Friday Trends and Indexes 07/13

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Trends and Indexes
Friday, July 13

Good Luck on day #194 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

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Six-pack for Friday

Some NFL preseason trends to ponder this summer......

-- Redskins are 1-14 against spread as preseason underdog of more than three points.

-- Most teams try hardest in the third preseason game; San Diego has covered that game ten of last twelve years.

-- 49ers are 0-7 as preseason favorite of more than 4 points.

-- Carolina covered 16 of last 25 as preseason underdog.

-- Houston Texans are 2-7 vs spread as preseason dog of more than three points.

-- Denver Broncos covered their final preseason game last seven years in a row.

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Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts for a Friday...........

13) Strange doings with Mets, who haven't named permanent hitting coach in wake of Rick Down's firing (via phone) at the All-Star break. Very classy, firing a guy over the phone. But Howard Johnson was hitting coach Thursday, and first two Met batters homered, before offensive funk returned-- in rest of game, Mets only scored one more run in 3-2 win.

12) While Las Vegas is America's favorite city, Thursday was perfect day for weather here in Albany, New York, America's second-favorite city. Upper 70's, no wind, low humidity, so it made perfect sense to head out for minor league baseball on Thursday night, and we were lucky to catch a doubleheader.

11) Minor league baseball is the only place you aren't really surprised to see a man dancing on a dugout while dressed as a bottle of mustard. Or Uncle Sam on stilts. Or a guy dressed as a chicken, riding a motorcycle. The minor leagues are cool.

10) Unfortunately, the Tri-City ValleyCats, a local team, Class A affiliate of the Astros, are pitching-poor this summer; their starter in Game 1 gave up a dozen hits in four IP against the Mets' affiliate. One of the Brooklyn Cyclones hit a home run that cleared two fences on the field, then a hill beyond the fances, then another fence that surrounded tennis courts on the hill. A titanic blast. Tape-measure. Cannonading. Huge.

For $6, you can't get a better evening's entertainment, unless ARod makes you his wingman for a night.

9) World Series of Poker is getting close to point where the remaining players will all get paid. 621 out of 6,358 will cash, with minimum payout of $20,320. So if you do finish in money the worst you can do is double the $10,000 buy-in. Not bad.

8) Mariners are 15-4 since June 20, best record in baseball; in their 3-2 win Thursday, Pudge Rodriguez got tossed in fourth inning for claiming interference on a steal attempt. Argument got heated-- contact was made; Pudge might get suspended.

7) White Sox had 9-3 lead in ninth inning Thursday and put Dewon Day in to mop up the win; six pitches and four batters later, Day came out, and Bobby Jenks had to save 9-7 win for the Pale Hose. Mr Day's ERA went up to 10.61.

6) Potential ugliness in Muncie, Indiana, where hoop coach Ronny Thompson has resigned after one year as coach of the Ball State Cardinals. Not only did he lose 22 games in his only season, his staff twice got caught observing illegal practices, and they lied about it the second time. Bad times in Muncie. Adding to ugliness were racist notes left under door of head coach's office last month.

5) July is not the time to be changing coaches, since it is one of two prime recruiting seasons, but when Thompson went on vacation during first big recruiting weekend this month, it figured that his time in Muncie was up. Will be interesting to see who they fill this job with, but Thompson has very good recruiting class coming in-- what will those kids do?

4) Darko Milicic got $21M for three years from the Grizzlies, who obviously were undaunted by Darko's almost iinvisible resume in four NBA seasons. Milicic averaged 12 ppg during series vs Pistons this spring, but Jerome James once had big playoff series, and parlayed it into a ridiculous contract from the Knicks. Memphis has to hope this isn't same scenario.

3) One thing in Grizzlies' favor is that Marc Iavaroni is coach in Memphis now, just in from Phoenix, so he'll play wide-open style that meshes better with Darko's skills. Plus, Iavaroni is an excellent big man coach, so if Darko has it inside him to be a solid NBA player, we'll see it fairly soon.

2) Carlos Delgado is hitting 18-90 (.200) with men in scoring position; must have been the hitting coach's fault. Couldn't possibly be that Carlos is having a bad year, or that he is an aging player whose skills are declining. Blame someone else.

1) There are problems with the Mets; first place teams do not fire coaches. Nice of Rickey Henderson to show eagerness to become a big league coach by not getting into town for the Thursday game; he'll likely be at Shea Friday, if he feels like it. You wonder if they're just placating a player(s) by firing the hitting coach. It couldn't have all been his fault, though. I'd expect to see some big improvement soon, or else we'll know that it wasn't the scapegoat's fault. It rarely is.

