National Football League - Tips & Trends
NFL
Sunday, October 28
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Tips and Trends
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Indianapolis Colts at Carolina Panthers (CBS | 1 PM ET)
This is a very difficult situational setting for Indianapolis having to play a dangerous and “rested” Carolina team coming of their bye week while the Colts have one less day to prepare for this contest after playing at Jacksonville on Monday night. The Coltss also have New England on deck, so this could be a look-ahead spot for them. EDGE: PANTHERS
Some might argue the Colts come into this contest right where they want to be, as the Patriots have stolen much of the spotlight. Nevertheless, the Colts still possess the leagues No. 3 offense in the NFL averaging 399 yards per game, and their defense has been equally impressive ranked fifth in the league. Indianapolis is also getting healthier as RB Joseph Addai (chest), WR Marvin Harrison (knee), SS Bob Sanders (ribs) and LB Freddie Keiaho (concussion) are all returning to full strength. EDGE: COLTS
Team insiders are still uncertain who will be under center for Carolina. Starting QB Jake Delhomme is out for the season and his backup David Carr had a back injury that sidelined him the last game. So it's possible that 44-year-old Vinny Testaverde could play in his second game this season. The loss of Delhomme has resulted in the offense struggling over the past three weeks, averaging just 15 points per game. EDGE: COLTS
Carolina remains one of the best betting propositions as an underdog, coming into this contest on a 20-5-2 ATS run in that situation.
The Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win.
The Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
The Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Indy's last 7 games following a win more than 14 points.
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (FOX | 1 PM ET)
League insiders believe that this may be one of the most important games this week. Green Bay is 5-1 and in first place, but the Lions sit at 4-2 and the improving Bears at 3-4 are certainly within striking distance. A victory for Chicago could put the team in excellent position to make a run for the playoffs following the bye week. SLIGHT EDGE: BEARS
This is an off-surface for the Lions, who play on turf in their home stadium. So far this season they have not done well when hitting the road playing on grass. Over the past two seasons, Detroit has lost both games played at Chicago by a combined score of 72-13. In their last two away contests (both on grass) this season, they have lost to the Eagles and Redskins by a combined score of 90-24 and were out-gained by a total of 326 yards in those contests. BIG EDGE: BEARS
Chicago is also looking to avenge a 37-27 loss at Detroit earlier this season. The Bears were embarrassed in that contest as they were leading 13-3 in the fourth quarter until Detroit scored an NFL-record 34 points in the fourth quarter. SLIGHT EDGE: BEARS
The Detroit defense is a mess, giving up 385 yards per game, which is third-worst in the NFL. That could prove to be bad news against this Chicago offense that is averaging an impressive 26 points per game since QB Brian Griese took over as the starter. EDGE: BEARS
The Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a losing team.
The Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against the NFC.
The Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (CBS | 1 PM ET)
League insiders were a bit surprised about last Sunday night’s loss against an under-performing Denver team, considering how impressive Pittsburgh's overall numbers have been. They come into this contest ranked sixth in total offense and second in rushing with 159 yards on the ground per game. Their defensive numbers are equally impressive, ranking No. 1 in the NFL and allowing a meager 250 yards per game while outscoring opponents by a 26-13 average. EDGE: STEELERS
Cincinnati comes into this contest with one of the worst defensive teams in the NFL, allowing 31 points and 384 yards per game, which ranks 29th in the league. Even more concerning for the defense is that the Steelers have a very balanced offense that excels at running the football led by RB Willie Parker. EDGE: STEELERS
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The Bengals are 3-8-1 in their last 12 games against a winning team.
The Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
The underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins at London, England (FOX | 1 PM ET)
This is yet another terrible matchup for Miami fresh off a blowout loss to New England in which the team's defense was shredded for 359 yards through the air. The Dolphins take on another surging team with a strong passing attack. The Giants come into this contest winners of five in a row and their offense is averaging an impressive 26 points per game. EDGE: GIANTS
Some team insiders are still concerned about this Miami defense (which was suppose to me one of the best in the league) that has been decimated with injuries and has given up 16, 37, 31, 35, 22, 41 and 49 points in their seven losses (33 points per game on average). The defense gave up 400 yards to Washington, including 191 rushing, 166 yards rushing to Dallas, 141 rushing to the Jets, 299 yards rushing to the Raiders, 140 rushing to the Browns and then were dismantled by New England, giving up 443 total yards with most of the Patriots reserves playing the entire second half of the game. BIG EDGE: GIANTS
Going into the contest with New England, Miami’s one bright spot was RB Ronnie Brown, who injured his knee and is now out for the season. BIG EDGE: GIANTS
The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a losing team.
