Thursday Trends and Indexes 07/26

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, July 26th

National League

Pittsburgh at NY Mets, 12:10 EST
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Oliver Perez (L)
Maholm: Pittsburgh 15-5 Over as a road underdog of +150 or more
Perez: Mets 9-2 SU at home vs. Pittsburght

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 12:35 EST
Dave Bush (R) vs. Bobby Livingston (L)
Bush: 13-32 TSR in road starts
Livingston: Cincinnati 43-33 Over when the total is 8.5 to 10

Washington at Philadelphia, 1:05 EST
John Lannan (L) vs. Adam Eaton (R)
Bacsik: Wash 3-9 SU off BB division losses by 2 runs or less
Eaton: 6-1 Over in day games

Atlanta at San Francisco, 7:05 EST TBS
Buddy Carlyle (R) vs. Tim Lincecum (R)
Carlyle: 3-0 TSR, 2.86 ERA L3 starts
Lincecum: SF 2-11 at home after scoring 2 runs or less

San Diego at Houston, 8:05 EST
David Wells (L) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)
Wells: 8-0 Under vs. NL Central
Rodriguez: Houston 3-11 off a blown save

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis, 8:10 EST
Jason Marquis (R) vs. Braden Looper (R)
Marquis: 3-0 TSR, 1.83 ERA vs. St. Louis
Looper: St. Louis 0-4 SU at home vs. Cubs

LA Dodgers at Colorado, 9:05 EST
Brad Penny (R) vs. Rodrigo Lopez (R)
Penny: 9-1 Under Away when the total is 9 to 9.5
Lopez: 7-0 TSR in home starts

Florida at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Byung-Hyun Kim (R) vs. Micah Owings (R)
Kim: Florida 10-2 Over after scoring 1 run or less
Owings: Arizona 33-21 SU off a SU win


American League

Tampa Bay at Baltimore, 12:35 EST
Edwin Jackson (R) vs. Steve Trachsel (R)
Jackson: TB 3-23 SU Away in July
Trachsel: 16-4 TSR when the money line is -100 to -150

Detroit at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 EST
Justin Verlander (R) vs. John Danks (L)
Verlander: Detroit 16-4 SU as a road favorite of -125 or more
Danks: White Sox 12-4 Over after a game with a combined score of 15+ runs

Boston at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Kason Gabbard (L) vs. Cliff Lee (L)
Gabbard: Boston 23-9 SU after BB games with no home runs
Lee: 11-0 Over on Thursday

NY Yankees at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Kei Igawa (L) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (L)
Igawa: Yankees 11-1 SU Away when the total is 11 or higher
De La Rosa: KC 11-30 SU at home vs. lefties

Oakland at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Dan Haren (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)
Haren: Oakland 11-1 SU revenging a 3-game sweep
Weaver: Seattle 14-6 Over at home when the total is 7 to 8.5

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Udog]

CFL
Write-up


Thursday, July 26


Montreal (1-3) @ Toronto (2-2)-- Argos' two wins are by 25,33 points, but they lost 33-10 at Calgary last week. Toronto is 2-0 vs spread at home, losing 24-22 at home to Lions,, and waxing Hamilton 30-5. Argos completed only 14 of 32 passes last week at McMahon, were outgained 480-257. Montreal's losses are by 9,9,2 points; they've been outsacked 19-6 so far this season. Als beat Toronto 33-24 in Eastern Conference finals last fall.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, July 26


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INDIANA (16 - 7) at SACRAMENTO (13 - 9) - 7/26/2007, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
INDIANA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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NEW YORK (10 - 12) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 12) - 7/26/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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CHICAGO (10 - 13) at DETROIT (18 - 5) - 7/26/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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[Udog]

Six-pack for Thursday


-- Aaron Cook threw a 74-pitch complete game win at Coors Wednesday afternoon, lowest pitch total in CG this season.

-- Padres traded reliever Linebrink to Brewers, setting up a trade for a hitter when they acquired three young pitchers from Milwaukee.

-- Pirates have one win since the All-Star break; thats two weeks. They need a series against the Devil Rays.

-- Indians, Red Sox played a second consecutive 1-0 game, but this time Cleveland won, behind Carmona.

-- White Sox have to be concerned about Contreras, who in his last six starts, has allowed 38 runs in 36 innings pitched.

-- Ryan Howard cranked two-run tater in 14th inning, as the Phillies stayed hot with extra inning win vs Washington.

[Udog]

Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts from Florida.....


