SECTION 1 23-42 -10.57
Tampa Bay +102
Toronto +149
Seattle +200 x3
-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 23-23 +6.93
Minnesota -105
Toronto +149
----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 22-25 +1.61
05/03 Cincinatti +119 (@ Houston) Milton/Rodriquez
05/03 Kansas City +114 (vs. LA Angels) Meche/Weaver
NOTE: The average line for the underdogs was 5 cents lower in 2006 than it was in 2005. This year after one month the average line is 11 cents lower than in 2006. That's a huge 16 cents less on average per selection and as a result, the profits are being hugely effected.
At the same stage last year, the system was in the positive with 18.12 units generated and that was with only 7 winners more than losers.
It has been my concern for a few years now that the over exposure of this system appearing on many forums has had a knock on effect, and books have decided to shave underdog lines at an alarming rate.
I will continue to monitor this system in the hope that it is just a glitch, but looking at past numbers, I don't feel that is the case. In all probability, it is the case of over exposure and books becoming aware of such matters and making neccessary adjustments.
Going back over the last ten seasons, 78% of the total profits generated on average have been acquired upto the all-star break (mid July). The worst year still managed to produce 63% of the yearly profits in the first half of the season. The best year saw profits reach a season high before the second half took back 10.31 units of profit.
So the omens are not looking good this season.
Tampa Bay +102
Toronto +149
Seattle +200 x3
-----------------------------------
SECTION 2 23-23 +6.93
Minnesota -105
Toronto +149
----------------------------------
ULTIMATE UNDERDOGS 22-25 +1.61
05/03 Cincinatti +119 (@ Houston) Milton/Rodriquez
05/03 Kansas City +114 (vs. LA Angels) Meche/Weaver
NOTE: The average line for the underdogs was 5 cents lower in 2006 than it was in 2005. This year after one month the average line is 11 cents lower than in 2006. That's a huge 16 cents less on average per selection and as a result, the profits are being hugely effected.
At the same stage last year, the system was in the positive with 18.12 units generated and that was with only 7 winners more than losers.
It has been my concern for a few years now that the over exposure of this system appearing on many forums has had a knock on effect, and books have decided to shave underdog lines at an alarming rate.
I will continue to monitor this system in the hope that it is just a glitch, but looking at past numbers, I don't feel that is the case. In all probability, it is the case of over exposure and books becoming aware of such matters and making neccessary adjustments.
Going back over the last ten seasons, 78% of the total profits generated on average have been acquired upto the all-star break (mid July). The worst year still managed to produce 63% of the yearly profits in the first half of the season. The best year saw profits reach a season high before the second half took back 10.31 units of profit.
So the omens are not looking good this season.
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