Friday Trends and Indexes 05/25

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Trends and Indexes
Friday, May 25

Good Luck on day #145 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

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Weekend Sports Preview

With the NHL on break until the Stanley Cup final begins on Monday, sports fans and bettors will have to settle for the NBA playoffs, a full slate of baseball, Week 13 in the AFL, the WNBA, NASCAR and Formula 1 this weekend. That should be enough to tide them over.

The NBA takes a short break as well, with no games on Friday night. The Western Conference final resumes in Utah on Saturday, as the Spurs and Jazz clash in Game 3.

Sunday’s lone game has the Eastern Conference finals heading to Cleveland, where the Pistons and Cavaliers face off in Game 3 of that series.

On the diamond this weekend Cleveland and Detroit battle in a big divisional tilt in the Motor City that highlights the American League schedule. The rest of the AL slate includes Oakland at Baltimore, the Angels at Yankees, Boston at Texas, Toronto at Minnesota, Seattle at Kansas City and Tampa Bay at the White Sox.

In the National League the best matchup of the weekend has Milwaukee visiting San Diego. Also on tap in the NL are the Mets at Florida, Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, Philadelphia at Atlanta, Washington at St. Louis, Houston at Arizona, Colorado at San Francisco and the Cubs at the Dodgers.

Week 13 in the AFL kicks of on Friday night with Utah at Orlando (-8) and San Jose at Nashville (+6). There are five games on the gridiron on Saturday including Los Angeles at Kansas City (-5.5), Tampa Bay at Georgia (-10), Colorado at Grand Rapids (+6.5), Dallas at Columbus (+6) and Chicago at Arizona (+5.5). Sunday's lone game has Philadelphia traveling to Austin (+5.5).

The new WNBA season continues Friday night with three games, including Chicago at Minnesota, Seattle at San Antonio and Houston at Phoenix. There’s only one game on the WNBA schedule on Saturday, as Los Angeles visits Connecticut.

NASCAR returns to Lowe’s Motor Speedway this weekend for the longest race of the season, the Coca-Cola 600. Kasey Kahne won this race last season, but he’s still looking for his first checkered flag finish this year. Jimmie Johnson is the favorite at Lowe’s at 3/1, while points leader Jeff Gordon is also considered a top favorite at 5/1.

After a two-week break Formula 1 heads back to the track this weekend at the Monaco Grand Prix. Felipe Massa is coming off a win in Spain the last time the drivers of F1 took to the track, but Fernando Alonso was the fastest driver at Monaco last year.

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Six-pack for Friday

Breaking down major league trends, day-by-day........

Day_____Home W-L_____Favorites $$_____Over/under
Monday______44-37_________-$327__________36-42
Tuesday______54-50________-$317__________49-56
Wednesday___65-50_________-$441__________42-68
Thursday_____38-34________-$1,872_________30-39
Friday________52-49_________-$972_________45-48
Saturday_____57-45________ +$1,908_________58-41
Sunday______55-43________-$1,524_________43-49
TOTAL____365-308______-$3,544________303-343

Interesting that only night were favorites have been good is also only night where overs have been profitable. Is there a correlation between favorites and the over?

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Friday's list of 13: Random thoughts on a 90-degree day.....

13) Simply put, Cavaliers don't have complimentary players a championship teams need; there is no doubt in my mind Larry Hughes choked on the open 10-footer to give Cavaliers lead in last 0:10. Watch the replay, he fades away, instead of just knocking the shot down, like a confident player would have.

12) Cleveland scored 26 points in the second half, after they scored 34 in second quarter. Don't blame the refs, either.

11) Cowboys' new stadium is going to seat around 100,000, a little more than the Redskins' stadium does; it will also have 200 or so luxury boxes. Jerry Jones definitely knows business

10) Twins are just 5-5 in Santana starts, mainly because they scored three or less runs in seven of the ten games. They are 3-0 when they give him more than three runs.

9) Phillies-Marlins series was fun to watch this week; action all over the place: controversial calls, beanballs, clutch hits in late-game situations, rain delays, extra innings, even a closer blowing his shoulder out. Too bad no one in Miami goes to the games; there is that much to do in Florida?

8) I wasn't aware that PGA golfers (or their caddies) weren't allowed to walk the course before they play each day. Playing in the afternoon would be a big advantage, if they could.

7) A Canadian billionaire, one of guys who owns a company that makes Blackberrys, bought the Nashville Predators, so it will become a hot rumor that Preds will move to Hamilton, as it was rumored when he was trying to buy the Penguins.

6) Tommy John had pitched for 12 years in big leagues before he had the original "Tommy John surgery". After sitting out a season to rehab, he went on to pitch another 14 years in the majors. Wonder how many guys have had that operation in the 32 years since then?

5) Since April 21, JD Drew is hitting a paltry .169.

