Saturday Trends and Indexes 06/30

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


LA Angels at Baltimore
While the Orioles came up short last night, they did come back from a 5-0 deficit by getting seven runs and 10 hits off a hot Kelvim Escobar. Tonight they will face a not-so-hot Bartolo Colon, is 1-3 with an 8.54 ERA over his last six starts. The Orioles look like a good home underdog (+135) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Baltimore favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+135). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, JUNE 30

Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 16.348; Chicago Cubs (Marshall) 17.149
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+110); N/A

Game 903-904: Colorado at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Francis) 15.850; Houston (Jennings) 15.156
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-115); Over

Game 905-906: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Sosa) 15.832; Philadelphia (Happ) 16.652
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Over

Game 907-908: Atlanta at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hudson) 16.299; Florida (Kim) 14.083
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-170); Over

Game 909-910: Washington at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Simontacchi) 13.775; Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 15.006
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170); Under

Game 911-912: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 17.737; Cincinnati (Lohse) 13.141
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 4 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 15.147; San Francisco (Lowry) 16.672
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 915-916: San Diego at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 15.885; LA Dodgers (Penny) 17.488
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+110); Over

Game 917-918: Oakland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gaudin) 15.660; NY Yankees (Igawa) 15.547
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-155); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+155); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 17.652; Detroit (Miller) 17.272
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 10
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+165); Over

Game 921-922: LA Angels at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Colon) 15.372; Baltimore (Burres) 16.854
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+135); Under

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Howell) 14.561; Cleveland (Sabathia) 15.313
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-265) 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-265); Over

Game 925-926: Texas at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Tejeda) 14.759; Boston (Beckett) 17.983
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-290); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-290); Under

Game 927-928: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 16.242; Kansas City (Perez) 15.415
Dunkel Line: White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: White Sox (+115); Under

Game 929-930: Toronto at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 16.845; Seattle (Washburn) 17.268
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+145); Under

[Udog]

MLB
70% Situation


MLB (Saturday): Play Against MLB (AL) teams with an average of <=.260 facing a pitcher whose ERA is =4.70 to 5.70 with a starter whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 this year.
(33-11 last 5 seasons.) (75%) PLAY: Seattle +125

[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Saturday, June 30th

National League

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 1:05 ET
Ben Sheets (R) vs. Sean Marshall (L)
Sheets: 5-12 TSR vs. division opponents
Marshall: 3-0 TSR, 2.95 ERA L3 starts

Colorado at Houston, 3:55 ET
Jeff Francis (L) vs. Jason Jennings (R)
Francis: 10-0 Under when the total is 8.5 to 10
Jennings: Hou 7-1 at home vs. Colorado

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 3:55 ET
Jorge Sosa (R) vs. J.A. Happ (L)
Sosa: 6-1 TSR when the total is 10 or higher
Happ: Phi 0-8 as a home underdog

Atlanta at Florida, 7:05 ET
Tim Hudson (R) vs. B.Y. Kim (R)
Hudson: 34-7 TSR after a game where he did not walk a batter
Kim: Fla 25-10 Over vs. division opponents

Washington at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Jason Simontacchi (R) vs. Tom Gorzelanny (R)
Simontachhi: 4-0 TSR vs. Pittsburgh
Gorzelanny: Pit 1-6 as a favorite of -150 or more

St. Louis at Cincinnati, 7:10 ET
Mike Maroth (L) vs. Kyle Lohse (R)
Maroth: 16-8 TSR Away on grass
Lohse: Cin 3-10 at home vs. lefties

Arizona at San Francisco, 9:05 ET
Doug Davis (L) vs. Noah Lowry (L)
Davis: 1-10 TSR Away vs. sub-.500 teams
Lowry: 6-2 TSR, 2.61 ERA at home

San Diego at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Jake Peavy (R) vs. Brad Penny (R)
Peavy:
Penny: 14-2 TSR this season