The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
The Dolphins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss.
The Dolphins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
The OVER is 8-2 in New York's last 10 games overall.
Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings (FOX | 1 PM ET)
Minnesota team insiders are reporting that Minnesota head coach Brad Childress has been pushing his players hard this week in practice as this is the contest he wants his team to win. Childress was the former offensive coordinator for the Eagles and left the team on bad terms. EDGE: VIKINGS
One league insider believes that there is “a lot of potential” in this Eagles team as they have had little trouble moving the football, but they just are not getting it done in the red zone. The Eagles scored touchdowns on 55.5 percent of their red-zone trips from 2000 through last season, but they are just 28th this season, scoring less than a third of their trips inside the 20. EDGE: VIKINGS
League insiders are quick to point out that this is still an Eagles offensive unit that is struggling. Despite a 56-point effort against the Lions, the Eagles have struggled to put up points, as that is the only time they have scored more than 16 points this season. On the season, the Eagles are averaging only 12 points per contest. EDGE: VIKINGS
The Vikings defense is No. 1 in the NFL against the run, but last against the pass allowing 288 yards in the air each game.
Team insiders are uncertain who will be under center this weekend for Minnesota as starting quarterback Tarvaris Jackson has a broken finger on his throwing hand. Backup Kelly Holcomb will have to play if Jackson cannot perform this week in practice. Keep in mind Holcomb was in camp with the Eagles in the preseason before being traded to Minnesota and should have a good understanding of Philly's defense. (Check status on the Pregame Wire) SLIGHT EDGE: VIKINGS
The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a losing home team.
The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC.
The Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Cleveland Browns at St. Louis Rams (CBS | 1 PM ET)
St. Louis welcomed back starting QB Marc Bulger last week, but he spent more time on the ground than on his feet as he was sacked seven times by the Seahawks while throwing three interceptions. However, Bulger is expected to get RB Steven Jackson back this week from a groin injury, which should help take some major pressure off him. EDGE: RAMS
The Rams are 30th in total offense, averaging just 10 points per game and their defense ranks 23rd in the league. Their main concern is a rushing defense that is allowing over 130 yards per game, which is not good news against an improving and rested Cleveland offensive line off a bye week. EDGE: BROWNS
Cleveland has enjoyed an extra week of preparation for this contest. The team's offense is averaging 28 points per game, but the defense is second-worst in the NFL, allowing 413 yards per game. One particular concern is the team's rush defense that has allowed over 110 yards rushing in every game as the Browns are giving up 30 points per game. EDGE: RAMS
The Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The Browns are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win.
The Rams are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
The Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The UNDER is 6-1 in St. Louis' last 7 games overall.
Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans (CBS | 1 PM ET)
Oakland comes into this contest with a very conservative offensive ideology, averaging an impressive 147 yards rushing per game, good for fourth in the NFL. However, Tennessee's defense is ranked No. 1 in the NFL against the rush, so Oakland should have trouble moving the football this weekend. SLIGHT EDGE: TITANS
Tennessee QB Vince Young was available to play against the Texans last week, but head coach Jeff Fisher elected to give him more time to recover from a strained right quadriceps. Young is probable for this game and should start. EDGE: TITANS
The Raiders are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games against a winning team.
The Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points.
The Titans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against the NFC.
