Saturday Trends and Indexes 07/14

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, July 14

Good Luck on day #195 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Saturday

-- Matt Holliday's first game after Home Run Derby: four strikeouts and a home run. Uh-oh.

-- A's minor league system is getting thin; four of the nine guys who started at AAA Sacramento Friday are catchers or converted catchers. More slow guys. Terrific.

-- Arizona RF Jeff Salazar made a great catch Friday night, robbing Giles of a home run by bringing ball back in from over the rightfield fence. Tremendous play.

-- San Francisco couldn't get Russell Martin out Friday, in 9-1 Dodger win. Martin was on base five times in five tries.

-- Giant rookie Fred Lewis is an impressive prospect; so far this season, he is 4-for-4 as a pinch-hitter.

-- Barry Bonds kills the Giants in leftfield; he has zero range so unless a ball is hit right at him, it drops in. Announcers on Giant games are choosing to ignore it, at least on the air.

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[pm530]

Saturday's List of 13: College football knowledge..........

It won't be long before Saturday afternoons will be filled with tailgating, marching bands and pigskin, so here is some info to get you ready for the season..............

13) If you're planning ahead,. the first bowl game is out in San Diego on December 20 (opposite an NFL Network game with Rams and Steelers), 9pm on ESPN. The Poinsettia Bowl.

12) Nothing is a kick in teeth to a football program like when a coach leaves his job for team in the same league. Tulsa's new coach, Todd Graham, left Rice after only one year, for league rival Tulsa. Rice now has third coach in last three seasons, and also has stigma of being a bad job.

11) Tom O'Brien left Boston College for NC State, also in the same league; O'Brien's Wolfpack goes back to Chestnut Hill on September 8. Wolfpack's commitment to sports is greater than BC's, and by a lot, so this wasn't as difficult a decision for O'Brien, who had worked wonders with the Eagles.

10) Vince Dooley's son Derek is now head coach at Louisiana Tech. Always coaching Bulldogs, those Dooleys.

9) No transfer is under the pressure that Nebraska QB Keller is under, after transferring from Arizona State with only a year of eligibility left. That whole mess wound up costing Arizona State coach Koetter his job (he is now offensive coordinator for the Dolphins) and might cost Bill Callahan his, if Keller is not the player he was in Tempe two years ago.

8) It is inexcusable for Michigan to be playing Appalachian State in its first game; you're telling me a team that draws full house of 105,000+ every game couldnt pay MAC or Sun Belt team to show up? Baloney. If I voted in the polls, any game against a I-AA foe wound count as a loss in my book.

7) Here is how to make a schedule; it might not be the #1 way to win a national title, but UCLA's first six games, with not a single bye in between, are: @ Stanford, home against BYU, @ Utah, home vs Washington, at Oregon State, home vs Notre Dame. Now that is a fair test of a team's ability.

6) Minnesota is switching from ground game to the spread, and triggerman might be son of the new coach, freshman QB Brewster. Likewise, Cody Hawkins might be under center out in Boulder for Colorado. Young Brewster was considered to be a blue-chip recruit, but lot of pressure for a kid to bear.

5) Dennis Erickson has now been head coach at three of ten schools in Pac-10. He also has worked at Wyoming, twice at Idaho, the Seahawks and 49ers in NFL, in addition to Oregon State, Washington State and now Arizona State, so his wife has to be an expert packer by now, she's had the practice.

4) Baylor QB Michael Machen will be 26 on October 5, so he is older than many QBs in NFL. Too bad Baylor couldn't ask for a two-year transfer to Big 12 North- they could win some to revitalize their program. Big 12 South is extremely difficult.

3) Arkansas' Darren McFadden and Herschel Walker are only SEC running backs to rush for 1,000+ yards in both freshman and sophomore years, thats how good McFadden has been.

2) Only four Heisman Trophy runner-ups won the next year, though, so that piece of history works against McFadden.

1) The national title game is 18 days after the Poinsettia Bowl, and it is in New Orleans this time. 8pm on FOX. Seems like a long time from now, but time flies when you're having fun.

