Saturday Trends and Indexes 09/15

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, September 15

Good Luck on day #258 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

FOOTBALL

We are providing football trends & indexes that are available for Saturday through Monday.

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[pm530]

College Football - Dunkel Index

NCAAF
Dunkel Index

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

Game 107-108: Illinois at Syracuse
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 85.858; Syracuse 77.157
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 8 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Illinois by 12 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+12 1/2); Over

Game 109-110: Temple at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 58.580; Connecticut 92.719
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 34; 47
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 29; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-29); Under

Game 111-112: Virginia at North Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 80.230; North Carolina 88.584
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 8; 45
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 3; 42
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-3); Over

Game 113-114: Buffalo at Penn State
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 66.574; Penn State 107.180
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 41; 44
Vegas Line: Penn State by 34; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-34); Under

Game 115-116: Mississippi at Vanderbilt
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 82.202; Vanderbilt 88.740
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 6 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 5; 46
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-5); Over

Game 117-118: Mississippi State at Auburn
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 78.800; Auburn 98.912
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 20; 44
Vegas Line: Auburn by 13; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-13); Over

Game 119-120: Central Michigan at Purdue
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 78.759; Purdue 97.111
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 18 1/2; 71
Vegas Line: Purdue by 21; 66
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+21); Over

Game 121-122: Cincinnati at Miami (OH)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 94.419; Miami (OH) 79.362
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 15; 46
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 8; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-8); Under

Game 123-124: Ohio at Virginia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 76.104; Virginia Tech 105.106
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 29; 45
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 21; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-21); Over

Game 125-126: Iowa at Iowa State
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 95.207; Iowa State 80.459
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 15; 33
Vegas Line: Iowa by 17 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+17 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Toledo at Kansas
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 70.909; Kansas 101.744
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 31; 72
Vegas Line: Kansas by 21 1/2; 65
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-21 1/2); Over

Game 129-130: Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 64.739; Northern Illinois 84.795
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 20; 44
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 14; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-14); Over

Game 131-132: Army at Wake Forest
Dunkel Ratings: Army 64.618; Wake Forest 96.352
Dunkel Line: Wake Forest by 32; 38
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 19 1/2; 42
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (-19 1/2); Under

Game 133-134: Tennessee at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 97.049; Florida 109.657
Dunkel Line: Florida by 12 1/2; 65
Vegas Line: Florida by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-7 1/2); Over

Game 135-136: Notre Dame at Michigan
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 89.273; Michigan 94.274
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5; 49
Vegas Line: Michigan by 8 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+8 1/2); Over

Game 137-138: Utah State at Oklahoma
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 59.182; Oklahoma 117.398
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 58; 58
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 45 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-45 1/2); Under

Game 139-140: Fresno State at Oregon
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 79.904; Oregon 112.571
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 33; 58
Vegas Line: Oregon by 16; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-16); Under

Game 141-142: Pittsburgh at Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 90.286; Michigan State 94.175
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 4; 47
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 11; 51
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+11); Under

Game 143-144: Ohio State at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 104.882; Washington 103.911
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 1; 37
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: Texas at Central Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 96.119; Central Florida 82.002
Dunkel Line: Texas by 14; 46
Vegas Line: Texas by 19; 49
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+19); Under

Game 147-148: Louisiana Tech at California
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 70.263; California 113.057
Dunkel Line: California by 43; 61
Vegas Line: California by 33 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: California (-33 1/2); Under

Game 149-150: UCLA at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 99.069; Utah 87.168
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 12; 40
Vegas Line: UCLA by 14 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+14 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Ball State at Navy
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 75.525; Navy 87.200
Dunkel Line: Navy by 12; 50
Vegas Line: Navy by 5 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Navy (-5 1/2); Under

Game 153-154: Akron at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 77.575; Indiana 85.767
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 8; 45
Vegas Line: Indiana by 13 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (+13 1/2); Under

Game 155-156: Southern Mississippi at East Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 85.108; East Carolina 90.821
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 5 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 1; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+1); Over

Game 157-158: Western Michigan at Missouri
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 76.940; Missouri 98.152
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 21; 72
Vegas Line: Missouri by 20 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-20 1/2); Over

Game 159-160: Idaho at Washington State
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 67.400; Washington State 88.219
Dunkel Line: Washington State by 21; 50
Vegas Line: Washington State by 26; 55
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+26); Under

Game 161-162: Houston at Tulane
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 88.275; Tulane 69.061
Dunkel Line: Houston by 19; 66
Vegas Line: Houston by 14 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-14 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: Louisville at Kentucky
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 104.142; Kentucky 100.403
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 4; 83
Vegas Line: Louisville by 7; 77
Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (+7); Over

Game 165-166: Arkansas at Alabama
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 100.976; Alabama 96.935
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 4; 52
Vegas Line: Alabama by 3; 47
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+3); Over

Game 167-168: Boston College at Georgia Tech
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 97.729; Georgia Tech 102.160
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 7; 48
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+7); Over

Game 169-170: Duke at Northwestern
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 67.255; Northwestern 91.780
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 24 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 16; 52
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-16); Under

Game 171-172: Texas Tech at Rice
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 101.799; Rice 70.603
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 31; 61
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 27; 66
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-27); Under

Game 173-174: USC at Nebraska
Dunkel Ratings: USC 109.104; Nebraska 108.172
Dunkel Line: USC by 1; 48
Vegas Line: USC by 10; 51
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+10); Under

Game 175-176: UTEP at New Mexico State
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 83.352; New Mexico State 75.271
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 8; 62
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 6 1/2; 64 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+6 1/2); Under

Game 177-178: Wyoming at Boise State
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 84.884; Boise State 105.026
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 20; 46
Vegas Line: Boise State by 12 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-12 1/2); Under

Game 179-180: BYU at Tulsa
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 99.081; Tulsa 90.498
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: BYU by 6 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-6 1/2); Under

Game 181-182: Hawaii at UNLV
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 96.697; UNLV 77.200
Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 19; 61
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 16 1/2; 62 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (-16 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: Florida State at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 91.894; Colorado 89.894
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 2; 51
Vegas Line: Florida State by 4 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+4 1/2); Over

Game 185-186: San Diego State at Arizona State
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 71.896; Arizona State 106.762
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 35; 56
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 28; 59
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-28); Under

Game 187-188; New Mexico at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 80.308; Arizona 93.746
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 13 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Arizona by 10; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-10); Over

Game 189-190: San Jose State at Stanford
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 75.449; Stanford 77.839
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Stanford by 7 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 191-192: Florida International at Miami (FL)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 54.570; Miami (FL) 96.330
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 42; 49
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 32 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-32 1/2); Over

Game 193-194: UL Monroe at Texas A&M
Dunkel Ratings: UL Monroe 70.354; Texas A&M 98.347
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 28; 53
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 23; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (-23); Under

Game 195-196: SMU at Arkansas State
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 74.979; Arkansas State 76.319
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 3 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+3 1/2); Under

Game 197-198: Minnesota at Florida Atlantic
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 82.254; Florida Atlantic 80.663
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+7 1/2); Under

Game 199-200: Middle Tennessee State at LSU
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 75.399; LSU 118.506
Dunkel Line: LSU by 43; 63
Vegas Line: LSU by 40; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-40); Over

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[pm530]

College Football – Long Sheet

NCAAF
Long Sheet


Week 3

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Saturday, September 15

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ILLINOIS (1 - 1) at SYRACUSE (0 - 2) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in dome games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 42-72 ATS (-37.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
SYRACUSE is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
SYRACUSE is 41-22 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TEMPLE (0 - 2) at CONNECTICUT (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) in September games since 1992.
TEMPLE is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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VIRGINIA (1 - 1) at N CAROLINA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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BUFFALO (1 - 1) at PENN ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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OLE MISS (1 - 1) at VANDERBILT (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 1-1 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MISSISSIPPI ST (1 - 1) at AUBURN (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-0 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-0 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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C MICHIGAN (1 - 1) at PURDUE (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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CINCINNATI (2 - 0) at MIAMI OHIO (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 straight up against CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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OHIO U (2 - 0) at VIRGINIA TECH (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 78-55 ATS (+17.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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IOWA (2 - 0) at IOWA ST (0 - 2) - 9/15/2007, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 1-1 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TOLEDO (0 - 2) at KANSAS (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 48-77 ATS (-36.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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E MICHIGAN (0 - 2) at N ILLINOIS (0 - 2) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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ARMY (1 - 1) at WAKE FOREST (0 - 2) - 9/15/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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TENNESSEE (1 - 1) at FLORIDA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NOTRE DAME (0 - 2) at MICHIGAN (0 - 2) - 9/15/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 15-34 ATS (-22.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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UTAH ST (0 - 2) at OKLAHOMA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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FRESNO ST (1 - 1) at OREGON (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against FRESNO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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OHIO ST (2 - 0) at WASHINGTON (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 95-69 ATS (+19.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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TEXAS (2 - 0) at UCF (1 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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LOUISIANA TECH (1 - 1) at CALIFORNIA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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UCLA (2 - 0) at UTAH (0 - 2) - 9/15/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
UTAH is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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BALL ST (1 - 1) at NAVY (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 93-62 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 89-57 ATS (+26.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 93-62 ATS (+24.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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AKRON (1 - 1) at INDIANA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 1) at E CAROLINA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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W MICHIGAN (0 - 2) at MISSOURI (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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IDAHO (1 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-0 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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HOUSTON (0 - 1) at TULANE (0 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TULANE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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LOUISVILLE (2 - 0) at KENTUCKY (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
LOUISVILLE is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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ARKANSAS (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 6:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 28-47 ATS (-23.7 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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BOSTON COLLEGE (2 - 0) at GEORGIA TECH (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DUKE (0 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TEXAS TECH (2 - 0) at RICE (0 - 2) - 9/15/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


USC (1 - 0) at NEBRASKA (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 51-26 ATS (+22.4 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
NEBRASKA is 56-33 ATS (+19.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


