Sunday Trends and Indexes 05/06

[pm530]

Trends and Indexes
Sunday, May 6

Good Luck on day #126 of 2007!

NOTE:
As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.
Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends


Sunday, May 6

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves (1:05 PM ET)
Los Angeles starter Randy Wolf is 4-9 with a 4.83 ERA in 21 career appearances (19 starts) against Atlanta. EDGE: BRAVES
Wolf is coming off back-to-back losses after winning three games in a row. He's allowed 11 runs and 16 hits in his last 11 2/3 innings of work. EDGE: BRAVES
Atlanta starter Kyle Davies is yet to pick up a victory in 2007, going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. EDGE: DODGERS
The OVER is 5-0 in Wolf's last five starts overall.


San Diego Padres at Florida Marlins (1:05 PM ET)
San Diego ace Jake Peavy has been magnificent this season on the road, going 2-0 with an 0.45 ERA. He's allowed just eight hits and one run over 20 innings away from Petco Park this season. BIG EDGE: PADRES & UNDER
Florida second-year starter Scott Olsen has thrown just one start against San Diego, but it was a gem. He allowed one run and two hits over seven innings while striking out eight batters. EDGE: MARLINS
The Padres are 2-9 in Peavy's last 11 starts versus the NL East.
The OVER is 7-0 in Olsen's last seven Sunday starts.


Oakland Athletics at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (1:40 PM ET)
Oakland starter Joe Blanton is 1-2 with a 6.94 ERA in five career starts against Tampa Bay. In 23 1/3 innings, he's allowed 44 base runners to reach base - 33 hits and 11 walks. EDGE: D-RAYS & OVER
Both of Blanton's victories this season have come on the road, posting a perfect 2-0 record with a 4.44 ERA. EDGE: A'S
It hasn't been "Home Sweet Home" for Edwin Jackson at Tropicana field this year, as he has gone 0-1 there with a 8.59 ERA. EDGE: A'S & OVER
The Devil Rays are 0-6 in Jackson's last six starts.
The UNDER is 14-3 in the Athletics last 17 games versus a right-handed starter.


Boston Red Sox at Minnesota Twins (2:10 PM ET)
Boston's Curt Schilling is making only his fourth career start against Minnesota since most of his success against them has come from the bullpen. He's 1-0 with a 1.03 ERA in nine career appearances against the Twins. EDGE: RED SOX
Minnesota starter Sidney Ponson will likely have a rough time this afternoon, as the right-hander is a dismal 3-10 with a 6.69 ERA in 19 career starts against Boston. BIG EDGE: RED SOX
Ponson is coming off his best start of the season, a 9-1 victory at Tampa Bay. He went a season-high seven innings, allowing one run and five hits. EDGE: TWINS
The Red Sox are 16-5 in their last 21 games as a favorite.
The UNDER is 23-4-2 in the Red Sox last 29 road games versus a right-handed starter.


Colorado Rockies at Cincinnati Reds (3:15 PM ET)
Colorado right-hander Josh Fogg is a solid 6-2 with a 4.03 ERA in 13 career starts against Cincinnati. EDGE: ROCKIES
Fogg picked up his lone victory on the road this season, going 1-1 with a 3.47 ERA in four starts. SLIGHT EDGE: ROCKIES
Reds starter Bronson Arroyo finally picked up his first win of the season last time out, after failing to get one through his first five starts. He allowed one run and three hits over seven innings, as the Reds beat the Astros 11-2. EDGE: REDS
The Reds are 1-6 in Arroyo's last seven starts.
The OVER is 13-3-1 in Fogg's last 17 starts overall.


Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels (3:35 PM ET)
White Sox starter Mark Buehrle picked up his first loss of the season last time out against these Angels at Chicago. The left-hander is 1-4 with a 4.19 ERA in 12 career starts against them. EDGE: ANGELS
Los Angeles right-hander Bartolo Colon looks to remain perfect at home this season, as he's 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in two starts at Anaheim Stadium. EDGE: ANGELS
The Angels have provided plenty of run support during Colon's three starts this season, scoring a total of 25 runs. EDGE: OVER
The UNDER is 10-3-2 in Buerhle's last 15 starts overall.
The OVER is 5-1 in Colon's last six home starts.