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 14

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COLUMBUS (9 - 9) at GEORGIA (15 - 2) - 7/14/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
GEORGIA is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-2 against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 3-1 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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CHICAGO (13 - 4) at SAN JOSE (14 - 3) - 7/14/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN JOSE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
SAN JOSE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
SAN JOSE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday this season.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
CHICAGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-0 against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Saturday, July 14

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Columbus @ Georgia-- Home team won both meetings in regular season, with Columbus handing Force one of its two losses back in Week 5 (62-61, +4.5), then losing in Duluth, 54-33 in Week 14 (+9). Force allowed 62,57 in its two losses; Predators scored 57+ points in only one of last seven games, but they're on roll, with upset wins at Tampa, Dallas after dismal 1-4 finish to its regular season. Georgia won its last five games, by 14,21,17,11,26 points. Fifth straight week on the road for Columbus.


Chicago @ San Jose-- Rush beat San Jose 48-45 back in Week 2 (-1) despite being outgained 334-115 (they had three takeaways and Cats committed 12 penalties). Chicago held LA scoreless in second half last week, an unusual AFL event; they've won four games in row, by 23,9,27,32 points, and are underdog for second time all season (48-52 at Dallas, +4). San Jose has won 11 games in a row (8-2-1 vs spread); they were tied at half last week with Colorado, allowed 404 total yards plus 119 yards in kick returns, but still won and advanced here.

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Betting Trends

AFL


Saturday, July 14

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Betting Trends
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COLUMBUS
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Columbus is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games on the road
Columbus is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Georgia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 6 games when playing Georgia

GEORGIA
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Georgia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 6 games when playing Columbus


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CHICAGO
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
Chicago is 10-2-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Chicago is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing San Jose

SAN JOSE
San Jose is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 10 games
San Jose is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of San Jose's last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games at home
San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
San Jose is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing Chicago


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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 14

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MONTREAL (0 - 2) at HAMILTON (0 - 2) - 7/14/2007, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 4-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up


Saturday, July 14

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Montreal (0-2) @ Hamilton (0-2) -- Huge game for Als, after Cats got smoked in first two games, 37-9 in Calgary, 30-5 at home by Toronto. Montreal ran for only 42 yards at Winnipeg last week, after Edmonton had run ball for 166 (8.3 yds/carry) against the Bombers in the opener. QB controversy in Hamilton, as Maas is shaky, but Chang won't be answer either. Alouette QBs have been sacked 15 times in two games, which is terrible protection.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Betting Trends

CFL

Saturday, July 14

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CFL Betting Trends
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MONTREAL
Montreal is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games
Montreal is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
Montreal is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Montreal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton

HAMILTON
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Hamilton is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 6 games
Hamilton is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Hamilton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Hamilton's last 6 games at home
Hamilton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
Hamilton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal

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[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Saturday, July 14

Hot Pitchers
-- Phillies won twelve of last sixteen Hamels starts.
-- Lilly is 4-0, 3.06 in five starts since he got tossed out a game on ESPN after 10 pitches, for trying to drill the batter. Astros won five of last six Oswalt starts, scoring 38 runs.
-- Dodgers are 10-0 with Lowe if they score four or more runs.
-- Chico is 1-0, 0.47 in his last three starts.
-- Milwaukee is 10-3 in last thirteen Sheets starts.
-- Atlanta is 9-0 with James if they give him four or more runs. Gorzelanny is 3-0, 3.29 in his last four starts.
-- Glavine is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three home starts.
-- Young is 4-0, 1.10 in his last nine starts.

-- Vazquez is 3-0, 1.69 in his last four starts.
-- Indians are 11-1 in Sabathia home starts. Royals are 9-4 with Meche if they score three or more runs.
-- Matsuzaka is 3-3, 2.30 in his last seven starts. Toronto is 6-1 if it gives McGowan more than three runs to work with.
-- Bronx won eight of last ten Wang starts; in his last couple of starts, he threw 13.1 scoreless innings.
-- Blanton is 4-2, 2.23 in his last eight starts.
-- Rangers won Loe's last five starts (4-0, 1.71). Angels are 11-3 in Lackey's last fourteen starts.
-- Rogers is 3-0, 1.56 in his first three starts this year. Batista has a 2.84 RA in his last three starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Maroth is 0-1, 5.87 in three starts for the Cardinals.
-- Morris is 0-2, 8.34 in his last four starts, ever since he tossed a 110-pitch complete gane against the Blue Jays.
-- Mitre is 1-2, 5.12 in his last five starts.
-- Lopez is 1-2, 11.20 in his last three starts.
-- Cincinnati lost last six Belisle starts (0-2, 7.71).
-- Hernandez is 0-3, 6.21 in his last seven starts.

