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Sunday Trends and Indexes 05/13

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  • #16
    MLB
    Hot Lines



    Sunday, May 13


    Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets: (-114, 8 ½)

    It’s not every day you get this kind of value on the National League’s best team. It’s also not everyday that that team is the Milwaukee Brewers.

    The Brewers have won eight of their last 10, taking their record to a surprising 25-11 which includes a 12-3 trouncing of the New York Mets on Saturday. Milwaukee’s win was the sixth time in their last 10 games in which it held its opponent to fewer than four runs and the 18th time this season.

    The Brewers can get win No. 26 on Sunday when undefeated left-hander Chris Capuano takes the mound. The team is 7-0 when Capuano starts this season. He pitched eight scoreless innings last Monday against Washington, dropping his ERA to 2.31, good enough for seventh in the National League.

    Pick: Brewers +106




    Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates: (-103, 8)

    Atlanta has held its opponents to two runs per game during its five-game winning streak and why shouldn't they can stay stingy when right-hander Anthony Lerew makes a homecoming of sorts on Sunday in Pittsburgh?

    The Pennsylvania native brings his ever-improving sinker to PNC Park in front of family and friends on Mother’s Day. In his first start of the season, Lerew pitched six innings, struck out seven and allowed only two hits. Unfortunately, those two hits were solo home runs.

    He gets a break today against a Pirates team that ranks near the bottom in almost every MLB hitting statistic. Pittsburgh is batting .235 over its 35 games this season, averaging slightly more than three runs per game.

    Pick: Braves -105




    Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins: (+105, 9)

    Making your MLB debut on short notice in front of a nationally televised audience should be a breeze for any 24-year-old minor league pitcher, right? No pressure.

    Tigers pitching prospect Virgil Vasquez knew as early as Wednesday that he might get the call up to the bigs but wasn’t officially penciled in until the weekend. The lack of prep time forced him to rush to Minnesota on Saturday for his first major league start, which just happens to be against the Twins on Sunday Night Baseball.

    “It's your first big-league start,'' fellow pitcher Justin Verlander told reporters. “You're going to be over-anxious. You're going to be over-excited. It's just natural. But I know Virgil pretty well. He seems like the type of guy who could go out there and give us a chance to win.”

    Vasquez was one of five minor leaguers the club considered for the last-minute callup. He has a variety of different pitches with solid control but lacks overpowering velocity. He has a 4-2 record in Triple-A this season with a 2.88 ERA.

    Pick: Twins +105

    Comment


    • #17
      MLB
      Streaking Pitchers



      Sunday, May 13


      Hot Pitchers

      Chris Capuano (Milwaukee Brewers) - The southpaw has been favored in all of his seven starts this season and each time, the Brewers came out on top in those contests. He has allowed no more than four runs in any of his appearances and only one run total in his previous two road outings this year. Oddsmakers have the Brewers listed as +106 road underdogs against the Mets today.

      Josh Beckett (Boston Red Sox) - The 2003 World Series MVP is the early favorite to start for the American League in the Midsummer Classic. He has charged out of the gate with a major league leading 7-0 record. He has lasted at least seven innings in each of his last three outings and has only walked three batters in the process. The BoSox are -222 against their division rivals from Baltimore.

      Cold Pitchers

      Ervin Santana (Los Angeles Angels) - The Halos have just one win in Santana's last six appearances, including an 0-4 record away from Disneyland. Santana's ERA is nearly 8.00 on the road and opponents are batting .345 against him on their home field. Believe it or not, there is an upside to putting your money on Santana today. The Angels have won all five meetings with Texas this season and one of Santana's two victories this year came against the Rangers. Books have listed Los Angeles as -115 road favorites.

      Anthony Reyes (St. Louis Cardinals) - The defending champions have played under the total in all of Reyes' six outings this season and the Cards have been on the losing side each time. He has allowed no more than four runs in any of his outings, but the problem is that the Cards have scored three runs or fewer each time. St. Louis is +121 in San Diego and the over/under is 8 runs.

      Matt Cain (San Francisco Giants) - The righty has only managed one victory in his last 10 starts going back to last season. He has been favored in his last three outings, but the Giants have failed to cash in each time. This will be his second appearance at Coors Field this year. He allowed two hits during seven shutout innings against the Rockies in April, but he was not on the mound when the Giants lost that contest. San Francisco is -130 today and the total is 10 runs.

      Comment


      • #18
        Baseball - Short Sheet

        MLB
        Short Sheet


        Sunday, May 13th

        National League

        Milwaukee at NY Mets, 1:10 EST
        Chris Capuano (L) vs. Oliver Perez (L)
        Capuano: 18-5 TSR in the first half of the season
        Perez: 5-17 TSR in the first half of the season

        Florida at Washington, 1:35 EST
        Wes Obermueller (R) vs. Jason Simontacchi (R)
        Obermueller: Florida 19-5 Over vs. division opponents
        Simontacchi: Washington 6-17 SU vs. right-handed starters

        Atlanta at Pittsburgh, 1:35 EST TBS
        Anthony Lerew (R) vs. Ian Snell (R)
        Lerew: Atlanta 8-0 SU away with a line of +3 to -3
        Snell: Pittsburgh 22-47 SU in day games

        Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia, 1:35 EST WGN
        Ted Lilly (L) vs. Jon Lieber (R)
        Lilly: 1-9 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
        Lieber: Philadelphia 16-4 SU after scoring 10+ runs

        Arizona at Houston, 2:05 EST
        Doug Davis (L) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)
        Davis: Arizona 18-7 SU with a line of +125 to -125
        Rodriguez: Houston 22-8 Over after the bullpen allowed 0 runs in BB games