New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks (4:40 PM ET)
New York right-hander Mike Pelfrey is still in search of his first victory of 2007, going 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA. The Mets have been outscored 25-13 in his four starts this season. EDGE: D-BACKS
Arizona's Livan Hernandez is 10-12 with a 4.70 ERA in thirty career starts against New York. SLIGHT EDGE: METS
The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Hernandez's last five home starts.
The Mets are 1-6 in Pelfrey's last six starts.


Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants (ESPN | 8:05 PM ET)
San Francisco rookie Tim Lincecum will be making his first career start after going 4-0 with a 0.29 ERA with Triple-A Fresno. Lincecum is the team's top pitching prospect, striking out 46 in 31 innings, including 14 against Colorado Springs last Sunday. EDGE: GIANTS
Philly second-year lefty Cole Hamels has struggled in his last two starts, going 1-1 with a 5.68 ERA. Hamels has just 10 strikeouts during that stretch after notching 15 strikeouts back on April 21st. SLIGHT EDGE: GIANTS
Hamels will not get to face San Francisco slugger Barry Bonds, who will take the day off after hitting his 744th career homer on Saturday. EDGE: PHILLIES

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends


Sunday, May 6

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#6 New Jersey Nets at #2 Cleveland Cavaliers
Game 1 - Sunday, May 6th, 1 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

New Jersey is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall.
New Jersey is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland.
New Jersey is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings overall.
OVER is 9-3 in Cleveland's last 12 games vs. Atlantic Division opponents.
OVER is 6-2 in New Jersey's last 8 vs. Central Division opponents.

Head-to-Head Recaps
SECOND-ROUND SCHEDULE (HOME team in CAPS)

5/6/07 - Game 1: New Jersey at CLEVELAND (ABC | 1 PM ET)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Cleveland wins 2-1 SU (New Jersey 2-1 ATS)
OVER 2-1

4/12/07 - CLEVELAND 94, New Jersey 76 (ATS winner: Cleve -6 | UNDER 186)
1/6/06 - CLEVELAND 96, New Jersey 91 (ATS winner: NJ +6.5 | OVER 186.5)
12/20/06 - NEW JERSEY 113, Cleveland 111 (ATS winner: NJ -1 | OVER 186)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: The Cavs have turned things around against the Nets over the last two years, winning four of the last five meetings, including two of three this season. New Jersey had won the previous five meetings and is still 12-2 ATS in the last 14 games between the teams, including 7-1 in Cleveland. All eyes will be on Cavs star LeBron James, who averaged 30.3 points in the last three games against the Nets, going for 35 or more twice. James poses a huge matchup problem for New Jersey since Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson were not at a size disadvantage in the first round against Toronto. They will be here, and it could very well be the difference as James will likely look to take over this series on his own.


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#6 New Jersey Nets at #2 Cleveland Cavaliers
Game 1 - Sunday, May 6th, 1 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

New Jersey is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall.
New Jersey is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Cleveland.
New Jersey is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings overall.
OVER is 9-3 in Cleveland's last 12 games vs. Atlantic Division opponents.
OVER is 6-2 in New Jersey's last 8 vs. Central Division opponents.

Head-to-Head Recaps
SECOND-ROUND SCHEDULE (HOME team in CAPS)

5/6/07 - Game 1: New Jersey at CLEVELAND (ABC | 1 PM ET)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Cleveland wins 2-1 SU (New Jersey 2-1 ATS)
OVER 2-1

4/12/07 - CLEVELAND 94, New Jersey 76 (ATS winner: Cleve -6 | UNDER 186)
1/6/06 - CLEVELAND 96, New Jersey 91 (ATS winner: NJ +6.5 | OVER 186.5)
12/20/06 - NEW JERSEY 113, Cleveland 111 (ATS winner: NJ -1 | OVER 186)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: The Cavs have turned things around against the Nets over the last two years, winning four of the last five meetings, including two of three this season. New Jersey had won the previous five meetings and is still 12-2 ATS in the last 14 games between the teams, including 7-1 in Cleveland. All eyes will be on Cavs star LeBron James, who averaged 30.3 points in the last three games against the Nets, going for 35 or more twice. James poses a huge matchup problem for New Jersey since Vince Carter and Richard Jefferson were not at a size disadvantage in the first round against Toronto. They will be here, and it could very well be the difference as James will likely look to take over this series on his own.