-- Cabrera is 1-4, 5.84 in his last seven starts.
-- Tampa Bay lost last five Sonnanstine starts (0-3, 5.81).
-- Silva is 1-2, 8.31 in his last three starts.


Totals
-- Over is 10-3 in Phillies' last thirteen home games.
-- Six of last eight games at Wrigley went over the total.
-- Over is 12-4 in Dodgers' last sixteen games.
-- Eight of last nine Florida home games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Colorado road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Cincinnati road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last eleven Arizona home games went over the total.

-- Under is 9-2-1 in last twelve White Sox road games.
-- Cleveland games
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Boston games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten games at Tampa Bay.
-- Five of last six Oakland road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Detroit road games.
-- Over is 6-3-1 in Angels' last ten home games.


Hot Teams
-- Cubs won six of their last seven home games.
-- Reds won five of last six games, but they're 5-11 in their last sixteen road games.
-- Braves won five of their last six games. Pirates are 3-10 in last thirteen road games.
-- Rockies won six of last seven games, but are 2-9 in their last 11 on road; home side is 17-3 in their last twenty games overall.
-- Visitor is 7-0 in Dodger-Giant series this season.

-- White Sox won seven of their last nine road games.
-- Indians won nine of their last 11 home games. Royals are 9-5 in their last fourteen games.
-- Red Sox won nine of their last twelve home games.
-- Bronx won six of its last nine games, but is 2-8 in its last ten games on the road.
-- Twins are 15-7 in their last twenty-two home games.
-- Detroit won six of last seven games overall, are 12-3 in its last 15 games on foreign soil. Seattle won five of last seven games.
-- Rangers are 12-7 in their last nineteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros are 5-20 in their last twenty-five road games.
-- Phillies lost seven of their last eleven games. Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Marlins lost fourteen of last nineteen home games, Nats lost seven of their last ten road contests.
-- Mets lost seven of their last ten games, are 6-2 in last eight home contests.
-- Brewers lost six of last seven games, but are 8-2 in last nine at Miller Park.
-- Arizona lost five of six and eight of last ten games. Padres lost four of their last five games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last six games.

-- Orioles lost eleven of their last fifteen home games.
-- Indians lost four of their last six games.
-- Toronto is 6-9 in its last fifteen road games.
-- Devil Rays lost fourteen of their last sixteen games.
-- A's lost six of their last seven games.
-- Angels are 5-8 in their last thirteen games.


Umpires
-- StL-Phil-- Seven of last eight Joyce games went over total.
-- Hst-Chi-- Home side is 16-5 in last 21 Vanover games.
-- LA-SF-- Favorite won eight of last nine Gorman games, with five of his last six staying under total.
-- Wsh-Fla-- Eight of eleven Dowdy games went over the total.
-- Col-Mil-- Underdog is 4-3 in last seven Guccione games.
-- Pitt-Atl-- Favorite won four of last five Schrieber games.
-- Cin-NY-- Eight of last eleven Wegner games went over total.
-- SD-Az-- Seven of last nine Cuzzi games went over total.

-- Chi-Balt-- Five of last seven Scott games went over the total.
-- KC-Clev-- Favorite won five of last six Carlson games.
-- Tor-Bos-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Bell games.
-- NY-TB-- Underdog is 7-5 in last twelve Hickox games.
-- A's-Min-- Five of last seven TWelke games went over total.
-- Tex-LAA-- Ten of last twelve Reed games stayed under total.
-- Det-Sea-- Eight of last ten Froemming games went over total.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB

Saturday, July 14

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Tips and Trends
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Dodgers at San Francisco Giants (FOX | 3:55 PM ET)

Los Angeles starter Brad Penny has a 3-2 record and 3.59 ERA in 15 career outings against San Francisco. He allowed three runs and seven hits in six innings of work in his last start versus the Dodgers. SLIGHT EDGE: DODGERS
Penny has been nearly unbeatable on the road this season, posting a 6-1 record and 2.70 ERA in eight starts. The Dodgers have outscored opponents 33-6 over his last four starts – all victories – away from Dodger Stadium. BIG EDGE: DODGERS
Giants right-hander Matt Morris has enjoyed great success at home, going 3-1 with a 2.60 ERA in eight starts. His 2.60 ERA at AT&T Park is nearly two runs lower than his 4.45 ERA on the road. EDGE: GIANTS & UNDER
Morris is 4-5 with a 5.24 ERA in 14 career outings against Los Angeles, allowing 94 hits in 79 innings of work. SLIGHT EDGE: DODGERS & OVER
The Dodgers are 0-8 in their last eight Saturday games.



