Monday Trends and Indexes 05/21

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Monday, May 21

Good Luck on day #141 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Six-pack for Monday

College basketball coaching; contract adjustments (ESPN's Andy Katz reported these figures on espn.com Friday).

-- John Calipari (Memphis) makes $1.8M+, and all he has to do is go unbeaten vs mostly stiff teams in Conference USA He'll get bored in that league before too much longer.

-- Reggie Theus (New Mexico State) saw his salary jump to $466,000, from $355,000, but as soon as NBA comes calling, he'll be gone. Aggies are going to have a huge hire when it comes time to fill the charismatic Theus' shoes.

-- Dennis Felton (Georgia) got a $50K raise to $760,000, and all he did was win one NIT game. Dawgs are expected to be an NCAA tournament team next winter.

-- Tony Bennett (Washington State) made $350,000 in 2007, least in Pac-10. He now has a new, seven-year contract with a substantial raise (exactly how much is unsure, but he isn't signing a seven-year deal without a whopping raise)

-- Southern Illinois is sick of losing coaches to schools with more resources; they jumped Chris Lowery's salary up from $250,000 to $750,000. Now thats a healthy raise.

-- Rick Pitino now makes $2.25M a year; he gets additional $3.6M if he is still coaching Louisville in 2013. Where does all this money for coaches in Kentucky come from?

[pm530]

Monday's Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend.........

13) People at Belmont Park have to be sick after Street Sense lost close Preakness; chance for Triple Crown winner would have been huge for Belmont Park and New York racing.

12) Right now, Tigers (11 games over .500), Braves (8 games over .500) would be the Wild Card teams. Memorial Day is a week away, so not too early to start following the races.

11) Bronx-Queens series this weekend was lackluster, both on Saturday and Sunday. Sloppy, uninspired ball; maybe it was the weather, or the prospect of bigger series looming during this coming week (Bronx-Boston, Mets-Braves).

10) John Smoltz hasn't allowed an earned run in 20.2 innings pitched in his career at Fenway Park.

9) 101 guys have played for both Bronx Bombers and Mets.

8) NBC dumped Buffalo-Ottawa playoff game that was going to overtime, so they could show Preakness pre-race special. NHL has to get on a network that shows it some respect and that people know where to find it. They need ESPN.

7) NBC can't be terribly excited about Ottawa Senators being in Cup finals, especially if they play Anaheim. Not that teams aren't worthy, because they are, but TV ratings aren't going to get a jumpstart from a Canadian team vs a California team. Maybe if they promoted the league by staying with overtime game Saturday, all parties might have benefitted.

6) Chone Figgins is 0 for last 22, and is hitting .103; if Angels can get him untracked, they're going to be tough to catch in the AL West. They also have resources to add payroll when the trading deadline rolls around.

5) Angels have outscored foes 48-15 in first inning this year.

4) Before Sunday, White Sox were only big league team that hadn't scored 5+ runs in an inning, but they scored seven in 7th inning to salvage last game of Windy City series.

3) Devil Rays are 18-25, a bad team; James Shields has started nine of the 43 games. Tampa led or was tied in all nine games when Shields was taken out. He should be an All-Star.

2) Speaking of Devil Rays, Rocco Baldelli is hurt again; could it be he is related to Carl Pavano? Baldelli is 1 for 38 in last ten games he actually played. Maybe his pride is hurt.

1) Rays played three games at Disney World during week and drew 8,443/8,839/9,635. Not entirely sure what their goals are for the Orlando area, but it seems like a viable organization is not going to be selling off home games to other cities, unless moving to that city was a possibility.

[pm530]

Baseball – Write up

MLB
Write-up


Monday, May 21

Hot Pitchers
-- Arroyo has 2.66 RA in his last six starts, but Reds are 2-7 in his starts this season, scoring two or less runs six times.
-- Sampson is 2-2, 3.00 in his last four starts.

-- Wakefield is 2-1, 2.14 in his last three starts.
-- Blanton is 2-0, 2.86 in his last three starts.
-- Seattle is 4-1 in Baek starts, scoring 34 runs in the four wins, getting shut out in only loss. Indians won eight of Sabathia's nine starts this season.