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[pm530]

Hockey – Tips & Trends

NHL
Tips and trends


Sunday, May 6

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Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers (2 PM ET)
Only 38 of 193 teams that dropped Game 5 in a 2-2 series have come back to win the final two games. EDGE: SABRES
The Rangers are the only team in this year's playoffs to win each of their home games and they put their 4-0 mark on the line today. BIG EDGE: RANGERS
The Rangers are 13-3 in their last 16 home games.
The favorite is 9-0 in the last nine meetings.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Long Sheet

NBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, May 6

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SAN ANTONIO (62 - 25) at PHOENIX (65 - 22) - 5/6/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 101-85 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 67-50 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 182-144 ATS (+23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 10-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 11-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW JERSEY (45 - 43) at CLEVELAND (54 - 32) - 5/6/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 96-80 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 74-55 ATS (+13.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 9-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 6-5 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet


Sunday, May 6

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 6) at AUSTIN (3 - 5) - 5/6/2007, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUSTIN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a game on a Saturday since 1996.
AUSTIN is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 4-0 against the spread versus AUSTIN over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 straight up against AUSTIN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOS ANGELES (4 - 4) at LAS VEGAS (1 - 8) - 5/6/2007, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 3-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 2-2 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Sunday, May 6

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Western Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
TV: ABC
San Antonio at Phoenix, 3:35 EST

San Antonio:
0-7 ATS away off BB games committing 18 fouls or less
10-2 Over after allowing 80 points or less

Phoenix:
12-2 ATS playing with same-season revenge
10-2 ATS off a SU home win / ATS loss
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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game One
Series Tied, 0-0
TV: ABC
New Jersey at Cleveland, 1:00 EST

New Jersey:
13-4 ATS Away off an Over
13-3 ATS off a SU win/ATS loss

Cleveland:
2-9 ATS vs. New Jersey
15-5 Over after playing a game as a road favorite

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[Udog]

NBA
Tips and trends

Omitted Game


#3 San Antonio Spurs at #2 Phoenix Suns
Game 1 - Sunday, May 6th, 3:30 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

The Spurs were able to slow down the Nuggets in the first round after giving up a series-high 95 points in their Game 1 loss at home. Denver averaged just 86.5 points in the last four games - all losses. San Antonio will be facing a far superior offensive team here though in the Suns, who averaged 108.4 points in their series win over the Lakers. SLIGHT EDGE: SUNS
While there is certainly a contrast of styles here, there are also two key individual matchups that will shape this series. San Antonio's Tony Parker averaged 28 points in the season series and is almost too quick for Phoenix's Steve Nash to guard. Look for the Suns to utilize Sixth Man of the Year Leandro Barbosa a lot more to make Parker work more on defense after he averaged 21.2 points per game in the first round. Amare Stoudemire also poses a difficult matchup inside for San Antonio's Tim Duncan. It was just two years ago that Stoudemire averaged 37 points against Duncan and the Spurs in the Western Conference Finals. SLIGHT EDGE: SUNS
San Antonio is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Phoenix.
San Antonio is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings overall.
Phoenix is 11-4 in its last 15 games vs. Southwest Division opponents.
Phoenix is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 Sunday games.
UNDER is 8-0 in San Antonio's last 8 games.
OVER is 9-3 in Phoenix's last 12 Sunday games.

Head-to-Head Recaps
SECOND-ROUND SCHEDULE (HOME team in CAPS)

5/6/07 - Game 1: San Antonio at PHOENIX (ABC | 3:30 PM ET)
5/8/07 - Game 2: San Antonio at PHOENIX (TNT | 10:30 PM ET)
5/12/07 - Game 3: Phoenix at SAN ANTONIO (ABC | 8 PM ET)
5/14/07 - Game 4: Phoenix at SAN ANTONIO (TNT | 9:30 PM ET)
5/16/07 - Game 5: San Antonio at PHOENIX (TNT | TBD)
5/18/07 - Game 6: Phoenix at SAN ANTONIO (ESPN | TBD)
5/20/07 - Game 7: San Antonio at PHOENIX ( TBD)