Houston Astros at Chicago Cubs (FOX | 3:55 PM ET)

Houston ace Roy Oswalt is just a game over .500 against Chicago in his career, posting a 10-9 record and 3.77 ERA in 22 appearances. SLIGHT EDGE: ASTROS
The Astros have won five of Oswalt’s last six starts, outscoring opponents 36-17 over those five victories. BIG EDGE: ASTROS
Chicago starter Ted Lilly allowed three runs and six hits over six innings of work in his last start versus Houston. The left-hander is 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA in two starts against them in his career. SLIGHT EDGE: OVER
Lilly picked up three straight victories going into the All-Star break, tossing 20 1/3 innings and allowing just six earned runs. EDGE: CUBS
The UNDER is 10-4-1 in the Astros last 15 road games versus a left-handed starter.



Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

Chicago starter Javier Vazquez has picked up back-to-back complete game victories, including a 5-1 win over Baltimore on July 3. The right-hander allowed just one run and four hits, while striking out seven and walking none in a very impressive outing. EDGE: WHITE SOX
Vazquez is 1-2 with a 7.15 ERA in four career starts at Camden Yards. He’s allowed 18 earned runs and 26 hits in 22 2/3 innings aganst them. EDGE: ORIOLES & OVER
Baltimore’s Daniel Cabrera is 2-3 with a 4.96 ERA in six career starts against Chicago. He’s issued 22 walks in just 32 2/3 innings of work versus the White Sox. SLIGHT EDGE: WHITE SOX
The Orioles have lost Cabrera’s last three home starts, surrendering 16 runs over his last 19 innings at Camden Yards. EDGE: WHITE SOX
The White Sox are 2-8 in Vazquez’s last 10 starts as an underdog.



Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (7:05 PM ET)

Toronto’s Dustin McGowan has thrown three scoreless innings in his career against Boston. SLIGHT EDGE: BLUE JAYS
McGowan is searching for just his second victory under the lights this season, compared to a perfect 4-0 record and 2.34 ERA in five daytime starts. EDGE: RED SOX
After posting six consecutive quality starts, Boston’s Daisuke Matsuzaka was knocked around for six runs and 10 hits in just five innings against Detroit in his last start. SLIGHT EDGE: RED SOX
Matsuzaka is an even 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA with a 2.08 ERA in two starts against the Blue Jays this season. He’s struck out 18 batters and walked six over 13 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: RED SOX & UNDER
The Blue Jays are 7-2 in their last nine Saturday games.



Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins (7:10 PM ET)

Oakland starter Joe Blanton picked up a shutout victory in his last start against Minnesota and is 3-2 with a 4.32 ERA in his career versus the Twins. SLIGHT EDGE: A’S
Blanton allowed a season-high 12 hits in a 7-3 loss in his last start to Seattle. The Athletics have lost three of his last four starts overall. SLIGHT EDGE: TWINS
Minnesota’s Carlos Silva is an even 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA in eight career outings against Oakland. He’s walked just five Athletics hitters in 51 innings of work. SLIGHT EDGE: TWINS & UNDER
Silva has give up five earned runs in each of his last three starts and surrendered five home runs over that span. EDGE: OVER
The OVER is 4-1 in the Athletics last five games as a road favorite.



Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers (7:10 PM ET)

Colorado’s Rodrigo Lopez has compiled a 1-0 record and 3.75 ERA in two career starts against Milwaukee. SLIGHT EDGE: ROCKIES
Lopez has enjoyed little success on the road in just four starts, going 0-2 with a 7.06 ERA. The Rockies have lost three of his four starts away from Coors Field. EDGE: BREWERS
Milwaukee right-hander Ben Sheets is 4-3 with a 4.73 ERA in seven career starts against Colorado. The right-hander has struck out 46 batters in 45 2/3 innings versus the Rockies. SLIGHT EDGE: BREWERS
Sheets is a disappointing 25-33 in 76 career starts after the All-Star break. SLIGHT EDGE: ROCKIES
The Rockies are 9-1 in their last 10 Saturday games.



