Saturday Trends and Indexes 10/13

[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 14th

Week 6 Byes: Buffalo, Denver, Detroit, Indianapolis, Pittsburgh, San Francisco

Cincinnati at Kansas City, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 1-7 ATS in October
Kansas City: 17-34 ATS off BB games allowing 17 points or less

Houston at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Houston: 13-4 ATS off BB ATS losses
Jacksonville: 1-6 ATS off BB ATS wins

Miami at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Miami: 0-7 ATS off a road loss
Cleveland: 7-0 ATS after allowing 30+ points

Minnesota at Chicago, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 1-5 ATS off a home loss
Chicago: 6-1 Under off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

Philadelphia at NY Jets, 1:00 ET
Philadelphia: 14-5 ATS off a bye week
NY Jets: 14-6 Over in the first half of the season

St. Louis at Baltimore, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 19-34 ATS as a road underdog
Baltimore: 8-0 ATS off a road win by 3 points or less

Tennessee at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
Tennessee: 13-3 ATS as an underdog
Tampa Bay: 8-2 Under off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Washington at Green Bay, 1:00 ET
Washington: 5-1 ATS off a win by 10+ points
Green Bay: 2-10 ATS off a division game

Carolina at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Carolina: 11-2 Under off a division game
Arizona: 6-19 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games

New England at Dallas, 4:15 ET
New England: 8-2 ATS off BB wins by 10+ points
Dallas: 3-0 Under vs. New England

Oakland at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Oakland: 11-2 Under vs. division opponents
San Diego: 16-5 ATS off a win by 21+ points

New Orleans at Seattle, 8:15 ET NBC
New Orleans: 10-3 Under off BB losses
Seattle: 12-26 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points


Monday, October 15th

NY Giants at Atlanta, 8:30 ET ESPN
NY Giants: 10-3 ATS off BB home wins
Atlanta: 6-1 Over as a home underdog

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up


Sunday, October 14

Bengals (1-3) @ Chiefs (2-3) —Cincinnati lost last three games before their bye, allowing 36.3 pg, getting outrushed 511-278; they allowed 14 TDs on opponents’ last 33 drives, and ran out of healthy linebackers in their last game, so the bye came at good time. Palmer threw pair of picks in each of those losses. Chiefs are playing good defense, allowing 14.3 pg over last three games, but they’ve yet to win field position in game this season, so they miss Dante Hall’s returns.. KC is also just 17 for last 53 on third down, so they’re not moving chains on offense. Bengals lost both road games, 51-45/24-21. Four of five Chief games stayed under the total.

Texans (3-2) @ Jaguars (3-1) — Houston swept Jaguars LY, 27-7/ 13-10, holding them to two TDs, 12 3/outs on 22 drives. This yr, Del Rio’s team is playing good defense, allowing 10.3 pg; they’ve outrushed last three foes 455-139, but Texans are passing team, averaging 7.3+ yards/pass attempt in four of their five games— only Colts (5.3) held them under 7.3. Houston scored TD on its first drive last week, then ended game by kicking FGs on each of its last five drives, with three of the five coming on boots of 54+ yards (NFL record). Texans allowed 30,26 in its two losses, 21 or less in its three wins. Jags have yet to score more than 23 points.

Dolphins (0-5) @ Browns (2-3) —Cleo Lemon gets first NFL start under center for Miami, who lost all three of their road games by three points each, and also lost QB Green (concussion) last week. Cleveland is favored for first time this year, after covering three of last four as underdog; they won last two home games, 51-45/ 27-13, as Anderson has proved to be competent NFL QB (maybe better than he was in college). Fish ran ball for 141-137 yards in last two games, but until Lemon proves he is passing threat, they might have harder time running ball now. Four of five Cleveland games went over total, as did three of last four Miami tilts.

Vikings (1-3) @ Bears (2-3) — Griese is a definite upgrade at QB over Grossman; Chicago was +4 in turnovers last week, after -7 in margin in first four games; Bears hit some pass plays in second half last week (trailed 17-7 at half, won 27-20) to hand the Packers their first loss. Bears swept Minnesota LY, 19-16/23-13, as both teams had seven turnovers in the two games. Vikes scored one offensive TD in every game this season (four TD’s on 42 drives, with only two TD drives longer than 50 yards); they’ve run ball for 135 yds/game, which is pretty good. Vikings lost last three games before their bye, despite a defense allowing just 62.5 rushing yards per game.

Eagles (1-3) @ Jets (1-4) —Desperate time for these teams; Philly scored one TD on 33 drives in its three losses, but scored eight on 13 drives in their 56-21 win vs Lions- they need Westbrook back in lineup after bye week, and they need better pass blocking (gave up 12 sacks in their last game, on this same field). Jets played Giants last week, so they’ll be familiar with Eagle defense; Pennington will read defenses well, but can he stretch field? Only once in five games did Jets averaged six yards per pass attempt- they threw five picks in last two games, and lost last week, even though they had kick return and INT runback for TDs. Jets are allowing 33.7 pg in Giants Stadium. Philly is yet another road favorite that has yet to win on road.

Rams (0-5) @ Ravens (3-2) — St Louis is a mess; one of their few healthy offensive linemen had 50 yards in penalties last week, by himself, their DBs are all hurt, they have backups playing QB, RB and now Isaac Bruce is hurt, so no excuse for Raven defense not to dominate here. McNair should be highly motivated, since he lost Super Bowl to Rams, but Ravens scored just 13,9 points in last two games (one TD, 7 FGA, only three 3/outs on 18 drives in last two games)- they move ball well enough, but are awful in red zone (two TDs in last nine visits there). Under is 4-1 in St Louis games, 3-1 in last four Raven games. They played better last week with Frerotte at QB, but not well enough.

