Thursday Trends and Indexes 09/27

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Trends and Indexes
Thursday, September 27

Good Luck on day #270 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

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Six-pack for Thursday

-- Cubs lost their ninth straight game to Florida, Milwaukee couldn't take advantage though, as Cardinal waxed them,
7-3, keeping Brewers two games out of first place.

-- Seth McClung threw one pitch for Brewers Wednesday, drilled Albert Pujols, got tossed out of game. Milwaukee is lucky if McClung gets suspended- he's a lousy pitcher.

-- Phillies beat Tim Hudson, Mets lost to Washington again so their lead over Phils is down to a single game.

-- Mets allowed 57 runs in their last six games vs Nationals.

-- Padres' Jake Peavy broke both of his ankles playing high school sports, but he still made the big leagues, and is one of best pitchers in the majors. You just never know.

-- Padres hammered Giants, 11-3, so Wild Card race stays as is, with Padres leading Phillies, Colorado by a game.

Weird seeing Bonds play his last home game for Giants; he is loved by Giant fans, but despised by most others. Bonds stole 500+ bases in his career; steroids didn't help that.

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Thursday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but............

13) Major League Baseball suspended umpire Mike Winters for the rest of season as result of the Milton Bradley fiasco, where Bradley flipped out, then tore his ACL as his manager tried to keep him away from Winters, who apparently had baited him with profanities.

12) Mark Teixeira had 26 hits in first 51 Atlanta at-bats with men in scoring position; he is going to get a very big contract after the ’08 season.

11) Milwaukee remains in contention, despite losing 16 games they led by 3+ runs; playoff team that lost the most games with a 3+ run lead is the ’63 Dodgers, who lost 18 of them.

10) If Indians wind up with best record in AL, they can pick a schedule where Sabathia/Carmona will start four of the five first round games. They'll be tough to beat.

9) Shawn Marion wants to be traded away from the Suns, so he can be better appreciated. If he is away from Steve Nash and a team that runs and shares the ball, his numbers will go down-- not sure his new fans would appreciate that.

8) Inside the Actors’ Studio had its first-ever repeat guest on this week, Tom Hanks. Hanks was once a vendor at Oakland Coliseum, during the Finley dynasty years in the early 70’s.

7) Brian Griese gets nod at QB for Chicago this week, as they visit Detroit, as common sense wins out. I would guess even Grossman has to be at least a little relieved by this decision.

6) How happy is the NFL to have the Packers 3-0? If they’re still a contender in second half of season, expect to see a lot of Brett Favre in the flex-scheduled Sunday night games.

5) LaDanian Tomlinson is averaging 2.3 yards per rush.

4) Arizona is paying Matt Leinart $8M, but his backup (Kurt Warner) might still be the better player; its not a good sign when the starter gets removed so the backup can run the no-huddle offense.

3) Rams’ 0-3 start is their worst since ’02, when they started 0-5; that year, Games 3-4 were against Bucs and Dallas, just like this season. With the offensive line benged up, Jackson out and Bulger playing with two broken ribs, doesn't look like things will get better anytime soon.

2) Carolina had three TD drives of exactly 80 yards in Atlanta Sunday; you don’t see that too much.

1) In their first 23 plays Sunday, Eagles gained 317 yards, had 15 first downs, and scored five TDs. The Lions’ defensive coordinator is the head coach’s son-in-law. Whoops.

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FOOTBALL
We are providing football trends & indexes that are available for today through Monday.

[pm530]

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index

Southern Mississippi at Boise State
The Broncos haven't captured the magic yet that carried them to postseason glory against Oklahoma last year. An ugly loss at Washington (24-10) in Week 2 was followed by a lackluster win over Wyoming (24-14). The offense has sputtered behind new QB Taylor Tharp and has allowed defenses to focus on slowing down RB Ian Johnson. Johnson ranks just 41st in the nation with 97.3 yards per game and has been held to less than 100 yards and without a TD in two straight games. But with the exception of one half against Washington, the Bronco defense has been tough and hasn't allowed a point in five of the last six quarters. And few are tougher at home than Boise where they are 53-2 at Bronco Stadium since the end of 1998. Southern Miss struggled when it went on the road earlier this year at Tennessee (39-19) and could find the blue turf equally uninviting. Boise State looks like a good pick to cover (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10). Here are all of this week's picks.

THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 27

Game 101-102: Southern Mississippi at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 86.727; Boise State 101.564
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 15; 42
Vegas Line: Boise State by 10; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-10); Under

Game 233-234: Memphis at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 77.621; Arkansas State 80.029
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2; 71
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 4 1/2; 61
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+4 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 28

Game 103-104: West Virginia at South Florida
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 108.843; South Florida 97.629
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 11; 50
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 7; 61
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-7); Under

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 29

Game 105-106: Duke at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 76.757; Miami (FL) 94.346
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 17 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 24; 47
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+24); Over

Game 107-108: North Carolina at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 79.670; Virginia Tech 100.584
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 21; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 17 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-17 1/2); Over

Game 109-110: Akron at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 75.248; Connecticut 96.498
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 21; 49
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 13; 43
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-13); Over

Game 111-112: Indiana at Iowa
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 84.703; Iowa 97.997
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 13; 38
Vegas Line: Iowa by 11; 44
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-11); Under

Game 113-114: Mississippi State at South Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 81.997; South Carolina 102.812
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 21; 40
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 13 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-13 1/2); Under

Game 115-116: Temple at Army
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 64.017; Army 73.290
Dunkel Line: Army by 9; 51
Vegas Line: Army by 5 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Army (-5 1/2); Over

Game 117-118: Air Force at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 87.944; Navy 83.011
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Navy by 3; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+3); Under

Game 119-120: Buffalo at Ball State
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 66.577; Ball State 86.925
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 20 1/2; 67
Vegas Line: Ball State by 15 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-15 1/2); Over

Game 121-122: Northern Illinois at Central Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 73.656; Central Michigan 71.002
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 2 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 3; 60
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+3); Over