13) "AAU" stands for Amateur Athletic Union, but this week in Orlando, as three national-level summer basketball events take place, you'd be hard-pressed to find someone who is in it just for the true joy of playing. Sports is big business now.

12) Kids are amateur athletes, but the reality is they're playing for a college basketball scholarship, worth $100,000+; they're playing each game in front of college hoop coaches, some of whom make $1M a year, most of whom make over $100,000 a season, so no amateurs there.

11) It cost each AAU team $600 to play in a tournament, and there are 72 teams in 16/Showcase, 140 in 17/under Showcase and 166 more in 17/under national championships. That is a total of 378 teams playing $600 a pop, for total of $226,800 in the AAU coffers, so calling them amateur is an oxymoron, in there with "jumbo shrimp" and "military intelligence". .

Thats $226,800, for less than two weeks of tournaments, and before a hot dog, soda or t-shirt is sold.

10) College basketball coaches have to pay $200 for a packet of information on kids in the tournaments; without this info, they really might as well not be here. We figured that 180 of these packets were sold (intentionally being conservative) so that would be another $36,000 in the bank.

9) AAU has national basketball tournaments in ages from 8 all the way to senior year in high school; they also have other sports, like girls' softball, boys' baseball, and soccer for both. Am guessing the basketball events for the older kids are the most profitable, but doubt any of them actually lose money.

8) I am told the Disney Corporation owns AAU, so even if a rental fee for The Milk House is charged, its the right hand of a company paying the left. Renting the high schools and the Champions' Sports Facility is an expense, but referees are in schools/tryouts when they're here, eliminating a big expense.

7) Former Giants' GM George Young used to say: "Its always about the money......", and it seems to be more true every day.

Spectators have to pay $18 for a pass to 16/Showcase, $26 to the 17/showcase and $43 for national championships (only a scrupulous Disney employee told us it was much cheaper to buy an annual pass for $67)- there's more money to be made.

6) Seems to me that the only difference between pro sports and "amateur" sports is that in the pros, athletes are getting paid. In amateur sports, they're only ones who aren't getting paid. There's big, big money in amateur sports, and that has been perfectly obvious all week here in Orlando.

Elsewhere in the world, at the halfway point of our trip........
5) Congrats to former Siena head coach and Dayton assistant Bob Beyer on being named to Stan Van Gundy's staff here in Orlando with the Magic. Coach Beyer had previously been an assistant with the Toronto Raptors.

4) Rick Pitino passed up Opening Day at Saratoga, and was at Milk House all day, until last game ended. He spent one game seated next to Billy Donovan, as the two watched a Louisiana Select game, along with just about every SEC coach.

3) Tean Final from Chester, PA had uniforms with Maximize! on back of every jersey, under the number. A unique twist.

2) West Virginia Select coach Arkell Bruce wins award for the quietest basketball coach ever; after watching game and half of the Select last couple days, I don't think he stood up once when the clock was running. One coach seated near me said seeing a coach act like that "....was refreshing."

1) Slickest brochure award goes to the Shining Star-Callahan team, which gave out color brochures highlighting careers of the kids on that team. Very nicely done. Of course, it doesn't help unless the kids are good players, but they are slick.

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, hope they're all winners tonight!

[Kaptain]

Points of Interest

07/27/07
03:35 AM Injuries
MLB
Friday: Mets CF Carlos Beltran (.263; abdominal) is doubtful.

07/27/07
03:34 AM Injuries
MLB
Friday: Marlins SS Hanley Ramirez (.336; shoulder) is questionable; Brewers C Johnny Estrada (.277; hamstring) is questionable.
07/27/07

03:33 AM Injuries
MLB
Friday: Cubs 2B Mark DeRosa (.284; hamstring) is questionable; Reds C David Ross (.196; hand) is doubtful.

07/27/07
03:33 AM Injuries
MLB
Friday: Red Sox RF JD Drew (.247; rest) is questionable; Braves 3B Chipper Jones (.344; groin) is probable.

07/27/07
03:31 AM Injuries
MLB
Friday: Tigers DH Gary Sheffield (.298; shoulder) and SS Carlos Guillen (.309; calf) are questionable.


07/27/07
03:13 AM Injuries
MLB
Dodgers SP Derek Lowe (groin) said he could make his next start.

7/27/07
03:11 AM News Alert
MLB
Braves are reportedly offering Jarrod Saltalmacchia, Matt Harrison and Elvis Andrus to the Rangers for Mark Teixeira

07/27/07
03:12 AM Info Alert
MLB
The Rockies have targeted Dan Wheeler in trade talks according to reports.