Titans (3-1) @ Buccaneers (3-2) —Two teams on up-tick here; Tennessee is 9-2 in last 11 games; their only ’07 loss is 22-20 to Colts, so would be hesitant to give them points, but Tampa won its two home games by 31-14/24-3 scores (albeit vs. two winless teams, Saints/Rams). Tennessee gave up only three points in second half vs Falcons last week, despite six of eight Atlanta drives starting in titan territory- That is solid defense. Tennessee gave up 10-14-13 points in its three wins, only let Indy score two offensive TDs on their 10 drives in that game. Field position is key for both teams; six of Bucs’ 10 offensive TDs, and five of Titans’ seven, have been on drives of 57 yards or less.

Redskins (3-1) @ Packers (4-1) — Green Bay gained 341 yards in first half against the Bears Sunday night, and led 17-7; in the second half, they gained total of 88 yards and lost 27-20; there was one five possession sequence where Pack ran total of 15 plays that gained 18 yards. Four punts and an INT, while the Bears rallied for a season-saving win. Pack had run ball for just 59.3 yg in their four wins- they had 121 Sunday, but did so little in second half, they lost. Redskins allowed 13-12-3 points in their wins, led 17-3 at half in their loss, but got outscored 21-0 in 2nd half of that game. Packers’ center is out (broken eye socket), that’s a critical position to use a sub. Last four Packer games went over total.

Panthers (3-2) @ Cardinals (3-2) — Arizona scored 55 points in winning last two games, has legit shot to make playoffs, but now they have to win game they’re expected to—underdog is 4-0-1 vs. spread in their games this season. Carr’s backup at QB are Matt Moore and Vinny Testaverde, signed during week, so hard to be enthused about Carolina team that was outgained by 98 yards in Superdome last week, but used dropped Saint passes to get road win. Arizona’s QB controversy ended with Leinart’s injury, so 36-yard Warner, two-time MVP, has keys to offense that scored 25.3 pg in last four games—both its losses came in final minute. Over is 3-1 in last four games for both teams.

Patriots (5-0) @ Cowboys (5-0) —New England is 15-1 in last 16 games vs NFC; they’ve scored 38-38-38-34-34 points in their games, winning them all by at least 17 points- they’ve yet to allow more than 17 points in a game, but Dallas averages 24.4 pg, in second half alone. Cowboys survived six turnovers in wild win Monday night; they’re working on short week here, with a shaky QB, but they make when they have to (17 for their last 28 on 3rd down). Bengals (6.1) are the only team to average more than 5.1 yards/pass attempt vs Pats; Cowboys have yet to average less than 6.2 in any game, and averaged 13.4/9.8 in their two home wins (Giants/Rams). Cowboys have not allowed offensive TD in last two games, but did allow four return TDs.

Raiders (2-2) @ Chargers (2-3) —San Diego ties for 1st place with win here, against team they beat twice LY (27-0/21-14), forcing 12 Raider 3/outs on 22 drives. Bolts ended three-game skid last week by waxing Broncos 41-3, Denver’s worst home loss since 1966, they had 214 rushing yards, and 270 passing, so we’ll see if that balance continues here. Oakland scored 25.3 ppg in splitting first four games- all four of their games went over the total, as did last four San Diego tilts. Chargers better gear up to stop run; since Oakland, in last three games, gained 200-186-299 running ball. Chargers gained 15 yards per pass attempt last week; Raiders allowed 5.3/4.3 in last two games, so interesting matchup there.

Saints (0-4) @ Seahawks (3-2) — Are the Seahawks aggressive enough? In five games, they’ve committed only 17 penalties (120 yards), their opponents 37 (for 293 yards). Maybe they need to be a little more assertive. In last four games, they’ve run ball for just 81.3 ypg. Hapless Saints scored 10-13-14-13 points in winless start; read article by observer at the Carolina game, who said Saint receivers were horrible last week, dropping numerous balls on big plays that cost NO dearly. Saints are 20-39 on 3rd down their last three games, not like they’re not making plays, just not enough to win. Seattle got blanked by Steelers, who were playing without two of its best defenders- they’re 2-0 at home, winning 20-6/24-21. Four of five Seattle games stayed under the total.


Monday, October 15

Giants (3-2) @ Falcons (1-4) — Resurgent Giants outscored last three opponents 58-10 in second half; calls for Coughlin’s head are now history. Atlanta had five takeaways last week, started six second half drives in Titan territory, but scored just three points on those six drives, losing 20-13 on INT for TD which got QB Harrington yanked for Leftwich. Giants are on roll, winning last three games; after allowing 478-368 yards in the first two games, they’ve held last three foes to 260-190-277 yards, much better. Not sure if Falcons taking back $19.9M of Vick’s bonus money affects this team, but it can’t be good. Four of five Giant games went over the total.

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[pm530]

NFL
Total bias: over/under plays


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Total bias: Week 6 over/under plays
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Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets – over 43

An extra week off is all Andy Reid needs to restore confidence in his club. The Eagles are 8-0 under Reid after their bye week and much of that has to do with an improved offensive game plan with an extra week’s worth of planning. Of course it won’t hurt to have running back Brian Westbrook and tight end L.J. Smith back on the field either. Each player is expected to suit up this weekend giving Donovan McNabb some much needed help.