Cold Pitchers
-- Speigner allowed four runs in four IP in his first major league start, a game Nationals later won 6-4.
-- Webb is 0-2, 7.50 in three starts vs Colorado this year. Cook is 1-0, 5.50 in three starts against Arizona.
-- Tomko is 1-4, 7.96 in his last five starts. Suppan is 0-2, 6.92 in his last couple of starts.
-- Giants are 0-4 with Lowry if they score less than six runs.

-- Wang is 1-2, 5.31 in three home starts.
-- Rangers are 1-8 in Padilla starts this season (0-2, 9.26 in last two outings). Twins were outscored 12-1 in losing last three Silva starts.
-- Contreras is 1-2, 9.64 in three home starts.

Totals
-- Over is 7-1 in last eight Cincinnati home games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Arizona's last seven games.
-- Over is 14-3-1 in last 18 games at Dodger Stadium.
-- Under is 4-1 in Giants' last five games.

-- Under is 16-4-1 in Boston road games.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in Rangers' last dozen home games.
-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen White Sox home games.
-- Over is 8-4 in Cleveland's last dozen home games.


Hot Teams
-- Arizona won three of its last four games.

-- Red Sox won fourteen of their last eighteen games.
-- White Sox are 9-5 in their last fourteen games. A's won their last five road series openers.
-- Indians won fourteen of last sixteen home games.

Cold Teams
-- Reds lost fourteen of their last eighteen games. Nationals lost their last eight road games, outscored 37-18.
-- Colorado lost ten of its last fifteen road games.
-- Dodgers got swept in Anaheim, scoring four runs, but are 7-1 in their last eight home games. Brewers are 2-6 in last 8 games.
-- Astros lost three of their last four games. Giants are 4-8 in last dozen games, 1-3 in last four at home.

-- Bronx Bombers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Twins lost eight of their last eleven games. Texas lost nine of its last thirteen games.
-- Mariners lost four of their last five games.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Write up

NBA

Write-up


Monday, May 21

Detroit won three of four games vs Cleveland this season, with teams splitting pair in Auburn Hills (Cavs 101-97/Detroit 87-82). Cavs are 7-0 in playoffs when they score 86+ points; they're 4-1 on road. Detroit has edge in experience; this is fifth year in row for them in conference finals, while it is Lebron's first, but when the underdog has the best player on court, they are dangerous. Up to Hughes/Ilgauskus to step up, give some support.

[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Monday, May 21

New Orleans (4-6) @ Philadelphia (4-6) -- Soul lost six games in a row after 4-0 start; they scored 67 ppg in first four games, but in llosing streak, they've averaged just 40.7 ppg and are 2-5 against spread as favorite this season. Voodoo lost last three games, by 7,15,9 points; they're 2-3 as road underdog this season, losing by 2,23,7,9 pts on foreign soil. Three of last four New Orleans road games stayed under the total.

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Monday, May 21

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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (ESPN | 7:05 PM ET)
Boston starter Tim Wakefield is 9-14 with a 4.61 ERA in 43 career appearances against New York. He picked up his third loss of the season against the Yankees on April 28, allowing three earned runs and five hits over 5 1/3 innings of work. EDGE: YANKEES
Wakefield has been impressive on the road this season with a 3-2 record and 1.39 ERA. He's thrown fourteen shutout innings on the road in his last two starts, both victories over Minnesota and Toronto. EDGE: RED SOX
Yankees right-hander Chien-Ming Wang hopes to build off his last start, an 8-1 road victory over the White Sox. He surrendered just one run and six hits over seven innings. EDGE: YANKEES
The Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 road games versus a right-handed starter.


Washington Nationals at Cincinnati Reds (7:10 PM ET)
The Washington Nationals have lost eight straight road games and their offense ranks last in the NL in virtually every category. Washington has been outscored 37-18 during an eight-game road skid and is 5-15 away from RFK Stadium. EDGE: REDS
Cincinnati starter Bronson Arroyo is 1-0 in two career starts against Washington, allowing seven hits in 16 scoreless innings with three walks and 16 strikeouts. EDGE: REDS
The Reds won five of six games against the Nationals last season and have won 10 of the 12 meetings. EDGE: REDS
The OVER is 7-1 in the Reds' last eight home games.


Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers (8:05 PM ET)
Minnesota's Carlos Silva has posted a respectable 4.26 ERA over his last three outings, but all of them have been losses as he has only received one total run of support. SLIGHT EDGE: RANGERS & UNDER
Texas is averaging more than seven runs over its last five games, including a 14-1 rout at Houston on Sunday. EDGE: OVER

Rangers right-hander Vicente Padilla has lost his last two starts and endured one of his worst outings of the season on Wednesday. He allowed eight runs and 12 hits in four innings of an 11-8 loss to Tampa Bay. EDGE: TWINS & OVER
The Rangers are 1-8 in Padilla's last nine starts.


Oakland Athletics at Chicago White Sox (8:11 PM ET)
Jim Thome expects to make his first start for thte Chicago White Sox in nearly a month tonight. The slugger has been out since April 27 due to a strained muscle in his rib cage. EDGE: WHITE SOX
The White Sox clearly need Thome back in the lineup. They remain last in the majors with a .226 batting average and have scored an AL-low 160 runs. EDGE: UNDER
Oakland is one of just four AL teams with a winning road record at 11-9. EDGE: ATHLETICS
Athletics right-hander Joe Blanton is 2-0 with a 3.07 ERA over his last four outings and has pitched at least seven innings in five straight. EDGE: ATHLETICS
The UNDER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.


Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (9:40 PM ET)
Colorado right-hander Aaron Cook has pitched extremely well on the road this season, posting a 1-0 record and 2.96 ERA in four starts. EDGE: ROCKIES
The Rockies have picked up four straight victories with Cook on the mound, after starting the season with five consecutive losses. SLIGHT EDGE: ROCKIES
Arizona starter Brandon Webb is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA in three home starts this season. EDGE: ROCKIES
Webb is 7-6 with a 3.75 ERA in 18 career starts against the Rockies in his career. SLIGHT EDGE: D-BACKS
The Rockies are 3-13 in Cook's last 16 road starts.


Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET)
Milwaukee starter Jeff Suppan enters tonight's contest off back-to-back losses and has a 3-4 career mark against Los Angeles with a 3.78 ERA. EDGE: DODGERS
Suppan did pitch well against the Dodgers in his first start of the season, allowing two runs and seven hits over seven innings. SLIGHT EDGE: BREWERS
Los Angeles right-hander Brett Tomko is 7-1 with a 3.38 ERA in 13 career appearances (11 starts) against Milwaukee. BIG EDGE: DODGERS
Tomko's had all kinds of trouble at Dodger Stadium this season, going 0-2 with a 7.80 ERA in four appearances. EDGE: BREWERS
The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.


Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants (10:15 PM ET)
Houston starter Chris Sampson picked up a 2-1 home victory over San Francisco in his last start, scattering seven hits and allowing one run over six innings. EDGE: ASTROS
Sampson has faltered a bit on the road this season, going an even 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA in four starts. SLIGHT EDGE: GIANTS
San Francisco's Noah Lowry is 3-1 with a 1.45 ERA in four career starts against Houston. EDGE: GIANTS
Lowry has been dynamite in four home outings this season, posting a 3-1 record and 2.45 ERA. He's walked just eight batters while striking out 19 in 25 2/3 innings. EDGE: GIANTS
The Astros are 5-0 in their last five games versus a left-handed starter.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends


Monday, May 21

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#2 Cleveland Cavaliers at #1 Detroit Pistons
Game 1 - Monday, May 21st, 8 p.m. Eastern (TNT)

