Thursday Trends and Indexes 05/03

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel


Dallas at Golden State
The Warriors came close to pulling off the improbable series upset when they led by nine points with just over three minutes left in Game Five. A 15-0 run by the Mavericks, sparked by Dirk Nowitzki's 12 points, rallied Dallas kept the Mavs alive for tonight's Game Six. But Oracle Arena has been unkind to the defending Western Conference champs, where they have lost five straight, including Games Three and Four of this series. And even with the Game Six loss, the Warriors have consistently taken advantage of the Vegas lines and are now 9-1 against the spread in the last 10 meetings with Dallas. Golden State looks like a good underdog pick (+3) in this one according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored straight up by 5. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+3). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 3

Game 511-512: Houston at Utah
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.698; Utah 125.741
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 7; 180
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 4; 184
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-4); Under

Game 513-514: Dallas at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.807; Golden State 128.838
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3; 209
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+3); Under

[Udog]

NHL
Dunkel


Vancouver at Anaheim
The Canucks salvaged a split coming out of Anaheim, but couldn't take care of business at home where they went 0-2. The Game Four loss was especially hard given that Vancouver had a two-goal lead at one point. But the Ducks forced the overtime on goals by Chris Pronger and Teemu Selanne, and won it on Travis Moen's goal. Now the Ducks return home up 3-1 in the series and owning all the momentum. Anaheim looks like a good pick to close this one out according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored straight up by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim. Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MAY 3

Game 1-2: Vancouver at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.416; Anaheim 13.840
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Dunkel Pick: Neutral; Under

[kbsooner21]

Thanks guys!

[Udog]

MLB
Long Sheet


Thursday, May 3


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CINCINNATI (13 - 14) at HOUSTON (11 - 15) - 8:05 PM
ERIC MILTON (L) vs. WANDY RODRIGUEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 392-432 (+63.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 332-381 (+46.9 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 32-28 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 207-190 (+36.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
MILTON is 136-127 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILTON is 21-10 (+14.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILTON is 71-60 (+30.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILTON is 33-19 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILTON is 90-77 (+26.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILTON is 42-38 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILTON is 35-24 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 94-95 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 254-250 (-58.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
HOUSTON is 22-39 (-21.2 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 94-95 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 (+2.8 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

ERIC MILTON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MILTON is 3-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.50 and a WHIP of 1.122.
His team's record is 4-3 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.3 units)

WANDY RODRIGUEZ vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
RODRIGUEZ is 2-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 8.03 and a WHIP of 2.109.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)




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PITTSBURGH (12 - 14) at MILWAUKEE (18 - 9) - 8:05 PM
TOM GORZELANNY (L) vs. DAVE BUSH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 6-18 (-11.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 29-69 (-30.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 18-45 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-9 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 58-37 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 55-32 (+17.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-9 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-53 (-20.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUSH is 6-15 (-10.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

TOM GORZELANNY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GORZELANNY is 0-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

DAVE BUSH vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
BUSH is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)




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NY METS (16 - 10) at ARIZONA (16 - 13) - 9:40 PM
TOM GLAVINE (L) vs. MICAH OWINGS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 13-3 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in home games in May games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 119-79 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 62-36 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 58-39 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 26-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 61-44 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
NY METS are 117-78 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 89-56 (+19.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 35-21 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 49-32 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GLAVINE is 30-11 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 14-3 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 29-11 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GLAVINE is 20-7 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 403-354 (-65.3 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 403-354 (-65.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

TOM GLAVINE vs. ARIZONA since 1997
GLAVINE is 11-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.19 and a WHIP of 1.072.
His team's record is 11-5 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-11. (-6.8 units)

MICAH OWINGS vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.