There are whispers in New York that QB Chad Pennington may lose his starting job unless he comes up with a big game this week. I expect Pennington to come out firing in an attempt to prove the Jets are his team. Leon Washington is a game changer and should get more touches outside of his regular spot with special teams.

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks – under 43

The soft hiss you hear coming from Louisiana is the wind officially leaving the Saints’ sails. New Orleans mustered just 13 points at home in a huge divisional contest. Saints head coach Sean Payton doesn’t look like the offensive guru from a year ago now that Deuce McAllister isn’t gaining the tough yards between the tackles. Drew Brees is forcing throws (one TD pass to nine interceptions) because of a lifeless ground game.

The Seahawks were confused and clueless against the Pittsburgh Steelers. They were shut out and thoroughly spanked by a Pittsburgh team missing key parts. Seattle’s worst news came after the game when it learned fullback Mack Strong was retiring immediately because of a herniated disk. Tailback Shaun Alexander now no longer has the benefit of a solid lead block before hitting the hole.

New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons – over 44

Bobby Petrino proved in his first five games as an NFL head coach that he’s not afraid to call a pass-heavy game. He’s trying to win on the strength of Joey Harrington’s arm (yikes!) instead of Warrick Dunn’s feet.

The Giants have a balanced offense with a nice running-back tandem in Brandon Jacobs and Derrick Ward. The return of a dominating ground game (186 rushing yards last weekend) should increase the amount of successful play action bombs to Plaxico Burress.


Last week’s record: 1-2

Season record: 9-6

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


Sunday, October 14

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Tips and Trends
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St. Louis Rams at Baltimore Ravens (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Rams are 0-5 for the fourth time in franchise history and will match their worst start ever with another loss. Still, Baltimore head coach Brian Billick believes St. Louis is as tough of an opponent as the Ravens have played this season. "They're a desperate team right now," Billick said. "Obviously, when you're in this league and you're in that situation, it is a desperate time. And this is as dangerous a circumstance, as dangerous a team as we've played so far." SLIGHT EDGE: RAMS
The injury bug continues to hit St. Louis hard, as the team lost starting safties Jerome Carter to a broken foot and Todd Johnson with a neck sprain in last week's loss to Arizona. "You go, 'Why us?'" St. Louis TE Randy McMichael said. "It just seems like everything that can go wrong for us is going wrong for us." EDGE: RAVENS
The Ravens have won seven straight regular-season games at home but have failed to cover three of their last four there, including both of their two home games so far this season. SLIGHT EDGE: RAMS
The Rams are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog.
The Rams are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Ravens are 36-16-2 ATS in their last 54 games as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 4-1 in St. Louis' last 5 games overall.


Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Bears continue to struggle with their running game, ranking just 27th in the league this year with 82.6 yards per game. However, they are still committed to Cedric Benson as the starting RB even though he is averaging just three yards per carry. The Viking are allowing an NFL-low 62 yards per game, so insiders expect Brian Griese to take more responsbility for the offense's production. EDGE: VIKINGS
Minnesota will have Tavaris Jackson back as the team's starting QB after he missed the last two games witha pulled groin. Jackson has attempted just four passes against a Bears defense that got back on track in a big way in Sunday night's win at Green Bay with two second-half interceptions of future Hall of Famer Brett Favre. BIG EDGE: BEARS
Chicago won both meetings last year and has won eight of the last 12 in the series.
The Vikings are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC North
The Vikings are 7-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Bears are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
The Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Miami Dolphins at Cleveland Browns (CBS | 1 PM ET)

The Dolphins are one loss away from tying their worst start in team history set three years ago. They will try to avoid that loss with backup QB Cleo Lemon in the starting lineup after Trent Green suffered a severe concussion last week at Houston. Lemon has just one career start and will be facing a Cleveland secondary that has surrendered an NFL-high 15 touchdowns passes and the second-most passing yards. SLIGHT EDGE: DOLPHINS
Miami RB Ronnie Brown has rushed for at least 100 yards in each of the last three games, totaling 360 yards and four touchdowns during that stretch. The Browns have given up the third-most rushing yards in the NFL this season. EDGE: DOLPHINS
The Browns could be without starting RB Jamal Lewis, who sprained his right foot after just one carry last week at New England. Meanwhile, Miami's run defense got a huge boost from the return of LB Zach Thomas froma concussion last week, as the Dolphins allowed a season-low 74 yards to Houston. EDGE: DOLPHINS
The Dolphins are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. AFC.
The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
The Browns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
The Browns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a losing team.
The OVER is 4-0-1 in the Cleveland's last 5 games overall.


Washington Redskins at Green Bay Packers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Packers had their eight-game winning streak snapped last Sunday night against the Bears, but QB Brett Favre is a perfect 3-0 lifetime against the Redskins with the Packers outscoring them 95-23 in those games. EDGE: PACKERS
The Redskins are hoping to have WR Santana Moss back for this game after sitting out last week with a groin injury. That will be key since WR Antwaan Randle El could miss this game with a hamstring injury suffered last week after making four catches for 100 yards (check status on Pregame Wire). SLIGHT EDGE: PACKERS
The Redskins are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Redskins are 2-6-1 in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
The Packers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The Packers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 4-0 in Green Bay's last 4 games overall.


Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars (CBS | 1 PM ET)

The Jaguars were swept by Houston last year and will be looking to win four straight games for the first time in two years. They have circled this game and realize winning consistently is the key to a successful season. "It's been set up perfectly," Jacksonville RB Fred Taylor said. "We've had two huge road wins and Houston has been the reason we talked about the roller-coaster thing. They play us hard, they play us tough. Now it's time for us to do the same to them." EDGE: JAGUARS
At 3-2, the Texans have a winning record through five games for the first time in franchise history. However, injuries will again be the key on Sunday, as WRs Andre Johnson and Jacoby Jones along with RB Ahman Green could all miss action once again (check status on Pregame Wire). SLIGHT EDGE: JAGUARS
The Texans are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Texans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The Jags are 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a winning road team.
The Jags are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games a favorite.
The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Cincinnati will be trying to avoid the team's first four-game losing streak in nearly five years. The Bengals are coming off their bye week, which allowed them to rest many of their injured players. "I feel horrible," Cincinnati CB Deltha O'Neal said. "It's just ugly for us right now. It is so depressing to me because we are a lot better than what we are playing. A lot better." SLIGHT EDGE: BENGALS
Kansas City QB Damon Huard is nursing a shoulder injury and could be benched in favor of Brodie Croyle. However, Chiefs head coach Herm Edwards believes Huard will play despite the injury (check status on Pregame Wire). "Right now, unless he has a setback, he's going to play," Edwards said of Huard. "And that's good for us." SLIGHT EDGE: BENGALS
The Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
The Bengals are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss.
The Chiefs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
The Chiefs are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
The UNDER is 8-3 in Cincinnati's last 11 games overall.


Philadelphia Eagles at New York Jets (FOX | 1 PM ET)

The Eagles are a perfect 8-0 after a bye week under head coach Andy Reid, and they are also 7-0 all-time against the Jets. BIG EDGE: EAGLES
The Jets have totaled just three sacks this season, the third-fewest amount in the NFL. That's good news for Philly QB Donovan McNabb, who was sacked 12 times by the Giants in a 16-3 loss two weeks ago. SLIGHT EDGE: EAGLES
Philadelphia is expected to have RB Brian Westbrook, TE L.J. Smith and CB Lito Sheppard back in the lineup. That should give the Eagles a significant boost on both sides of the ball. EDGE: EAGLES
The Eagles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite.
The Jets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
The Jets are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
The OVER is 11-3-1 in New York's last 15 home games.


Tennessee Titans at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Tennessee has one of the top run defenses in the NFL, limiting opponents to just 72.3 yards per game. Since Tampa Bay is down to third-string RB Earnest Graham due to injuries to Cadillac Williams and Michael Pittman, insiders expect QB Jeff Garcia to put a lot of pressure on himself to win this game. SLIGHT EDGE: TITANS
The Titans have won five straight road games and five in a row against the Bucs. In fact, they have won seven of the eight all-time meetings with Tampa. EDGE: TITANS
The Titans are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games.
The Titans are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Bucs are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games a favorite.
The Bucs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 5-2 in Tampa Bay's last 7 games overall.


Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (FOX | 4:05 PM ET)

Kurt Warner is now the starting QB for the Cardinals, leaving some experts to question how effective he will be now that opponents can simply focus on him. Warner was part of a two-man rotation with Matt Leinart, who suffered a season-ending collarbone injury. That worked to Arizona's advantage because opponents didn't know which player would see more playing time. Now it could be a disadvantage with Warner the only real option under center. EDGE: PANTHERS
Carolina is also suffering through some QB issues with starter David Carr leaving last week's game with a back injury. Carr has been upgraded to probable, but the injury still prompted the Panthers to sign 43-year-old veteran Vinny Testaverde as insurance since former starter Jake Delhomme is out for the season with an elbow injury. EDGE: CARDINALS
The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a winning home team.
The Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. the NFC.
The Cardinals are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
The OVER is 9-2 in Arizona's last 11 games overall.


New England Patriots at Dallas Cowboys (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

A potential Super Bowl preview, this game features the two best offensive teams in the league who are also both unbeaten at 5-0. This also marks just the fifth time in NFL history that two unbeaten teams with at least five wins have ever faced each other. Still, both teams are trying to downplay the blockbuster matchup. "Let's not make it more than what it is," New England's Ellis Hobbs said. "This isn't determining the playoffs. This is not, quote, unquote, the Super Bowl matchup or whatever. We're going into Week 6 and this is the next game." The Pats have been more dominant though this season, scoring at least 34 points in every game while winning by at least 17 each time. SLIGHT EDGE: PATRIOTS
New England has never won a game in Dallas, going 0-4. The Patriots will be looking to match their best start to a season with another victory, which would tie their 2004 Super Bowl-winning team. However, the validity of their start has been questioned by some, as their first five opponents have a combined record of 7-17 so far this season. EDGE: COWBOYS
Dallas is coming off a short week after pulling off an amazing 25-24 win at Buffalo on Monday night. The Cowboys trailed 24-13 and overcame six turnovers by QB Tony Romo by scoring twice in the last 20 seconds. Still, many insiders believe Romo will need to make a quick turnaround and forget that performance to succeed against one of the best defenses in the league. SLIGHT EDGE: PATRIOTS
The Patriots 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite.
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a winning home team.
The Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
The OVER is 6-1 in New England's last 7 games as a favorite.


