I am pretty new to posting on this site so I am going to take this time let you all know how I go about this whole sports wagering thing.
I play 1-5 unit wagers mainly. I also play 2-3 7 unit wagers per month in the foots and rate them my GOMs. In addition I play 2-3 GOYs in football at ten units (usually an NFL, CFB and maybe a MNF or Thursday night etc.) The playoffs and bowls will more than likely produce another 10* GOY for each and possible a 7* or two.
In NBA and CBB I keep the units between 1 and 4 except for a possible 5* every week or two depending on the card. As for GOM and GOY in baskets, last year for example I played 3 10*s and 5 7*s so they come up every so often also. In addition I rate any 5* in basketball a GOW because as of yet I havent had two in one week. Plus, I like to keep track of it this way for my log keeping. Also, sometimes I give the some thoughts on why I am picking who I am picking and other times if I have less time to spend online I will just list the plays. When there is a larger play, I will try to provide some thoughts regardless.
With that said and out of the way, that brings me to tonights selections and a quick thought about CFB for this week.
5* GOW NJ Nets -4
We are getting great line value here as Atlanta has played two playoff teams well, winning one of them and a close loss in the other. In contrast, the Nets got blown out at home by Toronto and produced a close win against fairly weak Philadelphia team. Thing is the Nets have the nucleus with Kidd, Carter and Jefferson that greatly outclasses anything Atlanta has to offer other than Joe Johnson. Also, the return of Krstic from last years injury is a huge positive for the Nets and he is slowly getting his legs back. I believe Atlanta is playing over their heads right now and were taken lightly by the Mavs and Pistons. Plus, if last year is any indication, the Mavericks certainly dont start fast (0-4 to start season last year yet ended up with with 66 wins.) so I am not putting much stock into Atlanta's opening game victory for various reasons. If this game was played in game one of the season or two weeks from now I believe the Nets would be an 8-10 point favorite so I am taking them with a 5 unit play at minus 4 for the record. I am still seeing some 3.5s though.
Also
2* Memphis/Richmond Over 138
Way too much offense on Memphis side. Against lower to medium level teams Memphis should put up 85+ a game, every game. If they do that tonight, the over hits with a 54 point effort by Richmond. Dont see a problem there. Playing last night cant help though so I am keeping the units low.
2* Central Michigan -3
CMU is undefeated in conference and has a better road record than WMU has a home record. Weather doesnt look very good but that didnt stop CMU from putting up 31 last year and LeFevour is only getting better. WMU has lost to Ball State and Akron at home in conference and despite their 70-14 drubbing my Clemson, CMU sits atop the MAC standings and didnt have trouble beating Ball State and Kent State recently on the road. Its only a field goal. Go Chips.
I play 1-5 unit wagers mainly. I also play 2-3 7 unit wagers per month in the foots and rate them my GOMs. In addition I play 2-3 GOYs in football at ten units (usually an NFL, CFB and maybe a MNF or Thursday night etc.) The playoffs and bowls will more than likely produce another 10* GOY for each and possible a 7* or two.
In NBA and CBB I keep the units between 1 and 4 except for a possible 5* every week or two depending on the card. As for GOM and GOY in baskets, last year for example I played 3 10*s and 5 7*s so they come up every so often also. In addition I rate any 5* in basketball a GOW because as of yet I havent had two in one week. Plus, I like to keep track of it this way for my log keeping. Also, sometimes I give the some thoughts on why I am picking who I am picking and other times if I have less time to spend online I will just list the plays. When there is a larger play, I will try to provide some thoughts regardless.
With that said and out of the way, that brings me to tonights selections and a quick thought about CFB for this week.
5* GOW NJ Nets -4
We are getting great line value here as Atlanta has played two playoff teams well, winning one of them and a close loss in the other. In contrast, the Nets got blown out at home by Toronto and produced a close win against fairly weak Philadelphia team. Thing is the Nets have the nucleus with Kidd, Carter and Jefferson that greatly outclasses anything Atlanta has to offer other than Joe Johnson. Also, the return of Krstic from last years injury is a huge positive for the Nets and he is slowly getting his legs back. I believe Atlanta is playing over their heads right now and were taken lightly by the Mavs and Pistons. Plus, if last year is any indication, the Mavericks certainly dont start fast (0-4 to start season last year yet ended up with with 66 wins.) so I am not putting much stock into Atlanta's opening game victory for various reasons. If this game was played in game one of the season or two weeks from now I believe the Nets would be an 8-10 point favorite so I am taking them with a 5 unit play at minus 4 for the record. I am still seeing some 3.5s though.
Also
2* Memphis/Richmond Over 138
Way too much offense on Memphis side. Against lower to medium level teams Memphis should put up 85+ a game, every game. If they do that tonight, the over hits with a 54 point effort by Richmond. Dont see a problem there. Playing last night cant help though so I am keeping the units low.
2* Central Michigan -3
CMU is undefeated in conference and has a better road record than WMU has a home record. Weather doesnt look very good but that didnt stop CMU from putting up 31 last year and LeFevour is only getting better. WMU has lost to Ball State and Akron at home in conference and despite their 70-14 drubbing my Clemson, CMU sits atop the MAC standings and didnt have trouble beating Ball State and Kent State recently on the road. Its only a field goal. Go Chips.
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