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  • Spears 10* Parlay

    Toronto Blue Jays/Oakland Athletics Total Points UNDER 8
    Anaheim Angels ML


    (Wayne's GOY) Mentioning also Lackeys 12-4 record at night with a 2.94 ERA. Away he is 9-4 with a 3.12 ERA. This is in sharp contrast to playing at home and in day games and is his best atmosphere for winning.
    Batista for Seattle is 9-7 with a 4.45 ERA at night and a home record of 7-5 and 3.95 ERA at home. Probably a 4-2 game.

    This Under should also be a winner tonight!

    These two teams finished a three-game series this past week, with Oakland completing the sweep on Wednesday with a 4-1 win when right-hander Esteban Loaiza made his 2007 debut against Toronto’s A.J. Burnett. Loaiza and Burnett will take the mound again on Monday, facing each other for the second time in less than a week.

    “The comeback series are very common so we don't change the price too much,” says lines consultant Peter Korner. “We will line-compare on this one. Both pitchers are pitching well and all we're really doing is switching over the home-field price.

    “Because it is the same matchups, we get a break when setting the odds.”

    Books tagged Oakland as a +174 underdog for last week’s game in Toronto. Now, with the venue switching to McAfee Coliseum, The A’s are listed at -101 while the Blue Jays opened as slight -107 favorites with Burnett back on the hill.

    Loaiza missed the first four and half months of the season with multiple injuries but was in midseason form on Wednesday. He pitched almost eight innings and allowed only one run on three hits, tallying 109 pitches in his first big league game since last September.

    "Unreal,'' Oakland’s Mark Ellis told the San Francisco Chronicle. “That's exactly what (Loaiza) was like the second half of last year. Esteban makes it look easy sometimes. It's nice to have him back out there.''

    The Mexican hurler usually performs well at this time of the year. Last season he was named the American League pitcher of the month in August, going 4-0 with a 1.48 ERA. This year, bettors have little to go off of when wagering on his starts, but were very impressed with his debut effort.

    “The Blue Jays hitting has been spotty recently but I do feel that Loaiza has a matchup advantage with the Blue Jays,” says Scott Rickenbach of Covers Experts. “Some lineups just don't match up well with hurlers and Loaiza has enjoyed some success against the Jays in his career.”

    Toronto’s floundering offense is hitting .259 in August and averaging only four runs per game. The Blue Jays have scored three or fewer runs in 10 of their 23 games this month and ruined a solid effort from Burnett last Wednesday with a lack of run support.

    Burnett gave up only one earned on four hits, striking out nine batters in a full seven innings of work. The right-hander, who also recently returned from injury, is 2-1 this month with a stellar 1.74 ERA.

    “Burnett was rock solid in the start against the A's. It was only some poor defense behind him that led to three unearned runs and gave him the loss,” says Rickenbach. “I would not like to have to pick a side in what should be a pitcher's duel. If I was playing this game I'd at least take a look at the under.”

    Sportsbooks opened Monday’s total at 8 runs and according to Korner, last week’s pitching clinic from both Loaiza and Burnett is the biggest reason. The 4-1 final finished well under Wednesday’s number of 8 ½-runs.

    “What we go by is the results that we see, we won't have to go too in-depth and translate that over to the total, says Korner. “It was a low-scoring game (on Wednesday) so we’ll keep the total down for (Monday).”
    Last edited by Spearit; 08-27-2007, 11:13 AM.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

  • #2
    Under is 24-7 in Blue Jays last 31 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Under is 20-6 in Blue Jays last 26 road games.
    Under is 39-12-1 in Blue Jays last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.
    Under is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games following a loss.
    Under is 22-8 in Blue Jays last 30 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
    Under is 8-3 in Blue Jays last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
    Under is 8-3 in Blue Jays last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
    Under is 20-8 in Blue Jays last 28 on Grass.
    Under is 36-15-1 in Blue Jays last 52 games as a favorite.
    Under is 9-4 in Blue Jays last 13 Monday games.
    Under is 35-17 in Blue Jays last 52 overall.
    Under is 4-0 in Burnett's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
    Under is 8-0 in Burnett's last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
    Under is 5-0 in Burnett's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    Under is 5-0 in Burnett's last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    Under is 5-0 in Burnett's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    Under is 11-1 in Burnett's last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
    Under is 9-1 in Burnett's last 10 starts as a favorite.
    Under is 7-1 in Burnett's last 8 starts overall.
    Under is 5-1 in Burnett's last 6 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
    Under is 5-1 in Burnett's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
    Under is 4-1 in Burnett's last 5 starts vs. American League West.
    "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

