Lets see if 9002 posts is kind to us! NY/Toronto Side & Total
7*New York Yanks / Toronto Under 10 (I actually took Under 11 @ -145 but all can not do that)
5*Toronto +1 1/2 RL
In looking at the stats and trends - it becomes obvious that Pettitte is pitching better these days and that Litsch has been undering well for the whole season and is on top of his game.
Pettitte has given up 1-3-3-1-3 against TB x2, white sox, orioles and Toronto (1).
Litsch has 0-1-4-1-0 Earned runs in the last 5 games against Oakland, Boston, Seattle, TB, and Minny.
The trends show a lot of overs for Pettitte against Toronto but a closer look shows he has not pitched against them since 2003. These trends are bogus for that reason. This only one way that trends can hurt you by not investigating further.
Over is 8-1 in Pettitte's last 9 road starts vs. Blue Jays.
Over is 9-2-1 in Pettitte's last 12 starts vs. Blue Jays.
The curious thing here is that Pettitte had 2 games this year that ended up 3-2 with a win and loss in those games and so Pettitte is 2-0 on the under last 2 games in what 5 years. Since he is pitching better and Litsch is outpitching him then this game in my belief stays under.
Because Toronto likes left handed pitching- I will take the nice numbers and side with them. And yes i saw the service winning 19 games in a row on the opposite side.
Now the question is does anyone see a problem withthe bull pens in this game- therefore could be a 5 inning situation- looking further into the rest factor and look forward to comments you have on the game!
7*New York Yanks / Toronto Under 10 (I actually took Under 11 @ -145 but all can not do that)
5*Toronto +1 1/2 RL
In looking at the stats and trends - it becomes obvious that Pettitte is pitching better these days and that Litsch has been undering well for the whole season and is on top of his game.
Pettitte has given up 1-3-3-1-3 against TB x2, white sox, orioles and Toronto (1).
Litsch has 0-1-4-1-0 Earned runs in the last 5 games against Oakland, Boston, Seattle, TB, and Minny.
The trends show a lot of overs for Pettitte against Toronto but a closer look shows he has not pitched against them since 2003. These trends are bogus for that reason. This only one way that trends can hurt you by not investigating further.
Over is 8-1 in Pettitte's last 9 road starts vs. Blue Jays.
Over is 9-2-1 in Pettitte's last 12 starts vs. Blue Jays.
The curious thing here is that Pettitte had 2 games this year that ended up 3-2 with a win and loss in those games and so Pettitte is 2-0 on the under last 2 games in what 5 years. Since he is pitching better and Litsch is outpitching him then this game in my belief stays under.
Because Toronto likes left handed pitching- I will take the nice numbers and side with them. And yes i saw the service winning 19 games in a row on the opposite side.
Now the question is does anyone see a problem withthe bull pens in this game- therefore could be a 5 inning situation- looking further into the rest factor and look forward to comments you have on the game!
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