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This Pays More than 7 -1.

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  • This Pays More than 7 -1.

    I haven't found anything worth posting the past two weeks but these three games stood out when I made my first pass thru todays schedule. When I looked at these three closer, I found a good reason for each game. But remember, the most important thing to me in finding plays is who has been winning lately and who has been losing lately. This three team parley is far from being a sure winner, but you get a lot back, with each of the three teams having good reasons to win.

    CHICAGO WHITE SOX +125
    They are still a bad team but they are on a three game win streak and Buehrle just got his four year extension, letting him pitch without his future hanging over his head. Another plus is Baltimore losing four of their past five.

    TORONTO +127
    This one does concern me a little but Boston, after playing well for so long, has lost three of their past four, although they did beat Toronto last night. The pitching matchup is clearly in Toronto's favor with Marcum's road ERA of just 1.83, which I think is one of the best, if not the best in the A.L. He also handles Boston with just a 1.80 ERA in six games against them. Tavarez's best years are behind him and now he is just a journeyman pitcher with an ERA of five. He was shelled his last three starts, going 0-3 with an ERA of 7.36. His two starts this year against Toronto went 5.7 innings, 6 earned runs and 5.3 innings, 3 earned runs.

    NEW YORK YANKEES -147
    Very simple. As bad as the Yankees have been this season, they still have periods of playing well, which is what they are doing now going 6-2 their past eight games. I'm not going to try and guess when Tampa Bay will win another game. They are a go against team who have just one win in their past eleven games. If you think Kazmir looks good tonight, keep in mind he lost both his starts during Tampa's 1-10 run. As for Clemens, he is a shadow of the Yankees. He started off bad but his last two starts were vintage Clemens. 8 innings in each start, just one earned run in each game.

    A $100 three team parley pays $758. I'm also playing a little on each of the two dogs, but the parley is where all the value is. Good Luck if you decide to follow.

  • #2
    gutsy call, throwing in 2 dogs in a 3 team parlay....good return, but hi percentage of not hitting.....However; with that said, it's a good investment for return....gl with it Sandy


    Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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    • #3
      good luck T-MAN
      jt4545


      Fat Tuesday's - Home

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      • #4
        Good Luck Sandy

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        • #5
          Best of luck Sand!

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          • #6
            Just adding info!
            GL Sandy!
            CLEMENS is 1-8 against the run line (-11.4 Units) in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game in the second half of the season since 1997.

            => KAZMIR is 12-1 against the run line (+11.6 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 5.2 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


            TB +135 (350/472.50)
            => Play On - Home teams (TAMPA BAY) - with a terrible bullpen whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season, with a struggling bullpen whose WHIP is over 1.750 the last 15 games.
            (34-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.6%, +28 units. Rating = 4*)
            => Play Against - Road teams (NY YANKEES) - with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts.
            (136-72 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.4%, +70.8 units. Rating = 4*)
            => Play Against - Road favorites with a money line of -125 or more (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start), poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game on the season.
            (33-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.5%, +30.7 units. Rating = 4*)
            => Situtations: TB 35*/NYY 0*
            Last edited by Spearit; 07-13-2007, 06:56 PM.
            "The range of what we think and do is limited by what we fail to notice.

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            • #7
              spearit. HUH? You come up with the craziest stuff. I mean why is Friday different from Saturday. However, looks like I'm dead, unless the All Star game threw everything off and the players think today is Tuesday, not Friday.

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