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MLB Monday: Three More Live Dogs

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  • MLB Monday: Three More Live Dogs

    YTD 8-6 +4.56 units
    all plays 1*

    Faves 1-0 +1.0 units
    Dogs 7-5 +4.66 units
    Totals 0-1 -1.1 units

    For the third day in a row, I went against the Yankees and got a big underdog line, and for the third day in a row they managed to lose (and win for me).

    1* Braves +108
    Milwaukee is regressing to the mean. After starting 24-10 against a very soft schedule, they are falling apart aginst the better teams. They've lost 13 of their last 17 and six in a row. How can they be favored?? Smoltz has been awesome for Atlanta. He gave up ZERO RUNS IN THREE OF HIS LAST FIVE STARTS and only two earned runs in the other two. That's a 1.05 ERA the last five starts and that's good enough for me.

    1* Rockies -102
    My baseball mantra is to "play the hot team." This is especially true if they are an otherwise poor team that's in the middle of a hot streak. The lines NEVER catch up. Colorado has won six in a row and while their pitcher is making his first start in six weeks, St. Louis' Looper is inconsistent and the Cardinals are just bad. Do you know how awful you have to be to be in fifth in the NL Central?

    1* Blue Jays +144
    This is now beyond absurd. The linemaker keeps posting these huge numbers on the Yankees despite the fact that they keep losing. I posted this game last night immediately after New York's latest loss and while the line has dropped a tad since then, it's still a great play. The wrong team is favored here. The pitching matchup is almost even as Toronto's Marcum has been outstanding since being put in the starting rotation. Pettitte is New York's best pitcher but there's no way a road team that is seven games under .500 should be a -160 favorite.

  • #2
    BOL tonight gris....glad to see that one of your dogs isnt the D-Rays!!!
    SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

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    • #3
      Originally posted by griswold
      1* Blue Jays +144
      This is now beyond absurd. The linemaker keeps posting these huge numbers on the Yankees despite the fact that they keep losing. I posted this game last night immediately after New York's latest loss and while the line has dropped a tad since then, it's still a great play. The wrong team is favored here. The pitching matchup is almost even as Toronto's Marcum has been outstanding since being put in the starting rotation. Pettitte is New York's best pitcher but there's no way a road team that is seven games under .500 should be a -160 favorite.
      Vegas just keeps doing this in hopes that the Yanks will start winning but I agree until it happens there is no reason that a team that is 7 games under 500 should be a -160 favourite even at home for that matter....
      SOBER SINCE MARCH 28TH OF 2007!!!

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      • #4
        Best of luck Gris!

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        • #5
          GL Gris! Was on Colo yest too. Noticed Stl Looper is
          something like 5-0 in 'DAY-games' with low ERA. He has
          never started agst Colo, has a 1-1 rec with 4.32 era
          out of `pen vs Colo.

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          • #6
            GL Gris!

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            • #7
              gl to ya today


              Don't make me go Cajun on your Ass!

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              • #8
                Good Luck Gris
                2012 - 2013 NCAAF

                21 - 20 - 0

                2012 - 2013 NFL

                14 - 10 - 1

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                • #9
                  Good Luck Gris
                  "Calling an illegal alien an 'undocumented immigrant'
                  is like calling a drug dealer an 'unlicensed pharmacist'"

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                  • #10
                    y-MAY THE FORCE BE WITH YOU OBIONEKINOBE !!
                    DON'T YOU EAT THE YELLOW SNOW !! PS-MARVIN LOVES SPLIT SALAD !!

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                    • #11
                      Im with ya on the BRAVES....BREWERS ARE REELING and Sheets has some question mark on his health tonite. Hard to bet toronto with there pitching and Pettite ON THE HILL....BUT THE YANKS have been terribly overpriced all yeare.

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                      • #12
                        Thendy,

                        Sheets had to leave his last start with a blister. Another reason to favor the Braves

                        As for the Yankees, it is ALWAYS hard to bet a big dog but that's why they pay you so much when you win. As I obsessively point out, if you go 1-1 on dogs you make money. If you go 2-1 on -200 favorites, you only break even.

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                        • #13
                          gl tonite gris!

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                          • #14
                            2-1 tonite and 4 in a row going against the Yankees, each time with a dog. Gee, I love that team.

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by griswold
                              2-1 tonite and 4 in a row going against the Yankees, each time with a dog. Gee, I love that team.

                              nice job tonight man.Think i gotta go with the yankees tomorrow though
                              MLB 2012***100-98 +$215 OR +2.15 UNITS
                              HUGE PLAYS 2-1

                              NFL 2011-2012** 6-10
                              0-0TOP PLAYS

                              NCAA FBL 2011-2012**** 26-23

                              4-1 TOP PLAYS


                              GOY 33-12 ALL SPORTS

                              AS of 6/3/12

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