Saturday Trends and Indexes 05/12

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Saturday, May 12

Good Luck on day #132 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Write up

NBA
Write-up


Saturday, May 12

Cleveland held Nets to 84.5 ppg in winning first two series tilts, now go on road; they're 6-0 in playoffs, winning at Washington by 6,7 points. Jersey made 8-14 from arc, shot 52.3% for game, still lost Game 2. Cleveland was +14/+17 on boards in series so far. Carter needs to make more shots for Nets to have a chance. Like Bulls Thursday, this is huge game for Nets.

Spurs-Suns only series in this round to start 1-1; Nash assists are key stat for Phoenix-- he had 16 in Game 2, and when he is distributing ball like that, Phoenix very hard to beat. Spurs shot 42.9% in Game 2 after making half their shots in Game 1, as Sun guards did better job on Parker. Only third road playoff game for Suns, who split pair vs Lakers at Staples.

[pm530]

Hockey – Write up

NHL
Write-up


Saturday, May 12

Buffalo is 3-6 vs Ottawa this season, going 2-3 in five games on home ice vs Senators (2-4/1-3/3-2/6-5SO/2-5), and losing three of other four meetings. Senators are 5-1 on road in playoffs this spring; they gave up six goals in last four games. Sabres had a tough time in Ranger series; has it taken toll on them? Ottawa outshot Buffalo 34-20 in Game 1, scoring three times in the last period. Sabres had only five shots on goal in third period.

[pm530]

Arena Football League – Write up

AFL
Write-up


Saturday, May 12

Utah (5-5) @ Kansas City (5-4) -- Utah limping towards bye, with three straight losses, allowing 72.7 ppg; seven of their ten games went over total. KC plays good defense, allowing 41.2 ppg in its last five games, all of which stayed under. Utah is 2-3 on foreign soil, with road losses by 14,1,21 points. Brigade is 3-2 at home, winning home games by 13,1,11 points.

Austin (3-6) @ Arizona (2-8) -- Rattlers lost five of last six games; only games they won this year, they scored 68,83 points; they're 0-7 when they score less than 68, but Austin is struggling too, losing all four road games by 9,15,4,23 points. Five of the last six Austin games went over total, but four of last five Arizona tilts stayed under. Arizona is 1-2 vs spread as favorite in 2007.

Las Vegas (1-9) @ San Jose (6-3) -- Two teams going in different directions, as San Jose won three in row, five of last six games, while Vegas hasn't won since Week 2; they're 1-4 on road, losing by 21,27,1,10 points, but they covered three of last four tries as road dog. SaberCats are 4-0 as home favorite, winning by 20,28, 24,21 points; five of their last seven games went over the total.

Tampa Bay (3-6) @ Los Angeles (5-4) -- Storm 2-0 since bye, as Dietz has emerged as starting QB; they're 0-6 when they allow 46 or more points, a figure LA hit in seven of nine games this year. Avengers are 2-1 at home, scoring 65.7 ppg. Seven of last eight Tampa games, three of last four LA games went over total. Storm won at austin last week, their first road win in four attempts.

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Saturday, May 12

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Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox (1:05 PM ET)
Baltimore starter Steve Trachsel threw a complete game shutout against Boston in his only career start against him. He allowed just three hits and struck out 11 Red Sox batters. EDGE: ORIOLES
Red Sox right-hander Curt Schilling is 1-0 with a 2.86 ERA in three starts at home this season. Last season, the 40-year-old right-hander posted an incredible 9-1 reoord and 3.06 ERA in 14 starts at Fenway Park. BIG EDGE: RED SOX
Boston has won five out of seven games this year with Schilling on the mound. EDGE: RED SOX
The UNDER is 6-1 in Schilling's last seven starts against Baltimore.




Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets (1:10 PM ET)
Milwaukee's Ben Sheets has a 2-2 career record with a 5.65 ERA in five starts against New York. EDGE: OVER
Sheets has been unimpressive on the road this season, posting an 0-1 record and 7.88 ERA. He's allowed eight runs and 12 hits in just eight innings. EDGE: METS
New York right-hander Mike Pelfrey is a disappointing 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts at Shea Stadium this season. EDGE: BREWERS & OVER
The Mets have lost four straight games in which Pelfrey since grabbing a 3-2 victory over Washington on April 13. EDGE: BREWERS
The OVER is 4-0 in Sheets' last four road starts versus the Mets.




Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers (FOX | 3:45 PM ET)
Los Angeles starter Bartolo Colon is an unbelievable 16-5 with a 3.40 ERA in 24 starts against Texas in his career. BIG EDGE: ANGELS
Colon has made just one start on the road this year, picking up a 7-5 victory over Kansas City. He allowed five runs and nine hits over five innings of work. SLIGHT EDGE: OVER
Texas right-hander Kameron Loe is 2-3 with a 5.59 ERA in nine career appearances against Los Angeles. EDGE: OVER
Loe is coming off his longest start of the season, going 6 2/3 innings in a 3-2 victory over Toronto. EDGE: RANGERS
The Angels are 10-0 in Colon's last 10 starts versus the Rangers.




Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros (7:05 PM ET)
Arizona starter Livan Hernandez has had a successful career against Houston, posting an 8-4 record and 3.79 ERA in 13 career starts. EDGE: D-BACKS
Hernandez has allowed three earned runs or less in six of his seven outings this season. EDGE: UNDER
Houston's Roy Oswalt is a perfect 5-0 with a 1.64 ERA in six career starts against Arizona. He's also been dominant at home this season, going 3-1 with a 1.66 ERA. BIG EDGE: ASTROS
The UNDER is 7-1 in Hernandez's last eight starts.




San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (8:05 PM ET )
Giants ace Barry Zito has already started two games against the Rockies this season, with the Giants picking up wins in both. In his last start at Coors Field, he threw six shutout innings in an 8-0 victory. BIG EDGE: GIANTS
Zito has made three starts overall away from San Francisco this year, going 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA. EDGE: UNDER
Colorado starter Jeff Francis was on the losing end of Zito's 8-0 victory at Coors Field, getting rocked for seven runs on nine hits over five innings. EDGE: GIANTS
The Rockies are 5-0 in Francis' last five starts as a home underdog.




St. Louis Cardinals at San Diego Padres (10:05 PM ET)
St. Louis right-hander Braden Looper has been great on the road through three starts, going 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA. He bounced back from his worst performance of the year against Milwaukee on May 1st to pick up a 3-1 victory against Houston last time out. EDGE: CARDINALS
Padres starter Chris Young tallied seven shutout innings in his only career start against St. Louis. EDGE: UNDER
Young has picked up back-to-back victories in his last two outings, allowing just two runs over 14 innings. EDGE: PADRES
The Cardinals are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in San Diego.




Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers (10:10 PM ET)
Reds starter Kyle Lohse has dropped three games in a row since picking up his first victory of the season on April 15th. The Reds' offense has managed to score just 10 runs over that span. EDGE: DODGERS & UNDER
Los Angeles right-hander Brad Penny is enjoying a magical season through seven starts, posting a perfect 4-0 record and 1.39 ERA. BIG EDGE: DODGERS & UNDER
Penny is 5-2 with a 3.34 ERA in nine career starts against the Reds. EDGE: DODGERS
The OVER is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends


Saturday, May 12

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#2 Cleveland Cavaliers at #6 New Jersey Nets
Game 3 - Saturday, May 12th, 5 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

The Cavs remained unbeaten in the postseason by playing outstanding defense and taking advantage of their size advantage to rebound the ball with reckless abandon for the second straight game in this series. Cleveland again dominated the glass in Game 2 with a monster 19-3 edge in offensive rebounds. The Nets may choose to start rookie Josh Boone at center in Game 3 over the ineffective Jason Collins (five rebounds in 58 minutes so far in the series), but until they do, Cleveland still has a clear edge. EDGE: CAVS
The Nets need to push the tempo if they want to even this series - or even win a game. Cleveland held opponents to 92.9 points per game during the regular season, and the Nets fell to 8-30 SU when scoring 93 points or less after Tuesday's Game 2 loss. New Jersey averaged nearly 101 points in three home wins vs. Toronto in the first round, and experts expect a similar effort in Game 3. BIG EDGE: NETS
New Jersey's Vince Carter definitely plays better at home and also struggled mightily in the first two games of the playoffs at Toronto. Carter rebounded to average 32 points on 63 percent shooting in the next two games at home in the first round. Look for him to follow a similar pattern and go off in Game 3 here after shooting just 35 percent and averaging 23.5 points in the first two games of this series. EDGE: NETS
The Cavs have never been up 2-0 in the conference semfinals, winning 10 straight games going back to the regular season.
Cleveland star LeBron James has scored at least 20 points in all 19 of his playoff games, the second-longest streak to begin a career in NBA history - only Kareem Abdul-Jabbar has more with 27.
New Jersey is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games overall.
New Jersey is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings overall.
Cleveland is 8-0 ATS in its last 8 Saturday games.
Cleveland is 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 road games.
Cleveland is 30-13-1 ATS in its last 44 games overall.
OVER is 7-3 in New Jersey's last 10 vs. Central Division opponents.
OVER is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
First-round Results: Cleveland | New Jersey

