Baseball - Tips & Trends
MLB
Sunday, September 23
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Tips and Trends
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Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves (1:05 PM ET)
The Brewers have lost the last 20 times Chris Capuano (5-12, 5.21 ERA) has pitched. BIG EDGE: BRAVES
Atlanta’s Jo-Jo Reyes has an even 1-1 record and 4.30 ERA in five home games this season. The left-hander has struggled with his control at Turner Field, giving up 17 free passes in 23 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: BRAVES
Even though the Braves have lost two of his last three starts, Reyes has been much improved on the hill. He’s given up just four earned runs and 13 hits over his last 14 1/3 innings. EDGE: BRAVES
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (1:05 PM ET)
Kansas City starter Jorge De La Rosa has made just three career starts against Detroit, posting a 1-0 record and 6.23 ERA. He was reached for seven runs and seven hits in just 4 1/3 innings against the Tigers on July 21. SLIGHT EDGE: ROYALS
De La Rosa has a dismal 2-7 record and 5.68 ERA in 12 road games this season. The Royals have lost his last three road games, with the left-hander allowing 15 earned runs and 17 hits over his last 13 2/3 innings away from Kaufmann Stadium. EDGE: TIGERS
Detroit’s Justin Verlander is a perfect 5-0 with a 2.17 ERA in seven career starts versus Kansas City. He’s allowed just a single home run in 45 2/3 innings against the Royals. BIG EDGE: TIGERS
Verlander has posted a dominant 7-1 record and 3.34 ERA in 11 daytime starts this season. The power right-hander has allowed hitters to bat just .232 against him under the sun. EDGE: TIGERS
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees (1:05 PM ET)
Blue Jays starter Dustin McGowan has a 2-1 record and 4.55 ERA in eight career outings versus the Yankees. He suffered a 4-1 home defeat in his last start against Toronto, giving up four earned runs and three hits over five innings. SLIGHT EDGE: BLUE JAYS
McGowan is an incredible 7-1 with a sparkling 2.23 ERA in nine daytime outings. Opposing hitters are batting just .209 against him during the day and he’s allowed just four home runs in 64 2/3 innings. BIG EDGE: BLUE JAYS
New York’s Mike Mussina is a dominant 22-11 with a 3.31 ERA in 40 career starts versus Toronto. He tossed 5 2/3 shutout innings against the Blue Jays two starts back and has thrown 12 2/3 shutout innings over his last two starts. EDGE: YANKEES
Mussina has a losing 1-3 record and 4.98 ERA in eight daytime outings this season. The right-hander is allowing hitters to bat .335 against him during the day compared to .293 at night. EDGE: BLUE JAYS
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)
Pirates left-hander Tom Gorzelanny has been brilliant in three career starts versus the Cubs, posting a 2-1 record and 0.82 ERA. He’s allowed just one home run and 14 hits over 22 innings against them. EDGE: PIRATES
Gorzelanny is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA in nine daytime starts this season. The left-hander has given up just four home runs during the day, which should prove vital at Wrigley Field. EDGE: PIRATES
Chicago ace Carlos Zambrano has an 8-6 record and 4.05 ERA in 19 career games versus Pittsburgh. He tallied a 5-1 road victory over the Pirates three starts back, allowing just a single run and two hits over six innings. EDGE: CUBS
Life certainly hasn’t been the best for Zambrano at home, going 5-9 with a 5.27 ERA in 16 starts. The power right-hander is allowing hitters to hit for a .264 average at Wrigley Field, but .210 on the road. SLIGHT EDGE: PIRATES
Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (3:35 PM ET)
Seattle’s Jeff Weaver is just 5-7 with a 3.78 ERA in 15 career games versus Los Angeles. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 10.32 ERA in three starts against the Angels in 2007, giving up 13 earned runs and 22 hits over 11 1/3 innings. EDGE: ANGELS
Weaver has been downright miserable during the day, going 1-7 with a 6.42 ERA. He’s given up an incredible 77 hits and 11 home runs in just 58 2/3 innings under the sun this season. EDGE: ANGELS
Los Angeles right-hander John Lackey is 9-8 with a 3.97 ERA in 21 career outings versus Seattle. The Angels ace is a perfect 3-0 against the Mariners, tossing 24 shutout innings against the Mariners this season. BIG EDGE: ANGELS
Lackey has a losing 3-4 record and 4.21 ERA in nine daytime starts this season. He’s allowed just six home runs in 62 daytime innings compared to 12 home runs in 148 nighttime frames. SLIGHT EDGE: MARINERS
Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals (ESPN | 8:05 PM ET)
Houston’s Roy Oswalt has a 9-5 record and 2.92 ERA in 22 career games versus St. Louis. He’s a perfect 2-0 with a 0.78 ERA in three starts against them in 2007, giving up just two earned runs and 13 hits over 23 innings. BIG EDGE: ASTROS
Oswalt has struggled at time on the road, going 5-6 with a 5.15 ERA in 15 games. The right-hander has allowed 107 hits in just 87 1/3 innings away from Minute Maid Park. EDGE: CARDINALS
St. Louis starter Todd Wellemeyer has never lost to Houston in six outings, but has allowed eight runs and seven hits over 8 2/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: ASTROS
Wellemeyer has worked from the bullpen in six straight outings, giving up just a single earned run and two hits over his last 9 2/3 innings. EDGE: CARDINALS
