Wednesday Trends and Indexes 07/04

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Wednesday, July 04

Good Luck on day #185 of 2007!

TRENDS AND INDEXES FOR THE 4TH OF JULY

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Wednesday

-- Joe Blanton had complete game win Tuesday, as manager Geren had tough decision, after Blanton walked Rios with two out to bring tying run to plate. Geren showed faith in Blanton, and that faith was rewarded with a 3-1 win.

-- Jack Cust gave A's insurance run in bottom of 8th, with a solo homer, after he had struck out his first three times up.

-- Kaz Matsui went 5-for-5 against his old team, as Rockies continued to roll at home, drilling Mets 11-3.

-- Royals have won seven of last nine games, allowing total of 22 runs; they led 10-0 in second inning Tuesday.

-- Umpire Barksdale blew call at first base that would have ended Phillies-Astros game in 9th inning. Closer Alfonseca got Lee to hit grounder with bags full and was doubled at first, but was incorrectly ruled safe at first. Charlie Manuel got tossed in ensuing argument, and game moved on.........

-- .........and on and on, until Hunter Pence hit Jose Mesa's first pitch of 13th into the Crawford Boxes, and Astros won 5-4, an extremely bitter defeat for Philadelphia. Barksdale is the home plate ump for Wednesday's Philly-Astro game.

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[pm530]

Wednesday's List of 13: Random holiday thoughts..........

13) Remember last week, when Bronx-Baltimore game was 8-6 in eighth inning, when it was stopped by rain? Under new set of rules, the four runs Bronx scored in top of 8th counted, as game will continue from that point on July 27. Under old rules game would have reverted back to end of 7th inning, and the Orioles would have won the game.

12) Well, out in Vegas, the old rules still stand, and backers of the Orioles were paid off. At MGM, they said because game isn't being resumed for a month, they reverted back to end of the previous inning, and declared Baltimore tickets winners. It will be interesting to see if they revisit this policy in future.

11) Rumor has the Knicks being interested in acquiring Ron Artest from the Kings; is there no end to the wackiness of the Isiah Thomas regime? How does this man keep his jobs?

10) Last weekend was good one for obscure golfers; on PGA Tour, Brian Bateman won at Warwick Hills, after coming in as the 408th-ranked golfer in world. On Senior Tour, someone named Lon Nielsen, who quit the Tour in '83, and was 0-for-91 on the Senior Tour, finally broke through and won. Good for him-- Neilsen had been a club pro after quitting the Tour.

9) The All-Star Game is being overshadowed by all the Home Run Derby stuff on Monday; survery of fans found that 61% of them preferred Monday's activities to Tuesday's. Making the All-Star Game count for something was just plain stupid, and it hasn't made a big dent with the fans.

8) Trevor Hoffman's dad was an usher at Anaheim Stadium; he occasionally sang the National Anthem before Halo tilts.

7) Roger Clemens has started five starts for Bronx; in those five games, Bronx bullpen has not yielded a run in the 12.1 IP they've worked behind him. Andy Sonnanstine has started n six games for Tampa Bay; the Rays' bullpen has pitched 13.1 innings behind him, and given up 21 runs. Not good.

6) Rumors are strong in New York media that Don Imus will be returning to WFAN sometime this fall, after being fired in the spring, for making inappropriate remarks. Seems that CBS may have to finish paying off his contract anyway, and they are having trouble replacing him, so might as well bring him back. That seems to be the general consensus.

5) That said, could be a busy fall for Al Sharpton and Jesse Jackson, between Imus returning and the potential of the feds going after Michael Vick in the dogfighting matter. Their work is never done, is it?

4) White Sox have lost eleven of last fourteen home games.

3) Umpire Alfonso Marquez is the first Mexican-born umpire in the big leagues. You watch him work and never notice him, so he must be pretty good.

2) Of the 25 US-trained players taken in NBA Draft last week, 14 of them played at least three years of college ball. At some point, the Spurs have to become the NBA's model franchise. They have lot of foreign players, and role players who played a lot of college ball (Finley, Horry, Barry), in short, guys that understand the game and have been coached in the past.

1) Today is 4th of July, Independence Day. Our troops are all over the world, protecting that independence for us, and they ain't getting paid a whole lot to do it. We thank you, we pray for you, and we look forward to your safe arrival back home.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB

Wednesday, July 4

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Tips and Trends
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Twins at New York Yankees (1:05 PM ET)
Minnesota starter Johan Santana is a perfect 2-0 with a 2.67 ERA in seven career appearances against New York. He’s yet to surrender a home run in 33 2/3 innings against them. BIG EDGE: TWINS & UNDER
Santana has been absolutely dominant on the road this season, especially in his last three starts. He’s picked up three straight victories and allowed just two earned runs in his last 21 innings away from the Metrodome. BIG EDGE: TWINS
Few starters have dominated an opponent like New York’s Mike Mussina against the Twins. The right-hander is an incredible 20-5 with a 3.14 ERA in 29 career starts against Minnesota. BIG EDGE: YANKEES
Mussina pitched relatively well in June, posting an even 2-2 record and 3.44 ERA in six starts last month. SLIGHT EDGE: YANKEES
The UNDER is 5-0 in Mussina’s last five starts versus the Twins.