The Pistons know the Cavs can beat them in a game, but a seve-game series is another story. In fact, last year's second-round matchup was a huge wake-up call, as Detroit had to rally back from a 3-2 deficit to win that series. "What helps us is what they did to us last year," Detroit head coach Flip Saunders said. "That's a positive for us. They had us down, and we came back and knew we had to win Game 6 to get to Game 7. That's why this year, except for the one game when we got beat in overtime, we came out focused knowing if we didn't, they would beat us." EDGE: PISTONS
The Cavaliers are a better team than they were last year, as LeBron James has learned to trust his teammates a lot more. Larry Hughes is also heathier than he was last year and gives Cleveland a big guard for Chauncey Billups and Richard Hamilton to worry about. "The difference between them a year ago or two years ago and this year, is that they're not a one-man team," Saunders said. "They have more people they can go to, they play their bench more and they always seem to have someone who comes up big for them." EDGE: CAVS
Both teams showed flaws in the last round, losing a couple games apiece after sweeping their first-round opponents. The difference is that the Pistons played a much better foe, as both of Cleveland's opponents in the first two rounds barely finished .500. Detroit is playing in the Eastern Conference Finals for the fifth straight year while the Cavs haven't been here since 1992. That experience for the Pistons is a major advantage in this series. BIG EDGE: PISTONS
Cleveland is 18-6-1 ATS in its last 26 road games.
Detroit is 21-9-3 ATS in its last 33 games overall.
UNDER is 21-5 in the last 26 meetings, including 10-3 at Detroit.


Head-to-Head Recaps

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINALS (HOME team in CAPS)

SCHEDULE

5/21/07 - Game 1 - Cleveland Cavaliers at DETROIT PISTONS (TNT | 8 PM ET)
5/24/07 - Game 2 - Cleveland Cavaliers at DETROIT PISTONS (TNT | 8 PM ET)
5/27/07 - Game 3 - Detroit Pistons at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (TNT | 8:30 PM ET)
5/29/07 - Game 4 - Detroit Pistons at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (TNT | 8 PM ET)
5/31/07 - Game 5 - Cleveland Cavaliers at DETROIT PISTONS (TNT | 8 PM ET)
6/2/07 - Game 6 - Detroit Pistons at CLEVELAND CAVALIERS (TNT | 8:30 PM ET)
6/4/07 - Game 7 - Cleveland Cavaliers at DETROIT PISTONS (TNT | 8 PM ET)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Detroit wins 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS)
UNDER 3-1

4/8/07 - DETROIT 97, Cleveland 92 (ATS winner: Cleve +5.5 | UNDER 181)
3/7/07 - Cleveland 101, DETROIT 97 (ATS winner: Cleve +5 | OVER 179)
2/4/07 - Detroit 90, CLEVELAND 78 (ATS winner: Detroit +2.5 | UNDER 184)
12/27/06 - Detroit 87, CLEVELAND 71 (ATS winner: Detroit +3 | UNDER 184)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: LeBron James scored a season-high 41 points in the third meeting at Detroit to lead Cleveland to its first win against the Pistons since Game 5 of their second-round series last May. That was the only win in the regular-season series for the Cavs, as Detroit won both meetings in Cleveland by an average of 14 points. That lack of a home-court edge along with the Pistons' dominance on the road - where they were an Eastern Conference-best 27-14 - could be the difference.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Hot Lines

NBA
Hot Lines


Monday, May 21

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Cleveland Cavaliers at Detroit Pistons (-6, 176 ½)

The Cavs are going to quickly learn that the Pistons are a much better shooting team than the New Jersey Nets. Cleveland was credited with making things difficult for the Nets but in reality New Jersey simply doesn't have consistent shooters.

Jason Kidd and Richard Jefferson will never be mistaken for marksmen and Vince Carter is an average shooter behind the 3-point line. The Cavs are a good defensive team but they benefited from many missed opportunities when New Jersey had open looks.

Meanwhile the Pistons have shooters at every position and extend defenses because of their offensive touch on the perimeter.

“(The Pistons) play the game so well that you think you’re in the game and with about a minute and a half left in the quarter, they take it up a notch,” Cavs coach Mike Brown told the Cleveland Plain Dealer. “They’ll go on a small run and the next thing you know, you’re in the fourth quarter and you’re down eight we don’t know how it happened. We have to be extremely careful in how we close out quarters with this team because they’re one of the best at (closing quarters).”

There shouldn’t be any letup in the Pistons’ attack against Cleveland. The Cavs took Detroit to seven games in the playoffs last year even though the Pistons won the first two games. Cleveland is 0-11 in the franchise’s history when opening Game 1 of a series on the road.

