Tuesday Trends and Indexes 04/17

[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Short Sheet

NBA
Short Sheet


Tuesday, April 17th

Cleveland at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Cleveland: 8-2 Under vs. Philadelphia
Philadelphia: 10-24 ATS off a SU win as a road 'dog

Indiana at Atlanta, 7:05 EST
Indiana: 7-0 Over Away off a SU loss as favorite
Atlanta: 10-0 Over off 3+ Unders

Orlando at Washington, 7:05 EST
Orlando: 9-2 Under after having won 4 of their last 5
Washington: 8-0 ATS off 4+ Unders

Toronto at Detroit, 7:35 EST
Toronto: 8-0 Under off BB home wins
Detroit: 1-8 ATS at home revenging a road loss

LA Clippers at Phoenix, 10:05 EST NBATV
LA Clippers: 6-15 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Phoenix: 10-2 ATS off a road loss

Dallas at Golden State, 10:35 EST
Dallas: 12-1 ATS on Tuesday nights
Golden State: 17-3 Over after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games

[pm530]

Baseball - Short Sheet

MLB
Short Sheet


Tuesday, April 17th

National League

Pittsburgh at St. Louis, 1:10 EST
Tom Gorzelanny (L) vs. Adam Wainwright (R)
Gorzelanny: Pittsburgh 18-42 SU in day games
Wainwright: St. Louis 44-20 SU in day games

San Diego at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 EST WGN
Greg Maddux (R) vs. Wade Miller (R)
Maddux: San Diego 20-10 SU away in day games
Miller: Cubs 2-9 SU in day games

Atlanta at Washington, 7:05 EST
John Smoltz (R) vs. Jerome Williams (R)
Smoltz: 28-10 TSR pitching off a loss
Williams: Washington 3-15 SU off 4+ Unders

NY Mets at Philadelphia, 7:05 EST
Tom Glavine (L) vs. Freddy Garcia (R)
Glavine: 11-3 Under in April
Garcia: Philadelphia 1-8 SU with a line of +125 to -125

Milwaukee at Cincinnati, 7:10 EST
Dave Bush (R) vs. Matt Belisle (R)
Bush: 0-10 TSR away vs. division opponents
Belisle: Cincinnati 7-1 SU vs. right-handed starters

Florida at Houston, 8:05 EST
Sergio Mitre (R) vs. Roy Oswalt (R)
Mitre: Florida 40-17 Over after losing 4 of their last 5 games
Oswalt: 32-10 TSR pitching off a team win

San Francisco at Colorado, 8:35 EST
Matt Cain (R) vs. Jason Hirsh (R)
Cain: San Francisco 24-11 Over off BB wins
Hirsh: Colorado 23-11 SU revenging a loss as a home favorite

LA Dodgers at Arizona, 9:40 EST
Brett Tomko (R) vs. Micah Owings (R)
Tomko: 5-19 TSR away on grass fields
Owings: Arizona 9-1 SU as a favorite of -150 or less


American League

Cleveland at NY Yankees, 7:05 EST
Jake Westbrook (R) vs. Chase Wright (L)
Westbrook: Cleveland 11-23 SU away vs. left-handed starters
Wright: Yankees 17-5 Over off 6+ road games

Kansas City at Detroit, 7:05 EST
Jorge De La Rosa (L) vs. Mike Maroth (L)
De la Rosa: Kansas City 8-30 SU in April
Maroth: 16-7 TSR in night games

Boston at Toronto, 7:05 EST
Daisuke Matsuzaka (R) vs. Gustavo Chacin (L)
Matsuzaka: Boston 6-17 SU on artificial turf
Chacin: 10-1 TSR in home games

Baltimore at Tampa Bay, 7:10 EST
Steve Trachsel (R) vs. Casey Fossum (L)
Trachsel: 4-20 TSR away in April
Fossum: 12-6 TSR playing on artificial turf

Texas at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 EST
Robinson Tejada (R) vs. Jon Garland (R)
Tejada: Texas 13-27 SU after allowing 9+ runs
Garland: White Sox 31-13 SU playing with rest

LA Angels at Oakland, 10:05 EST
Jered Weaver (R) vs. Chad Gaudin (R)
Weaver: Angels 29-10 Under vs. Oakland
Gaudin: Oakland 19-6 SU playing with rest

Minnesota at Seattle, 10:05 EST
Ramon Ortiz (R) vs. Jeff Weaver (R)
Ortiz: 5-12 TSR as a road favorite of -150 or less
Weaver: 7-1 Under vs. AL Central opponents

[pm530]

Hockey – Short Sheet

NHL
Short Sheet


Tuesday, April 17th

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Three
Rangers Lead, 2-0
TV: None
Atlanta at NY Rangers, 7:05 EST

Atlanta:
10-4 SU at NY Rangers
21-8 Under playing only their 2nd game in 5 days

NY Rangers:
0-6 SU off BB road wins
15-5 Under off a 1 goal win

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Eastern Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Four
Senators Lead, 2-1
TV: VER
Ottawa at Pittsburgh, 7:05 EST

