Thursday Trends and Indexes 05/24

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Thursday, May 24


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PITTSBURGH (19 - 26) at ST LOUIS (18 - 25) - 1:10 PM
TOM GORZELANNY (L) vs. BRADEN LOOPER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 6-20 (-13.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 23-48 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 21-49 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 112-108 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 53-54 (-15.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 112-108 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 32-44 (-25.3 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 108-105 (-33.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-2 (+2.1 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.8 Units)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GORZELANNY is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.59 and a WHIP of 0.718.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
LOOPER is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.714.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)




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PHILADELPHIA (23 - 23) at FLORIDA (22 - 24) - 7:05 PM
JON LIEBER (R) vs. DONTRELLE WILLIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-16 (-10.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LIEBER is 11-17 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LIEBER is 75-45 (+25.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
FLORIDA is 17-28 (-15.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.2 Units)

JON LIEBER vs. FLORIDA since 1997
LIEBER is 8-8 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 5.41 and a WHIP of 1.409.
His team's record is 10-10 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-14. (-9.9 units)

DONTRELLE WILLIS vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
WILLIS is 8-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.111.
His team's record is 11-7 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-7. (+3.6 units)




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WASHINGTON (18 - 29) at CINCINNATI (18 - 29) - 7:10 PM
MIKE BACSIK (L) vs. MATT BELISLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 18-31 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 51-50 (-28.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 9-16 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
CINCINNATI is 18-31 (-13.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 10-25 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 8-16 (-8.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-1 (+1.9 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

MIKE BACSIK vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BACSIK is 0-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 12.47 and a WHIP of 2.540.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MATT BELISLE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
BELISLE is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




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NY METS (29 - 16) at ATLANTA (27 - 19) - 7:35 PM
TOM GLAVINE (L) vs. JOHN SMOLTZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SMOLTZ is 31-11 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SMOLTZ is 28-10 (+16.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 132-85 (+25.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 20-10 (+11.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 64-42 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 62-44 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
NY METS are 49-35 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 130-84 (+24.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 13-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
NY METS are 97-61 (+21.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 10-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY METS are 57-35 (+18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GLAVINE is 34-11 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 17-7 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 9-0 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 33-11 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 23-7 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 17-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 106-104 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 104-103 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 73-74 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 (+2.5 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

TOM GLAVINE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
GLAVINE is 3-10 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.49 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 4-13 (-9.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+1.3 units)

JOHN SMOLTZ vs. NY METS since 1997
SMOLTZ is 8-6 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.217.
His team's record is 10-9 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 12-6. (+5.6 units)




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HOUSTON (21 - 25) at ARIZONA (25 - 23) - 9:40 PM
WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L) vs. MICAH OWINGS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 106-105 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 261-253 (-54.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 15-33 (-16.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 146-162 (-46.5 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 106-105 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 409-360 (-66.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 409-360 (-66.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
ARIZONA is 184-181 (-43.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.059.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MICAH OWINGS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.




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CHICAGO CUBS (20 - 24) at SAN DIEGO (26 - 20) - 10:05 PM
JASON MARQUIS (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 87-120 (-34.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 17-32 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-25 (-19.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 87-117 (-31.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 589-654 (-132.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
MARQUIS is 71-78 (-33.4 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MARQUIS is 37-52 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN DIEGO is 117-97 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 34-17 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 117-97 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JASON MARQUIS vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MARQUIS is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.374.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
YOUNG is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)




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LA ANGELS (28 - 19) at DETROIT (28 - 17) - 1:05 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JEREMY BONDERMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 132-89 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 75-39 (+25.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-15 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 120-77 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 82-49 (+22.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 103-87 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 151-141 (+32.3 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 207-150 (+29.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 56-49 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SANTANA is 2-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.222.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

JEREMY BONDERMAN vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BONDERMAN is 2-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.09 and a WHIP of 1.205.
His team's record is 3-4 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.4 units)




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SEATTLE (21 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (18 - 27) - 3:10 PM
HORACIO RAMIREZ (L) vs. JAE SEO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 92-95 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 29-22 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

HORACIO RAMIREZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
RAMIREZ is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.199.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JAE SEO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SEO is 1-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)




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TORONTO (20 - 25) at BALTIMORE (21 - 25) - 7:05 PM
SHAUN MARCUM (R) vs. JEREMY GUTHRIE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 34-53 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 11-20 (-11.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 45-39 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 104-78 (+28.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 14-34 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 141-191 (-65.5 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4 (+0.1 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MARCUM is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 1.545.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

JEREMY GUTHRIE vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.




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CLEVELAND (27 - 17) at KANSAS CITY (19 - 28) - 8:10 PM
JEREMY SOWERS (L) vs. JORGE DE LA ROSA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 66-75 (-17.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 30-39 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 24-21 (+14.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 63-85 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 53-74 (+21.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 7-25 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+3.1 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)

JEREMY SOWERS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SOWERS is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 1-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 1-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 7.54 and a WHIP of 1.396.
His team's record is 1-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)




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[kbsooner21]

Thanks guys! Have a great day!

[Udog]

Good morning, kb! You have a great one, too!

