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USF is down to -2. Can we read into that at all? 
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1 = $25
MLB Posted (as of 4/15) - 20-11 +21.86
God have mercy on the man who doubts what he's sure of -
Not really - not just yet anyway.
You have more of a market up Nawth- you see!
However, it qualifies as a reverse line movement- we have more folks on South Florida but the the line goes down by a point. Some consider that smart or larger money coming in on Rutgers.
"The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice. -
yea, that's what I was thinking....so do we bail on the bulls?Originally posted by Spearit1 = $25
MLB Posted (as of 4/15) - 20-11 +21.86
God have mercy on the man who doubts what he's sure ofComment
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It only moved a 1/2 point...nothing significant at all....if anything it is because the public loves the unranked team as a home dog vs a ranked team....I like the Bulls as they are the much better team and have had the tougher schedule reagardless of being on the road but WTF do I know about NCAAF.....Originally posted by vondieSOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!Comment
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yea, but it's college....so being the better team doesn't matter....if it were that easy we would all be rich.Originally posted by Chado1
it was -3 for me this morning and now it's 2. I was looking to go big on the bulls but now i'm a little scared. I'm just waiting for someone smarter than I to re assure me that the move doesn't mean much.
1 = $25
MLB Posted (as of 4/15) - 20-11 +21.86
God have mercy on the man who doubts what he's sure ofComment
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It has never went to 3 on my book....jumping between 2.5 and 2.0 today and yesterday....I do however find it VERY strange how the line is that low with the #2 team in the nation playing Rutgers who isnt even ranked....that scares me that the line is so low in general....regardless of -2,-3,-4 or whatever.....Originally posted by vondieyea, but it's college....so being the better team doesn't matter....if it were that easy we would all be rich.
it was -3 for me this morning and now it's 2. I was looking to go big on the bulls but now i'm a little scared. I'm just waiting for someone smarter than I to re assure me that the move doesn't mean much.SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!Comment
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Actually, I think the line opened at 3 and moved to 2. I don't have access to any consensus monitoring sites other than ********* which may or may not be a reflection of betting patterns. If, however, ********* is any indication of consensus, there are 59% on USF and 41% on RU, but the line moved from an open of 3 to 2 currently. Some would say that is an indication of so-called 'sharp' or 'smart' money on Rutgers. Doesn't mean they'll win, but it does look like there has been some big $$$ coming in on the home dog.Comment
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Your still in the game so your smart enough!
My opinion is it's a home dog wager and that is why the swing is to Rutgers. I can't cap it any way except the Bulls way. Home field is an important factor but remember this is a very small stadium (@40,000) and they have won in bigger ones this year against better teams (Auburn).Comment
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Yup- Chado - -3 to -2 on most books.
These are my home boys- (alma mater). I will be on USF for the season and will continue to believe as I did with Florida last season. It comes down to preparation and USF has done that well so far. This game will be a great game to watch!Last edited by Spearit; 10-18-2007, 02:24 PM. "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.Comment
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thanks for the feedback guys!1 = $25
MLB Posted (as of 4/15) - 20-11 +21.86
God have mercy on the man who doubts what he's sure ofComment
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The Bulls haven't allowed a 100-yard rusher in 14 games, but will face Rutgers All-American Ray Rice, the last to reach the mark against them when he ran for 202 yards on 35 carries and two TDs last season.
"It was a great challenge,' said defensive end George Selvie, who has a single-season school record 20 1/2 tackles for a loss. "We love it, but we've got to keep it that way all season.'
South Florida is 1-1 all-time against Rutgers, beating the Scarlet Knights 45-31 on Nov. 5, 2005 in its only visit to Piscataway. "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.Comment
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Yes, more money is wagered on Rutgers.Originally posted by vondieComment
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Personally just the way i play them,if the % is 80 or more and the line goes the other way then i play it.Usually means smart money.If its lower then i go opposite of the line move...so in that theory i will prob take so.florida tonight.Like anything in gambling it doesnt always work..but i do play it usually along with my othes plays
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