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Father's Day Play

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  • Father's Day Play

    First off, HAPPY FATHER'S DAY to all Fathers at BC ... Hope you enjoy your day !!!! I know I will .... beers, Sox, NASCAR, final round of the US Open, more beers .... beautiful thing.

    Now onto the play for today..... what I've noticed in my capping is that I seem to do well when just playing my POD. I add plays when I hit early games and lose .... yesterday, I hit my 2nd "Home Run" unit with the Angels ... but lost on the total .... for a gain of 1.9 units (which is great, don;t get me wrong) ... but if I had just stuck with the HR unit, it would've been a gain of 4 units for the day ... much better ... so I'll try this for awhile and see how it works ... Will be using the same unit rating system though .... For Sunday:

    957) Texas/Cincinnati OVER 10.5 (-105) (Millwood/Arroyo) Triple Unit

    -Let's start with the pitchers: Millwood is 2-6 with a 7.82 ERA, Arroyo is 2-7 with a 4.98 ERA. In their lasst 3 games, they have been horrible. Millwood 0-2, 11.08 ERA with a 2.31 WHIP in 13 innings. Arroyo is 0-2 with an 8.61 ERA and a 1.87 WHIP..... very high numbers, especially in WHIP, which I think is a very important stat when betting totals.

    -Texas 5-1 O/U L6 games overall, 7-1-1 L9 on the road, 6-0-1 L7 vs a starter with a WHIP over 1.30

    -Cincy 4-1 O/U L5 games overall, Arroyo 6-0 OVER L6 games as a favorite, Cincy 4-0 OVER L4 vs a starter with a WHIP over 1.30

    -Ump Scott 4-1-1 O/U L6 interleague games behind the plate ...
    .... I like it .... GL today gents

    Fenway
    MLB 2007 YTD: 34-25 +8.95 units

    Single Unit: 10-9 -1.34 units
    Double Unit: 18-13 +1.9 units
    Triple Unit: 4-3 +0.40 units
    Home Run Unit: 2-0 +8 units
    5* Grand Salami: 0-0


    Kruise: 17-7 (+11.10)
    NASCAR 2007: 1-0 +1 unit


    MLB 2006: 42-20 +28.43 units

  • #2
    Good Luck Fenway!!
    "Calling an illegal alien an 'undocumented immigrant'
    is like calling a drug dealer an 'unlicensed pharmacist'"

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    • #3
      BOL with the over here fenway!!!
      SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

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      • #4
        gl and Happy Fathers Day to you....

        Good logic above, and that OVER is also one of my plays....get them damn runs in for us....By the 5th....I don't want to sweat it out....kapt


        Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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        • #5
          BOL today Fenway.Enjoy the day.
          Records listed in members records forum.

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          • #6
            Fenway, where do you get your ump info? Good job last week as well!
            Week 1 (6/10) +6 units

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            • #7
              ....1st off ... LSU ....Chado.....Kapt ....liberty....UA .... thanks guys & hope you had a great day ..........

              Today, hit the "POD" as Texas/Cincy went OVER .... also spent the day with my 1yr old daughter ..... taking her in/out of the pool then in/out/in/out/in/out.... you guys know what I'm talking about .... it was a great day and I hope every father had the same day as I ....

              2nd off .... I know I'm contradicting myself ..... but I'm adding a play for tonight ....

              979/980) NY Mets/NY Yankees UNDER 9.5 (-120) (O.Hernandez/Wang) Single Unit

              ....I really like this play ... just hit the Triple earlier, and don't want to lose most of it if I lose the bet ...

              -O Hernandez 3-2 2.38 ERA, 1.01 WHIP .... Wang 6-4, 3.49 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP.

              -UNDER is 12-1 in Wang's L13 at home as a favorite of -151 to -200 ... Yankees are 10-1-1 L12 for the same stat ... Yankees also 10-1-1 L12 games vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.

              -UNDER is 12-3 in Hernandez's L15 overall.,... and 5-1 L6 off of 5 days rest ....

              -Ump Winton 8-3 to the UNDER L11 games behind the plate ....

              Will play it for a single unit ... GL tonight gents ....

              Fenway
              MLB 2007 YTD: 34-25 +8.95 units

              Single Unit: 10-9 -1.34 units
              Double Unit: 18-13 +1.9 units
              Triple Unit: 4-3 +0.40 units
              Home Run Unit: 2-0 +8 units
              5* Grand Salami: 0-0


              Kruise: 17-7 (+11.10)
              NASCAR 2007: 1-0 +1 unit


              MLB 2006: 42-20 +28.43 units

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