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Cleveland at Detroit
The Pistons remain a tough team to peg as they can go from looking great on the road in Chicago (witness the series clincher) to sleepwalking at home (witness Game One versus Cleveland). Just what Detroit team will show up tonight is difficult to tell, but a clearer pattern has developed around the Cavaliers. Unfortunately for Cleveland, that pattern is a stumbling offense. Even with Chauncey Billups and Tayshaun Prince having off nights, the Cavalier offense couldn't take advantage as they mustered only 76 points on 37 percent shooting. Cleveland hasn't topped 90 points since Game Two of its series against New Jersey and has averaged just 81.6 ppg since that time. Those numbers don't look good considering Billups and Prince should have better games tonight. Detroit looks like the pick to cover the Vegas line (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Detroit favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 24

Game 707-708: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 123.694; Detroit 130.723
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 7; 171
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 175
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-5 1/2); 175

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Thursday, May 24


Los Angeles Angels at Detroit Tigers (-152, 9)

Ervin Santana’s struggles on the road get a lot of mention around these parts, and with due cause – the 24-year-old continues to lose every road start he makes and is now 0-4 with a 7.86 ERA in five starts away from L.A. this season.

Santana has a 1.97 WHIP and a .414 opponent’s on-base percentage in those games. He will be faded every time he goes on the road until he shows he can win a game. It’s as simple as that.

Jeremy Bonderman will start for Detroit.

Pick: Tigers -152




Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (+103, 10 ½)

Mariners starter Horacio Ramirez apparently graduated from the Ervin Santana school of pitching. The 27-year-old left-hander is 4-0 at home with a 2.19 ERA in four home starts, but is 0-2 with a 13.17 ERA in three road starts.

He’s up against a Devil Rays lineup that hits as well as any team in the majors at home. Tampa Bay’s 31 home runs at Tropicana Field this year are the third most in the majors. The Rays are also averaging 4.6 runs per game in their home park.

Tampa Bay has also been a strong home bet over the last three years. They are 133-134 at home over the last three seasons and have earned 23.05 units, meaning anyone who bet a dollar on every Tampa Bay home game since the beginning of the 2004 season is up $23.05.

Jae Seo will pitch for the Rays.

Pick: Devils Rays +103




Cleveland Indians at Kansas City Royals (+119, 10 ½)

The Indians' play at home belies their performance on the road. Cleveland has lost six of its last seven games away from home and are 10-13 on the road overall. That streak includes back-to-back losses to Kansas City to begin their three-game series.

The Royals also bring one of their strongest arms to the hill tonight in left-hander Jorge De La Rosa. The 26-year-old is 4-3 for a struggling Royals team and has a 3.59 ERA. He has been even more effective at home, where he is 3-1 with a 2.39 ERA.

Another left-hander, Jeremy Sowers, will pitch for the Indians.

Pick: Royals +119




Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres (-133, 7 ½)

Jason Marquis has been masquerading as one of the National League’s top starting pitchers, but that is beginning to unravel. Last year’s NL leader in home runs allowed has a 7.36 ERA in his last two starts (both no-decisions) but is still 5-1 with a 2.76 ERA on the season.

He will go up against one of the league’s most underrated starters. Six-foot-10 right-hander Chris Young has allowed just one earned run in 20 1/3 innings at home this season, good for a 0.44 ERA.

The Padres are also among the hottest teams in baseball. They are 7-2 over their last nine games and have earned 5.13 units.

Pick: San Diego -133

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, May 24th

National League

Pittsburgh at St. Louis, 1:10 EST
Tom Gorzelanny (L) vs. Braden Looper (R)
Gorzelanny: Pittsburgh 8-25 SU with a line of +125 to -125
Looper: St. Louis 14-6 SU at home vs. Pittsburgh

Philadelphia at Florida, 7:05 EST
Jon Lieber (R) vs. Dontrelle Willis (L)
Lieber: Philadelphia 3-14 SU as an underdog
Willis: 41-16 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less

Washington at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Mike Bacsik (L) vs. Matt Belisle (R)
Bacsik: Washington 7-27 SU after hitting 4+ home runs
Belisle: Cincinnati 7-0 Over as a home favorite of -150 or higher

NY Mets at Atlanta, 7:35 EST TBS
Tom Glavine (L) vs. John Smoltz (R)
Glavine: 17-5 TSR pitching off a team win
Smoltz: Atlanta 11-21 SU off BB games allowing 3 runs or less

Houston at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Wandy Rodriguez (L) vs. Micah Owings (R)
Rodriguez: Houston 15-33 SU as a road underdog of +125 or less
Owings: Arizona 13-4 SU off 3+ home games

Chicago Cubs at San Diego, 10:05 EST
Jason Marquis (R) vs. Chris Young (R)
Marquis: Cubs 15-5 Over away revenging a one-run loss
Young: San Diego 34-17 SU in May


American League

LA Angels at Detroit, 1:05 EST
Ervin Santana (R) vs. Jeremy Bonderman (R)
Santana: 11-2 Over away in the first half of the season
Bonderman: Detroit 17-3 SU at home after scoring 8+ runs

Seattle at Tampa Bay, 3:10 EST
Horacio Ramirez (L) vs. Jae Seo (R)
Ramirez: Seattle 10-2 SU off BB Unders
Seo: Tampa Bay 4-13 SU with a line of +125 to -125

Toronto at Baltimore, 7:05 EST
Shaun Marcum (R) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R)
Marcum: Toronto 11-20 SU vs. right-handed starters
Guthrie: Baltimore 12-2 SU as a home favorite

Cleveland at Kansas City, 8:10 EST
Jeremy Sowers (L) vs. Jorge De La Rosa (L)
Sowers: Cleveland 21-7 SU off an Over
De La Rosa: Kansas City 7-25 SU at home vs. left-handed starters

** (TC) Denotes Time Change