UTEP (1 - 1) at NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTEP is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games in September games since 1992.
NEW MEXICO ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 2-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WYOMING (2 - 0) at BOISE ST (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 65-38 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 46-22 ATS (+21.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
BOISE ST is 65-38 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 49-29 ATS (+17.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 36-14 ATS (+20.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BYU (1 - 1) at TULSA (1 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-0 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAWAII (2 - 0) at UNLV (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games after playing a conference game since 1992.
UNLV is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAWAII is 1-0 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
HAWAII is 1-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLORIDA ST (1 - 1) at COLORADO (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN DIEGO ST (0 - 1) at ARIZONA ST (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


NEW MEXICO (1 - 1) at ARIZONA (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
ARIZONA is 23-49 ATS (-30.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 29-54 ATS (-30.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN JOSE ST (0 - 2) at STANFORD (0 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLA INTERNATIONAL (0 - 2) at MIAMI (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 1-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LA MONROE (0 - 2) at TEXAS A&M (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA MONROE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SMU (1 - 1) at ARKANSAS ST (0 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MINNESOTA (1 - 1) at FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIDDLE TENN ST (0 - 2) at LSU (2 - 0) - 9/15/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football – Short Sheet

NCAAF
Short Sheet

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 15th

Illinois at Syracuse, 12:00 ET ESPNU
Illinois: 1-9 ATS in dome stadiums
Syracuse: 9-0 Under off a road loss

Temple at Connecticut, 12:00 ET
Temple: 1-6 ATS off a loss as a favorite
Connecticut: 5-1 ATS after allowing 6 points or less

Virginia at North Carolina, 12:00 ET
Virginia: 13-3 Under vs. conference opponents
North Carolina: 8-19 ATS at home in September

Buffalo at Penn State, 12:00 ET
Buffalo: 9-0 Under vs. non-conference opponents
Penn State: 5-1 ATS off BB ATS wins

(TC) Mississippi at Vanderbilt, 7:00 ET
Mississippi: 9-2 Under after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
Vanderbilt: 6-16 ATS as a home favorite

Mississippi State at Auburn, 12:30 ET
Mississippi State: 6-2 ATS off BB Overs
Auburn: 6-1 Over off BB home games

(TC) Central Michigan at Purdue, 12:00 ET ESPN2
Central Michigan: 9-0 ATS off an Over
Purdue: 1-7 ATS as a home favorite

(TC) Cincinnati at Miami OH, 12:00 ET
Cincinnati: 10-2 ATS after forcing 5+ turnovers
Miami OH: 8-2 Under off an Over

Ohio U at Virginia Tech, 1:30 ET
Ohio U: 3-10 ATS off BB non-conference games
Virginia Tech: 21-6 ATS off BB non-conference games

Iowa at Iowa State, 1:30 ET VER
Iowa: 1-8 ATS off a home win
Iowa State: 8-1 Under after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers

(TC) Toledo at Kansas, 7:00 ET
Toledo: 5-1 ATS off BB games with combined scores of 70+ points
Kansas: 8-19 ATS after committing 0 turnovers

(TC) Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois, 12:00 ET
Eastern Michigan: 14-4 Under playing on artificial turf
Northern Illinois: 12-4 ATS off BB losses

Army at Wake Forest, 3:30 ET
Army: 7-12 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Wake Forest: 8-1 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers

Tennessee at Florida, 3:30 ET CBS
Tennessee: 1-6 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Florida: 10-3 Under in home games

Notre Dame at Michigan, 3:30 ET ABC
Notre Dame: 2-10 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Michigan: 14-7 Under as a favorite

Utah State at Oklahoma, 3:30 ET
Utah State: 0-6 ATS after scoring 3 or less first-half points
Oklahoma: 12-1 Over off BB non-conference games

(TC) Fresno State at Oregon, 7:00 ET
Fresno State: 0-8 ATS off a loss
Oregon: 18-6 ATS off BB non-conference games

(TC) Pittsburgh at Michigan State, 12:00 ET ESPN
Pittsburgh: 3-14 ATS away off BB home games
Michigan State: 8-2 Over off a SU win / ATS loss

Ohio State at Washington, 3:30 ET ESPN
Ohio State: 12-2 ATS away in September
Washington: 6-17 ATS after forcing 4+ turnovers

Texas at Central Florida, 3:30 ET ESPN2
Texas: 14-5 ATS off BB wins
Central Florida: 10-1 Under in September

(TC) Louisiana Tech at California, 6:30 ET
Louisiana Tech: 0-7 ATS off an Over
California: 6-1 Under off a combined score of 60+ points

UCLA at Utah, 5:00 ET VER
UCLA: 0-7 ATS away off BB ATS wins as a favorite
Utah: 35-18 ATS as an underdog

Ball State at Navy, 5:00 ET CSTV
Ball State: 8-2 Under off a win
Navy: 10-2 ATS off BB road games

(TC) Akron at Indiana, 12:00 ET
Akron: 6-1 Under off a loss by 17+ points
Indiana: 1-8 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points

Southern Miss at East Carolina, 6:00 ET
Southern Miss: 24-8 Under off a road game
East Carolina: 8-1 ATS in September

(TC) Western Michigan at Missouri, 2:00 ET
Western Michigan: 5-1 ATS as a road underdog of 14.5 to 21 points
Missouri: 7-3 Over vs. non-conference opponents

(TC) Idaho at Washington State, 10:00 ET
Idaho: 6-1 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Washington State: 1-6 ATS as a home favorite

Houston at Tulane, 7:00 ET
Houston: 6-1 Over off a non-conference game
Tulane: 2-10 ATS playing on artificial turf

Louisville at Kentucky, 7:30 ET ESPNC
Louisville: 20-8 ATS after forcing 4+ turnovers
Kentucky: 8-1 Over after committing 0 turnovers

(TC) Arkansas at Alabama, 6:45 ET ESPN
Arkansas: 12-2 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points
Alabama: 2-10 ATS as a home favorite

Boston College at Georgia Tech, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Boston College: 14-5 Over off a home conference win
Georgia Tech: 2-9 ATS off an ATS win

Duke at Northwestern, 8:00 ET
Duke: 1-7 ATS off an Under
Northwestern: 6-0 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards

(TC) Texas Tech at Rice, 3:00 ET
Texas Tech: 1-8 ATS off a home win
Rice: 27-9 ATS as a home underdog

USC at Nebraska, 8:00 ET ABC
USC: 6-0 Over as a road favorite of 7.5 to 10 points
Nebraska: 32-13 ATS off a road win

UTEP at New Mexico State, 8:00 ET
UTEP: 6-0 Under after allowing 475+ total yards
New Mexico State: 0-6 ATS after allowing 42+ points

Wyoming at Boise State, 8:00 ET
Wyoming: 1-9 ATS off BB home wins
Boise State: 32-11 ATS as a home favorite

BYU at Tulsa, 9:00 ET CSTV
BYU: 18-5 Under off BB Unders
Tulsa: 6-0 ATS off a non-conference game

Hawaii at UNLV, 9:30 ET
Hawaii: 6-0 ATS after forcing 0 turnovers
UNLV: 10-23 ATS off an Under

Florida State at Colorado, 10:00 ET ESPN
Florida State: 24-9 ATS off BB ATS losses
Colorado: 5-16 ATS at home off an Under

San Diego State at Arizona State, 10:00 ET
San Diego State: 0-6 ATS in the first half of the season
Arizona State: 16-6 ATS at home off BB wins

New Mexico at Arizona, 10:00 ET
New Mexico: 6-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
Arizona: 14-33 ATS as a home favorite

San Jose State at Stanford, 10:00 ET
San Jose State: 6-0 ATS off a road game
Stanford: 0-6 ATS in home games


Added Games:

Florida International at Miami FL, 3:30 ET ESPNU
Florida Int: 1-8 ATS off BB losses
Miami FL: 8-2 Under vs. non-conference opponents

Louisiana Monroe at Texas A&M, 7:00 ET
LA Monroe: 6-18 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
Texas A&M: 6-1 Over off a home win

SMU at Arkansas State, 7:00 ET
SMU: 7-1 Over off a home win
Arkansas State: 3-7 ATS off an Under

(TC) Minnesota at Florida Atlantic, 1:00 ET
Minnesota: 27-13 ATS after forcing 3+ turnovers
Florida Atl: 1-8 ATS vs. non-conference opponents

Middle Tennessee State at LSU, 8:00 ET
Mid Tenn State: 7-1 Under off a road loss
LSU: 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference opponents


** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[pm530]

College Football – Write up

NCAAF
Write-up

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday's college football info

Top 10 games

Underdog is 7-3-1 vs spread in Florida-Tennessee series, which has seen six of last nine meetings decided by four or less points. Vols had minus-11 yards rushing in last year's game, still lost by only a point. Gators lost 14 starters from last year's national title team, are stepping way up in class after Western Kentucky and Troy came to Swamp. Vols covered 18 of last 28 on foreign soil.

Michigan, Notre Dame are both 0-2 for first time ever, with pair of freshman starting QBs, after Henne hurt his leg last week, but someone has to win here. Irish are last in country in running the ball, but Wolverines have slow-footed defenders; they allowed 331 rushing yards to Oregon LW, and trailed 32-7 at half. Dog is 10-1 against the spread in the last eleven series games.

Fresno State lost in OT at Texas A&M last week, after trailing at half, 19-0; A&M ran ball for 318 yards, were 11-21 on 3rd down, so Bulldogs could struggle vs Duck running attack that has run ball for 667 yards in two games. Fresno is 12-8 vs spread as dog on road, but 4-16 in game after SU loss. Oregon covered seven of last nine as home favorite- this should be good game.

Washington steps way up in class, with Buckeyes coming into Seattle, after Huskies beat Syracuse, Boise. Ohio State is 6-2 as road favorite, and 14-6 vs spread coming off a win. Washington is 4-5 as home dog under Willingham. OSU turned ball over five times LW vs Akron, led just 3-2 at half, but defense held Zips to three first downs in game. First road start for QB Boeckman.