Game 123-124: Michigan at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 101.977; Northwestern 78.780
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 23; 37
Vegas Line: Michigan by 16 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-16 1/2); Under

Game 125-126: Syracuse at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 76.566; Miami (OH) 79.362
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 3; 56
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+2 1/2); Over

Game 127-128: Utah State at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 62.977; Utah 87.168
Dunkel Line: Utah by 24; 42 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 20; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-20); Under

Game 129-130: California at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: California 110.057; Oregon 112.254
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 2; 78
Vegas Line: Oregon by 5 1/2; 71
Dunkel Pick: California (+5 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: Alabama vs. Florida State
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 96.030; Florida State 92.348
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Florida State by 2 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (+2 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Mississippi at Georgia
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 80.265; Georgia 101.262
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 21; 51
Vegas Line: Georgia by 15; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-15); Over

Game 135-136: Auburn at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 90.325; Florida 107.564
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17; 49
Vegas Line: Florida by 19; 55
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+19); Under

Game 137-138: UCLA at Oregon State
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 94.791; Oregon State 93.598
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 1; 62 1/2
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 2; 56
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2); Over

Game 139-140: Penn State at Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 99.803; Illinois 92.467
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 7; 48
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-3); Over

Game 141-142: Michigan State at Wisconsin
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 93.124; Wisconsin 98.800
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 5 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 7 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+7 1/2); Under

Game 143-144: Iowa State at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 77.459; Nebraska 98.943
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 21 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 22 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+22 1/2); Over

Game 145-146: Kansas State at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 87.735; Texas 104.794
Dunkel Line: Texas by 17; 57
Vegas Line: Texas by 14 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-14 1/2); Over

Game 147-148: UNLV at Nevada
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 85.433; Nevada 87.450
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2; 55
Vegas Line: Nevada by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (+6); Over

Game 149-150: UTEP at SMU
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 78.867; SMU 74.874
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 4; 54
Vegas Line: SMU by 2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+2); Under

Game 151-152: Hawaii at Idaho
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 99.841; Idaho 72.226
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 27 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 25; 77
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-25); Under

Game 153-154: LSU at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 112.996; Tulane 69.061
Dunkel Line: LSU by 44; 44
Vegas Line: LSU by 39 1/2; 50
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-39 1/2); Under

Game 155-156: Colorado State at TCU
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 86.179; TCU 95.685
Dunkel Line: TCU by 9 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: TCU by 13; 46
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+13); Over

Game 157-158: Eastern Michigan at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 68.171; Vanderbilt 89.516
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 21; 47
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 19 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-19 1/2); Over

Game 159-160: Western Michigan at Toledo
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 75.186; Toledo 76.831
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 2; 68
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+2); Over

Game 161-162: Kent at Ohio
Dunkel Ratings: Kent 75.954; Ohio 81.348
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Kent by 1; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+1); Over

Game 163-164: Oklahoma at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 117.705; Colorado 87.066
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 31; 48
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 22; 56
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-22); Under

Game 165-166: Baylor at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 80.526; Texas A&M 94.119
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 13 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 17; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+17); Under

Game 167-168: Pittsburgh at Virginia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 87.229; Virginia 90.603
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3; 44
Vegas Line: Virginia by 7; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+7); Over

Game 169-170: East Carolina at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 84.547; Houston 89.793
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5; 52
Vegas Line: Houston by 10 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+10 1/2); Under

Game 171-172: UAB at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 71.483; Tulsa 87.498
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 16; 62
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 21; 69 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+21); Under

Game 173-174: Louisville at NC State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 98.330; NC State 83.199
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 15; 67
Vegas Line: Louisville by 8 1/2; 71 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-8 1/2); Under

Game 175-176: Clemson at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 97.061; Georgia Tech 99.574
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+3); Under

Game 177-178: Maryland at Rutgers
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 86.431; Rutgers 104.594
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 18; 52
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 13; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-13); Over

Game 179-180: Ohio State at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 110.952; Minnesota 82.391
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 28 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 21 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-21 1/2); Under

Game 181-182: USC at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: USC 111.046; Washington 94.171
Dunkel Line: USC by 17; 66
Vegas Line: USC by 21; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+21); Over

Game 183-184: Notre Dame at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 81.843; Purdue 100.060
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 18; 56
Vegas Line: Purdue by 22; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+22); Over

Game 185-186: BYU at New Mexico
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 92.394; New Mexico 94.248
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 2; 62
Vegas Line: BYU by 7 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+7 1/2); Over

Game 187-188: Washington State at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 85.549; Arizona 84.427
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 1; 64
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: Arizona State at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 102.779; Stanford 81.636
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 21; 61 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 14; 61
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-14); Over

Game 191-192: Louisiana Tech at Fresno State
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 75.590; Fresno State 82.593
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 7; 65 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 12 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+12 1/2); Over

Game 193-194: Cincinnati at San Diego State
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 104.565; San Diego State 81.307
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 23; 57
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 14; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-14); Over

Game 195-196: UL Lafayette at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: UL Lafayette 64.471; Central Florida 91.218
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 27; 68
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 21 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-21 1/2); Over

Game 197-198: Florida International at Middle Tennessee St.
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 57.787; Middle Tennessee St. 76.828
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 19; 41
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee St. by 11 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee St. (-11 1/2); Under

Game 199-200: Florida Atlantic at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 75.298; Kentucky 105.372
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 30; 70
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 22; 67
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-22); Over

Game 201-202: North Texas at Arkansas
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 60.496; Arkansas 95.738
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 35; 70
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 36; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+36); Over

Game 203-204: UL Monroe at Troy
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 67.853; Troy 91.890
Dunkel Line: Troy by 24; 72
Vegas Line: Troy by 12 1/2; 71
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-12 1/2); Over

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[pm530]