San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds (1:15 PM ET)
San Francisco’s Matt Cain tossed seven shutout innings in his only career start against Cincinnati. He allowed just four hits while striking out nine and walking two. EDGE: GIANTS
The Giants have now failed to score more than three runs in Cain’s last eight starts, as San Francisco has lost eight straight games with its young right-hander on the hill. BIG EDGE: UNDER
Reds right-hander Matt Belisle has allowed two runs and five hits in 5 2/3 career innings against the Giants. SLIGHT EDGE: UNDER
Cincinnati has lost five straight starts with Belisle on the mound and was a disappointing 0-1 with a 6.91 ERA in five starts in June. EDGE: GIANTS
The Reds are 0-4 in Harang’s last four starts versus the Giants.


Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros (2:05 PM ET)
Philadelphia starter Cole Hamels is a perfect 2-0 with a 3.47 ERA in three career starts against Houston. The left-hander has struck out 22 batters and walked just four in 21 2/3 innings against them. BIG EDGE: PHILLIES
Hamels has struggled during five daytime starts this season, allowing 15 runs and 32 hits in 26 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: ASTROS & OVER
Astros right-hander Chris Sampson has posted a 3-1 record and 3.56 ERA in seven home appearances this season. He labored in his last start at Minute Maid Park, allowing seven earned runs and eight hits in 5 2/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: ASTROS
Sampson has been drilled by Philadelphia in three career appearances against them, allowing seven runs and 17 hits in 9 2/3 innings. EDGE: PHILLIES & OVER
The Phillies are 1-5 in their last six games as a road favorite.


Toronto Blue Jays at Oakland Athletics (4:05 PM ET)
Toronto right-hander Dustin McGowan has surrendered seven runs and 10 hits in 6 1/3 innings against Oakland in three career outings. SLIGHT EDGE: A’S
McGowan has a perfect 3-0 record and 2.93 ERA in four daytime starts this season. He’s fanned 24 batters and walked just nine in 27 2/3 innings under the sun. BIG EDGE: BLUE JAYS
Athletics starter Joe Kennedy is a rock solid 6-1 with a 3.75 ERA in 17 career games against the Blue Jays. EDGE: A’S
The Athletics have lost seven of Kennedy’s last eight starts, as he picked up just one victory in June and posted a 4.37 ERA. EDGE: BLUE JAYS
The Athletics are 4-18 in Kennedy’s last 22 starts.


Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (ESPN | 7:05 PM ET)
Cleveland’s Jake Westbrook is a dismal 3-7 with a 6.53 ERA in 17 career games against Detroit. He’s allowed 14 home runs in 91 career innings against them. EDGE: TIGERS
Westbrook has struggled mightily on the road in four starts, going 0-2 with a 9.15 ERA. He did put together a quality start in his last outing away from Jacobs Field, allowing three runs and seven hits over seven innings in a 3-1 loss to Washington. EDGE: TIGERS
Detroit’s Kenny Rogers has been brilliant in his first two starts this season, allowing just one run in 12 innings so far. The southpaw has struck out eight batters and walked just one. EDGE: TIGERS
Rogers is an even 16-16 with a 5.28 ERA in 55 career appearances against Cleveland. He tallied a 3-2 record and 5.13 ERA in six starts against the Tribe last season. EDGE: OVER
The Indians are 6-0 in Westbrook’s last six starts with four days of rest.


New York Mets at Colorado Rockies (8:05 PM ET)
New York’s Orlando Hernandez is 3-1 with a 3.14 ERA in five career starts against Colorado. In his last start against them, he tossed seven shutout innings and allowed just four hits while striking out five and walking two. EDGE: METS
Hernandez has rebounded after two lackluster starts in the middle of June, as the Mets have won back-to-back games with him on the mound. He’s allowed just two runs and nine hits over his last 13 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: METS
Rockies right-hander Josh Fogg is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA in six career starts against the Mets. He’s struck out just 13 batters in 33 innings of work against them. EDGE: METS
Fogg has been hammered in his last two starts, allowing 12 runs and 14 hits in his last 10 2/3 innings. EDGE: OVER
The UNDER is 4-0 in the Rockies last four games as a road underdog.


Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (8:35 PM ET)
Los Angeles starter Jered Weaver has picked up just one win in four career starts against Texas, even though he carries an impressive 3.04 ERA against them. EDGE: ANGELS
The Angels have picked up victories in seven of Weaver’s last nine starts. He’s pitched well over his last two outings, giving up just one earned run and eight hits over 12 1/3 innings. EDGE: ANGELS
Rangers right-hander Jamey Wright has pitched quite well against the Angels in two career starts, surrendering just four runs and 15 hits in 14 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: RANGERS
Wright has struggled with his control over his last two starts, issuing nine walks in his last 10 2/3 innings. He issued 64 free passes in 156 frames last season. SLIGHT EDGE: OVER
The Angels are 7-3 in Weaver’s last 10 starts as a road favorite.


