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Nfl Goy!!!

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  • Nfl Goy!!!

    Ok well it is early in the year but there is one game I am liking more and more and more this week.

    NFL GOY
    15 Units
    New York Jets -2.5 -120 Bought half a point using my local for this one.

    For starters , Buffalo has to be the worst team in the NFL right now. They have 3 defensive starters and 6 players overall out for the season already. JP Losman was not the best quarterback, but even he is gone for a couple of weeks. Now they start a third round rookie quarterback in a divisonal game. Aside from those out for the year, a number of other injuries are sitting with the Bills. Linebacker Keith Ellison, his replacement Cory Wire, cornerback Terrence McGee. McGee being the most significant loss as he is the starting left cornerback and kick returner. The other two are backup middle linebackers and now with Posluzny out, leaves the Bills very short in the linebacker department.

    Buffalo's defense has been giving up 458 yards per game. They just can not seem to stop anybody right now and with all the injuries, who can blame them?

    The Jets offense is much better with Pennington back in the lineup. They have only 2 turnovers in three games so far. By rights, they should have at least tied Baltimore in week 2 and outplayed Miami in week 3. Passing wise, Buffalo gives up 280+ yards per game. With all those defensive players out, Pennington will have a field day against this defense. Tom Brady threw for four touchdowns last week and even Big Ben threw for 242 and completed 62% of his passes. Not saying the Jets offense is like that of the Pats, but Pennington is efficient and Laverneus Coles always seems to do something special each week. As a topper, the Bills have only forced two interceptions and have only 3 sacks total in 3 games. Pennington should have a lot of time to read the field and throw.

    Teams are completing a whopping 48.7% of their third downs vs the Bills. The Jets were 8 of 13 last week and should have no problems this week. Allowing 177 yards per game on the ground will allow Thomas Jones to have his biggest day in a Jets uniform this season.

    It looks like a total mis-match on paper and should translate that way onto the field. It does not even sound like the Bills are confident they will win a game.

    "It's crazy," punter Brian Moorman said. "It just completely floors me that we go into every game and lose somebody for a number of weeks like this. I don't know what to think. We definitely need things to change in our favor."

    "Defensively, we struggle. And part of our struggle is we have no continuity," Jauron said. The sad truth is they have no continuity and do not have much time to gel for this weeks game.

    Jets 37 Buffalo 10
    NFL System - Year 1
    Week 2 3-2 +0.8 Units
    Week 3 3-2-1 +0.8 Units
    Week 3 3-3 -0.3 Units
    Week 4 3-2 +0.8 Units
    Week 5 2-3 -1.3 Units
    Week 6 4-1 +2.9 Units
    Week 7 3-0 +3.0 Units
    Week 8 2-3 -2.35 Units
    Week 9 0-1 -1.1 Units
    Season Total 23-17 +3.35 Units

  • #2
    Good Luck!

    Comment


    • #3
      BOL, Love the new avatar
      Questions, comments, complaints:
      [email protected]

      Comment


      • #4
        gl to ya-----looks good to me.....especially with Losman (QB for Buff doubtful)...kapt


        Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

        Comment


        • #5
          Love the Jets...wow that sounds weird...love and jets...ugh, didnt' think they would be in the same sentence this year..


          Good Luck as always!
          NCAAF "POSTED HERE" (5-3)
          NFL - "POSTED HERE" (2-4)
          That’s right. Like boxing , everyone wants to be undefeated, this game doesn’t work like that!

          Comment


          • #6
            gl X

            Comment


            • #7
              good luck with the Jets!!
              1*=$50

              Crusader MM starting qb at Oregon

              Comment


              • #8
                Good Luck X
                2012 - 2013 NCAAF

                21 - 20 - 0

                2012 - 2013 NFL

                14 - 10 - 1

                Comment


                • #9
                  GL and nice write up.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Good luck X
                    FUCK YOU, FUCK ME

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      GL XTC

                      From the "Did You Know" department:

                      Bills are 13-1 ATS the week following New England? Just a beware FYI.
                      You can't always get what you want, but if you try some time, you might find, you get what you need.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        GL on your GOY!

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by GrandPa
                          Bills are 13-1 ATS the week following New England? Just a beware FYI.
                          When the Bills have covered last 2 games but not the 3 previous to that and when Losman played in the previous game and threw between 100-174.5 yards after he had previously thrown 2 picks to New England they are 11-5-3 ATS....

                          I love you Gramps but ATS stats like this have little to no relevance.....

                          BOL with the play stacker....Im down!!!

                          SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            good luck on the big 'un!

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Chado1
                              When the Bills have covered last 2 games but not the 3 previous to that and when Losman played in the previous game and threw between 100-174.5 yards after he had previously thrown 2 picks to New England they are 11-5-3 ATS....

                              I love you Gramps but ATS stats like this have little to no relevance.....

                              BOL with the play stacker....Im down!!!

                              I respectfully disagree. There are many trends ( like the faux one you used) that hold less water than a dog bowl at Mike Vick's house, but there are some instances ( Dallas the week before NYG ( 12-2 ATS) Phila the week after playing NYG ( 11-1 ATS) that are moneymakers in the sense that they are divisional matchups, playing twice a year, and the familiarity and preparation tactics result in something much more than coincidence, IMO. I know I have made a lot of money in the last 30 years on silly stats that at first glance, look like a joke.

                              Remember the one a few years ago where TB was 0-16 when the temp was below 40 degrees? And Brett Favre still has trends at certain temperatures, in domed stadiums, etc. Don't laugh..keep an open mind.
                              You can't always get what you want, but if you try some time, you might find, you get what you need.

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