Head-to-Head Recaps
SECOND-ROUND RESULTS (HOME team in CAPS)

Cleveland leads 2-0 SU (1-1 ATS)
OVER/UNDER 1-1

5/8/07 - Game 2: CLEVELAND 102, New Jersey 92 (ATS winner: Cleve -4.5 | OVER 180.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: Similar to their first-round series with the Wizards, the Cavs turned it on in the fourth quarter, outscoring New Jersey 28-19 to earn the victory and a cover for their backers. Cleveland's LeBron James scored 25 of his 36 points after halftime and totaled 12 assists to help put the Nets away and push the pace for an easy OVER.

5/6/07 - Game 1: CLEVELAND 81, New Jersey 77 (ATS winner: NJ +6 | UNDER 184.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: Both teams struggled offensively in the lowest-scoring game of the playoffs so far, cashing an easy UNDER. The Nets managed to stay close despite shooting just 37 percent from the field, pulling within 79-77 with 19.5 seconds left on two free throws by Vince Carter. LeBron James answered for Cleveland with the final basket of the game on a driving lineup, and the Cavs held on the win but not the cover.

REMAINING SCHEDULE

5/12/07 - Game 3 - Cleveland at NEW JERSEY (ESPN | 5 PM ET)
5/14/07 - Game 4 - Cleveland at NEW JERSEY (TNT | 7 PM ET)
5/16/07 - Game 5 - New Jersey at CLEVELAND (TNT | TBD)
5/18/07 - Game 6 - Cleveland at NEW JERSEY (ESPN | TBD)
5/20/07 - Game 7 - New Jersey at CLEVELAND (TNT | TBD)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Cleveland wins 2-1 SU (New Jersey 2-1 ATS)
OVER 2-1

4/12/07 - CLEVELAND 94, New Jersey 76 (ATS winner: Cleve -6 | UNDER 186)
1/6/06 - CLEVELAND 96, New Jersey 91 (ATS winner: NJ +6.5 | OVER 186.5)
12/20/06 - NEW JERSEY 113, Cleveland 111 (ATS winner: NJ -1 | OVER 186)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: The Cavs have turned things around against the Nets over the last two years, winning four of the last five meetings, including two of three this season. New Jersey had won the previous five meetings and is still 12-2 ATS in the last 14 games between the teams, including 7-1 in Cleveland. All eyes will be on Cavs star LeBron James, who averaged 30.3 points in the last three games against the Nets, going for 35 or more twice. James poses a huge matchup problem for New Jersey since Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson were not at a size disadvantage in the first round against Toronto. They will be here, and it could very well be the difference as James will likely look to take over this series on his own.



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#2 Phoenix Suns at #3 San Antonio Spurs
Game 3 - Saturday, May 12th, 8 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

San Antonio's Tony Parker was held in check in Game 2 thanks to Phoenix forward Shawn Marion, who made it much more difficult for Parker to get his shot off after he burned the Suns with 32 points and eight assists in Game 1. Parker had just 13 points on 5-of-14 shooting in Game 2 with only three assists, and It's clear the best way to disrupt him is to be physical. EDGE: SUNS
The Suns nearly held their own on the boards in Game 2, getting outrebounded by the slimmest of margins, 40-39. This after getting outrebounded 49-35 in Game 1. Phoenix now needs to keep up the good work on the glass away from home in order to have a chance at re-gaining home-court advantage. Inserting Kurt Thomas into the starting lineup definitely helped get better shots for Amare Stoudemire as well, as he improved his shooting from 6-of-19 in Game 1 to 10-of-16 in Game 2. The Suns are 8-0 all-time with Thomas as a starter. EDGE: SUNS
Each team has won playing the other's style in the first two games, a sign this could very well go the distance. Insiders expect another gritty defensive-minded tempo in Game 3, which definitely would benefit San Antonio playing on its home court. EDGE: SPURS
Stoudemire has publicly criticized the Spurs as being a "dirty team" and said San Antonio's Bruce Bowen "purposely kicked him in the back of his Achilles" during Game 2 (click to see the video). This is not the first time Bowen or Manu Ginobili have been called out by the opposition, so it will be interesting to see if the officials pay extra attention to them at home. SLIGHT EDGE: SUNS
San Antonio is 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings overall.
UNDER is 9-1 in San Antonio's last 10 games.
First-round Results: Phoenix | San Antonio

