MLB Sunday

[griswold]

YTD 12-9 +6.60 units
all plays 1*

Faves 1-0 +1.0 units
Dogs 11-8 +6.70 units
Totals 0-1 1-1. units

I had another winning day Saturday, grinding out 0.35 units as I split on yesterday's dogs, winning w/Atlanta against the nutso Cubs and losing a tough 1-0 game on the Twins.

1* A's +135
One thing is consistently true in baseball betting: reputation pitchers are given very big lines. In this case, the underdog pitcher is having a better year. Oakland's Gaudin has given up ZERO earned runs in his last two starts and two or less in four of his last five. His ERA is 1.96 over that stretch. Minnesota's Santana is also pitching well but in both overall season or last five games stats, Gaudin has better numbers. The Twins are a mere 6-5 in Santana starts with a lousy -306 in bettors' Return On Investment. The A's, on the other hand, are 8-3 in Gaudin starts for a huge +506 ROI. That means the public is consistently underbetting Gaudin and overbetting Santana. Not me. Take Oakland at the underdog price.

[BettorsChat]

gl Gris

[griswold]

Not a strong play but you might want to throw a little on Dan Wheldon at +400 to win this afternoon's IRL race in Milwaukee.

I'm trying to follow IRL this year because not many focus on it, as opposed to NASCAR where the lines have gotten much sharper as the books have learned what they're doing (they used to be clueless).

I probably won't have a strong IRL play for a couple more races but I'm tossing a small amount on this.

[Kaptain]

gl to ya with the A's Gris----two damn good pitchers, nice write, game too close to call for me....best to ya, and thanks for posting....kapt

[SACPAC]

Good Luck

[birdog]

good luck

[griswold]

With the win, I'm now just under +8 units on the year with all plays being only one unit. I'm especially happy with the fact that I've now hit 60 percent on dogs---all on money lines, no run lines.

Back tomorrow.

one other thing. Wheldon ran third. Decent but not worth a penny.

[TMAC951]

Nice call on the A's!