American League

Oakland at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Chad Gaudin (R) vs. Kei Igawa (L)
Gaudin: Oak 18-3 Under Away when the total is 10 or higher
Igawa: NYY 20-7 Under at home vs. AL West

Minnesota at Detroit, 3:55 ET
Kevin Slowey (R) vs. Andrew Miller (L)
Slowey: 4-1 TSR this season
Miller: Det 12-4 Over as a home favorite of -150 or more

LA Angels at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Bartolo Colon (R) vs. Brian Burres (L)
Colon: 13-0 TSR with a money line of -100 to -150
Burres: Bal 14-6 as an underdog of +125 to +175

Tampa Bay at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
J.P. Howell (L) vs. CC Sabathia (L)
Howell: TB 23-4 Over on grass
Sabathia: 10-1 TSR, 3.05 ERA at home

Texas at Boston, 7:05 ET
Robinson Tejada (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)
Tejada: 0-3 TSR, 7.10 ERA L3 starts
Beckett: 12-2 TSR, 3.07 ERA this season

Chicago White Sox at Kansas City, 7:10 ET
John Danks (L) vs. Odalis Perez (L)
Danks: ChW 5-0 vs. Perez
Perez: KC 9-28 at home vs. lefties

Toronto at Seattle, 10:05 ET
Roy Halladay (R) vs. Miguel Batista (R)
Halladay: 19-3 TSR when the total is 8 to 8.5
Batista: 2-15 TSR as a home underdog of +125 to +150

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[pm530]

Note: Cardinals vs. Reds

Update on pitchers:

The starter today for St. Louis should be Wainwright.
Maroth will probably pitch on Sunday.

[Udog]

AFL
Write-up


Saturday, June 30



Columbus (7-9) @ Tampa Bay (9-7)-- Tampa coach Marcum is the Vince Lombardi of ArenaBall; after an 0-5 start, Storm finished up with first round home game, after going 8-1 after their bye, taking last four games, by 6,10,29,4 points. Columbus snapped 5-game skid last week, winning at New York; they lost 34-32 on this field in Week 9 (-5), in penalty-filled fray that Destroyers led 13-10 at half. Storm outgained them 269-212 in that game.

Colorado (8-8) @ Kansas City (10-6)-- Colorado beat Brigade in both regular season meetings, 44-40 in Week 2 (-8.5), then again in Week 9, 45-42 (+2.5), but after losing last four regular season games, by 2,37,9,19 points, Crush winds up with return trip here, vs KC squad that won six of last eight games. Colorado is 2-7 if they allow 50+ points, a figure Brigade has reached in six of their last eight games.

[Udog]

MLB
Write-up


Saturday,June 30


Hot Pitchers
-- Cubs won last five Marshall starts (4-0, 2.32). Sheets is 5-0 in his last six starts, with a 2.04 RA.
-- Francis is 6-1, 2.51 in his last nine starts.
-- Mets are 7-0 with Sosa if they score two or more runs.
-- Hudson has a 2.33 RA in his last three starts.
-- Nationals are 3-1 in last four Simontacchi starts.
-- Wainwright is 2-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Davis is 2-1, 2.61 in his last three road starts. Giants won three of last four Lowry starts (2-1, 4.63).
-- Dodgers won last seven Penny starts (5-0, 1.47). San Diego is 12-4 in Peavy starts this season.

-- Miller is 3-1, 3.09 in four starts for Detroit.
-- Burres is 2-0, 3.21 in his last five starts, with last three all lost by Oriole bullpen.
-- Sabathia is 6-1, 2.75 in his last nine starts.
-- Beckett is 2-0, 1.29 in his last two starts; Red Sox are 12-2 in his starts this season.
-- Seattle is 7-2 with Batista when they score three or more runs. Jays won last six Halladay starts, scoring 52 runs.

