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This are my finialized plays for this weeks NCAA Football card, I will bump them up daily........
Thursday, September 4, 2003
PASS
Friday, September 5, 2003
1 STAR: FRESNO STATE (+8.5) OVER Oregon State
A small play here on the home dog. There has been a huge homefield advantage in the past three meetings in this series that started in 1999. The home team has won and covered each game, all by 20 points or more. Fresno State coach Pat Hill loves the role of the underdog and is 8-2 against the spread in that role the last ten chances including 2-0 at home in that role since 2001. Take the home dog and the points here!
Saturday, September 6, 2003
5 STAR: Colorado State (+2.5) OVER CALIFORNIA
I look for the Rams to bounce back strong today after a tough loss to their in state rival CU. The Rams excel in the role of an underdog, where they are 36-19 against the spread since 1992. The Rams are also 30-15 against the spread in road games after playing a game as a favorite since 1992 and they are also 20-8 against the spread when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992. The Bears have not been a money maker in the role of a favorite, they are only 14-28 against the spread as a favorite since 1992. Also, note that the dog in Colorado State games has posted a 25-12 record against the spread the past three seasons. Take the Rams here.
3 STAR: Ucla (+3) OVER COLORADO
The Buffalos got a big win against Colorado State last week, and they are in for another big test here. UCLA has a new coach in Karl Dorrell, who takes on his first head coaching assignment. Dorrell’s challenge should be eased by the return of 15 starters from the 8-5 team of 2002. Almost all of the skill positions are back on offense, so the Bruins shouldn’t miss a beat on that side of the ball. They should be able to move the ball with great success against a Colorado defense that allowed 585 total yards to the Rams last week. The Buffs are only 10-23 against the spread after allowing 8 or more passing yards per attempt in their last game since 1992. This is the first game for UCLA, and it is on the road, but the Bruins are 6-0 against the spread in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Bruins are 7-2-1 against the spread as an underdog since 2000 and they were 6-1 against the spread on the road last season. Also, the road team is 19-7-1 in the last 27 regular season UCLA games. Look for the Bruins to pull the upset here!
2 STAR: FLORIDA STATE (-14.5) OVER Maryland
This match up has been dominated by Florida State in the past, and I expect that to continue again in this match up. Maryland is coming off of an upset road loss at Northern Illinois last Thursday, while Florida State was very impressive in winning at North Carolina 37-0 on Saturday. The Maryland offense especially looked out of sync, and I expect them to struggle against this excellent Seminole defense that returns 10 starters from last years unit. Florida State is 12-4 against the spread in home games after a win by 35 or more points since 1992, 12-4 against the spread in home games after allowing 9 points
or less last game since 1992 and 29-11 against the spread in home games after out gaining an opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.Maryland is only 1-5 against the spread in road games after playing a game as a road favorite since 1992 and they are 6-16 against the spread as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992. Also, Florida State is 6-0 against the spread at home against Maryland since 1992. Seminoles will roll in this one!
2 STAR: Nevada (+22) OVER OREGON
This is a sandwich game for the Ducks who had a big win at Mississippi State last week, and play PAC 10 foe Arizona next week. It might be tough for them to get up for the Wolfpack here. Nevada was an impressive 8-4 against the spread last season, and they return 7 offensive starters, as well as 10 on the defensive side. The Wolfpack has covered the last two trips that they have made to the Pacific Northwest against Washington State and Oregon, and they 5-1 against the spread in September games over the last 3 seasons. The Ducks put up 42 points against Mississippi State last week, but their defense allowed 34 points to a below average Bulldog offense. I look for the Wolfpack to be able to put some point on the board against the Ducks, and Nevada is an outstanding 11-2 against the spread when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons, and I think that they are capable of putting up that amount against Oregon here. Oregon is only 1-9 against the spread after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more since 1992, 1-5 against the spread in home games after playing a game as a favorite over the last 3 seasons and only 4-11 versus the number in their last 15 home games. Back the Pack here!
2 STAR: Boston College (+9.5) OVER PENN STATE
This is way too many points to give to a team that can win this game straight up. Penn State did not look good on offense or defense against Temple, and they will be up against a much stiffer test here against BC. The Eagles had some costly turnovers against Wake Forest last week and let a 9 point lead get away from them last week. I look for the Eagles to be effective against PSU this week and keep this one close.
1 STAR: NORTHWESTERN (+7.5) OVER Air Force
This is a big revenge game for the Wildcats who got hammered last year at Air Force to the tune of 52-3. Seventeen starters return from that team, and they will be fired up to get their chance at redemption. The Wildcats are actually 2-1 against the spread against Air Force in the last three meetings, and I look for them to keep this one real close!