Florida Marlins at San Diego Padres (9:05 PM ET)
Florida’s Josh Johnson extended himself to four innings of work in his last start, allowing two runs and five hits against Atlanta. SLIGHT EDGE: MARLINS
The Marlins have been pummeled in Johnson’s three starts this season, being outscored 33-10 over that span. BIG EDGE: PADRES & OVER
Padres right-hander Chris Young is a perfect 2-0 with a 0.75 ERA in two career starts against the Marlins. He’s struck out 18 batters in 12 career innings against them. BIG EDGE: PADRES & UNDER
Young has allowed just five earned runs in 48 innings this season at Petco Park. He tallied a 6-1 victory over the Boston Red Sox in his last home start, striking out a season-high 11 batters. BIG EDGE: PADRES & UNDER
The UNDER is 7-0 in Young’s last seven home starts.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Long Sheet (National League)

MLB
Long Sheet - National League


Wednesday, July 4

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CHICAGO CUBS (41 - 40) at WASHINGTON (33 - 49) - 12:05 PM
RICH HILL (L) vs. MATT CHICO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 108-136 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 57-74 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 108-133 (-30.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 48-62 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 215-210 (-50.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 35-34 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 4-20 (-11.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
WASHINGTON is 2-12 (-9.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

RICH HILL vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HILL is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MATT CHICO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.


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SAN FRANCISCO (35 - 45) at CINCINNATI (31 - 51) - 1:15 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. MATT BELISLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 111-130 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-71 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-10 (-9.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 111-130 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-59 (-25.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 2-14 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
CAIN is 2-14 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 325-304 (+40.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 17-31 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-25 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-18 (-11.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 52-76 (-31.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 36-53 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 31-51 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 20-31 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 15-27 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CINCINNATI is 31-51 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MATT CAIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CAIN is 1-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MATT BELISLE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.


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PHILADELPHIA (42 - 41) at HOUSTON (36 - 47) - 2:05 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. CHRIS SAMPSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 36-47 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 47-50 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-47 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.1 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HAMELS is 2-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 0.831.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.1 units)

CHRIS SAMPSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SAMPSON is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 8.21 and a WHIP of 2.347.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)


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MILWAUKEE (48 - 34) at PITTSBURGH (35 - 47) - 4:05 PM
CLAUDIO VARGAS (R) vs. IAN SNELL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 16-31 (-13.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 45-75 (-24.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 43-71 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 35-57 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-67 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-34 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 45-38 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SNELL is 28-20 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SNELL is 28-20 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 48-34 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-11 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-12 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
VARGAS is 12-2 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 19-13 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 19-9 (+13.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 10-2 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 11-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
VARGAS is 9-1 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 26-56 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-1 (+4.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.1 Units)

CLAUDIO VARGAS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
VARGAS is 4-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 1.60 and a WHIP of 0.992.
His team's record is 5-1 (+4.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.0 units)

IAN SNELL vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
SNELL is 3-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 0.850.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)


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ARIZONA (46 - 38) at ST LOUIS (37 - 42) - 7:15 PM
LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R) vs. BRAD THOMPSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 55-27 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 46-38 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 21-13 (+7.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 98-104 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 46-38 (+6.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 66-65 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 34-26 (+6.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 27-17 (+8.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
HERNANDEZ is 10-3 (+8.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HERNANDEZ is 34-20 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 131-125 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 131-125 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 76-93 (-33.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 1-0 (+1.2 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 5-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.424.
His team's record is 7-9 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-1.9 units)

BRAD THOMPSON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.


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NY METS (46 - 35) at COLORADO (40 - 43) - 8:05 PM
ORLANDO HERNANDEZ (R) vs. JOSH FOGG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 32-29 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 21-18 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 149-104 (+19.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 72-52 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 147-103 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 18-9 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
NY METS are 108-72 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 106-165 (-60.1 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
COLORADO is 15-30 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.9 Units) against NY METS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

ORLANDO HERNANDEZ vs. COLORADO since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 3-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.256.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

JOSH FOGG vs. NY METS since 1997
FOGG is 1-3 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.334.
His team's record is 3-3 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)


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FLORIDA (38 - 45) at SAN DIEGO (47 - 34) - 9:05 PM
JOSH JOHNSON (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 136-111 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 25-13 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 134-110 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 208-217 (+37.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against FLORIDA this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

JOSH JOHNSON vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS YOUNG vs. FLORIDA since 1997
YOUNG is 2-0 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 0.75 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)


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ATLANTA (43 - 40) at LA DODGERS (47 - 36) - 9:10 PM
CHUCK JAMES (L) vs. MARK HENDRICKSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 122-123 (-20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 120-119 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 84-87 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-44 (-14.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 132-107 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 37-25 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 47-36 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 84-45 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against ATLANTA this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.2 Units)

CHUCK JAMES vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

MARK HENDRICKSON vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HENDRICKSON is 0-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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NOTE: We will post American League info when available.

[Udog]

Baseball Today - July 4


SCOREBOARD Wednesday, July 4
Cleveland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EDT).

