Sunday Trends and Indexes 08/05

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, August 5


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHICAGO (12 - 16) at WASHINGTON (11 - 15) - 8/5/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
WASHINGTON is 143-183 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 90-119 ATS (-40.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SACRAMENTO (16 - 10) at INDIANA (17 - 11) - 8/5/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 53-80 ATS (-35.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) against Western conference opponents since 1997.
INDIANA is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
INDIANA is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[rocko]

something i got emailed thought it might be useful

Top 5 second-half over bets

1. Cincinnati Reds (70 percent of second-half games, not including pushes, have played over)

Reds games since the break have only averaged 9.5 runs per game, middle-of-the-road numbers for MLB. Eight of the 14 Cincinnati contests playing over did so by only two runs or less, five by only half a run.

2. Atlanta Braves (67.7%)

Atlanta’s offense has scored 6.4 runs per game since the break, second-most in the NL and third in MLB. The addition of Mark Teixeira can only help in this regard, especially if the added protection in the lineup wakes up Andruw Jones’ sleeping bat.

3. Philadelphia Phillies (63.2%)

The Phillies own the NL’s most productive second-half offense, more than enough to make up for its improved pitching for over bettors. The loss of Chase Utley is huge for the offense, but Pat Burrell’s re-awakening has made up for it so far.

T4. Los Angeles Angels (61.1%)

L.A.’s homerless streak through July got a lot of attention and might have convinced bettors that the Angels’ offense as a whole had ground to a halt. Not so, say the 7.3 runs per game the team has posted over their last nine games, seven of which have played over.

T4. Pittsburgh Pirates (61.1%)

We’ll blame the Bucs' pitching for this one. Pittsburgh has scored more than five runs only four times in 19 second-half games. Opposing teams, however, have topped the oddsmakers’ total by themselves five times over the same span.


Top 5 second-half under bets

1. Minnesota Twins (72.2 percent of second-half games, not including pushes, have played under)

Meet the coldest offense in MLB. The Twins are scoring only 3.4 runs per game in the second half, have topped out at seven runs, and have been held to four of fewer runs 15 times in 20 games. In the meantime, Minny’s pitchers continue to live up to their billing.

2. Toronto Blue Jays (71.4%)

Surprise! The Jays have the stingiest pitching staff in baseball in the second half, with opposing teams scoring only 3.3 runs per game since the break. The youngsters in the rotation have been great, though the pending return of A.J. Burnett will result in one of them being demoted.

3. Colorado Rockies (64.7%)

The Rockies own the NL’s stingiest staff, letting opponents score only 3.7 runs per game in the second half. The offense has slowed in Colorado, meaning Rockies games have played over the total only six times in 20 opportunities.

4. Oakland A’s (63.6%)

As noted in the Friday piece, the Oakland pitching staff has lost some of its luster. If the A’s ever learn to put some runs on the board, look out! Their lineup, however, isn’t promising for over bettors. The under remains the safe play no matter how much the rotation deteriorates.

5. Washington Nationals (63.2%)

The average Washington game involves only 8.4 runs crossing the plate so far this half. That’s kept the Nats below their already-low totals more often than not. The offense has shown signs of life recently, though, scoring six or more runs in six of its last nine games.

[Udog]

MLB
Matchups and Additional Trends


http://www.bettorstalk.com/index.php3?act=menu&page=16


MLB
Weather


http://www.bettorstalk.com/index.php3?act=menu&page=13

[Udog]

something i got emailed thought it might be useful

Thanks, Rocko! PM got that late last night. Check out post #9. Good luck today!

[Udog]

MLB
Write-up


Sunday, August 5


Hot Pitchers
-- James is 3-1, 2.27 in his last six starts. Cook is 3-0, 1.90 in his last three starts.
-- Wainwright is 4-1, 3.09 in his last five starts.
-- Lowry is 3-0, 2.75 in his last three starts.
-- Webb is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (14 IP). Dodgers won 13 of last 17 Penny starts.
-- Cubs won five of last seven Marquis starts.