    Comment


    • #3
      Under is 7-0-1 in Athletics last 8 games as a home underdog
      Under is 20-7-3 in Athletics last 30 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
      Over is 5-2 in Athletics last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
      Over is 7-3 in Athletics last 10 games following a loss.
      Under is 36-16-5 in Athletics last 57 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
      Under is 11-5-2 in Athletics last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
      Over is 4-0 in Loaiza's last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
      Under is 4-0 in Loaiza's last 4 starts as an underdog.
      Under is 5-1 in Loaiza's last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
      Under is 7-2 in Loaiza's last 9 starts vs. American League East.
      Under is 5-2 in Loaiza's last 7 starts overall.
      "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

      Comment


      • #4
        The problem I see is the total set this low as 7.0 to 8.5 has not been favorable. But if you broke it down to 7.0 to 7.5 and 8.0 to 8.5- I believe it would be more in our favor. These teams know it is going to be low scoring!
        "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

        Comment


        • #5
          BOL today Spear!!!
          SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

          Comment


          • #6
            good luck

            Comment


            • #7
              Goodluck today Spear!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
              "Sometimes it's not what you play, but what you don't play."

              Comment


              • #8
                Also Like the Giants tonight!

                Trends this time of the year!

                Team Trends


                Description Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push

                When CHI WHITE SOX team played as a Home team - Vs. Right handed pitchers - During a day game - Coming off a Home loss as a Favorite - Coming off a Loss vs. AL EAST opponent 9-2-0 6-4-1
                When SEATTLE team Played as Home team as a Underdog - After a division game - Vs. Right handed pitchers - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher - Coming off a Loss vs. AL WEST opponent 5-7-0 8-2-2
                When MINNESOTA team played as a Road team - Coming off vs. American League opponent - After a non division game - Coming off 1 over - Coming off a Road win as a Underdog 5-6-0 0-10-1
                When DETROIT team played as a 100 to 120 Home Underdog - Vs Conference Opponent - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a Win vs. AL EAST opponent - Coming off a 1 game win 6-4-0 2-8-0
                When NY YANKEES team Played as Road team as a Favorite - During the month of August - After a non division game - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off vs. Right handed pitcher 9-3-0 9-2-1
                When SAN FRANCISCO team played as a Home team - After a non division game - Before a division game - Coming off a 1 run win - Coming off a day game 8-2-0 4-5-1
                When SAN DIEGO team Played as Home team as a Favorite - During a night game - Vs Division Opponent - Coming off a 1 game loss - Coming off 1 over 8-2-0 4-5-1

                Random Team System Trends

                Description Win-Loss-Push Over-Under-Push

                When OAKLAND team Played as home team as a Underdog - During the 2007 season - Vs Non Division Opponent 6-4-0 2-8-0
                When MINNESOTA team played as a 100 to 120 road Underdog - Total is 9.5 - Last 2 years 5-6-0 2-9-0
                When WASHINGTON team played as a 160 to 180 road Underdog - 1st game of a series - Before a non division game 3-9-0 2-8-2
                When SAN FRANCISCO team played as a -120 to -140 home Favorite - 1st game of a series - During the month of August 6-5-0 8-2-1
                When SAN DIEGO team played as a -220 to -240 home Favorite - Vs NL Conference - Vs. Right handed pitchers 8-2-0 7-3-0
                When ARIZONA team played as a 180 to 200 road Underdog - After a non division game - During a night game 2-9-0 2-8-1
                When NY METS team played as a road team - During the month of August - During the 2007 season 10-2-0 9-2-1
                "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                Comment


                • #9
                  love the write ups and trends... gl to ya sir
                  NFL System - Year 1
                  Week 2 3-2 +0.8 Units
                  Week 3 3-2-1 +0.8 Units
                  Week 3 3-3 -0.3 Units
                  Week 4 3-2 +0.8 Units
                  Week 5 2-3 -1.3 Units
                  Week 6 4-1 +2.9 Units
                  Week 7 3-0 +3.0 Units
                  Week 8 2-3 -2.35 Units
                  Week 9 0-1 -1.1 Units
                  Season Total 23-17 +3.35 Units

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    GL Buddy!

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      gl to ya Spearit........I'm favoring the OVER here.......you may have just convinced me to lay off the ttl.....kapt


                      Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        GL today spear. solid info as always
                        2013 NCAA POD Record

                        8-3ATS +3.80 units

                        2013 NFL POD Record

                        1-2 ATS -4.50 units

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Thanx all- The Best of Luck to each of you!
                          "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            gl spears!
                            Winners don't wait for chances, they take them

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Gl Today Spearit
                              MLB 2012***100-98 +$215 OR +2.15 UNITS
                              HUGE PLAYS 2-1

                              NFL 2011-2012** 6-10
                              0-0TOP PLAYS

                              NCAA FBL 2011-2012**** 26-23

                              4-1 TOP PLAYS


                              GOY 33-12 ALL SPORTS

                              AS of 6/3/12

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