Oakland Raiders at San Diego Chargers (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

The Chargers have won seven straight meetings with Oakland, including four when San Diego head coach Norv Turner was leading the Raiders. Turner is still familiar with many of his former team's players, which should give them a significant advantage in hopes of making it eight in a row. BIG EDGE: CHARGERS
San Diego's offense is coming off its best performance of the season in a 41-3 road win at Denver last week. The Chargers totaled 484 yards, including 140 yards rushing and receiving by RB LaDainian Tomlinson and a career-high 147 rushing yards from his backup Michael Turner. LT has rushed for 1,455 yards with 12 touchdowns in 12 career games vs. Oakland. EDGE: CHARGERS
Daunte Culpepper is set to make his second start for the Raiders after a successful outing against his former team Miami two weeks ago before their bye. Culpepper is continuing to improve and used the off week to polish his skills, according to WR Jerry Porter. "He's coming along," Porter said. "He can play. He's getting a chance to get out there." SLIGHT EDGE: RAIDERS
The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC West.
The Raiders are 17-35-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
The Chargers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10 points.
The Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings.


New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (NBC | 8:15 ET)

New Orleans is off to its worst start since 1996, although the team played its best game last week against Carolina. The Saints outgained the Panthers 341-243 and held the ball over 10 minutes more but still lost by a field goal. Insiders believe head coach Sean Payton will make some lineup changes and do whatever it takes to jumpstart an offense that led the NFL in scoring last year and has not scored more than 14 points in any game this season. SLIGHT EDGE: SEAHAWKS
The Seahawks are hurting offensively, as leading receiver Deion Branch is out with a sprained foot, FB Mack Strong retired on Monday due to a herniated disk in his neck and RB Shaun Alexander is stil bothered by a sprained wrist that has forced him to play with a cast. Alexander is coming off his worst rushing performance in nearly five years, totaling only 25 yards on 11 carries at Pittsburgh last week. EDGE: SAINTS
The Saints are 3-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The Saints are 0-7 in their last 7 games overall.
The Seahawks are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the NFC.
The Seahawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB


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Tips and Trends
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Saturday, October 13

Cleveland Indians at Boston Red Sox (FOX | 8:07 PM ET)

Boston's Curt Schilling is an impressive 9-2 with a 1.93 ERA in 16 career playoff starts. That ranks third all-time behind Christy Mathewson and Waite Hoyt. Schilling is coming off seven shutout innings in Game 3 of the ALDS against the Angels, and he allowed just one run and six hits in seven innings the last time he faced the Indians to go along with no walks and 10 strikeouts in earning a victory. EDGE: RED SOX
The Indians have won Fausto Carmona's last eight starts, as he went 5-0 in September and got a no-decision in Game 2 of the ALDS vs. New York despite allowing only one run in nine innings of an eventual 2-1 win. "I know enough to know I'd rather be facing somebody else," Schilling said. "This kid is something else. The game he threw in New York was just a dominating, dominating outing. He's as good as anybody I've seen this year, and he was consistent." EDGE: INDIANS
The Red Sox are 12-3 in their last 15 playoff games.
The Red Sox are 8-2 at home in the playoffs under manager Terry Francona.

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[Kaptain]

10/12/07
07:22 PM Lineups
NFL
Redskins WR Santana Moss (groin) has been upgraded to expected to play Sunday.

10/12/07
07:08 PM News Alert
MLB
Orioles fired pitching coach Leo Mazzone.

10/12/07
07:07 PM Info Alert
MLB
Tony La Russa indicated that he was leaning towards staying on with the Cardinals in an interview.

10/12/07
07:06 PM News Alert
NFL
Lions RB Tatum Bell has requested that the team trade him prior to the October 16 deadline.

10/12/07
07:04 PM Lineups
NFL
Texans WR Jacoby Jones (shoulder) will play on Sunday.

10/12/07
07:02 PM Lineups
NFL
Panthers QB David Carr (back) has been upgraded to expected to start on Sunday.

10/12/07
07:01 PM Info Alert
NFL
Jets QB Chad Pennington will be on a short leash this Sunday according to reports.


10/12/07
06:14 PM Coach's Call
CFB
Memphis coach Tommy West said QB Martin Hankins (hip) could be available for Saturday.

10/12/07
06:12 PM Injuries
CFB
USC RB Stafon Johnson (foot) is unlikely to play on Saturday.

10/12/07
06:09 PM Lineups
CFB
USC backup QB Mark Sanchez is the expected starter for Saturday's game.

10/12/07
06:08 PM Lineups
CFB
Southern Mississippi QB Stephen Reaves has struggled recently, but is expected to be the starter on Saturday.

10/12/07
06:04 PM Lineups
CFB
Oklahoma RB Allen Patrick (body cramps) is expected to play Saturday.

10/12/07
05:59 PM Lineups
CFB
Missouri's leading rusher RB Tony Temple (ankle) did not travel with the team, and is not expected to play Saturday.

10/12/07
05:53 PM Lineup Alert
CFB
New Mexico State will start freshman QB JJ McDermott on Saturday.

10/12/07
05:51 PM Lineup Alert
CFB
Virginia's RB Cedric Peerman (foot) and CB Chris Cook (knee) are NOT expected to play Saturday.

10/12/07
05:49 PM Lineups
CFB
Arkansas WR Marcus Monk (knee) is not expected to play Saturday.

10/12/07
05:46 PM Injuries
CFB
Kentucky RB Rafael Little has shown little progress in recovering from a deep thigh bruise and could miss Saturday's game.

10/12/07
05:44 PM Lineups
CFB
LSU WR Early Doucet (groin) has practiced this week, and is expected to make his return on Saturday.

10/12/07
05:42 PM Lineup Alert
CFB
Idaho QB Nathan Enderle (hand) is OUT this Saturday, and Brian Nooy is the expected starter.