Head-to-Head Recaps
SECOND-ROUND RESULTS (HOME team in CAPS)

Series tied 1-1 SU & ATS
OVER/UNDER 1-1

5/8/07 - Game 2: PHOENIX 101, San Antonio 81 (ATS winner: Pho -5 | UNDER 205)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Suns rebounded from a slow start, outscoring the Spurs 30-17 in the second quarter after totaling just 19 in the first to take a 49-42 halftime lead. Phoenix then duplicated its second-quarter magic in the fourth to turn a close game into a rout and showed much-improved defense to push the total way UNDER.

5/6/07 - Game 1: San Antonio 111, PHOENIX 106 (ATS winner: SA +4.5 | UNDER 199.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: This was a classic playoff battle throughout, leading up to a violent collision between Phoenix point guard Steve Nash and San Antonio's Tony Parker with 2:53 remaining. Nash got the worst of it and had to leave the game in the final minute with a bloody nose that required six stitches at the end of the game. His absence led to two failed offensive possessions, and a return with 9.1 seconds left was too late. The Spurs won despite the pace being far more high-scoring than they like, as they made a couple more big shots and held a 49-35 rebounding edge.

REMAINING SCHEDULE

5/12/07 - Game 3: Phoenix at SAN ANTONIO (ABC | 8 PM ET)
5/14/07 - Game 4: Phoenix at SAN ANTONIO (TNT | 9:30 PM ET)
5/16/07 - Game 5: San Antonio at PHOENIX (TNT | TBD)
5/18/07 - Game 6: Phoenix at SAN ANTONIO (ESPN | TBD)
5/20/07 - Game 7: San Antonio at PHOENIX ( TBD)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

San Antonio wins 2-1 SU (Phoenix 2-1 ATS)
UNDER 2-1

4/5/07 - SAN ANTONIO 92, Phoenix 85 (ATS winner: SA -4 | UNDER 205.5)
2/1/07 - PHOENIX 103, San Antonio 87 (ATS winner: Pho -6.5 | UNDER 206)
11/8/06 - SAN ANTONIO 111, Phoenix 106 (ATS winner: Pho +5.5 | OVER 206)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: Home court was the deciding factor in all three meetings this season, with the first going OVER in overtime. San Antonio's Tony Parker was the top overall player in the season series, getting the best of Phoenix's Steve Nash by averaging 28 points per game. The Suns obviously love to run, and the Spurs are better at adapting to this style of play with Parker and Manu Ginobili, who scored 32 points off the bench in the second meeting. Phoenix has a much more difficult time when it becomes a more defensive-minded game, proven by the last meeting. Whichever team can dictate the tempo more will likely win this series and become the favorite to represent the Western Conference in the 2007 NBA Finals.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Long Sheet

NBA
Long Sheet


Saturday, May 12

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CLEVELAND (56 - 32) at NEW JERSEY (45 - 45) - 5/12/2007, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 97-81 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 10-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-6 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




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PHOENIX (66 - 23) at SAN ANTONIO (63 - 26) - 5/12/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when tied in a playoff series since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 118-84 ATS (+25.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 183-145 ATS (+23.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 102-86 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 11-6 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 12-5 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet


Saturday, May 12

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UTAH (5 - 5) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 4) - 5/12/2007, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-0 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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AUSTIN (3 - 6) at ARIZONA (2 - 8) - 5/12/2007, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1996.
ARIZONA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record after 8 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus AUSTIN over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 straight up against AUSTIN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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LAS VEGAS (1 - 9) at SAN JOSE (6 - 3) - 5/12/2007, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LAS VEGAS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games off a division game since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 110 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-1 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-1 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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TAMPA BAY (3 - 6) at LOS ANGELES (5 - 4) - 5/12/2007, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 44-24 ATS (+17.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
TAMPA BAY is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Saturday, May 12th

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game Three
Cleveland Leads, 2-0
TV: ESPN
Cleveland at New Jersey, 5:05 EST

Cleveland:
27-13 ATS off BB home games
13-5 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less