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 5

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Thursday, September 27
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SOUTHERN MISS (2 - 1) at BOISE ST (2 - 1) - 9/27/2007, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-15 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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MEMPHIS (1 - 2) at ARKANSAS ST (1 - 2) - 9/27/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Friday, September 28
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W VIRGINIA (4 - 0) at S FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/28/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Saturday, September 29
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DUKE (1 - 3) at MIAMI (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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N CAROLINA (1 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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AKRON (2 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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INDIANA (3 - 1) at IOWA (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MISSISSIPPI ST (3 - 1) at S CAROLINA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TEMPLE (0 - 4) at ARMY (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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AIR FORCE (3 - 1) at NAVY (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
AIR FORCE is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
NAVY is 93-64 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 93-64 ATS (+22.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 2-0 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 2-0 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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BUFFALO (1 - 3) at BALL ST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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N ILLINOIS (1 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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SYRACUSE (1 - 3) at MIAMI OHIO (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against MAC opponents since 1992.
MIAMI OHIO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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UTAH ST (0 - 4) at UTAH (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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CALIFORNIA (4 - 0) at OREGON (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ALABAMA (3 - 1) vs. FLORIDA ST (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OLE MISS (1 - 3) at GEORGIA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
GEORGIA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
GEORGIA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 1-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AUBURN (2 - 2) at FLORIDA (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UCLA (3 - 1) at OREGON ST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PENN ST (3 - 1) at ILLINOIS (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 43-72 ATS (-36.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MICHIGAN ST (4 - 0) at WISCONSIN (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


IOWA ST (1 - 3) at NEBRASKA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEBRASKA is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KANSAS ST (2 - 1) at TEXAS (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

ead-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UNLV (2 - 2) at NEVADA (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEVADA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEVADA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTEP (2 - 2) at SMU (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-1 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAWAII (4 - 0) at IDAHO (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LSU (4 - 0) at TULANE (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LSU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
TULANE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COLORADO ST (0 - 3) at TCU (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at VANDERBILT (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
VANDERBILT is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


W MICHIGAN (1 - 3) at TOLEDO (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
TOLEDO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-1 against the spread versus W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KENT ST (2 - 2) at OHIO U (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKLAHOMA (4 - 0) at COLORADO (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
OKLAHOMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BAYLOR (3 - 1) at TEXAS A&M (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 46-70 ATS (-31.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BAYLOR is 46-69 ATS (-29.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
BAYLOR is 24-45 ATS (-25.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 1-1 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at VIRGINIA (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


E CAROLINA (1 - 3) at HOUSTON (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UAB (1 - 2) at TULSA (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UAB is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULSA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISVILLE (2 - 2) at NC STATE (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEMSON (4 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MARYLAND (2 - 2) at RUTGERS (3 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
RUTGERS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OHIO ST (4 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in September games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


USC (3 - 0) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 44-68 ATS (-30.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NOTRE DAME (0 - 4) at PURDUE (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BYU (2 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (3 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NEW MEXICO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
BYU is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO is 1-1 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WASHINGTON ST (2 - 2) at ARIZONA (1 - 3) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 23-50 ATS (-32.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-55 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-55 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 46-73 ATS (-34.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-55 ATS (-31.5 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


------------------------------ --------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA ST (4 - 0) at STANFORD (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 2) at FRESNO ST (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
FRESNO ST is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CINCINNATI (4 - 0) at SAN DIEGO ST (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA LAFAYETTE (0 - 4) at UCF (2 - 1) - 9/29/2007, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 0-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 4) at MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 4) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 2-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 1) at KENTUCKY (4 - 0) - 9/29/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NORTH TEXAS (0 - 3) at ARKANSAS (1 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA MONROE (0 - 3) at TROY (2 - 2) - 9/29/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 5

Thursday, September 27th

Southern Miss at Boise State, 7:45 ET ESPN
Southern Miss: 5-16 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less
Boise State: 32-12 ATS as a home favorite

Write-In Added Game:

Memphis at Arkansas State, 7:00 ET
Memphis: 2-13 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Arkansas State: 17-9 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points


Friday, September 28th

West Virginia at South Florida, 8:00 ET ESPN2
West Virginia: 19-8 ATS away off a win by 21+ points
South Florida: 9-0 Under off BB wins


Saturday, September 29th

Duke at Miami FL, 12:00 ET
Duke: 2-11 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Miami FL: 15-5 Under off BB home games

North Carolina at Virginia Tech, 12:00 ET
North Carolina: 1-6 ATS off BB ATS losses
Virginia Tech: 10-2 ATS off a win by 21+ points

Akron at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
Akron: 5-1 Over as an underdog of 10 to 21.5 points
Connecticut: 6-0 ATS at home off a conference game

Indiana at Iowa, 12:00 ET
Indiana: 7-1 Over off BB home games
Iowa: 11-3 ATS off BB road games

Mississippi State at South Carolina, 12:30 ET
Mississippi State: 6-0 ATS in road games
South Carolina: 12-4 Over as a home favorite

(TC) Temple at Army, 12:00 ET ESPNU
Temple: 12-3 ATS away off BB ATS wins
Army: 2-10 ATS off an Over

Air Force at Navy, 1:00 ET CSTV
Air Force: 5-20 ATS off a conference road loss
Navy: 9-1 ATS vs. MWC opponents

(TC) Buffalo at Ball State, 12:00 ET
Buffalo: 12-5 Over vs. conference opponents
Ball State: 11-1 ATS off an Over

(TC) Northern Illinois at Central Michigan, 12:00 ET
Northern Illinois: 0-6 ATS off a road game
Central Michigan: 9-1 ATS vs. conference opponents

(TC) Michigan at Northwestern, 12:00 ET
Michigan: 8-1 ATS in road games
Northwestern: 0-6 ATS in September

(TC) Syracuse at Miami OH, 3:00 ET
Syracuse: 9-0 ATS vs. MAC opponents
Miami OH: 14-6 Over in September

Utah State at Utah, 3:00 ET
Utah State: 1-9 ATS off BB losses
Utah: 16-4 Over off a conference loss

California at Oregon, 3:30 ET ABC
California: 13-4 ATS away off a combined score of 70+ points
Oregon: 14-29 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points

(TC) Alabama vs. Florida State, 5:00 ET CBS
Alabama: 17-6 ATS away off BB ATS losses
Florida State: 9-1 Under off BB non-conference games