San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

San Diego ace Jake Peavy is an even 8-8 with a 5.20 ERA in 19 career starts against Arizona. He’s 1-0 with a 2.92 ERA in two starts versus the Diamondbacks this season. SLIGHT EDGE: PADRES
Peavy is a dominant 4-0 with a 0.94 ERA in seven starts away from Petco Park in 2007, allowing just five earned runs and 26 hits in 48 innings. BIG EDGE: PADRES
Arizona starter Livan Hernandez is a very impressive 10-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 19 career starts against San Diego. He picked up a 7-4 home victory over the Padres on April 26, surrendering three runs and four hits over seven innings. EDGE: D-BACKS
Hernandez has been spectacular during July in his career, posting a 28-15 record and 3.75 ERA in 55 starts. EDGE: D-BACKS
The Padres are 23-50 in the last 73 meetings in Arizona.



Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners (10:05 PM ET)

Detroit left-hander Kenny Rogers has an unblemished 3-0 record with a 1.04 ERA in his three starts in 2007. EDGE: TIGERS
Rogers is 10-11 with a 4.40 ERA in 51 career outings against the Mariners. He allowed four runs and eight hits in seven innings of work versus Seattle last season in a no-decision effort. SLIGHT EDGE: MARINERS
Seattle starter Miguel Batista has a 0-2 record and 4.30 ERA in seven career outings versus Detroit. He’s walked just six batters and struck out 21 batters in 23 innings of work against the Tigers. SLIGHT EDGE: TIGERS
Batista has pitched extremely well over his last six starts, allowing nine earned runs over that span. EDGE: MARINERS & UNDER
The Tigers are 21-4 in Rogers’ last 25 starts as a favorite.


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[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Saturday, July 14

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National League

St. Louis at Philadelphia, 3:55 ET FOX
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Cole Hamels (L)
Maroth: 8-2 TSR in road games
Hamels: Phi 19-10 Over in day games

Houston at Chicago Cubs, 3:55 ET FOX
Roy Oswalt (R) vs. Ted Lilly (L)
Oswalt: Hou 18-36 as a road underdog of +100 to +125
Lilly: 3-0 TSR, 2.66 ERA L3 starts

LA Dodgers at San Francisco, 3:55 ET FOX
Brad Penny (R) vs. Matt Morris (R)
Penny: 26-9 Over when the total is 7 to 8.5
Morris: 8-1 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5

Washington at Florida, 7:05 ET
Matt Chico (L) vs. Sergio Mitre (R)
Chico: 9-5 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175
Mitre: 1-9 TSR in home games

Colorado at Milwaukee, 7:05 ET
Rodrigo Lopez (R) vs. Ben Sheets (R)
Lopez: Col 10-26 Away vs. NL Central
Sheets: Mil 20-6 at home vs. NL West

Pittsburgh at Atlanta, 7:05 ET
Tom Gorzelanny (L) vs. Chuck James (L)
Gorzelanny: Pit 18-7 Under vs. lefties
James: Atl 28-5 Over in July

Cincinnati at NY Mets, 7:30 ET
Matt Belisle (R) vs. Tom Glavine (L)
Belisle: Cin 15-6 Under after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7
Glavine: 10-0 TSR at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

San Diego at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Chris Young (R) vs. Livan Hernandez (R)
Young: 3-0 TSR, 0.90 ERA L3 starts
Hernandez: Ari 2-7 in July


American League

Chicago White Sox at Baltimore, 7:05 ET WGN
Javier Vazquez (R) vs. Daniel Cabrera (R)
Vazquez: 14-5 Over working on 5 or 6 days rest
Cabrera: 13-2 Over on Saturday

Kansas City at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Gil Meche (R) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
Meche: 0-7 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Sabathia: Cle 29-9 as a home favorite of -110 or higher

Toronto at Boston, 7:05 ET
Dustin McGowan (R) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
McGowan: Tor 11-3 Over on Saturday
Matsuzaka: Bos 14-2 Over at home vs. division opponents

NY Yankees at Tampa Bay, 7:10 ET
Chien-Ming Wang (R) vs. Andy Sonnanstine (R)
Wang: 8-1 TSR in July
Sonnanstine: TB 9-0 Over at home vs. division opponents

Oakland at Minnesota, 7:10 ET
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Carlos Silva (R)
Blanton: 11-2 Under after a game where he did not walk a batter
Silva: Min 8-0 Over at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Texas at LA Angels, 9:05 ET
Kameron Loe (R) vs. John Lackey (R)
Loe: 17-5 Under as an underdog
Lackey: 27-10 TSR working on 5 or 6 days rest

Detroit at Seattle, 10:05 ET
Kenny Rogers (L) vs. Miguel Batista (R)
Rogers: 25-2 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Batista: 20-10 Over as an underdog

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[Udog]

Baseball Today - July 14


SCOREBOARD

Saturday, July 14

Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EDT). The Royals' Gil Meche starts against fellow All-Star C.C. Sabathia.

