hammering South Carolina last week. FAU lost 41-6 at Oklahoma State, 45-17 at Kentucky, so they’re out of their league here, but as long the Gators’ check clears at the bank, it’s a productive night for Owls.

              ----------------------------------------------------------------------

              Comment


              • #8
                College Football - Tips & Trends

                NCAAF
                Tips and Trends



                ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                Tips and Trends
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                Friday, November 16

                Hawaii Warriors at Nevada Wolf Pack (11 PM ET | ESPN2)

                Friday night’s WAC meeting has the No. 12 Hawaii Warriors taking on the Nevada Wolf Pack. Hawaii is in the middle of a dream season, going 9-0 on the year and being led by Heisman candidate QB Colt Brennan. Brennan has thrown for 3,216 yards and 28 touchdowns on year, and needs just one more TD through the air to tie another NCAA record by throwing a TD in 35 straight games. He suffered a concussion last week, but has declared he’d be ready to face Nevada. The Wolf Pack defense are fresh off a horrible performance, allowing 407 passing yards to New Mexico State’s QB Chase Holbrook, which translates to a very long night for them against this Warriors passing offense. EDGE: HAWAII
                Hawaii QB Colt Brennan has put up outstanding numbers in two career games versus the Wolf Pack, completing 65-of-90 passes for 828 yards, seven TDs and one interception. In last year's meeting, a 41-34 Warriors win at Hawaii, Brennan went 36-for-47 with four TDs and no picks. EDGE: HAWAII
                Nevada’s redshirt freshman QB Colin Kaepernick has stepped in for the injured Nick Graziano and completed 81-of-145 passes for 1,248 yards, 13 TDs and only two interceptions, giving him a 155.0 passer rating that ranks 10th in the nation. His excellent play has Nevada in contention for a third consecutive bowl bid, but Wolf Pack coach Chris Ault said "We have Hawaii first." Kaepernick should be in line for another nice game, as the Hawaii passing defense has been shredded to the tone of 296 passing yards over their last three games. EDGE: NEVADA
                The Wolf Pack has won all three meetings between these schools in Reno, and holds a 6-5 edge in the series. Since Nevada joined the WAC in 2000, it has alternated wins and losses in its annual match-up with Hawaii as the home team has won every year. EDGE: NEVADA
                Nevada boasts one of the few offenses that may be able to keep up with Hawaii's. The Warriors lead the nation with 50.2 points per game, but the Wolf Pack rank 15th with 37.3. In four full games quarterback Colin Kaepernick has started, Nevada has averaged 43.8 points. BIG EDGE: OVER
                Hawaii is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games following an ATS loss.
                Hawaii is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 road games.
                Hawaii is 1-5 in its last 6 Friday games.
                Nevada is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against a winning team.
                Nevada is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games following a bye week.
                Nevada is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 conference games.


                Saturday, November 17

                #7 Ohio State at #21 Michigan (ABC | 12 PM ET)

                Michigan and Ohio Sate have met on the final Saturday of the Big Ten season every year since 1935, and this is the first time since 1959 both programs meet coming off of losses. Before Ohio State’s shocking loss to Illinois they had hopes of playing for the BCS title, now a trip to the Rose Bowl is on the table with a Big 10 Championship. “You come to Ohio State to play against Michigan" says OS WR Brian Hartline. Ohio State Coach Jim Tressel is 5-1 versus Michigan since taking over in 2001, and look to continue his team’s dominance on the road this season. State is 4-0 on the road and has won those games by an average of 22 points. EDGE: OHIO STATE
                Michigan simply didn’t look like they brought it’s A-game to Wisconsin last week, suffering a 37-21 loss. Players said they weren’t looking past that game, but it truly didn’t mean much in the run for the Big 10 Championship thanks to an eight-game winning streak in the middle of the season. Michigan scored an average of 31 points per game during that streak, and the players have stepped-up for their coach Lloyd Carr. “I am very proud of the way this team has fought this year, and we will fight again for a trip to the Rose Bowl” Michigan coach Lloyd Carr. EDGE: MICHIGAN
                Ohio State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games following an ATS loss.
                Ohio State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite.
                Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog.
                Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 conference games.
                The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.


                Northwestern at #19 Illinois (ESPN | 12 PM ET)

                After beating the top-ranked team in the country for the first time since 1956, the No. 21 Illinois look to close their first winning regular season in six years on a high note. Illinois has won three in-a-row and are averaging 33 points per game during the streak. QB Juice Williams has seen more action through the air during this streak, averaging 164 passing yards with 6 touchdowns. This red-hot Illinois offense should be able to make some nosie against a Northwestern team which is allowing 415 total yards per game on the road this season. EDGE: ILLINOIS
                Northwestern has played very good against their in-state rivals, “We're playing very good football” said Northwestern coach Pat Fitzgerald. Northwestern has won four in a row against Illinois and only one of those games was decided by fewer than 11 points. Northwestern hasn’t lost to Illinois since 2002. EDGE: NORTHWESTERN
                Northwestern is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog.
                Northwestern is 4-11 ATS in its 15 road games against a winning home team.
                Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win.
                Illinois is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite.


