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Sunday's NFL.............
After going 0 for last Sunday, we cashed in the Bucs on Monday night. Lets get it rolling today in the Pros. Here is my card............
3 STAR: Pittsburgh (+3) OVER KANSAS CITY
The Steelers have had the better of this series, going 8-1-1 against the spread in the last ten meetings. The Steelers defense will get a stiff test from the Chiefs this week and we will get to see if Pittsburgh has addressed their problems in the secondary. The Chiefs will also get tested on defense this week. Last week the Chiefs did'nt face much of an aerial attack against the Chargers, but they will have to try and shut down a Steelers offense that put up 339 total yards and 34 points on a Ravens defense that should be one of the top units in the league. I think the Pittsburgh defense will be able to get more stops than the Chiefs defense in this game. I look for the Steelers to put up similar yardage numbers against Kansas City as they did against Baltimore. That is not good news for the Chiefs who are only 14-28 against the spread when they allow between 350-400 total yards of offense since 1992. The Steelers are 6-1 against the spread as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last three seasons and Bill Cower's Steelers are 17-2 against the spread as an underdog after a win over a division rival. Also, road underdogs after one or more consecutive wins in the first half of the season are 73-36 against the spread. Play the men of Steel here!
3 STAR: Washington (+3) OVER ATLANTA
Good spot here for the Redskins to get the win. Atlanta got the win last week against Dallas, but they also lost another player to injury as starting wide receiver Brian Finneran will be sidelined with a broken hand. Washington has an excellent secondary and with one less weapon at their disposal, I look for the Falcons to struggle on offense. If anyone knows how to rattle Doug Johnson, it should be his former college coach Steve Spurrior. With a few extra days off to prepare for this game since they played last Thursday, I look for the Ole Ball Coach to devise a good strategy to keep Johnson from getting comfortable in this game. The Redskins have gone 18-6 against the spread as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992 and road underdogs after 1 or more consecutive wins, in the first half of the season are 73-36 over the last 5 seasons. Atlanta is only 1-5 against the spread in home games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last three seasons and they are 4-12 against the spread in home games after a win by 10 or
more points since 1992. The Skins are the play here!
3 STAR: JACKSONVILLE (+3) OVER Buffalo
The Bills were impressive last week in an emotion filled game against their arch rivals the Patriots, but this one looks fishy. This could be a flat spot for the Bills and the Jags very well could pull the upset here. Jacksonville blew a 17 point lead at Carolina last week, but they played very well against one of the best defenses in the league. Mark Brunell was excellent, he completed 23-of-27 passes for 272 yards and two touchdowns and the Jags should be able to put some points up on the board at home against the Bills. The Bills have only been a road favorite just once in the last three years and that game pushed. Jacksonville has been a home underdog five times over the past three years and they have covered the spread in three of those five games. Road favorites in conference games coming off of a home win by 10 points or more are only 128-194 against the spread, and the Bills in are 3-16 against the spread off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992. The Jags are 5-1 against the spread in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and they are 6-1 in September games over the last three seasons. Jacksonville has not started the season at 0-2 since their first season in the league when they started 0-4. Take the points here!
3 STAR: SAN DIEGO (+3) OVER Denver
The Broncos still have to prove to me that they are worthy of being a road favorite. They hammered the Bengals last week, and San Diego was pasted by the Chiefs, but I like the Chargers to bounce back at home this week where they have covered the spread in three out of four of their last games as a home underdog. The Chargers will look to get Tomlinson more involved in the running game, he had a franchise record 220 yards and three touchdowns in a game against the Broncos last season. Denver is only 3-10 against the spread in road games when they allow 100-125 yards rushing since 1992. Denver is only 1-5 against the spread after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons, 1-5 against the spread after a road win over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 against the spread in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Chargers are 7-1 against the spread in September games over the last 3 seasons and I look for them to get the job done here!
2 STAR: Chicago (+8.5) OVER MINNESOTA
The Bears were terrible in last weeks blowout loss to the 49ers, while the Vikings went into Green Bay and stunned the Packers. But this is the NFL, things change on a weekly basis! I look for the Bears to bounce back strong against the Vikings in the ESPN Sunday Night game, Chicago is 6-1 against the spread after allowing 40 points or more last game since 1992. The Bears always play well at Minnesota, they have covered 9 out of the last 12 meetings in the Metrodome. The Vikings are only 1-5 against the spread as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. Also, favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after playing their last game on the road, in the first half of the season are only 39-76 against the spread. Take the points here!
