MLB Totals Atlanta/Cinncy

[Spearit]

Continuing an awesome 10*record (Husker where are you- just kidding) after the all-star break on totals in MLB. We won on Chi White Sox/KC last night. Jenks record of 41 straight retired came to an end and placed a man on 3rd with an out to go - so it was not without its moments.

Today if the pitchers and umpire stay true to form than we shall inherit another egg for the basket.

Reyes and Livingston have only 2 unders in the last 15 games played combined (Reyes has only 5 2007 starts) So one under from each pitcher with the rest going wildly over.

The trends should help qualify this matchup and if 11 runs is too much I understand- I could have bought the 10 1/2 for -145 but looking at the scores I felt comfortable with the 11 @ -125.

10*Atlanta/Cinncy Over 11 -125

Atlanta
Over is 6-0 in Braves last 6 Tuesday games.
Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 8-2 in Braves last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 23-9 in Braves last 32 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 10-4 in Braves last 14 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 33-14 in Braves last 47 overall.
Over is 33-14 in Braves last 47 on Grass.
Over is 7-3 in Braves last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 18-8 in Braves last 26 games following a win.
Over is 49-24-2 in Braves last 75 vs. National League Central.
Over is 4-1 in Reyes' last 5 starts overall.
Over is 4-1 in Reyes' last 5 starts on Grass.


Cincinnati
Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-1 in Reds last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Reds last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter.

>These next two concern me! However, Atlanta is a different foe than most!

Under is 12-2 in Reds last 14 games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 home games with the total set at 11.0 or higher.
Over is 13-3-1 in Reds last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Over is 21-6 in Reds last 27 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 20-6-3 in Reds last 29 games as an underdog.
Over is 21-7-2 in Reds last 30 during game 2 of a series.
Over is 23-8-2 in Reds last 33 vs. National League East.
Over is 42-18-1 in Reds last 61 games following a loss.
Over is 37-18-2 in Reds last 57 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 37-18-3 in Reds last 58 overall.
Over is 37-18-3 in Reds last 58 on Grass.
Over is 6-0-1 in Livingston's last 7 starts overall.
Over is 6-0-1 in Livingston's last 7 starts on Grass.
Over is 4-0-1 in Livingston's last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Livingston's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Livingston's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0-1 in Livingston's last 6 starts as an underdog.
Over is 4-1-1 in Livingston's last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.


Head to HeadOver is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Cincinnati.
Over is 36-17-2 in the last 55 meetings.
Braves are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.


Umpire Trends - Gerry DavisOver is 10-4 in Davis' last 14 games behind home plate.Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 games with Davis behind home plate.
Braves are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Davis behind home plate.
Road team is 5-2 in Davis' last 7 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Road team is 11-4 in Davis' last 15 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.

[keawe]

Goodluck today Spear!!!!!!!!!!!

[Spearit]

The Reds will hand the ball to starter Bobby Livingston (3-3, 4.70 ERA), who hopes to bounce back after allowing five runs - four in the first inning - and a career-worst 11 hits in five innings of Thursday's 12-4 road loss to the Chicago Cubs. He was coming off an 8-3 win over San Diego in which he lasted a career-high 8 1-3 innings.

"I was kind of frustrated with that first inning," Livingston told the Reds' official Web site. "It was a kick in the butt. What can you do? Everybody has one."

Livingston won his only previous start against the Braves on July 16, when he allowed two runs in five innings of a 10-3 victory in Atlanta. Tuesday's start will be just his third at home and 10th overall this season.

Atlanta is calling up rookie Jo-Jo Reyes (0-1, 8.72 ERA) to start Tuesday in place of Chuck James. The Braves decided to skip James, who gave up four homers in 3 2-3 innings in his last start on Thursday, so he can rest an inflamed left shoulder.

Reyes gave up 22 runs in 21 2-3 innings in five starts for the Braves before he was shipped back to Triple-A Richmond on Aug. 3. He has made two starts since being demoted, winning both while allowing one unearned run in 13 innings.

"He's getting them out easy," Cox said.

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Spear- Is this one of those games that one pitchers scene is coming off a bad outing and reaching down for a better game versus a pitcher showing up well in the minors - now he can show what he can do in the majors-- sheesh -hope not.
The bats have certainly been swinging and I don't see the comparison with minor league hopefuls! Tough to overcome mistakes in this type of game!

[garth]

Here's a little more stat info on the BHP ump.
games he calls average almost 11.5 runs. He calls just a little more than 61% of pitches strikes. Those are pretty good over stats.
Good luck, Spear.

[Spearit]

Thanx I did notice that- Appreciate it Garth!

[TheRook]

Knock em dead as usual buddy

[BillMill71]

Good Luck Spearit

[PSL6978]

looks good buddy! Bravos bats are white hot!

[TwoTonTony]

Spearit....I think Texeira can get the over himself!!! Continued success

[vondie]

11.5 too much?

[aces r wild]

Thanks for the winner last night and todays play.

[mighty mouse]

good luck spear!!!!!!!!!!

a-l-o-h-a

[beerball101]

bol spear , its 11.5 now at carib

[Spark]

I like it Spear ... Good Luck buddy

[MtrCtyPimp]

Keep bangin them totals

to more runs tonight!

PEACE