                #1 LSU at Mississippi (CBS | 3:30 PM ET)

                Top-ranked LSU travels to Mississippi looking to stay in the ***** of the national title race. The Tigers finally climbed back atop the AP poll winning three straight and jumping back into the top spot when Ohio State lost to Illinois on Saturday. During this three game streak LSU has averaged 43 points per game while racking up an average of 500+ yards. Not only has the Tigers offense been ticking, but their defense is allowing just 66 rushing yards per game and 237 yards overall – led by Glenn Dorsey. EDGE: LSU
                Since Eli Manning's graduation, Mississippi is 6-24 in SEC play, and has a 10-game losing streak against ranked teams, but the Rebels played Florida and Alabama close, and are coming off a bye week. “They are coming to our house, and I know we will be ready for the challenge." Mississippi coach Ed Orgeron said. SLIGHT EDGE: MISSISSIPPI
                LSU is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a road favorite of 10.5+ points.
                LSU is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 conference games.
                Mississippi is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 home games.
                Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games as a home underdog.
                Road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


                Iowa State at #3 Kansas (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

                Kansas is in the midst of a remarkable run from nowhere to legitimate national title contender. The Jayhawks are 10-0 on the season and have showed they can win high scoring and low scoring affairs. They are one of the rare teams in the league to not have any players listed on the injury report, and have been hard to stop, averaging 46 points per game overall. Kansas is putting up over 500 yards a game, and this is not good news for the Iowa State defense which is already allowing close to 400 yards a game. BIG EDGE: KANSAS
                The Iowa State Cyclones have been outscored by an average of 14.5 points in dropping all four of their road games this season. However, Iowa State is coming off one of its most impressive victories of the season, rallying from a 21-point halftime deficit to beat Colorado 31-28 last Saturday. This is following their 31-20 victory over Kansas State on Nov. 3, and the Cyclones have won back-to-back conference games for the first time since winning four in a row in 2005. "The two-game winning streak lets our team know we can play against the best teams in the country" State coach Gene Chizik said. EDGE: IOWA STATE
                Iowa State is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 conference games.
                Iowa State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against a winning team.
                Kansas is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 conference games.
                Kansas is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games as a home favorite.
                Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


                Penn State at Michigan State (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

                The Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan State Spartans wrap up their respective schedules, as the two are set for a Big Ten Conference clash. Penn State is coming off its second shutout of the season, a 31-0 triumph at Temple last weekend. The Nittany Lions have gotten hot down the stretch, winning five of their last six games. State is averaging 31 points per game over that winning stretch and Michigan State’s defense is giving up that exact number over their last three games. EDGE: PENN STATE
                Against Purdue, Michigan State QB Brian Hoyer completed 22-of-31 passes for 266 yards and two touchdowns. He looked often to Devin Thomas, who finished with 10 catches for 116 yards. The Spartans rank second in the conference with 205 rushing yards per game, and coach Mark Dantonio will stick with the run in this game. Michigan State know they need this game in order to officially lock up a bowl game, so expect a hard-fought game from start to finish. EDGE: MICHIGAN STATE
                Penn State is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games following an ATS win.
                Penn State is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 conference games.
                Michigan State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against a winning team.
                Michigan State is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games.
                Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.


                #6 West Virginia at #22 Cinncinnati (ESPN | 7:45 PM ET)

                West Virginia is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, but still managed to come away with a victory. The fifth-ranked Mountaineers continue their push for the Big East crown on Saturday when they visit the 25th-ranked Bearcats, who are back in the ***** of the conference chase. West Virginia beat Louisville 38-31 last Thursday to move up one place in the AP poll and one place in the BCS standings to sixth. West Virginia QB Pat White has rushed for 204 yards, two touchdowns, thrown for 198 yards, and two scores in two career games against Cincinnati.The Mountaineers are 13-1-1 against the Bearcats, and have won all five meetings in Cincinnati. EDGE: WEST VIRGINIA
                Cincinnati has eight regular-season wins for the first time since 1993, and is looking to notch nine victories for the first time since 1976. The Bearcats offense has been rolling along at home going 4-1 while averaging 37 points per game. While their offense has been clicking, the defense has been great at getting the ball back to them. The Bearcats lead the nation in both takeaways and interceptions, and this is great news for them considering the Mountaineers had a total of five fumbles alone in their last game. EGDE: CINNCINNATI
                West Virginia is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games as a road favorite.
                West Virginia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games against a winning team.
                Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win.
                Cincinnati is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 conference games.
                Under is 5-1 in West Virginia’s last 6 games following a SU win.