10/12/07
05:39 PM Lineups
CFB
Stanford QB Tavita Pritchard is the expected starter on Saturday.

10/12/07
05:35 PM Injuries
CFB
Northern Illinois QB Dan Nicholson (ankle) is not 100 percent, but according to coach Joe Novak he won't need any time off.

10/12/07
05:25 PM Lineups
CFB
Illinois QB Juice Williams (knee) is expected to start on Saturday.

10/12/07
05:23 PM Lineup Alert
CFB
Texas WR Limas Sweed (wrist) will NOT play Saturday, and is expected to be done for the season.

10/12/07
05:21 PM Lineups
CFB
Oklahoma State QB Zac Robinson (concussion) is expected to play Saturday, but also split time with backup Bobby Reid.

10/12/07
05:13 PM Lineup Alert
CFB
Wisconsin's WR Luke Swan (hamstring) will NOT play this Saturday, and is expected to miss the season.

10/12/07
05:07 PM Injuries
CFB
Washington State's top WR Brandon Gibson (heel) is listed as doubtful for Saturday's game.

10/12/07
05:02 PM Lineup Alert
CFB
Georgia RB Thomas Brown (broken collarbone) will NOT play on Saturday, and is expected to miss 4-6 weeks.

10/12/07
05:00 PM Lineups
CFB
Ohio State RB Beanie Wells (ankle) is expected to play Saturday, as coach Jim Tressel has said he is "ready to go".


10/12/07
03:04 PM News Alert
CFB
Florida DB Michael Guilford was killed early this morning when the motorcycle he was driving hit a median at a high rate of speed.

10/12/07
02:58 PM News Alert
CFB
Suspended Penn State RB Austin Scott has been charged with raping a woman at her on-campus apartment.

10/12/07
02:45 PM Lineups
NFL
Ravens TE Todd Heap (hamstring) is expected to start this Sunday.


10/12/07
12:01 PM Coach's Call
NFL
Patriots coach Bill Belichick indicated that RB Laurence Maroney (groin) will probably be a game-time decision on Sunday.


10/12/07
11:22 AM Injuries
CFB
Virginia RB Cedric Peerman (foot/ankle) has been downgraded to doubtful for this weekend.

10/12/07
11:17 AM Injuries
NFL
Vikings QB Tarvaris Jackson (groin) said he'll be ready to play against the Bears.

10/12/07
11:15 AM Coach's Call
NFL
Titans coach Jeff Fisher indicated the team may not welcome Pacman Jones back if his suspension is lifted after ten games.


10/12/07
11:13 AM Lineups
NFL
Bengals RB Kenny Watson is readying himself to be the starter in Week 6.

[pm530]

Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index

Cleveland at Boston
Boston got to C.C. Sabathia early and often last night, knocking out the Cleveland ace after just 4 1/3 innings in a 10-3 blowout. Manny Ramirez and David Ortiz continued their torrid October by reaching base all 10 times they came to the plate. As a team, the Red Sox are now hitting .296 and have scored 29 runs in their four postseason wins. Hoping to avoid falling in an 0-2 hole, the Indians will turn to Fausto Carmona. But he will have to face Curt Schilling, who tossed seven shutout innings against the Angels in the ALDS and is now 9-2 with a 1.93 ERA in 16 career playoff starts. Boston looks like a good pick (-149) in Game Two according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-149).

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 957-958: Cleveland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 15.944; Boston (Schilling) 16.781
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-149); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-149); Over

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Baseball – Long Sheet

MLB
Long Sheet


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, October 13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (99 - 68) at BOSTON (100 - 66) - 8:00 PM
FAUSTO CARMONA (R) vs. CURT SCHILLING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 100-66 (+8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 74-43 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 99-68 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 72-50 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 95-75 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 43-23 (+16.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 296-233 (-58.4 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
SCHILLING is 4-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-2 (+3.6 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. BOSTON since 1997
CARMONA is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

CURT SCHILLING vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SCHILLING is 2-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.045.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 14
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (93 - 74) at COLORADO (95 - 73) - 8:35 PM
LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JOSH FOGG (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 12-8 (+5.9 Units) against ARIZONA this season
11 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 7-8 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.470.
His team's record is 9-15 (-9.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-10. (+0.6 units)

JOSH FOGG vs. ARIZONA since 1997
FOGG is 6-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.337.
His team's record is 9-3 (+10.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-4.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, October 13
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AL Championship Series
Game Two
Boston Leads, 1-0
TV: FOX

Cleveland at Boston, 8:05 ET
Fausto Carmona (R) vs. Curt Schilling (R)

Carmona:
14-4 Under 2nd half of season
Cleveland 8-0 SU when trailing in a playoff series

Schilling:
4-9 TSR off a Boston win
Boston 24-13 Under after scoring 8+ runs


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, October 14th
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NL Championship Series
Game Three
Colorado Leads, 2-0
TV: TBS

Arizona at Colorado, 8:35 ET
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Josh Fogg (R)

Hernandez:
Arizona 17-3 Under revenging a one run loss
Arizona 24-10 Under off BB losses

