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Hello Gentlemen, hope everyone is well. Thought I would drop by and hopefully share some winners for this Saturday. This is my card.....
(133) NEW MEXICO (+3.5) over Wyoming
This is a very good spot for the Lobos. New Mexico is coming off of a bye after a disheartening 31-24 loss at home two weeks ago, a game in which they felt like they let get away. They will be ready to play here. "They're another really good team, but we've been waiting for a long time to play them," Lobo's senior wide receiver Travis Brown said. "It was hard going through a bye week after a game you thought you should have won. They have a lot of talent, but we're going in there really hungry." Wyoming on the other hand is coming off of a huge, emotional win against TCU last week surviving a late comeback attempt by the Horned Frogs. "This is a big win for us," Wyoming coach Joe Glenn said during his post game interview with the media. "They were the only team we hadn't beaten in the MWC. This win shows where the program is headed. You look back a year ago and we were 1-4, now we are 4-1." So why do I say this is a good spot for the Lobos? New Mexico is at its best when they hit the road. The Lobos own a 3-1 record at Wyoming during coach Rocky Long's tenure, are 8-1 straight up following bye weeks during the Long era, are 18-5 against the spread in their last 23 road games, are 19-9 against the spread as an underdog and are 15-3-2 against the spread in their last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record. After the big win over TCU, the Cowboys might have a hard time getting up for this one and Wyoming is only 2-5-1 against the spread in their last eight conference home games. Also, teams playing their sixth game of the year that are coming off of a bye week after a loss and are playing a team coming off of a win are 41-20 against the spread. Take the points!
(191) CENTRAL FLORIDA (+12) over South Florida
Just like last week, this is another bad spot for the South Florida Bulls. Last week they struggled to get the win at Florida Atlantic after their huge win over West Virginia in their previous game. The 35-23 score over Florida Atlantic looks like an easy win, but the game was much closer. It was tied at 7 at halftime, but Florida Atlantic missed three medium range field goals in the first half. FAU had the ball in the 4th quarter trailing 28-23, but could not punch it in for the game winning touchdown. South Florida added a cheap touchdown with less than a minute left after taking over on downs at the FAU 21. This week they have to play a feisty, well-coached Central Florida team who would love nothing more than to earn some respect by knocking off the Bulls. UCF is much closer in the talent level to the Bulls than Florida Atlantic was last week. A less than stellar effort by USF could find themselves looking at a loss this week and they could very well come out flat here as they have a big look ahead game next Thursday night in prime time against Rutgers. The Bulls also now have to deal with the pressure and expectations of being a top 10 ranked team for the first time in the history of the program. The value of betting on South Florida is gone, unless you get them as an underdog. They are now quickly becoming a public team and that is reflected in this line. Take the points here!
OVER 65.5 Minnesota @ Northwestern
Not a whole lot of analysis needed for this one. Both of these teams have an offense at can score points as both Minnesota and Northwestern's offenses are ranked in the top 45 in total offense. The Gophers are sporting a new balanced attack this season and the Wildcats come at you with the spread offense. On the other side of the ball neither of these teams have a good defense. Northwestern's defense is ranked 72nd in the country in total defense and Minnesota's defense is ranked a horrible 118th. The over is 9-3 in the Golden Gophers last 12 games following a straight up loss and the over is 4-1 in the Wildcats last 5 games following a straight up win. Look for a shoot out here!
(123) LOUISVILLE (+10.5) over Cincinnati
Taking to the road might be a good thing for Louisville as they get away from the hostile home crowd. To say the Cardinals have underachieved is an understatement, but this is still a very dangerous team. Their defense has been horrible, and Cincinnati will score on them, but this is also the most explosive offense that the Bearcats have faced this year. Cincinnati appears to have the much better team this year, but Louisville has dominated this series and I alway hate to lay points against a team that has had another teams number like Louisville has had in this series. The Cardinals have won eight out of the last nine meetings between these two teams and this is the first time that Cincinnati has been favored in the matchup in ten years. Cincinnati should win here, but I think the Cardinals keep it close. Take the points here!
(117) SOUTH CAROLINA (-7) over North Carolina
As most of you know I hate being on such a public play like this so I'm keeping it small, but everything about this game favors the Gamecocks. The Tar Heels are coming off of a huge conference win against Miami last week, but I don't think this is a good spot for them here. This young North Carolina team is going to have a hard time getting back up for this game after holding on for dear life last week nearly blowing a 27-0 halftime lead against Miami. UNC is only 2-8 against the spread as a home underdog in non-conference games and Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks have covered eight straight games on the road. This is a huge game for Steve Spurrier in terms of recruiting in North Carolina and the Gamecocks should be fully focused for this one. South Carolina's next game is against Vandy, so the Tar Heels won't catch them looking ahead here. Both of these teams have young quarterbacks, but South Carolina's Smelly has a much better matchup against a weak Tar Heel secondary than UNC's Yates does against a very strong Gamecock secondary. A blowout win here would do wonder's for South Carolina's recruiting and Spurrier knows the spread and looks to cover the spread every week. If you don't believe that statement look what he did against Mississippi State two games ago. Lay the points here!