4) Astros lost their last five games by combined score of 40-5.

3) Carl Pavano's final tally for Bronx Bombers:
Money earned after contract expires in 2008 (he'll miss rest of this year and next after surgery): $39.5M, for four years
Starts: 19. Wins: 5. Losses: 7. Nicely done.

2) Seton Hall averaged averaged 6,636 fans in Meadowlands last year, fifteen miles from campus. This season, they move to a brand-new arena in Newark, four miles from the campus, and it should help them in recruiting. Maybe not next winter, but pretty soon, the Pirates will become a force again.

1) Six National League teams aren't playing on Memorial Day, a national holiday. What genius makes this schedule? There was a time when teams played doubleheaders on holidays. At the very least, every team should play, even if they take the next night off. It would help in promoting the game.

[pm530]

AFL
Long Sheet


Friday, May 25

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UTAH (5 - 7) at ORLANDO (7 - 4) - 5/25/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a division game this season.
UTAH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in May games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN JOSE (8 - 3) at NASHVILLE (5 - 7) - 5/25/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN JOSE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday this season.
SAN JOSE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 110 this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 2-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Friday, May 25

Utah (5-7) @ Orlando (7-4) -- Utah limping towards its bye losing last five games, after home loss to horrible Las Vegas squad last week, blowing 35-21 halftime lead. Blaze has only one INT in last eight games; they lost last three road games, by 1,21,19 points. Orlando won five of six since its bye; they have 11 picks in their last seven games. Predators' last four games all stayed under.


San Jose (8-3) @ Nashville (5-7) -- Cats won five in row, seven of last eight games; only one of their last seven wins was by less than 20 points, but those routs were at home- they're 2-3 on road, with wins by 8,7 points. Nashville ended three-game skid with an upset of Chicago last week; they are 2-4 at home, with losses in Music City by 2,33,12,22 pts. Last four San Jose tilts went under.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Friday, May 25

Hot Pitchers
-- Marlins won last three Mitre starts (2-0, 2.38). Hernandez has 2.81 RA in five starts; he comes off DL to start here.
-- Braves are 7-3 in Hudson starts; he has 1.80 RA in two starts against Phillies this season.
-- Maddux is 3-0, 1.23 in his last three home starts.
-- Cubs are 4-1 in last five Lilly starts (2-1, 3.41).

-- Angels are 4-1 in last five Weaver starts (3-1, 2.30). Clippard held Mets to one run in six IP in winning his debut Sunday nite.
-- Byrd is 3-0, 3.74 in his last five starts.
-- Bedard is 0-0, 2.00 in his last four starts. A's are 6-2 in Haren's last eight starts (4-0, 2.15).
-- McCarthy is 3-0, 2.28 in his last four starts. Red Sox won last six Matsuzaka starts, scoring 55 runs.
-- Royals are 4-1 in last five Meche starts; he beat his old mates 8-3 in Seattle April 28 (six IP, three runs allowed).
-- Shields is 2-0, 1.90 in his last six starts; Tampa led or was tied in all nine Shields starts, when he left game.
-- Baker won first '07 start, allowing two runs in 8.1 IP at Miller Park six days ago.

Cold Pitchers
-- Moyer is 1-2, 6.84 in his last four starts.
-- Harang is 2-2, 5.61 in his last five starts; he is 2-0, 6.59 in pair of starts vs Pittsburgh this season. Maholm is 1-4, 7.96 in his last five starts.
-- Cardinals are 0-8 in Reyes starts, outscored 37-15. Bowie gave up two runs in 3.2 IP in his first '07 start (his first MLB start since '99) a game Nationals later won 4-3.
-- Gonzalez is 0-2, 4.97 in his last four starts. Williams is 1-6, 5.98 in ten starts this season.
-- Brewers are 1-4 in last five Bush starts (1-3, 6.19).
-- Hirsh is 0-3, 5.91 in his last five starts. Cain is 1-3, 6.05 in his last four starts.
-- Lowe is 1-2, 4.64 in his last three starts.

-- Robertson is 1-2, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-2, 8.00 in his last three starts.
-- Buehrle is 0-1, 4.24 in his last four starts.
-- Litsch is 1-1, 3.55 in his first two big league starts.

Totals
-- Under is 8-2 in Mets' last ten road games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in Atlanta's last seven home games.
-- Over is 10-2 in Cincinnati's last dozen home games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Cardinals' last seven home games.
-- Under is 7-3 in Arizona's last ten games.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Colorado games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Dodger games stayed under the total.

-- Four of last five Angel road games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Cleveland's last six road games, 8-0-1 in Tigers' last nine home games.
-- Over is 7-2 in Baltimore's last nine home games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Boston's last eleven road games.
-- Four of Royals' last five games went over the total.
-- Under is 13-5-1 in last nineteen White Sox home games.
-- Over is 13-6-3 in Toronto road games this season.