Fogg:
Colorado 6-0 SU in October
Colorado 8-2 SU off 6+ wins

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Saturday, October 13


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) at BUFFALO (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 55-25 ATS (+7.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 60-27 ATS (+18.2 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 10-19 ATS (-17.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 6-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 6-2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) at TORONTO (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 66-76 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
TORONTO is 13-20 ATS (+38.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-13 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-3 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (5-1-0-0, 10 pts.) at NY RANGERS (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY RANGERS are 120-129 ATS (+120.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 168-181 ATS (+168.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 193-219 ATS (+193.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 46-60 ATS (-46.1 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 81-117 ATS (-110.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 7-2 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 7-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAROLINA (3-1-0-1, 7 pts.) at MONTREAL (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 10-17 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 10-18 ATS (-11.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 11-4 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 11-4-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (3-2-0-0, 6 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY ISLANDERS are 18-9 ATS (+27.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 37-33 ATS (+77.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 52-46 ATS (+111.2 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-61 ATS (+113.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-61 ATS (-37.1 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 24-61 ATS (+24.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-31 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-31 ATS (+10.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-31 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-27 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-15 ATS (-17.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-13 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-7 ATS (-8.5 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-27 ATS (-23.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-23 ATS (+33.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-8-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW JERSEY (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) at ATLANTA (0-4-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 11-5 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 9-23 ATS (-18.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 0-7 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-1 (+7.6 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.9 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at FLORIDA (1-3-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 6-14 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 74-112 ATS (-42.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
FLORIDA is 25-15 ATS (+8.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 215-305 ATS (+215.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 185-215 ATS (+185.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
FLORIDA is 69-86 ATS (+69.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
FLORIDA is 12-32 ATS (+50.2 Units) after shutting out their opponent in their previous game since 1996.
FLORIDA is 66-105 ATS (+203.8 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 11-6 (+8.3 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 11-6-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALGARY (1-2-0-1, 3 pts.) at NASHVILLE (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 14-32 ATS (+46.0 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-32 ATS (+46.0 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 14-32 ATS (+46.0 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-15 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 30-9 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 33-9 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 7-1 (+7.0 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 7-1-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at CHICAGO (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-3 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 26-10 ATS (+12.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-9 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 151-199 ATS (+393.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 76-105 ATS (-51.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-2-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.6 Units)

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COLUMBUS (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at COLORADO (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 15-5 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 25-20 ATS (-1.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 250-215 ATS (+250.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
COLORADO is 94-91 ATS (-97.1 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
COLORADO is 59-58 ATS (-62.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 7-1 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 7-1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+6.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at PHOENIX (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 4-15 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 128-100 ATS (+21.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
PHOENIX is 90-78 ATS (+201.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 57-42 ATS (+99.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 5-19 ATS (+29.3 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-3-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EDMONTON (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) at VANCOUVER (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 56-42 ATS (+115.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 56-42 ATS (+3.6 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 56-42 ATS (+56.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 23-11 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 15-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 14-9 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 204-213 ATS (+204.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 55-76 ATS (-66.3 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 9-8-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at SAN JOSE (2-1-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/13/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 17-3 ATS (+11.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 1-0-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

National Hockey League - Dunkel Index

NHL
Dunkel Index

Tampa Bay at Florida
The Lightning are 3-0-0 for the first time since 2003-04 when they won their first six games en route to the Stanley Cup championship. The top line of Vincent Lecavalier, Martin St. Louis and Vinny Prospal combined for six goals and 13 points in the first two games. They were held scoreless in the most recent win over Florida (2-1), but Chris Gratton stepped up with both goals against his former team. Tonight the two teams will meet again at Florida and the Lightning look like a good underdog pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has Tampa Bay favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 1-2: Washington at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.422; Buffalo 11.220
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-210); 6
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+200); Under

Game 3-4: Pittsburgh at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 10.760; Toronto 11.147
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-115); Under

Game 5-6: Ottawa at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 12.335; NY Rangers 12.017
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+105); Under

Game 7-8: Carolina at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 12.220; Montreal 11.294
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-115); 6
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+105); Under

Game 9-10: NY Islanders at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.368; Philadelphia 11.180
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-165); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+155); Over

Game 11-12: New Jersey at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.158; Atlanta 9.906
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-130); Under

Game 13-14: Tampa Bay at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.637; Florida 10.824
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+120); Under

Game 15-16: Calgary at Nashville
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.930; Nashville 12.138
Dunkel Line & Total: Nashville by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nashville (-135); Over

Game 17-18: Dallas at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.226; Chicago 11.391
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-145); 5
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+135); Over

Game 19-20: Columbus at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 12.003; Colorado 11.643
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-185); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+175); Over

Game 21-22: Minnesota at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 12.162; Phoenix 10.649
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-160); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-160); Under

Game 23-24: Edmonton at Vancouver
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 10.330; Vancouver 11.099
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Vancouver (-180); 5
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (-180); Over

Game 25-26: Boston at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.525; San Jose 11.473
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-240); Under

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

National Hockey League - Short Sheet

NHL
Short Sheet

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday, October 13th
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Washington at Buffalo, 7:05 ET
Washington: 10-36 SU away playing without rest off a road game
Buffalo: 13-2 SU off a win by 4+ goals

Pittsburgh at Toronto, 7:05 ET CBC
Pittsburgh: 9-1 Over on Saturdays
Toronto: 0-5 SU off a win by 5+ goals

Ottawa at NY Rangers, 7:05 ET
Ottawa: 5-0 SU away after allowing 5+ goals
NY Rangers: 11-27 SU vs. Ottawa

Carolina at Montreal, 7:05 ET
Carolina: 7-0 SU at Montreal
Montreal: 8-14 SU off 3+ road games

NY Islanders at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
NY Islanders: 10-5 SU away off a loss by 5+ goals
Philadelphia: 0-7 SU at home playing with two days rest