Ottawa:
33-14 Under in 1st Round of Playoffs
8-12 SU Away off an Away win

Pittsburgh:
11-1 Under at home after a loss by 2+ goals
18-11 SU revenging a loss where opponent scored 4+ goals

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Western Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Four
Canucks Lead, 2-1
TV: None
Vancouver at Dallas, 8:05 EST

Vancouver:
1-4 SU at Dallas
26-12 Under off a road game

Dallas:
32-16 SU off an Under
12-1 Under revenging a 1 goal loss

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Western Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Four
Ducks Lead, 3-0
TV: None
Anaheim at Minnesota, 9:05 EST

Anaheim:
10-2 Under at Minnesota
14-4 SU when leading in a playoff series

Minnesota:
10-3 Under playing with double revenge
6-1 SU in playoffs when facing elimination

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Western Conference Playoffs
First Round, Game Three
Red Wings Lead, 2-0
TV: VER
Detroit at Calgary, 10:05 EST

Detroit:
4-8 SU Away off BB wins
11-2 Under Away off 3+ home wins

Calgary:
18-6 Under at home after scoring 1 goal or less BB Games
25-6 SU at home if the total is 5 or less


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[pm530]

MLB
Hot Lines


Tuesday, April 17

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San Diego at Cubs – Padres -105

This isn’t a road game for Greg Maddux. The 41-year-old former Cub is obviously familiar with the dimensions of Wrigley Field and no pitcher in the league is better at pitching to particular ballparks.

Expect Maddux to baffle the bats of some of his former teammates. The Cubs are a classic example of a team whose stats don’t tell the entire story. They are hitting .273 at home this season and their pitching staff has a 3.17 ERA, but the Cubs are still just 2-4 at home and have dropped 4.16 units.

The reason is an inability to win close games. The Cubs’ two wins have come by a combined 15 runs. Their four losses have come by a total of six. That’s not a good sign against a Padres bullpen that’s allowed just 11 runs in 45 innings.

Wade Miller starts for Chicago.


Kansas City at Detroit – Royals +180

Mike Maroth shouldn’t be a 2-to-1 favorite over anyone, even the Royals. The 29-year-old left-hander did pick up the win in his last start, allowing just two runs in six innings on the road against Toronto, but Maroth allowed nine hits and two walks to that stat line, while striking out just two.

He is also backed by one of the most anemic offenses in baseball. The Tigers are hitting just .235 over their last 10 games. That includes being shut down by Kansas City starter Jorge De La Rosa on April 6. The 26-year-old left-hander threw seven innings of four-hit ball against the Tigers in a 3-1 Kansas City win.


Atlanta at Washington – Nationals +194

Home field advantage and a little stronger play recently, makes Washington a little smaller underdog this time around, but still a strong value bet nonetheless.

The Nationals pulled off a massive upset the last time these two teams met, beating the usually dominant John Smoltz 2-0 as a +265 underdog for just their second win in the season’s first 10 games.

That game sparked a run of three wins in four games for Washington, during which its pitching staff has allowed a total of six runs.

Smoltz will start again for Atlanta and will face Washington’s Jerome Williams.


Boston at Toronto – Blue Jays +137

Dominating Kansas City and Seattle is one thing, but how will Daisuke Matsuzaka fare against the major league’s top offense?

The Mariners and Royals have combined to hit just .232 and average just 3.9 runs per game. The Blue Jays are baseball’s early leaders in both batting average (.294) and runs scored (67), and they trail only the Rockies in hitting at home.

Toronto is hitting .295 at the Rogers Centre (Colorado is hitting .325) and are scoring almost five runs per game.

Dice-K’s opponent has had a lot of success against the Red Sox in his career. Left-hander Gustavo Chacin went 4-0 against Boston last year and earned 5.11 units. He had a 3.43 ERA in those games.

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[pm530]

MLB
Streaking Pitchers


Tuesday, April 17

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HOT

Daisuke Matsuzaka (Boston Red Sox) - Matsuzaka could make our hot list on hype alone, but the Japanese right-hander has been producing up to expectations. After a dominating 10-strikeout performance in his debut, Matsuzaka put in another solid effort against the Mariners last Wednesday even though he took the loss as his Red Sox were shut down in Felix Hernandez's one-hitter. He doesn't have nearly the competition today in Toronto Blue Jays starter Gustavo Chacin. Dice-K plus an injury depleted Toronto team makes Boston a tempting play at -145.

Matt Belisle (Cincinnati Reds) - Belisle comes into today's start against the Milwaukee Brewers after winning his first two games and sports an impressive 1.50 ERA. He has distinguished himself from the other Reds starters so far, having given up only two runs and seven hits through 12 innings. He has held opposing batters to a low .171 average and cashed in on the under in both outings.

