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**pm530** · 04-29-2007, 03:46 AM

Baseball - Tips & Trends

MLB
Tips and Trends

Sunday, April 29

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Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers (1:05 PM ET)
Minnesota's Johan Santana has dominated Detroit in his career, posting a 10-2 record and 2.58 ERA in 21 career appearances (15 starts). BIG EDGE: TWINS
Santana has lost two consecutive starts at home for the first time since 2005, but he is a perfect 2-0 on the road this season with a miniscule 0.64 ERA. EDGE: TWINS
Detroit starter Mike Maroth is coming off his shortest start of the season, going just 4 2/3 innings against Los Angeles - allowing three runs and seven hits. He was knocked around by the Royals in his only home start this year, surrendering four runs and seven hits in 5 2/3 innings. EDGE: OVER
The Twins are 6-1 in Santana's last seven starts versus the Tigers.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (1:05 PM ET)
Boston right-hander Julian Tavarez has been blasted for 42 hits and 21 runs in just 28 career innings against the New York Yankees. He's 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two road starts this season. EDGE: YANKEES
New York starter Chien-Ming Wang will make his second start of the season since returning from the disabled list with a strained hamstring. He picked up a 6-4 loss to the Tampa Bay Devil Rays last week and is 2-3 with a 4.91 ERA in six starts against the Red Sox. SLIGHT EDGE: RED SOX
The Yankees are 9-2 in Wang's last 11 starts versus the American League East.
The Red Sox are 6-1 in their last seven Sunday games.

Baltimore Orioles at Cleveland Indians (1:05 PM ET)
Baltimore's Jaret Wright returns to the mound this afternoon after spending time on the 15-day disabled lis with right shoulder soreness. He lasted just 2 1/3 innings in his lone road start this season, giving up six runs (four earned) and issuing five walks. EDGE: INDIANS & OVER
Cleveland converted starter Fausto Carmono leaves a lot to be desired, considering he's allowed nine runs and 12 hits in 7 2/3 career innings against Baltimore. EDGE: ORIOLES & OVER
The Indians are 18-4 in their last 22 games versus a right-handed starter.

Florida Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies (1:35 PM ET)
Florida starter Wes Obermueller picked up a 12-6 victory against Washington in his first start this season, allowing two runs and four hits over six solid innings. He has three career starts against Philadelphia, going 0-2 with a 5.50 ERA. SLIGHT EDGE: PHILLIES
Philadelphia veteran left-hander Jamie Moyer is a perfect 4-0 with a 3.16 ERA in four career starts against Florida. BIG EDGE: PHILLIES
The Phillies are 6-1 in Moyer's last seven starts.

Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros (2:05 PM ET)
Milwaukee starter Claudio Vargas is an even 2-2 with a 4.32 ERA in four career starts (six appearances) against Houston. SLIGHT EDGE: BREWERS
Houston veteran right-hander Woody Williams is still searching for his first victory this season, after going 0-3 with a 5.90 ERA in five starts. He's 12-5 with a 2.98 ERA in 27 appearances (18 starts) against the Brewers in his career. SLIGHT EDGE: ASTROS
The Brewers are 4-1 in their last four Sunday games.
The Astros are 1-5 in their last six Sunday games.

Los Angeles Angels at Chicago White Sox (2:05 PM ET)
Angels right-hander Kelvim Escobar has a troubled past against the White Sox, managing just two wins with a 5.93 ERA in 19 career appearances (10 starts) against them. BIG EDGE: WHITE SOX
Chicago starter Mark Buehrle has bounced back in a big way this season after a disappointing 2006. He's picked up two consecutive victories, including a no-hitter two starts back and has a fantastic 2.59 ERA. EDGE: WHITE SOX
Buehrle is 1-3 with a 4.16 ERA in 11 career starts against the Angels and has allowed just one run in 10 1/3 innings at home this season. EDGE: WHITE SOX
The Angels are 5-0 in Escobar's last five starts versus the AL Central.
The UNDER is 11-2-1 in Escobar's last 14 starts overall.