                #4 Oklahoma at Texas Tech (ABC | 8 PM ET)

                Oklahoma, which has won a record four Big 12 titles in its five championship game appearances, extended its conference win streak to five games with a 52-21 win over Baylor last Saturday. The Sooners moved up one spot in the AP poll, matching their highest ranking of the season. Oklahoma has won six-in-row and has been a powerhouse on offense, scoring an average of 30 points per game. This is good news for the Sooners, as now they face a Texas Tech defense which was just lit up for 59 points last week against Texas. EDGE: OKLAHOMA
                The Red Raiders have fallen on hard times, losing three out of their last four games. The good news has been their offense, compiling 542 yards per game on the season, while averaging 467 passing yards at home. The Red Raider passing attack is led by QB Graham Harell, who leads the Football Bowl Subdivision with 421 completions, 4,878 yards and 43 TDs, who will face an Sooner defense which is allowing 8 yards per pass completion. EDGE: TEXAS TECH
                Oklahoma is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games against a winning home record.
                Oklahoma is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games overall.
                Texas Tech is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog.
                Texas Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against a winning team.
                Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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                Comment


                • #9
                  NCAAF
                  Preview



                  Friday, November 16

                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                  What bettors need to know: Hawaii at Nevada
                  ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                  Brennan’s back

                  Hawaii star quarterback Colt Brennan returned to practice on Wednesday.

                  Brennan suffered a concussion in last Saturday’s 37-30 victory over Fresno State. The concussion caused Brennan to miss two practices this week and raised speculation he could miss Saturday’s tilt versus the Wolf Pack.

                  “If the game was today, I would say he would play,” Hawaii coach June Jones told reporters.

                  Brennan is 65-for-90 for more than 800 yards with seven touchdowns in two career meetings with the Wolf Pack. The senior also has more than 3,200 passing yards and 28 touchdowns against 12 interceptions this campaign overall.

                  “I’ve just got to hope that I continue to get better and feel good,” Brennan told reporters. “Hopefully Friday, I can get cleared. That's all I'm waiting for.”

                  Warriors shorthanded

                  Hawaii running back Kealoha Pilares is doubtful for Saturday.

                  Hawaii is averaging 73.2 rushing yards per game, with Pilares averaging less than 40 yards. Pilares has three rushing touchdowns this season, while quarterback Brennan leads the Warriors with six.

                  “You know they're going to pass the ball,” Wolf Pack senior defensive back Damon Jenkins told the Sacramento Bee. “That's what makes this year a little like 2005. They're a little more predictable. Still tough to stop, but a little more one-dimensional.”

                  The Warriors have the second-ranked passing attack in the country, tallying more than 450 yards per contest. They have also scored 28 passing touchdowns this season and are averaging more than 50 points per contest.

                  “If we stick to our game plan and execute it like we did two years ago we can beat them,” Jenkins told reporters.

                  Wolf Pack on the attack

                  Everyone in the country is familiar with Hawaii’s potent aerial attack. Not many people, though, are aware of Nevada’s bruising ground assault.

                  “In any situation, any team you’re playing, they say the best defense is a good offense,” Wolf Pack center Dominic Green told the Reno Gazette-Journal. “That's where we try to pride ourselves on. Our main goal is time of possession the last four years, ever since Coach Ault and Coach K (offensive coordinator Chris Klenakis) came back. That's what any offense should try to do – keep the ball, keep your defense off the field and good things will happen.”

                  Wolf Pack running back Luke Lippincott leads the team with more than 1,200 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns. Lippincott is also averaging more than 115 rushing yards per contest. He has also surpassed the 100-yard plateau six times this season and eight times in his collegiate career.

                  “We've got to try to run the clock and keep the ball as long as we can and score once we get into the red zone,” Lippincott told reporters.

                  Nevada is averaging an impressive 230 rushing yards per contest. It is also the only school in the conference averaging more than five yards per carry.

                  Hawaii, though, can be stifling on defense as well. The Warriors have allowed a meager 110 rushing yards per showing.

                  Crunching the numbers

                  Nevada holds a narrow 6-5 lead in the all-time series against Hawaii after losing 41-34 last season.

                  The Warriors have never beaten Nevada in Reno. Nevada is also a stunning 5-1 against the spread (ATS) at Mackay Stadium against teams with winning records.

                  Since the Wolf Pack joined the Western Athletic Conference in 2001 they have rotated wins and losses with the Warriors.

                  The home team has won every contest. It is also 5-1 ATS in the last six contests between Hawaii and Nevada.

                  Nevada is in contention for a third straight bowl bid, though head coach Chris Ault isn’t thinking past Friday’s matchup with the conference-leading Warriors.

                  “We'd better not be thinking about a bowl, we have Hawaii first,” Ault told reporters.

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                  Comment


                  • #10
                    College Football - Gameday

                    NCAAF
                    Gameday


                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                    NCAAF Gameday
                    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    College Football Gameday

                    Friday – Hawaii (13) at Nevada

                    The Warriors defeated Fresno State 37-30 as a 19-point favorite last week, but may have suffered a huge injury setback in the victory. Hawaii quarterback Colt Brennan was knocked out cold and suffered a concussion in the win, which leaves his status for Friday up in the air. Hawaii head coach June Jones said Brennan will be a game-time decision on Friday night.

                    Before getting knocked out Brennan completed 28-of-39 passes for 396 yards with two touchdown passes, an interception and a rushing TD against Fresno State. Running back Leon Wright-Jackson provided the rest of the Warriors’ offense with 65 yards and a touchdown on six carries. If Brennan can’t play on Friday, backup QB Tyler Graunke would get the call. Graunke has seen some action this season and has completed 44-of-72 passes for 734 yards with seven touchdowns and five interceptions.

