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1*: .66 to .75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
2* St. Louis over Seattle
Seattle continues to be overrated and I am going to take advantage of this and take the Rams as an 8.5 dog. These two teams are very similar statistically. Seattle's running game is poor averaging 3.56 YPR (25th) and their pass game is average as Hasselbeck throws for 7.5 YPPA. St. Louis' defense is allowing 4.2 YPR (20th) and 7.6 YPPA. So, Seattle will move the ball as they have been all year (not well) and this will make it tough to cover the high line. Offensively, the Rams have definitely not been the "greatest show on turf", but Bulger returns this week and with a couple games off to rest his hurt ribs I think this will give the Rams a boost. The Rams average only 3.5 YPR (26th) and 5.8 YPPA. They will be facing a Seattle defense that is below average allowing 4.1 YPR (18th) and 7.1 YPPA (17th). So, the Rams offense will improve this week. The Rams have lost 6 consecutive games, but don't let that scare you away from this game. As I said in my Miami analysis these teams are good plays (76% over last 11 seasons). St. Louis is dead last in turnover ratio at -8, which is a big reason they are 0-6 and I don't see this continue with the return of Bulger. There are 6 trends favoring the Rams. One trend is 48-20 (71%) over the last 10 seasons playing on the Rams because of their poor offensive performance last week (scoring only 3 points).
Check out byeweekpicks.com for my entire season picks
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
2* St. Louis over Seattle
Seattle continues to be overrated and I am going to take advantage of this and take the Rams as an 8.5 dog. These two teams are very similar statistically. Seattle's running game is poor averaging 3.56 YPR (25th) and their pass game is average as Hasselbeck throws for 7.5 YPPA. St. Louis' defense is allowing 4.2 YPR (20th) and 7.6 YPPA. So, Seattle will move the ball as they have been all year (not well) and this will make it tough to cover the high line. Offensively, the Rams have definitely not been the "greatest show on turf", but Bulger returns this week and with a couple games off to rest his hurt ribs I think this will give the Rams a boost. The Rams average only 3.5 YPR (26th) and 5.8 YPPA. They will be facing a Seattle defense that is below average allowing 4.1 YPR (18th) and 7.1 YPPA (17th). So, the Rams offense will improve this week. The Rams have lost 6 consecutive games, but don't let that scare you away from this game. As I said in my Miami analysis these teams are good plays (76% over last 11 seasons). St. Louis is dead last in turnover ratio at -8, which is a big reason they are 0-6 and I don't see this continue with the return of Bulger. There are 6 trends favoring the Rams. One trend is 48-20 (71%) over the last 10 seasons playing on the Rams because of their poor offensive performance last week (scoring only 3 points).
Check out byeweekpicks.com for my entire season picks
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