(TC) Mississippi at Georgia, 1:00 ET
Mississippi: 16-6 Under off a home loss
Georgia: 10-22 ATS at home off a conference win

(TC) Auburn at Florida, 8:00 ET ESPN
Auburn: 8-2 Over off a win by 21+ points
Florida: 3-9 ATS off a conference win

(TC) UCLA at Oregon State, 6:30 ET FSN
UCLA: 7-1 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games
Oregon State: 1-6 ATS in September

(TC) Penn State at Illinois, 12:00 ET
Penn State: 8-1 Under after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Illinois: 5-14 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less

Michigan State at Wisconsin, 3:30 ET ABC
Michigan State: 3-13 ATS vs. conference opponents
Wisconsin: 8-1 ATS after allowing 14 points or less

(TC) Iowa State at Nebraska, 2:00 ET
Iowa State: 0-6 ATS playing on artificial turf
Nebraska: 14-1 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards

Kansas State at Texas, 3:30 ET ABC
Kansas State: 7-1 Over as a road underdog
Texas: 12-2 ATS off 3+ Overs

UNLV at Nevada, 4:05 ET
UNLV: 7-18 ATS playing on artificial turf
Nevada: 8-0 ATS as a favorite

UTEP at SMU, 4:30 ET CSTV
UTEP: 5-18 ATS away in September
SMU: 8-2 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Hawaii at Idaho, 5:00 ET
Hawaii: 13-4 ATS as a favorite
Idaho: 1-5 ATS after allowing 24+ first-half points

(TC) LSU at Tulane, 12:00 ET ESPN2
LSU: 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Tulane: 2-11 ATS playing on artificial turf

Colorado State at TCU, 7:00 ET
Colorado State: 0-6 ATS off BB losses
TCU: 15-6 ATS off a win

Eastern Michigan at Vanderbilt, 7:00 ET
Eastern Michigan: 5-19 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Vanderbilt: 5-1 Over off BB home games

Western Michigan at Toledo, 7:00 ET
Western Michigan: 16-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less
Toledo: 7-0 Over as a home underdog

(TC) Kent State at Ohio U, 3:00 ET
Kent State: 2-8 ATS after committing 3+ turnovers
Ohio U: 6-0 ATS off a home game

(TC) Oklahoma at Colorado, 1:30 ET FSN
Oklahoma: 11-3 ATS as a favorite
Colorado: 3-11 ATS as an underdog

(TC) Baylor at Texas A&M, 12:30 ET VER
Baylor: 1-8 ATS off an Over
Texas A&M: 8-1 Over off a non-conference game

Pittsburgh at Virginia, 7:00 ET ESPNU
Pittsburgh: 2-16 ATS off a home loss by 14+ points
Virginia: 8-0 Under as a home favorite

East Carolina at Houston, 7:00 ET
East Carolina: 14-5 Under as an underdog
Houston: 6-0 ATS at home off a win

UAB at Tulsa, 7:00 ET
UAB: 15-5 ATS off BB non-conference games
Tulsa: 2-13 ATS off BB games with combined scores of 60+ points

(TC) Louisville at NC State, 3:30 ET ESPNU
Louisville: 11-2 ATS vs. ACC opponents
NC State: 1-7 ATS in September

(TC) Clemson at Georgia Tech, 3:30 ET ABC
Clemson: 9-2 Under off BB wins by 17+ points
Georgia Tech: 1-7 ATS off a loss as a road favorite

(TC) Maryland at Rutgers, 3:30 ET ABC
Maryland: 0-6 ATS in September
Rutgers: 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Ohio State at Minnesota, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Ohio State: 14-3 ATS vs. conference opponents
Minnesota: 0-5 ATS at home vs. Ohio State

USC at Washington, 8:00 ET ABC
USC: 33-14 ATS after scoring 42+ points
Washington: 6-22 ATS off a conference road loss

(TC) Notre Dame at Purdue, 12:00 ET ESPN
Notre Dame: 0-6 ATS as an underdog
Purdue: 9-2 Under off a road win by 10+ points

BYU at New Mexico, 8:30 ET CSTV
BYU: 14-3 ATS away off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
New Mexico: 0-7 ATS after allowing 6 points or less

Washington State at Arizona, 10:00 ET
Washington State: 11-3 Over off a loss by 17+ points
Arizona: 0-6 ATS as a home favorite

Arizona State at Stanford, 10:00 ET
Arizona State: 7-1 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points
Stanford: 2-9 ATS vs. conference opponents

Louisiana Tech at Fresno State, 10:00 ET
Louisiana Tech: 3-13 ATS off a bye week
Fresno State: 17-7 Over in September

Cincinnati at San Diego State, 10:00 ET VER
Cincinnati: 8-1 ATS off an ATS win
San Diego State: 9-1 Under off a win by 21+ points

Added Games:

Louisiana Lafayette at Central Florida, 6:00 ET
LA Lafayette: 5-16 ATS off a combined score of 60+ points
Central Florida: 6-1 Over off BB ATS wins

Florida International at Middle Tennessee State, 7:00 ET
Florida Int: 0-7 ATS off 4+ losses
Mid Tenn State: 11-2 Under off an ATS loss

(TC) Florida Atlantic at Kentucky, 1:00 ET
Florida Atl: 2-8 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Kentucky: 5-1 ATS off BB wins

North Texas at Arkansas, 7:00 ET
North Texas: 4-14 ATS off an Under
Arkansas: 13-3 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points

Louisiana Monroe at Troy, 7:00 ET
LA Monroe: 7-0 ATS away vs. conference opponents
Troy: 2-10 ATS off BB ATS wins

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football – Write up

NCAAF
Write-up

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday's college football info

Don't adjust your TV; they're playing on blue astroturf in Boise, where Broncos are 26-11 vs spread in last 37 tries as favorite. No easy way to get from Hattiesburg to Boise, tough trip for visitor, but Southern Mississippi won last game at East Carolina, was down just 17-16 at half at Tennessee the week before. Eagles are 8-13 vs spread in last 21 tries as road dog-- this is their first trip west of Mississippi River since '03. Boise scored just 34 points in two games vs I-A foes, as they rebuild some this season.