Ramon Ortiz (Minnesota Twins) - Ortiz was brought into Minny to add experience to a weakened rotation and so far he's been lights out. The veteran righty is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA after giving up only three runs in 15 innings. He is even pitching late into games, shutting down the stacked New York Yankees lineup for eight innings in a 5-1 win on Wednesday. The only caveat to his success is that both wins have come at home and he starts on the road today against the Seattle Mariners, a team he hasn't faced since 2004.


COLD

Jerome Williams (Washington Nationals) - Expect to see a lot of Washington starters on the frigid side of the streaks this season given the level of run support provided by this team. Williams is off to an 0-2 start thanks to the Nats' bats. He has not received a single run of support while pitching in either of his starts despite only allowing two earned runs through five innings last week against today's opponent. Against John Smoltz the under (8 runs) looks enticing here.

Wade Miller (Chicago Cubs) - Miller has made only one start for the Cubs but it was so bad it can qualify for a cold streak of its own. He gave up six runs and nine hits in only four innings of a 9-4 loss to Milwaukee and he has had nine days off to think about it. After missing most of 2006 recovering from shoulder surgery Miller has not won since August 2005 and has surrendered six home runs in 23 1/3 innings against the San Diego Padres.

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[Kaptain]

Thanks once again fellows----much appreciated----kapt

[pm530]

Your welcome Kapt.

May everyone at BC have a good day!

[pm530]

Baseball - Tips & Trends (added)

MLB
Tips and Trends
Additional games added


Tuesday, April 17

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San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM ET)
The Cubs will be without high-priced center fielder Alfonso Soriano as he strained his left hamstring Monday night while trying to make a diving catch in Chicago's 12-4 win. EDGE: PADRES
San Diego starter Greg Maddux is 11-3 with a 2.38 lifetime ERA against the Cubs. BIG EDGE: PADRES
Chicago starter Wade Miller is making his fifth start against the Padres and first since 2003. He's 1-2 with a 5.79 ERA against them and has given up six homers in 23 1/3 innings. SLIGHT EDGE: PADRES
The Padres are 7-1 in the last eight meetings.


Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays (7:07 PM ET)
Boston's starting pitchers are riding a streak of six consecutive quality starts, with the team winning five of those games and have a collective 2.51 ERA in 2007. EDGE: RED SOX
Toronto starter Gustavo Chacin is 5-0 in seven career starts versus Boston. EDGE: BLUE JAYS
The Blue Jays have won its last two season series with Boston, going 23-14 against the Red Sox over that span including a 13-6 mark at Rogers Centre. EDGE: BLUE JAYS
The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.


Florida Marlins at Houston Astros (8:05 PM ET)
Houston starter Roy Oswalt is taking the mound on three days' rest to give fifth starter Chris Sampson an extra day to recover from a tight calf muscle. Oswalt is 3-2 with a 4.12 ERA in six career starts on less than full rest. SLIGHT EDGE: ASTROS
Oswalt has pitched well against the Marlins in his career, going 3-2 with a 1.98 ERA in seven starts against them. EDGE: ASTROS
Florida starter Sergio Mitre is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two career starts versus the Astros. EDGE: MARLINS
The UNDER is 19-9 in the last 28 meetings.


Los Angeles Angels at Oakland Athletics (10:05 PM ET)
After being called up from the minors in late May last year, Los Angeles pitcher Jered Weaver went 11-2 with a 2.56 ERA in 19 starts for the Angels. EDGE: ANGELS
The Angels were outscored 25-3 and outhit 30-18 in its series with Boston. They have lost four straight and six of seven. EDGE: A'S
Oakland starter Chad Gaudin is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA in eight appearances overall against Los Angeles. SLIGHT EDGE: A'S
The Angels are 5-1 in the last six meetings in Oakland.

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[pm530]

Pro Basketball – Tips and Trends (added)

NBA
Tips and trends
Additional games added


Tuesday, April 17

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Los Angeles Clippers at Phoenix Suns (10 PM ET)
The Clippers would clinch the last playoff spot with a win over Phoenix and on Wednesday versus New Orleans combined with one loss by the Warriors. EDGE: CLIPPERS
Clippers forward Elton Brand is averaging 29.5 points and 10.8 rebounds over the last four games. He also is averaging 24.8 points in 12 career games in Phoenix - his second-best road mark versus any opponent. EDGE: CLIPPERS
Phoenix is an impressive 33-7 at home and has won four of its last five meetings there against Los Angeles. BIG EDGE: SUNS
The OVER is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings in Phoenix.


Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors (10:30 PM ET)
The Warriors have won the last four meetings, including two in Dallas, while averaging 115.0 points. EDGE: WARRIORS
Even though the Mavericks have clinched home-court advantage throughout the playoffs, they may try particulary hard to win tonight and hurt the postseason hopes of the Warriors and former Dallas coach Don Nelson. EDGE: MAVS
No Western Conference team has swept a season series from the Mavs since the Los Angeles Lakers in 2000-01. EDGE: MAVS
The OVER is 15-3 in the last 18 meetings.

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[Dennis14072]

Thanks Guys, GL tonight!