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  • Where is the action on NFL Today!

    Where the action is: Key NFL line moves

    Green Bay Packers at New York Giants: +1 ½ to – 2 ½ (line history)

    Oddsmakers were scrambling all week to find the latest news on New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning. The fourth-year pro fell awkwardly on his throwing shoulder during Sunday night’s game. There were whispers Manning might miss four weeks with a shoulder separation. However, the latest reports suggest he’ll be a game-time decision.

    “I opened the game at –2 and that’s where we’re at right now,” says John Avello, director of race and sports operations for Wynn Las Vegas. “I was probably about one point or 1 1/2 points higher than anybody else. My thinking was Manning would play.”

    There’s a significant drop off between Manning and backup Jared Lorenzen. The hefty Lorenzen (285 pounds) has never started a game in his three pro seasons.

    New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens: -9 ½ to –12 ½ (line history)

    This is another contest where injuries play a major role in the betting line. Chad Pennington, New York’s top signal caller, has a badly bruised ankle and may have to sit out.

    “He’s got leadership skills and he can move the offense,” Avello says of Pennington. “The thing you have to worry about if the backup plays (Kellen Clemens) is turnovers. Young quarterbacks get the jitters. Turnovers are killers.”

    The Ravens have medical issues of their own. Quarterback Steve McNair (groin) is not expected to play and Pro Bowl left tackle Jonathan Ogden is out indefinitely with a sore toe.

    Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals: +3 to +2 ½ (line history)

    Some sports books moved this game off the key number of three despite Arizona’s poor offensive performance last Monday. Avello says he’s unconcerned about Seahawks running back Shaun Alexander who will be wearing a protective brace over his wrist.

    “He should be fine. The thing that worries you about the Seahawks is that they’re a great home team, but just average on the road. I think Arizona can hang around in this game.”

    The Cards beat Seattle the last time the two clubs met, 27-21

    Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars: -10, to –11 ½ (line history)

    The Jags aren’t the league’s most offensively gifted team and the sports books keep taking more and more points from them. Though Jacksonville didn’t impress last week, Avello says many bettors have high expectations for the club.

    “I set the over/under season win total for them at nine, and I got a lot of people taking the over. I think most people see this as a bounce-back game for them. Plus, nobody likes Atlanta right now. I’m not getting much action on Atlanta’s side.”

    Jacksonville has failed to cover the last five times it’s been listed as a double-digit favorite.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    It appears the PUBLIC is big on these teams:

    Cincy

    NO

    SEA

    DALLAS

    Can easily see the DOGS covering those...
    FUCK YOU, FUCK ME

    Comment


    • #3
      Great info Spearit. Those are 4 games I'm staying away from.

      Comment


      • #4
        Noticed that as well- public perception can bite hard today. Poor Cleveland won't come anywhere near Cinncy- uhhh that does sound about right- so 6 1/2 points- well it is a rivalry- can't trust rivalries.

        And on it goes! Depends on what kind of season this is--- Public Perception or Vegas! Do we have a week or so left to jump on the weak lines we believe Vegas is handing us?

        Vinnie I have seen the ugly plays win more and that means Vegas wins more.
        "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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