Don't Forget...

[vinnyvegas]

Dallas: 2-12 ATS off a win by 28+ points
Buffalo: 24-7 ATS off a win by 3 points or less

[dave T]

I recieved an email earlier tonight from a heavy hitter in Vegas with whom I speak with via email a few times a year. I'll respect his confidentiality. He is advising Buffalo +450. Wow. I'm too chicken man, I already got my biggest play of season @ +10.0. To be honest about it, considering Dallas' strength this season against rookie Bill's QB, it's a scary pick for me. But, then again, this system is always, ALWAYS, a scary pick.

Good Luck, I need it.

dt

[dave T]

FWIW, home dogs off a straight up dog win are pretty solid (don't have the numbers, going on memory).

Excel Program Line: Dallas by 11.5. Plus ten is fair. I don't put much weight to the Excel line, in and of itself, unless it's a glaring differential...

...AND...

...until all the team's have at least 4 or 5 games under their belt.

Example last season: Dallas +3 at Carolina (excel Dallas -4.5)...Dallas romped. Saints Week Nine pick'em at Tampa (excel New Orleans -8.0)....Saints romped.

dt

[vinnyvegas]

FWIW, home dogs off a straight up dog win are pretty solid (don't have the numbers, going on memory).

Excel Program Line: Dallas by 11.5. Plus ten is fair. I don't put much weight to the Excel line, in and of itself, unless it's a glaring differential...

...AND...

...until all the team's have at least 4 or 5 games under their belt.

Example last season: Dallas +3 at Carolina (excel Dallas -4.5)...Dallas romped. Saints Week Nine pick'em at Tampa (excel New Orleans -8.0)....Saints romped.

dt

Dave,

I ran my model & got Dallas at -21

After looking at Buff's stats vs boys, I'm sure Vegas could have thrown up a much bigger line...fwiw

I'm on Buff...might even throw a dollar on that Buff ML...LOL

[tech fan]

its game day lets go Bills

[frankb03]

whats the record

10-0 since 1989

I don't have data prior to 1989

[molta02]

i like buffalo regardless tonight.

but for some reason, this trend is scaring me off more than making me feel more confident.

[littlewager]

What scares me is the Bills offense. 14 - 3 - 7 - 17 points scored this year and with continued injurys.
But the line makes no sense being only 10 and not moving. Much like the second half line in last nights game being a pick em and only the juice moving up. It was all GB the first half yet they did nothing but shoot themselves in the foot the second half. Just can't believe line makers have that keen of a foresite...........yet?

[PSL6978]

fuck every site i go on, everyone is on the bills... kinda scares me

[molta02]

fuck every site i go on, everyone is on the bills... kinda scares me

thing to look at is this- most people who post on forums etc. will be on the bills. the real casual bettors (which there are a lot more of) will be on dallas.

everyone i know locally loves dallas tonight- everyone i know from the boards is on buffalo.

[frankb03]

fuck every site i go on, everyone is on the bills... kinda scares me

The forum sites might be on Bill but the public is 70% on Cowboys.

[molta02]

The forum sites might be on Bill but the public is 70% on Cowboys.

and the books take everything at +110

[weazel079]

This system has spread around to other forums and is probably influenced selections for this game somewhat. I got a teaser carrying over from yesterday which included the Titans and Cowboys tonight. Now I'm a little nervous after seeing this system. In 4 games this year the Cowboys have scored 2 FG's (6 pts) in the 1st quater of their games. Maybe a 1st quater play on the Bills?

[Ldawg]

I recieved an email earlier tonight from a heavy hitter in Vegas with whom I speak with via email a few times a year. I'll respect his confidentiality. He is advising Buffalo +450. Wow. I'm too chicken man, I already got my biggest play of season @ +10.0. To be honest about it, considering Dallas' strength this season against rookie Bill's QB, it's a scary pick for me. But, then again, this system is always, ALWAYS, a scary pick.

Good Luck, I need it.

dt

Already on ATS for $3 bucks ( not warm n' fuzzy enuff for a ATM play)

Might throw a 1/2 on the ML. WTF it's only money


gl guys

[Dat Boi E]

good luck with tha system play on tha Bills, dave T!