Central Florida opens its new, on-campus stadium with Texas in town; UCF won its opener at NC State, leading 25-3 at half, and holding on for 25-23 win. Longhorns trailed TCU 10-0 last week at half, pulled away late for 34-13 win, running ball for 176 yards and forcing four turnovers. Knights covered just one of last five as double digit home underdog, but should have sellout here.

Kentucky lost last four games vs Louisville by average score of 40-19; last year, Cards had 363 rushing yards in 59-28 home win, as UK was just 10-26 passing. Wildcats covered 12 of its last 17 after a win. Louisville had two extra days to prepare after win vs Middle Tennessee; they were awful on defense last week, in a game they led 38-35. At the half. MTSU had 554 yds last week.

Alabama lost at Arkansas on missed PAT in OT LY; Tide is just 2-10 vs spread in last dozen tries as home favorite, although at LSU, Saban covered 12 of last 18 as home favorite. Arkansas is 5-1 in last six tries as road underdog. Bama outrushed Vandy by 221-57 in SEC opener LW. Hogs didn't play last week, after their 46-26 win over Troy in opener; Trojans had 162 rushing yards.

Boston College is already 2-0 in ACC, picking off nine passes in two home wins; now they face Georgia Tech for first time as an ACC rival. BC covered five of last six as road dog, and are 6-3-1 vs spread off a win. Tech won 33-3 at Notre Dame, then beat a
I-AA foe, so hard to tell; they're 10-14 as home favorite, 8-17 vs spread after win. GT is 9-15 vs spread last 24 ACC home tilts.

Nebraska 2-0 after tense win at Wake last week; Deacons had an alarming 236 rushing yards. USC beat Huskers 28-10 at home in '06 (-17), outrushing Nebraska 142-68- they're just 7-10 vs spread in last 17 tries as road favorite. Keller faced Trojans once while a Sun evil and threw five INTs; he'll have more support here than he did there. Huskers are 3-0 as home underdog under Callahan.

Colorado was up 14-0 in desert last week, then roof fell in , in a 33-14 loss at Arizona State; Buffaloes were outgained 407-204, outrushed 138-39, so real question in this game, with the spread only four, is whether or not Weatherford is capable of going on road and beating team that is 3-11 since start of '06. Seminoles trailed UAB at half last week, after Blazers trailed 45-3 at the half of their game the previous week.


Rest of the Card

-- Syracuse (+3) won 31-21 at Illinois LY and is 8-4 vs spread in last dozen tries as home dog, but they've been outscored 77-12 in first two games this season- they're hard to support.

-- Temple was thrown out of Big East so UConn could come in; Owls are 4-8-1 vs spread in last 13 tries as road dog. Huskies are 8-5 as home fave, but 4-10 vs spread off a win.

-- Home side won six of last seven North Carolina-Virginia tilts; UNC covered five of last 17 as home favorite. Cavaliers are 4-1 in last five series games, losing last visit here, 7-5.

-- Buffalo won 42-7 at Temple last week, while Penn State waxed Notre Dame, and has Michigan on deck. Bulls covered six of last nine tries as a road underdog.

-- Ole Miss won four of last five vs Vanderdilt, losing last visit here, 31-23 (+3) in '05; Commodores outgained Rebels 400-179 in Oxford LY, somehow lost 17-10 (-1). Seven of last eight in series were decided by eight or less points.

-- Auburn shut Mississippi State last two years, 28-0/34-0; last year, Tigers outgained MSU 388-161, but Bulldogs are 5-0-1 vs spread in last six on road. Auburn lost at home to South Florida last week- it has to hurt their confidence in senior QB Cox.

-- Central Michigan lost last 13 games vs Big 11 teams by 40-12 average score, but Chippewas are 8-4-1 vs spread off loss; both sides have already beaten Toledo this season. Purdue covered just one of last six against MAC teams.

-- Home side won last four Cincinnati-Miami games (schools are two oldest non-conference rivals), with Bearcats losing last two visits here, 42-37/44-16. Cincy is 3-6-1 vs spread in game off win.

-- Virginia Tech starts freshman QB Taylor here, after drubbing at LSU. Ohio U won at ULL last week; they're just 6-14 in last 20 tries as road dog. Hokies are 15-9 in last 24 tries as home fave.

-- Iowa State opened Chizik era with losses to MAC, I-AA foes; not good- dogs covered four of last five Iowa-ISU games, with a home team winning last three. Iowa is 1-6 vs spread in their last seven games that followed a win.

-- Kansas lost at Toledo in OT on Friday night ESPN game last year; Rockets already gave up 104 points in losses to Central Michigan, Purdue. Jayhawks are 8-4 in last dozen as home fave.

-- Northern Illinois gave up two TD's in last 1:20 to lose at home to I-AA foe last week; they won last five vs Eastern Michigan, by average of 34-14. EMU is 10-8 in last 18 tries as road dog.

-- Wake Forest covered just three of last 18 as home fave; they lost pair of tough games at BC and vs Nebraska to open season figure to get healthy vs Army (1-4 in last five as road underdog).

-- Utah State is 14-25 vs spread in last 39 tries as road dog; they have tough order here, facing Oklahoma unit that waxed Miami 51-13 LW. Sooners are 6-1-1 in last eight tries as home favorite.

-- Michigan State scored 38 straight points vs Pitt LY , when the Panthers had good QB; MSU outgained them 533-358, but they covered just nine of 29 as home fave. Pitt is 7-9 as a road dog.

-- Louisiana Tech went for two and upset in OT vs Hawai'i last week, came up short; now they visit Cal squad that survived at Colorado State (34-28) after drilling Tennessee at home (45-31). Tech covered just three of last 18 as road dog.

-- UCLA beat Utah 31-10 LY (-3); Bruins covered three of last 9 as road favorite- Utes are 3-0 as home dog, but have starting QB and best RB out with injuries. UCLA has Washington on deck.

-- Navy is 9-3-1 vs spread in game off a loss; they're 4-7 against spread in last 11 as home fave. Ball State is 7-4-1 as a road dog; they're coming off split of two conference games to open year.

-- Akron only trailed 3-2 at half in Columbus last week, lost 20-2; Zips are 6-3 vs spread in last nine as road dog. Indiana won at Western Michigan of MAC LW; they're 7-3 vs spread in last 10 as home favorite, 4-0-1 vs spread in last five vs MAC.

-- East Carolina beat Southern Miss LY, after tying game in last 0:20; USM won last two visits here, 38-21/33-7- they're 12-5 SU in last 17 C-USA road games. ECU is 8-2 vs spread off a win.

-- Western Michigan already yielded 99 points in pair of losses to WVa, Indiana; now they get Missouri squad that scored 40, 38 in its games, and neither was at home. Tigers are 5-9 vs the spread in game off a win.

-- Idaho, Washington State are eight miles apart; Vandals' new coach was Wazzu assistant last nine years. Coogs are 4-10 as a home favorite under Doba. Idaho is 8-14 in last 22 as road dog.

-- Tulane got crushed 38-17 at home by Miss State last week, in game where they were outrushed 266-44. Houston gained 538 yards in 48-27 loss in opener; why are they double digit fave?

-- Northwestern covered two of last 13 as home favorite, but the Dukies are 0-22 SU, albeit 19-8 vs spread as road dog. Wildcats beat Nevada 36-31 LW, in game they trailed 24-10 at half, and were outgained in, 541-431.

-- Texas Tech covered three of last 11 as road fave; they trailed 28-17 at half in El Paso last week, rallied for 45-31 win. Rice has covered 14 of last 19 as home dog, only 8 of 22 after a loss.

-- New Mexico State covered three of last 12 as home favorite; they gained 581 yards last week, couldn't cover as 7-point dog. UTEP won last three series games by average score of 41-18.

-- Boise State had 14-game win streak snapped last week; they are 7-2-1 vs spread off a loss, 26-10 vs spread as home favorite. Wyoming held Boise to 246 total yards LY; they're 10-5 against spread coming of a win.

-- BYU beat Tulsa 49-24 LY (-4), outgaining Hurricane 467-302, averaging 10.3 yds/pass attempt. Tulsa is on ESPN next Friday vs Oklahoma. BYU is 4-2 as road favorite, 11-6 coming off win.

-- Hawai'i has been on mainland for 12 days; they escaped in OT at La Tech last week, allowing 223 rushing yards. UNLV almost beat Wisconsin last week; they're 9-4 as home underdog.

-- Arizona State covered nine of last ten non-league games; they are 12-8 vs spread off a win and 21-14 as home favorite. Aztecs are 6-10 as road dog; they gave up 654 yards in last week's loss to Washington State in Seattle.

-- Arizona is 0-5 as home favorite under Stoops, 4-12 vs spread in last 16 tries as favorite overall. New Mexico is 15-7 vs spread as road dog, 23-14 vs spread off a win, but they gave up lot of yards last week in win vs New Mexico State (473 passing).

-- Stanford led San Jose State 34-14 LY, lost 35-34, as Spartans ran ball for 342 yards, but so far this year, San Jose has reverted losing first two games, 45-3/34-14. Cardinal covered six of last eight as home favorite.

-- Miami-FIU game had huge brawl LY; you can bet teams will be on best behavior, especially after 'canes' 51-13 drubbing last week at Oklahoma. Miami won last year's game 35-0 (-26).

-- Texas A&M blew 19-0 halftime lead, needed OT vs Fresno St they're 9-7 as home fave with Franchione, just 6-11 vs spread in non-league games. UL-Monroe covered seven of eight as AU.

-- SMU waxed Arkansas State LY, 55-9 LY (457-262 TY), but in opener this year, ASU outgained Texas in 21-13 loss. Sun Belt teams are 0-13 out of conference. ASU had game postponed vs Memphis last week (t'storms).

-- Minnesota went OT in both games vs MAC teams, now they go on road with young QB; they were 10-4 vs spread in last 14 as road fave under Mason. Owls were outgained 488-203 in last week's 42-6 loss at Oklahoma State (21-6 at half).