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

San Antonio wins 2-1 SU (Phoenix 2-1 ATS)
UNDER 2-1

4/5/07 - SAN ANTONIO 92, Phoenix 85 (ATS winner: SA -4 | UNDER 205.5)
2/1/07 - PHOENIX 103, San Antonio 87 (ATS winner: Pho -6.5 | UNDER 206)
11/8/06 - SAN ANTONIO 111, Phoenix 106 (ATS winner: Pho +5.5 | OVER 206)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: Home court was the deciding factor in all three meetings this season, with the first going OVER in overtime. San Antonio's Tony Parker was the top overall player in the season series, gettng the best of Phoenix's Steve Nash by averaging 28 points per game. The Suns obviously love to run, and the Spurs are better at adapting to this style of play with Parker and Manu Ginobili, who scored 32 points off the bench in the second meeting. Phoenix has a much more difficult time when it becomes a more defensive-minded game, proven by the last meeting. Whichever team can dictate the tempo more will likely win this series and become the favorite to represent the Western Conference in the 2007 NBA Finals.

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Sunday, May 6


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LA DODGERS (18 - 12) at ATLANTA (18 - 11) - 1:05 PM
RANDY WOLF (L) vs. KYLE DAVIES (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WOLF is 32-22 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 42-51 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-27 (-12.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

RANDY WOLF vs. ATLANTA since 1997
WOLF is 4-9 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.453.
His team's record is 9-10 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-10. (-3.0 units)

KYLE DAVIES vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.




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SAN DIEGO (16 - 14) at FLORIDA (14 - 15) - 1:05 PM
JAKE PEAVY (R) vs. SCOTT OLSEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 70-66 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 382-426 (+26.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 44-17 (+27.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 21-11 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 54-45 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 54-45 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against FLORIDA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

JAKE PEAVY vs. FLORIDA since 1997
PEAVY is 2-3 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.263.
His team's record is 2-3 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

SCOTT OLSEN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
OLSEN is 1-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.429.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




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WASHINGTON (9 - 21) at CHICAGO CUBS (14 - 14) - 2:20 PM
SHAWN HILL (R) vs. ANGEL GUZMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 16-26 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-53 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 81-110 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-54 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 11-22 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-62 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 81-107 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 585-649 (-130.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
GUZMAN is 0-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GUZMAN is 0-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

SHAWN HILL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.

ANGEL GUZMAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.




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PITTSBURGH (13 - 16) at MILWAUKEE (20 - 10) - 2:05 PM
TONY ARMAS (R) vs. BEN SHEETS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 21-45 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 19-46 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 24-9 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 20-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 60-38 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-20 (+12.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-54 (-20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SHEETS is 8-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHEETS is 3-12 (-12.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SHEETS is 8-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 4-1 (+2.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

TONY ARMAS vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARMAS is 3-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.895.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

BEN SHEETS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
SHEETS is 6-7 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.165.
His team's record is 8-10 (-4.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-4. (+8.5 units)




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HOUSTON (13 - 16) at ST LOUIS (11 - 17) - 2:15 PM
CHRIS SAMPSON (R) vs. BRADEN LOOPER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 96-96 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 96-96 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-40 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 50-54 (-18.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-10 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 54-54 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 105-100 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 4-10 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

CHRIS SAMPSON vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

BRADEN LOOPER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.




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COLORADO (13 - 17) at CINCINNATI (13 - 17) - 3:15 PM
JOSH FOGG (R) vs. BRONSON ARROYO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 54-108 (-41.2 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
COLORADO is 21-15 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 195-192 (-54.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 49-48 (-27.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 52-77 (-36.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

JOSH FOGG vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
FOGG is 6-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 8-5 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.6 units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. COLORADO since 1997
ARROYO is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.558.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)




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NY METS (19 - 10) at ARIZONA (16 - 16) - 4:40 PM
MIKE PELFREY (R) vs. LIVAN HERNANDEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 91-56 (+21.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 9-1 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY METS are 15-5 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 122-79 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 23-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 12-3 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 12-3 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 403-357 (-68.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
ARIZONA is 287-263 (-54.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 183-180 (-43.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
ARIZONA is 403-357 (-68.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against ARIZONA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

MIKE PELFREY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
No recent starts.