New Jersey:
6-16 ATS off a road loss by 10+ points
7-1 Over when trailing in a playoff series


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Western Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game Three
Series Tied, 1-1
TV: ABC
Phoenix at San Antonio, 8:05 EST

Phoenix:
14-4 ATS after playing 3+ games as a home favorite
13-2 ATS away with a total of 200 to 204.5 points

San Antonio:
3-13 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less
13-2 Under at home playing with 3+ days rest

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[Udog]

NBA
Write-up


Saturday, May 12


Utah scored 121.5 ppg in winning two home games to open the series, now they're visiting court where Warriors were 3-0 in the Dallas series, winning by 18,4,25 points. Golden State was 15-40 from arc in wild Game 2 (27-71 in series so far); Jackson (4-18), Barnes (3-12) need to make more shots. Jazz was 1-3 on road in Houston series, but now they've won four in row overall.

Cleveland held Nets to 84.5 ppg in winning first two series tilts, now go on road; they're 6-0 in playoffs, winning at Washington by 6,7 points. Jersey made 8-14 from arc, shot 52.3% for game, still lost Game 2. Cleveland was +14/+17 on boards in series so far. Carter needs to make more shots for Nets to have a chance. Like Bulls Thursday, this is huge game for Nets.

Spurs-Suns only series in this round to start 1-1; Nash assists are key stat for Phoenix-- he had 16 in Game 2, and when he is distributing ball like that, Phoenix very hard to beat. Spurs shot 42.9% in Game 2 after making half their shots in Game 1, as Sun guards did better job on Parker. Only third road playoff game for Suns, who split pair vs Lakers at Staples.

Detroit hammered Bulls in two games at Palace, 95-69/108-87, as Bulls shot 32.9/34.3% from floor in two bad losses, then Pistons came back from down 16 at half to virtually clinch series. Teams in NBA who lead playoff series 3-0 are 81-0 in series. The home side has led by 13,15,16 at half in series. Question now for the Bulls is whether they're in tank, or will they keep fighting? They shot 33.7% from floor at home; they need to find ways to score.

[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet


Saturday, May 12


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OTTAWA (57-26-0-10, 124 pts.) at BUFFALO (61-25-0-8, 130 pts.) - 5/12/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 66-43 ATS (-29.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 38-32 ATS (-27.8 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 81-82 ATS (-45.3 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.
BUFFALO is 124-70 ATS (-1.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 124-70 ATS (+19.7 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 124-70 ATS (+124.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 164-102 ATS (+61.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 45-25 ATS (+12.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 45-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 129-80 ATS (+29.6 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 55-39 ATS (+3.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 142-118 ATS (+271.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
BUFFALO is 10-16 ATS (-20.0 Units) on Saturday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 12-10-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)




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[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Saturday, May 12


HOT

Curt Schilling (Boston Red Sox) – The old veteran is up to his usual self lately, winning his last four decisions and improving to 4-1 on the season. Today Schilling will face the Baltimore Orioles, a team he’s had success against in the past. He’s won his last four starts against the O’s including a 6-1 victory over them a little over two weeks ago. Books have the Red Sox set as –228 faves for today’s affair.

Chad Durbin (Detroit Tigers) – Durbin has been a pleasant surprise for the Tigers so far this season. After a slow start, the journeyman has reeled off two straight wins in which he allowed just four earned runs. The Tigers have been victorious in Durbin’s last three trips to the mound and have won 10 of their last 11 overall. They take on the Twins as –115 favorites in Game 2 of a three-game set with Minnesota today.

Fausto Carmona (Cleveland Indians) – Carmona went 3-0 in his last three starts with a 1.17 ERA and all it earned him was a demotion to the minors. The 23-year-old was sent down when Cliff Lee returned the rotation. Carmona got the call to return to the big club after Jake Westbrook recently went down with an injury, and will look to continue his dominance today when the Indians take on the Oakland Athletics as –124 faves. The total is set at 9 ½.

COLD

Edwin Jackson (Tampa Bay Devil Rays) – Last night Tampa Bay did what no other team could do this month: lose to the injury-plagued Toronto Blue Jays. Today’s starter knows all about losing. Jackson is 0-5 on the season with an ugly 6.99 ERA. If that’s not bad enough, he has a career ERA of 11.10 against right-handed hitters and will face a Jays’ lineup that consists mainly of right-handed sluggers. Oddsmakers have the D-Rays listed as +117 dogs for this afternoon’s contest.