STARS Friday

-Brandon Phillips, Reds, hit a first-inning grand slam and drove in six runs to help Cincinnati beat the New York Mets 8-4.

-Carlos Zambrano, Cubs, limited Houston to three hits in 6 2-3 innings and went 2-for-3 with an RBI and a run in Chicago's 6-0 victory.

-Ryan Garko, Indians, singled home the winning run in the ninth inning to push Cleveland past Kansas City, 5-4.

-Casey Kotchman, Angels, hit a game-ending single in the ninth inning in Los Angeles' 2-1 victory over Texas.

-Erik Bedard, Orioles, pitched seven innings of three-hit ball and struck out seven to help Baltimore beat the Chicago White Sox 2-0.

-Johan Santana, Twins, struck out eight in seven scoreless innings to lead Minnesota over Oakland, 5-3.

-Tim Hudson, Braves, gave up five hits in seven scoreless innings in Atlanta's 9-1 victory over Pittsburgh.

SECOND-HALF STAR

Johan Santana won his fifth straight start, leading Minnesota to a 5-3 victory over Oakland on Friday night. Santana is 41-4 with a major league-leading 427 strikeouts in games played after the All-Star break since 2003. The left-hander didn't allow a runner past first base and retired 10 of the last 11 batters he faced to drop his ERA to 2.60.

STAVED OFF

Philadelphia routed St. Louis 13-3 on Friday night to avoid the 10,000th loss in franchise history. Chase Utley had a homer, four hits and three RBIs, and Greg Dobbs also had four hits for the Phillies, who had a season-high 23.

STRONG IN DEFEAT

Mark Buehrle allowed six hits and a walk in his third complete game of the season, but gave up two runs and was the loser in the Chicago White Sox's 2-0 loss to Baltimore on Friday night. ... Ryan Braun hit two homers and drove in four runs for Milwaukee in a 10-6 loss to Colorado.

SNAPPED

Albert Pujols hit his first homer since June 14 - his 17th of the season - in St. Louis' 13-3 loss to Philadelphia on Friday night. ... Shannon Stewart had his 15-game hitting streak - the longest active streak in the AL - snapped in Oakland's 5-3 loss to Minnesota. ... Arizona snapped a five-game skid with an 8-3 win over San Diego.

SPEAKING

''It's going to happen. It's inevitable. We could be perfect, but I doubt it.'' - Philadelphia shortstop Jimmy Rollins. The Phillies are a loss away from becoming the first professional sports team to lose 10,000 games.

SEASONS July 14

1916 - St. Louis Browns pitcher Ernie Koob went the distance in a 17-inning 0-0 tie with the Boston Red Sox. Carl Mays went the first 15 innings for the Red Sox and Dutch Leonard finished.

1946 - Cleveland player-manager Lou Boudreau hit four doubles and a home run in the first game of a doubleheader against Boston, but Ted Williams connected for three home runs and drove in eight runs for an 11-10 Red Sox victory.

1956 - Mel Parnell of the Boston Red Sox pitched a no-hitter against the Chicago White Sox for a 4-0 victory at Fenway Park.

1967 - Eddie Mathews of the Astros hit his 500th home run off San Francisco's Juan Marichal at Candlestick Park. Houston beat the Giants 8-6.

1968 - Hank Aaron got his 500th home run off Mike McCormick as the Atlanta Braves beat the San Francisco Giants 4-2.

1968 - Don Wilson of the Houston Astros struck out 18 Reds in a 6-1 victory over Cincinnati in the nightcap of a doubleheader.

1970 - Pete Rose of the Cincinnati Reds scored on Jim Hickman's 12th-inning single, bowling over Cleveland's Ray Fosse at home plate to give the NL a 5-4 victory over the AL at Riverfront Stadium.

1972 - In a major league first, Bill Haller was the umpire behind the plate while his brother Tom was the catcher for the Detroit Tigers.