The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)
League insiders are interested to see how the Buffalo offense performs against what they classify as a “terrible” Jets defensive unit. On the season, Buffalo has struggled to put points on the board, averaging just 14 points per game. The Jets defense is ranked 28th in the NFL, allowing a whopping 377 yards per game, including 138 on the ground. EDGE: BILLS
Buffalo head coach Dick Jauron announced that former backup QB Trent Edwards has taken over as the permanent starter. Edwards has done a solid job, with wins over the Jets and Ravens to his credit. EDGE: BILLS
Team insiders are reporting that the Jets lockerroom was completely demoralized after giving up getting outscored 28-11 in the second half of their 38-31 loss against Cincinnati last week. Embattled QB Chad Pennington got off to a strong start that may have earned him another shot to keep his job this week, but he did not perform well in the second half, throwing an interception for a TD that helped seal the win for the Bengals in the fourth quarter. Pennington will start this game but could be on a short leash with heralded youngster Kellen Clemens waiting in the wings. EDGE: BILLS
The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
The Bills are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
The Jets are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against a losing team.
The Jets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
The home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Houston Texans at San Diego Chargers (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)
Team insiders are becoming increasingly concerned about the health of Texan starting quarterback Matt Schaub, who has been lethargic over the last few games. Many inside the organization believe that he is having some issues with his hip-flexor muscle which is reducing the QB's mobility and his ability to plant himself and throw the deep ball. Schaub missed most of the second half of last week's contest, so there is a possibility backup Sage Rosenfels might fill in this week. (Check status on the Pregame Wire) EDGE: CHARGERS
The surging Chargers have the situational advantage here as they are coming of their bye week and should be well-rested. They will look to continue the momentum of their current 2-0 SU & ATS run, as their offense - absent for much of the first quarter of the season - has come alive thanks to 41 and 28-point efforts. EDGE: CHARGERS
League insiders believe that the recent acquisition of Chris Chambers from the Dolphins gives San Diego QB Phillip Rivers a solid veteran receiver to work with, which will also help out the team's running game. Chambers spent two seasons (2002-03) playing in head coach Norv Turner's system when Turner was Miami's offensive coordinator. EDGE: CHARGERS
The Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 October games.
The Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against a losing team.
The Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a losing road team.
The OVER is 5-0 in Houston's last 5 road games.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)
Team insiders are reporting that Jacksonville will be without the services of starting QB David Garrard who got hurt against the Colts this past Monday night. Backup QB Quinn Gray will start in his place and is a major downgrade. BIG EDGE: BUCCANEERS
Despite the loss of Garrard, this is a Jacksonville team that relies heavily on running the football - averaging 140 yards per game (fourth in the NFL) - and the defense always seems to keep the Jags in games, allowing a meager 13 points per game this season. SLIGHT EDGE: JAGUARS
The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
The Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a Monday night game.
The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss.
The Buccaneers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 8.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Tampa Bay's last 5 games.
Washington Redskins at New England Patriots (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)
The Patriots offense is No. 1 in the NFL, averaging nearly 40 points per game. Often overlooked is their defense that comes into this contest No. 2 in the league. New England has won all seven of its games by at least 17 points, setting a league record for scoring margin to start the season. BIG EDGE: PATRIOTS
One league insider believes this will be New England's toughest test so far this season, as the Pats face an outstanding Washington secondary and a defense that is tops in the NFC, allowing just 14 points per game. The Washington secondary held the dangerous passing attack of Detroit to just 144 total yards, including 76 through the air. EDGE: REDSKINS
The Redskins are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a winning team.
The Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a 10.5+ favorite.
The OVER is 7-1 in New England's last 8 games overall.
New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers (FOX | 4:15 ET)
Many league insiders are still not sold on this New Orleans club. Despite winning their last two games, the Saints (2-4 SU/1-5 ATS) still lost both of those contests statistically, as the Seahawks held the edge in total yards 425-367 and Atlanta also had a 334-310 advantage. EDGE: 49ERS
The New Orleans secondary has been awful all year, allowing 235 passing yards per game, but the Saints do have the advantage of facing one of the league's worst offenses. The 49ers have averaged just 10.3 points in their last four games. EDGE: SAINTS
The Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC.
The Saints are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC.