-- LSU pounded Va Tech last week, hosts a Middle Tennessee squad that trailed 38-35 at halftime in Louisville last week. With Spurrier coming to Baton Rouge next week, wouldn't expect to get LSU's A-game here.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

College Football - Tips & Trends

NCAAF


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tips and Trends
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, September 15

Ohio University at #18 Virginia Tech (1:30 PM ET)

Virginia Tech will start true freshman Tyrod Taylor at QB for the first time after Sean Glennon was pulled out of the team's 48-7 loss at LSU due to poor play. Taylor was the top high school combo QB in the country last year and has been compared to the Vick brothers. He is expected to give the team a boost at home after two weak offensive efforts to start the season. EDGE: VIRGINIA TECH
Ohio RB Kalvin McRae is one of the MAC's top backs and is tied for the national lead in touchdowns with five through the first two games. "Blocking, running, receiving - I have a lot of respect for what he does," Ohio head coach Frank Solich said. SLIGHT EDGE: OHIO
Virginia Tech is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games vs. MAC opponents.
Virginia Tech is 5-1 in its last 6 after a SU loss.
Ohio is 7-15-1 ATS in its last 23 road games.
The UNDER is 7-2 in Ohio's last 9 road games.


#22 Tennessee at #5 Florida (CBS | 3:30 PM ET)

This series recently has been dictated by the running game, as the team with the most rushing yardage has won 15 of the last 17 meetings. Over the last five games in this series in Gainesville, Tennessee has averaged 117.4 rushing yards per game and Florida has averaged 78.8. EDGE: TENNESSEE
Under head coach Phillip Fulmer, Tennessee owns an 8-7 mark in SEC openers, including wins in two of the last four conference openers. Of those eight victories, three have come against Florida. SLIGHT EDGE: TENNESSEE
Florida coach Urban Meyer looks to open the season 3-0 for the sixth time in his seven-year career. Florida is looking to do so for the third time since 2001 and the sixth time in the last 11 years. EDGE; FLORIDA
Meyer owns an 11-3 overall record against ranked opponents and is 8-3 against the ranked teams he has faced while in Gainesville. EDGE: FLORIDA
This game will mark the 27th time in the history of the series Florida has faced a ranked Tennessee squad. The Gators are 16-10 all-time in those contests and 14-6 when Florida and Tennessee are both ranked. EDGE: FLORIDA


Notre Dame at Michigan (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)

Michigan holds a 19-14-1 lead in the series and took last year’s meeting, 47-21, in Notre Dame Stadium. Notre Dame is 7-10 against the Wolverines in Ann Arbor. SLIGHT EDGE: MICHIGAN
Michigan is one of only two schools that own a winning record against Notre Dame (based on a minimum of five all-time meetings). Florida State is the other program. EDGE: MICHIGAN
The average margin of victory has been just four points over the span of the all-time series. Take away the 2004 and 2006 meetings and the average margin of victory is 2.3. BIG EDGE: NOTRE DAME
Under head coach Lloyd Carr, the Wolverines have outscored opponents by a 1,518-817 differential in September. Michigan has a 137-36-3 all-time record during the ninth month of year. EDGE: MICHIGAN


#10 Ohio State at Washington (ESPN | 3:30 PM ET)

Ohio State held their first two opponents to a combined eight points marking the lowest total point total allowed through two games since 1996. That season, Ohio State beat Rice 70-7 and Pitt 72-0 in the first two games of the season. EDGE: OHIO STATE
The Buckeyes are 7-3 all-time against Washington in a series that began in 1957. Ohio State is 2-3 in five games played at Husky Stadium. The last meeting was a 28-9 Buckeye win in Columbus in 2003. SLIGHT EDGE: OHIO STATE
Ohio State has won 20-consecutive regular-season games, dating back to a 17-10 loss at Penn State on October 8, 2005. The Buckeyes record is 21-consecutive regular-season wins from 1967-69. EDGE: OHIO STATE
Washington has scored in each of its eight trips into the red zone. The Huskies scored five touchdowns in five trips at Syracuse and then got two touchdowns and a field goal in three trips versus Boise State. EDGE: WASHINGTON
The Huskies have gone unbeaten at home 13 times in its history, including six times in the last 18 seasons. Washington has gone 126-39-2 at home since 1980. EDGE: WASHINGTON


#11 UCLA at Utah (5 PM ET)

UCLA’s defense has only given up an average of 17 points per game, but the Bruins have given up a total of 740 yards through the air in their first two games. SLIGHT EDGE: UCLA
Utah has lost four starters to injuries in its first two games: RB Matt Asiata (broken leg), WR Brent Casteel (knee), QB Brian Johnson (shoulder) and DT Gabe Long (knee). BIG EDGE: UCLA
Since 2001, Utah is 12-7 against BCS schools, including a 7-0 mark in Rice-Eccles Stadium. EDGE: UTAH
Utah has never defeated UCLA in their eight total meetings.
UCLA is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against Mountain West opponents.
The UNDER is 9-1 in UCLA's last 10 games against Mountain West opponents.
The OVER is 15-6 in Utah's last 21 home games.


#9 Louisville at Kentucky (ESPN CLASSIC | 7:30 PM ET)

After opening the season with a pair of home wins, the Cardinals will hit the road for the first time this season and for the first time under head coach Steve Kragthorpe. Louisville has been one of the best teams in the nation away from home the last couple of years, posting a 19-8 record since 2003. EDGE: LOUISVILLE
The Cardinals have won the last four meetings and seven of the last eight against the Wildcats. Louisville has also won the last four meetings in Lexington and haven’t lost there since 1997. EDGE: LOUISVILLE
Louisville has averaged 39.5 points per game and 469.5 yards of total offense in their last four wins against the Wildcats. Louisville is also averaging 268.3 yards on the ground. EDGE: LOUISVILLE
Including last season, Kentucky has won seven of its last eight games. That is the best eight-game stretch since the 1977 team won its last nine games of the season. They have won five in a row at Commonwealth Stadium, the first time that has happened since a seven-game home win streak in 1986-87. EDGE: KENTUCKY
The Wildcats are 47-29-5 versus members in the current alignment of the Big East Conference. EDGE: KENTUCKY


#21 Boston College at #15 Georgia Tech (ESPN2 | 8 PM ET)

Since the beginning of the 2003 season, the Eagles are 18-8 on the road, the eight-best road record in college football in that time span. Since the 2002 season, Boston College is 5-3 against ranked teams on the road. EDGE: BOSTON COLLEGE
Boston College leads the nation in interceptions, having snagged nine in the first two games of the season. Cornerback DeJuan Tribble was named national defense player of the week after grabbing three in the season opener versus Wake Forest. EDGE; BOSTON COLLEGE
Georgia Tech has outscored opponents by a combined 85 points – its largest margin through two games since 1936. The Yellow Jackets have also outscored opponents 61-0 in the first half. EDGE: GTECH – FIRST HALF
The good news for Georgia Tech is that it has not lost an ACC opener since 2003. The bad news is that the Yellow Jackets are just 11-13 in ACC openers overall. SLIGHT EDGE: GTECH


#1 USC at #14 Nebraska (ABC | 8 PM EST)

USC has a 155-37-8 all-time record while playing in the month of September and 22-11-1 in its last 34 games on artificial turf. EDGE: USC
The Trojans are 28-9-2 against teams from the Big 12 Conference. USC has won nine of the last 12 meetings, most recently defeating Nebraska last season, 28-10. Nebraska has won five of its last seven games against Pac-10 foes. SLIGHT EDGE: USC
Ten defensive starters returned from the 2006 team for USC, including eight of their top nine tacklers. They ranked in the top 25 nationally in rushing defense, scoring defense and total defense. EDGE: USC
The last AP No. 1-ranked team to visit Lincoln was Oklahoma in 1978 and the No. 4 Cornhuskers posted a 17-14 upset over the Sooners. SLIGHT EDGE: NEBRASKA
Nebraska has had success against top-five teams at Memorial Stadium in recent years. The Huskers’ 22-20 loss to No. 5 Texas at Memorial Stadium last season ended a four-game winning streak against top-five foes in Lincoln. Prior to the two-point setback against Texas, Nebraska had not lost a home game against a top-five team since a 36-21 setback to No. 4 Washington in 1991. BIG EDGE: NEBRASKA

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[pm530]

College Football - Gameday

NCAAF
Gameday


Saturday, September 15

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NCAAF Gameday
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Saturday’s College Football Gameday

There are three matchups between ranked teams on the Saturday college football schedule, as No. 22 Tennessee takes on No. 5 Florida, No. 21 Boston College faces No. 15 Georgia Tech, and No. 1 USC drops in on No. 14 Nebraska.

Tennessee (22) at Florida (5)

The Volunteers rebounded from their 45-31 loss to California with a 39-19 thumping of Southern Miss as an 11-point favorite last week. The Tennessee offense moved the ball well both through the air and on the ground. Quarterback Erik Ainge completed 23-of-36 passes for 276 yards with a pair of touchdown passes, while running back Arian Foster rushed for 125 yards with two touchdowns on 23 carries. More than half of Ainge’s passes found the hands of either Austin Rogers or Lucas Taylor in the win. Rogers caught seven passes for 122 yards and a touchdown, while Taylor hauled in five balls for 118 yards.

Florida’s defense may not be living up to the standard set by last year’s national championship squad, but their offense is exceeding expectations. The Gators have outscored their opponents 108-34 so far, after pounding Western Kentucky 49-3 in their opener and routing Troy 59-31 as a 26.5-point favorite last week. Against the Trojans, Florida QB Tim Tebow was unstoppable while passing for 236 yards with three touchdowns and also rushing for 93 yards and a pair of touchdowns on 17 carries. Running back Kestahn Moore also had a strong game on the ground with 78 yards and two TDs on 15 carries. Tebow’s receiving options may be thinner this week with wideout Andre Caldwell out for a couple weeks with an MCL sprain, and receiver Percy Harvin slowed by tendonitis.

When Tennessee and Florida clashed last season, the Gators clipped the Volunteers 21-20 as a 4.5-point road favorite. The Gators are a 7.5-point favorite in the rematch.