Hot Teams
-- Marlins won seven of their last nine games.
-- Braves won five of their last six home games.
-- Cardinals won their last five home games. Nationals won last three games, scoring 24 runs; they're 10-4 in last 14 games.
-- Arizona is 3-1 in second game of home series, if they won the first game.
-- Padres won eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Colorado won its last two games, allowing a total of one run. Giants won last four games, allowing total of four runs.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last eleven home games.

-- Bronx won six of its last nine home games.
-- Detroit won five of its last six games, scoring 51 runs.
-- Red Sox are 12-5 in their last seventeen road games.
-- Royals won eight of their last eleven games.
-- White Sox won six of their last nine home games.
-- Toronto is 8-4 in its last dozen games. Twins are 4-2 in last six games, but 4-10 in last 14 at home.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost three of last four games, scoring seven runs.
-- Phillies lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Reds lost twelve of their last fifteen home games. Pirates lost their last five games, outscored 30-18.
-- Astros lost their last five games, outscored 40-5.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last ten road games.

-- Angels lost their last two games, allowing twenty runs.
-- Indians lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last eleven games. A's lost three of their last four games; they're 5-1 in last six road series openers.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Mariners lost six of their last nine games.
-- Devil Rays lost five of their last six road games.

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Friday, May 25

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New York Mets at Florida Marlins (7:05 PM ET)
After picking up his first two losses of the season, New York's John Maine will look to bounce back on the road. The right-hander is a perfect 4-0 with a 1.64 ERA in five starts away from Shea Stadium this season. EDGE: METS
Maine allowed just six earned runs in his first six starts in 2007, but has given up 11 runs in his last 16 innings of work. EDGE: MARLINS & OVER
Florida's Sergio Mitre is 0-2 at home this season despite having a fantastic 2.16 ERA in four starts. EDGE: UNDER
The OVER is 21-5-1 in the Marlins last 27 games versus the National League East.



Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles (7:05 PM ET)
Athletics right-hander Dan Haren is 1-2 on the road this season with a sparkling 1.64 ERA. EDGE: UNDER
Haren is an even 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA in five career starts against Baltimore. On April 23, he allowed just one run over seven innings, as the Athletics grabbed a 6-5 victory at Camden Yards. EDGE: A'S
Baltimore left-hander Erik Bedard hasn't picked up a victory since April 18, but the Orioles have won three out of his last five starts. SLIGHT EDGE: ORIOLES
Bedard is a disappointing 0-2 with a 5.16 ERA in five career starts against Oakland. He was knocked around for five runs and seven hits in a 6-5 road loss to Oakland on April 23. EDGE: A'S
The Athletics are 17-4 in Haren's last 21 starts versus the American League East.



Cleveland Indians at Detroit Tigers (7:05 PM ET)
Cleveland's Paul Byrd has picked up back-to-back victories for the first time this season, even though he's allowed eight runs and 16 hits in 14 innings. EDGE: INDIANS & OVER
Byrd has enjoyed a successful career against Detroit, going 6-2 with a 3.04 ERA in 12 starts. EDGE: INDIANS
Tigers starter Nate Robertson is 3-1 with a 4.33 ERA in six home starts in 2007. He grabbed a 8-7 victory against St. Louis in his last outing, allowing two runs and six hits over five innings. EDGE: TIGERS
Robertson has allowed 27 hits in his last 14 2/3 innings of work. EDGE: OVER
The Indians are 3-14 in Byrd's last 17 road starts.
The Tigers are 1-6 in Robertson's last seven starts versus the Indians.



Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (7:05 PM ET)
Los Angeles starter Jered Weaver has an even 2-2 record and fantastic 2.55 ERA in four road starts this season. EDGE: ANGELS & UNDER
Weaver picked up a victory against the Yankees last year in his only career start against them, allowing just one run and three hits while striking out eight in six innings. EDGE: ANGELS & UNDER
Yankees right-hander Tyler Clippard is set to make his second career start, after capturing a 6-2 victory over the Mets on Sunday. He allowed just one earned run and three hits in six innings. EDGE: YANKEES
The Yankees are 0-8 in their last eight Friday games.



Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET)
Red Sox right-hander Daisuke Matsuzaka has a great 3-1 record and 2.77 ERA in four starts away from Fenway Park. EDGE: RED SOX
Boston has won six straight starts with Matsuzaka on the hill, outscoring opponents 48-18 over that span. EDGE: RED SOX & OVER
Texas starter Brandon McCarthy is 1-1 with a 2.03 ERA in four career appearances against Boston. SLIGHT EDGE: RANGERS & UNDER
The Rangers have supplied McCarthy with 31 runs of supports in his last three starts - picking up victories in two of them. EDGE: RANGERS & OVER
The UNDER is 17-4-1 in Boston's last 22 games as a road favorite.