Jake Westbrook and Kenny Rogers square off in a matchup of the top two teams in the AL Central.

STARS

Tuesday

-Brad Wilkerson, Rangers, hit three homers and had six RBIs to help Texas beat the Los Angeles Angels 8-3.

-Joe Blanton, Athletics, threw a four-hitter for his AL-leading third complete game and Oakland beat Toronto 3-1.

-Javier Vazquez, White Sox, gave up four hits in his 21st career complete game to lead the Chicago White Sox past Baltimore 5-1.

-Daisuke Matsuzaka, Red Sox, allowed four hits in eight scoreless innings and struck out nine and Boston defeated Tampa Bay 4-1.

-Chien-Ming Wang, Yankees, pitched four-hit ball for seven innings to lead the New York Yankees past Minnesota 8-0.

-Casey Blake, Indians, hit a go-ahead home run in the 11th inning to lift Cleveland over Detroit 5-4.

-Billy Butler, Royals, homered and drove in six runs in Kansas City's 17-3 rout of Seattle.

CHASING AARON

Barry Bonds hit homer No. 751 in his first at-bat Tuesday night, a two-run shot that moved him within four of tying Hank Aaron's record during San Francisco's 7-3 loss to the Cincinnati Reds. Bonds' latest came in the city where Aaron hit No. 714 on opening day 1974, tying Babe Ruth's previous mark. That record-book homer landed at Riverfront Stadium, which was demolished in 2002.

TRIPLE THREAT

Brad Wilkerson hit three home runs to lead Texas past the Los Angeles Angels 8-3 on Tuesday. He is the first AL player with a three-homer game this season. Alfonso Soriano of the Chicago Cubs and Carlos Lee of Houston have three-homer games in the NL.

A-ROD A-OK

Alex Rodriguez played third base for the New York Yankees on Tuesday, one night after leaving the game with a strained left hamstring. The two-time MVP went 0-for-4 with a strikeout but looked comfortable in the field. Rodriquez was pulled after the sixth inning in the Yankees' 8-0 victory over the Twins.

ROMP

Seattle's Ryan Feierabend allowed 10 runs in just 1 1-3 innings in his seventh major league start and Kansas City pounded the Mariners 17-3 on Tuesday. The 17 runs and 16 hits tied the Royals' season highs. It was the most runs the Mariners have allowed all year.

STREAKS

Boston topped Tampa Bay 4-1 on Tuesday to deal the Devil Rays their ninth straight loss. ... Milwaukee lost 6-2 to Pittsburgh, but Kevin Mench hit a home run for the Brewers, who have now homered in 12 consecutive games... Cleveland topped Detroit 5-4 in 11 innings to win their sixth straight.

SNAPPED

Julio Lugo hit a two-run single in the second inning of Boston's 4-1 win over Tampa Bay on Tuesday to snap an 0-for-33 skid - the longest for a Red Sox player since 1991. Lugo also singled in the seventh and was the only batter on either team with more than one hit.

SPEAKING

''It's all about New York. New York is center stage and the place everyone is aware of and watches.'' - Rockies second baseman Kaz Matsui, on his team's success against the two New York teams. Colorado beat the Mets 11-3 on Tuesday to improve to 5-0 against the Mets and Yankees this season. The former Met Matsui had a career-best five hits in the win.

July 4

1905 - The Philadelphia Athletics scored two runs in the 20th inning, giving Rube Waddell a 4-2 victory over Cy Young of the Boston Red Sox. Both pitchers went the distance. Young did not allow a walk.

1908 - George Wiltse of the New York Giants pitched a 10-inning, 1-0 no-hitter against the Philadelphia Phillies.

1912 - George Mullin of the Detroit Tigers celebrated his 32nd birthday by pitching a no-hitter over the St. Louis Browns.

1925 - Two of the great left-handers of their time - Herb Pennock of the Yankees and Lefty Grove of the Athletics - hooked up in a duel that New York won 1-0 in 15 innings. Pennock gave up four hits and walked none.

1939 - Jim Tabor of the Boston Red Sox hit three home runs, including two grand slams, in an 18-12 win over the Philadelphia Athletics in the second game of a doubleheader.

1976 - The Phillies' Tim McCarver lost a grand slam when he passed Garry Maddox on the basepaths. The Phillies still won 10-5 at Pittsburgh. 1983 - Dave Righetti of the New York Yankees pitched a 4-0 no-hitter against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium.

1984 - Phil Niekro of the New York Yankees struck out five Texas Rangers to become the ninth player to pass 3,000 strikeouts. No. 3,000 was Larry Parrish.

1984 - The New York Mets beat the Braves 16-13 in 19 innings at Atlanta. The game went until just before 4 a.m. on July 5, and was followed by a fireworks display for the 10,000 still left in the stands. The Braves tied the score 13-13 on a homer by pitcher Rick Camp in the 18th inning.

2000 - St. Louis' Keith McDonald homered in his first major league at-bat as the Cardinals defeated Cincinnati 14-3.