                    The Wolf Pack were off last week and played their last game on Nov. 2 when they edged New Mexico State 40-38 as a 6.5-point underdog. Nevada quarterback Colin Kaepernick had a monster game while completing 15-of-28 passes for 237 yards with three touchdowns and an interception, while also rushing for 136 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries. Luke Lippincott was also strong on the ground with 143 rushing yards on 30 carries, and Marko Mitchell led all receivers with six receptions for 132 yards and a touchdown.

                    When Hawaii faced Nevada last season the Warriors defeated the Wolf Pack 41-34 as a 13.5-point favorite. Brennan threw four touchdowns passes and also ran in for a score in the won.

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                    Comment


                    • #11
                      NCAAF
                      Matchup notes


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                      College football key matchup notes - Week 12
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                      Friday, November 16

                      No. 12 Hawaii at Nevada (+7, 79)
                      The Hawaii quarterback is expected to be a game-time decision Friday night when the No. 12 Warriors seek to remain unbeaten as they visit the Wolf Pack.

                      Saturday, November 17

                      No. 7 Ohio State at No. 23 Michigan (N/A)
                      Michigan leads the series with Ohio State 57-40-6 and 30-18-4 in Ann Arbor. Carr is 6-6 against the Buckeyes.


                      Northwestern at No. 21 Illinois (-13 1/2, 56 1/2)
                      Northwestern is 44-51-5 all-time against Illinois, but has won four in a row in the series and only one of those games was decided by fewer than 11 points.


                      Florida Atlantic at No. 14 Florida (-34, 67 1/2)
                      Tim Tebow looks to continue making his case for becoming the first sophomore to win the Heisman Trophy when he leads 14th-ranked Florida into its first meeting with Florida Atlantic on Saturday.


                      No. 6 Missouri at Kansas State (+7, 68 1/2)
                      The Wildcats look to bounce back at home, where they're 4-1. Their only defeat in Manhattan came Oct. 6 against Kansas, the only team from a BCS conference without a loss.


                      No. 20 Kentucky at No. 9 Georgia (-8, 61)
                      The Wildcats have never beaten three top 10 teams in one season, but that could change on Saturday.


                      Idaho at No. 15 Boise State (-33 1/2, 65)
                      Boise State is looking for its 45th straight regular-season home win.


                      Vanderbilt at No. 19 Tennessee (-11 1/2, 52)
                      Vanderbilt ranks second-to-last in the SEC in offense (330 ypg) and scoring (21.9 ppg), but had one of it's best games against the Wildcats, gaining 432 yards.


                      No. 24 Wisconsin at Minnesota (+13 1/2, 57)
                      Minnesota has lost both of it's games against ranked opponents this season, and nine straight games to Top 25 teams since a 42-35 double-overtime victory over Purdue on Sept. 24, 2005.


                      No. 1 Louisiana State at Mississippi (+19 1/2, 54)
                      LSU had to wait 48 years to make it to No. 1 in the Top 25. The Tigers hope to make the most of a second stint that came about much more quickly.


                      Iowa State at No. 4 Kansas (-26, 58)
                      Kansas is in the midst of a remarkable run from nowhere to legitimate national title contender, but coach Mark Mangino doesn't want his team looking ahead.


                      Miami at No. 10 Virginia Tech (-17, 42)
                      Miami (5-5, 2-4) has lost four of five, including three to unranked teams. In order to qualify for a bowl game for the 10th straight year, they'll have to win either at Virginia Tech (8-2, 5-1) or at 18th-ranked Boston College next week.


                      No. 5 West Virginia at No. 25 Cincinnati (+6 1/2, 55 1/2)
                      Cincinnati has eight regular-season wins for the first time since 1993, and is looking to notch nine victories for the first time since 1976.


                      No. 18 Boston College at No. 16 Clemson (-7 1/2, 52 1/2)
                      Boston College has lost it's national championship hopes, and now Clemson would relish spoiling its new rival's shot at the ACC title.


                      No. 3 Oklahoma at Texas Tech (+8 1/2, 66)
                      Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven meetings with Oklahoma to fall to 3-11 all-time against the Sooners. The Red Raiders, though, won the teams' last matchup in Lubbock 23-21 on Nov. 19, 2005.

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                      Comment


                      • #12
                        National Football League - Dunkel Index

                        NFL
                        Dunkel Index


                        Week 11

                        Chicago at Seattle
                        The on-again, off-again saga of Rex Grossman appears to be on again as the much-criticized QB came off the bench last week and led the Bears to a win over the Raiders. It likely saved the Bears season -- at least for the moment -- and set up a showdown for this weekend in Seattle. These two team met twice last year with the Bears winning both times, the first during the regular season at home (37-6) and the second in the divisional playoff (27-24). But it is Seattle that comes in with the better record at this point and in first place in the division, while the Bears are likely scratching for a wild card bid. The difference between the two teams doesn't look to be that great, though. Four of Seattle's five wins have come against losing teams (Cincinnati, St. Louis and San Francisco twice), while the Bears have actually played better ball on the road (3-2 record) than at Soldier Field (1-3) with notable victories at Philadelphia and Green Bay. Lovie Smith is sticking with Grossman this week looking for a little of last season's magic. The should make for a good underdog pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has Chicago favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+ Here are all of this week's picks.

