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{5 July 2007}

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  • {5 July 2007}

    Hi Bettorschat Family,

    As a statistics geek by occupation and a sports fan in my spare time, I recently developed a formula for predicting MLB games against the spread. Considering that one season of baseball contains such a large sample size relative to other sports, it has always been my goal to find enough spare time to write a macro based on regression analysis that might find success as a predictive tool. As the sample size increases for an entire season, the standard deviation decreases and one can say more confidently that a predictive formula is or is not a success. I've had success in primary trials of this script, but I will save everyone the trouble and just post my plays here in hopes of continuing that success. My hope is that this formula may eventually serve as a tool to assist cappers and since I only have limited opportunities to visit Las Vegas, I wanted to share with a group that may be able to appreciate the results. Watch as the whole thing craps out as soon as I post the plays.

    Every selection is 1 unit. Listed pitchers must start. Odds are courtesy of pinnaclesports.com.

    Chicago Cubs/Washington Nationals Over 8 (-106)
    Tampa Bay Devil Rays +224
    Tampa Bay Devil Rays/Boston Red Sox Under 10 (-114)
    Cincinnati Reds -126
    St. Louis Cardinals -121
    Houston Astros +116
    Houston Astros/New York Mets Over 9 (+106)
    Baltimore Orioles/Chicago White Sox Over 9.5 (-103)
    Seattle Mariners +134
    Atlanta Braves +120

  • #2
    GL and Welcome to BC!

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    • #3
      Good luck and to the best sports forum on the net

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      • #4
        welcome---gl to ya---thanks for sharing


        Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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        • #5
          and BOL.
          Records listed in members records forum.

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          • #6
            Good Luck Tonight
            jt4545


            Fat Tuesday's - Home

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