2006 - Victor Martinez went 5-for-6 and Jhonny Peralta and Travis Hafner each hit two of Cleveland's six home runs, powering the Indians to a 19-1 rout of New York. The win was Cleveland's largest at home in more than 56 years, since a 21-2 victory over the Philadelphia Athletics on June 18, 1950.

2006 - Jose Contreras tossed 6 2-3 scoreless innings to win his 17th straight decision and lead the White Sox to a 13-0 victory over Baltimore.

Today's birthday: Brendan Donnelly, 36.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Tampa Bay at Boston
The hapless Devil Rays ran their losing streak to nine straight last night after getting shut down by Daisuke Matsuzaka (4-1). But they may actually have their best chance at picking up a win today behind starter Edwin Jackson, who despite 1-8 record and 6.88 ERA on the season has been solid in his last two starts, allowing just three runs over 12 innings (2.25 ERA) with a 1-0 record. Tampa Bay looks worth the risk as a big underdog (+240) according to Dunkel, which has the Devil Rays favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+240). Here are all of today's games.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 4

Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Hill) 15.611; Washington (Chico) 16.250
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150); Under

Game 903-904: San Francisco at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 16.480; Cincinnati (Belisle) 14.573
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+120); Over

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.149; Houston (Sampson) 16.405
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Over

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Vargas) 15.665; Pittsburgh (Snell) 16.235
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+110); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hernandez) 15.763; St. Louis (Thompson) 15.692
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+140); Over

Game 911-912: NY Mets at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 16.832; Colorado (Fogg) 15.312
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 913-914: Florida at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 14.791; San Diego (Young) 18.449
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-210); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-210); Over

Game 915-916: Atlanta at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (James) 15.802; LA Dodgers (Hendrickson) 17.766
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+110); Over

Game 917-918: Minnesota at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Santana) 16.765; NY Yankees (Mussina) 14.472
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Jackson) 16.409; Boston (Wakefield) 15.443
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-240); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+240); Under

Game 921-922: Toronto at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (McGowan) 16.030; Oakland (Kennedy) 15.993
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+120); Over

Game 923-924: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Olson) 16.253; White Sox (Contreras) 16.797
Dunkel Line: White Sox by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 925-926: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Westbrook) 15.236; Detroit (Rogers) 17.808
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-145); Under

Game 927-928: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 16.373; Kansas City (Bannister) 17.638
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 16.336; Texas (Wright) 16.407
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+170); Over

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet - American League


Wednesday, July 4


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MINNESOTA (42 - 40) at NY YANKEES (39 - 41) - 1:05 PM
JOHAN SANTANA (L) vs. MIKE MUSSINA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 12-18 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SANTANA is 113-46 (+42.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 57-15 (+29.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 39-41 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-17 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY YANKEES are 36-36 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 9-13 (-10.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 75-61 (-26.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MUSSINA is 67-56 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 4-1 (+2.5 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

JOHAN SANTANA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SANTANA is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.80 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)

MIKE MUSSINA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
MUSSINA is 9-6 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.268.
His team's record is 12-7 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-0.9 units)




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TAMPA BAY (33 - 49) at BOSTON (51 - 31) - 1:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. TIM WAKEFIELD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 34-87 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-72 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 22-64 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 43-102 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-51 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-6 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 39-20 (+13.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BOSTON is 15-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 188-156 (-46.1 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
BOSTON is 282-222 (-54.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
BOSTON is 245-188 (-41.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WAKEFIELD is 19-26 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

TIM WAKEFIELD vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
WAKEFIELD is 13-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.06 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 15-7 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-10. (-0.9 units)




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TORONTO (40 - 43) at OAKLAND (43 - 40) - 4:05 PM
DUSTIN MCGOWAN (R) vs. JOE KENNEDY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 39-60 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 139-113 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-21 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 59-36 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 129-103 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 69-48 (+17.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 23-34 (-23.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 9-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 11-16 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
KENNEDY is 3-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 3-11 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
KENNEDY is 2-9 (-8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

DUSTIN MCGOWAN vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MCGOWAN is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 10.39 and a WHIP of 2.079.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JOE KENNEDY vs. TORONTO since 1997
KENNEDY is 6-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.80 and a WHIP of 1.311.
His team's record is 7-4 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.8 units)




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BALTIMORE (36 - 46) at CHI WHITE SOX (36 - 44) - 7:05 PM
GARRETT OLSON (L) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 11-25 (-12.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-30 (-16.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 145-92 (+32.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 126-116 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 55-61 (-20.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-22 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 29-37 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 38-49 (-22.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CONTRERAS is 9-16 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

GARRETT OLSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSE CONTRERAS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CONTRERAS is 3-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.80 and a WHIP of 1.373.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)




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CLEVELAND (51 - 32) at DETROIT (47 - 34) - 7:05 PM
JAKE WESTBROOK (R) vs. KENNY ROGERS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 85-86 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 20-33 (-16.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 151-106 (+23.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-13 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 138-92 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 101-66 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ROGERS is 30-9 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 24-2 (+22.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 103-52 (+38.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 42-16 (+22.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 16-3 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 29-8 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 20-4 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ROGERS is 14-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 5-11 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-2 (+3.9 Units) against DETROIT this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