Mike Pelfrey (New York Mets) – Pelfrey, you are the weakest link. The Mets youngster is the only starter on the roster with a below .500 record. At 0-4 with a 6.39 ERA, Pelfrey is by far the most vulnerable of New York’s staff and today's opponent, the Brewers, with their seventh-ranked offense in the league, will look to expose him. The Mets enter the game on a three-game winning streak and are listed as +110 underdogs with the total set at 8 ½.

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Diego
The Cardinals were shut down last night by Jake Peavy, but have actually shown signs of life recently after taking two-out-of-three from both Colorado and Houston. Today St. Louis will go with its most consistent starter in Braden Looper. The former reliever has led the Cards to wins in four of his last five starts and bounced back from his worst outing of the season against Milwaukee with a one-run, six-hit performance against Houston in his last appearance. St. Louis looks like a decent underdog pick (+150) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored straight up by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+150). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MAY 12

Game 951-952: Milwaukee at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Sheets) 16.879; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.780
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-125); Under

Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Guzman) 16.753; Philadelphia (Garcia) 16.529
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-133); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+133); Over

Game 955-956: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 16.260; Washington (Chico) 14.145
Dunkel Line: Florida by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-140); Under

Game 957-958: Atlanta at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (James) 16.178; Pittsburgh (Armas) 16.601
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-147); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+147); Over

Game 959-960: Arizona at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hernandez) 14.730; Houston (Oswalt) 16.636
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Houston (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-170); Under

Game 961-962: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 16.033; Colorado (Francis) 15.502
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); Over

Game 963-964: St. Louis at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Looper) 17.143; San Diego (Young) 17.021
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+150); Over

Game 965-966: Cincinnati at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Lohse) 15.400; LA Dodgers (Penny) 17.486
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-165); Under

Game 967-968: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Trachsel) 14.023; Boston (Schilling) 19.036
Dunkel Line: Boston by 5; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-210); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-210); Over

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Jackson) 13.599; Toronto (McGowan) 13.475
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 11
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+135); Under

Game 971-972: LA Angels at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Colon) 16.256; Texas (Loe) 16.571
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+130); Under

Game 973-974: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Durbin) 17.706; Minnesota (Ponson) 15.337
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-120); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-120); Under

Game 975-976: Cleveland at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 16.746; Oakland (Braden) 15.418
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-135); Under

Game 977-978: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Elarton) 14.471; White Sox (Buehrle) 17.018
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-200); Under

Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Desalvo) 16.292; Seattle (Batista) 16.185
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Saturday, May 12


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MILWAUKEE (24 - 11) at NY METS (22 - 12) - 1:10 PM
BEN SHEETS (R) vs. MIKE PELFREY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 35-60 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 55-33 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 125-81 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 67-36 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 123-80 (+22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 94-57 (+23.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 24-11 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-37 (+11.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 24-11 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

BEN SHEETS vs. NY METS since 1997
SHEETS is 2-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 5.65 and a WHIP of 1.639.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.




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CHICAGO CUBS (16 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (16 - 19) - 3:55 PM
ANGEL GUZMAN (R) vs. FREDDY GARCIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-56 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-113 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 217-268 (-81.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 13-25 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 43-63 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 83-110 (-27.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 586-650 (-131.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-47 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-12 (-8.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 48-47 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ANGEL GUZMAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GUZMAN is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

FREDDY GARCIA vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
GARCIA is 4-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.60 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)




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FLORIDA (16 - 19) at WASHINGTON (10 - 25) - 7:05 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. MATT CHICO (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-4 (-0.2 Units) against FLORIDA this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLASCO is 2-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.039.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

MATT CHICO vs. FLORIDA since 1997
CHICO is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 11.42 and a WHIP of 2.422.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)




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ATLANTA (23 - 12) at PITTSBURGH (15 - 19) - 7:05 PM
CHUCK JAMES (L) vs. TONY ARMAS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 69-71 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 47-54 (-19.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 45-54 (-18.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 37-25 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 203-216 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 34-22 (+13.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-38 (-16.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARMAS is 6-18 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHUCK JAMES vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

TONY ARMAS vs. ATLANTA since 1997
ARMAS is 5-7 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.315.
His team's record is 5-17 (-10.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-9. (+3.2 units)