1995 - Ramon Martinez threw the first no-hitter of the season as the Los Angeles Dodgers beat the Florida Marlins 7-0. Martinez was perfect for 7 1-3 innings before walking Tommy Gregg.

2006 - The New York Yankees snapped Jose Contreras' winning streak at 17 decisions with a 6-5 win over the Chicago White Sox. Contreras (9-1) hadn't lost since dropping a 4-2 decision to Minnesota last Aug. 15.

2006 - Forty-one-year-old Barry Bonds, the 41-year-old Steve Finley and Moises Alou, who turned 40 on July 3, became the first trio of 40-year-olds in baseball history to start in the same outfield in San Francisco's 5-3 victory over the Phillies. They combined to go 4-for-11 with two stolen bases and two runs scored.

Today's birthdays: Edward Campusano 25; Tim Hudson 32.

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Saturday, July 14


Hot Pitchers

Kenny Rogers (Detroit Tigers) - Kenny Rogers hasn’t missed a beat since coming off the DL. The left-hander is 3-0 with a spectacular 1.04 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in his three starts this season, including a six-inning shutout performance in his only road start. Rogers is 0-2 in his last two starts at Seattle's Safeco Field but has a solid 3.29 ERA in those games, and the Tigers are 4-0 in his last four starts outside Comerica Park.

Ted Lilly (Chicago Cubs) - Ted Lilly is one of the main reasons for the Chicago Cubs’ recent success. The left-hander is 4-0 with a 3.06 ERA in his last five starts and is 8-4 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.09 WHIP this season. The Cubs are 4-1 in Lilly’s last five home starts as a favorite. The veteran goes against the Houston Astros as a -113 favorite at Wrigley Field.

Cold Pitchers

Carlos Silva (Minnesota Twins) - Carlos Silva is struggling this season and stumbled into the All-Star break. The right-hander went 1-2 with a lofty 7.80 ERA in his last three outings and is 6-10 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.40 WHIP overall this season. The Twins are 4-9 in Silva’s last 13 starts and are 1-4 in Silva’s last five starts against teams with losing records. Minnesota is a –111 favorite against the Oakland Athletics at the Metrodome.

Daniel Cabrera (Baltimore Orioles) - Cabrera shares the AL lead in losses with Carlos Silva, Jose Contreras and Ervin Santana and can take sole possession of this dubious statistic with a loss tonight against the Chicago White Sox. The right-hander is 6-10 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.43 WHIP and is 4-4 at Oriole Park with a 5.77 ERA. Cabrera has lost four of his last six starts and the Orioles are 1-4 in Cabrera’s last five starts as a favorite. Baltimore is a -106 home favorite for tonight's game.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Washington at Florida
Yesterday the usually anemic Washington offense lit up Dontrelle Willis and the Florida bullpen for 14 runs and 17 hits. Even a fraction of that production should go a long way in support of today's starter, Matt Chico, who has allowed just one run over his last three outings and thrown 13 consecutive scoreless innings. The Nats look like a good underdog pick (+175) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Washington favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+175). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, JULY 14

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Maroth) 14.210; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.267
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-185); Over

Game 903-904: Houston at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 14.295; Cubs (Lilly) 15.482
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lowe) 15.328; San Francisco (Morris) 13.540
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 907-908: Washington at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Chico) 15.404; Florida (Mitre) 13.973
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+175); Over

Game 909-910: Colorado at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lopez) 14.547; Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.281
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-185); Over

Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 14.943; Atlanta (James) 14.769
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+150); Over

Game 913-914: Cincinnati at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Belisle) 13.904; NY Mets (Glavine) 14.222
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-200); Under

Game 915-916: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Young) 15.597; Arizona (Hernandez) 13.675
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-140); Under

Game 917-918: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Vazquez) 15.636; Baltimore (Cabrera) 14.064
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Under

Game 919-920: Kansas City at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 14.832; Cleveland (Sabathia) 15.226
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-235); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-235); Over

Game 921-922: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (McGowan) 14.556; Boston (Matsuzaka) 15.383
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-230); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-230); Over

Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Wang) 15.295; Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 12.513
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-210); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-210); Under

Game 925-926: Oakland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 14.013; Minnesota (Silva) 15.080
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over

Game 927-928: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Loe) 15.318; LA Angels (Lackey) 14.780
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-230); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+230); Under

Game 929-930: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 18.091; Seattle (Batista) 15.116
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-125); Under