Pick: Pistons -6

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Long Sheet

NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, May 21

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CLEVELAND (58 - 34) at DETROIT (61 - 31) - 5/21/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more this season.
DETROIT is 49-41 ATS (+3.9 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 99-83 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games this season.
DETROIT is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 11-8 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 12-7 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
16 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet


Monday, May 21

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B]NEW ORLEANS (4 - 6) at PHILADELPHIA (4 - 6)[/B] - 5/21/2007, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against National Conference, Eastern Division Opponents since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Monday, May 21st

National League

Washington at Cincinnati, 7:05 EST
Levale Speigner (R) vs. Bronson Arroyo (R)
Speigner: Wash 2-10 vs. Cincinnati
Arroyo: 2-0 TSR, 0.00 ERA vs. Washington

Colorado at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Aaron Cook (R) vs. Brandon Webb (R)
Cook: 4-18 TSR vs. division opponents
Webb: Ari 18-7 as a favorite of -110 or higher

Milwaukee at LA Dodgers, 10:10 EST
Jeff Suppan (R) vs. Brett Tomko (R)
Suppan: Mil 1-6 at LA Dodgers
Tomko: LAD 5-1 Over vs. Milwaukee

Houston at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Chris Sampson (R) vs. Noah Lowry (L)
Sampson:
Lowry: 11-2 Over as a home favorite of -125 to -175


American League

Boston at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
Tim Wakefield (R) vs. Chien-Ming Wang (R)
Wakefield: 11-1 Under Away 1st half of season
Wang: 9-1 Under at home when the total is 9 to 9.5

Minnesota at Texas, 8:05 EST
Carlos Silva (R) vs. Vicente Padilla (R)
Silva: 2-11 TSR Away when the money line is +125 to -125
Padilla: 14-3 TSR at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Oakland at Chicago White Sox, 8:05 EST
Joe Blanton (R) vs. Jose Contreras (R)
Blanton: Oak 19-5 Under vs. righties
Contreras: 17-6 Under when the total is 8 to 8.5


Write-In Game

Seattle at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Cha Seung Baek (R) vs. C.C. Sabathia (L)
Baek: 6-2 TSR as an underdog
Sabathia: 51-17 TSR as a favorite of -150 or more

.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Monday, May 21

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Conference Finals, Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
TV: TNT
Cleveland at Detroit, 8:05 EST

Cleveland:
17-8 ATS as a road underdog
16-3 Under vs. Detroit

Detroit:
9-18 ATS at home off a road game
17-6 Under in the conference finals

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[pm530]

Baseball – Long Sheet

MLB
Long Sheet


Monday, May 21

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WASHINGTON (16 - 28) at CINCINNATI (17 - 27) - 7:10 PM
LEVALE SPEIGNER (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 17-50 (-24.6 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 17-29 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 9-23 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CINCINNATI is 34-40 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 197-197 (-57.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 17-29 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 7-18 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 201-222 (-52.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 5-16 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in May games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

LEVALE SPEIGNER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.

BRONSON ARROYO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ARROYO is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.625.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

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COLORADO (18 - 26) at ARIZONA (24 - 21) - 9:40 PM
AARON COOK (R) vs. BRANDON WEBB (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 55-111 (-42.9 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 15-43 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COOK is 14-27 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 4-18 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COOK is 14-27 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 11-3 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 18-7 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 408-358 (-64.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
ARIZONA is 292-263 (-49.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 408-358 (-64.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 77-77 (-30.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 5-4 (-0.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

AARON COOK vs. ARIZONA since 1997
COOK is 4-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.436.
His team's record is 5-7 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-5. (+0.6 units)

BRANDON WEBB vs. COLORADO since 1997
WEBB is 7-6 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.360.
His team's record is 9-9 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-10. (-4.0 units)

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MILWAUKEE (27 - 17) at LA DODGERS (25 - 19) - 10:10 PM
JEFF SUPPAN (R) vs. BRETT TOMKO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 37-61 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-29 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 12-27 (-13.9 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-64 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-25 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 18-4 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 46-38 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 3-10 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JEFF SUPPAN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
SUPPAN is 4-4 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.298.
His team's record is 5-4 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.6 units)