Arkansas State outgained Texas in Austin, then waxed SMU in next game 45-28; ASU beat Memphis 25-23 as 8-point dogs in Liberty Bowl LY, after losing previous two games vs Tigers by 38-16/47-35 margins. Memphis was down 42-0 at half last week in Orlando (lost 56-20 to UCF) so they've got issues. Indians ran ball for 177 yards in Knoxville last week, lost 48-27 at Tennessee (+19, was 31-17 at half). ASU is 5-3 in last eight as home fave.


Friday's college football info

South Florida upset West Virginia LY, 24-19, knocked them out of BCS; WVa hired the USF offensive coordinator after season, so edge there for Mountaineers, who are 4-0, scoring 47.3 ppg and running ball for 355.6 ypg. Bulls covered three of last four tries as home dog; they're 3-0 with 26-23 win at Auburn; pair of I-A foes they've faced ran ball for total of 204 yards. USF has +6 turnover ratio in last two games, with six INTs, but WVa won't be throwing much, unless Bulls can stop the run.


Saturday's college football info

Top 10 games

Iowa has good defense, but they've scored only two TDs in last two games, getting outrushed 329-171, converting just 5-29 on third down. Indiana upset Hawkeyes 31-28 LY; they're 3-1 after Illinois shut them down LW, 27-14. Hoosiers are just 12-24 as a road dog since '00, but coach Hoeppner had them on right track before he passed away. Iowa won its only home game this year 35-0; all four Hawkeye games stayed under the total.

South Carolina changes QBs after 28-16 loss at rainy LSU week ago; Gamecocks scoring just 20 ppg in three games vs I-A foes, 16 ppg in SEC play. Carolina covered five of last seven after loss Miss State covered seven of nine off a win, and they're on three game win streak, including win at Auburn. SC won this game a year ago 15-0 (-7), holding MSU to 8-23/82 passing. Bulldogs do have QB issues; they were just 5-18/41 passing at Auburn.

Air Force underdog for fourth straight week, with two outright wins and 31-6 loss at BYU last week; Flyboys lost four in a row to Navy, with three wins by 3 pts, one by seven Navy gave up 36 points in the first half to Duke last week, rallied for 46-43 win behind backup Bryant, but that is huge red flag- they lost to Ball State week before, but Cards almost beat Nebraska, that looks better now. Middies are 2-7 in last nine tries as home favorite.

The rest of this weekend's info will be posted Thursday night.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football – Thursday Match-up

NCAAF

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thursday night lights: Southern Miss at Boise State
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The matchup: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Boise State Broncos

Kickoff: 8:30 p.m. ET from Bronco Stadium in Boise, Idaho

The line: Boise State -10 ½, total 49 ½ points

Weather forecast: There’s no chance of rain in Boise and the southeast wind won’t top 5 mph. The temperature will start in the mid-70s at kickoff and steadily drop to the low 60s through the game.

Key injuries

Southern Miss: Offensive guard Ryan Hebert has returned to full-speed drills but remains doubtful for Thursday. Nose tackle Sean Merrill sat out Tuesday’s practice with a strained back but will play. Freshman linebacker Martez Smith will miss one more game due to suspension.

Boise State: The Broncos missed a pair of starters in their last game against Wyoming, receiver Vinny Peretta and linebacker David Shields. Both are probable starters for Thursday.

Three reasons why Southern Miss could cover:

1. The Eagles’ Young man is maturing: Quarterback Jeremy Young is fresh off his biggest clutch performance since toppling Houston at home last year. Young led a comeback win at East Carolina with 237 passing yards and a pair of one-yard scoring runs. Young’s continued improvement keeps opposing defenses from keying on sophomore tailback Damion Fletcher.

2. Boise State’s offense isn’t ticking: The Broncos hung points on all takers in recent years, culminating in last year’s 43-42 upset of Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl. They’ve played two FBS (Division I-A) opponents this year and struggled offensively in both, committing four turnovers at Washington and scoring only 24 points at home against Wyoming in Week 3. It was their first home game scoring less than 41 points since October 2005.

3. Strength in the front seven: Southern Mississippi came into the 2007 campaign with what was reputed to be C-USA’s top defensive line and and top group of linebackers. The team’s numbers took a hit against Tennessee, but in the Eagles’ other two games, no opposing runner topped 45 yards on the ground.

Three reasons why Boise State could cover:

1. The Broncos excel on the Smurf Turf: Boise State is 21-1 SU and 12-6-1 ATS at Bronco Stadium since the start of the 2004 season, with the only SU loss being its MPC Computers Bowl defeat to Boston College in 2005. The Broncos have won 18 straight regular season home games by a touchdown or more.

2. Southern Miss is a bad road doggie: The Golden Eagles have won five games away from Hattiesburg since the start of the 2006 season, but were favored in all of those wins. They’ve been a road underdog five times over the same span and have gone 0-5 SU and ATS in those games.

3. Boise State continues to smother the run: No matter how much Young has improved, the Golden Eagles make hay with its running game, which runs into a defensive buzz saw on Thursday. Boise State held eight opponents under 100 rushing yards last year and the Broncos are up to the same tricks in 2007, holding Wyoming to 35 yards on 24 carries in their last game Sept. 15.

Cool stat of the day

Preseason Heisman Trophy hopeful Ian Johnson has been held under 100 rushing yards in two straight games. The last time that happened (against Utah and Louisiana Tech a year ago), Johnson rebounded with back-to-back 180-plus yard games. Johnson also reached the end zone four times in each of his rebound games.

Boise State center Jeff Cavender promised Johnson a 150-yard, three-touchdown game against the Eagles, according to the Jackson Clarion-Ledger.

Key quote

“From what I’ve been looking at, (Boise State’s All-American left tackle Ryan Clady is) beatable," Eagles defensive end Robert Henderson told the Hattiesburg American.