JAKE WESTBROOK vs. DETROIT since 1997
WESTBROOK is 4-7 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 7.12 and a WHIP of 1.594.
His team's record is 5-9 (-6.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-3.3 units)

KENNY ROGERS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ROGERS is 12-9 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 14-11 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-13. (-3.7 units)




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SEATTLE (45 - 35) at KANSAS CITY (36 - 48) - 8:10 PM
JARROD WASHBURN (L) vs. BRIAN BANNISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 98-149 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 19-19 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 89-134 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 76-100 (+24.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 43-52 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 23-23 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 45-35 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-16 (+7.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SEATTLE is 12-6 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 43-34 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 33-24 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
WASHBURN is 18-5 (+12.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHBURN is 71-51 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WASHBURN is 34-21 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 13-32 (-12.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 6-17 (-10.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
KANSAS CITY is 10-29 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 5-3 (+1.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WASHBURN is 7-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.70 and a WHIP of 1.232.
His team's record is 8-5 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.6 units)

BRIAN BANNISTER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
BANNISTER is 0-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.61 and a WHIP of 1.170.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




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LA ANGELS (51 - 32) at TEXAS (35 - 48) - 8:35 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. JAMEY WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 114-93 (+24.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 76-58 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in road games in July games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 230-163 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 11-25 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 6-2 (+3.7 Units) against TEXAS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. TEXAS since 1997
WEAVER is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.04 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

JAMEY WRIGHT vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
WRIGHT is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.125.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Wednesday, July 4


Hot Pitchers

Kenny Rogers (Detroit Tigers) - Rogers has not missed a beat since returning to action after three months off. Tigers backers will be hoping for another strong performance tonight against the Cleveland Indians at Comerica Park. The crafty left-hander has won his first two starts this season and has only allowed one run in the process. Rogers has won his last eight decisions when pitching after a Tigers loss, and will have the chance to extend that streak tonight. The 42-year-old was 3-2 against the Tribe last season.

Johan Santana (Minnesota Twins) - The two-time Cy Young Award winner is putting together his best stretch of the season, going 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA in his last four outings. The good news gets even better for those betting on the Twins tonight because Santana has never lost a regular season game to the New York Yankees. The left-hander has won three straight starts on the road, where he's 6-2 in nine starts with a 1.77 ERA - the second-best mark in the AL.

Chris Young (San Diego Padres) - Tonight is a big game for the Padres starter because he still has a chance to make the NL All-Star team. Despite having a 8-3 record with the second-best ERA in the league, Young was left off the All-Star squad. The right-hander hasn't lost since May 12, going 4-0 with a 1.25 ERA in his last eight starts. Padres backers should also know that Young owns the best home ERA in baseball at 0.94 and hasn't allowed a homer in 48 innings at Petco Park this year.

Cold Pitchers

Josh Johnson (Florida Marlins) - Johnson is winless in his last six outings as he seeks his first victory since Aug. 28. He has a record of 0-3 with a huge 10.97 ERA this season and continues to work himself back into shape after missing the first 10 weeks due to an irritated ulnar nerve in his right elbow. This will be the right-hander's first starting appearance against the Padres.

Matt Cain (San Francisco Giants) - It does not look promising for the Giants to snap their road skid tonight as they send Matt Cain to the mound. The right-hander is 2-9 with a 3.38 ERA this season but not all of the blame can be pinned on him. Cain is 0-6 with a 3.57 ERA and has received only 12 runs of support since his last win May 13 at Colorado. If the Giants don't put some runs on the board it will be hard for Cain to turn this cold streak around.

Joe Kennedy (Oakland A's) - Joe Kennedy seems to have a luxury that a lot of starting pitchers don't have; he is part of the most dominating pitching staff in the AL. So despite his cold stretch, it is not the end of the world. Kennedy will try to make a positive impression on his squad tonight and get his season back on track against the Toronto Blue Jays. The lefty is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA in four starts since his last win on June 6. Some good news for bettors is Kennedy has the seventh-best home ERA in the AL.

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Wednesday, July 4


Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (+110, 8)

There are golden rules like don’t spit into the wind, don’t pull on Superman’s cape, and don’t miss out on Johan Santana when he’s priced like he is today.

With the Yankees outscoring the Twins 13-1 in the first two games of the series, oddsmakers have dropped the number on the reigning Cy Young winner to -118. Santana is over his slow start to the year, winning his last three appearances in which he allowed only two earned runs over 21 innings.

The crafty southpaw is lights-out on the road, holding batters to a .189 average and posting an ERA under 2.00. Santana is also known for his dominance against New York, striking out 38 batters in the last 44 2/3 innings versus the Yankees with a 2.80 ERA.

Pick: Twins -118



Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates (-110, 8 ½)

If you look at ***********’s MLB money pitchers you’ll see Milwaukee’s Claudio Vargas at the top. The Brewers are 12-2 this season when Vargas takes the mound, including wins in his last six starts. The 6-foot-3 righty is 6-1 this season with a 4.29 ERA.