LIVAN HERNANDEZ vs. NY METS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 11-12 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.488.
His team's record is 17-14 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 16-14. (+0.5 units)




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PHILADELPHIA (13 - 17) at SAN FRANCISCO (16 - 13) - 8:05 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. TIME LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 135-65 (+50.9 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 572-446 (+94.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 35-49 (-22.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-19 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-1 (+0.6 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

TIME LINCECUM vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEATTLE (13 - 12) at NY YANKEES (13 - 15) - 1:05 PM
JARROD WASHBURN (L) vs. DARRELL RASNER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 17-41 (-17.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
WASHBURN is 4-14 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
WASHBURN is 68-49 (+21.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 61-50 (-22.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 206-153 (-41.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 68-62 (-44.4 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

JARROD WASHBURN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
WASHBURN is 5-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.197.
His team's record is 6-4 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-8. (-6.7 units)

DARRELL RASNER vs. SEATTLE since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEVELAND (17 - 10) at BALTIMORE (14 - 16) - 1:35 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. BRIAN BURRES (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 10-16 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-38 (-13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 62-27 (+23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 39-72 (-24.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 51-80 (-47.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Sunday since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 22-39 (-18.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SABATHIA is 4-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.20 and a WHIP of 0.907.
His team's record is 6-2 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

BRIAN BURRES vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OAKLAND (14 - 15) at TAMPA BAY (14 - 16) - 1:40 PM
JOE BLANTON (R) vs. EDWIN JACKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 21-39 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 49-48 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 49-48 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 37-34 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 49-48 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 50-44 (+17.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 48-28 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 40-33 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 110-88 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 61-43 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 54-47 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 19-9 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 24-50 (-22.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-2 (+1.4 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

JOE BLANTON vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
BLANTON is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 6.94 and a WHIP of 1.886.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. OAKLAND since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DETROIT (18 - 11) at KANSAS CITY (10 - 21) - 2:10 PM
CHAD DURBIN (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 23-20 (+13.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 10 to 10.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 59-78 (+23.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 76-44 (+21.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 65-29 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 122-83 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 63-41 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 112-72 (+23.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-2 (+2.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHAD DURBIN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
DURBIN is 1-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 7.37 and a WHIP of 1.705.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.5 units)

ZACK GREINKE vs. DETROIT since 1997
GREINKE is 5-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.175.
His team's record is 5-3 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON (19 - 10) at MINNESOTA (16 - 14) - 2:10 PM
CURT SCHILLING (R) vs. SIDNEY PONSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 4-11 (-11.2 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 9-19 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 73-49 (+18.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 41-18 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PONSON is 27-14 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CURT SCHILLING vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SCHILLING is 1-0 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.35 and a WHIP of 0.900.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

SIDNEY PONSON vs. BOSTON since 1997
PONSON is 3-10 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 6.69 and a WHIP of 1.725.
His team's record is 7-12 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-12. (-6.0 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (13 - 17) at TEXAS (12 - 18) - 3:05 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. KAMERON LOE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BURNETT is 31-54 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 11-21 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 100-74 (+28.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 2-13 (-10.9 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.6 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. TEXAS since 1997
BURNETT is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.14 and a WHIP of 0.977.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

KAMERON LOE vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHI WHITE SOX (13 - 14) at LA ANGELS (17 - 14) - 3:35 PM
MARK BUEHRLE (L) vs. BARTOLO COLON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 41-26 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 88-60 (+26.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 155-91 (+44.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 134-80 (+35.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 104-79 (+21.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 34-20 (+17.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 107-75 (+28.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 72-80 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games since 1997.
COLON is 10-18 (-14.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 3-2 (+0.5 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
BUEHRLE is 2-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 6-7 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-4. (+3.6 units)

BARTOLO COLON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
COLON is 9-5 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.359.
His team's record is 10-7 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-7. (+1.4 units)




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

[Udog]