The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
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NFL
Sunday, October 28
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Tips and Trends
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Indianapolis Colts at Carolina Panthers (CBS | 1 PM ET)
This is a very difficult situational setting for Indianapolis having to play a dangerous and “rested” Carolina team coming of their bye week while the Colts have one less day to prepare for this contest after playing at Jacksonville on Monday night. The Coltss also have New England on deck, so this could be a look-ahead spot for them. EDGE: PANTHERS
Some might argue the Colts come into this contest right where they want to be, as the Patriots have stolen much of the spotlight. Nevertheless, the Colts still possess the leagues No. 3 offense in the NFL averaging 399 yards per game, and their defense has been equally impressive ranked fifth in the league. Indianapolis is also getting healthier as RB Joseph Addai (chest), WR Marvin Harrison (knee), SS Bob Sanders (ribs) and LB Freddie Keiaho (concussion) are all returning to full strength. EDGE: COLTS
Team insiders are still uncertain who will be under center for Carolina. Starting QB Jake Delhomme is out for the season and his backup David Carr had a back injury that sidelined him the last game. So it's possible that 44-year-old Vinny Testaverde could play in his second game this season. The loss of Delhomme has resulted in the offense struggling over the past three weeks, averaging just 15 points per game. EDGE: COLTS
Carolina remains one of the best betting propositions as an underdog, coming into this contest on a 20-5-2 ATS run in that situation.
The Colts are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win.
The Colts are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
The Panthers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
The Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Indy's last 7 games following a win more than 14 points.
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears (FOX | 1 PM ET)
League insiders believe that this may be one of the most important games this week. Green Bay is 5-1 and in first place, but the Lions sit at 4-2 and the improving Bears at 3-4 are certainly within striking distance. A victory for Chicago could put the team in excellent position to make a run for the playoffs following the bye week. SLIGHT EDGE: BEARS
This is an off-surface for the Lions, who play on turf in their home stadium. So far this season they have not done well when hitting the road playing on grass. Over the past two seasons, Detroit has lost both games played at Chicago by a combined score of 72-13. In their last two away contests (both on grass) this season, they have lost to the Eagles and Redskins by a combined score of 90-24 and were out-gained by a total of 326 yards in those contests. BIG EDGE: BEARS
Chicago is also looking to avenge a 37-27 loss at Detroit earlier this season. The Bears were embarrassed in that contest as they were leading 13-3 in the fourth quarter until Detroit scored an NFL-record 34 points in the fourth quarter. SLIGHT EDGE: BEARS
The Detroit defense is a mess, giving up 385 yards per game, which is third-worst in the NFL. That could prove to be bad news against this Chicago offense that is averaging an impressive 26 points per game since QB Brian Griese took over as the starter. EDGE: BEARS
The Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against a losing team.
The Lions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against the NFC.
The Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals (CBS | 1 PM ET)
League insiders were a bit surprised about last Sunday night’s loss against an under-performing Denver team, considering how impressive Pittsburgh's overall numbers have been. They come into this contest ranked sixth in total offense and second in rushing with 159 yards on the ground per game. Their defensive numbers are equally impressive, ranking No. 1 in the NFL and allowing a meager 250 yards per game while outscoring opponents by a 26-13 average. EDGE: STEELERS
Cincinnati comes into this contest with one of the worst defensive teams in the NFL, allowing 31 points and 384 yards per game, which ranks 29th in the league. Even more concerning for the defense is that the Steelers have a very balanced offense that excels at running the football led by RB Willie Parker. EDGE: STEELERS
The Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.
The Steelers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
The Bengals are 3-8-1 in their last 12 games against a winning team.
The Bengals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
The underdog is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
New York Giants vs. Miami Dolphins at London, England (FOX | 1 PM ET)
This is yet another terrible matchup for Miami fresh off a blowout loss to New England in which the team's defense was shredded for 359 yards through the air. The Dolphins take on another surging team with a strong passing attack. The Giants come into this contest winners of five in a row and their offense is averaging an impressive 26 points per game. EDGE: GIANTS
Some team insiders are still concerned about this Miami defense (which was suppose to me one of the best in the league) that has been decimated with injuries and has given up 16, 37, 31, 35, 22, 41 and 49 points in their seven losses (33 points per game on average). The defense gave up 400 yards to Washington, including 191 rushing, 166 yards rushing to Dallas, 141 rushing to the Jets, 299 yards rushing to the Raiders, 140 rushing to the Browns and then were dismantled by New England, giving up 443 total yards with most of the Patriots reserves playing the entire second half of the game. BIG EDGE: GIANTS
Going into the contest with New England, Miami’s one bright spot was RB Ronnie Brown, who injured his knee and is now out for the season. BIG EDGE: GIANTS
The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against a losing team.