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ARIZONA (20 - 17) at HOUSTON (16 - 19) - 7:05 PM
LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R) vs. ROY OSWALT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 67-67 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 141-156 (-44.2 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 8-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.390.
His team's record is 8-5 (+3.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-7. (-1.8 units)

ROY OSWALT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
OSWALT is 5-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 1.64 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 6-0 (+6.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (+0.0 units)




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SAN FRANCISCO (18 - 17) at COLORADO (15 - 21) - 8:05 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. JEFF FRANCIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-51 (-23.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 58-38 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 574-449 (+93.3 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
ZITO is 14-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-3 (+1.1 Units) against COLORADO this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. COLORADO since 1997
ZITO is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
FRANCIS is 3-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.97 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.4 units)




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ST LOUIS (14 - 19) at SAN DIEGO (19 - 17) - 10:05 PM
BRADEN LOOPER (R) vs. CHRIS YOUNG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 108-102 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 5-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 12-27 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 108-102 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 46-58 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 27-14 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

BRADEN LOOPER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS YOUNG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
YOUNG is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.66 and a WHIP of 0.805.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)




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CINCINNATI (15 - 21) at LA DODGERS (21 - 15) - 10:10 PM
KYLE LOHSE (R) vs. BRAD PENNY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 15-26 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 7-19 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 66-34 (+24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 14-3 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 296-326 (+47.9 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 392-434 (+61.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 332-383 (+44.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

BRAD PENNY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PENNY is 5-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.34 and a WHIP of 1.129.
His team's record is 6-3 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-4. (+0.6 units)




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BALTIMORE (18 - 18) at BOSTON (23 - 11) - 1:05 PM
STEVE TRACHSEL (R) vs. CURT SCHILLING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 40-76 (-27.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TRACHSEL is 51-79 (-28.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 279-317 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 11-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 134-137 (-37.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997.
BOSTON is 184-154 (-47.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 (+0.3 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

STEVE TRACHSEL vs. BOSTON since 1997
TRACHSEL is 1-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CURT SCHILLING vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SCHILLING is 6-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.096.
His team's record is 7-4 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.8 units)




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TAMPA BAY (14 - 21) at TORONTO (14 - 21) - 1:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. DUSTIN MCGOWAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 15-55 (-31.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-47 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 26-74 (-32.5 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 6-26 (-18.7 Units) against the money line in road games in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 99-111 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 45-55 (-19.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 1-9 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in May games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 (+1.8 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

DUSTIN MCGOWAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.




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LA ANGELS (20 - 16) at TEXAS (14 - 21) - 3:55 PM
BARTOLO COLON (R) vs. KAMERON LOE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 53-36 (+19.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 149-140 (+31.4 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 87-69 (+25.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 98-84 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLON is 17-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
COLON is 15-3 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 3-14 (-10.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. TEXAS since 1997
COLON is 16-5 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.070.
His team's record is 17-7 (+6.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-13. (-5.4 units)

KAMERON LOE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LOE is 1-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.720.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)




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DETROIT (22 - 12) at MINNESOTA (17 - 18) - 3:55 PM
CHAD DURBIN (R) vs. SIDNEY PONSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 74-51 (+17.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PONSON is 27-15 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 42-29 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 79-45 (+23.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 66-29 (+24.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 126-84 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 65-41 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 27-10 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-16 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 114-125 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997.
PONSON is 15-33 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (-0.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

CHAD DURBIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
DURBIN is 1-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.67 and a WHIP of 1.529.
His team's record is 1-5 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

SIDNEY PONSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
PONSON is 4-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.44 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 4-3 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.2 units)




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CLEVELAND (20 - 13) at OAKLAND (18 - 16) - 4:05 PM
FAUSTO CARMONA (R) vs. DALLAS BRADEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 28-38 (-12.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 50-28 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 104-79 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 82-64 (+14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 65-50 (+13.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 53-41 (+19.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 114-89 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 64-43 (+19.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 174-106 (+41.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 1-0 (+1.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

FAUSTO CARMONA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
CARMONA is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

DALLAS BRADEN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.