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[pm530]

Weekend Sports Preview

Sports fans and bettors have another busy sports weekend on their hands with baseball back from the All-Star break, the AFL and CFL both tearing up the gridiron, the WNBA tipping off with their All-Star game, and NASCAR taking to the track at Chicagoland.

The teams that will play in Arena Bowl XXI will be decided on Saturday as the Conference championships kick off. In the National Conference Championship, the Georgia Force travel to Columbus to face the Destroyers. In the American Conference Championship, the San Jose SaberCats play host to the Chicago Rush. The winners of both contests will meet in Arena Bowl XXI at the New Orleans Arena on July 29.

On the diamond this weekend, the battle for division titles and Wild Card spots in both leagues heats up with the stretch drive imminent. In the American League, Toronto visits Boston in an important AL East battle, while Oakland takes on Minnesota with both teams in need of wins to get back in the playoff chase in their divisions. The rest of the AL schedule includes the White Sox at Baltimore, Kansas City at Cleveland, the Yankees at Tampa Bay, Detroit at Seattle and Texas at the Angels.

In the National League, the Cubs try to continue their run up the AL Central standings when Houston visits Wrigley Field, St. Louis tries to get the second half started off right when they travel to Philadelphia, and San Diego heads to Arizona in a pivotal NL West series. Also on tap in the NL is Washington at Florida, Cincinnati at the Mets, Pittsburgh at Atlanta, Colorado at Milwaukee and the Dodgers at San Francisco.

Returning to the gridiron, the CFL kicks off Week 3 with a pair of games on Friday night. This week’s Friday night doubleheader includes Edmonton at Winnipeg and BC at Saskatchewan. The lone Saturday game on this weekend’s schedule is Montreal at Hamilton.

The WNBA is on the break this weekend, as the league’s best gather in Washington for the All-Star break. The actual All-Star game tips off on Sunday afternoon at the Verizon Center.

The Nextel Cup Series rolls into Chicagoland Speedway this Sunday for the USG Sheetrock 400. Jeff Gordon won this race last season, and he and Tony Stewart are the co-favorites this year at 5/1.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Long Sheet

CFL
Long Sheet

Friday, July 13

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EDMONTON (0 - 1 - 1) at WINNIPEG (1 - 0 - 1) - 7/13/2007, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 2-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 0) at SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 0) - 7/13/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in July games since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 6-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-3 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Write up

CFL
Write-up


Friday, July 13

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Edmonton (0-1-1) @ Winnipeg (1-0-1) -- These teams played a wild 39-all tie in season opener, as Bombers outgained hosts by 543-510, had +2 turnover margin, but still didn't win. Edmonton lost 29-9 at BC Place last week, running ball for only 29 yards, after having 166 in opener. Winnipeg had seven sacks in 32-23 win vs Montreal last week, so they've scored 71 in two games.


BCLions (2-0) @ Saskatchewan (2-0) -- Defending champ Lions stomped Riders 45-18 in Western Conference final last fall (-7), now are dog at Taylor Field, even though they're 2-0, holding Eskimos to nine points last week. Saskatchewan won 49-8 last week in home opener vs Calgary; in two games, they've allowed only five second half points. Lions outscored their two foes by 27-10 margin in second half. Best game of the week.

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[pm530]

Canadian Football League – Betting Trends

CFL

Friday, July 13

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CFL Betting Trends
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EDMONTON
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-10-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Edmonton's last 12 games
Edmonton is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Edmonton's last 9 games on the road
Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Edmonton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg

WINNIPEG
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games at home
Winnipeg is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing at home against Edmonton

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BRITISH COLUMBIA
British Columbia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
British Columbia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 6 games
British Columbia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of British Columbia's last 11 games on the road
British Columbia is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of British Columbia's last 22 games when playing Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
British Columbia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan

SASKATCHEWAN
Saskatchewan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Saskatchewan is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games at home
Saskatchewan is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Saskatchewan's last 22 games when playing British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Saskatchewan is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games when playing at home against British Columbia

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[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Friday, July 13

Hot Pitchers
-- Zambrano is 5-2, 1.93 in his last seven starts.
-- Kendrick is 3-0, 4.40 in five starts for the Phillies.
-- Reds won last six Harang starts, scoring 45 runs. Maine is 4-0, 2.15 in his last four starts.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 3.76 in his last three starts. Pirates won five of last six Snell starts.
-- Colorado won nine of last twelve Francis starts. Brewers won ten of last thirteen Sheets starts.
-- Billingsley is 1-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.