Seattle Mariners at Kansas City Royals (8:10 PM ET)
Mariners starter Felix Hernandez was dominant in his only road start this season, throwing a complete game shutout against the Red Sox, but he's allowed eight earned runs in his last nine innings of work. SLIGHT EDGE: ROYALS
Hernandez is 1-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his career against the Royals, allowing one run and three hits in his only start last season. EDGE: MARINERS
Kansas City right-hander Gil Meche grabbed a 8-3 victory over his former team on April 28, but he did allow a season-high 10 hits in the process. SLIGHT EDGE: MARINERS
The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.



Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres (10:05 PM ET)
Milwaukee's Dave Bush pitched an incredible game in his only start against San Diego, throwing a complete game and allowing just one run and three hits. EDGE: BREWERS
Bush is an even 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA in four road starts this season. The Brewers have lost his last three outings away from Miller Park, being outscored 12-29. EDGE: PADRES & OVER
Padres starter Greg Maddux is 3-1 with a 2.30 ERA in four home starts this season, including three straight wins. BIG EDGE: PADRES
The UNDER is 12-3-1 in the Padres' last 16 games overall.



Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:40 PM ET)
Chicago left-hander Ted Lilly is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in three career starts against the Dodgers. He's struck out 19 Dodgers in just 16 2/3 innings. EDGE: CUBS
Lilly is a perfect 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA in three road starts in 2007, including a 4-1 victory over Philadelphia on May 13. EDGE: CUBS
Dodgers pitcher Derek Lowe is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA in three home starts this season. EDGE: DODGERS
The Cubs are 6-1 in their last seven meetings in Los Angeles.

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[pm530]

MLB
”Baseball Today”


Friday, May 25

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SCOREBOARD

Friday, May 25

Milwaukee at San Diego (10:05 p.m. EDT). San Diego's Greg Maddux faces left-hander Dave Bush.

STARS Thursday

-Carlos Guillen, Tigers, homered twice and drove in five runs in a 12-0 rout of the Los Angeles Angels.

-Micah Owings, Astros, struck out a season-high eight in his first complete game to lead Houston to a 9-1 win over Arizona.

-John Smoltz, Braves, pitched seven shutout innings and became baseball''s first pitcher with 200 wins and 150 saves with a 2-1 win over the Mets.

FAST START

Ichiro Suzuki went 3-for-6 with a homer in his 1,000th major league game. Suzuki, who extended his hitting streak to 17 games, has 1,414 hits - the second most by a player in his first 1,000 games since 1900. Hall of Famer Al Simmons (1924-44) had 1,443 hits in that span.

MILESTONES

John Smoltz became baseball''s first pitcher with 200 wins and 150 saves, achieving the feat by throwing seven shutout innings to lead the Atlanta Braves to a 2-1 win over the New York Mets on Thursday night. Smoltz saved an Atlanta-record 154 games as the Braves' closer from 2001 through 2004. ... Frank Thomas hit his 493rd career home run in Toronto's 5-4, 10-inning win over Baltimore Thursday night, tying Lou Gehrig and Fred McGriff for 21st on the career list.

BAD NEWS BUCCANEERS

St. Louis beat Pittsburgh 3-1 on Thursday to complete a three-game sweep. Both of the Cardinals' sweeps this season have come against the Pirates, the other on the road in April. Before the series, the defending World Series champions had lost five in a row and were nine games below .500.

RUSTY ROCKET

Roger Clemens probably will make another minor league start before rejoining the New York Yankees. Clemens struggled Wednesday night for Double-A Trenton, allowing three runs and six hits with four walks, five strikeouts, a hit batter and a wild pitch in 5 1-3 innings. If the 44-year-old right-hander starts Monday at Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, he would be on track to make his first start for the Yankees at Fenway Park on June 2 or 3 against Boston.

WELCOME BACK

Jeremy Bonderman made a strong return from the disabled list Thursday to help Detroit beat the Los Angeles Angels 12-0. Bonderman (3-0), pitching for the first time since May 8 after missing two starts with a blister on his right middle finger, gave up four hits, walked five and struck out six in eight innings to win for the third time in as many starts.

STREAKS

The Arizona Diamondbacks routed Houston 9-1 on Thursday night, sending the Astros to their fifth straight loss.

WILD ONE

Carl Crawford had three RBIs and triggered a seven-run third inning, leading the Tampa Bay Devil Rays past the Seattle Mariners 13-12 on Thursday. Seven of Tampa Bay's nine starters drove in at least one run. Jae Seo (3-4) gave up seven runs and 13 hits over 5-plus innings to earn the win.

SPEAKING

''Sometimes you need a little fire. I''m not going to back down from anything. ... It's over with. We won. So keep moving.'' - Dontrelle Willis, angry because he thought the Phillies' Jon Lieber intentionally threw behind him in Florida''s 5-4, 11-inning win over the Phillies on Thursday. Willis began shouting at the Philadelphia dugout and the benches and bullpens emptied, but no players were ejected during the fourth-inning episode.