The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
The Dolphins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss.
The Dolphins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
The OVER is 8-2 in New York's last 10 games overall.
Philadelphia Eagles at Minnesota Vikings (FOX | 1 PM ET)
Minnesota team insiders are reporting that Minnesota head coach Brad Childress has been pushing his players hard this week in practice as this is the contest he wants his team to win. Childress was the former offensive coordinator for the Eagles and left the team on bad terms. EDGE: VIKINGS
One league insider believes that there is “a lot of potential” in this Eagles team as they have had little trouble moving the football, but they just are not getting it done in the red zone. The Eagles scored touchdowns on 55.5 percent of their red-zone trips from 2000 through last season, but they are just 28th this season, scoring less than a third of their trips inside the 20. EDGE: VIKINGS
League insiders are quick to point out that this is still an Eagles offensive unit that is struggling. Despite a 56-point effort against the Lions, the Eagles have struggled to put up points, as that is the only time they have scored more than 16 points this season. On the season, the Eagles are averaging only 12 points per contest. EDGE: VIKINGS
The Vikings defense is No. 1 in the NFL against the run, but last against the pass allowing 288 yards in the air each game.
Team insiders are uncertain who will be under center this weekend for Minnesota as starting quarterback Tarvaris Jackson has a broken finger on his throwing hand. Backup Kelly Holcomb will have to play if Jackson cannot perform this week in practice. Keep in mind Holcomb was in camp with the Eagles in the preseason before being traded to Minnesota and should have a good understanding of Philly's defense. (Check status on the Pregame Wire) SLIGHT EDGE: VIKINGS
The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against a losing home team.
The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC.
The Vikings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
Cleveland Browns at St. Louis Rams (CBS | 1 PM ET)
St. Louis welcomed back starting QB Marc Bulger last week, but he spent more time on the ground than on his feet as he was sacked seven times by the Seahawks while throwing three interceptions. However, Bulger is expected to get RB Steven Jackson back this week from a groin injury, which should help take some major pressure off him. EDGE: RAMS
The Rams are 30th in total offense, averaging just 10 points per game and their defense ranks 23rd in the league. Their main concern is a rushing defense that is allowing over 130 yards per game, which is not good news against an improving and rested Cleveland offensive line off a bye week. EDGE: BROWNS
Cleveland has enjoyed an extra week of preparation for this contest. The team's offense is averaging 28 points per game, but the defense is second-worst in the NFL, allowing 413 yards per game. One particular concern is the team's rush defense that has allowed over 110 yards rushing in every game as the Browns are giving up 30 points per game. EDGE: RAMS
The Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
The Browns are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win.
The Rams are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog.
The Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The UNDER is 6-1 in St. Louis' last 7 games overall.
Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans (CBS | 1 PM ET)
Oakland comes into this contest with a very conservative offensive ideology, averaging an impressive 147 yards rushing per game, good for fourth in the NFL. However, Tennessee's defense is ranked No. 1 in the NFL against the rush, so Oakland should have trouble moving the football this weekend. SLIGHT EDGE: TITANS
Tennessee QB Vince Young was available to play against the Texans last week, but head coach Jeff Fisher elected to give him more time to recover from a strained right quadriceps. Young is probable for this game and should start. EDGE: TITANS
The Raiders are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games against a winning team.
The Raiders are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points.
The Titans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against the NFC.
The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.