Boston College (21) at Georgia Tech (15)

The Eagles are off to a strong start so far this season, after dumping Wake Forest 38-28 in their opener and knocking off N.C. State 37-17 as a 13.5-point favorite last week. However, QB Matt Flynn wasn’t very impressive against the Wolfpack as he completed only 15-of-34 passes for 142 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Running back Andre Callender picked up the offensive slack by rushing for 158 yards and two touchdowns on 18 carries. The Boston College defense was overbearing in the win, while picking off five passes and recovering a pair of fumbles.

The Yellow Jackets are coming off a huge offensive performance after destroying Samford 69-14 last week. Combine that with their easy 33-3 win over Notre Dame in Week 1 and the Jackets are outscoring their opponents 102-17 so far this season. Despite the big offensive numbers it was slow night for QB Taylor Bennett versus Samford. Bennett completed 8-of-9 passes for only 85 yards with a one-yard touchdown run in the win. Georgia Tech picked up most of their points on the ground as they rushed for a combined 389 yards. Jonathan Dwyer did most of the damage, rushing for 138 yards and three touchdowns on nine carries, while Tashard Choice also had a big game with 110 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries.

It’s been awhile since the Eagles and Yellow Jackets have squared off, with their last meeting coming way back in 1998. Boston College won that game 41-31 as a 14.5-point underdog. Georgia Tech is a 6.5-point favorite in Saturday’s game.

USC (1) at Nebraska (14)

After resting for their bye week last weekend, the Trojans return to the field this week with a tough road game in Nebraska. USC started out the season with a 38-10 win over Idaho, but they came nowhere near covering the 46-point spread. John David Booty completed 21-of-32 passes for 206 yards with three touchdowns and an interception in the win. Stafon Johnson ran in for a couple of scores, but will likely carry the ball fewer times this week with starting RB Chauncey Washington returning. Washington missed the Trojans’ opener with a shoulder injury. The USC defense, which had been lauded by the experts for months, didn’t exactly live up to the hype in Week 1 after allowing Idaho’s mediocre offense to post 253 total yards.

The Cornhuskers edged Wake Forest last week 20-17 as an 8.5-point road favorite. Nebraska almost ended up throwing the game away after QB Sam Keller threw a late interception deep in Nebraska territory. The defense was able to save Keller though, as they intercepted a Demon Deacons' pass in the end zone to nullify the threat. Keller was shaky throughout the game, as he completed 24-of-41 passes for 258 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Marlon Lucky paced the offense with 90 rushing yards and a touchdown on 24 carries.

When Nebraska traveled west to USC last year, the Trojans defeated them 28-10 as a 17-point favorite. The Trojans are a 9.5-point road favorite this time.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet

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Saturday, September 15

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SASKATCHEWAN (7 - 3) at CALGARY (5 - 4 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 78-47 ATS (+26.3 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 4-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 4-3 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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WINNIPEG (6 - 3 - 1) at HAMILTON (1 - 9) - 9/15/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-3 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TORONTO (4 - 6) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (6 - 3 - 1) - 9/15/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 15 since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 5-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Hot Lines

CFL
Hot Lines

Makin’ Canadian bacon: Week 12 CFL picks

Saskatchewan Roughriders at Calgary Stampeders (-3, 56)
Saturday, Sept. 15, 4 p.m. ET

The Roughriders had it handed to them last weekend in Winnipeg dropping them to 4-1 ATS on the road in 2007. The Bombers’ 34 points nearly tripled the 12.5 points per road game Saskatchewan had allowed going into the game.

Now the Riders face the Stampeders, who haven’t lost to any of their last three opponents, all West Division teams. So why not jump on the most recent results and pound the home team?

Because the Stamps haven’t really proved much against quality teams, that’s why. Calgary has beaten each of the sub-.500 East Division teams once and Edmonton three times (none by a convincing margin) for its five wins this year. Henry Burris and his receivers are in a far better groove than they were in Week 2 when the Riders beat Calgary 49-8, but Saskatchewan still owns the best defensive numbers in the league and that counts for a lot.

The Riders lost the league’s top yardage receiver, Matt Dominguez, and none of his possible replacements have taken a CFL snap this season. That adds to the issues Kerry Joseph has with his offensive line after the loss in Winnipeg, when he felt more pressure than in any game since Week 3.

Pick: Under 56



Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Hamilton Tiger Cats (+4, 50 ½)
Saturday, Sept. 15, 7 p.m. ET

Well, this should be interesting. Casey Printers, Hamilton’s would-be savior, makes his first start without a full grasp of the Ticats’ offensive schemes. That’s not necessarily a bad thing, given the team’s repeated offensive failures. But Printers needs more weapons to make things happen on Saturday.

Jesse Lumsden would be the top gun in Printers’ arsenal, especially considering Lumsden’s 211 rushing yards against Winnipeg in Week 6 to deliver Hamilton’s sole win this season. The burly back, however, is once again questionable this weekend with an injured collarbone and neck.

Don’t be fooled by the fact the Ticats almost covered the spread in Toronto in Week 11. The Argos built a big lead and let Hamilton pad its shoddy stats in a meaningless fourth quarter for the second straight game.

In the meantime, Winnipeg is off its best performance of the season in which the offense met its capabilities but the defense was even more impressive. The Bombers have cruised to the top of the East Division standings and have covered the spread in every road game this year except the earlier Ivor Wynne aberration. It would rank among the biggest letdown games of the CFL season if Winnipeg doesn’t pull this one off with style.

Pick: Blue Bombers -4



Toronto Argonauts at BC Lions (-4 ½, 50 ½)
Saturday, Sept. 15, 10 p.m. ET

Jarious Jackson wasn’t bad in the Week 11 loss in Montreal, but B.C.’s win in Week 10 looks more like the aberration now. Jackson starts at quarterback for the third straight game and the Lions look capable of being beaten.

Michael Bishop has looked fantastic in his two games back after a broken wrist, but both games were against the shameful Tabbies. How will he fare against the CFL’s top takeaway team? My guess is that he won’t do bad at all. His arm strength has never been a question and his yards per attempt this season illustrates how often Bishop is making downfield connections.

Add to that the return of Arland Bruce and an increased role for Marc Boerigter and the Argos’ offense looks infinitely more dangerous than it did three weeks ago.

B.C. is 1-3-1 SU in its last five games and have covered the spread only twice in five home games in 2007. Toronto, for all its warts, has evolved into one of the CFL’s best bets. The Boatmen are tied for the league lead with a 7-3 ATS record this year, which includes a 4-1 ATS road mark as well as a three-game streak of delivering paydays.

Pick: Argonauts +4 ½


Last week: 2-2

Year to date: 18-22

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[pm530]

National Football League - Dunkel Index

NFL
Dunkel Index


San Diego at New England
The Chargers certainly have revenge on their minds after they blew an eight-point fourth quarter lead against the Patriots in last year's playoffs en route to a 24-21 loss that cost Marty Schottenheimer his job. Tempers flared at the end of the game when LaDanian Tomlinson took exception to some of the Patriots dancing at midfield. LT blamed the lack of "class" on coach Bill Belichick, who is now under new allegations of spying on the Jets in last week's game. But while controversy may swirl around the Pats, they just keep on playing solid, winning football. Against New York, the Patriots unveiled a passing attack that saw Randy Moss pay immediate dividends (9 catches for 183 yards and a 51-yard TD). They also set a record on special teams when Ellis Hobbs returned the second-half kick-off 108 yards. The last time these two teams met in Foxborough (2005), the Chargers rolled to a 41-17 win, so the Patriots need little reminder how dangerous San Diego can be. But New England is a perfect 6-0 in home openers at Gillette Stadium and looks like a good pick to cover the line (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New England (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 16

Game 201-202: Buffalo at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 131.330; Pittsburgh 134.948
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3 1/2; 34
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 10; 37
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+10); Under

Game 203-204: Cincinnati at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 131.886; Cleveland 125.830
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 6; 44
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 7 1/2; 41
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+7 1/2); Over

Game 205-206: Indianapolis at Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 135.270; Tennessee 130.732
Dunkel Line: Indianapolis by 4 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Indianapolis by 7 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+7 1/2); Under

Game 207-208: Houston at Carolina
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 130.131; Carolina 133.440
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 3; 35
Vegas Line: Carolina by 7; 39
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7); Under

Game 209-210: San Francisco at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 124.721; St. Louis 125.030
Dunkel Line: Even; 41
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 3 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+3 1/2); Under

Game 211-212: Green Bay at NY Giants
Dunkel Ratings: Green Bay 127.756; NY Giants 132.295
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 4 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 1; 37
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+1); Over

Game 213-214: Atlanta at Jacksonville
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.972; Jacksonville 138.190
Dunkel Line: Jacksonville by 17; 32
Vegas Line: Jacksonville by 10; 35
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville (-10); Under

Game 215-216: New Orleans at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 129.319; Tampa Bay 123.239
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 6; 37
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-3); Under

Game 217-218: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 128.845; Detroit 127.746
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 40
Vegas Line: Detroit by 3; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3); Under

Game 219-220: Dallas at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 132.293; Miami 131.260
Dunkel Line: Dallas by 1; 45
Vegas Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+3 1/2); Over

Game 221-222: Seattle at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 126.810; Arizona 127.960
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 39
Vegas Line: Seattle by 3; 43
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+3); Under

Game 223-224: NY Jets at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 129.511; Baltimore 134.851
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 5; 40
Vegas Line: Baltimore by 11; 33 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Jets (+11); Over

Game 225-226: Oakland at Denver
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland 116.291; Denver 134.029
Dunkel Line: Denver by 18; 44
Vegas Line: Denver by 10; 38 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-10); Over

Game 227-228: Kansas City at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 125.619; Chicago 137.347
Dunkel Line: Chicago by 12; 30
Vegas Line: Chicago by 13; 35
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+13); Under

Game 229-230: San Diego at New England
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 136.072; New England 144.766
Dunkel Line: New England by 8 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: New England by 3 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3 1/2); Under


MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 17

Game 231-232: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 124.184; Philadelphia 135.681
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 11 1/2; 36
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 6 1/2; 39
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-6 1/2); Under

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[pm530]

National Football League – Long Sheet

NFL
Long Sheet


Week 2

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Sunday, September 16

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BUFFALO (0 - 1) at PITTSBURGH (1 - 0) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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CINCINNATI (1 - 0) at CLEVELAND (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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INDIANAPOLIS (1 - 0) at TENNESSEE (1 - 0) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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HOUSTON (1 - 0) at CAROLINA (1 - 0) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 0) at ST LOUIS (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-0 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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GREEN BAY (1 - 0) at NY GIANTS (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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ATLANTA (0 - 1) at JACKSONVILLE (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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NEW ORLEANS (0 - 1) at TAMPA BAY (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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MINNESOTA (1 - 0) at DETROIT (1 - 0) - 9/16/2007, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 31-49 ATS (-22.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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DALLAS (1 - 0) at MIAMI (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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SEATTLE (1 - 0) at ARIZONA (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 4:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 3-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NY JETS (0 - 1) at BALTIMORE (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 4:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
BALTIMORE is 1-0 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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OAKLAND (0 - 1) at DENVER (1 - 0) - 9/16/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-0 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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KANSAS CITY (0 - 1) at CHICAGO (0 - 1) - 9/16/2007, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against AFC West division opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


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SAN DIEGO (1 - 0) at NEW ENGLAND (1 - 0) - 9/16/2007, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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Monday, September 17

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WASHINGTON (1 - 0) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 1) - 9/17/2007, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 42-65 ATS (-29.5 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
PHILADELPHIA is 113-78 ATS (+27.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

National Football League - Short Sheet

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 2

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Sunday, September 16th

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Buffalo at Pittsburgh, 1:00 ET
Buffalo: 7-3 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less
Pittsburgh: 14-1 Over as a home favorite

Cincinnati at Cleveland, 1:00 ET
Cincinnati: 8-4 Under vs. Cleveland
Cleveland: 5-1 ATS off a loss by 14+ points

Indianapolis at Tennessee, 1:00 ET
Indianapolis: 6-1 Under in September
Tennessee: 11-3 ATS as an underdog

Houston at Carolina, 1:00 ET
Houston: 2-11 ATS off a home win
Carolina: 17-6 Under first two weeks of the season

San Francisco at St. Louis, 1:00 ET
San Francisco: 20-8 ATS vs. St. Louis
St. Louis: 5-1 Over off a loss as a home favorite

Green Bay at NY Giants, 1:00 ET
Green Bay: 1-5 ATS off a home win
NY Giants: 10-2 ATS after scoring 35+ points

Atlanta at Jacksonville, 1:00 ET
Atlanta: 8-1 Under in road games
Jacksonville: 17-6 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents

New Orleans at Tampa Bay, 1:00 ET
New Orleans: 3-7 ATS off a combined score of 50+ points
Tampa Bay: 6-1 Under in September

Minnesota at Detroit, 4:05 ET
Minnesota: 16-9 ATS vs. conference opponents
Detroit: 8-1 Over off a road win by 10+ points

Dallas at Miami, 4:05 ET
Dallas: 17-7 ATS after allowing 35+ points
Miami: 4-12 ATS off a road game

Seattle at Arizona, 4:05 ET
Seattle: 12-4 Over off a home win
Arizona: 10-4 Over in dome stadiums

NY Jets at Baltimore, 4:15 ET
NY Jets: 5-1 Over off a division loss
Baltimore: 5-0 ATS vs. NY Jets

Oakland at Denver, 4:15 ET
Oakland: 4-13 ATS off a home loss by 10+ points
Denver: 6-1 Under in September

Kansas City at Chicago, 4:15 ET
Kansas City: 6-0 Under in September
Chicago: 13-3 ATS vs. AFC West opponents

San Diego at New England, 8:15 ET NBC
San Diego: 34-15 ATS playing on artificial turf
New England: 1-5 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

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Monday, September 17th

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Washington at Philadelphia, 8:30 ET ESPN
Washington: 25-10 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points
Philadelphia: 8-2 Under as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

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[pm530]

National Football League – Write up

NFL
Write-up

Sunday, September 16

Bills (0-1) @ Steelers (1-0) -- Pittsburgh was dominant in Week 1 win, with 27-yard edge in average field position, 206-46 rushing advantage and +4 turnover ratio, but Bills better than Cleveland. Steelers won six of last seven series games; this is Bills' 1st visit here since '96. Bills were outgained 470-184 by Denver, but they did get punt return TD that put 'em ahead early, so they tried to sit on lead a little. Buffalo seems to be getting good news about health of their player who injured his neck last week- thats good. Last five Steeler home openers went over the total.

Bengals (1-0) @ Browns (0-1) -- Short week and short travel for a Bengal team that ran ball for only 55 yards vs Ravens Monday; beware teams that win with 3+ turnovers (Bengals had four), but Browns traded their starting QB Monday, so assume Anderson gets start here, vs Cincy club they've beaten five times in row by average score of 34-20. Has to be at least a little chaotic for the home side, as fans want Quinn to play, but he can't be ready due to his holdout. LY, Bengals outscored Browns 34-3 in first half of their two meetings, converted 15 of 29 third down plays.

Colts (1-0) @ Titans (1-0) —Indy won seven of last eight series games, though LY’s tilts were decided by total of four (14-13I/20-17T) points; Titans controlled ball in both games, running for 423 yards, and after 282 rushing yards in win at Jacksonville, you know they’ll try to do same thing here. Colts ran ball for 164 yards, averaged 9.6 yards/pass attempt LW vs Saints, outscored NO 31-0 in second half. Titans covered last four tries as dog in their home opener; Colts are 6-1-1 vs. spread in last eight road openers- under is 12-5 in their last 17 road openers. Neither team allowed a point in second half last week.

Texans (1-0) @ Panthers (1-0) — David Carr was dumped by Texans in offseason, now is Carolina backup QB; Houston won first game without him, holding Chiefs to 219 yards, even though KC converted on nine of 13 third down plays. Texans had 13-yard edge in field position, had four takeaways, scored TD on defense, but they’ve lost last three road openers by 12-15-19 points, and are 1-4 vs. spread in last five road openers. Carolina scored just 13.3 pg in losing last three home openers; they’re 2-8 in last ten, and they’re 0-4 in home openers that weren’t in Week 1. Panthers ran ball for 186 yards LW, outgaining Rams 387-238. Texans won only previous meeting, 13-10 at home in ’03.

49ers (1-0) @ Rams (0-1) —Injuries to OT Pace and his backup Steussie leave Rams dangerously thin at tackle, a critical position; home side won nine of last eleven games in this rivalry, with Niners 1-7 in last eight visits to this site (five of seven losses by 10+ pts). 49ers gave up 33.3 pg in losing last four road openers; they’re traveling here on short week, after dramatic cut sloppy win in opener, where they were outrushed by 161-92, completed less than half their passes (15-31) but found a way to win at the end. Rams were outgained by 149 yards by Carolina and didn’t have one play gain 20+ yards (there were 61 overall in league last week).

Packers (1-0) @ Giants (0-1) —Health of QB Manning key issue for Giant club whose defense was riddled by Romo LW (23 yds/ completion); offense may have to outscore teams to win, going to inexperienced Lorenzen at QB not good for Coughlin’s shaky job security. Dallas gained 478 yards LW, had eight plays of 20+ yards, scoring six TDs on 11 drives. Pack defense is better than Cowboys’; they held Eagles 283 yards, and McNabb was just 15-33 passing. Pack offense struggled though, running for just 46 yards; they were only home team LW that didn’t score a TD on offense. Eight of ten Packer first downs were earned on third down plays. Manning had played one of his best games before coming out late with bruised shoulder.

Falcons (0-1) @ Jaguars (0-1) — Anytime pair of 0-1 teams meet, stakes are high, since 0-2 NFL clubs seldom make postseason. Harrington had rough Falcon debut, as Vikings scored pair of defensive TDs, including INT for TD with game 0-0, but he was given lousy field position throughout day; five of nine Atlanta drives started 80+ yards from paydirt- their average start point was 19-yard line, worst in NFL LW. Jaguars allowed ridiculously high 282 rushing yards (5.8/carry) in loss to Titans- they ran ball for only 72 yards themselves and were outgained by 78 yards. Falcons were one of six teams not to score offensive TD LW; they never even got inside Minnesota red zone.

Saints (0-1) @ Bucs (0-1) — New Orleans won four of last five visits to this site; they swept Bucs LY (24-21/31-14), outsacking Bucs 6-0 in two games, and holding Tampa to 9-27 on third down. Bucs went 3/out on 11 of 24 drives vs. Saints LY, but NO defense gave up 452 yards in opener at Indy, 164 on ground, while Saints’ only TD came on defense score in second quarter. Bucs had 13-yard disadvantage in field position LW; six of their ten drives started 80+ yards from goal line. Bucs lost four of last five home openers, scoring 8.5 pg in last four—under is 12-3 in their last fifteen home openers. Saints had three extra days to prepare, after playing in Thursday night season opener.

Vikings (1-0) @ Lions (1-0) — Minnesota won last ten series tilts, , winning last five in Motown by 2-10-1-5-10 points; last year, they outrushed Lions 307-13, converted 56.3% of third down plays, forced 10 turnovers, held Detroit to 7-22 on third down. Vikings, though, are 2-4 in last six road openers, scoring 14.3 pg in last three. Lions covered nine of last eleven home openers. Last wk, they had 17-0 lead, blew it, but then scored game’s last 16 points in 36-21 win- three of their four TD drives started in Oakland territory. Vikings had six sacks, cored two defensive TDs LW; they won 56% of third down plays, but never took snap inside Falcon red zone, scoring only offensive TD on long run after short pass to rookie Peterson.