Milwaukee’s run production has been up and down recently but when Vargas is on the bump the Brew Crew come alive, giving their pitcher an average of six runs of support in each of his 14 starts.

Vargas has handled the Bucs with ease this year. He is 2-0 with an ERA under 1.00 in two starts versus Pittsburgh.

Pick: Brewers +102



Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers (-113, 8 ½)

Dodgers pitcher Mark Hendrickson returns to the starting rotation today after being demoted to the bullpen over a month ago.

While the relief stint helped improve Hendrickson’s confidence as well as drop his ERA, he hasn’t pitched more than three innings since May 31. As a reliever, the lefty posted a 2.84 ERA over 25 1/3 innings. But as a starter, Hendrickson was 2-3 with three no-decisions and a 4.81 ERA. Los Angeles is 7-12 in the 19 games in which Hendrickson made an appearance this season.

He has only faced Atlanta once during his career. While Hendrickson was with the Tampa Bay Devil Rays last season he allowed four runs in eight innings during a 4-1 loss to the Braves.

Pick: Braves +105

[Udog]

MLB
70% Situation


MLB (Wednesday): Play Over MLB (NL) road teams when the total is 8.5 to 10 with a team batting average = .255 to .269 versus a starting pitcher whose ERA =5.20 to 5.70 and a team batting average of .250 or worse over their last 20 games.
(39-13 since 1997.) (75%) PLAY: New York / Colorado OVER 10 (-110)

[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Wednesday, July 4

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National League

Chicago Cubs at Washington, 12:05 ET WGN
Rich Hill (L) vs. Matt Chico (L)
Hill: Cubs 17-4 Over away off 3+ games allowing 2 runs or less
Chico: Washington 4-21 SU with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs

San Francisco at Cincinnati, 1:15 ET
Matt Cain (R) vs. Matt Belisle (R)
Cain: 1-8 TSR with a line of +125 to -125
Belisle: Cincinnati 20-8 Over in July

Philadelphia at Houston, 2:05 ET
Cole Hamels (L) vs. Chris Sampson (R)
Hamels: Philadelphia 19-8 SU away off BB losses
Sampson: Houston 21-9 Over after the bullpen allowed 0 runs

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh, 4:05 ET
Claudio Vargas (R) vs. Ian Snell (R)
Vargas: 10-2 TSR in day games
Snell: 7-0 Under vs. division opponents

Arizona at St. Louis, 7:15 ET
Livan Hernandez (R) vs. Brad Thompson (R)
Hernandez: 15-7 TSR with a line of +125 to -125
Thompson: St. Louis 10-19 SU off BB home games

NY Mets at Colorado, 8:05 ET
Orlando Hernandez (R) vs. Josh Fogg (R)
Hernandez: Mets 23-9 SU playing with double-revenge
Fogg: Colorado 26-14 Over vs. NL East opponnets

Florida at San Diego, 9:05 ET
Josh Johnson (R) vs. Chris Young (R)
Johnson: Florida 8-24 SU away with a total of 7 to 7.5 runs
Young: 7-0 Under in home games

Atlanta at LA Dodgers, 9:10 ET
Chuck James (L) vs. Mark Hendrickson (L)
James: Atlanta 14-6 Over as a road underdog
Hendrickson: Dodgers 30-12 SU at home off BB wins


American League

Minnesota at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Johan Santana (L) vs. Mike Mussina (R)
Santana: 41-9 TSR off BB starts allowing 1 or 0 walks
Mussina: Yankees 12-3 Under off 4+ home games

Tampa Bay at Boston, 1:05 ET
Edwin Jackson (R) vs. Tim Wakefield (R)
Jackson: Tampa Bay 3-25 SU away off 3+ games scoring 4 runs or less
Wakefield: Boston 20-6 SU in day games

Toronto at Oakland, 4:05 ET
Dustin McGowan (R) vs. Joe Kennedy (L)
McGowan: Toronto 23-6 SU after scoring 1 or 0 runs
Kennedy: 3-12 TSR in all games this season

Baltimore at Chicago White Sox, 7:05 ET
Garrett Olson (L) vs. Jose Contreras (R)
Olson: Baltimore 1-10 SU revenging a loss scoring 1 or 0 runs
Contreras: White Sox 21-7 Under off BB home games

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:05 ET ESPN
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Kenny Rogers (L)
Westbrook: Cleveland 4-16 SU away off a win by 2 runs or less
Rogers: 21-4 TSR as a favorite

Seattle at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Jarrod Washburn (L) vs. Brian Bannister (R)
Washburn: 18-5 TSR as a road favorite of -125 or less
Bannister: Kansas City 10-29 SU at home vs. left-handed starters

LA Angels at Texas, 8:35 ET
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Jamey Wright (R)
Weaver: Angels 41-19 SU as a favorite
Wright: Texas 12-32 SU as a home underdog

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[Udog]

MLB
Write-up


Wednesday, July 4


Hot Pitchers
-- Chico is 0-0, 0.75 in his last two starts; Nationals are 9-1 when they give him four or more runs.
-- Milwaukee won twelve of fourteen Vargas starts this year. Pirates won four of Snell's last five starts.
-- Cardinals won seven of nine Thompson starts this season.
-- Mets are 5-0 with OHernandez if they score four or more runs
-- Young is 4-0, 1.25 in his last eight starts.
-- Braves are 7-0 with James if they score more than three runs.