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres (4:05 PM ET)
Los Angeles starter Derek Lowe is 3-2 with a 2.22 ERA against San Diego in 10 career starts. He's picked up a 9-1 victory over the Padres two starts back, allowing a single run over eight innings. EDGE: DODGERS
San Diego left-hander David Wells is a disappointing 1-3 with a 7.54 ERA in five starts against the Dodgers in his career. EDGE: DODGERS
The Dodgers are 1-4 in Lowe's last five starts versus the Padres.
The OVER is 10-2-1 in Wells' last 13 starts as an underdog.

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks (4:40 PM ET)
San Francisco right-hander Matt Morris is enjoying a great season so far in 2007 with a 3-0 record and 2.49 ERA in four starts. The Giants have proven victorious in all four starts, including two quality road wins over the Dodgers and Padres. EDGE: GIANTS
Arizona left-hander Randy Johnson was unimpressive in his first start this season after offseason back surgery, picking up a 10-5 loss to San Diego. He gave up six runs and six hits in five innings of work. EDGE: GIANTS
The Giants are 9-0 in Morris' last nine starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
The Diamondbacks are 2-5 in Johnson's last seven starts versus the Giants.

Chicago Cubs at St. Louis Cardinals (ESPN | 8:05 PM ET)
Chicago left-hander Rich Hill is a perfect 2-0 with a 0.60 ERA in two road starts this season. BIG EDGE: CUBS
St. Louis starter Kip Wells is a disappointing 0-3 with a 6.11 ERA in three starts at Busch Stadium this season. EDGE: CUBS
Wells has had some success against the Cubs in his career, going an even 3-3 with a 3.06 ERA in 14 starts. EDGE: CARDINALS
The Cubs are 8-2 in Hill's last 10 starts.
The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last four games as a home underdog.

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**pm530** · 04-29-2007, 03:47 AM

MLB
Game Match-ups

Sunday, April 29

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Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers, 1:05pm ET
Johan Santana (3-2, 3.44 ERA) vs. Mike Maroth (2-0, 5.06 ERA)

Santana has allowed one or less earned runs in two of his starts this season, but he gave up four earned runs in each of his other three outings. Still, the lefthander has three wins on the season, and has struck out 39 batters while walking only eight through 34 innings. Against the Tribe on Tuesday Santana allowed four runs in seven innings.

Maroth has yet to get a loss in 2007, but he has a 5.06 ERA and just nine strikeouts (compared to 10 walks) over 21 1-3 innings of work. The lefthander is coming off a 4 2-3 inning outing against the Angels, where he gave up two earned runs on seven hits and five walks, while fanning just one batter. Maroth last picked up a victory back on April 12

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres, 4:05pm ET
Derek Lowe (2-3, 4.40 ERA) vs. David Wells (1-1, 6.00 ERA)

Lowe has picked up a loss in each of his last two starts, allowing four earned runs on eight hits over 4 2-3 innings versus Colorado on April 18, and three earned runs on nine hits over seven innings versus San Francisco on April 24. Against the Padres on April 13, though, Lowe gave up just one earned run over eight innings, and grabbed the win.

Wells has pitched four times for the Padres this season, allowing two earned runs twice and five earned runs twice. San Diego will be hoping to get the good Wells on Sunday. However, the lefthander was knocked around by Los Angeles back on April 13, giving up five earned runs on eight hits over just 2 1-3 innings, and picking up his only defeat.

Tampa Bay Devil Rays at Oakland Athletics, 4:05pm ET
Scott Kazmir (1-1, 4.40 ERA) vs. Dallas Braden (1-0, 1.50 ERA)

Kazmir didn't get a decision against the Yankees on Tuesday night, but he pitched well enough to pick up a victory. The lefthander gave up just one earned run on five hits over 6 2-3 innings, walking two batters and striking out five. On the season Kazmir has a 4.40 ERA, and he's walked 12 batters while striking out 29 through his 30 2-3 innings.