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PHILADELPHIA (12 - 15) at SAN FRANCISCO (14 - 12) - 10:15 PM
ADAM EATON (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-5 (+11.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 571-445 (+94.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-48 (-22.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ADAM EATON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
EATON is 2-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.314.
His team's record is 6-7 (-0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-6. (+0.7 units)

MATT CAIN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CAIN is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 6.30 and a WHIP of 1.700.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)




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LA ANGELS (16 - 12) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 19) - 2:10 PM
JERED WEAVER (R) vs. GIL MECHE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 58-77 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MECHE is 32-18 (+18.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
MECHE is 44-34 (+19.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA ANGELS are 97-83 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 35-21 (+17.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 149-139 (+32.7 Units) against the money line in road games in day games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 86-68 (+25.4 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

JERED WEAVER vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
WEAVER is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 0.66 and a WHIP of 0.951.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.0 units)

GIL MECHE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
MECHE is 5-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.28 and a WHIP of 1.425.
His team's record is 8-7 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.6 units)




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TORONTO (13 - 14) at CLEVELAND (16 - 8) - 7:05 PM
DUSTIN MCGOWAN (R) vs. CLIFF LEE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 14-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
TORONTO is 72-61 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
TORONTO is 124-103 (+27.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 54-34 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 45-56 (-32.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 60-68 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

DUSTIN MCGOWAN vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MCGOWAN is 0-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

CLIFF LEE vs. TORONTO since 1997
LEE is 0-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.575.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)




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MINNESOTA (15 - 12) at TAMPA BAY (12 - 15) - 7:10 PM
RAMON ORTIZ (R) vs. JAMES SHIELDS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 47-47 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 49-43 (+17.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 47-47 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played in a dome over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 62-59 (+18.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 47-47 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on artificial turf over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 36-33 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 111-81 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 79-53 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 72-47 (+19.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 23-49 (-22.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-3 (+1.9 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.8 Units)

RAMON ORTIZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
ORTIZ is 6-1 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 8-2 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.3 units)

JAMES SHIELDS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
SHIELDS is 0-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 10.39 and a WHIP of 2.309.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




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NY YANKEES (10 - 14) at TEXAS (10 - 16) - 8:05 PM
MIKE MUSSINA (R) vs. ROBINSON TEJEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 10-14 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 8-13 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 59-49 (-22.5 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 95-48 (+27.1 Units) against the money line in road games in May games since 1997.
TEXAS is 36-40 (-16.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)

MIKE MUSSINA vs. TEXAS since 1997
MUSSINA is 9-8 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.187.
His team's record is 11-10 (-7.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-10. (-0.5 units)

ROBINSON TEJEDA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
TEJEDA is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 18.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)




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SEATTLE (12 - 10) at BOSTON (17 - 9) - 7:05 PM
HORACIO RAMIREZ (L) vs. DAISUKE MATSUZAKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 50-38 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 241-228 (-48.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.
BOSTON is 272-215 (-52.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 1-1 (+0.6 Units) against BOSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

HORACIO RAMIREZ vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DAISUKE MATSUZAKA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MATSUZAKA is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)




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[Udog]

Good morning, kb!

[Udog]

MLB
Hot Lines


Thursday, May 3


Toronto Blue Jays at Cleveland Indians (-160, 10)

How good is this Cleveland lineup? Really, really good – and the Indians should feast on a vulnerable Toronto pitching staff tonight.

The Indians have scored at least four runs in all seven games of their current homestand, which ends tonight. They are 6-1 in those games, averaging over seven runs in each.

That includes 19 runs in their first two games against the Blue Jays – a number that isn’t expected to go down with Dustin McGowan, usually a reliever for Toronto, starting tonight.

McGowan started three games for the Jays last season, going 0-2 and never making it out of the fifth inning. He's making his first appearance of the year in any capacity after being called up from Triple-A on Monday.

He is the last thing Toronto’s bullpen needs after pitching a combined 8 1/3 relief innings in Cleveland’s 7-6 win last night in 11 innings.

Cliff Lee will make his first appearance of the season for the Indians. He missed the first month of the season with a strained abdomen.

Pick: Indians -160



Minneota Twins at Tampa Bay Devil Rays (+110, 9)s

Ramon Ortiz has pitched a quality start all five times he’s taken the mound this season, and hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any start. But the 33-year-old right-hander, who sports a 4.79 career ERA, isn’t the pitcher his numbers indicate.

Ortiz put to the test tonight against a Tampa Bay lineup averaging five runs per game at home,

Minnesota hitters will also be challenged by the Devil Rays’ big righty, James Shields, who has pitched eight innings in each of his last two starts, allowing a combined six hits and three runs while striking out 21.