        San Francisco at Colorado, 3:05 EST
        Matt Cain (R) vs. Taylor Buchholz (R)
        Cain: San Francisco 4-14 SU revenging a loss as a road favorite
        Buchholz: Colorado 12-2 Under at home in May

        St. Louis at San Diego, 4:05 EST
        Anthony Reyes (R) vs. Justin Germano (R)
        Reyes: 1-9 TSR in the first half of the season
        Germano: San Diego 49-21 SU in May

        Cincinnati at LA Dodgers, 4:10 EST
        Bobby Livingston (L) vs. Mark Hendrickson (L)
        Livingston: Cincinnati 5-15 SU after losing 2 of their last 3 games
        Hendrickson: 14-5 TSR at home pitching off BB team wins


        American League

        Tampa Bay at Toronto, 1:05 EST
        Jae Seo (R) vs. Shaun Marcum (R)
        Seo: Tampa Bay 11-40 SU as a road underdog of +125 to +175
        Marcum: Toronto 11-2 Under at home off BB home games

        Baltimore at Boston, 2:05 EST
        Jeremy Guthrie (R) vs. Josh Beckett (R)
        Guthrie: Baltimore 12-28 SU after winning 4 of their last 5 games
        Beckett: 17-2 TSR at home in the first half of the season

        Kansas City at Chicago White Sox, 2:05 EST
        Jorge De La Rosa (L) vs. Javier Vazquez (R)
        De La Rosa: Kansas City 8-30 SU off BB division losses by 2 runs or less
        Vazquez: White Sox 23-8 SU off 3+ division wins

        LA Angels at Texas, 3:05 EST
        Ervin Santana (R) vs. Mike Wood (R)
        Santana: 15-5 Over away with a line of +125 to -125
        Wood: 5-23 TSR as a home underdog

        Cleveland at Oakland, 4:05 EST
        Cliff Lee (L) vs. Chad Gaudin (R)
        Lee: 14-5 TSR away in the first half of the season
        Gaudin: Oakland 15-4 Under with a line of +125 to -125

        NY Yankees at Seattle, 4:05 EST
        Andy Pettitte (L) vs. Horacio Ramirez (L)
        Pettitte: Yankees 2-8 SU off BB road games
        Ramirez: Seattle 5-1 Under vs. NY Yankees

        Detroit at Minnesota, 8:05 EST ESPN
        Virgil Vasquez (R) vs. Boof Bonser (R)
        Vasquez: Detroit 28-10 SU in May
        Bonser: Minnesota 10-2 Under at home vs. right-handed starters

        .

        Comment


        • #19
          Thanks Guys, much appreciated. Good Luck today!

          NCAA Hoops 14-14-1 -2.35 units NFL 2-1 +1 unit
          NBA 6-7-1 -2.32 units NHL 10-4-1 +3.95 units
          MLB 6-7-1 -2.95u WNBA 1-0 +1u. NCAAF 3-1 +1.5 u

          Comment


          • #20
            Hockey – Tips & Trends

            NHL
            Tips and trends



            Sunday, May 13

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Anaheim Ducks at Detroit Red Wings (7:30 PM ET)
            The favorite is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
            The UNDER is 10-1-1 in the last 12 meetings in Detroit.
            The UNDER is 22-5-4 in the last 31 meetings.
            The Ducks are 3-19-1 in the last 23 meetings in Detroit.

            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment


            • #21
              Originally posted by Dennis14072
              Thanks Guys, much appreciated. Good Luck today!
              Hey, Dennis! I'm kinda surprised to see you up at this hour! You still working nights?

              Good luck today!

              Comment


              • #22
                Off Sat night, gives me one day a week to feel human.

                NCAA Hoops 14-14-1 -2.35 units NFL 2-1 +1 unit
                NBA 6-7-1 -2.32 units NHL 10-4-1 +3.95 units
                MLB 6-7-1 -2.95u WNBA 1-0 +1u. NCAAF 3-1 +1.5 u

                Comment


                • #23
                  Baseball - Dunkel Index (correction)

                  MLB
                  Dunkel Index

                  (There was a typo on this game in the earler post)

                  Game 917-918: Tampa Bay at Toronto
                  Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Seo) 15.581; Toronto (Marcum) 13.710
                  Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 9
                  Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 11
                  Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140); Under

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    Originally posted by Dennis14072
                    Off Sat night, gives me one day a week to feel human.
                    I gotcha, buddy. I hope it's a real good one for you!

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      Pro Basketball – Write up (Utah-Golden St.)

                      NBA
                      Write-up
                      Utah Jazz / Golden State Warriors

                      Sunday, May 13

                      Utah scored 121.5 ppg in winning two home games to open the series, now they're visiting court where Warriors were 3-0 in the Dallas series, winning by 18,4,25 points. Golden State was 15-40 from arc in wild Game 2 (27-71 in series so far); Jackson (4-18), Barnes (3-12) need to make more shots. Jazz was 1-3 on road in Houston series, but now they've won four in row overall.

                      (Note: This write-up was posted in their prior match-up)

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        Hockey – Write up

                        NHL
                        Write-up


                        Sunday, May 13

                        Home side won all four Anaheim-Detroit games this season, as Ducks scored only one goal in pair of visits to Motor City (1-2/ 0-1), but won both games at Pond (4-1/4-2). Wings allowed nine goals in six-game San Jose series, only one in last two games. Anaheim has won both their series in five games, also giving up nine goals in last six games.

                        (Note: This write-up was posted in their prior match-up)

                        Comment

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