Rookie Braden won his major league debut against the Orioles on Tuesday night, allowing just one earned run on three hits over six innings of work. The rookie lefthander walked just one batter in that outing, and managed to strike out six Baltimore hitters. Braden will be striving to keep his spot in the rotation as Oakland's starters get healthy.

San Francisco Giants at Arizona Diamondbacks, 4:40pm ET
Matt Morris (3-0, 2.49 ERA) vs. Randy Johnson (0-1, 10.80 ERA)

Morris has been solid all season long for the Giants, not allowing more than three earned runs in any of his four starts. The righthander has yet to pick up a loss in 2007, and his ERA sits at just 2.49 through 25 1-3 innings. On Tuesday against the Dodgers Morris allowed three earned runs on six hits over 7 1-3 innings, striking out two batters.

The Big Unit made his 2007 season debut on Tuesday night, after missing most of April recovering from back surgery. Johnson, though, was knocked around by the Padres in that outing, surrendering six earned runs on six hits over just five innings, and picking up a defeat. The lefthander walked four batters and fanned seven in that losing effort.

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**pm530** · 04-29-2007, 03:49 AM

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends

NBA
Tips and trends

Sunday, April 29

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#5 Chicago Bulls at #4 Miami Heat
Game 4 - Sunday, April 29th, 1 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

Free-throw shooting killed the Heat's chances of winning Game 3, as stars Dwyane Wade and Shaquille O'Neal made a combined 7-of-22 shots from the line. The team overall had 35 chances and made just 16 for 46 percent. EDGE: BULLS
Miami's defense has been a huge disappointment in all three games against the Bulls, who scored 32 points in the fourth quarter of Game 3 to pull off the victory. The Heat had won their previous 26 game when leading at halftime. EDGE: BULLS
78 teams have been down 3-0 in an NBA playoff series - none have rallied back to win the series. EDGE: BULLS
The Bulls have outrebounded the Heat in every game of the series, including 44-33 in Game 3. "We are outworking them right now," Chicago center Ben Wallace said. "I think we want it a little bit more than they want it." EDGE: BULLS
Chicago is 8-2-1 ATS in its last 11 games.
Chicago is 10-4-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings with Miami.
Miami is 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 games.
OVER is 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Miami.

Head-to-Head Recaps
FIRST-ROUND RESULTS (HOME team in CAPS)

Chicago leads 3-0 SU (2-0-1 ATS)
OVER 3-0

4/27/07 - Game 3: Chicago 104, MIAMI 96 (ATS winner: Chicago +5 | OVER 185)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Bulls took advantage of poor free-throw shooting by the Heat and Ben Gordon's hot shooting in the second half to put the defending champs on the brink of elimination in this year's playoffs. Gordon scored 22 of his 27 points after the intermission, and Miami made just 16-of-35 shots (46 percent) from the foul line. Chicago got off to a strong start but trailed by seven at halftime before turning the game around early in the fourth quarter.

4/24/07 - Game 2: CHICAGO 107, Miami 89 (ATS winner: Chicago -3.5 | OVER 183.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Bulls used the 3-point shot to bail them out whenever they got into trouble - hitting 11-of-17 from beyond the arc - while Luol Deng again came up big when they needed him the most. Deng followed up a career-best playoff effort in Game 1 by scoring 26 points, including 14 in the fourth quarter. Ben Gordon led Chicago with 27 points, hitting five 3-pointers. Miami was challenged defensively by head coach Pat Rliey before Game 2 and remains defensively-challenged.

4/21/07 - Game 1: CHICAGO 96, Miami 91 (ATS winner: PUSH -5 | OVER 182.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Heat got off to a strong start in Game 1 behind 10 first-quarter points from Shaquille O'Neal, who scored just nine the rest of the way as he battled foul trouble throughout. O'Neal and Dwyane Wade both headed to the bench just 3 1/2 minutes into the fourth quarter with five fouls apiece, but the Heat still rallied back to pull within 92-91 with 38 seconds left. That comeback came despite O'Neal fouling out, and Chicago's Ben Gordon nailed some late free throws to force the push.