Cowboys (1-0) @ Dolphins (0-1) — Dallas averaged 23 yards/ completion LW (15-24/327) but also gave up 438 yards to Giant club that lacks great runner and is largely one-dimensional. Cowboys lost five of last seven road openers, Miami lost three of last four home openers. Miami was outgained 400-273 last week vs. Redskins, running for only 66 yards- they were one of only three teams that had an edge in field position last week but lost. Dallas had eight plays of 20+ yards LW, most in NFL, but their opponent had five, the second-most in league. Under is 11-4 in Miami’s last fifteen home openers, but nine of last ten Dallas road openers went over, with average total in their last four, 52.4.

Seahawks (1-0) @ Cardinals (0-1) — Arizona on short week, hosting NFC West kingpin that had five sacks and +13 yard edge in field position in 20-6 home win last week. Home side won six of last seven series games, with four of last five series totals 45+; Seattle won three of last four road openers, allowing seven or less points in four of last six road debuts. Seahawks lost two of last three visits here, with average total in three games, 47.3. Arizona had 20 penalties for 143 yards in two games vs. Seattle LY, 10 more for 71 yards in sloppy loss Monday night, when falling on a loose ball in end zone in last 2:00 could have given Cardinals much-needed road win. Arizona also lost their center Monday night.

Jets (0-1) @ Ravens (0-1) — Health of Pennington key media point this week, but Oregon alum Clemens more than capable if prepared, though Raven defense would be tough one to break in against, even with Lewis hampered by tricep injury. Favorite covered Baltimore’s last six home openers, with Ravens 4-0 as favorite in first home game of year; they’re 5-2 in last seven home openers, overall. Ravens won last four games vs. Jets by average score of 23-13- only one of the four came by less than ten points. Lot of distractions for Jets this week, since many think Mangini turned Pats into league office for video piracy of Jets’ coaching signals. Short week for Baltimore, after loss Monday night.

Chiefs (0-1) @ Bears (0-1) — Struggling KC offense (219 total yards, 72 rushing; four turnovers, no TDs at Houston) not likely to find its way vs. brutal Bear defense that shut Chargers out for half last week. Now, also tough to lay double-digit spread with Grossman-led offense that scored three points LW, running ball for 80 yards, turning itl over four times, completing just 12 of 23 passes, but you figure Chicago is good for defensive score, even with star safety Brown now out for year. Schaub was 16-22/187 passing vs. Chiefs LW, but Houston converted just 3-11 on third down, as Chief defense kept team in game until offense totally unraveled. Four of Chicago’s last five home openers went over the total.

Raiders (0-1) @ Broncos (0-1) — Shanahan despises Al Davis over $250,000 he got stiffed out of after Davis fired him; Broncos won seven of last eight series games, with six of seven wins by 10+ points; last year’s wins were 13-3/17-13 games, with total yardage almost exactly even. Five of last seven series totals were 34 or less. Raiders lost last four road openers, by 5-3-10-22 pts; seven of their last eight road openers went over total, but four of Denver’s last five home openers stayed under. Broncos won last seven home openers (6-1 vs. spread). Oakland showed spunk LW, rallying from 17-0 down to take lead in 4th quarter; new QB McCown was 30-40/253 passing, so Raiders have passing game, nd therefore, backdoor capability.

Chargers (1-0) @ Patriots (1-0) — Patriots stunned Chargers in playoffs LY, as Bolts lost three fumbles, completed just 14-32 passes, but now SD has new coaches, same players, and revenge on their mind. NE won 11 of last 13 series games, seven of last eight at this site, but Chargers did win here 41-17 in ’05. Pats won last five home openers, by 16-7-3-10-2 points; they’re 5-2-1 vs. spread as favorite in home opener. No idea if VideoGate is distraction in Foxboro, but hard to buck Belichick/Brady in these big games, and this is a big game, especially for Chargers, who didn’t score in first half vs. Bears last week, while Patriots were drilling division rival Jets in Swamp.

Monday, September 17

Redskins (1-0) @ Eagles (0-1) — Hopefully Philly found someone who can catch a punt; they’ve won nine of last 11 vs. Redskins, taking four of last five here, with wins by 13-2-22-24 points. Last year, Iggles won 27-3/21-19, outscoring Skins by combined 38-9 in first half of those games. Washington ran ball for 356 yards vs. Philly LY, but didn’t score TD (four FGs) in four trips to Eagle red zone. Skins lost five of last seven road openers, but are 7-4 as dog in their first road game of season. Philly scored 32.3 pg in last three home openers, with six of last eight going over total. Skins held Miami to 66 rushing yards LW, were one of only three teams that won despite losing field position battle.are 3-2 as home dog, beat Missouri here back in '03.

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[pm530]

National Football League - Tips & Trends

NFL


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Tips and Trends
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Sunday, September 16

Buffalo Bills at Pittsburgh Steelers (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Despite the relatively close 15-14 score last week, Buffalo team insiders are very concerned that Buffalo was out-gained by 470-184 to Denver. However, some team insiders are trying to justify that the poor defensive performance to the fact that the Bills lost three defensive starters in the contest (free safety Ko Simpson; line backer Coy Wire and cornerback Jason Webster). EDGE: STEELERS
The Buffalo secondary was dismantled last weekend to the tune of over 300 passing yards against them. That’s not very good news when you consider that Pittsburgh possesses a strong passing attack behind Big Ben and his deep threats Hines Ward, Santonio Holmes and Heath Miller. EDGE: STEELERS
Most Buffalo insiders are concerned over the Buffalo rush defense that struggled against the run last season, ranking 28th allowing a whopping 4.7 yards per carry. Last week, Denver rushed for 171 rush yards (5.3 yards per carry), while Pittsburgh managed an impressive 206 yards on the ground against Cleveland, a defense that was better (on paper) than the Bills. EDGE: STEELERS
One Pittsburgh insider is concerned about Ike Taylor, whom he classified as “one of the worst deep coverage cornerbacks in the NFL.” With Buffalo unable to get anything going on offense last week, the Bills could exploit Taylor by passing to the always dangerous Lee Evans frequently. EDGE: BILLS
This week presents an interesting challenge for Buffalo, which will be playing on grass (off-surface for them), minimizing the speed of the team's new linebackers and defensive backs. EDGE: STEELERS
Dating back to last season, Buffalo has covered eight of its last 10 games. EDGE: BILLS
It's hard to say what kind of motivation the Bills will be playing with on Sunday after losing teammate Kevin Everett to a spinal cord injury. They could play very well in honor of Everett or it might have a downward spiral effect for them very early in the season.
Buffalo is 8-3 ATS its last 11 as an underdog.
The Steelers are on a 7-2 SU & 6-2-1 ATS run.


Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Cincinnati is off a short week and will have less time to prepare for this heated rivalry. SLIGHT EDGE: BROWNS
One Cincinnati insider is very concerned about the Bengals defense. Cincinnati ranked 31st in total defense last season and things didn’t get much better on Monday night when the Bengals allowed 314 yards (107 rushing) to an offensively-challenged Baltimore team. EDGE: BROWNS
Cleveland’s secondary allowed four touchdown passes against the Steelers last weekend, which is not very encouraging when you consider that they must now face Carson Palmer, who leads one of the best passing offenses in the league. EDGE: BENGALS
Cleveland’s starting center LeCharles Bentley has been put on the reserve/physically unable to perform list, meaning he will miss at least the first six weeks of the season. His loss further puts in flux an offensive line that is without their starting right tackle Ryan Tucker (suspension). EDGE: BENGALS
The Bengals are 10-6 SU & 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.
Cleveland is 15-24-1 ATS as an underdog.
The Bengals dismantled the Browns 34-17 and 30-0 last season, and they are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (CBS | 1 PM ET)

The Colts have the benefit of 3 days of extra rest and preparation time (played last Thursday) for this week’s matchup against Tennessee. EDGE: COLTS
This week presents an interesting challenge for Indianapolis, which will be playing on the soft grass of Tennessee (off-surface for them), which will minimize the speed of heir wide receivers. The Colts are not as dominant on natural grass or on the road as they stand just 5-5 SU & 4-6 ATS in their last 10. EDGE: TITANS
There is no question what Tennessee’s game plan will be for this contest - run the football. Tennessee managed 282 rushing yards against one of the best run stopping units in the NFL last weekend, and now they face one of the league's worst from last season. Tennessee rushed for 214 yards against the Colt’s in the first game last season and 219 yards in their contest in Nashville. EDGE: TITANS
A year ago the Titans went 2-0 ATS against the Colts, losing 14-13 at Indy and winning 20-17 at home. EDGE: TITANS


Houston Texans at Carolina Panthers (CBS | 1 PM ET)

Terrible situational spot for the home favorite Carolina Panthers, who just beat a divisional opponents (St. Louis) and has divisional opponent (Atlanta) on deck. It’s unlikely the Panthers will put much emphasis on this non-divisional opponent that comes to town on a rare high note after beating Kansas City last Sunday. EDGE: TEXANS
Team insiders remain concerned about the Carolina secondary that appears vulnerable with the departure of Mike Minter last season. That could be a problem with the balanced Texans offense under new QB Matt Schaub, who connected on 73% of his pass attempts and showed great chemistry with Andre Johnson (142 yards receiving) and Ahman Green (73 yards on 16 carries for 4.6 yards per carry). EDGE: TEXANS
Team insiders were impressed with the playbook of their new offensive coordinator Jeff Davidson who adding some zone-blocking schemes and more balance. The Carolina players clearly responded to the new offense, and they looked fantastic in Week 1 with 387 yards in a 27-13 win at the Rams, piling up 186 yards rushing and 201 passing. EDGE: PANTHERS
Carolina’s defense was 8th overall last season (15th against the run, 8th against the pass) and the Panthers held Rams RB Steven Jackson to just 58 yards rushing on 18 carries and QB Marc Bulger to 167 passing yards. EDGE: PANTHERS
The Panthers have been a below .500 team each of the past four years as a home favorite during the regular season with an overall mark of 8-17-1 ATS during this span.