-- Orioles won last four Bedard starts (3-0, 2.60). Buehrle is 4-1, 2.17 in his last six starts.
-- Marcum has 0.42 RA in his last three road starts.
-- JSantana is 4-0, 1.61 in his last four starts.
-- Detroit won ten of last eleven Bonderman starts. Washburn is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three starts.
-- Weaver has 2.63 RA in last five starts for the Angels. Texas won four of last five Millwood starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Jennings is 0-3, 4.95 in his last three starts.
-- Cardinals lost twelve of last thirteen KWells starts.
-- Willis is 0-4, 4.97 in his last seven starts. Bergmann is 0-2, 6.08 in his last three starts.
-- Davis is 1-4, 7.03 in his last six starts. Maddux is 1-3, 5.18 in his last four outings.
-- Cain is 1-2, 6.38 in his last three starts; Giants are 2-11 in last thirteen Cain starts.

-- Westbrook is 0-2, 4.05 in his last three starts. Perez is 1-3, 5.85 in his last six starts.
-- Tavarez is 0-3, 8.59 in his last three starts.
-- Clemens is 0-2, 6.97 in two road starts; he has 1.13 RA in last two starts, overall. Kazmir is 0-3, 7.16 in his last three starts.
-- Dinardo is 1-3, 10.47 in his last four starts.


Totals
-- Six of last seven games at Wrigley went over the total.
-- Over is 9-3 in Phillies' last dozen home games.
-- Seven of last eight Florida home games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati road games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Atlanta home games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Colorado road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona home games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-4 in Dodgers' last fifteen games.

-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven White Sox road games.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine games at Tampa Bay.
-- Four of last five Oakland road games stayed under total.
-- Last four Detroit road games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in Angels' last nine home games.


Hot Teams
-- Cubs won five of their last six home games.
-- Cardinals are 10-7 in their last seventeen road games.
-- Reds won four of last five games, but they're 4-11 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Braves won four of their last five games. Pirates are 9-4 in last thirteen games, but are 3-9 in last dozen on road.
-- Rockies won five of last six games, but are 1-9 in their last 10 on road; home side is 17-2 in their last nineteen games overall.
-- Giants are 7-5 in their last dozen home games.

-- White Sox won seven of their last eight road games.
-- Indians won eight of their last ten home games. Royals are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.
-- Red Sox won nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Bronx won six of its last eight games, but is 2-7 in its last nine games on the road.
-- Twins are 14-7 in their last twenty-one home games.
-- Detroit won five of last six games overall, are 11-3 in its last 14 games on foreign soil. Seattle won five of its last six games.
-- Rangers are 12-6 in their last eighteen games.

Cold Teams
-- Astros are 5-19 in their last twenty-four road games.
-- Phillies lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Marlins lost thirteen of last eighteen home games, but are 3-1 in last four games, all on road. Washington lost seven of its last nine road contests.
-- Mets lost six of their last nine games, but are 6-1 in last seven home contests.
-- Brewers lost five of last six games, but are 8-1 in their last nine home games.
-- Arizona lost five in row and eight of last nine games. Padres lost three of their last four games.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

-- Orioles lost eleven of their last fourteen home games.
-- Indians lost four of their last five games.
-- Toronto is 5-9 in its last fourteen road games.
-- Devil Rays lost fourteen of their last fifteen games.
-- A's lost five of their last six games.
-- Angels lost eight of their last twelve games.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB

Friday, July 13

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Tips and Trends
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Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)

Chicago’s Mark Buehrle is 4-1 with a 2.28 ERA in 10 career appearances against Baltimore. He allowed two earned runs and nine hits over 7 2/3 innings in his last start versus the Orioles on July 2, a 7-6 loss at Camden Yards. EDGE: WHITE SOX
Buehrle is a fantastic 22-10 during June in his career, but he falls off to just 14-13 with a 4.28 ERA in 37 July starts. SLIGHT EDGE: ORIOLES
Orioles left-hander Erik Bedard is an even 2-2 with a 4.70 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox. He was knocked around for six runs and five hits over 5 2/3 innings in his last start versus Chicago on July 2. EDGE: OVER
Baltimore has won four straight games with Bedard on the hill, including his most impressive start last time out. He tossed a complete game shutout and struck out a season-high 15 batters against Texas. EDGE: ORIOLES
The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Buehrle’s last eight starts overall.



Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (7:05 PM ET)

Toronto starter Shaun Marcum will make his sixth career appearance and just his second start against Boston tonight, as the right-hander has allowed just three runs and nine hits in 15 innings against them. SLIGHT EDGE: BLUE JAYS
Marcum has posted a 3-1 record and 2.79 ERA in 11 away outings this season. He could easily be a perfect 5-0 on the road, but his offense has scored just two runs in his last two starts away from the Rogers Centre. EDGE: BLUE JAYS & UNDER
Red Sox right-hander Julian Tavarez was reached for six runs and seven hits in his last start versus the Blue Jays and has a 2-3 record with a 4.57 ERA in 21 career outings against them. SLIGHT EDGE: BLUE JAYS
Tavarez has pitched extremely well in his last three starts at Fenway Park, allowing four earned runs over his last 19 2/3 innings at home. EDGE: RED SOX
The OVER is 4-1 in Tavarez’s last five starts overall.



New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (7:10 PM ET)

New York right-hander Roger Clemens has found his groove in July, combining to throw 16 innings and allowing just two earned runs this month in two home starts against the Los Angeles Angels and Minnesota Twins. EDGE: YANKEES & UNDER
Clemens has enjoyed little success on the road, posting an 0-2 record and 7.15 ERA in three outings. SLIGHT EDGE: D-RAYS & OVER
Tampa Bay’s Scott Kazmir has a solid 3.69 ERA in seven career appearances against New York, but has a disappointing 1-3 record. The hard-throwing left-hander allowed just a single earned run and five hits over 6 2/3 innings in his last start versus the Yankees. SLIGHT EDGE: UNDER
Kazmir has picked up three consecutive losses, after the Devil Rays had won his previous four starts. He’s battled his control throughout the season and has walked at least three batters in five straight outings. EDGE: YANKEES
The Devil Rays are 2-8 in Kazmir’s last 10 starts versus the American League East.



Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins (8:10 PM ET)

Oakland left-hander Joe Kennedy is an unimpressive 2-4 with a 6.88 ERA in eight career appearances against Minnesota, but threw eight innings of one-run ball against them on June 1. SLIGHT EDGE: A’S
The Athletics are just 4-14 in Kennedy’s 18 appearances this season. They have lost six consecutive games when he’s appeared as a reliever or starter. EDGE: TWINS
Minnesota has won five straight games with ace Johan Santana on the mound, as the dominating left-hander has limited opponents to two earned runs or less in all five starts. EDGE: TWINS & UNDER
Santana has a losing 3-4 record and 3.91 ERA in eight home starts this season, which is considerably off from his perfect 12-0 record and 2.19 ERA at the Metrodome in 2006. SLIGHT EDGE: A’S
The Twins are 41-10 in Santana’s last 51 home starts.



San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)

San Diego starter Greg Maddux is a miserable 1-9 with a 5.12 ERA in 15 career starts against Arizona. The right-hander has allowed 110 hits in just 89 2/3 innings versus the Diamondbacks in his career. BIG EDGE: D-BACKS
Maddux may be showing signs of slowing down, as he’s lost both July starts this season and posted an 8.74 ERA. EDGE: D-BACKS & OVER
Diamondbacks starter Doug Davis is 3-2 with a 3.61 ERA in eight career appearances against the Padres. He’s walked 14 batters and struck out 36 in 47 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: D-BACKS
Davis has lost his last two starts, mainly because he’s walked 11 batters over 12 2/3 innings of work. EDGE: PADRES
The Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Davis’ last five starts versus the NL West.



Detroit Tigers at Seattle Mariners (10:05 PM ET)

Detroit’s Jeremy Bonderman is 3-2 with a 3.99 ERA in six career starts against Seattle. He tallied a 9-7 home victory against the Mariners on May 8, even though he allowed five earned runs and seven hits over six innings. SLIGHT EDGE: TIGERS
Bonderman hopes to keep his July momentum going at Safeco Field, as the right-hander has given up just two runs in 16 innings this month. EDGE: TIGERS & UNDER
Seattle starter Jarrod Washburn is looking to win his fourth consecutive start, as the Mariners have outscored opponents 18-4 over that span. BIG EDGE: MARINERS
Washburn has a spectacular 7-2 record and 2.59 ERA in 12 nighttime starts in 2007. He’s allowed just six long balls in 80 innings under the lights. EDGE: MARINERS
The Mariners are 4-0 in their last four games as a home underdog.



Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET)

Los Angeles starter Derek Lowe has a 3-5 record and 3.60 ERA in nine career starts against San Francisco. He allowed three earned runs and nine hits in seven innings of work in a 5-3 loss on April 24. SLIGHT EDGE: GIANTS
Lowe is 7-5 with a 2.70 ERA in 14 nighttime starts compared to 1-3 with a 4.28 ERA in five daytime outings. EDGE: DODGERS
Giants right-hander Matt Cain has failed miserably in three career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 13 earned runs and 25 hits in 13 2/3 innings. EDGE: DODGERS
Cain is looking to win his first night game of the year, posting a 0-6 record and 4.48 ERA in 11 starts. EDGE: DODGERS
The Dodgers are 2-9 in their last 11 games as a road underdog.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Betting Notes

MLB


Friday, July 13

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MLB Betting Notes
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Friday's baseball betting notes

No hard feelings

St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Albert Pujols and manager Tony La Russa have apparently gotten over their difference over the All-Star Game. Pujols, who was appointed to the All-Star team by La Russa, was the only National League player who didn’t play.