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Chicago wins 3-1 SU (2-2 ATS)
OVER/UNDER 2-2

3/7/07 - MIAMI 103, Chicago 70 (ATS winner: Miami +1 | UNDER 184)
1/27/07 - CHICAGO 100, Miami 97 (ATS winner: Miami +7 | OVER 191.5)
12/27/06 - CHICAGO 109, Miami 103 (ATS winner: Chicago -5.5 | OVER 192.5)
10/31/06 - Chicago 108, MIAMI 66 (ATS winner: Chicago +4.5 | UNDER 187)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: Both games in Miami were blowouts, with Chicago spoiling the Heat's ring ceremony by handing a defending NBA champion its worst season-opening loss ever. Miami then returned the favor in the last meeting despite playing without Dwyane Wade. The two meetings in Chicago saw Ben Gordon score a combined 74 points and show just what a difference maker he can be. Gordon totaled just 14 points in the last meeting and needs to be a major factor offensively in order for the Bulls to have any shot at dethroning the champs. Meanwhile, Wade averages just 17.3 points per game lifetime vs. Chicago, and whether or not he can be as aggressive against Kirk Hinrich this time around will be the key to Miami's chances after his return from a serious shoulder injury.

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#2 Phoenix Suns at #7 Los Angeles Lakers
Game 4 - Sunday, April 29th, 3:30 p.m. Eastern (ABC)

Kobe Bryant had his best game of the series for the Lakers in Game 3 and will need another strong effort here to head back to Phoenix tied 2-2. The key in Game 3 was conserving his energy until the fourth quarter, when he scored 15 of his game-high 45 points. The Suns are better off letting Bryant do his damage early in the game so he tires late, though that isn't likely here in Game 4 because of his ability to thrive off the home fans. EDGE: LAKERS
Insiders expect the Suns to be much more aggressive in Game 4 after going to the free-throw line just 12 times in Game 3. The Lakers scored 14 more points from the free-throw line and used home court to their advantage. Watch for the calls to be more even in Game 4 as Phoenix tries to go home up 3-1. EDGE: SUNS
LA is 4-17-1 ATS in its last 22 home games.
Phoenix is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games.
OVER is 12-5 in LA's last 17 home games.

Head-to-Head Recaps
FIRST-ROUND RESULTS (HOME team in CAPS)

Phoenix leads 2-1 SU (LA 2-1 ATS)
UNDER 2-1

4/26/07 - Game 3: LA LAKERS 95, Phoenix 89 (ATS winner: LA +4 | UNDER 210)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: LA star Kobe Bryant saved his best for the last quarter of a game for the first time in the series, scoring 15 of his game-high 45 points to lead the Lakers to a much-needed victory. Bryant also dished out six assists while teammates Lamar Odom (18 points, 16 rebounds) and Kwame Brown (19, 7) also enjoyed their best games of the series. The Suns had scored the first 11 points of the game and blew a 31-14 lead, tying the game at 89 with 2:03 left in the fourth but failing to score again after that.

4/24/07 - Game 2: PHOENIX 126, LA Lakers 98 (ATS winner: Phoenix -8.5 | OVER 207)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Suns made sure to get off to a strong start in Game 2, scoring nearly 30 points more in the first half than they did in Game 1. They outscored the Lakers in every quarter with 27 points or more in each to push a strong OVER pace. LA tried to keep up but failed in what turned out to be the biggest blowout of the playoffs so far.

4/22/07 - Game 1: PHOENIX 95, LA Lakers 87 (ATS winner: LA +10.5 | UNDER 211)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Lakers built a 48-39 halftime lead behind 28 points from Kobe Bryant, who was just as cold in the second half as he was hot in the first. Bryant missed 11 of his last 12 shots, going 1-of-10 in the fourth quarter when they were outscored 21-10. The Suns also outscored LA 35-29 in the third to give the OVER a glimmer of hope, but that torrid pace ended abruptly with the poor shooting down the stretch.