San Francisco 49ers at St. Louis Rams (FOX | 1 PM ET)

This is a tough situational spot for San Francisco off a short week after playing on Monday night. The 49ers must now face an opponent who’s bitter after getting blown out at home against Carolina. EDGE: RAMS
Team insiders are extremely concerned about the San Francisco run defense that allowed a whopping 161 yards to Arizona, which is not good news when you consider that they will have to stop elite Rams RB Steven Jackson. EDGE: RAMS
Likewise, St. Louis insiders are concerned about the St. Louis run stopping unit. Although many experts thought the Rams run defense would be better in 2007 (31st ranked against the run last season), Sunday’s numbers suggested otherwise: 186 rushing yards allowed and 4.9 yards a carry. That is a very concerning number especially when you consider that they must try to stop one of the league's best in San Franciso's Frank Gore. EDGE: 49ERS
The 49ers are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 as an underdog and 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings with the Rams.


Green Bay Packers at New York Giants (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Team insiders are very concerned about the status of several New York starters for this week against Green Bay. In Week 1, the Giants lost three key starters in QB Eli Manning, DE Osi Umenyiora and RB Brandon Jacobs, who all suffered injuries that required MRIs. The status of these players is unknown, so make sure to check Pregame's Injury Report for updated info. EDGE: PACKERS
The Giants are 3-6 SU & ATS their last 9 home games.
The Packers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 on the road.


Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (FOX | 4:05 ET)

This is a rather surprising line when you consider that Detroit was only favored three times all of last season. The result? Not only did the Lions fail to cover each time, but they also lost all three games straight-up. EDGE: VIKINGS
Team insiders are curious to see how the Minnesota defense handles a wide-open Detroit attack. Unlike Atlanta, which played a very vanilla offense last week, Detroit likes to spread their offense out by using three and four wide receivers in an effort to open up the running game. EDGE: LIONS
League insiders believe that Minnesota could surprise many teams this season. Last year, the Vikings were #1 in the NFL in run defense, allowing 2.84 yards per carry and 62 yards per game. Last week, the Vikings continued their success, holding the Falcons to just 96 yards on the ground on 28 carries. EDGE: VIKINGS
Both meetings between these teams last season went OVER the total, with the Vikings winning 26-17 and 30-20. The OVER is also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. EDGE: OVER
Detroit is 0-3 SU & ATS in its last three as a favorite.
Minnesota has defeated Detroit 10 straight times.


Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins (FOX | 4:05 ET)

One Dallas insider we spoke to was completely befuddled by the Dallas secondary. Going into the game last Sunday night with New York, Dallas had already encountered some concerns with the cornerback position. Those concerns were realized when the Giants torched the Dallas secondary for 314 yards through the air. EDGE: DOLPHINS
Team insiders are also concerned over the mounting injuries to a Dallas team that had high expectations coming into the season. CB Terence Newman (foot), NT Jason Ferguson (biceps), LB Greg Ellis (heel) and WR Terry Glenn (knee) are all projected to be out this week. However, some Maimi insiders don’t believe that the Dolphins have the type of tall, talented receivers to take advantage. EDGE: DOLPHINS
Miami is 9-23 ATS its last 34 games at home.


Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals (FOX | 4:05 ET)

Arizona team insiders are very optimistic in the direction new head coach Ken Whisenhunt is taking with his Cardinals team. Whisenhunt has put emphasis on this first home game: “We already talked about our first home game against another division opponent… to be at home and have a city be excited and behind us is something that we really would look forward too," said Whisenhunt. EDGE: CARDINALS
Seattle team insiders are keeping a close eye on the weak spot of the Seattle defense - the secondary. Although the Seahawks were impressive (on paper) against offensively-challenged Tampa Bay last weekend (only 6 points allowed), their secondary nevertheless allowed Jeff Garcia and Josh McCown to complete 20 of 31 passes. The concern is exemplified as Arizona’s passing attack is a lot more savvy and dangerous. That game was at home, and Seattle is 9-9 SU, 6-11-1 ATS its last 18 on the road. EDGE: CARDINALS
The OVER is 9-4-1 in Arizona's last 14 games.


New York Jets at Baltimore Ravens (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

There is some uncertainty as to whether Jets QB Chad Pennington is going to start against the Ravens, or if backup Kellen Clemens will get the nod. If it's Clemens, it's worth noting that the last time a Jets quarterback made his first NFL start (Brooks Bollinger) against the league's #1 defense last season, he was sacked five times and pressured all game in a 13-3 loss. EDGE: RAVENS
This is a tough non-divisional situation sandwich spot for the visiting Jets. New York faced New England in the opening week and hosts Miami next Sunday before heading to Buffalo. This is the team's only non-AFC East game this month. EDGE: RAVENS
Team insiders are already very concerned about the Jets offensive line this season. Their left side is loaded with inexperienced playmakers and with RB Thomas Jones not at 100 percent, the Jets could be in a for a long day in Baltimore. EDGE: RAVENS
League insiders were extremely impressed with Baltimore’s defense in Week 1 against offensive powerhouse Cincinnati. Despite losing the game, the Ravens held Cincinnati to just 236 total yards. Last season, Baltimore was the leagues top defense, recording two shutouts while holding teams to a league-low 12.6 points per game. EDGE: RAVENS
Some Baltimore insiders are concerned with the mounting injuries heading into Week 2. The status of QB Steve McNair (groin), LB Ray Lewis (triceps) and OT Jonathan Ogden (toe) are unknown, although Kyle Boller is expected to start for McNair. EDGE: JETS
The Ravens are 21-7 SU & 18-10 ATS in their last 28 games at home.


Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars (FOX | 1 PM ET)

League insiders are already talking about Jacksonville head coach Jack Del Rio’s future with the program after suffering a stunning 13-10 home loss to Tennessee. Del Rio is well aware of this chatter, so expect a very focused effort this week from Jacksonville. EDGE: JAGUARS
Many team insiders continue to believe that in order for the Jaguars to make any kind of a playoff run, they will have to improve in their pass coverage since their secondary is the weakest point of the defense. This suspect secondary could cause some problems against an Atlanta team that operates a pass happy spread offense. EDGE: FALCONS
Team insiders believe that the 282 yards rushing by Tennessee against this normally stout Jacksonville defense was a deviation of sorts and should fair far better against a very weak and inexperienced Atlanta offense. EDGE: JAGUARS
Jacksonville is 14-9-2 ATS its last 25 home games.


New Orleans Saints at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX | 1 PM ET)

Team insiders are very concerned with the awful performance of the New Orleans secondary, which was burned for 288 total receiving yards last Thursday night against Indianapolis. Luckily, Tampa does not have the type of offense that can exploit this weakness in the secondary. Tampa scored 10 or less points in eight of 16 games last season and should have trouble running the ball this Sunday. EDGE: SAINTS
New Orleans struggled to generate much offense against the Indianapolis Cover-Two defense, and that’s not good news considering Tampa defensive coordinator Monte Kiffin pretty much wrote the book on the Cover-Two. However, some Saints insiders believe that the New Orleans offense should fair much better this week after already making the adjustments needed following the Colts game. EDGE: SAINTS


Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

These teams played very close last season as the Raiders lost both matchups against the Broncos by an average of seven points. EDGE: RAIDERS
Oakland has held Denver to an average of only 17.3 points in the past three meetings, but the Raiders were torched last weekend against Detroit. SLIGHT EDGE: RAIDERS
Denver is only 1-10 ATS its last 11 home games & 1-8 ATS in its last 8 overall.
The UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings & 10-1-2 in Oakland's last 13 road games. The UNDER is also 11-2 in Oakland's last 13 games overall.


Kansas City Chiefs at Chicago Bears (CBS | 4:15 PM ET)

After averaging just eight points in four preseason losses, Kansas City’s offense got 3 points last Sunday and only one play went for more than 20 yards. Team insiders are very concerned about Kansas City RB Larry Johnson, who had just 43 yards on 10 carries, a huge concern going into a matchup with the NFL's top run defense from last season. EDGE: BEARS
Team insiders believe that the Bears will be very motivated for a big win following their 14-3 loss at San Diego. In that contest, the leagues #1 defense was nearly flawless, holding reigning NFL MVP LaDainian Tomlinson to just 25 yards rushing. BIG EDGE: BEARS
Chicago received some bad news after Week 1 when they found out S Mike Brown and DT Dusty Dvoracek were lost for the season with knee injuries. However, the loss of both players should have little impact against a Kansas City team that managed just over 200 yards in Week 1 against one of the league's worst stop units last season. Plus, both players have capable replacements. Danieal Manning started 14 games at free safety a year ago as a rookie, and the Bears traded for DT Darwin Walker before the season for added depth and in hopes that he would eventually become a starter. SLIGHT EDGE: CHIEFS
The Bears have gone 15-4 SU & 12-7 ATS at home the last two seasons.
Kansas City is 9-19 SU & 9-18-1 ATS in their last 28 road games.
The Bears are 21-3 SU & 13-9-2 ATS in their last 24 games as favorites.


San Diego Chargers at New England Patriots (NBC | 8:15 PM ET)

Team insiders are reporting San Diego players and coaches are very eager to exact some revenge from last season's 24-21 home loss to New England last year in the playoffs. Chargers RB LaDainian Tomlinson was especially upset with the way the Pats celebrated on his home field. EDGE: CHARGERS
Many New England insiders believe that in order for the Patriots to win against San Diego this season, they will have to try to stop reigning NFL MVP Tomlinson, who managed 134 yards at NE in the 2005 meeting and 123 in January's playoff game. That will be a very tall order, especially since LT totaled just 25 yards last week and should be looking to break out with revenge on his mind. EDGE: CHARGERS
One San Diego insider believes that the San Diego secondary is the weakness in this otherwise top notch defensive unit. That weakness can be easily exploited by the incredible collection of Patroit offensive weapons in wide receivers Dante Stallworth, Randy Moss and Wes Welker. EDGE: PATRIOTS
The Pats are only 3-5-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
The Chargers are an incredible 16-8 SU & 16-6-2 ATS in their last 24 road games.

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