The St. Louis Cardinals first baseman said afterwards that if he knew he wasn’t going to play he wouldn’t have bothered making the trip to San Francisco. La Russa was criticized for failing to send Pujols to the plate in the bottom of the ninth with the bases loaded.

“Of course I was disappointed I didn’t get in the game, but it’s not a big deal,” Pujols told the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. “People are making a big deal about it, saying I don’t respect Tony or that he disrespected me. Are you kidding?”

The Cards are +139 underdogs against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday.

Hitting problems in the desert

The Arizona Diamondbacks have fired hitting coach Barry Seitzer and replaced him with Rick Schu in an attempt to ignite a lackluster offense.

Arizona ranks close to the bottom in the National League in many key offensive categories, including batting average (15th) and runs (12th).

“Without picking on individuals, we can do better than this,” D-Backs outfielder Eric Byrnes told the East Valley Tribune.

The Diamondbacks host the San Diego Padres on Friday and are listed as –107 favorites with the total set at 9 ½.

Tex fed up with losing

Mark Teixeira is expected to return to the Texas Rangers lineup on Friday but he made some headlines for other reasons. The first baseman is not pleased with the direction of the club and didn’t pull any punches when he spoke with the press.

“We’re a big-market team that’s playing like a small-market team,” Teixeira told the Dallas Morning News. “Unless you hit with some young players and pitchers, it’s tough to play that way.”

Teixeira hasn’t played since June 9 because of a strained quadriceps muscle. He is an unrestricted free agent after this season and there are rumors he will be moved before the July 31st trading deadline.

“No player is going to sign up with a team knowing they are going to lose,” the former All-Star said. “When a player has the chance, they’re going to go with a winner.”

Teixeira is batting .302 with 12 homers and 41 RBIs this season. Texas is 16-11 without the slugger.

The Rangers visit the Los Angeles Angels tomorrow and are +181 underdogs with the total set at 8 ½.

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[RedRaider]

As always I appreciate the information.

Keep up the good work.

Much appreciated -

RR

[pm530]

Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index

Pittsburgh at Atlanta
While a 40-48 mark at the All-Star break may not seem like much, it's a big improvement for the Pirates, who were 30-60 at the same point last season. Pittsburgh won nine of 13 heading into the break thanks in large part to solid starting pitching. One of the Bucs' best, Ian Snell, will get the start today and is coming off a strong performance against Milwaukee in which he gave up just three runs in eight innings of work. Over his last five starts Snell has a 2.92 ERA and has led Pittsburgh to a 4-1 record over that span. His counterpart, Tim Hudson, is just 3-4 in his last 10 starts with a 5.63 ERA. Hudson gave up six runs on 10 hits in just three innings in his last start against the Dodgers. The Pirates look like a decent underdog pick (+170) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Pittsburgh favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+170). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, JULY 13

Game 951-952: Houston at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Jennings) 13.748; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.055
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-200); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-200); N/A

Game 953-954: Washington at FloridaDunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 13.588; Florida (Willis) 14.551
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Florida (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-170); Over

Game 955-956: St. Louis at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wells) 14.230; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.865
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-145); Under

Game 957-958: Cincinnati at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 14.864; NY Mets (Maine) 13.974
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+165); Under

Game 959-960: Pittsburgh at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 15.211; Atlanta (Hudson) 14.657
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+170); Under

Game 961-962: Colorado at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.512; Milwaukee (Sheets) 14.396
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-160); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+160); Over

Game 963-964: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Maddux) 14.171; Arizona (Davis) 13.368
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-110); Under

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.612; San Francisco (Cain) 13.777
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Under


Game 967-968: Kansas City at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Perez) 14.780; Cleveland (Westbrook) 14.421
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-200); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+200); Under

Game 969-970: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 15.823; Baltimore (Bedard) 15.268
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+140); Over

Game 971-972: Toronto at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Marcum) 15.190; Boston (Tavarez) 14.780
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 11
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+165); Over

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Clemens) 14.993; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 12.223
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Dinardo) 13.439; Minnesota (Santana) 15.948
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 977-978: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Bonderman) 16.350; Seattle (Washburn) 16.976
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+110); Under