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Phoenix wins 3-1 SU (Lakers 3-1 ATS)
OVER/UNDER 2-2

4/13/07 - PHOENIX 93, LA Lakers 85 (ATS winner: LAL +9.5 | UNDER 220.5)
4/8/07 - Phoenix 115, LA LAKERS 107 (ATS winner: Pho -4.5 | OVER 218)
3/4/07 - PHOENIX 99, LA Lakers 94 (ATS winner: LAL +10 | UNDER 219.5)
10/31/06 - LA LAKERS 114, Phoenix 106 (ATS winner: LAL +5 | OVER 209.5)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: The Suns sent a message to the Lakers by winning the last three meetings after losing the season opener at LA, 114-106. That lone setback in the season series came during a 1-5 start for Phoenix, and Kobe Bryant did not even play in that game. Lamar Odom scored a game-high 34 points in the victory while Bryant averaged 27.3 points in the other three meetings on 26.3 shots per game. Bryant and the Lakers still seem to be haunted by their collapse in last year's first-round series against the Suns, when they blew a 3-1 lead and saw him score just 1 point in the second half of Phoenix's Game 7 rout.

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#3 Toronto Raptors at #6 New Jersey Nets
Game 4 - Sunday, April 29th, 7:30 p.m. Eastern (TNT)

The Nets had won their last six home games against Eastern Conference opponents by an average of 12 points to end the regular season and followed that up with a dominating performance in Game 3, winning by 13. EDGE: NETS
Jason Kidd's knee looked more than fine for New Jersey in Game 3, as he notched 16 points, 16 rebounds and a career-high 19 assists for his 10th career postseason triple double. Vince Carter also looked much more comfortable at home, making 15-of-23 shots en route to a game-high 37 points after shooting 30 percent in the two games at Toronto. BIG EDGE: NETS
The home team is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
UNDER is 12-4 in Toronto's last 16 vs. Atlantic Division opponents.
UNDER is 7-2 in New Jersey's last 9 vs. Atlantic Division opponents.
UNDER is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings.

Head-to-Head Recaps
FIRST-ROUND RESULTS (HOME team in CAPS)

New Jersey leads 2-1 SU & ATS
UNDER 2-1

4/24/07 - Game 3: NEW JERSEY 102, Toronto 89 (ATS winner: New Jersey -4 | OVER 190)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Nets got off to a strong start, leading 31-19 at the end of the first quarter and 58-39 at halftime. While the Raptors outscored them 29-21 in the third, they never really threatened the spread. Vince Carter scored a game-high 37 points for New Jersey while Jason Kidd had a monster triple double with 16 points, 16 rebounds and 19 assists despite playing with a knee injury. The total went OVER on a T.J. Ford jumper with 1:41 remaining, which turned out to be the last scoring play of the game.

4/24/07 - Game 2: TORONTO 89, New Jersey 83 (ATS winner: Toronto -5.5 | UNDER 193.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The OVER in this game was virtually killed at the end of the first quarter with Toronto up 14-12. The Nets held an 83-82 lead with 46 seconds left and then Bostjan Nachbar missed a 3-pointer with eight seconds left that would have tied it. Anthony Parker then sealed the deal for the Ratpors and their backers by making three straight free throws to earn a win and cover, tying up the series at a game apiece.

4/21/07 - Game 1: New Jersey 96, TORONTO 91 (ATS winner: New Jersey +4.5 | UNDER 194)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Nets came out firing on all cylinders and took advantage of some first-half foul trouble by Toronto's Chris Bosh. Experience definitely looked to be the difference early on as New Jersey built a 51-41 halftime lead. T.J. Ford kept the Raptors in the game with 21 points and then backup Jose Calderon ignited a 17-5 run to open the fourth quarter and pull Toronto within 84-83. However, former Raptor Vince Carter overcame a poor 5-for-19 shooting day by making some key free throws down the stretch as the Nets held off the home team.