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KANSAS CITY (11 - 25) at CHI WHITE SOX (17 - 15) - 7:05 PM
SCOTT ELARTON (R) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 13-45 (-22.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 3-19 (-15.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-19 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 158-92 (+47.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 137-81 (+37.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 53-25 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 218-150 (+34.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BUEHRLE is 16-2 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 58-82 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

SCOTT ELARTON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ELARTON is 2-4 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.76 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-7. (-5.9 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 16-6 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.30 and a WHIP of 1.180.
His team's record is 20-9 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-16. (-4.6 units)




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NY YANKEES (16 - 18) at SEATTLE (16 - 15) - 10:05 PM
MATT DESALVO (R) vs. MIGUEL BATISTA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 9-13 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 16-18 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 35-36 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 30-39 (-24.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BATISTA is 23-16 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BATISTA is 54-35 (+21.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BATISTA is 37-15 (+21.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
BATISTA is 23-15 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 97-49 (+28.0 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 (+2.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.9 Units)

MATT DESALVO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
DESALVO is 0-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

MIGUEL BATISTA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BATISTA is 2-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.564.
His team's record is 4-2 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)




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[Udog]

MLB
Write-up


Saturday, May 12


Hot Pitchers
-- Sheets is 1-0, 2.42 in his last four starts.
-- Guzman allowed one run in five IP in his first '07 start, a 4-3 win vs Nationals.
-- LHernandez is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts. Oswalt is 2-0 in his last two starts, with a 1.80 RA.
-- Giants won four of Zito's last five starts.
-- Looper is 4-1, 2.61 in his last six starts. Young is 2-0, 1.29 in his last couple starts.
-- Dodgers are 6-1 in Penny starts; he hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts (13 IP).

-- Trachsel has a 2.63 RA in his last four starts. Schilling is 2-0, 2.61 in his last three starts.
-- Colon is 3-0, 3.46 in four starts this season.
-- Durbin is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
-- Carmona is 3-0, 1.59 in his last three starts.
-- Buehrle has a 2.89 RA in his last four starts.
-- Desalvo allowed one run in seven IP in his first start, Monday against Seattle, game Mariners won vs Bronx bullpen. Seattle won last three Batista starts (2-0, 2.84).

Cold Pitchers
-- Pelfrey is 0-4, 7.32 in his last four starts.
-- Garcia is 0-1, 5.74 in his last three starts.
-- Nolasco is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts this season. Chico is 1-3, 6.53 in his last four starts.
-- James is 1-3, 6.66 in his last five starts. Armas is 0-2, 8.34 in his five starts this season.
-- Francis is 0-3, 5.61 in his last four starts.
-- Lohse is 0-3, 5.12 in his last three starts.

-- Tampa Bay is 0-6 in Jackson starts (0-5, 8.89). McGowan gave up five runs in five IP in his only '07 start, vs Indians.
-- Loe is 0-2, 9.56 in his last three starts.
-- Ponson is 1-3, 5.96 in his last four starts.
-- Braden is 1-1, 5.23 in two starts for the A's.
-- Elarton makes first start of year for Royals after being on DL.

Totals
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Mets' last seven games.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Cub road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in Florida's last six games.
-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Atlanta road games.
-- Under is 9-2-1 in last eleven Arizona road games.
-- Over is 10-4-1 in last fifteen Colorado games.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight St Louis games.
-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Cincinnati road games.

-- Five of last seven Baltimore games went over the total.
-- Over is 12-5-2 in Tampa Bay road games.
-- Under is 8-2 in last ten Angel games.
-- Last six Detroit games all went over the total.
-- Eight of last 11 White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-3-2 in Oakland home games.
-- Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Bronx games.


Hot Teams
-- Braves won seven of their last nine games.
-- Cubs won nine of their last thirteen games. Phillies won six of their last eight home games.
-- Brewers won five of six, nine of last eleven games. Mets are
7-2 in their last nine games.
-- Astros won three of their last four games.
-- Padres won their last three home games.
-- Dodgers won their last three home games.

-- Orioles won five of their last seven games. Red Sox won four games in row, allowing total of seven runs.
-- Tigers won nine of last ten games, scoring 69 runs.
-- Angels won their last three games, allowing five runs.
-- White Sox won four of their last five games.
-- A's are 4-2 in their last six games, allowing fifteen runs.
-- Bronx won seven of its last ten games. Seattle won five of last six home games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost eight of their last nine games. Marlins lost five of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Arizona lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Padres lost three of their last four games.
-- Giants are 2-4 in their last six games. Colorado lost six of its last nine home games.
-- Cardinals lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Cincinnati lost nine of its last eleven games.


-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last seven games. Toronto lost nine of its last ten games, allowing 73 runs.
-- Rangers are 2-10 in last 12 games they scored less than 7 runs.
-- Minnesota lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Royals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost last three games, scoring total of four runs.