The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)
League insiders are interested to see how the Buffalo offense performs against what they classify as a “terrible” Jets defensive unit. On the season, Buffalo has struggled to put points on the board, averaging just 14 points per game. The Jets defense is ranked 28th in the NFL, allowing a whopping 377 yards per game, including 138 on the ground. EDGE: BILLS
Buffalo head coach Dick Jauron announced that former backup QB Trent Edwards has taken over as the permanent starter. Edwards has done a solid job, with wins over the Jets and Ravens to his credit. EDGE: BILLS
Team insiders are reporting that the Jets lockerroom was completely demoralized after giving up getting outscored 28-11 in the second half of their 38-31 loss against Cincinnati last week. Embattled QB Chad Pennington got off to a strong start that may have earned him another shot to keep his job this week, but he did not perform well in the second half, throwing an interception for a TD that helped seal the win for the Bengals in the fourth quarter. Pennington will start this game but could be on a short leash with heralded youngster Kellen Clemens waiting in the wings. EDGE: BILLS
The Bills are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
The Bills are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
The Jets are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games against a losing team.
The Jets are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
The home team is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Houston Texans at San Diego Chargers (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)
Team insiders are becoming increasingly concerned about the health of Texan starting quarterback Matt Schaub, who has been lethargic over the last few games. Many inside the organization believe that he is having some issues with his hip-flexor muscle which is reducing the QB's mobility and his ability to plant himself and throw the deep ball. Schaub missed most of the second half of last week's contest, so there is a possibility backup Sage Rosenfels might fill in this week. (Check status on the Pregame Wire) EDGE: CHARGERS
The surging Chargers have the situational advantage here as they are coming of their bye week and should be well-rested. They will look to continue the momentum of their current 2-0 SU & ATS run, as their offense - absent for much of the first quarter of the season - has come alive thanks to 41 and 28-point efforts. EDGE: CHARGERS
League insiders believe that the recent acquisition of Chris Chambers from the Dolphins gives San Diego QB Phillip Rivers a solid veteran receiver to work with, which will also help out the team's running game. Chambers spent two seasons (2002-03) playing in head coach Norv Turner's system when Turner was Miami's offensive coordinator. EDGE: CHARGERS
The Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
The Texans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 October games.
The Chargers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against a losing team.
The Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a losing road team.
The OVER is 5-0 in Houston's last 5 road games.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (CBS | 4:05 PM ET)
Team insiders are reporting that Jacksonville will be without the services of starting QB David Garrard who got hurt against the Colts this past Monday night. Backup QB Quinn Gray will start in his place and is a major downgrade. BIG EDGE: BUCCANEERS
Despite the loss of Garrard, this is a Jacksonville team that relies heavily on running the football - averaging 140 yards per game (fourth in the NFL) - and the defense always seems to keep the Jags in games, allowing a meager 13 points per game this season. SLIGHT EDGE: JAGUARS
The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
The Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a Monday night game.
The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss.
The Buccaneers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 8.
The UNDER is 4-1 in Tampa Bay's last 5 games.
Washington Redskins at New England Patriots (FOX | 4:15 PM ET)
The Patriots offense is No. 1 in the NFL, averaging nearly 40 points per game. Often overlooked is their defense that comes into this contest No. 2 in the league. New England has won all seven of its games by at least 17 points, setting a league record for scoring margin to start the season. BIG EDGE: PATRIOTS
One league insider believes this will be New England's toughest test so far this season, as the Pats face an outstanding Washington secondary and a defense that is tops in the NFC, allowing just 14 points per game. The Washington secondary held the dangerous passing attack of Detroit to just 144 total yards, including 76 through the air. EDGE: REDSKINS
The Redskins are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against a winning team.
The Redskins are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win.
The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
The Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a 10.5+ favorite.
The OVER is 7-1 in New England's last 8 games overall.
New Orleans Saints at San Francisco 49ers (FOX | 4:15 ET)
Many league insiders are still not sold on this New Orleans club. Despite winning their last two games, the Saints (2-4 SU/1-5 ATS) still lost both of those contests statistically, as the Seahawks held the edge in total yards 425-367 and Atlanta also had a 334-310 advantage. EDGE: 49ERS
The New Orleans secondary has been awful all year, allowing 235 passing yards per game, but the Saints do have the advantage of facing one of the league's worst offenses. The 49ers have averaged just 10.3 points in their last four games. EDGE: SAINTS
The Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against the NFC.
The Saints are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
The 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against the NFC.
The Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
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