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Series tied 2-2 SU & ATS
UNDER 3-1

2/14/07 - TORONTO 120, New Jersey 109 (ATS winner: Toronto -9.5 | OVER 190)
1/9/07 - NEW JERSEY 101, Toronto 86 (ATS winner: New Jersey -3.5 | UNDER 194.5)
12/15/06 - TORONTO 90, New Jersey 78 (ATS winner: Toronto +2.5 | UNDER 193)
11/1/06 - NEW JERSEY 102, Toronto 92 (ATS winner: New Jersey -7 | UNDER 202)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: This could very well be the best matchup in the first round since each team won two home games en route to splitting the season series. Both meetings in Toronto had players missing for each team, as Chris Bosh missed the first meeting there and Richard Jefferson and Jason Kidd sat out the second. The key could very well be former Raptor Vince Carter, who is a free agent at the end of the year and would love nothing more than to stick it to his former team. However, Carter averaged just 14.5 points in Toronto this season on poor 28 percent shooting. Bosh gives the Raptors a serious advantage inside though and could have a coming-out party in his first playoffs similar to Amare Stoudemire a couple years ago.

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#1 Dallas Mavericks at #8 Golden State Warriors
Game 4 - Sunday, April 29th, 10 p.m. Eastern (TNT)

The Don Nelson factor can't be stressed much more after the Warriors took a 2-1 series lead on Friday night. The former Dallas head coach knows the Mavs so well and seems to have an answer for how to stop them. The Warriors have held Dallas to an average of 88 points in their two wins while also finding a way to average nearly 102 points for the series. BIG EDGE: WARRIORS
Golden State started Andris Biedrins at center over Al Harrington for the first time in the series, and it turned out to be a great move. Biedrins had 10 points and 10 rebounds in 22 minutes while Harrington was much more effective coming off the bench, totaling seven points and eight rebounds in 14 minutes. Dallas centers DeSagana Diop and Erick Dampier combined for three points and nine rebounds in Game 3 and have failed to use their size advantage in all three games so far. EDGE: WARRIORS
Golden State is 19-6-2 ATS in its last 27 meetings.
UNDER is 9-3 in Dallas' last 12 games.
OVER is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.

Head-to-Head Recaps
FIRST-ROUND RESULTS (HOME team in CAPS)

Golden State leads 2-1 SU & ATS
UNDER 2-1

4/27/07 - Game 3: GOLDEN STATE 109, Dallas 91 (ATS winner: GS +3.5 | UNDER 210.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Warriors got off to a hot 29-20 start and were never really challenged by the Mavs, who struggled to score for the second time in three games. Dallas shot just 39 percent from the field with star Dirk Nowitzki also making less than half his shots for the second time in the series. Golden State took an 18-point lead into the fourth quarter, when both teams slowed the pace with the outcome already decided.

4/25/07 - Game 2: DALLAS 112, Golden State 99 (ATS winner: Dallas -9.5 | OVER 210)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: The Mavs weren't able to pull away in this one until the Warriors were without starters Baron Davis and Stephen Jackson, who were both ejected late in the game. Davis was assessed his second technical at the end of the third quarter and tossed for arguing with an official while Jackson was booted with 4:34 left in the game. Golden State again played Dallas tough, leading by two at the end of the first quarter and trailing by two at halftime. The game was fast-paced in the first and third quarters and did not go OVER the total until Kelenna Azubuike made two free throws with eight seconds left. Azubuike helped the Warriors go on a 7-0 run to end the game, but it wasn't enough to cover the spread.