BRETT TOMKO vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
TOMKO is 7-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.251.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.8 units)

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HOUSTON (21 - 22) at SAN FRANCISCO (21 - 22) - 10:15 PM
CHRIS SAMPSON (R) vs. NOAH LOWRY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 15-32 (-15.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 146-159 (-43.3 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 575-454 (+89.8 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-12 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.
LOWRY is 22-11 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-53 (-24.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOWRY is 4-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

CHRIS SAMPSON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
SAMPSON is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

NOAH LOWRY vs. HOUSTON since 1997
LOWRY is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.45 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 3-1 (+3.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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BOSTON (30 - 13) at NY YANKEES (19 - 23) - 7:05 PM
TIM WAKEFIELD (R) vs. CHIEN-MING WANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 34-40 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WAKEFIELD is 17-24 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 30-13 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 63-53 (-26.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 19-23 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 38-39 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 71-64 (-45.8 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 3-11 (-15.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-20 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 41-33 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-1 (+5.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

TIM WAKEFIELD vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WAKEFIELD is 9-12 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.255.
His team's record is 12-13 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-15. (-7.6 units)

CHIEN-MING WANG vs. BOSTON since 1997
WANG is 2-4 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.18 and a WHIP of 1.680.
His team's record is 2-5 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

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MINNESOTA (20 - 23) at TEXAS (17 - 27) - 8:05 PM
CARLOS SILVA (R) vs. VICENTE PADILLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 23-9 (+12.5 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
PADILLA is 14-3 (+10.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 84-59 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 76-55 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 39-48 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARLOS SILVA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SILVA is 2-3 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.37 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 2-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

VICENTE PADILLA vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PADILLA is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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OAKLAND (22 - 21) at CHI WHITE SOX (21 - 19) - 8:10 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. JOSE CONTRERAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 29-45 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 162-94 (+50.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 139-83 (+36.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 107-80 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 222-154 (+35.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 70-38 (+22.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-34 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-42 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 118-94 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 57-48 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 108-84 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BLANTON is 23-14 (+11.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

JOE BLANTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
BLANTON is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 2.200.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

JOSE CONTRERAS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
CONTRERAS is 2-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 6.37 and a WHIP of 1.753.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.0 units)

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SEATTLE (19 - 20) at CLEVELAND (26 - 15) - 7:05 PM
CHA SEUNG BAEK (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 16-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-9 (+12.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 28-15 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-4 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
SABATHIA is 64-27 (+25.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BAEK is 9-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAEK is 7-1 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BAEK is 6-0 (+8.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 65-73 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHA SEUNG BAEK vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BAEK is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SABATHIA is 5-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.03 and a WHIP of 1.278.
His team's record is 6-5 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-6. (-1.6 units)

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[pm530]

Baseball - Dunkel Index

MLB
Dunkel Index

Boston at NY Yankees
Despite last night's series-salvager against the Mets, the Yankees come into this important series having won only three of their last 10. Starter Chien-Ming Wang has been subpar at home with a 1-2 record and 5.37 ERA so far. The Red Sox took two-out-of-three from the Braves over the weekend and have now won 11 of their last 14. Tim Wakefield has been tough on the road with a 3-2 record and 1.40 ERA. With Boston having dominated the Yankees so far (5-1 record head-to-head), the Red Sox look like a good underdog pick (+136) according to Dunkel, which has Boston favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+136). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MAY 21

Game 901-902: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Speigner) 15.120; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 15.642
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-240); Under

Game 903-904: Colorado at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Cook) 14.904; Arizona (Webb) 15.917
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-178); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-178); Under

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 15.225; LA Dodgers (Tomko) 16.726
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+110); Over

Game 907-908: Houston at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sampson) 15.077; San Francisco (Lowry) 16.427
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over

Game 909-910: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 17.274; NY Yankees (Wang) 16.473
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-136); 10
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+136); Under

Game 911-912: Minnesota at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Silva) 14.310; Texas (Padilla) 15.252
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+110); Under

Game 913-914: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 16.075; White Sox (Contreras) 16.238
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-125); Over

Game 915-916: Seattle at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Baek) 15.436; Cleveland (Sabathia) 17.178
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-240); Over