“I think you can beat him with speed. He's a big guy, so if you go in there and let him get his hands on you, you're really not going to get too much off him. If you beat him with speed and be more finesse than him, he's beatable.”

"That's on both sides. Both of their tackles look beatable to me. They’re good, but everybody can be beat."

pick: Golden Eagles +10 ½

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[pm530]

College Football - Tips & Trends

NCAAF


Thursday, September 27

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Southern Miss at Boise State (ESPN | 7:30 PM)

Boise State has one of the best home-field advantages in college football, as the Broncos have won 53 of their last 55 games at Bronco Stadium and posted a 35-16-1 ATS mark in their last 52 games there. BIG EDGE: BOISE STATE
Some might assume this will be a high-scoring game considering Boise State's tremendous success at home on the Smurf Turf. However, Broncos QB Taylor Tharp has just three touchdown passes and three interceptions in three games so far. Boise is relying on All-American RB Ian Johnson to handle the offensive load, and he has failed to break the century mark in rushing yards the last two games against Washington and Wyoming. EDGE: SOUTHERN MISS & UNDER
Southern Miss is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games.
The UNDER is 8-1 in Boise State's last 9 non-conference games.

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[pm530]

College Football – Points of Interest

NCAAF

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Points of Interest
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

09/25/07
10:58 AM Injuries
CFB
North Carolina QB Harrison Beck (knee) will be ready to go versus Louisville.

09/25/07
10:56 AM Lineup Alert
CFB
QB Ben Olson has been medically cleared to play and will be the starter for the Bruins this weekend.

09/25/07
10:56 AM Injury Alert
CFB
Virginia Tech TE Chris Drager will miss the rest of the 2007 year with a partially torn ACL.

09/25/07
02:36 AM Injuries
CFB
Michigan QB Chad Henne (knee) has been medically cleared to play, but a starter has yet to be announced.

09/25/07
02:35 AM Injury Alert
CFB
South Carolina's standout LB Jasper Brinkley will miss the rest of the 2007 season with a right knee sprain.

09/25/07
02:33 AM Lineup Alert
CFB
Bruins QB Patrick Cowan has been ruled out this week against Oregon State.

09/25/07
02:32 AM Injury Alert
CFB
Ducks WR Brian Paysiner will have surgery on his right knee and will miss the remainder of the year.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index

Denver at Indianapolis
The Colts know how to get out of the gate quickly as their 3-0 start has pushed their record to 17-2 in September under Tony Dungy. The wins haven't been easy, though, as the last two have come on the road against a pair of improving teams: Tennessee (22-20) and Houston (30-24). Home will look pretty good to the Colts where they are 10-0 in the regular season since the start of last season and have won 21 of 22 overall. What may look even better is a Denver team that fell flat at home last week in a loss to Jacksonville (23-14). The Broncos allowed the Jaguars to run through their defense (186 rushing yards), which should help Joseph Addai get going. Meanwhile the Bronco offense managed just 265 total yards against the Jag defense with Travis Henry being held to 35 yards on 11 carries. Those numbers should look good to a Colt defense that has carried over the momentum from last year's postseason and held the Texans to 40 rushing yards, the lowest total against an Indy defense since 2005. The Colts have dominated the Broncos the last two times Denver has come to town, outscoring them 90-34 in back-to-back playoff games. This game looks like it could be more of the same and makes the Colts a good pick to cover (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Indianapolis favored by 18. Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 30

Game 205-206: Oakland at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 117.947; Miami 127.437
Dunkel Line: Miami by 9 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 4; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Over

Game 207-208: Houston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 133.948; Atlanta 123.972
Dunkel Line: Houston by 10; 45
Vegas Line: Houston by 3; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-3); Over

Game 209-210: Baltimore at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore 130.748; Cleveland 124.871
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 6; 44
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 4; 38
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-4); Over

Game 211-212: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 128.614; Detroit 129.111
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Chicago by 3; 44
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+3); Over

Game 213-214: Green Bay at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 128.720; Minnesota 130.461
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 35
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Under

Game 215-216: St. Louis at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.226; Dallas 141.070
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 22; 40
Vegas Line: Dallas by 11; 45
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-11); Under

Game 217-218: NY Jets at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 125.463; Buffalo 129.265
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 46
Vegas Line: NY Jets by 3 1/2; 37
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3 1/2); Over

Game 219-220: Tampa Bay at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 124.307; Carolina 132.001
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 8; 34
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-2 1/2); Under

Game 221-222: Seattle at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 127.364; San Francisco 127.721
Dunkel Line: Even; 47
Vegas Line: Seattle by 2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+2); Over

Game 223-224: Pittsburgh at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 138.673; Arizona 128.094
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 5; 41
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-5); Over

Game 225-226: Kansas City at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.950; San Diego 135.738
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 10; 42
Vegas Line: San Diego by 13; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+13); Over

Game 227-228: Denver at Indianapolis
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 127.858; Indianapolis 145.730
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 18; 44
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (-9 1/2); Under

Game 229-230: Philadelphia at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 128.970; NY Giants 129.657
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1; 52
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 3; 48
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+3); Over

MONDAY, OCTOBER 1

Game 231-232: New England at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: New England 147.049; Cincinnati 132.454
Dunkel Line: New England by 14 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 6; 52
Dunkel Pick: New England (-6); Under

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


Week 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, September 30
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OAKLAND (1 - 2) at MIAMI (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 20-43 ATS (-27.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-10 ATS (+17.0 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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HOUSTON (2 - 1) at ATLANTA (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BALTIMORE (2 - 1) at CLEVELAND (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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CHICAGO (1 - 2) at DETROIT (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GREEN BAY (3 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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ST LOUIS (0 - 3) at DALLAS (3 - 0) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 1-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NY JETS (1 - 2) at BUFFALO (0 - 3) - 9/30/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-2 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) at CAROLINA (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 2-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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SEATTLE (2 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 1) - 9/30/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 56-83 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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PITTSBURGH (3 - 0) at ARIZONA (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KANSAS CITY (1 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
SAN DIEGO is 2-2 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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DENVER (2 - 1) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 0) - 9/30/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 1-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at NY GIANTS (1 - 2) - 9/30/2007, 8:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NY GIANTS is 3-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, October 1
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW ENGLAND (3 - 0) at CINCINNATI (1 - 2) - 10/1/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 111-82 ATS (+20.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, September 30th
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Week 4 Byes: Jacksonville, New Orleans, Tennessee, Washington