4/22/07 - Game 1: Golden State 97, DALLAS 85 (ATS winner: Golden State +10.5 | UNDER 213.5)
Recap | Boxscore
SUMMARY: Golden State held Dallas to just 17 points in the first quarter and held MVP candidate Dirk Nowitzki to one of his worst playoff games ever to fuel a low-scoring yet dominant victory. Nowitzki totaled just 14 points on 4-of-16 shooting, and the Mavs shot just 35 percent as a team. Dallas did rally to tie the game at halftime by holding the Warriors to 15 points in the second quarter, but Golden State's Baron Davis scored 19 of his game-high 33 points in the third to re-establish the lead. Another sub 20-point quarter in the fourth ensured the total would go UNDER and secured a Warriors win.

REGULAR-SEASON RESULTS

Golden State wins 3-0 SU & ATS
OVER 3-1

4/17/07 - GOLDEN STATE 111, Dallas 82 (ATS winner: GS -10 | UNDER 215)
3/12/07 - GOLDEN STATE 117, Dallas 100 (ATS winner: GS +7.5 | OVER 206)
11/6/06 - Golden State 107, DALLAS 104 (ATS winner: GS +9.5 | OVER 197)

REGULAR-SEASON SERIES RECAP: Not to make excuses for the league's best team during the regular season, but the first meeting came during a four-game losing streak to start the 2006-07 campaign. The Mavs then proceeded to win 12 straight games after that loss and went on a 61-8 run, including a 17-game winning streak that was snapped by Golden State. The final meeting was meaningless for Dallas and very meaningful for the the Warriors, who needed to win to hold off the Clippers for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Needless to say, Dallas will have no excuses here and will need to show up against a hungry but inexperienced Golden State team that is making its first playoff appearance since 1994.

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**pm530** · 04-29-2007, 03:50 AM

Pro Basketball – Long Sheet

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 29

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CHICAGO (52 - 33) at MIAMI (44 - 41) - 4/29/2007, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MIAMI is 55-34 ATS (+17.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
CHICAGO is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 47-33 ATS (+10.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 40-20 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
MIAMI is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 11-8 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 10-10 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
12 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (63 - 22) at LA LAKERS (43 - 42) - 4/29/2007, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 100-84 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 52-39 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA LAKERS are 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 123-159 ATS (-51.9 Units) after a division game since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 12-10 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 16-6 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (48 - 37) at NEW JERSEY (43 - 42) - 4/29/2007, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 142-100 ATS (+32.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
NEW JERSEY is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 7-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 9-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (68 - 17) at GOLDEN STATE (44 - 41) - 4/29/2007, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 78-59 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 56-40 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 10-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**pm530** · 04-29-2007, 03:50 AM

Hockey – Long Sheet

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 29

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BUFFALO (59-23-0-7, 125 pts.) at NY RANGERS (46-32-0-10, 102 pts.) - 4/29/2007, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 122-67 ATS (+21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 122-67 ATS (+21.9 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 122-67 ATS (+21.9 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 57-37 ATS (+17.5 Units) as a road underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 57-37 ATS (+17.5 Units) as a road favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 57-37 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games against the puck line over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 27-17 ATS (+45.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
BUFFALO is 14-5 ATS (+8.3 Units) in road games after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 53-36 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 33-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 116-128 ATS (+116.0 Units) as a home underdog of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 164-180 ATS (+164.0 Units) as a home favorite of a half goal or even on the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 189-218 ATS (+189.0 Units) in home games against the puck line since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 96-122 ATS (-81.4 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 11-14 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 78-116 ATS (-93.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 17-32 ATS (+50.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 8-2 (+6.1 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 8-2-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.0 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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ANAHEIM (53-21-0-15, 121 pts.) at VANCOUVER (54-29-0-8, 116 pts.) - 4/29/2007, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 25-23 ATS (-15.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 54-37 ATS (+4.7 Units) in all games this season.
VANCOUVER is 54-37 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog or pick on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 54-37 ATS (+54.0 Units) as a favorite or even on the puck line this season.
VANCOUVER is 34-18 ATS (+14.0 Units) second half of the season this season.
VANCOUVER is 27-24 ATS (+2.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANCOUVER is 18-12 ATS (+31.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 7-3 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 7-3-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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**pm530** · 04-29-2007, 03:51 AM