Pick: Devil Rays +110



Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros (-127, 9)

This is a bad spot for Cincinnati. The Reds are playing their final game of a nine-game road trip tonight and have to be looking forward to a week home. The Reds will host six games starting with a Friday contest against the Colorado Rockies. Cincinnati then embarks on another nine-game road trip.

The Reds are struggling to hit left-handers, posting a .244 batting average, a .686 OPS and an MLB-high 81 strikeouts in 312 at bats – the second most in the majors – against southpaws.

Cincinnati faces Houston lefty Wandy Rodriguez tonight. Rodriguez is 0-3 with a 4.50 ERA in four starts this season, but his record is better than Reds counterpart Eric Milton, who is 0-4 with a 4.71 ERA.

Rodriguez should also have his way with the free-swinging Reds. The 28-year-old has 24 strikeouts in 26 innings this season.

Pick: Astros -127



New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks (+128, 9)

A value play here as the Mets kick off a seven-game West Coast road trip tonight in Arizona as a road favorite. New York also faces a pitcher it has never seen before in young Arizona right-hander Micah Owings.

Owings has had a solid start to his career for the D-Backs, allowing just five earned runs in 15 1/3 innings and going 1-1. He has missed his last two starts with a hamstring injury, but he was injured while running the bases, not while pitching, and it isn’t expected to affect him long-term.

The Mets also struggle against right-handed pitchers, relatively speaking, at least. Their .268 average against righties is actually the sixth best in baseball, but it's still 80 points lower than their MLB-leading .348 average against lefties.

Tom Glavine will start for the Mets.

Pick: Diamondbacks +128

[Udog]

MLB
Short Sheet


Thursday, May 3rd

National League

Cincinnati at Houston, 8:05 EST
Eric Milton (L) vs. Wandy Rodriguez (L)
Milton: 21-10 TSR as a road underdog of +125 or less
Rodriguez: Houston 22-42 SU after losing 2 of their last 3 games

Pittsburgh at Milwaukee, 8:05 EST
Tom Gorzelanny (L) vs. Dave Bush (R)
Gorzelanny: Pittsburgh 3-12 SU off 3+ division games
Bush: Milwaukee 21-8 SU at home after allowing 2 runs or less

NY Mets at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Tom Glavine (L) vs. Micah Owings (R)
Glavine: 14-3 TSR with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs
Owings: Arizona 0-7 SU off 6+ games allowing 4 runs or less

Philadelphia at San Francisco, 10:15 EST
Adam Eaton (R) vs. Matt Cain (R)
Eaton: Philadelphia 17-7 Under on Thursdays
Cain: San Francisco 15-5 SU on Thursdays


American League

LA Angels at Kansas City, 2:10 EST
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Gil Meche (R)
Weaver: Angels 21-10 SU off 6+ road games
Meche: Kansas City 1-7 SU off a win

Toronto at Cleveland, 7:05 EST
Dustin McGowan (R) vs. Cliff Lee (L)
McGowan: Toronto 10-2 Over in road games
Lee: Cleveland 14-3 SU vs. right-handed starters

Minnesota at Tampa Bay, 7:10 EST
Ramon Ortiz (R) vs. James Shields (R)
Ortiz: 5-13 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Shields: Tampa Bay 15-5 Over as an underdog

NY Yankees at Texas, 8:05 EST Game Two
Mike Mussina (R) vs. Robinson Tejada (R)
Mussina: 8-3 TSR as a road favorite of -125 to -150
Tejada: 4-0 Over with a total of 11+ runs


Write-In Games:

Seattle at Boston, 7:05 EST
Horacio Ramirez (L) vs. Daisuke Matsuzaka (R)
Ramirez: Seattle 8-1 SU off an Under
Matsuzaka: Boston 19-7 Over in May

NY Yankees at Texas, 3:35 EST Game One
Andy Pettite (L) vs. Kevin Millwood (R)
Pettitte: Yankees 9-1 SU at Texas
Millwood: Texas 3-19 SU as a home underdog

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys! GL tonight!

[Kaptain]

Thanks a lot fellows----al your hard work is appreciated by many....thanks