MLB
Dunkel


Colorado at Cincinnati
Josh Fogg's road ERA (3.51) is two runs better than his overall ERA (5.52) and the Rockies' two wins in his starts have both come away from home (at Arizona and NY Mets). Conversely, Bronson Arroyo's home ERA (3.86) is over a run higher than his overall ERA (2.62) and the Reds have lost both his home starts. Overall, Cincinnati is just 1-5 in games Arroyo has started. Cincinnati looks like a shaky Vegas favorite (-200) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockies favored straight up by 2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+200). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, MAY 6

Game 951-952: LA Dodgers at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Wolf) 17.414; Atlanta (Davies) 16.511
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+120); Under

Game 953-954: San Diego at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Peavy) 16.565; Florida (Olsen) 16.473
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-160); Over

Game 955-956: Washington at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hill) 15.724; Chicago Cubs (Guzman) 16.181
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); N/A

Game 957-958: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Armas) 15.535; Milwaukee (Sheets) 15.250
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-235); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+235); Under

Game 959-960: Houston at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Sampson) 16.251; St. Louis (Looper) 16.862
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-145); Under

Game 961-962: Colorado at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Fogg) 15.761; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 13.743
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+200); Over

Game 963-964: NY Mets at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.446; Arizona (Hernandez) 16.360
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Under

Game 965-966: Philadelphia at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.562; San Francisco (Linecum) 16.393
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Over

Game 967-968: Seattle at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Washburn) 16.929; NY Yankees (Rasner) 16.767
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-157); 11
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+157); Over

Game 969-970: Cleveland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sabathia) 19.316; Baltimore (Burres) 15.470
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 4; 7
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-160); Under

Game 971-972: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 16.256; Tampa Bay (Jackson) 12.991
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 3 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); Under

Game 973-974: Detroit at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Durbin) 17.679; Kansas City (Greinke) 13.759
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 4; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-112); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-112); Under

Game 975-976: Boston at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Schilling) 18.720; Minnesota (Ponson) 15.609
Dunkel Line: Boston by 3; 7
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Under

Game 977-978: Toronto at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Burnett) 15.274; Texas (Loe) 15.617
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+125); Over

Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 17.698; LA Angels (Colon) 17.954
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-142); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-142); Over

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


New Jersey at Cleveland
The Cavs swept Washington in the first round, but it's hard to saw they were really tested as the Wizards played without Gilbert Arenas and Caron Butler. They'll run into a team today playing at full strength as the Nets used the experience of their Big Three (Carter, Kidd and Jefferson) to put down the younger Raptors in six. In the Nets' stretch run, they have played some of their best ball on the road and are now 4-0-1 against the spread in their last five, including 2-0-1 against the Raptors. Cleveland has been average at home (22-20-1 ATS on the season) and was just 1-1 against the undermanned Wizards. In head-to-head matchups, the Nets have dominated in recent years and are 12-2 ATS in the last 14 contests. New Jersey looks like a good underdog pick (+6 1/2) in this one according to Dunkel, which has Cleveland favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, MAY 6

Game 755-756: New Jersey at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 122.711; Cleveland 123.015
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 1; 190 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 184
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+6 1/2); Over

Game 757-758: San Antonio at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.355; Phoenix 126.816
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+4 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Buffalo at NY Rangers
New York is on the brink of elimination after dropping Game Five in overtime (2-1) and trailing 3-2 in the series. But the Rangers have managed to protect the home ice in the postseason, winning all four games, including a pair of 2-1 wins over the Sabres in games three and four. The last four contests between these two teams have been decided by a goal with two of them going to overtime. The trend looks to continue tonight with Dunkel favoring the Rangers straight up by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, MAY 6

Game 9-10: Buffalo at NY Rangers
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 13.535; NY Rangers 13.984
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2); Under

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Sunday, May 6


Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers

Some things you just can’t explain; you just have to accept them. Are the Texas Rangers a better baseball team than the Toronto Blue Jays? Probably not, but when you look at the record between these two clubs over the last few years, it’s obvious that the Rangers know how to take the Jays out of their comfort zone. Since 2003, Texas is 37-14 against Toronto, including yesterday’s 11-4 beating in which they made Roy Halladay look like a little leaguer. Today they get a shot at the unpredictable A.J. Burnett, who’s coming off a nasty loss to Cleveland in his last start.