Arena Football League – Long Sheet

AFL
Long Sheet

Sunday, April 29

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COLUMBUS (4 - 3) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 6) - 4/29/2007, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 1-1 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (4 - 3) at LAS VEGAS (1 - 7) - 4/29/2007, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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**pm530** · 04-29-2007, 03:52 AM

Pro Basketball – Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, April 29

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
Game Four
Chicago Leads, 3-0
TV: ABC
Chicago at Miami, 1:00 ET

Chicago:
19-5 ATS in April
28-13 Over Away if the total is between 180 and 189.5

Miami:
1-9 ATS at home off ATS losses in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
7-19 ATS in April

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Western Conference Playoffs
Game Four
Phoenix Leads, 2-1
TV: ABC
Phoenix at LA Lakers, 3:35 ET

Phoenix:
10-0 ATS Away revenging a road loss
15-5 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less

LA Lakers:
3-11 ATS after a win by 6 points or less
12-23 ATS off an Under

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Eastern Conference Playoffs
Game Four
New Jersey Leads, 2-1
TV: TNT
Toronto at New Jersey, 7:35 EST

Toronto:
12-2 ATS revenging a DD road loss
31-11 ATS off a road game

New Jersey:
37-18 Under after allowing 40 points or less in the first half BB games
32-18 Under vs. division opponents

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Western Conference Playoffs
Game Four
Golden State Leads, 2-1
TV: TNT
Dallas at Golden State, 10:05 EST

Dallas:
24-10 ATS off a DD loss
19-7 ATS Away after allowing 105+ points

Golden State:
26-16 Over in home games
28-12 Over off a SU win as home dog

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**CarlinsComedy** · 04-29-2007, 06:44 AM

Hey, THANKS for the information and your TIME! It IS much appreciated! GL ALL

**Udog** · 04-29-2007, 07:47 AM

NP, CarlinsComedy! Good luck today!
It looks like our sources are getting back to it. Here comes a little more.

**Udog** · 04-29-2007, 07:49 AM

NHL
Short Sheet

Sunday, April 29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Eastern Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game Three
Buffalo Leads, 2-0
TV: NBC
Buffalo at NY Rangers, 1:05 EST

Buffalo:
8-2 SU vs. Rangers
14-5 SU Away off 3+ wins

NY Rangers:
9-15 SU off a 1 goal loss
20-9 Under revenging same season loss

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Western Conference Playoffs
Semifinals, Game Two
Series Tied, 1-1
TV: VER
Anaheim at Vancouver, 10:05 EST

Anaheim:
4-0 SU at Vancouver
10-1 SU revenging a loss where team scored 1 goal or less

Vancouver:
17-8 Under off BB road games
16-7 Under off a road win

**Spearit** · 04-29-2007, 07:49 AM

Thanx Guys!

**GrandPa** · 04-29-2007, 07:59 AM

Always the best stuff around. Mucho appreciato

**Udog** · 04-29-2007, 08:18 AM

Spearit and GrandPa,

Good morning, gentlemen! Good luck today!
GrandPa, I think the Six Pack will be returning, full-time, next week.

**Udog** · 04-29-2007, 08:41 AM

Guys,

I have a problem this morning. My wife just fell and hurt her knee and I have to leave for a while.
PM530 and DJMauiboy are both on the road this morning and cannot post. If anyone sees any of the stuff become available in the next two hours, or so, please grab it and post it!
What will happen next is Dunkels(baseball first)followed by the baseball long sheet from *******.
The baseball short sheet will not be available until, at least, 11:30 EDT so don't worry about that one.
Back as quickly as I can do this!
Sorry, guys! I know it's terrible timing.

Announcement

Sunday Trends and Indexes 04/29

Sunday Trends and Indexes 04/29

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