Good luck,
John
EZWINNERS.com
3 STAR: Pittsburgh (+3) OVER KANSAS CITY
The Steelers have had the better of this series, going 8-1-1 against the spread in the last ten meetings. The Steelers defense will get a stiff test from the Chiefs this week and we will get to see if Pittsburgh has addressed their problems in the secondary. The Chiefs will also get tested on defense this week. Last week the Chiefs did'nt face much of an aerial attack against the Chargers, but they will have to try and shut down a Steelers offense that put up 339 total yards and 34 points on a Ravens defense that should be one of the top units in the league. I think the Pittsburgh defense will be able to get more stops than the Chiefs defense in this game. I look for the Steelers to put up similar yardage numbers against Kansas City as they did against Baltimore. That is not good news for the Chiefs who are only 14-28 against the spread when they allow between 350-400 total yards of offense since 1992. The Steelers are 6-1 against the spread as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last three seasons and Bill Cower's Steelers are 17-2 against the spread as an underdog after a win over a division rival. Also, road underdogs after one or more consecutive wins in the first half of the season are 73-36 against the spread. Play the men of Steel here!
3 STAR: Washington (+3) OVER ATLANTA
Good spot here for the Redskins to get the win. Atlanta got the win last week against Dallas, but they also lost another player to injury as starting wide receiver Brian Finneran will be sidelined with a broken hand. Washington has an excellent secondary and with one less weapon at their disposal, I look for the Falcons to struggle on offense. If anyone knows how to rattle Doug Johnson, it should be his former college coach Steve Spurrior. With a few extra days off to prepare for this game since they played last Thursday, I look for the Ole Ball Coach to devise a good strategy to keep Johnson from getting comfortable in this game. The Redskins have gone 18-6 against the spread as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992 and road underdogs after 1 or more consecutive wins, in the first half of the season are 73-36 over the last 5 seasons. Atlanta is only 1-5 against the spread in home games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last three seasons and they are 4-12 against the spread in home games after a win by 10 or
more points since 1992. The Skins are the play here!
3 STAR: JACKSONVILLE (+3) OVER Buffalo
The Bills were impressive last week in an emotion filled game against their arch rivals the Patriots, but this one looks fishy. This could be a flat spot for the Bills and the Jags very well could pull the upset here. Jacksonville blew a 17 point lead at Carolina last week, but they played very well against one of the best defenses in the league. Mark Brunell was excellent, he completed 23-of-27 passes for 272 yards and two touchdowns and the Jags should be able to put some points up on the board at home against the Bills. The Bills have only been a road favorite just once in the last three years and that game pushed. Jacksonville has been a home underdog five times over the past three years and they have covered the spread in three of those five games. Road favorites in conference games coming off of a home win by 10 points or more are only 128-194 against the spread, and the Bills in are 3-16 against the spread off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992. The Jags are 5-1 against the spread in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons and they are 6-1 in September games over the last three seasons. Jacksonville has not started the season at 0-2 since their first season in the league when they started 0-4. Take the points here!
3 STAR: SAN DIEGO (+3) OVER Denver
The Broncos still have to prove to me that they are worthy of being a road favorite. They hammered the Bengals last week, and San Diego was pasted by the Chiefs, but I like the Chargers to bounce back at home this week where they have covered the spread in three out of four of their last games as a home underdog. The Chargers will look to get Tomlinson more involved in the running game, he had a franchise record 220 yards and three touchdowns in a game against the Broncos last season. Denver is only 3-10 against the spread in road games when they allow 100-125 yards rushing since 1992. Denver is only 1-5 against the spread after allowing 14 points or less last game over the last 3 seasons, 1-5 against the spread after a road win over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 against the spread in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Chargers are 7-1 against the spread in September games over the last 3 seasons and I look for them to get the job done here!
2 STAR: Chicago (+8.5) OVER MINNESOTA
The Bears were terrible in last weeks blowout loss to the 49ers, while the Vikings went into Green Bay and stunned the Packers. But this is the NFL, things change on a weekly basis! I look for the Bears to bounce back strong against the Vikings in the ESPN Sunday Night game, Chicago is 6-1 against the spread after allowing 40 points or more last game since 1992. The Bears always play well at Minnesota, they have covered 9 out of the last 12 meetings in the Metrodome. The Vikings are only 1-5 against the spread as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. Also, favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after playing their last game on the road, in the first half of the season are only 39-76 against the spread. Take the points here!
Good luck,
John
EZWINNERS.com
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