                        SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 18

                        Game 403-404: San Diego at Jacksonville
                        Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.733; Jacksonville 132.944
                        Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 47
                        Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 3; 40 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+3); Over

                        Game 405-406: Kansas City at Indianapolis
                        Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.159; Indianapolis 150.679
                        Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 25 1/2; 41
                        Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 14 1/2; 44 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-14 1/2); Under

                        Game 407-408: Oakland at Minnesota
                        Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 122.759; Minnesota 133.595
                        Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 11; 32
                        Vegas Line: Minnesota by 5; 35 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-5); Under

                        Game 409-410: Cleveland at Baltimore
                        Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.240; Baltimore 130.107
                        Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 4; 47
                        Vegas Line: Cleveland by 3; 43 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+3); Over

                        Game 411-412: Pittsburgh at NY Jets
                        Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.003; NY Jets 125.759
                        Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 12 1/2; 44
                        Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-9 1/2); Over

                        Game 413-414: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
                        Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 131.556; Atlanta 125.997
                        Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 5 1/2; 37
                        Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 3; 35 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-3); Over

                        Game 415-416: Arizona at Cincinnati
                        Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 128.651; Cincinnati 128.841
                        Dunkel Line: Even; 44
                        Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 3 1/2; 48
                        Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3 1/2); Under

                        Game 417-418: Miami at Philadelphia
                        Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.412; Philadelphia 132.231
                        Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 12; 46
                        Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 10; 40 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-10); Over

                        Game 419-420: New England at Buffalo
                        Dunkel Ratings: New England 151.973; Buffalo 131.347
                        Dunkel Line: New England by 20 1/2; 48
                        Vegas Line: New England by 14 1/2; 46 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: New England (-14 1/2); Over

                        Game 421-422: Washington at Dallas
                        Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.164; Dallas 142.188
                        Dunkel Line: Dallas by 18; 51
                        Vegas Line: Dallas by 10 1/2; 47 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-10 1/2); Over

                        Game 423-424: New Orleans at Houston
                        Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 130.026; Houston 127.300
                        Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 3; 53
                        Vegas Line: Houston by 1; 48
                        Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+1); Over

                        Game 425-426: Carolina at Green Bay
                        Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 125.292; Green Bay 139.830
                        Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 14 1/2; 32
                        Vegas Line: Green Bay by 9 1/2; 37 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-9 1/2); Under

                        Game 427-428: NY Giants at Detroit
                        Dunkel Ratings: NY Giants 132.018; Detroit 135.970
                        Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 47
                        Vegas Line: NY Giants by 3; 49
                        Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Under

                        Game 429-430: St. Louis at San Francisco
                        Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 117.074; San Francisco 121.724
                        Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 4 1/2; 44
                        Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3; 40
                        Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3); Over

                        Game 431-432: Chicago at Seattle
                        Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.276; Seattle 128.293
                        Dunkel Line: Chicago by 1; 40
                        Vegas Line: Seattle by 6; 37 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6); Over


                        MONDAY, NOVEMBER 19

                        Game 433-434: Tennessee at Denver
                        Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 133.358; Denver 129.003
                        Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 4; 41
                        Vegas Line: Denver by 3; 38 1/2
                        Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+3); Over

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                        Comment


