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CFB YTD 20-21 -0.2 units
2* 5-2 +5.6 units
1* 15-19 -5.8 units
NFL/CFB Combined 37-25 +15.2 units
3* 1-0 +3.0 units
2* 7-3 +7.4 units
1* 29-22 +4.8 units
I went 2-2 last weekend in CFB but 3-0 in the NFL where I improved to 17-4. I like all dogs, except one, and even have a bunch of opinion plays on underdogs. I'm posting all of the plays now and have played them at these lines and I feel all will move by Saturday.
2* South Carolina +6 1/2
Spurrier is just deadly getting points against strong teams. SC is off three straight losses, including two toughies on the road and has a bye next week so will let it all out here. I think these two teams are about even in ability and common opponent games reflect that. Florida is still living off last year's hype. SC at home in a game I think the line is off by ten points.
1* Cincinnati -6 1/2
This is my only favorite of the day as I go against the luckiest team in college football. UConn keeps winning but is bound to let down after three emotional wins at home. This is still the same UConn team that needed a blown call to beat lowly Temple. Cincy is a good team coming off a very impressive road win at South Florida. This might be a wipeout.
1* Notre Dame +3
This is a huge letdown spot for Air Force, playing a non-conference game after its first win in several years against another service academy. Notre Dame is starved for a win and probably would have won last week were it not for weird decisions by Weis against Navy. Air Force isn't bad but they may be the easiest team ND has played so far.
1* Nebraska +7 1/2
Nebraska was humiliated last week and is playing for a lot of pride against a so-so K-State team. This is a lot of points for a home team and an overreaction to last week's wipeout. A straight up win is very possible.
1* Maryland +6
Another play against a team that should have a big letdown. BC lost its unbeaten season last week and plays a tough team on the road. The ACC is a joke of a conference and BC has been escaping with close wins against soft teams all year. They may be very flat this week against a Maryland team that hasn't played a real bad game all year. Another straight up upset possibility.
Opinions only:
(I may upgrade a couple of these as I think straight up upsets are at least possible in all of them)
Iowa State
Fresno State
Oklahoma State
Wisconsin
NFL:
Two plays posted now as I expect the lines to move on both by at least 1 1/2 points by Sunday.
2* Cardinals +1 (-115)
1* Dolphins +3 (-115)
I'll write up the NFL plays closer to Sunday.
2* 5-2 +5.6 units
1* 15-19 -5.8 units
NFL/CFB Combined 37-25 +15.2 units
3* 1-0 +3.0 units
2* 7-3 +7.4 units
1* 29-22 +4.8 units
I went 2-2 last weekend in CFB but 3-0 in the NFL where I improved to 17-4. I like all dogs, except one, and even have a bunch of opinion plays on underdogs. I'm posting all of the plays now and have played them at these lines and I feel all will move by Saturday.
2* South Carolina +6 1/2
Spurrier is just deadly getting points against strong teams. SC is off three straight losses, including two toughies on the road and has a bye next week so will let it all out here. I think these two teams are about even in ability and common opponent games reflect that. Florida is still living off last year's hype. SC at home in a game I think the line is off by ten points.
1* Cincinnati -6 1/2
This is my only favorite of the day as I go against the luckiest team in college football. UConn keeps winning but is bound to let down after three emotional wins at home. This is still the same UConn team that needed a blown call to beat lowly Temple. Cincy is a good team coming off a very impressive road win at South Florida. This might be a wipeout.
1* Notre Dame +3
This is a huge letdown spot for Air Force, playing a non-conference game after its first win in several years against another service academy. Notre Dame is starved for a win and probably would have won last week were it not for weird decisions by Weis against Navy. Air Force isn't bad but they may be the easiest team ND has played so far.
1* Nebraska +7 1/2
Nebraska was humiliated last week and is playing for a lot of pride against a so-so K-State team. This is a lot of points for a home team and an overreaction to last week's wipeout. A straight up win is very possible.
1* Maryland +6
Another play against a team that should have a big letdown. BC lost its unbeaten season last week and plays a tough team on the road. The ACC is a joke of a conference and BC has been escaping with close wins against soft teams all year. They may be very flat this week against a Maryland team that hasn't played a real bad game all year. Another straight up upset possibility.
Opinions only:
(I may upgrade a couple of these as I think straight up upsets are at least possible in all of them)
Iowa State
Fresno State
Oklahoma State
Wisconsin
NFL:
Two plays posted now as I expect the lines to move on both by at least 1 1/2 points by Sunday.
2* Cardinals +1 (-115)
1* Dolphins +3 (-115)
I'll write up the NFL plays closer to Sunday.
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