SEASONS May 25

1906 - Jesse Tannehill''s 3-0 victory over the Chicago White Sox snapped a 20-game losing streak - 19 at home - for the Boston Red Sox.

1935 - Babe Ruth, winding up his career with the Boston Braves, hit three homers and a single at Pittsburgh, but the Pirates won 11-7. Ruth connected once off Red Lucas and twice off Guy Bush.

1951 - Willie Mays, a highly touted rookie for the Giants, went 0-for-5 in his debut against the Philadelphia Phillies.

1982 - Ferguson Jenkins became the seventh pitcher to strike out 3,000 batters in the Chicago Cubs' 2-1 loss at San Diego. Jenkins reached the milestone by striking out Garry Templeton in the third inning.

2001 - Kerry Wood of the Chicago Cubs allowed one hit and struck out 14 in a 1-0 win over the Brewers. Wood took a no-hit bid into the seventh before giving up a leadoff single to Mark Loretta.

2001 - Hideo Nomo of the Boston Red Sox tossed a one-hitter and struck out 14 in a 4-0 win over Toronto. Nomo faced one batter over the minimum of 27, giving up a leadoff double in the fourth to Shannon Stewart.

2002 - Shawn Green of the Los Angeles Dodgers homered twice in a 10-5 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks, setting a major league record with seven homers in his last three games.

Today's birthdays: Jason Kubel, 25; Scott Hairston, 27; Chris Young, 28; Miguel Tejada, 31; Todd Walker, 34.

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[pm530]

Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index

Seattle at Kansas City
Gil Meche will look to rebound from a bad start in Colorado (5 runs on 8 hits over 5 innings) against the team that he beat on the road back on April 28. With the exception of the Colorado start, Meche has been the model of consistency. He has led the Royals to wins in four of his last five appearances, including a pair of victories over the AL's ERA leader Dan Haren. Meche's pitching has helped jumpstart the Royals, who are now 8-3 over their last 11 games. Seattle did take two-out-of-three from the last-place D-Rays heading in, but have struggled with a 3-6 record over their last nine games. Felix Hernandez, making his third start since coming off the DL, hasn't picked up a win since April 11. The Royals look like a good underdog pick (+116) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Kansas City favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+116). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, MAY 25

Game 901-902: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 16.542; Florida (Mitre) 17.255
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+125); Under

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.930; Atlanta (Hudson) 17.273
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-163); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-163); Under

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.047; Cincinnati (Harang) 15.498
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-160); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-160); Over

Game 907-908: Washington at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bowie) 14.604; St. Louis (Reyes) 16.226
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-163); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-163); Over

Game 909-910: Houston at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Williams) 15.804; Arizona (Gonzalez) 15.751
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+135); Under

Game 911-912: Milwaukee at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 14.964; San Diego (Maddux) 16.569
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-140); Under

Game 913-914: Colorado at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hirsh) 14.296; San Francisco (Cain) 16.966
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-180); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Lilly) 15.935; LA Dodgers (Lowe) 16.732
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-116); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-116); Under

Game 917-918: LA Angels at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 16.339; NY Yankees (Clippard) 17.538
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-125); Over

Game 919-920: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 16.269; Detroit (Robertson) 18.403
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 11
Vegas Line: Detroit (-136); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-136); Over

Game 921-922: Oakland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Haren) 16.652; Baltimore (Bedard) 15.743
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-114); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-114); Over

Game 923-924: Boston at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 17.342; Texas (McCarthy) 15.214
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-185); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-185); Over

Game 925-926: Seattle at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.293; Kansas City (Meche) 15.923
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-116); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+116); Over

Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.073; White Sox (Buehrle) 16.031
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-118); Over

Game 929-930: Toronto at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Litsch) 15.518; Minnesota (Baker) 16.961
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-130); Over

[pm530]

Baseball – Long Sheet

MLB
Long Sheet


Friday, May 25

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NY METS (29 - 17) at FLORIDA (23 - 24) - 7:05 PM
ORLANDO HERNANDEZ (R) vs. SERGIO MITRE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 132-88 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 71-39 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 24-11 (+11.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 64-45 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 31-12 (+18.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 130-87 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 97-64 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-2 (+0.2 Units) against FLORIDA this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

ORLANDO HERNANDEZ vs. FLORIDA since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 3-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 3-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.2 units)

SERGIO MITRE vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

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PHILADELPHIA (23 - 24) at ATLANTA (28 - 19) - 7:35 PM
JAMIE MOYER (L) vs. TIM HUDSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HUDSON is 170-95 (+37.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 96-38 (+32.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 159-86 (+39.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
HUDSON is 101-49 (+27.4 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
MOYER is 22-9 (+14.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 48-57 (-21.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-1 (+4.5 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JAMIE MOYER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
MOYER is 0-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