Oakland at Miami, 1:00 ET
Oakland: 8-18 ATS vs. conference opponents
Miami: 28-10 ATS vs. AFC West opponents

Houston at Atlanta, 1:00 ET
Houston: 6-0 Over off BB ATS wins
Atlanta: 10-25 ATS at home off a home game

Baltimore at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Baltimore: 24-10 ATS away off an ATS loss
Cleveland: 2-14 ATS off 3+ Overs

Chicago at Detroit, 1:00 ET
Chicago: 4-0 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Detroit: 19-36 ATS after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Green Bay at Minnesota, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 6-1 ATS off a non-conference game
Minnesota: 9-0 Under at home off BB road losses

St. Louis at Dallas, 1:00 ET
St. Louis: 1-6 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points
Dallas: 6-1 Over in September

NY Jets at Buffalo, 1:00 ET
NY Jets: 7-1 Over off a home win
Buffalo: 1-7 ATS off BB losses by 14+ points

Tampa Bay at Carolina, 4:05 ET
Tampa Bay: 0-7 ATS off BB wins
Carolina: 9-2 Under off a division game

Seattle at San Francisco, 4:05 ET
Seattle: 22-6 Under away in September
San Francisco: 6-1 ATS off a road loss by 14+ points

Pittsburgh at Arizona, 4:15 ET
Pittsburgh: 13-3 ATS off BB home wins
Arizona: 6-16 ATS at home in September

Kansas City at San Diego, 4:15 ET
Kansas City: 10-2 Under vs. division opponents
San Diego: 7-3 ATS off a loss

Denver at Indianapolis, 4:15 ET
Denver: 1-6 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points
Indianapolis: 13-6 ATS off 3+ wins

Philadelphia at NY Giants, 8:15 ET NBC
Philadelphia: 25-10 ATS after allowing 400+ yards
NY Giants: 11-5 Under at home vs. Philadelphia

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Monday, October 1st
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New England at Cincinnati, 8:30 ET ESPN
New England: 6-0 ATS away off a division game
Cincinnati: 1-6 ATS in October

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Week 4 - 2007 NFL season

Sunday, September 30

Raiders (1-2) @ Dolphins (0-3)— Miami won six of last seven series games (only loss in ’00 playoffs), and Raiders lost last four visits here, but Fish are 0-3, allowing 68 points in last two games; they’ve allowed 166 rushing yards per game, converted only 12 of 46 on third down. Oakland allowed 27.7 pg this year, but they have run ball for 386 yards in last two games, and their last two games both came down to last-second FGs- they’ve improved. McCown hurt his ankle last week, so Culpepper, dumped last year by Miami, could get nod at QB here. Dolphins have zero takeaways in their last two games (-6). All three Raider games went over total.

Texans (2-1) @ Falcons (0-3)— You can say what you want about Vick’s absence hurting Atlanta, but in first three games, they’ve allowed five TD drives of 80+ yards, and Vick didn’t play defense. Falcons have no takeaways in their last two games, and allowed 142 rushing yards/game. Texans scored 26 ppg in 2-1 start; they’re 12-24 on 3rd down in last two games, and started six less drives in the black zone (80+ yards from goal line) than their opponents. Houston QB Schaub was Vick’s backup in Atlanta, but was traded just weeks before the whole dog fighting thing became known, or else he’d still be with Falcons. Atlanta did score two TD’s last week, after scoring one in first two games.

Ravens (2-1) @ Browns (1-2)— Big question here, as always, is whether McNair’s is good to go; have faith in him on road, none in Boller. Home side won five of last six series games; Ravens are 1-2 in last three visits to old home (Ravens are former Browns); last four series totals at this site were 36 or less. Browns scored 75 points in last two games (10 TDs on 24 drives) but they have also allowed 35 pg, 176 rushing yards per game- opponents are 20-43 (46.5%) on third down. Ravens scored 20+ pts in all three games (2-1), with a 354-185 edge on ground; they’re 20-36 on 3rd down in last two games, but showed vulnerability to no-huddle attack vs. Cardinals last week.

Bears (2-1) @ Lions (2-1)— Greise is getting nod under center for Bears, after Grossman's horrid outing vs Dallas. Detroit allowed 15 first downs on first 23 Eagle plays last week (five TDs); Bears should light up board against them. Chicago won last four series games, but their last five visits here have all been decided by six or less points. Detroit has the usual Martz Madness stats: 413 yards/game, 25.7 pg, both very good, but 10 turnovers, typically bad- they were 4-22 on 3rd against Bears last year, in 34-7/26-21 losses. Bears need to do better than 3.35 yards per rush. Chicago has been outscored 52-10 in second half of its games.

Packers (3-0) @ Vikings (1-2)— Favre won three of last four visits to this site, after losing nine of the previous ten; last nine regular season meetings were all decided by six or less points. Pack is 3-0 despite running ball for just 57 yards/game- they’ve scored nine TD’s on 20 drives in last two games, after upsetting Eagles in opener due to Philly miscues in punt game. Vikes are good field, no-hit, scoring three TD’s on 31 drives this season, already using three QB’s. Average total in Pack’s last nine visits to this site, 50.2, but under is 3-0 in ’07 Viking games (27-37-23). Vikings are allowing just 67 yds/game on ground, have 11 sacks, but when your third-string QB starts the third game, it ain’t good.