Pick: Rangers +105



Chicago White Sox at Los Angeles Angels

Bartolo Colon has made a couple of good starts since coming back from the DL two weeks ago, but the jury is still out on the Angels’ right-hander. The White Sox are in a funk right now, but they snapped a five-game slide with yesterday’s win and with Mark Buehrle on the hill, they have a good chance to cash in as road dogs and get back on track in what has been a disappointing start to the season.

Pick: White Sox +120



Philadelphia Phillies at San Francisco Giants

If you don’t believe a young pitcher can make an impact in his major league debut, just think back to Cole Hamels’ coming-out party last year. Now the Phillies’ No. 2 starter, Hamels came up from Triple-A as a big prospect at this time last year and pitched five scoreless innings and allowed only one hit in a game in an eventual 8-4 Phillies win as -138 favorites.

But Hamels didn’t have to do it in front of a national television audience like the Giants’ young gun Tim Lincecum will do tonight. The kid was last year’s NCAA Player of the Year and he has a microscopic ERA this year in Triple-A, but he’s never seen the bright lights of big league ball and playing in ESPN’s Sunday Night Baseball showcase game won’t be an easy way to make an entrance. However, if everything they say about Lincecum is true, oddsmakers are giving us a great price on the Giants at home.

Pick: Giants +120

[Udog]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Sunday, May 6


Hot

Cole Hamels (Philadelphia Phillies) - While the young lefty has been solid 3-1 with a 3.54 ERA on the season for the Phillies, it's Hamels' numbers away from home that has books taking notice. He is 2-0 on the road so far this season with a stellar 2.82 ERA. Phillies backers have also benefitted from Hamels' ability to overpower hitters, as he has 28 strikeouts in just over 22 innings pitched. This strong rap sheet has oddsmakers favoring the Phillies on the road tonight in San Francisco, setting Philadelphia at -130.

Bronson Arroyo (Cincinnati Reds) - Arroyo has picked up right where he left off last season when he was named to the NL All-Star team. Arroyo is undefeated since mid-April with a sparking 1.71 ERA for the Reds, -165 home favorites today against the Colorado Rockies. Digging even deeper into the stat sheet, the former Boston starter has a .225 OBP against and 0.86 WHIP during the streak.

Cold

Mike Pelfrey (New York Mets) - There's a reason the Mets are keeping old arms like Orlando Hernandez around - because pitchers like Pelfrey have been absolutely brutal. Pelfrey is 0-3 for the Mets this season, with an atrocious 8.16 ERA over his last three trips to the hill. The right-hander's biggest problem has been keeping runners off the bases, as Pelfrey has posted a .402 OBP against on the season. Books have the Mets as suspect -114 road favorites today against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Kameron Loe (Texas Rangers) - When you hear talk of the Rangers having no pitching, picture this guy. Loe has looked like he belongs in Double-A recently, putting up a 7.98 ERA and 1-2 record since April 16. With the Rangers as +109 underdogs at home today against the Toronto Blue Jays, Texas bettors can take little solace in Loe's 6.59 home ERA and 1.68 WHIP at the Ballpark in Arlington.

[Udog]

MLB
Write-up


Sunday, May 6


Hot Pitchers
-- Peavy is 3-1, 2.29 in six starts this season.
-- Hill is 2-1, 2.96 in his last four starts for Nationals.
-- Arroyo is 1-0, 1.71 in his last three starts.
-- Sheets is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts. Armas has 2.45 RA in his last two starts, after an 18.90 mark in his first two.
-- Looper is 3-1, 2.81 in his last five starts. Houston won three of Sampson's first four starts.
-- LHernandez is 1-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- Phillies won three of Hamels' last four starts.

-- Washburn is 2-0, 1.13 in his last two starts.
-- Cleveland is 6-0 in Sabathia starts, scoring 45 runs.
-- Blanton is 2-1, 3.44 in his last five starts.
-- Schilling is 3-1, 2.25 in his last five starts.
-- Buehrle is 2-1, 2.97 in five starts this season. Angels are 3-0 in Colon starts, scoring 25 runs (3-0, 4.00).