Cold Pitchers
-- Former Rockie Jennings has 5.94 RA in his last three starts.
-- Kim is 0-2, 11.30 in his last three starts.
-- Pirates lost six of last eight Gorzelanny starts.
-- Happ was 1-2,4.02 in 13 AAA starts, allowing 62 hits in 62.2 IP with 65 strikeouts. This is his major league debut. Lohse is 0-3, 9.17 in his last three starts; Reds lost 10 of his last 12 outings.

-- Igawa is 1-1, 8.90 in six starts this season. Gaudin is 0-2, 6.35 in his last three starts.
-- Slowey has 7.17 RA in his last four starts.
-- Colon has 7.24 RA in six road starts, but Angels won five of the games, scoring 46 runs.
-- Devil Rays lost last four Howell starts (0-1, 6.64).
-- Rangers lost eight of last ten Tejeda starts.
-- White Sox lost five of last six Danks starts. Perez is 0-3, 7.76 in his last five home starts.

Totals
-- Last five games at Wrigley Field all went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Colorado road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Philly games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Atlanta road games.
-- Six of last seven Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen Arizona games.
-- Five of last six Dodger games went over the total.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Gaudin starts.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Minnesota road games.
-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Baltimore games.
-- Six of last eight Indian games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eleven Fenway games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight White Sox road games.
-- Over is 10-5 in last fifteen Toronto games.

Hot Teams
-- Brewers won 12 of their last 14 games. Cubs won their last six games, outscoring foes 34-20.
-- Atlanta won last three games, allowing three runs.
-- Mets won seven of their last eight games.
-- Houston won its last five home games.
-- Cardinals are 9-6 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Arizona won four of its last five games.
-- Padres are 12-5 in their last seventeen road games.

-- Tigers won eight of their last eleven games. Twins won seven of their last ten games.
-- Red Sox are 15-7 in last 22 home games.
-- Indians won seven of their last nine home games.
-- Rangers won six of their last nine games.
-- White Sox won four of last five games. Royals won their last five games, allowing eleven runs.
-- Mariners won last six games, outscoring foes 36-18.


Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost five of their last six games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last nine games. Nationals lost ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Phillies lost three of their last four games.
-- Reds lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
-- Colorado is 0-8 on road trip, blowing four last-inning leads.
-- Giants are 3-11 in last fourteen games.
-- Dodgers lost last three home games, outscored 20-10.

-- Bronx lost seven of last nine games, but is 9-1 in last 10 home games. Oakland lost seven of eight on this road trip so far.
-- Angels lost three of last four games. Orioles lost nine of their last eleven home games.
-- Devil Rays lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
-- Toronto lost three of its last four games.

Umpires
-- Mil-Chi-- Underdog is 8-5 in last thirteen Winters games.
-- Col-Hst-- Visitor is 9-3 in last twelve Darling games.
-- NY-Phil-- Under is 8-4-1 in last thirteen Scott games.
-- Atl-Fla-- Favorite won five of last six BWelke games.
-- Wsh-Pitt-- Under is 8-5 in last thirteen Miller games.
-- StL-Cin-- Underdog is 10-7 in last thirteen Drake games.
-- Az-SF-- Over is 8-3-2 in last thirteen Gibson games.
-- SD-LA-- Underdog won four of last five Reynolds games.

-- A's-NY--Home side is 14-4 in last eighteen Hernandez games.
-- Min-Det-- Underdog is 7-7 in last fourteen Culbreth games.
-- LA-Balt-- Underdog is 9-6 in last fifteen Nauert games.
-- TB-Cle-- Four of last five Timmons games stayed under total.
-- Tex-Bos-- Seven of last nine Reilly games went over total.
-- Chi-KC-- Underdog is 6-3 in last nine Danley games.
-- Tor-Sea-- Over is 12-3 in last fifteen Davidson games.

[Fenway222]

Thanks for posting guys ... appreciate it ...

Fenway

[pm530]

Thanks Fenway,

Good luck this weekend!

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys! Good Luck tonight!

[Udog]

Fenway and Dennis,

I hope you guys are having a great weekend! Good luck tonight!