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1*: .66 to .75 Unit
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Atlanta +8.5 over N.O.
Are you kidding me, New Orleans -8.5? They are one of the 5 worst teams in the league and have no business being such a big favorite. Atlanta's averages 4 YPR (15th) and 6.44 YPPA (25th). They will actually improve with Leftwich at the helm this week. Defensively, Atlanta is not that strong allowing 4.3 YPR and 7.6 YPPA, but will be facing a terrible N.O. offense. N.O. is 27th in rushing offense and 31st in passing offense. Even if Brees plays like he did last season I don't see them covering this line. Defensively, the Saint can stop the run well allowing 3.7 YPR, but are dead last in the league at pass D allowing 9.3 YPPA. My supersystem has N.O. as 2 point favorites only! There are trends on each team so these cancel out. This line is obviously inflated because the public thinks the Saints are at last years form, but they are not and Atlanta will keep this one close.
2*: 1 Unit
3*: 1.3-1.5 Units
4*: 1.5-1.66 Units
5*: 2+ Units
1* Atlanta +8.5 over N.O.
Are you kidding me, New Orleans -8.5? They are one of the 5 worst teams in the league and have no business being such a big favorite. Atlanta's averages 4 YPR (15th) and 6.44 YPPA (25th). They will actually improve with Leftwich at the helm this week. Defensively, Atlanta is not that strong allowing 4.3 YPR and 7.6 YPPA, but will be facing a terrible N.O. offense. N.O. is 27th in rushing offense and 31st in passing offense. Even if Brees plays like he did last season I don't see them covering this line. Defensively, the Saint can stop the run well allowing 3.7 YPR, but are dead last in the league at pass D allowing 9.3 YPPA. My supersystem has N.O. as 2 point favorites only! There are trends on each team so these cancel out. This line is obviously inflated because the public thinks the Saints are at last years form, but they are not and Atlanta will keep this one close.
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