Game 979-980: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 14.909; LA Angels (Weaver) 14.438
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-215); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+215); Under

[pm530]

Baseball – Long Sheet

MLB
Long Sheet


Friday, July 13

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HOUSTON (39 - 50) at CHICAGO CUBS (44 - 43) - 2:20 PM
JASON JENNINGS (R) vs. CARLOS ZAMBRANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 39-50 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 15-24 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 39-50 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 88-101 (-24.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-65 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 218-213 (-51.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 111-139 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 2-9 (-12.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 56-66 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 198-188 (-59.6 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 57-76 (-28.8 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 111-136 (-31.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 608-666 (-128.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

JASON JENNINGS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
JENNINGS is 2-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.360.
His team's record is 2-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

CARLOS ZAMBRANO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
ZAMBRANO is 8-5 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.44 and a WHIP of 1.114.
His team's record is 12-6 (+5.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-13. (-10.6 units)


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WASHINGTON (36 - 52) at FLORIDA (42 - 47) - 7:05 PM
JASON BERGMANN (R) vs. DONTRELLE WILLIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 5-23 (-13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
FLORIDA is 87-89 (+9.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIS is 8-0 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHINGTON is 37-35 (+13.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-19 (+10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
FLORIDA is 12-21 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 (+2.3 Units) against FLORIDA this season
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.1 Units)

JASON BERGMANN vs. FLORIDA since 1997
BERGMANN is 0-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
WILLIS is 10-4 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.32 and a WHIP of 1.354.
His team's record is 10-5 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-4. (+6.6 units)


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ST LOUIS (40 - 45) at PHILADELPHIA (44 - 44) - 7:05 PM
KIP WELLS (R) vs. JAMIE MOYER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 134-128 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 78-96 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 39-52 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 15-24 (-12.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 134-128 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WELLS is 2-13 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
WELLS is 2-13 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 30-12 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 40-18 (+20.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 30-12 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
MOYER is 61-22 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 16-28 (-16.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 97-96 (-39.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-61 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-14 (-9.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 63-61 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

KIP WELLS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WELLS is 5-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.33 and a WHIP of 0.910.
His team's record is 5-1 (+5.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

JAMIE MOYER vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MOYER is 2-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.53 and a WHIP of 0.882.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)


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CINCINNATI (36 - 53) at NY METS (49 - 39) - 7:10 PM
AARON HARANG (R) vs. JOHN MAINE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 36-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 25-39 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 36-53 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 150-107 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 111-75 (+18.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 152-108 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 14-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
CINCINNATI is 300-340 (+39.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 401-452 (+55.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 25-15 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
HARANG is 14-5 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 41-31 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 18-7 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 14-5 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HARANG is 13-6 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

AARON HARANG vs. NY METS since 1997
HARANG is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

JOHN MAINE vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.


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PITTSBURGH (40 - 48) at ATLANTA (47 - 42) - 7:35 PM
IAN SNELL (R) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HUDSON is 175-99 (+36.6 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 98-41 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 164-89 (+39.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 103-51 (+27.0 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
SNELL is 29-20 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SNELL is 29-20 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SNELL is 24-12 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 58-64 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 126-125 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 62-62 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 62-62 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 88-88 (-17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

IAN SNELL vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SNELL is 1-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.58 and a WHIP of 1.322.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HUDSON is 2-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.215.
His team's record is 2-4 (-4.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)


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COLORADO (44 - 44) at MILWAUKEE (49 - 39) - 8:05 PM
JEFF FRANCIS (L) vs. BEN SHEETS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 4-19 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 85-157 (-40.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997.
COLORADO is 110-166 (-57.2 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
MILWAUKEE is 50-24 (+17.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-13 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-23 (+16.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-13 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-20 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 44-41 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 33-29 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COLORADO is 34-30 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 24-18 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
FRANCIS is 31-19 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
FRANCIS is 31-19 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHEETS is 6-12 (-10.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JEFF FRANCIS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
FRANCIS is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 9.29 and a WHIP of 1.782.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

BEN SHEETS vs. COLORADO since 1997
SHEETS is 4-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.73 and a WHIP of 1.314.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)


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SAN DIEGO (49 - 38) at ARIZONA (47 - 43) - 9:40 PM
GREG MADDUX (R) vs. DOUG DAVIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 24-36 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
MADDUX is 136-103 (-39.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 47-43 (+2.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 47-43 (+2.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DAVIS is 17-6 (+14.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 31-19 (+14.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 68-54 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-21 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 70-55 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MADDUX is 17-8 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 419-368 (-65.4 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 58-65 (-34.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 300-270 (-49.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 3-2 (+0.8 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