-- Tata beat Oakland in his first start, allowing two runs in seven IP (106 PT).
-- Royals are 6-3 in last nine Meche starts.
-- Rangers won three of last four McCarthy starts. McGowan has a 1.77 RA in his last three starts.
-- Bedard is 6-0, 2.56 in his last eight starts, all Oriole wins.
-- Carmona is 5-1, 2.18 in his last six starts. Baker is 2-1, 3.29 in his last four starts.
-- Angels are 14-4 in last eighteen Lackey starts. A's are 16-5 in last twenty-one Haren starts.
-- Batista is 4-0, 3.23 in his last five starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Chico is 1-1, 6.04 in his last four starts.
-- Olsen is 0-2, 10.80 in his last couple starts. Albers is 0-3, 8.31 in his last four starts.
-- Gorzelanny is 0-2, 7.04 in his last three starts. Arroyo is 0-2, 7.63 in his last three starts.
-- Suppan is 0-2, 5.17 in his last seven starts. Eaton is 2-3, 7.05 in his last eight starts.
-- Padres lost seven of last eight Germano starts; he started to warm up late last night, when game went into 12th inning, but game ended as soon as he did.
-- Glavine, trying for win #300 tonight, has an 8.28 RA in his last six road starts.

-- Floyd has an 11.32 RA in two starts this season.
-- Mussina has a 5.46 RA in his last five starts.
-- Devil Rays are 1-8 in last nine Sonnanstine starts.
-- Red Sox lost three of last four Beckett starts.

Totals
-- Under is 15-4-1 in last twenty James starts.
-- Over is 5-1 in last six Albers starts.
-- Over is 11-0-1 in Reds' last twelve road games.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cardinals' last six games.
-- Over is 8-0-1 in last nine Eaton starts.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Lowry starts.
-- Under is 8-2-2 in last dozen Webb starts.
-- Four of last five Marquis starts went over the total.

-- Over is 4-1 in White Sox' last five games.
-- Three of last four Mussina starts went over the total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven McCarthy starts.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Bedard starts.
-- Last four Carmona starts all stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Haren starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Beckett starts.


Hot Teams
-- Reds won last two games, scoring 22 runs.
-- Nationals won nine of their last ten home games.
-- Rockies won six of their last nine games. Braves won four of their last six games.
-- Brewers won last two games, both by a single run.
-- Padres won last three games, allowing five runs.
-- Arizona won twelve of its last fourteen games.
-- Mets won four of their last six games. Cubs are 5-3 in their last eight games.

-- Blue Jays are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.
-- Bronx is 12-4 in its last sixteen games.
-- White Sox won last three games, scoring 27 runs.
-- Orioles won eight of their last thirteen games.
-- Twins won five of their last seven games.
-- Red Sox won eleven of their last fifteen games. Mariners won six of their last eight games.
-- A's won four of their last five games.

Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost nine of their last 12 games. Astros lost four of their last six games.
-- Cardinals lost last four games, allowing 35 runs.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Phillies lost four of their last five games.
-- Giants lost three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last seven games.

-- Rangers lost six of their last seven games, allowing 40 runs.
-- Royals lost three of their last four games.
-- Tigers lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Devil Rays lost eleven of their last fourteen games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Angels lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
-- Col-Atl-- Over is 9-4-2 in last fifteen Nauert games.
-- Hst-Fla-- Underdog won five of last six Marsh games.
-- Cin-Pitt-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Gorman games.
-- StL-Wsh-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Runge games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Underdog won six of last seven Reilly games, with last four going over the total.
-- SF-SD-- Favorite won last five Danley games.
-- Az-LA-- Last five Cederstrom games stayed under the total.
-- NY-Chi-- Under is 10-3 in last thirteen Foster games.

-- Chi-Det-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Joyce games.
-- KC-NY-- Underdog is 8-6 in last fourteen Dowdy games.
-- Tex-Tor-- Estabrook is doing just third game behind plate in last 1+ seasons; both previous games stayed under total.
-- Blt-TB-- Home side won six of last eight Reed games.
-- Cle-Min-- Last four Emmel games all went over the total.
-- LA-A's-- Underdog is 6-4 in last ten Bucknor games.
-- Bos-Sea-- Eight of last ten Davis games went over the total.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks guys, hit em hard today!

[rocko]

sorry for reposting same stats get-r-don peace