TIM HUDSON vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
HUDSON is 4-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.322.
His team's record is 6-4 (+1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.6 units)

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PITTSBURGH (19 - 27) at CINCINNATI (18 - 30) - 7:10 PM
PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 10-30 (-16.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-50 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 21-12 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
HARANG is 17-6 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 18-34 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-20 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 51-53 (-33.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 9-19 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-13 (-9.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-21 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
CINCINNATI is 18-34 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-28 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-16 (-11.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-19 (-13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
MAHOLM is 2-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.458.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)

AARON HARANG vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HARANG is 10-3 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.245.
His team's record is 10-5 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.3 units)

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WASHINGTON (19 - 29) at ST LOUIS (19 - 25) - 8:10 PM
MICAH BOWIE (L) vs. ANTHONY REYES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 19-51 (-22.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 113-108 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 113-108 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 63-80 (-34.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 33-44 (-24.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 109-105 (-32.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
REYES is 0-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
REYES is 0-8 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
REYES is 4-14 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REYES is 4-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
REYES is 4-12 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MICAH BOWIE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
BOWIE is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.765.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

ANTHONY REYES vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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HOUSTON (21 - 26) at ARIZONA (26 - 23) - 9:40 PM
WOODY WILLIAMS (R) vs. EDGAR GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 106-108 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-22 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-23 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-21 (-12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 106-108 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 77-83 (-15.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-18 (-8.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ARIZONA is 32-21 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
WILLIAMS is 168-135 (+33.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 145-108 (+38.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 123-80 (+44.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
WILLIAMS is 80-68 (+22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 412-360 (-63.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 57-63 (-32.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997.
ARIZONA is 412-360 (-63.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
ARIZONA is 293-264 (-50.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 (+0.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

WOODY WILLIAMS vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WILLIAMS is 9-7 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.203.
His team's record is 11-11 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-12. (-3.2 units)

EDGAR GONZALEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 12.46 and a WHIP of 2.191.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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MILWAUKEE (28 - 19) at SAN DIEGO (26 - 21) - 10:05 PM
DAVE BUSH (R) vs. GREG MADDUX (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 13-28 (-13.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-66 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-27 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 38-63 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BUSH is 5-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUSH is 5-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 34-18 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DAVE BUSH vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BUSH is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.00 and a WHIP of 0.556.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

GREG MADDUX vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
MADDUX is 13-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.66 and a WHIP of 1.072.
His team's record is 17-7 (+7.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-12. (-3.3 units)

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COLORADO (20 - 27) at SAN FRANCISCO (24 - 22) - 10:15 PM
JASON HIRSH (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 57-112 (-41.6 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 17-44 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 18-9 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 578-454 (+92.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-53 (-21.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CAIN is 0-7 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-4 (+1.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.7 Units)

JASON HIRSH vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HIRSH is 0-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

MATT CAIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
CAIN is 4-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.52 and a WHIP of 1.120.
His team's record is 5-3 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.6 units)

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CHICAGO CUBS (21 - 24) at LA DODGERS (27 - 20) - 10:40 PM
TED LILLY (L) vs. DEREK LOWE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 88-120 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 18-32 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 88-117 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 590-654 (-131.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 33-52 (-21.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 20-5 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 23-10 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 70-35 (+27.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TED LILLY vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LILLY is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

DEREK LOWE vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LOWE is 1-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

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LA ANGELS (28 - 20) at NY YANKEES (21 - 24) - 7:05 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. TYLER CLIPPARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 155-113 (+38.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 92-75 (+24.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
WEAVER is 10-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 21-24 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 40-39 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 73-65 (-45.6 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 0-7 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
NY YANKEES are 19-21 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 43-34 (-24.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 64-54 (-27.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JERED WEAVER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WEAVER is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

TYLER CLIPPARD vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CLEVELAND (28 - 17) at DETROIT (29 - 17) - 7:05 PM
PAUL BYRD (R) vs. NATE ROBERTSON (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 67-75 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-27 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BYRD is 5-15 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BYRD is 2-13 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BYRD is 1-9 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 31-17 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 17-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
DETROIT is 123-77 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 88-52 (+26.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 85-49 (+25.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ROBERTSON is 6-17 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PAUL BYRD vs. DETROIT since 1997
BYRD is 6-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.74 and a WHIP of 1.073.
His team's record is 8-4 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-5.0 units)

NATE ROBERTSON vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
ROBERTSON is 2-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.540.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-4. (+2.6 units)

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OAKLAND (23 - 23) at BALTIMORE (21 - 26) - 7:05 PM
DAN HAREN (R) vs. ERIK BEDARD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 30-47 (-23.0 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 10-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BEDARD is 16-8 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 119-96 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 58-50 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-6 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 109-86 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 120-89 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 90-101 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 90-101 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 187-235 (-75.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