New Jersey at Atlanta, 7:05 ET
New Jersey: 11-5 SU away on Saturdays
Atlanta: 3-14 SU after allowing 5+ goals

Tampa Bay at Florida, 7:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 6-14 SU off 3+ wins
Florida: 7-1 SU at home vs. Tampa Bay

Calgary at Nashville, 8:05 ET
Calgary: 0-8 SU away after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Nashville: 30-9 SU at home in the first half of the season

Dallas at Chicago, 8:35 ET
Dallas: 9-3 SU away after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Chicago: 9-27 SU vs. Dallas

Columbus at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Columbus: 2-19 SU vs. Colorado
Colorado: 9-1 SU off a road loss by 2+ goals

Minnesota at Phoenix, 10:05 ET
Minnesota: 13-4 SU off 3+ Unders
Phoenix: 5-19 SU on Saturdays

Edmonton at Vancouver, 10:05 ET CBC
Edmonton: 5-17 SU off a home loss
Vancouver: 14-3 SU off BB Overs

Boston at San Jose, 10:35 ET
Boston: 2-8 SU off 4+ road games
San Jose: 17-3 SU vs. non-conference opponents

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[Udog]

Duplicated here. I'm having a hard time getting used to a new laptop!! Please excuse any further srew ups!

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Baseball Today - October 13

SCOREBOARD

Saturday, Oct. 13

Cleveland at Boston (8:00 p.m. EDT). The Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a loss.

STARS

-David Ortiz and Manny Ramirez, Red Sox, reached base all 10 times they came to the plate to lead Boston past Cleveland 10-3.

-Willy Taveras, Rockies, walked to force in the go-ahead run and made a diving catch to help Colorado beat Arizona 3-2 in 11 innings.

SNAPPED

Josh Beckett's postseason scoreless streak ended at 18 innings when Cleveland's Travis Hafner hit a solo homer off the Red Sox right-hander in the first inning of Boston's 10-3 victory on Friday. Beckett pitched six innings of four-hit ball to improve his career postseason record to 4-2.

ROCKIN'

Colorado beat Arizona 3-2 in 11 innings Friday night to take a 2-0 series lead. After their 19th victory in 20 games, the seemingly unstoppable Rockies headed home to Denver, where the series resumes Sunday night with Josh Fogg pitching against Arizona's Livan Hernandez.

FIRED

Leo Mazzone was fired as pitching coach of the Baltimore Orioles on Friday, less than two weeks after completing his second season with a struggling staff. Mazzone worked wonders with the Atlanta Braves from June 1990 through the end of the 2005 season but could not duplicate that success with the Orioles. Baltimore ranked 29th among 30 teams with a 5.17 ERA and yielded more walks (696) than any major league club.

SPEAKING

''We expect to win every game.'' - Colorado's Ryan Spilborghs after a 3-2, 11-inning win on Friday gave the Rockies a 2-0 series lead over Arizona in the NLCS.


This Day in Baseball History
October 13

"If you're afraid, you'll never do the job." BILL MAZEROSKI - Pirates hero of 1960 World Series.

1903 In Game 8 of the series, Boston defeats Pittsburgh, 3-0 to take baseball's first ever world championship, 5 games to 3.

1914 Boston become the first team to complete a four-game World Series sweep as the Miracle Braves beat the American League's heavily favored A's behind the solid pitching of Dick Ruldolf who bests Philadelphia, 3-1. The Braves, who were in last place in mid-July, win the National League pennant by ten and a half games.

1921 In the first all New York World Series, the Giants beat the Yankees, 1-0 to win the baseball's championship in eight games.

1923 Casey Stengel's home run is the difference as Giant hurler Art Nerf out duels Sam Jones and the Yankees, 1-0, in Game 3 of the World Series.

1960 At Forbes Field, Bill Mazeroski's dramatic bottom of the ninth inning home run off Yankee hurler Ralph Terry breaks up a 9-9 tie and ends one of the most exciting seven game World Series ever played.

1971 In the first World Series night game ever played, the Pirates defeat the Orioles, 4-3 as Roberto Clemente collects three hits at Three Rivers Stadium.

1993 At the Veterans Stadium, the Phillies win the National League pennant by beating the Braves in Game 6 of the NLCS, 6-3. With Tommy Greene out dueling Greg Maddux and the timely hitting of Darren Daulton, Dave Hollins and Mickey Morandini, Philadelphia wins its third consecutive game to dethrone the defending champs.

2000 Extending his streak to 33 and a third innings, Mariano Rivera breaks the 38-year-old record of Whitey Ford for consecutive scoreless frames in postseason play as the Yankees defeat the Mariners, 8-2 in Game 3 of the ALCS. The Yankees' Hall of Fame lefty had established the record from 1960 to 1962 with 33 innings as World Series starter.

2001 Being down 2-0 in best-of-five series, the Yankees, thanks to the shut out pitching Mike Mussina and Mariano Rivera and Jorge Posada's fifth-inning home run, stave off elimination beating the A's and Barry Zito, 1-0. Shortstop Derek Jeter backing up an errant relay throw down the first base and flipping it home to cut down Jeremy Giambi as the potential tying run will be remembered as one of the best defensive plays in post season history.

2003 A tearful 72-year-old Don Zimmer apologizes for his part in yesterday's brawl during Game 3 of the ALCS between the Yankees and Red Sox . During the fourth-inning matinee melee at Fenway, the Yankees' assistant to manager is thrown to the ground after charging Pedro Martinez.

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