Rams (0-3) @ Cowboys (3-0)— No Steven Jackson, three starters are out on OL, and Rams are 0-3, scoring just 3.6 points/red zone trip, so not much good news as they travel to Dallas to face 3-0 Pokes, who’ve scored 86 second half points, are 44% on third down, and score 5.5 pts/red zone trip. Rams allowing 152 rushing yards/game, bad news vs. diverse Dallas offense that scored 13 TDs on 33 drives (Rams have three in 32). Only caution here is that giving 13 with self-satisfied (after Chicago win) Cowboys is asking to be bitten by gigantic letdown against hungry underdog that does have talent that belies 0-3 mark. Home side lost last six series games, with Rams winning last four visits here; their last loss here was in ’81.

Jets (1-2) @ Bills (0-3)— Losman is out, as are various others, as bad news mounts for Buffalo squad that scored just 24 points in three games (two TDs on 27 drives), is 13-37 (35%) on third down and is starting a rookie QB who couldn’t win game in Pac-10 LY. That said, Jets have been outsacked 10-1, and have no plays of 20+ yards in two games Pennington started (they had four (vs a . strong Raven defense) in game he didn’t play), and are allowing 121.3 rushing yards/game. Buffalo run defense has allowed 171-184-177 rushing yards in its three games, so Jones/Washington combo could have big day. Bill passing game averaged 2.0/3.0/2.8 yards/attempt in first three games—horrible. Last four totals in series were 44+.

Buccaneers (2-1) @ Panthers (2-1)— Carolina won seven of last eight in divisional rivalry, winning first meeting last four years (by 3-7-20-2 points); last three series totals at this site were all 35 or less. Bucs won last two weeks at home, with five takeaways and five TDs in five red zone trips- foes are just 12-35 (34.3%) on 3rd down against them. Carolina had three 80-yard scoring drives in Atlanta last week; they scored 27-21-27 pts so far this year, but Delhomme hurt elbow last week, was replaced by Carr. Not sure who starts here. Panthers scored three offensive TDs in each game—Patriots are the only other team that can say that. With Falcons, Saints struggling, this is first of two showdown games for NFC South title.

Seahawks (2-1) @ 49ers (2-1)— Seattle got swept in this series LY (20-14/24-14) after winning previous six meetings. Niners been outgained this year by 67-206-61 yards, are just 13-41 (31.7%) on third down, but they’re 2-1, winning pair of tight games vs other two NFC West rivals. Now come division king Seahawks, fresh off splitting pair of nailbiters. Alexander is playing with cracked bone on hand. Seattle defense yielded 421.5 yds/game last two weeks, but if they hadn’t messed up handoff in last 2:00 in Week 2 at Arizona, they’d probably be 3-0. Average total in Seattle’s last five visits here, 50.2. Hard to like Niner squad averaging just 223 yards/game.

Steelers (3-0) @ Cardinals (1-2)— Arizona coach Whisenhunt, ass’t Grimm both spent many years with Cowher in Steel City, were both bypassed for HC position so Rooney could hire minority candidate (who is obviously very capable, but lets face it, Steelers hire from within if Tomlin isn’t a minority). Anyway, Pitt is off to great 3-0 start, winning by combined score of 97-26, while Arizona rallied from 23-6 deficit in 4th quarter to tie Ravens behind Warner, only to lose on last-second FG, their second last-minute loss in three games, sandwiched around last-second win. For teams who haven’t met since ’97, Arizona coaches know an awful lot about their opponent. Leinart starts again for Cards, but Warner is ready in bullpen.

Chiefs (1-2) @ Chargers (1-2)— San Diego plays its three rivals in AFC West over next three weeks; they sweep and they’ll be 4-2, and order is restored, but that has to begin here, vs lame Chief squad that has two offensive TDs on 32 drives. Bolts beat Bears, then got riddled by Brady/Favre for 604 passing yards in pair of road losses—Huard is closer to Grossman than Favre. Chiefs ran ball for just 64 yards/game, so they’ll have trouble keeping ball away from frustrated Charger side eager to explode in front of home fans. Bears faced Grossman/Jackson last two weeks- they move way up in class here. Home side won last five series games, with Chiefs losing last three visits to this site by 7-8-11 points.

Broncos (2-1) @ Colts (3-0)— Denver defense having trouble getting off field (foes 17-33 on third down last two games), which is bad news vs. Indy squad that scored nine TDs on 30 drives and is averaging 31 pg this year. Cutler is from Santa Claus, IN, coming home to face hot Colt squad that has wins by 31-2-6 points, winning only home game 41-10, and taking pair of road division games last two weeks. Broncos snuck out their first two games (15-14 @ Buffalo, in OT vs. Raiders), then got housed by Jaguars, as Jax had 67 snaps (running ball for 186 yards), Denver only 41. Oddly, Colts one of only five NFL teams without an 80+-yard TD drive so far this season. Average total in last six series games, 54.5.

Eagles (1-2) @ Giants (1-2)— Both teams had season-reviving wins last week; three of last four games in this division rivalry were decided by 3 points, or in OT, with average total in last five, 49.6. Eagles won three of last four at this site; they exploded on offense last week, gaining 315 yards on first 23 plays (15 first downs, five TDs) in 56-21 walkover. Giants used 21-0 second half to upset Skins, as Ward emerged as quality ballcarrier. Not sure what to think of Giant defense, after they allowed 846 yards in first two games, then held Redskins to 260 LW; they’ve lost field position battle last three weeks (by 5-3-15 yards), but Eli makes plays (Giants converted 22-41 on third down, an excellent 53.7%).


Monday, October 1

Patriots (3-0) @ Bengals (1-2)-- New England crushing foes so far, winning by 24-24-31 points, scoring 38 in all three games-- they waxed Bengals 38-13 in Week 4 LY, outrushing Cincy 236-71, winning 63% of third down plays, scoring TDs on all three drives that started in Bengal territory. Cincy allowed 75 points in losing on road last two weeks (10 TDs on 25 drives); they’ve turned ball over nine times in three games. You look at Bengal defense that allowed 51 points in Cleveland, and you wonder how they’ll ever stop Brady-led passing game that has been sacked just three times in 91 pass attempts. But, Monday night home dogs are long-revered angle, so have to respect emotional, erratic hosts.

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