GREG MADDUX vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MADDUX is 1-11 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.15 and a WHIP of 1.525.
His team's record is 4-13 (-15.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-8. (+0.3 units)

DOUG DAVIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
DAVIS is 2-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.6 units)


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LA DODGERS (49 - 40) at SAN FRANCISCO (38 - 48) - 10:15 PM
DEREK LOWE (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 587-470 (+84.6 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 80-45 (+25.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 35-16 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 28-12 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-36 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-133 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-25 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-133 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 3-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 1-9 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 1-7 (-8.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 3-14 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 0-11 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 1-9 (-9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 3-3 (+0.9 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

DEREK LOWE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LOWE is 3-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.233.
His team's record is 3-6 (-5.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-1. (+4.9 units)

MATT CAIN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CAIN is 0-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 8.56 and a WHIP of 2.414.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)


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KANSAS CITY (38 - 50) at CLEVELAND (52 - 36) - 7:05 PM
ODALIS PEREZ (L) vs. JAKE WESTBROOK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 91-136 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 77-102 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 79-97 (+33.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 44-53 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 23-24 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS CITY is 27-34 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 100-151 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 21-20 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 85-88 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-3 (+2.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

ODALIS PEREZ vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
PEREZ is 1-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.253.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.5 units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WESTBROOK is 5-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 7-5 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-1.0 units)


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CHI WHITE SOX (40 - 47) at BALTIMORE (38 - 50) - 7:05 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. ERIK BEDARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-50 (-22.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 130-119 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUEHRLE is 2-10 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 94-68 (+25.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 75-56 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 147-95 (+31.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 25-13 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 42-28 (+19.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 120-90 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 17-32 (-17.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 81-78 (-32.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 182-231 (-47.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 22-28 (-17.2 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 96-109 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-40 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 96-109 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-2 (+0.9 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
BUEHRLE is 4-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.51 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-2. (+2.9 units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BEDARD is 2-2 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)


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TORONTO (43 - 45) at BOSTON (54 - 34) - 7:05 PM
SHAUN MARCUM (R) vs. JULIAN TAVAREZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 40-61 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 26-36 (-13.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 41-21 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 71-48 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 46-40 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 191-156 (-43.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 284-222 (-52.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 (+2.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. BOSTON since 1997
MARCUM is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.375.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JULIAN TAVAREZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
TAVAREZ is 1-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.32 and a WHIP of 1.364.
His team's record is 3-1 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)


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NY YANKEES (43 - 43) at TAMPA BAY (34 - 54) - 7:10 PM
ROGER CLEMENS (R) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 32-36 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 9-17 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY YANKEES are 9-14 (-11.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 21-20 (-11.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 43-43 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-19 (-10.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-25 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY YANKEES are 18-27 (-16.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEMENS is 27-33 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEMENS is 10-17 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEMENS is 18-24 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEMENS is 13-18 (-12.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 16-25 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-40 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 16-25 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf this season.
TAMPA BAY is 22-39 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TAMPA BAY is 34-54 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+3.4 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

ROGER CLEMENS vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
CLEMENS is 10-4 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.142.
His team's record is 14-5 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-8. (+0.9 units)

SCOTT KAZMIR vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
KAZMIR is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.556.
His team's record is 2-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)


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OAKLAND (44 - 45) at MINNESOTA (46 - 43) - 8:10 PM
LENNY DINARDO (L) vs. JOHAN SANTANA (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

LENNY DINARDO vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHAN SANTANA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SANTANA is 4-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.61 and a WHIP of 0.920.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-1. (+6.0 units)


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DETROIT (52 - 35) at SEATTLE (50 - 36) - 10:05 PM
JEREMY BONDERMAN (R) vs. JARROD WASHBURN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 48-35 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 36-25 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SEATTLE is 34-29 (+7.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SEATTLE is 30-19 (+13.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SEATTLE is 19-14 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 50-36 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 24-17 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 28-15 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SEATTLE is 17-5 (+12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
WASHBURN is 21-13 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 18-7 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 52-35 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 32-13 (+17.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 27-16 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 15-5 (+9.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 47-30 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 104-67 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BONDERMAN is 3-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.99 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.8 units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. DETROIT since 1997
WASHBURN is 4-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 5-7 (-3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-3.4 units)


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TEXAS (38 - 50) at LA ANGELS (53 - 35) - 10:05 PM
KEVIN MILLWOOD (R) vs. JERED WEAVER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 232-166 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 160-115 (+41.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
TEXAS is 10-4 (+7.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
TEXAS is 34-32 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 7-3 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