                        • #13
                          National Football League – Long Sheet

                          NFL
                          Long Sheet


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Sunday, November 18
                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          SAN DIEGO (5 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE (6 - 3) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          JACKSONVILLE is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games off a win against a division rival since 1992.
                          SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          KANSAS CITY (4 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 2) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                          INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
                          INDIANAPOLIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
                          INDIANAPOLIS is 30-49 ATS (-23.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
                          INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
                          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          OAKLAND (2 - 7) at MINNESOTA (3 - 6) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          OAKLAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                          OAKLAND is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
                          OAKLAND is 21-46 ATS (-29.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
                          OAKLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                          OAKLAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                          MINNESOTA is 38-59 ATS (-26.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          CLEVELAND (5 - 4) at BALTIMORE (4 - 5) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
                          BALTIMORE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
                          BALTIMORE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          CLEVELAND is 4-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
                          BALTIMORE is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                          3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          PITTSBURGH (7 - 2) at NY JETS (1 - 8) - 11/18/2007, 4:05 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          PITTSBURGH is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
                          PITTSBURGH is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games off a win against a division rival since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          TAMPA BAY (5 - 4) at ATLANTA (3 - 6) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          ATLANTA is 3-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
                          ATLANTA is 2-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          ARIZONA (4 - 5) at CINCINNATI (3 - 6) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          MIAMI (0 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 5) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          PHILADELPHIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                          PHILADELPHIA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          NEW ENGLAND (9 - 0) at BUFFALO (5 - 4) - 11/18/2007, 8:15 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          BUFFALO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          BUFFALO is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
                          BUFFALO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          BUFFALO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                          BUFFALO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 114-83 ATS (+22.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins since 1992.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 73-50 ATS (+18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 50-27 ATS (+20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                          NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          NEW ENGLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                          NEW ENGLAND is 5-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          WASHINGTON (5 - 4) at DALLAS (8 - 1) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          WASHINGTON is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
                          WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                          WASHINGTON is 43-67 ATS (-30.7 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
                          DALLAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                          WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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                          NEW ORLEANS (4 - 5) at HOUSTON (4 - 5) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
                          NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          CAROLINA (4 - 5) at GREEN BAY (8 - 1) - 11/18/2007, 1:00 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                          GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
                          GREEN BAY is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
                          CAROLINA is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
                          CAROLINA is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
                          GREEN BAY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          GREEN BAY is 1-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                          CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
                          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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                          NY GIANTS (6 - 3) at DETROIT (6 - 3) - 11/18/2007, 4:15 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          NY GIANTS are 17-38 ATS (-24.8 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
                          NY GIANTS are 20-40 ATS (-24.0 Units) in November games since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                          ST LOUIS (1 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 7) - 11/18/2007, 4:15 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          ST LOUIS is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
                          ST LOUIS is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
                          ST LOUIS is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in November games since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          SAN FRANCISCO is 5-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
                          SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
                          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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                          CHICAGO (4 - 5) at SEATTLE (5 - 4) - 11/18/2007, 4:15 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          CHICAGO is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
                          CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
                          SEATTLE is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
                          SEATTLE is 43-69 ATS (-32.9 Units) off a division game since 1992.
                          SEATTLE is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
                          SEATTLE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          SEATTLE is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                          CHICAGO is 2-0 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
                          2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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                          Monday, November 19
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                          TENNESSEE (6 - 3) at DENVER (4 - 5) - 11/19/2007, 8:30 PM
                          Top Trends for this game.
                          TENNESSEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                          DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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                          • #14
                            National Football League - Short Sheet

                            NFL
                            Short Sheet



                            Sunday, November 18th

                            San Diego at Jacksonville, 1:00 EST
                            San Diego: 9-1 ATS vs. AFC South opponents
                            Jacksonville: 1-7 ATS off BB Overs

                            Kansas City at Indianapolis, 1:00 EST
                            Kansas City: 5-1 ATS off BB ATS losses
                            Indianapolis: 28-14 Over off a loss as a favorite

                            Oakland at Minnesota, 1:00 EST
                            Oakland: 2-9 ATS off 4+ losses
                            Minnesota: 17-7 Over after allowing 450+ total yards

                            Cleveland at Baltimore, 1:00 EST
                            Cleveland: 10-0 ATS after allowing 30+ points
                            Baltimore: 0-6 ATS vs. conference opponents

                            Pittsburgh at NY Jets, 1:00 EST
                            Pittsburgh: 13-4 ATS off BB home wins
                            NY Jets: 0-7 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less

                            Tampa Bay at Atlanta, 1:00 EST
                            Tampa Bay: 15-5 Under in road games
                            Atlanta: 5-15 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

                            Arizona at Cincinnati, 1:00 EST
                            Arizona: 19-8 Over as an underdog
                            Cincinnati: 0-7 ATS at home after losing 2 of their last 3 games

                            Miami at Philadelphia, 1:00 EST
                            Miami: 6-15 ATS off an Under
                            Philadelphia: 9-2 ATS off a division game

                            New England at Buffalo, 1:00 EST
                            New England: 8-1 ATS as a favorite
                            Buffalo: 6-1 Over off a division win

                            Washington at Dallas, 1:00 EST
                            Washington: 15-30 ATS after allowing 30+ points
                            Dallas: 6-0 ATS vs. conference opponents

                            New Orleans at Houston, 1:00 EST
                            New Orleans: 1-6 ATS off BB Overs
                            Houston: 10-2 Over with a line of +3 to -3

                            Carolina at Green Bay, 1:00 EST
                            Carolina: 30-16 ATS away off an ATS loss
                            Green Bay: 0-8 ATS at home off an Under

                            NY Giants at Detroit, 4:15 EST
                            NY Giants: 23-10 Under away in November
                            Detroit: 3-7 ATS in November

                            St. Louis at San Francisco, 4:15 EST
                            St. Louis: 5-17 ATS playing with same-season revenge
                            San Francisco: 21-8 ATS vs. St. Louis

                            Chicago at Seattle, 8:15 EST NBC
                            Chicago: 8-2 ATS off BB Unders
                            Seattle: 1-4 ATS vs. NFC North opponents


                            Monday, November 19th

                            Tennessee at Denver, 8:30 EST ESPN
                            Tennessee: 14-4 ATS as an underdog
                            Denver: 1-10 ATS as a home favorite

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                            • #15
                              National Football League – Write up

                              NFL
                              Write-up



                              Week 11 NFL schedule

                              Sunday, November 18

                              Chargers (5-4) @ Jaguars (6-3) —San Diego is +13 in turnovers last five games (13 INTs), with four special teams TDs in last three games, but their passing game has gained just 4.3/3.3 ypa in last two games, as Rivers looked lost. In last three games, Bolts gained 237-229-177 total yards, and have just two offensive TDs on 23 drives (11 3/outs) in last two games; they’re 1-3 on road, routing Denver, but giving up 38-31-35 points in three losses. Jaguars are home for first time in four weeks; they’re 2-2 at Alltel- four of their last five games went over total. Chargers are 5-0 allowing less than 31 points. Would be very concerned about Charger offense.