DAN HAREN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
HAREN is 2-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.033.
His team's record is 3-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

ERIK BEDARD vs. OAKLAND since 1997
BEDARD is 0-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.416.
His team's record is 0-5 (-6.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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BOSTON (31 - 15) at TEXAS (18 - 29) - 8:05 PM
DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 35-42 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 31-15 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 12-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. BOSTON since 1997
MCCARTHY is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.571.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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SEATTLE (21 - 22) at KANSAS CITY (19 - 29) - 8:10 PM
FELIX HERNANDEZ (R) vs. GIL MECHE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 63-86 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 65-82 (+29.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 7-22 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MECHE is 26-37 (-18.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

GIL MECHE vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MECHE is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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TAMPA BAY (19 - 27) at CHI WHITE SOX (23 - 20) - 8:10 PM
JAMES SHIELDS (R) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 27-75 (-32.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 7-27 (-18.3 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-61 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 17-51 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 224-155 (+35.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 71-38 (+23.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 164-95 (+51.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 43-26 (+20.1 Units) against the money line after getting shut out since 1997.
BUEHRLE is 24-6 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 16-1 (+14.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 17-2 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAMES SHIELDS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

MARK BUEHRLE vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 3-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.17 and a WHIP of 1.091.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.1 units)

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TORONTO (21 - 25) at MINNESOTA (22 - 24) - 8:10 PM
JESSE LITSCH (R) vs. SCOTT BAKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 48-59 (-20.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 85-60 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 78-56 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 133-111 (+28.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JESSE LITSCH vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

SCOTT BAKER vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Streaking Pitchers

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Friday, May 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOT


Danny Haren (Oakland Athletics) - With Barry Zito bolting to San Francisco in the offseason, Danny Haren has embraced the ace role for the Oakland Athletics. The right-hander is 4-2 with a 1.74 ERA (lowest in the AL) and a spectacular 0.94 WHIP. Overall, he has allowed three or fewer runs in each of his 10 starts this season and has lasted at least five innings in all of them. Haren is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA in five career starts against the Orioles and 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in three starts at Camden Yards. Oddsmakers list the A's as -103 underdogs against Baltimore with the total set at 7 1/2 runs.

Paul Byrd (Cleveland Indians) - The veteran hurler is 4-1 with a solid 3.55 ERA and 1.25 WHIP this season for the Indians. Byrd is 3-0 in his last five outings and has allowed more than three earned runs just once over that period. Furthermore, the right-hander is 6-2 with a 3.04 ERA against the Detroit Tigers and has allowed over three earned just twice in his last 10 starts against the Tigers. Oddsmakers list the Indians as +113 road underdogs against Detroit with the total set at 10 runs.


COLD

Woody Williams (Houston Astros) - The season hasn't been kind to Woody Williams. He's 1-6 with a lofty 5.52 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts this season. The veteran starter is coming off his worst outing of the season, allowing five earned runs off eight hits in four innings against the Texas Rangers. Williams is 8-7 with a 3.27 ERA in 21 starts against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Oddsmakers list the Astros as +113 road underdogs against the Diamondbacks with the total set at 10 runs.

Paul Maholm (Pittsburgh Pirates) - Paul Maholm has struggled mightily this season against the Cincinnati Reds. The left-hander is 0-2 with a 10.00 ERA in two starts against the Reds last month, including his worst outing of the season where he allowed six earned runs and seven hits in four innings. Overall, the lefty is 2-6 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.49 WHIP and 2-3 with a 5.51 ERA in eight career starts against the Reds. The Pirates are also 6-13 in Maholm's last 19 starts outside PNC Park. Oddsmakers list the Pirates as +147 road underdogs with the total set at 9 1/2 runs.

Anthony Reyes (St. Louis Cardinals) - It's almost impossible for a pitcher to be any colder than Anthony Reyes. In fact, the only pitcher with more losses than Reyes is his own teammate, Kip Wells (2-8, 6.10 ERA). Reyes is 0-7 with an embarrassing 5.84 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in eight starts and is coming off his worst start of the campaign where he allowed seven earned runs and nine hits in just over five innings against the Detroit Tigers. Oddsmakers list the Cardinals as -160 home favorites with the total set at 9 runs.

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[pm530]

Baseball – Hot Lines

MLB
Hot Lines


Friday, May 25

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Oakland Athletics at Baltimore Orioles (-105, 7 ½)

Erik Bedard is the king of the no-decision.

The 28-year-old left-hander has pitched well in each of his last five starts, with a 2.73 ERA and 44 strikeouts in 33 innings. A shaky Orioles offense and an even shakier Orioles bullpen have kept Bedard from his fourth win of the season for over a month.