2003 NCAA FOOTBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 0-1 (-5.5 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 3-5 (-7.5 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 1-0 (+2.0 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 2-1 (+0.9 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 6-7 (-10.1 UNITS)
A $100 player would be down $1010.00
Good luck,
John
EZWINNERS.com
Thursday, September 4, 2003
PASS
Friday, September 5, 2003
1 STAR: FRESNO STATE (+8.5) OVER Oregon State
A small play here on the home dog. There has been a huge homefield advantage in the past three meetings in this series that started in 1999. The home team has won and covered each game, all by 20 points or more. Fresno State coach Pat Hill loves the role of the underdog and is 8-2 against the spread in that role the last ten chances including 2-0 at home in that role since 2001. Take the home dog and the points here!
Saturday, September 6, 2003
5 STAR: Colorado State (+2.5) OVER CALIFORNIA
I look for the Rams to bounce back strong today after a tough loss to their in state rival CU. The Rams excel in the role of an underdog, where they are 36-19 against the spread since 1992. The Rams are also 30-15 against the spread in road games after playing a game as a favorite since 1992 and they are also 20-8 against the spread when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992. The Bears have not been a money maker in the role of a favorite, they are only 14-28 against the spread as a favorite since 1992. Also, note that the dog in Colorado State games has posted a 25-12 record against the spread the past three seasons. Take the Rams here.
3 STAR: Ucla (+3) OVER COLORADO
The Buffalos got a big win against Colorado State last week, and they are in for another big test here. UCLA has a new coach in Karl Dorrell, who takes on his first head coaching assignment. Dorrell’s challenge should be eased by the return of 15 starters from the 8-5 team of 2002. Almost all of the skill positions are back on offense, so the Bruins shouldn’t miss a beat on that side of the ball. They should be able to move the ball with great success against a Colorado defense that allowed 585 total yards to the Rams last week. The Buffs are only 10-23 against the spread after allowing 8 or more passing yards per attempt in their last game since 1992. This is the first game for UCLA, and it is on the road, but the Bruins are 6-0 against the spread in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Bruins are 7-2-1 against the spread as an underdog since 2000 and they were 6-1 against the spread on the road last season. Also, the road team is 19-7-1 in the last 27 regular season UCLA games. Look for the Bruins to pull the upset here!
2 STAR: FLORIDA STATE (-14.5) OVER Maryland
This match up has been dominated by Florida State in the past, and I expect that to continue again in this match up. Maryland is coming off of an upset road loss at Northern Illinois last Thursday, while Florida State was very impressive in winning at North Carolina 37-0 on Saturday. The Maryland offense especially looked out of sync, and I expect them to struggle against this excellent Seminole defense that returns 10 starters from last years unit. Florida State is 12-4 against the spread in home games after a win by 35 or more points since 1992, 12-4 against the spread in home games after allowing 9 points
or less last game since 1992 and 29-11 against the spread in home games after out gaining an opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game since 1992.Maryland is only 1-5 against the spread in road games after playing a game as a road favorite since 1992 and they are 6-16 against the spread as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992. Also, Florida State is 6-0 against the spread at home against Maryland since 1992. Seminoles will roll in this one!
2 STAR: Nevada (+22) OVER OREGON
This is a sandwich game for the Ducks who had a big win at Mississippi State last week, and play PAC 10 foe Arizona next week. It might be tough for them to get up for the Wolfpack here. Nevada was an impressive 8-4 against the spread last season, and they return 7 offensive starters, as well as 10 on the defensive side. The Wolfpack has covered the last two trips that they have made to the Pacific Northwest against Washington State and Oregon, and they 5-1 against the spread in September games over the last 3 seasons. The Ducks put up 42 points against Mississippi State last week, but their defense allowed 34 points to a below average Bulldog offense. I look for the Wolfpack to be able to put some point on the board against the Ducks, and Nevada is an outstanding 11-2 against the spread when they score 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons, and I think that they are capable of putting up that amount against Oregon here. Oregon is only 1-9 against the spread after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more since 1992, 1-5 against the spread in home games after playing a game as a favorite over the last 3 seasons and only 4-11 versus the number in their last 15 home games. Back the Pack here!
2 STAR: Boston College (+9.5) OVER PENN STATE
This is way too many points to give to a team that can win this game straight up. Penn State did not look good on offense or defense against Temple, and they will be up against a much stiffer test here against BC. The Eagles had some costly turnovers against Wake Forest last week and let a 9 point lead get away from them last week. I look for the Eagles to be effective against PSU this week and keep this one close.
1 STAR: NORTHWESTERN (+7.5) OVER Air Force
This is a big revenge game for the Wildcats who got hammered last year at Air Force to the tune of 52-3. Seventeen starters return from that team, and they will be fired up to get their chance at redemption. The Wildcats are actually 2-1 against the spread against Air Force in the last three meetings, and I look for them to keep this one real close!
2003 NCAA FOOTBALL RECORD
5 STAR RECORD 0-1 (-5.5 UNITS)
3 STAR RECORD 3-5 (-7.5 UNITS)
2 STAR RECORD 1-0 (+2.0 UNITS)
1 STAR RECORD 2-1 (+0.9 UNITS)
OVERALL RECORD 6-7 (-10.1 UNITS)
A $100 player would be down $1010.00
Good luck,
John
EZWINNERS.com
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