                              Chiefs (4-5) @ Colts (7-2) —Indy lost last two games, now has major injury issues, with Harrison, Freeney, Clark all banged up; they allowed 24-23 points in losing last two games, after not allowing more than 20 in any of seven wins- they’re 3-1 at home, with wins by 41-10/38-20/33-14 scores. Chiefs are 0-2 since bye, losing by 11,16, allowing 30 peg; they didn’t have first down in first half of playoff loss here LY; they’re without QB Huard, star RB Johnson here, as Alabama alum Croyle makes first NFL start. KC is 2-2 on road, 3-1 as road dog. All four Indy games since its bye stayed under the total.

                              Raiders (2-7) @ Vikings (3-6) — Star rookie RB Peterson is out (knee) so Viking passing game (less than six yards per attempt in seven of last eight games) will need to produce, but they have started three different QB’s in last three games, so hard to have any continuity there. Oakland is 0-5 since its bye, with losses by 14-2-4-7-11 points; they’re 1-3 on road, 3-1 as road dog, with losses by 3-14-4 points. This is their only game all season on artificial turf. Vikings are 2-2 at home; this is first time they’ve been favored since Week 1, when they beat Falcons 24-3 (-3). Under is 4-0-1 in last five Raider games, but last three games at Metrodome went over.

                              Browns (5-4) @ Ravens (4-5) —Baltimore is back to Boller at QB, in midst of three-game skid (three TDs on 35 drives, 10 turnovers in last two games); they lost at home for first time in four tries last week. Ravens ran ball 32 times in last two games, with 73 dropbacks, too much passing for them. In their last 18 trips to red zone, Ravens have four TDs, which is awful. Browns scored 27+ points in each of last four games, behind Raven reject Anderson; they’re just 1-3 on road, beating the 1-8 Rams, allowing 27.8 ppg. Cleveland is 3-0 vs spread when favored this season. Five of last six Raven games stayed under total, but over is 8-1 in Cleveland games.

                              Steelers (7-2) @ Jets (1-8) —Indy’s recent struggles put #2 seed in AFC within reach for Steelers, so they can’t afford slip-up here vs Jet squad that last won in Week 3. Pitt is 2-2 on road, 6-3 vs spread as favorite; they scored 30.3 pg in four games since its bye. Jets lost last six games (1-5 vs spread); bye week gave new starting QB Clemens time to work. Last four Jet losses are by 7-7-10-3 points- they were 11-18 on 3rd down in Clemens’ first start, after being 10-37 in previous three, so Clemens can make plays. In last five games, Steelers outrushed opponents by total of 691-323- they need to avoid letdown, after beating three divisional rivals in last three games, with Monday nighter up next.

                              Buccaneers (5-4) @ Falcons (3-6) —Tampa allowed 20-33-23-24 points in its losses, 14 or less in its wins; they’re 1-3 on road, winning only at Carolina. Bucs are 0-4 when they don’t win turnover battle, 5-0 when they do. Falcons scored more than 20 in only one ’07 game, although they did get 20 in last two games since bye, both wins. They allowed 14.5 pg in last two games, but opposing QB’s were Smith, Testaverde, so hard to get too excited, although win is a win. Bucs ran ball for 124-136-162 yards in last three games; they were +10/+14 in field position last two games. Last five Atlanta games, and five of last seven Tampa games stayed under total.

                              Cardinals (4-5) @ Bengals (3-6) —Arizona is 4-1 when it scores more than 21 points, 0-4 when it does not; Bengals allowed 24+ points in seven of last eight games, shutting down inept Ravens last week- they are 2-2 at home, allowing average of 27.3 pg. Cardinals are 1-4 on road, with losses by 3-3-2-7 points (4-1-1 as underdog, 2-1-1 on road). Bengals were +4/+1/+6 in turnovers in their three wins; they haven’t won a game without winning TO margin. Cards turned ball over 2+ times in each of last six games (-8 in last four games). Cincy is 2-3 as a favorite this season. NFC teams won six of last eight vs AFC, cutting season lead to 20-19.

                              Dolphins (0-9) @ Eagles (4-5) —Winless Miami gives BYU rookie Beck his first NFL vs blitzing Eagle defense that allowed 38-25 points last two weeks, after giving up 16.7 pg over first seven games of season. Fish may be 0-9, but they’ve lost five games by a FG, and are 2-1-2 vs spread as road dog. Eagles are 2-3 at home, losing last two there; they’ve only won field position battle twice this year, and both times it was by single yard, but Miami has lost FP by 13-20-17 yards last three weeks. Philly is 0-3 this season in game following a win; they’re 2-4 vs spread as favorite. Over last four games, Miami was outscored 82-20 in first half.