All lines from BetJamacia on 10/10/07
(133) NEW MEXICO (+3.5) over Wyoming
This is a very good spot for the Lobos. New Mexico is coming off of a bye after a disheartening 31-24 loss at home two weeks ago, a game in which they felt like they let get away. They will be ready to play here. "They're another really good team, but we've been waiting for a long time to play them," Lobo's senior wide receiver Travis Brown said. "It was hard going through a bye week after a game you thought you should have won. They have a lot of talent, but we're going in there really hungry." Wyoming on the other hand is coming off of a huge, emotional win against TCU last week surviving a late comeback attempt by the Horned Frogs. "This is a big win for us," Wyoming coach Joe Glenn said during his post game interview with the media. "They were the only team we hadn't beaten in the MWC. This win shows where the program is headed. You look back a year ago and we were 1-4, now we are 4-1." So why do I say this is a good spot for the Lobos? New Mexico is at its best when they hit the road. The Lobos own a 3-1 record at Wyoming during coach Rocky Long's tenure, are 8-1 straight up following bye weeks during the Long era, are 18-5 against the spread in their last 23 road games, are 19-9 against the spread as an underdog and are 15-3-2 against the spread in their last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record. After the big win over TCU, the Cowboys might have a hard time getting up for this one and Wyoming is only 2-5-1 against the spread in their last eight conference home games. Also, teams playing their sixth game of the year that are coming off of a bye week after a loss and are playing a team coming off of a win are 41-20 against the spread. Take the points!
(191) CENTRAL FLORIDA (+12) over South Florida
Just like last week, this is another bad spot for the South Florida Bulls. Last week they struggled to get the win at Florida Atlantic after their huge win over West Virginia in their previous game. The 35-23 score over Florida Atlantic looks like an easy win, but the game was much closer. It was tied at 7 at halftime, but Florida Atlantic missed three medium range field goals in the first half. FAU had the ball in the 4th quarter trailing 28-23, but could not punch it in for the game winning touchdown. South Florida added a cheap touchdown with less than a minute left after taking over on downs at the FAU 21. This week they have to play a feisty, well-coached Central Florida team who would love nothing more than to earn some respect by knocking off the Bulls. UCF is much closer in the talent level to the Bulls than Florida Atlantic was last week. A less than stellar effort by USF could find themselves looking at a loss this week and they could very well come out flat here as they have a big look ahead game next Thursday night in prime time against Rutgers. The Bulls also now have to deal with the pressure and expectations of being a top 10 ranked team for the first time in the history of the program. The value of betting on South Florida is gone, unless you get them as an underdog. They are now quickly becoming a public team and that is reflected in this line. Take the points here!
OVER 65.5 Minnesota @ Northwestern
Not a whole lot of analysis needed for this one. Both of these teams have an offense at can score points as both Minnesota and Northwestern's offenses are ranked in the top 45 in total offense. The Gophers are sporting a new balanced attack this season and the Wildcats come at you with the spread offense. On the other side of the ball neither of these teams have a good defense. Northwestern's defense is ranked 72nd in the country in total defense and Minnesota's defense is ranked a horrible 118th. The over is 9-3 in the Golden Gophers last 12 games following a straight up loss and the over is 4-1 in the Wildcats last 5 games following a straight up win. Look for a shoot out here!
(123) LOUISVILLE (+10.5) over Cincinnati
Taking to the road might be a good thing for Louisville as they get away from the hostile home crowd. To say the Cardinals have underachieved is an understatement, but this is still a very dangerous team. Their defense has been horrible, and Cincinnati will score on them, but this is also the most explosive offense that the Bearcats have faced this year. Cincinnati appears to have the much better team this year, but Louisville has dominated this series and I alway hate to lay points against a team that has had another teams number like Louisville has had in this series. The Cardinals have won eight out of the last nine meetings between these two teams and this is the first time that Cincinnati has been favored in the matchup in ten years. Cincinnati should win here, but I think the Cardinals keep it close. Take the points here!
(117) SOUTH CAROLINA (-7) over North Carolina
As most of you know I hate being on such a public play like this so I'm keeping it small, but everything about this game favors the Gamecocks. The Tar Heels are coming off of a huge conference win against Miami last week, but I don't think this is a good spot for them here. This young North Carolina team is going to have a hard time getting back up for this game after holding on for dear life last week nearly blowing a 27-0 halftime lead against Miami. UNC is only 2-8 against the spread as a home underdog in non-conference games and Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks have covered eight straight games on the road. This is a huge game for Steve Spurrier in terms of recruiting in North Carolina and the Gamecocks should be fully focused for this one. South Carolina's next game is against Vandy, so the Tar Heels won't catch them looking ahead here. Both of these teams have young quarterbacks, but South Carolina's Smelly has a much better matchup against a weak Tar Heel secondary than UNC's Yates does against a very strong Gamecock secondary. A blowout win here would do wonder's for South Carolina's recruiting and Spurrier knows the spread and looks to cover the spread every week. If you don't believe that statement look what he did against Mississippi State two games ago. Lay the points here!
All lines from BetJamacia on 10/10/07
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