Cold Pitchers
-- Olsen has 7.06 RA in his last four starts.
-- Davies is 0-1, 8.78 in his last three starts. Wolf is 0-2, 8.49 in his last two starts.
-- Guzman is 0-6, 6.82 in 19 big league games (10 starts); he was 0-2, 12.19 in three AAA starts this season.
-- Fogg is 1-2, 7.18 in five starts this season.
-- Pelfrey is 0-3, 8.16 in his last three starts.
-- Lincecum makes big league debut for Giants; he allowed one run in five starts at AAA this season, is their best prospect.


-- Rasner is 0-1, 5.79 in three starts this season.
-- Burres has allowed 15 hits in 21.1 big league innings, but that covers 17 games (no starts); he tossed four shutout innings in relief vs Indians in last appearance.
-- Tampa Bay is 0-5 in Jackson starts (0-4, 9.82).
-- Durbin is 1-1, 6.39 in five starts (Tigers are 3-2). Royals are 0-4 in last four Greinke starts (0-2, 7.13).
-- Ponson is 0-3, 10.13 against everyone but Devil Rays (he was 2-0, 2.19 in pair of starts vs Tampa).
-- Loe is 0-2, 15.43 in his last two starts. Burnett is 1-1, 4.81 in his last four starts.

Totals
-- Under is 9-4-1 in last fourteen Dodger games.
-- Over is 9-1 in Florida's last ten home games.
-- Under is 7-2 in last nine Washington games.
-- Over is 7-1 in Pirates' last eight road games.
-- Under is 5-2 in Houston's last seven road games.
-- Six of last seven Cincinnati games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-3 in last twelve Met games.
-- Over is 7-2-2 in Giants' last eleven games, but 5:00 local time start tonight for ESPN; shadows could be a factor.

-- Over is 8-4-2 in Bronx home games.
-- Under is 9-3-2 in Baltimore home games.
-- Over is 11-6-1 in last eighteen Devil Ray games.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Detroit road games.
-- Read ***************.com every day. Please.
-- Under is 13-2-1 in Red Sox road games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Texas home games.
-- Under is 6-2 in last eight White Sox games.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs won seven of their last eight games.
-- Marlins won five of their last seven home games.
-- Atlanta is 9-5 in its last fourteen home games. Dodgers are 5-0 in last game of a road series.
-- Brewers won ten of their last twelve home games.
-- Mets are 12-3 on the road this season, and won their last 13 games at Arizona. .
-- Giants won nine of their last eleven home games. Phils are 6-0 in game following their last six losses.


-- Mariners won seven of their last ten games. Bronx won four of its last five games.
-- Indians won ten of their last thirteen games, but Orioles beat them last two nights, allowing four runs.
-- A's are 6-4 in their last ten road games.
-- Detroit won its last six games, allowing 21 runs.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last ten games.
-- Angels won twelve of their last sixteen home games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Padres lost four of their last six road games.
-- Reds lost eight of their last ten home games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last eight road games. Cardinals lost last six of last seven games, outscored 51-10.
-- Arizona lost last five games, scoring eleven runs.

-- Minnesota lost four of its last six games.
-- Tampa Bay is 2-10 in game after its last twelve wins.
-- Royals lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Rangers lost five of their last seven games. Toronto lost seven of its last nine games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last six games.

Umpires
-- Favorite is 15-3 in last 18 Holbrook games. (LA-Atl)
-- Underdog is 10-4 in last 14 Young games. (SD-Fla)
-- Favorite is 7-1 in last eight Scott games. (Wash-Chi)
-- Favorite is 11-1 in last dozen Timmons games. (Pitt-Mil)
-- Home side won Bucknor's last six games. (Hst-StL)
-- Home side is 7-1 in last eight Vanover games. (Colo-Cin)
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Knight games. (NY-Az)
-- Over is 15-6-2 in last 23 Reynolds games. (Phil-SF)

-- Under is 9-2-2 in last thirteen Everitt games. (Sea-NYY)
-- Over is 4-0-1 in Hoye's last five games. (Clev-Balt)
-- Visitor is 10-3 in Miller's last thirteen games. (A's-TB)
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-- Favorite won last six Danley games; five of those six games stayed under the total. (Det-KC)
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Tschida games. (Bos-Minn)
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Drake games this season. (Tor-Tex)
-- Favorite is 7-1 in last eight Diaz games. (CWS-LAA)