                              Patriots (9-0) @ Bills (5-4) —Buffalo is 4-0 since its bye, allowing 12 pg; they’re 4-2 at home, with pair of one-point losses (Denver/ Dallas); they’ve only lost field position battle in one game, but that was 38-7 loss at Foxboro in Week 3, when Pats outgained them 485-193, averaging 10.2 ypa, while Bills averaged just 2.8. NE scored 17 points on its four drives that started in Buffalo territory, while Bills went 3/out on six of 10 drives. Patriots come off bye; they’re 4-0 on orad, winning by 24-21-21- 21-4 points; seven of their nine games went over total. Bills won last four games that stayed under, but are 1-2 if games goes over total- they’re sticking with Losman as starting QB.

                              Redskins (5-4) @ Cowboys (8-1) —Dallas won last three games, by 10-21-11 points, scoring 31 pg; they’re 3-0 as home favorite this season, winning 45-35/35-7/24-14- seven of their nine games went over total, as did last four Redskin games. In their nine wins, Pokes outscored foes 170-60 in 2nd half (outscored 27-10 in second half by Patriots, their only loss). Redskins are 2-2 on road, losing 17-14 at Lambeau, 52-7 at Foxboro; they’ve been outscored 80-41 in second half of last five games. Redskins are
                              3-0 SU in game following loss this season, 1-1-1 vs spread as the dog. Redskin rush defense allowed 152-124-139 yards in their last three games.

                              Saints (4-5) @ Texans (4-5) - N.O. had won four in row before Rams ambushed them in Superdome last week; Bulger was 28-34/276 against Saints, not sure Texans can match that production (12+ IP’s in five of last six games). Saints beat Seattle, 49ers in last two road games- they averaged over seven yards per pass attempt in last three games. Texans are 2-2 at home; they’re 4-1 when allowing 21 or less points, 0-4 when they allow 26+. Saints scored 31-41-29 in last three weeks, and outsacked opponents 17-2 over last six. Saints played last six weeks in row; Texans are coming off their bye week. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Houston games, 4-1 in Saints’ last five.

                              Panthers (4-5) @ Packers (8-1) —Green Bay won last four games, allowing 12.5 pg; they scored 67 points in last two games (six TD’s, seven FGA on 20 drives); their four home wins are by 3-7-3-34 points. Carolina has Vinny, Carr back at QB; they’re 0-3 since bye, scoring 9 pg, losing by 24-13-7 points. Panthers averaged 5.1 ypa or less in seven or less eight games, were outscored 41-10 in second half of last three games. Underrated Packer defense allowed only one of last eight opponents to run ball for 95+ yards- their last five foes are combined 12 for last 57 (21.1%) on third down. Last six Carolina games stayed under, as did three of last four Packer tilts.

                              Giants (6-3) @ Lions (6-3) —If playoffs started now, these would be two NFC wild cards, so big game in playoff positioning; Detroit has 29 takeaways in nine games, but are only +7, since March Madness doesn’t exactly stress ball security (five TO’s at Arizona last week). Lions lost field position battle in last six games; they’re 1-3 if they don’t win turnover battle. Giants had six-game win streak ended by Dallas last week; they won last three away games, allowing 12.3 pg, but averaged just 3.7/4.5/5.0 ypa in last three games overall. Detroit is 4-0 at home, scoring 31.8 pg- they somehow had -18 rushing yards last week, which isn’t easy to do in NFL.

                              Rams (1-8) @ 49ers (2-7) —St Louis is road favorite despite winning first game in Week 10, that’s how awful 49ers are. SF won first meeting 17-16, despite being outgained 392-186; Rams lost three fumbles in game, lost field position battle by 14 yards. Niners are on short week, with funeral of coach Nolan’s dad mixed in; they scored two TD’s on 36 drives in last three games, and scored just two TDs on last 26 drives at home. Rams came off bye and upset Saints in Superdome; Bulger was 28-34/276 in air. Despite records, thinking St Louis is in way better shape mentally at this point, especially with 49ers coming off MNF disaster- they’re four for last 25 on third down.

                              Bears (4-5) @ Seahawks (5-4) — Chicago’s QB situation is totally screwed up; they scored three TD’s on last 32 drives, but big one was 61-yard pass to Berrian that beat Raiders and kept Bears alive in race for playoffs. Chicago is 0-3 in game following a win; they’re 4-2 when allowing 20 or less points, 0-3 otherwise, and scored just pair of field goals in first half of last three games. Seattle is 1-3 after win; they had easy win on Monday, no travel, so it shouldn’t be too much of an issue. Bears been held under 100 rushing yards in each of last seven games. Five of last seven Seattle games stayed under total, as did Chicago’s last three contests.

                              Monday, November 19

                              Titans (6-3) @ Broncos (5-4) —Tennessee is 3-1 on road, losing only by FG at Tampa; three of their four road games were decided by three or less points- they had three-game win streak snapped by jags last week, as Jax outrushed Titans 166-62. Denver won for just second time in seven games at KC last week; they’re 2-3 at home, with both wins by FG. Bronco offense can’t carry team, scoring just three FGs on last 20 drives that started 80+ yards from goal line. Titans turned ball over seven times in last two games- they’re 4-1 if they turn it over less than three times. Under is 6-2-1 in Tennessee games, but seven of last eight Denver games went over.

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