-- Santana is 3-0, 1.29 in his last three starts, with Twins taking those three games by combined score of 27-5. Mussina is 3-2, 2.84 in his last five starts.
-- Wakefield is 3-0, 3.10 in his last three starts. Jackson is 1-0 in his last three starts, with a 2.70 RA.
-- Toronto is 5-1 with McGowan if they score four or more runs
-- Westbrook has 2.57 RA in two starts since coming off the DL. Rogers is 2-0, 0.75 in his first two starts this season.
-- Royals won five of last six Bannister starts. Washburn is 2-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Weaver is 2-1, 2.01 in his last four starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Hill is 0-1, 8.49 in his last three starts.
-- Reds lost last five Belisle starts (0-1, 7.22). Giants lost Cain's last eight starts, scoring total of fifteen runs.
-- Sampson is 0-0, 7.71 in his last three starts. Hamels is 0-2, 6.92 in his last three starts.
-- LHernandez is 0-3, 6.69 in his last six starts.
-- Fogg is 0-1, 10.12 in his last couple starts.
-- Johnson is 0-3, 14.34 in his first three starts this season.
-- Hendrickson is 0-3, 8.55 in his last five starts.

-- Oakland lost seven of last eight Kennedy starts.
-- Olsen was 7-6, 3.46 in AAA, allowing only 79 hits in 104.1 IP. Contreras is 1-5, 7.07 in his last seven starts.
-- Wright is 1-2, 6.38 in four starts this season.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Cub road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Belisle starts went over the total.
-- Over is 13-2-1 in Houston's last sixteen home games.
-- Over is 6-3 in Brewers' last nine road games.
-- Over is 13-4-1 in last eighteen Diamondback games.
-- Nine of last twelve Colorado games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Florida games went over the total.
-- Last six Atlanta games all went over the total.

-- Under is 10-2 in last dozen Mussina starts.
-- Under is 8-3 in last eleven games at Fenway Park.
-- Under is 16-5 in last twenty-one Oakland home games.
-- Eight of last ten Baltimore road games went over the total, but under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen White Sox games.
-- Under is 9-2 in last eleven Cleveland road games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Kansas City games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Weaver's road starts.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Pirates won six of their last eight games. Milwaukee is 14-5 in its last nineteen ames.
-- Astros won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Cardinals are 4-2 in third game of home series, if they split the first two games.
-- Colorado won eleven of last thirteen home games.
-- Padres won five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers won last three games by combined score of 20-8.

-- Bronx won first two games of Minnesota series, 5-1/8-0.
-- Indians won eight of their last nine games.
-- Rangers are 12-6 in last eighteen games. Angels won nine of their last thirteen road games.
-- White Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Royals won seven of last nine games, allowing 22 runs.
-- Oakland won nine of its last thirteen home games.


Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona lost seven of its last nne games.
-- Cincinnati lost six of its last nine games. Giants lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Mets lost last three games, by combined 22-8 margin.
-- Phillies lost five of their last six games.
-- Marlins lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Braves lost their last three games, allowing 21 runs.


-- Detroit lost seven of its last nine home games.
-- Twins lost first game of Bronx series, scoring one run.
-- Devil Rays are 0-9 on this road trip, outscored 48-21. Red Sox lost five of their last eight games.
-- Orioles are 5-9 in last fourteen road games.
-- Mariners are 0-2 with McLaren as the manager.
-- Blue Jays lost six of their last eight games.

Umpires
-- Chi-Wsh-- Seven of last ten Reilly games went over the total.
-- SF-Cin-- Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Dreckman games.
-- Phil-Hst-- Over is 10-3 in last thirteen Barksdale games.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Under is 11-4-1 in Wolf games, with underdog 5-1 in his last six games behind dish.
-- Az-StL-- Five of last six Hickox games stayed under; dogs are 7-3 in his last ten games behind plate.
-- NY-Colo-- Home side won Reininger's last four games a year ago; dogs were 4-2 in his last six. This is his first '07 game.
-- Fla-SD-- Over is 13-3 in last sixteen Davidson games.
-- Atl-LA-- Underdog is 8-1, over 6-2-1 in last nine O'Nora games

-- Min-NY-- Last five Johnson games all went over the total.
-- TB-Bos-- Underdog is 7-4 in last eleven Fairchild games.
-- Tor-A's-- Underdog won three of last four Vanover games.
-- Blt-Chi-- Visiting team is 7-2 in last nine Barrett games.
-- Clev-Det-- Underdog is 8-3 in last eleven Danley games.
-- Sea-KC-- Home side won six of last seven Timmons games.
-- LA-Tex-- Favorite won six of last seven BWelke games.

[Kaptain]

thanks once again fellows----you guys have a fun but SAFE 4th.....I appreciate all your efforts in this daily thread

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, good luck today!