KEVIN MILLWOOD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MILLWOOD is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.04 and a WHIP of 1.065.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

JERED WEAVER vs. TEXAS since 1997
WEAVER is 1-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.326.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.6 units)


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[pm530]

Baseball – Streaking Pitchers

MLB


Friday, July 13

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Streaking Pitchers
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Friday's streaking starting pitchers

Hot Pitchers

Johan Santana (Minnesota Twins) - Santana has been sizzling since going 6-6 through his first 14 starts of the season. The veteran left-hander is 4-0 over his last four starts with a spectacular 1.29 ERA and is 10-6 with a respectable 2.75 ERA and 1.03 WHIP overall. Minnesota is 41-10 in Santana’s last 51 starts at home and is 4-1 in his last five starts with eight or more days of rest. The Twins host the Athletics tonight at the Metrodome.

Jeremy Bonderman (Detroit Tigers) - It was an impressive first half for Bonderman. The Tigers right-hander went 9-1 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.19 WHIP and leads the Tigers with 98 strikeouts. Bonderman is 3-2 with a 3.99 ERA against the Seattle Mariners and is 4-0 with a 3.80 ERA outside Comerica Park. The Tigers are 10-1 in Bonderman’s last 11 starts as a favorite and are listed as –110 road favorites against the Mariners.


Cold Pitchers

Kip Wells (St. Louis Cardinals) - Wells hasn’t done much to help the Cardinals in their pursuit to repeat as World Series champions. The right-hander is 3-11 with a lofty 5.92 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. He is tied for most losses in the majors and is 1-7 with a 7.25 ERA outside Busch Stadium. The Cardinals are 0-7 in Wells’ last seven road starts and are 0-5 in Wells’ last five starts as a road underdog. St. Louis is a +139 road underdog tonight against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Jason Jennings (Houston Astros) - Jennings is approaching a career milestone he would prefer to circumvent. The veteran starter is in danger of losing his fourth consecutive start for the first time in his career tonight against the Chicago Cubs. The right-hander is 1-4 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.34 WHIP. He is also 0-3 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.40 WHIP over his last three starts. The Astros are 0-5 in Jennings’ last five starts against the NL Central and are +161 road underdogs against the Cubs.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Hot Lines

MLB
Hot Lines


Friday, July 13

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Hot lines
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Hot lines: Friday's best MLB bets


Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets (-152, 8 ½)

The Mets lead the Atlanta Braves by 2 ½ games for top spot in the NL East after the first half of the season. For some GMs, that’s the definition of a great first half.

Not Omar Minaya.

What he sees is an underachieving club with a so-so .268 batting average that should be far and away the top club in the majors, not the club squeaking out a lead in their division. So Minaya fired his hitting coach, Rick Down, over the All-Star break against the wishes of manager and friend Willie Randolph.

Rickey Henderson was hired as a replacement, which has left many scratching their heads. But the message is clear: anything less than performing like the best team in the bigs is unacceptable.

The Mets didn’t exactly light up the scoreboard in their first game back, but they did manage a 3-2 win over the Reds yesterday.

Pick: Mets -152



Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox (-145, 11)

If you’re a bettor who normally ignores the umpire when you do your handicapping, this is one game you might want to pay attention to. John Hirschbeck, the No. 2 umpire in MLB in terms of home winning percentage (.778 at 7-2), will call the balls and strikes tonight in Boston.

The home team has won the last four games in which he’s been behind home plate even though two of those teams were underdogs. He has a relatively high strike percentage compared to many other umpires, which could help Red Sox starter Julian Tavarez, who has struggled lately at 0-3 in his last three games.

Hirschbeck isn’t exactly a fan of either the Jays or the Sox – Boston has lost the last five games in which he’s umpired and Toronto has lost the last seven.

Pick: Boston -145



St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-145, 9 ½)

For a team that has 9,999 losses, it’s stating the obvious to say the Phillies owe somebody a win. Today it happens to be their starting pitcher, 22-year-old Kyle Kendrick.

Kendrick, 3-0 in five starts with a 4.40 ERA, had the Phillies all set up for a win in his last start against the Rockies. He went six strong innings and left his club with a 6-3 lead when the bullpen came in to begin the seventh inning. The pen then allowed a run in each of the next three innings – and one more in the 10th – to blow the game.

“It sucks we lost this game,” Kendrick told reporters afterwards.

Ballsy for a guy who just got called up from Double-A last month. He’s earned the right in a short time, though.

The Phillies should respond in their attempt to fight off loss No. 10,000 for one more game.

Pick: Phillies -145

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