Baltimore has one of the worst bullpens in the major leagues this season. Orioles’ relievers have a 4.81 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP in 147 2/3 innings this season.

Their bats are also ice cold. Baltimore is averaging just four runs per game over its last six and has a .741 OPS during that time.

Bad news considering they are up against one of the best pitchers in baseball this season in Oakland’s Danny Haren. The big right-hander is second in the majors in ERA at 1.72 and third in WHIP at 0.94. He has allowed more than three runs just once in 10 starts this season.

Pick: Athletics -103


Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees (-121, 9 ½)

New York’s Tyler Clippard was lights out in his first career start against the New York Mets on Sunday Night Baseball, and says he’s pumped for his first career start at Yankee Stadium. Problem is, Clippard is only the second-best young pitcher in this matchup.

The Angels’ Jered Weaver is overcoming some early struggles to regain last season’s form. The 24-year-old is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in his last three starts, all Angels wins, after going 11-2 with a 2.56 ERA for Los Angeles last season.

The Yankees also have to be weary of a letdown in this spot after a week for intense baseball. New York just wrapped up back-to-back three-game series against its two biggest rivals – the Mets and the Boston Red Sox.

Pick: Angels +113


Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals (-160, 9)

The Nationals continue to roll against all odds. They took the final three games of their four-game series against Cincinnati this week and have now won 10 of their last 14 games overall despite being tagged as an underdog in every game.

Pitching carried Washington through the first 10 games of its streak, but it was the offense that really excelled against the Reds. The Nationals averaged eight runs per game during the series after failing to score more than seven runs in any one game in their first 44 games of the season.

They will have a great chance to keep their bats hot against struggling St. Louis starter Anthony Reyes. The 25-year-old is 0-7 with a 5.84 ERA in eight starts this season. Micah Bowie will pitch for Washington.

Pick: Nationals +152

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[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Friday, May 25th

National League

NY Mets at Florida, 7:05 ET
Jason Vargas (L) vs. Sergio Mitre (R)
Vargas: NYM 9-0 off a one run division loss
Mitre: Fla 21-5 Over vs. division opponents

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Jamie Moyer (L) vs. Tim Hudson (R)
Moyer: Phi 3-15 as an underdog
Hudson: 37-13 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Paul Maholm (L) vs. Aaron Harang (R)
Maholm: 0-9 TSR as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Harang: Cin 5-10 as a home favorite of -125 to -175

Washington at St. Louis, 8:10 ET
Micah Bowie (L) vs. Anthony Reyes (R)
Bowie: Wash 15-6 as an underdog of +125 to +175
Reyes: 0-8 TSR this season

Houston at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Woody Williams (R) vs. Edgar Gonzalez (R)
Williams: 15-1 Under Away when the total is 10 to 10.5
Gonzalez: Ari 23-8 as a favorite of -110 or higher

Milwaukee at San Diego, 10:05 ET
David Bush (R) vs. Greg Maddux (R)
Bush: 5-16 TSR in road starts
Maddux: SD 12-2 Under at home when the total is 7.5 or less

Colorado at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Jason Hirsh (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Hirsh: Col 6-0 revenging a loss where opponent scored 10+ runs
Cain: 0-7 TSR in night games

Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers, 10:40 ET WGN
Ted Lilly (L) vs. Derek Lowe (R)
Lilly: ChC 2-8 after allowing 1 run or less
Lowe: LAD 7-0 Over at home off BB wins


American League

LA Angels at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Tyler Clippard (R)
Weaver: 10-1 TSR when the total is 9 to 9.5
Clippard: NYY 0-7 on Friday

Cleveland at Detroit, 7:05 ET
Paul Byrd (R) vs. Nate Robertson (L)
Byrd: 1-9 TSR Away off a Cle win
Robertson: Det 18-3 after scoring 10+ runs

Oakland at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Dan Haren (R) vs. Erik Bedard (L)
Haren: 12-2 TSR vs. AL East
Bedard: 5-17 TSR when the total is 7 to 8.5

Boston at Texas, 8:05 ET
Daisuke Matsuzaka (R) vs. Brandon McCarthy (R)
Matsuzaka: Bos 12-2 off a loss
McCarthy: Tex 5-25 as a home 'dog

Seattle at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Felix Hernandez (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
Hernandez: Sea 28-14 Over after allowing 8+ runs
Meche: 17-11 TSR as an underdog

Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
James Shields (R) vs. Mark Buehrle (L)
Shields: TB 1-15 Away off BB home games
Buehrle: 16-1 TSR at home when the total is 8 to 8.5

Toronto at Minnesota, 8:10 ET
Jesse Litsch (R) vs. Scott Baker (R)
Litsch: 15-5 Over Away when the total is 8.5 to 10
Baker: Min 6-1 Over at home vs. Tor

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