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16-1 NFL Stat since 1991

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  • 16-1 NFL Stat since 1991

    Hey guys, I came across this stat a few days ago and it took a little while to check out, but I did and it does stand at 16-1 since 1991.

    Play on a winless DOG after week 4 coming off a bye.

    Since 1991 there have only been 17 plays and none this year but we have two this week since the only two winless teams happen to both be off a bye and are underdogs. System tells us to play on Miami and St. Louis in week 10.

    Track and save this one. 94% is nothing to sneeze at. If nothing else it may help you make a decision if sitting on the fence. Dont know about you, but even a strong 94% wouldnt be my only reason to take a game. But its tempting. Lets see how they go this week.
    "The power of accurate observation is frequently called cynicism by those who don't have it." George Bernard Shaw

  • #2
    Gl With This Buddy And Nice Info
    MLB 2012***100-98 +$215 OR +2.15 UNITS
    HUGE PLAYS 2-1

    NFL 2011-2012** 6-10
    0-0TOP PLAYS

    NCAA FBL 2011-2012**** 26-23

    4-1 TOP PLAYS


    GOY 33-12 ALL SPORTS

    AS of 6/3/12

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    • #3
      Thanks for the info bro!

      Comment


      • #4
        Really like the Rams +11.5 in this spot, especially off the bye with guys getting healthy. Miami could win as well, Buffalo is playing well though.

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        • #5
          Great info. Very tempting but man do those teams stink. I'd lean more toward Miami than St Louis who is running into a buzz saw with the red hot Saints...

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          • #6
            I agree Hokie they do stink, but think about it. I think that is part of the reason why the angle is successful. Since the teams need to be at least 0-4 for the stat to be valid (and remember its not just because of byes because byes start in week 3 I believe) maybe it has something to do with a growing desperation and nothing to lose attitude on their part combined with their opponent taking them lightly after the subject team had an extra week to prepare. Ah, who knows, just my opinion.
            "The power of accurate observation is frequently called cynicism by those who don't have it." George Bernard Shaw

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by 3ebRocks
              I agree Hokie they do stink, but think about it. I think that is part of the reason why the angle is successful. Since the teams need to be at least 0-4 for the stat to be valid (and remember its not just because of byes because byes start in week 3 I believe) maybe it has something to do with a growing desperation and nothing to lose attitude on their part combined with their opponent taking them lightly after the subject team had an extra week to prepare. Ah, who knows, just my opinion.
              And also they get a bunch of points too....this trend doesnt have them winning...just covering as a huge underdog....
              SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Chado1
                And also they get a bunch of points too....this trend doesnt have them winning...just covering as a huge underdog....

                thats my thinking
                Questions, comments, complaints:
                [email protected]

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                • #9
                  Originally posted by 3ebRocks
                  [B][SIZE="4"][COLOR="Blue"]
                  Play on a winless DOG after week 4 coming off a bye.
                  After week 5 not week 4

                  Week 5 ATS 4-3

                  From week 6

                  16-2 ATS

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by 3ebRocks
                    I agree Hokie they do stink, but think about it. I think that is part of the reason why the angle is successful. Since the teams need to be at least 0-4 for the stat to be valid (and remember its not just because of byes because byes start in week 3 I believe) maybe it has something to do with a growing desperation and nothing to lose attitude on their part combined with their opponent taking them lightly after the subject team had an extra week to prepare. Ah, who knows, just my opinion.
                    I totally agree with your logic. And I actually didn't realize the Rams were gettin 11.5! Even against the hot Saints, that sounds pretty good to me. Hopefully Jackson's groin (ouch) holds up this weekend. That would make all the difference! I'll give em a go.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by frankb03
                      After week 5 not week 4

                      Week 5 ATS 4-3

                      From week 6

                      16-2 ATS
                      Knew it was only matter of time before frank came in here to confirm the stat....there ya have it folks...
                      SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

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                      • #12
                        Okay, I only found one loss, but I may have missed something. 16-2 and 91% is what it is then and I stand corrected. Sorry for the confusion.

                        The stat was actually for an 0-4 team and I didnt count the bye for some stupid reason. Which would add a week, thus making after week 5 totally correct. Thanks for pointing that out.
                        "The power of accurate observation is frequently called cynicism by those who don't have it." George Bernard Shaw

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                        • #13
                          Originally posted by 3ebRocks
                          Okay, I only found one loss, but I may have missed something. 16-2 and 91% is what it is then and I stand corrected. Sorry for the confusion.

                          The stat was actually for an 0-4 team and I didnt count the bye for some stupid reason. Which would add a week, thus making after week 5 totally correct. Thanks for pointing that out.
                          Frank is known as the stats man around here...if you ever have a question regarding a stat just ask him...
                          SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

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                          • #14
                            Another trend similar to this is :
                            winless teams (0-5 or worse) are 90-54-4 ATS as underdogs, including 55-25-3 ATS when facing a non-division opponent
                            Check out all of my past picks at www.Byeweekpicks.com
                            Twitter: https://twitter.com/Byeweekpicks

                            2014 NFL Record: 36-30-1 (55%), +5.5 units

                            2013 NFL Record: 34-26-1 (57%)

                            2012 NFL Record: 41-30-2 (58%)
                            +9 units (1unit=6% of bankroll)

                            2011 NFL record: 34-25-2 (58%)
                            +3.4 units

                            2010 NFL Record: 29-16-2 (64%)
                            +15.1 units

                            2009 NFL Record: 37-24-4 (61%)
                            +16.3 units

                            2008 NFL Record: 39-24-3 (62%)
                            +16.8 Units

                            2007 NFL Record: 42-27-2 (61%)
                            +14.7 Units

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by roccodean
                              Another trend similar to this is :
                              winless teams (0-5 or worse) are 90-54-4 ATS as underdogs, including 55-25-3 ATS when facing a non-division opponent
                              Only until Frank confirms this is it true...j/k...
                              SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

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