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MLB
Sunday, September 23
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Tips and Trends
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Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves (1:05 PM ET)
The Brewers have lost the last 20 times Chris Capuano (5-12, 5.21 ERA) has pitched. BIG EDGE: BRAVES
Atlanta’s Jo-Jo Reyes has an even 1-1 record and 4.30 ERA in five home games this season. The left-hander has struggled with his control at Turner Field, giving up 17 free passes in 23 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: BRAVES
Even though the Braves have lost two of his last three starts, Reyes has been much improved on the hill. He’s given up just four earned runs and 13 hits over his last 14 1/3 innings. EDGE: BRAVES
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers (1:05 PM ET)
Kansas City starter Jorge De La Rosa has made just three career starts against Detroit, posting a 1-0 record and 6.23 ERA. He was reached for seven runs and seven hits in just 4 1/3 innings against the Tigers on July 21. SLIGHT EDGE: ROYALS
De La Rosa has a dismal 2-7 record and 5.68 ERA in 12 road games this season. The Royals have lost his last three road games, with the left-hander allowing 15 earned runs and 17 hits over his last 13 2/3 innings away from Kaufmann Stadium. EDGE: TIGERS
Detroit’s Justin Verlander is a perfect 5-0 with a 2.17 ERA in seven career starts versus Kansas City. He’s allowed just a single home run in 45 2/3 innings against the Royals. BIG EDGE: TIGERS
Verlander has posted a dominant 7-1 record and 3.34 ERA in 11 daytime starts this season. The power right-hander has allowed hitters to bat just .232 against him under the sun. EDGE: TIGERS
Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees (1:05 PM ET)
Blue Jays starter Dustin McGowan has a 2-1 record and 4.55 ERA in eight career outings versus the Yankees. He suffered a 4-1 home defeat in his last start against Toronto, giving up four earned runs and three hits over five innings. SLIGHT EDGE: BLUE JAYS
McGowan is an incredible 7-1 with a sparkling 2.23 ERA in nine daytime outings. Opposing hitters are batting just .209 against him during the day and he’s allowed just four home runs in 64 2/3 innings. BIG EDGE: BLUE JAYS
New York’s Mike Mussina is a dominant 22-11 with a 3.31 ERA in 40 career starts versus Toronto. He tossed 5 2/3 shutout innings against the Blue Jays two starts back and has thrown 12 2/3 shutout innings over his last two starts. EDGE: YANKEES
Mussina has a losing 1-3 record and 4.98 ERA in eight daytime outings this season. The right-hander is allowing hitters to bat .335 against him during the day compared to .293 at night. EDGE: BLUE JAYS
Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)
Pirates left-hander Tom Gorzelanny has been brilliant in three career starts versus the Cubs, posting a 2-1 record and 0.82 ERA. He’s allowed just one home run and 14 hits over 22 innings against them. EDGE: PIRATES
Gorzelanny is 4-1 with a 3.05 ERA in nine daytime starts this season. The left-hander has given up just four home runs during the day, which should prove vital at Wrigley Field. EDGE: PIRATES
Chicago ace Carlos Zambrano has an 8-6 record and 4.05 ERA in 19 career games versus Pittsburgh. He tallied a 5-1 road victory over the Pirates three starts back, allowing just a single run and two hits over six innings. EDGE: CUBS
Life certainly hasn’t been the best for Zambrano at home, going 5-9 with a 5.27 ERA in 16 starts. The power right-hander is allowing hitters to hit for a .264 average at Wrigley Field, but .210 on the road. SLIGHT EDGE: PIRATES
Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (3:35 PM ET)
Seattle’s Jeff Weaver is just 5-7 with a 3.78 ERA in 15 career games versus Los Angeles. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 10.32 ERA in three starts against the Angels in 2007, giving up 13 earned runs and 22 hits over 11 1/3 innings. EDGE: ANGELS
Weaver has been downright miserable during the day, going 1-7 with a 6.42 ERA. He’s given up an incredible 77 hits and 11 home runs in just 58 2/3 innings under the sun this season. EDGE: ANGELS
Los Angeles right-hander John Lackey is 9-8 with a 3.97 ERA in 21 career outings versus Seattle. The Angels ace is a perfect 3-0 against the Mariners, tossing 24 shutout innings against the Mariners this season. BIG EDGE: ANGELS
Lackey has a losing 3-4 record and 4.21 ERA in nine daytime starts this season. He’s allowed just six home runs in 62 daytime innings compared to 12 home runs in 148 nighttime frames. SLIGHT EDGE: MARINERS
Houston Astros at St. Louis Cardinals (ESPN | 8:05 PM ET)
Houston’s Roy Oswalt has a 9-5 record and 2.92 ERA in 22 career games versus St. Louis. He’s a perfect 2-0 with a 0.78 ERA in three starts against them in 2007, giving up just two earned runs and 13 hits over 23 innings. BIG EDGE: ASTROS
Oswalt has struggled at time on the road, going 5-6 with a 5.15 ERA in 15 games. The right-hander has allowed 107 hits in just 87 1/3 innings away from Minute Maid Park. EDGE: CARDINALS
St. Louis starter Todd Wellemeyer has never lost to Houston in six outings, but has allowed eight runs and seven hits over 8 2/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: ASTROS
Wellemeyer has worked from the bullpen in six straight outings, giving up just a single earned run and two hits over his last 9 2/3 innings. EDGE: CARDINALS
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